Northern Corridor Volume 2 JIca
Northern Corridor Volume 2 JIca
Final Report
Annex - Data Book -
Volume 2
March 2017
Final Report
Annex - Data Book -
Volume 2
March 2017
Table of Contents
i
Data 5:
Strategic
Environmental
Assessment
(Kenya)
Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) for
the Formulation of a Master Plan on Logistics in
the Northern Economic Corridor, Kenya
February 2017
www.erm.com
% Percent
µg Microgram
⁰C Degrees Celsius
COx Carbonaceous Oxides
CO2 Carbon Dioxide
dB Decibel
G Gram
H2S Hydrogen Sulphide
Ha Hectare
KES Kenya Shillings
kg Kilograms
km Kilometres
km2 Square kilometres
Kshs Kenya Shillings
l Litre
M Million
m Metre
m2 Square meters
Ma Million Years Ago
Mw Moment Magnitude
N Nitrogen
Ni Nickel
NOX Nitrogenous Oxides
O2 Oxygen
Pb Lead
PMX Particulate Matter
S Sulphur
SOX Sulphurous Oxides
USD United States Dollars
Zn Zinc
NON-TECHNICAL SUMMARY
There are some obstacles presently in the NEC that have led to an
increase in transport costs and significant time delays within the NEC
inadequate infrastructure;
poor connectivity of modes;
long delays of cargo at the port and border posts; and
lack of goods to transport for the return trip from the inland area to
Mombasa port.
The development vision for the NEC is: ‘to be the leading economic
corridor with integrated transport and logistics systems in Africa’. The
Development Vision has four key words/phrases which make the NEC
distinct from other corridors, and these are:
The target area of the Master Plan study covers the following routes
and surrounding areas (1):
Main route
o Mombasa – Nairobi – Tororo –Kampala – Katuna – Kigali
(Rwanda)
Sub-routes
o Eldoret – Nadapal – Juba (South Sudan)
o Tororo – Gulu – Elegu – Juba
o Kampala – Gulu – Elegu – Juba
o Mbarara – Mpondwe – Kisangani (DRC)
(1) It is important to note that an SEA is also being carried out in Uganda, under consultation with NEMA Uganda
8 Urban Dev’t Project for Support of Re-organizing Logistics Facilities around Mombasa Port Area
25 Urban Dev’t Great Kampala (including Jinja) Logistic Based Urban Development Project
26 Urban Dev’t Study on master Plan for Urban Transport Development for Regional cities
SEA Consultants
ERM East Africa Ltd. was appointed by JST to undertake the SEA for
the Master Plan. ERM (and specialists appointed by ERM during the
course of this SEA) have no financial ties to, nor are they a subsidiary,
legally or financially, of JST.
Screening
A PPP Brief was submitted to NEMA in June 2015 by the JST on behalf
of MoTI. The screening results were thereafter communicated to the
Ministry, i.e., the decision by NEMA that an SEA was necessary, and
Scoping
The scoping stage establishes the focus and content of the SEA and the
relevant criteria for assessment. The scoping study identified the
potentially significant environmental and social impacts relating to the
PPP that needed to be addressed as part of the SEA Study. The scoping
study was carried out by ERM between October 2015 and February
2016. The Scoping Report was submitted to NEMA on the 02nd March
2016 and the Report was approved by NEMA on 06th April 2016.
Reference number NEMA/SEA/5/2/043.
Due to the extensive coverage of the Master Plan, the level of baseline
data was collected at County and City levels from secondary data,
mainly the most recent County Integrated Development Plans (CIDPs),
Strategic Plans and the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics. Baseline
data was collected as per the National Guidelines for SEA in Kenya
(NEMA, 2012), as indicated in Box 0.1.
Document Review
Stakeholder Engagement
Stakeholder Meetings
Various stakeholder meetings were then held as shown in Table 0.2 and
Table 0.3 below. It is important to note that since the coverage area of
the Master Plan is so extensive:
Website
SEA Validation
The Draft SEA Report was then made available for inspection at the
Ministry of Environmental and Natural Resources and NEMA offices.
