GEM Note
GEM Note
Compiled by
MEHERAZ AL HASAN
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Contents
Emerging Economies
An emerging market economy is the economy of a developing nation that is becoming more
engaged with global markets as it grows. Shortly, high growth developing economies called
emerging markets. An emerging market economy is transitioning from a low income, less
developed towards a modern, industrial economy with a higher standard of living.
A. Characteristics (ChatGPT)
Emerging markets are countries that are experiencing rapid economic growth and
industrialization, transitioning from a developing to a developed status. They exhibit several
key characteristics:
1) Economic Growth Potential: Emerging markets typically have high growth rates
compared to developed economies. They often possess abundant natural resources,
a growing middle class, and favorable demographic trends, which contribute to their
economic expansion.
2) Market Size and Population: Emerging markets are often characterized by large
populations, offering significant consumer bases and potential markets for domestic
and international companies. The size of the market provides opportunities for
businesses to scale and expand.
3) Infrastructure Development: Emerging markets often prioritize infrastructure
development, including transportation, communication networks, power
generation, and urban development. These investments help facilitate economic
growth and attract foreign direct investment (FDI).
4) Rapid Urbanization: Emerging markets experience rapid urbanization as people
migrate from rural areas to cities in search of better job opportunities and living
standards. This urbanization trend leads to increased consumption, demand for
housing, and infrastructure development.
5) Technological Advancements: Emerging markets often embrace technology as a
means to leapfrog traditional development stages. They may adopt and integrate
new technologies, such as mobile banking, e-commerce, and digital services, to
address infrastructure gaps and enhance efficiency.
6) Increasing Middle Class: The emergence of a growing middle class is a significant
characteristic of emerging markets. As incomes rise, consumption patterns change,
and demand for goods and services increases, leading to opportunities for
businesses to cater to this expanding consumer segment.
7) Structural Reforms and Liberalization: Many emerging markets undertake
structural reforms to liberalize their economies and promote entrepreneurship,
investment, and international trade. These reforms often include deregulation,
privatization, and simplification of business regulations.
8) Volatility and Risk: Emerging markets can be more volatile and subject to greater
economic and political risks compared to developed economies. Factors such as
currency fluctuations, political instability, regulatory changes, and varying levels of
institutional strength can impact investment opportunities and business operations.
9) Increasing Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): Emerging markets are attractive to
foreign investors seeking growth opportunities and higher returns. FDI plays a
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If a country is ranked in the top 20 for 2010–20, it receives a score of 1 for that variable.
Otherwise, it is assigned zero. The final score is calculated as the weighted sum of the
individual scores. This approach identifies the following countries in the emerging market:
• BRICS – Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa
• Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Turkey, Iran, Indonesia, Malaysia, the
Philippines
• Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Egypt, Hungary, Mexico, Poland, Thailand
These 20 emerging market countries account for 34 percent of the world’s nominal GDP in US
dollars and 46 percent in purchasing-power-parity terms. These countries are also featured in
commonly used indices for emerging markets, such as those of J.P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley
Capital International, and Bloomberg.
E. Impact on Developed economies
The influence of developed economies is being challenged by emerging groups like BRICS
(Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) and other emerging economies in several ways:
1) Economic Growth: Emerging economies, particularly BRICS countries, have been
experiencing robust economic growth rates, outpacing those of many developed
economies. This growth has allowed them to increase their share of global GDP,
contributing to a shift in economic power. Currently, the majority of annual global GDP
growth occurs in these parts of the world.
2) Trade and Investment: Emerging economies have become significant players in
global trade and investment. Their expanding domestic markets, abundant resources,
and lower labor costs have attracted foreign direct investment and led to increased trade
relationships with both developed and developing countries. This has created new
avenues for economic cooperation and challenged the dominance of developed
economies in international trade. They have witnessed growth in trade and investment
from 32% in 2000 to 46% in 2019. In addition, approximately 15% of FDI was destined
for emerging economies in 2000 but in 2019 this figure had increased to 46%.
3) Regional Integration: Emerging economies have strengthened regional integration
initiatives, such as the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), the Eurasian
Economic Union (EAEU), and the African Union (AU). These regional blocs enhance
economic cooperation and trade among member countries, promoting the rise of new
regional economic powers and reducing the dominance of developed economies in
these regions.
4) Geopolitical Influence: Emerging economies are gaining geopolitical influence on the
global stage. Countries like China and India, in particular, have become major players
in international diplomacy and are actively shaping global governance and institutions.