The Report was also made available for download at the NEMA and
MoTI websites.
Pollution Developing complementary waste management facilities including a sanitary landfill and a
hazardous waste disposal facility,
Recommended Alternative
JST has proposed 119 projects for the development of the NEC in both
Kenya and Uganda the following sectors:
road
railway
border posts
port, airport, and inland way
logistic hub
oil and mining
agriculture and fishery
manufacturing
power
water
For each project the ESIA should be carried out in line with Kenyan
regulations as well as international best practice as defined by the
World Bank or International Finance Corporation (IFC).
The ESIA reports should also consider environmental impacts and also
include the following socio-economic impacts, where possible:
cultural heritage,
loss of livelihoods,
health, and
rural – urban migration
NON-TECHNICAL SUMMARY I
1 INTRODUCTION 1-1
1.1 OVERVIEW
The JICA Study Team (JST) on behalf of the Ministry of Transport and
Infrastructure (MoTI) appointed Environmental Resources Management
East Africa Limited (ERM) as independent environmental and social
consultants to undertake a Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA)
for the Master Plan on Logistics in the Northern Economic Corridor
hereafter referred to as “the Master Plan”.
This SEA is applicable for the entire Master Plan which covers both
Kenya and Uganda, and as such, this SEA will be provided in two
distinct parts; one document applicable for Kenya and one for Uganda.
Both SEA documents will have many commonalities, but each will
describe specifics separately for both Kenya and Uganda, and will be
submitted separately to the applicable authorities in both countries.
1-1
Cooperation Agency (JICA) dispatched a ‘Detail Design Formulation
Team for the Project’ in October and November 2014. The Team
proposed to develop a concept that would cover not only logistics, but
also regional development along the NEC. The Governments of Kenya
and Uganda agreed with the concept and signed the Record of
Discussion with JICA for the implementation of the Project for
Formulation of the Master Plan on Logistics in the Northern Economic
Corridor (the Master Plan).
The Plan Policy Program (PPP) Owner for the NEC in Kenya is the
Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure (MoTI). A key task of this
Ministry is to position Kenya as the logistics hub of the region by
creating a modern and efficient transport system for goods and services
within the Counties and also with other countries in the region (1) . The
Ministry has two Departments, namely the State Department of
Transport and the State Department of Infrastructure. This Master Plan
falls under the latter.
1-2
Determine whether significant environmental and social impacts are
likely to arise from implementing the Master Plan;
Develop a Stakeholder Engagement Plan (SEP) and provide a record
of comments and responses received from Stakeholders;
Communicate the results of the SEA scoping process; and
Facilitate an informed, transparent and accountable decision-
making process by the relevant authorities.
ERM submitted the SEA Scoping Report to NEMA on the 02nd March
2016 and the Report was thereafter approved by NEMA on 06th April
2016, Reference number NEMA/SEA/5/2/043, (see Annex A for the
correspondence with NEMA). The outcomes of this Scoping Report,
agreed to by NEMA, have been used in this SEA study.
1-3
Figure 1.1 Parallel SEA Process
1-4
Water;
Economist (Socio Economic Analysis);
Environmentalist (Social and Environmental Considerations); and
Coordinator/Human Resource Development.
ERM East Africa Ltd. was appointed by JST to undertake the SEA for
the Master Plan. ERM (and specialists appointed by ERM during the
course of this SEA) have no financial ties to, nor are they a subsidiary,
legally or financially, of the JST.
1-5
Table 1.1 ERM SEA Team
1-6
1.9 REPORT STRUCTURE
Section Contents
Executive Summary Non-technical summary
Chapter 1 Contains a brief overview of the
Introduction Northern Economic Corridor, SEA,
purpose of the report, PPP owner,
Master Plan consultant, SEA
consultant and an outline of the report
structure.
Chapter 2 Includes a description of the proposed
Description of the NEC Master Plan
Chapter 3 Outlines the legislative and policy
Legal and Institutional Framework requirements applicable to the PPP
Chapter 4 Outlines the approach to the SEA and
Methodology and Approach summarises the process undertaken to
date.
Chapter 5 Describes the receiving environmental
Environmental Baseline baseline environment.
Chapter 6 Describes the receiving socio-
Socio-Economic Baseline economic baseline environment.
Chapter 7 Describes the alternatives that have
Alternatives been considered and the reasons for
the selection of the preferred
alternative
Chapter 8 Describes the approach to and
Stakeholder Engagement outcomes of the stakeholder
engagement process
Chapter 9 Describes and assesses the potential
Key Environmental Impacts physical and biological impacts
Chapter 10 Describes and assesses the potential
Key Socio-Economic Impacts social, cultural, economic and human
health impacts
Chapter 11 Specifies the mitigation and
Mitigation and Management management measures to be
undertaken
Chapter 12 Summarises the key findings of the
Conclusion and Recommendations SEA and provides recommendations
for the mitigation of potential impacts
and the management of the proposed
plan.
1-7
Annex A: Communication with NEMA
Annex B: ERM NEMA Certificate of Registration and Practicing Licence
(2017)
Annex C: NEC Proposed Project List
Annex D: Environmental Baseline Constraints
Annex E: Stakeholder Engagement Plan (SEP)
Annex F: List of Historical Sites and Monuments along the NEC
1-8
2 DESCRIPTION OF THE NEC
Mombasa Port is the only international seaport on the NEC, and while
the Port has implemented projects with capacity expansion and
efficiency improvement, these developments have not matched the 10%
average annual growth rate in demand for import cargo registered in
the past five years (JST, 2016). As the container terminal construction
and cargo handling improvement cannot catch up with the rapid
increase in cargo demand, this translates to longer time at the Port.
2-1
daytime. In addition, custom clearance procedures are still inefficient
due to a lack of human capacity, electricity, internet communication,
inadequate parking lots, and access roads, amongst others
The target area of the Master Plan study covers the following routes
and surrounding areas (see Figure 2.1 below):
Main route
o Mombasa – Nairobi – Tororo –Kampala – Katuna – Kigali
(Rwanda)
Sub-routes
o Eldoret – Nadapal – Juba (South Sudan)
o Tororo – Gulu – Elegu – Juba
o Kampala – Gulu – Elegu – Juba
o Mbarara – Mpondwe – Kisangani (DRC)
2-2
Figure 2.1 Routes of the Northern Economic Corridor
Coal, crude oil, natural gas, soda ash, niobium and rare earth
elements will be growth drivers for the mining and energy sectors in
the NEC region in Kenya.
Petroleum and crude oil will be growth drivers in the NEC region
for Uganda.
Kenya Vision 2030 has identified tourism as one of the six priority
sectors. However, limited resources, poor infrastructure and
facilities i n a n d around the national parks, a n d security
co ncer ns have been cited as barriers for the sector’s development.
The development of cities as tourism hubs will generate additional
flow of goods and passengers along the NEC, and the Corridor will
also serve as a key infrastructure to tourist sites.
2.7.1 Overview
The current transport and logistics situation for the NEC is that the
movement of cargo is heavily influenced by road traffic congestion,
the operation of the Mombasa Port, and cross border operations.
Major bottlenecks for road traffic are witnessed in the city centers
of Mombasa, Nairobi, Nakuru, Eldoret, Kisumu and their
surrounding areas, as well as around the borders of Malaba (in
Kenya) and Busia (in Uganda), Mombasa Port and at railway
stations.
Currently very long queues of trucks and trailers of more than 2km
can be seen in both Mombasa urban areas and at Malaba’s border
area during the day.
In Uganda, bottleneck points for road traffic can be seen in the city
centers of Kampala, Entebbe and Jinja. Passenger car demand is
greater than cargo truck demand. Therefore, such bottlenecks
should be dealt w i t h through an urban transport management
plan, rather than through cargo traffic management.
2.7.2.3 Railways
2.7.2.4 Port
The roads within the Mombasa urban area are also heavily
congested, resulting in cargo traffic rendered immobile during the
day-time. The most fundamental problem is an inadequate road
network and the capacity of the trunk road, with an urgent need to
construct the Southern by-pass. Moreover, relocation of Container
Freight Station (CFSs) services outside the port should be considered
in the short term in order to avoid a concentration of cargo traffic on
the Mombasa Port road.