They challenge the traditional dominance of developed economies in setting global
agendas and decision-making processes.
5) Technological Advancements: Emerging economies have made significant strides in
technological innovation, particularly in areas such as information technology,
telecommunications, and renewable energy. This has allowed them to leapfrog certain
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These factors collectively contribute to the changing dynamics in the global economy and
challenge the influence of developed economies. However, it is important to note that
developed economies still retain significant economic, technological, and institutional
advantages. The evolving global landscape reflects a shift towards a more multipolar world,
with emerging economies playing an increasingly influential role alongside established
developed economies.
Besides, some of the G7 influences on global economic system are discussed below:
1) Economic policy coordination: The G-7 serves as a platform for discussions on
economic policies, including fiscal, monetary, and trade policies. The member
countries aim to coordinate their actions to address global economic challenges,
promote stability, and sustain economic growth.
2) Crisis management: During periods of economic crisis, the G-7 plays a crucial role
in coordinating responses. For instance, during the 2008 global financial crisis, the G-
7 countries worked together to stabilize financial markets, implement fiscal stimulus
measures, and support struggling economies.
3) Global governance: The G-7 has a significant influence on global governance.
Discussions held within the G-7 often set the agenda for other international
organizations, such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Trade
Organization (WTO). G-7 countries' policies and positions can shape the direction of
global economic rules and regulations.
4) Foreign policy: Although the primary focus of the G-7 is economics, it also addresses
broader geopolitical issues. Member countries often discuss and coordinate their
positions on international security, climate change, and other global challenges,
exerting influence beyond economic matters.
Group of Twenty (G20)
The Group of 20 (G20) is an intergovernmental forum comprising 19 countries and
the European Union (EU). In other word, it can be refereed as the premier forum for
international economic cooperation. It was formed in 1999. It is important to note that the G20
members do not necessarily reflect the 20 largest economies of the world in any given year.
There is no formal criteria for G20 membership. In view of the objectives of the G20, it was
considered important that countries and regions of systematic significance of the international
financial system be included. Aspects such as geographical balance and population
representation also played a major part. Bangladesh is included in guests list.
It works to address major issues related to the global economy, such as international financial
stability, climate change mitigation, and sustainable development. Since its formation, the
group has been studying, reviewing and promoting high-level discussions of policy issues
concerning the promotion of international financial stability.
One of the member countries holds presidency for one year. India holds the presidency of the
G20 from 1st December, 2022 to 30th November, 2023. The G20 summit is held annually under
the presidency.
The group has replaced the G8 group as the main economic council of wealthy nations. Since
the G20 has overshadowed the G7, it has become a major forum for global decision making,
central to designing a pathway out of the worst global financial crisis in almost a century. In
order for the G20 countries to continue to build on their collective success in the management
of the global financial crisis, it is imperative for them to place more emphasis on global trade
and financial reform.
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The G20 is composed of most of the world's largest economies finance ministries, including
both industrialized and developing nations; it accounts for around 80% of gross world
product (GWP), 75% of international trade, two-thirds of the global population, and 60% of
the world's land area. Most of the economic growth within the G20 is coming from the BRICS
(and other emerging and so called “frontier” markets) rather than from the advanced
economies.
Besides, some of the G20 influences on global economic system are discussed below:
1) Broader representation: The G-20 includes both developed and emerging economies,
providing a more diverse and inclusive platform for economic discussions. This broader
representation recognizes the increasing significance of emerging economies in the
global economy and ensures their perspectives are taken into account in decision-
making processes.
2) Global economic governance: The G-20 has become the premier forum for global
economic governance. Its meetings bring together leaders from major economies,
allowing for comprehensive discussions on key economic issues, policy coordination,
and cooperative decision-making.
3) Financial regulation and stability: The G-20 has played a vital role in strengthening
financial regulations and promoting financial stability. It has led efforts to reform the
international financial system, including addressing issues such as capital standards,
banking regulations, and the functioning of global financial institutions.
4) Trade and protectionism: The G-20 addresses trade-related issues and has advocated
for open and fair trade. It has made commitments to resist protectionism and support a
rules-based multilateral trading system, although consensus on specific trade policies
can be challenging to achieve.
5) Development and global challenges: The G-20 has increasingly focused on
development issues and addressing global challenges such as poverty, inequality,
climate change, and sustainable development. It recognizes the interlinkages between
economic, social, and environmental factors in achieving sustainable and inclusive
growth.