2.7.2.5 Waterways
Currently only one ferry is in operation and very few boats come
to Port Bell (in Uganda) from Kisumu port (in Kenya). Cargo
throughput at Port Bell in Uganda has rapidly declined since 2005,
2.7.2.6 Pipelines
From the forecast results, it is predicted that the SGR and MGR
railway share will become at least 50% between the Mombasa port
and those zones with main railway stations.
The development vision for the NEC is: ‘to be the leading economic
corridor with integrated transport and logistics systems in Africa’. The
Development Vision has four key words/phrases which make the
NEC distinct from other corridors, and these are:
Major cities and economic activities have been developed along the
NEC, and it is essential to link potential agricultural productive
areas and mineral resources through feeder roads. In this regard,
the JST proposes, as a spatial structure of the NEC, the
development of multi-centers with regional development
(distributing urban functions with a regional industries system),
considering t he distribution of growth drivers. The spatial
structure plan has the following characteristics:
2.9.3.3 Kenya
Marketing hubs While frontier markets such as DRC and South Sudan are
for DRC and with potential, the conditions of infrastructure and
South Sudan business environment should be improved through the
project to extensively explore the market with actual
physical presence in such countries.
2.9.3.7 Uganda
Refinery and Oil Refinery Project consists of refining facilities and oil
Product Tailing product shipping pipeline from the refinery to an oil
Pipeline product terminal near Kampala. Project entity will be
Construction founded through a PPP scheme.
Based on the Origin and Destination survey, together with the traffic
survey for cross border traffic on the roads, bottlenecks caused by
2.10.4.1 Roads
The main route of the NEC from Mombasa, Nairobi, Kampala, Kigali
and Bujumbura should have at least a dual carriageway. This is due
to the fact that most sections of this route will require four lane
capacity, at least up to 2030. A double carriageway with a median
strip is much safer than a single carriageway without a median strip.
2.10.4.2 Railways
Short term:
Determine an operating format for the Mombasa-Nairobi SGR:
Medium term:
Implement SGR to Gulu, Pakwach and Nimule.
Implement ICDs and railway yards and obtain operators.
Develop a plan for meter gauge and standard gauge side-by-side
operations.
Use policies and regulations to support the shift of cargo from
road to rail.
2.10.4.3 Port
2.10.4.4 Airport
2.10.4.5 Waterways
Malaba border is the main border crossing for several countries and
therefore its congestion is a serious bottleneck for the whole of the
EAC region. In order to reduce the risks of congestion, the
following two interventions should be considered:
2.11.1.1 Kenya
2.11.1.2 Uganda
The majority of the budget will be allocated to the road sector. In the
2015/2015 financial year, the Uganda National Road Authority
(UNRA) is expected to receive the largest share of the sector’s
budget (around 70%), followed by the Uganda Road Fund (Ush
428.1 billion) and the Kampala Capital City Authority (Ush 170
billion) in 2015/16. Of significance, a transport policy of shifting
away from truck to railway and inland waterways was not
elaborated in the NDP.
2.11.3 Expanding the revenue sources of the governments for cost recovery
Out of all the suggested 119 projects for the development of the
8 Urban Dev’t Project for Support of Re-organizing Logistics Facilities around Mombasa Port Area
25 Urban Dev’t Great Kampala (including Jinja) Logistic Based Urban Development Project
26 Urban Dev’t Study on master Plan for Urban Transport Development for Regional cities
Table 3.1 below lists the PPPs that are relevant to the Master Plan.
(1) This is as analysed in the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics. 2012. Economic Survey 2011. Nairobi: Government of Kenya.
Table 3.2 discusses the East Africa Regional Legislation that is relevant to the
Master Plan.
Table 3.3 discusses the National Legislation that is relevant to the Master Plan
in Kenya.
Table 3.4 discusses the National Legislation relevant to the Master Plan
Trade and Markets East Africa Trade and Markets East Africa (Trade
Mark East Africa – TMEA) is an East African not-for profit Company
Limited by Guarantee established in 2010 to support the growth of
trade - both regional and international - in East Africa. Trade Mark East
Africa (TMEA) is focused on ensuring gains from trade result in
tangible gains for East Africans. The Masterplan will address
bottlenecks in the transport sector thereby reducing the cost of
transport thus improving the gains for East Africans in a way of
reduced prices of goods.
The OECD guidelines will supplement the JICA and National SEA
Guidelines.
Policy Environmental and Social Opportunities for the Master Potential areas of Conflict
Considerations within the Plan
Policy
Vision 2030 Building a just and cohesive
Social, economic and political None
society with social equity in a
pillars in vision 2030 will be of
clean and secure environment
great importance when it
comes to implementation of
the Master Plan
Regional Development Policy To reform in the legal Prevents conflicts with None
environment in order to create development in the various
a more cohesive framework for regions and counties
regional development
Development and Management of the roads sub- Various policies for the roads None
Management of the Roads Sub- sector for sustainable economic sub-sector will be availed
Sector for Sustainable growth
Economic Growth, Sessional
Paper No 5 of 2006
Gender Policy, 2011 To ensure the needs of each Gender concerns will be None
gender is addressed. considered by the Master Plan
Integrated National Transport To develop, operate and Different modes of transport None
Policy, 2009 maintain an efficient, cost will be integrated in the master
effective, safe, secure and plan
integrated transport system
Plan Environmental and Social Considerations within the Opportunities for the Master Potential areas of
Policy Plan Conflict
Sectoral Plans
Updated Least The LCPDP establishes a path of increasing Kenya’s The NEC Master Plan (MP) The NEC MP projects
Cost Power energy outputs through a variety of sources based on can provide the demand to have the potential of
Development natural resources. It provides a forecast of energy justify investments proposed having bias preference
Plan 2011-2013 demand taking into consideration social and economic by the LCPDP. on energy sources
(2013) (LCPDP) parameters of the country including the Vision 2030 based on economics.
flagship projects. Also, power infrastructure This can potentially
projects can be undertaken in increase demand
line with the LCPDP. against the
propositions of the
LCPDP.
Kenya The KDMP includes a detailed assessment of KPLC’s The NEC MP can undertake Mandate and project
Distribution distribution network over 2012-2030 period and its power distribution project alignment/priority
Master Plan proposes a master plan for power distribution projects. in line with or under the conflicts can occur in
2012-2030 It includes an environmental and social scoping framework of the KDMP and the event that the
(2013) (KDMP) assessment of these projects wherein it predicts thus be synergistic. NEC MP projects are
potential impacts and proposes mitigation measures. not undertaken
Mitigation measures for the outside of the
NEC MP’s potential negative considerations of the
impacts can similarly borrow KDMP. The KDMP’s
or update those proposed by propositions are also
KDMP. based on the LCPDP’s
forecasts of energy
demand.
Kenya Green The Kenya GESIP proposes a development path The NEC MP has the potential Without adequate
Economy towards Vision 2030 that promotes resource efficiency of implementing its projects implementation of
Strategy and and sustainable management of natural resources, through methods congruent to mitigation measures
Implementation social inclusion, resilience, and sustainable the propositions of GESIP via the potential negative
Plan (2015) infrastructure development. It promotes investments in its mitigation measures. This impacts of the NEC
(GESIP) renewable energy, promotion of resource-efficient and would promote the MP can undermine
cleaner production, enhanced resilience to economic achievement of the goals in the achievement of the
and climatic shocks, pollution control and waste GESIP’s five strategic areas. green economy.
management, environmental planning and governance,
and restoration of forest ecosystems.
Transboundary
catchments can
present more complex
mandate and priority
challenges due to
different regulatory
regimes across
borders.
National This plan has been developed with a purpose of The NEC MP’s benefits of The potential negative
Nutrition providing a framework for coordinated implementation improving access to services impacts of the NEC
Action Plan of nutrition interventions activities by its stakeholders. will promote the achievement MP can compromise
2012-2017 The plan is focussed on High Impact Nutrition of the NNAP since there will the achievement of the
(2013) Interventions which were aimed at supporting the be better access to markets for NNAP’s strategic
achievement of MDGs 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6. produce. objectives.