Emerging Groups
1. BRICS
BRICS - Brazil, Russia, India and China and South Africa, is a group of five emerging
economies. It was formed in 2001 with four member countries excluding South Africa (joined
in 2010). Since its formation, it is clear the BRICS have been seeking to form a political club.
They are also members of G20.
Most of the economic growth within the G20 is coming from the BRICS (and other emerging
and so called “frontier” markets) rather than from the advanced economies. Government of
each member countries meet annually. They compete with G7 advanced economies. The
combined BRICS hold less than 15% of voting rights in both the World Bank and the
International Monetary Fund.
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Brazil is considered as one of the third largest coffee producer. Russia is valued for third largest
oil producer which supply approximately 11% of world’s total oil demand. South Africa is
doing well in capital intensive primary and manufacturing products.
Research suggests that if everything goes right, the BRICS economies could become a much
larger force in the world economy by 2050. Research also forecasted that they could account
for over half the size of G7 by 2025 if everything goes right. As of 2021, the GDP of BRICS
stood at 23.5 trillion which is 69.26% of 33.93 trillion of G7. It has already more than half in
two years ago. In term of population, BRICS stood at 3.0 billion whereas G7 stood at 987
million.
According to Asian Development Bank, Asian economies such as China and India are expected
to play an important role in global economic governance, as the rise of emerging market
economies are heralding a new world older.
According to IMF, as of 2019, China is the 2nd largest economy and India is the 5th largest
economy respecting in nominal basis. India has just recently (April, 2023) overcome China in
term of population with 1.426 billion. Both India and China have 2.9 billion population
collectively which is more than one-third of world’s population. The population size (India and
China) was 1.4 billion in 1970. Besides, both countries together share 19.46% of global wealth
in nominal term and 27.18% in purchasing power parity (PPP) term. In addition, China’s
contribution to global growth in 2022 was 34.9% and India’s was 15.4%. Both of them
contributed 50.3% of global growth in 2022. These two countries will dominate the top 10
advanced economies by 2050.
2. ASEAN
Book page: 48
3. CIVETS
Book page: 29
4. MENA
The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) is a diverse region, affected by economic and
political transformations, but with a potential for more and better growth. The majority of
MENA countries are Arab countries. The Middle East and North Africa are incredibly diverse,
consisting of indigenous populations, ethnic groups, and religious groups. Just a few of the
ethnic groups within the MENA region are Arabs, Kurds, Persians, Turks, Assyrians,
Circassians, and the Yazidis. This region includes approximately 21 countries, according to
The World Bank. MENA, is an important energy resource-rich region of the world. Centrally
located between the West and Asia, MENA countries are home to much of the world's oil and
natural gas reserves. As emerging markets, investors look to these countries as growth
opportunities; however, the risk of regional conflict remains high. Due to the strategic
importance of their oil reserves, countries in the MENA region have been affected by major
local conflicts as well as interference by foreign powers.
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South both politically and economically. Countries in the Global South, by comparison, are
those whose economies are still developing. They tend to be located in Africa, South America,
and Southern Asia—though, perhaps ironically, more Global South countries are located in the
Northern Hemisphere than in the Southern Hemisphere. Global South countries also display
faster population growth than those of the Global North.
Despite very significant development gains globally which have raised many millions of people
out of absolute poverty, there is substantial evidence that inequality between the world’s richest
and poorest countries is widening. In 1820 western Europe's per capita income was three times
bigger than Africa’s but by 2000 it was thirteen times as big. In addition, in 2013, Oxfam
reported that the richest 85 people in the world owned the same amount of wealth as the poorest
half of the world’s population (The Globsl North/South Divide, 2020).
Issues of North-South divide includes- distribution of income, economic competition, standard
of living. Lack of trade, single crop farming, abundance of debt, colonialism results in lower
standard of living in the southern part. There are many causes for these inequalities including
the availability of natural resources; different levels of health and education; the nature of a
country’s economy and its industrial sectors; international trading policies and access to
markets; how countries are governed and international relationships between countries; conflict
within and between countries; and a country’s vulnerability to natural hazards and climate
change.
Articles
The Conditions for Growth
Study from: Article – 01 (Page: 13)
Six Secrets of Success
Study from: Article – 02 (Page: 01)
The Four-tiered Structure of Markets
Study from: Article – 03 (Page: 04)
Three Strategies
Study from: Article – 03 (Page: 05)