Sustainable The STMP’s main aim is to provide IGAD member The NEC MP has direct Potential for conflict
Tourism Master states with a regional framework for sustainable benefits to the STMP and on priorities between
Plan (STMP) for tourism development with a view to contributing to tourism sector as a growth conservation and
the Inter- socio-economic development and poverty alleviation as driver in Kenya. The NEC MP sustainable use with
Governmental well as promoting regional integration. Amongst its can increase Kenya’s global respect to natural and
Authority on underlying principles include ensuring that tourism competitiveness in the cultural resources
Development development is sustainable, providing equity for both industry. Infrastructure which are tourist
(IGAD) Region inter-generational, whereby the current exploitation of development is amongst the attractions. The NEC
2013-2023 tourism resources should not compromise the ability of strategic areas of intervention MP’s potential
(2013) future generations, and intra-generations, taking into identified by the STMP. adverse impacts (land
account issues relating to enhancing social justice and use and landscape
poverty alleviation. changes) can threaten
these resources.
Capital Markets The CMMP seeks to develop Kenya’s capital markets to Capital markets can provide a The CMMP has a
Master Plan become deep and dynamic to stimulate domestic source of funding for the NEC preference on the
2014-2023 development (mainly projects under Vision 2030), while MP’s infrastructure projects. Vision 2030 projects
(CMMP) simultaneously providing a gateway to Middle Africa The CMMP also promotes since it has been
for regional and international capital flows. It funding for service devolution developed as a
anticipates that Kenya will be transformed into the as proposed by the NEC MP. flagship project of the
choice market for domestic, regional and international policy.
issuers and investors looking to invest in and realize
their investments in Kenya, within East Africa and
across Middle Africa. In this respect, any such
investments will be guided by international best
practices that require such investments adhere to
environmental standards, regulations and guidelines.
Kenya The IWRM and WE Plan’s long-term objective is to The NEC MP’s water sector There is potential for
Integrated achieve optimum, long-term, environmentally projects can contribute to the mandate conflicts in
Water sustainable social and economic benefit from the achievement of the objective the water sector due
Resources nation’s water resources for society from their use. In of the IWRM and WE Plan by conflicting mandates
Management the short-term is aims to accelerate action towards adopting its guiding in the sector.
and Water addressing key water principles. Similarly, there is
Efficiency Plan resources-related challenges in national development in potential for project
(2009) (IWRM a more effective and comprehensive manner especially priority conflicts.
and WE Plan) in environmental flows, social development, tourism,
agriculture, industry, health and energy among others. The potential negative
impacts on
hydrological regimes
can undermine the
objectives of the
IWRM and WE Plan.
Comprehensive This MP aims to ensure that Mombasa contributes to Synergies are possible Mandate conflicts are
Development economic and social development along the NEC, with through integration and also possible between
Master Plan for a target year of 2040. The MP seeks to strengthen the consolidation of the national and regional
Mombasa Gate urban function of Mombasa as the gate city of the NEC. interventions of the two implementation
City (2016) A SEA has been prepared alongside the MP for the master plans. authorities.
management of the environmental and social risks of its
interventions. Decentralization of
economic activities as
proposed by the NEC
MP can lower gross
incentives for
investing in the Gate
City MP’s proposed
interventions.
Master Plan for The MP proposes to develop a Leather Industrial Park Improved efficiency on the Negative impacts of
the for value additional and transformative research and transport network will the NEC MP can
Development innovation to exploit the economic potential of the promote the achievement of undermine the
of the Leather leather sector in Kenya. The facility is intended to be the LIP MP. Also, the LIP can objectives of the LIP
Industrial Park developed at Kananie in Machakos County. A SEA has be amongst the growth MP.
in Machakos been prepared for this MP and it details how drivers and industries that the
County (LIP environmental and social risks will be managed. NEC MP intends to promote.
MP)
Updated This Master Plan establishes a development program The NEC MP’s port sector There is potential for
Mombasa Port for the Port of Mombasa up to the year 2030. interventions can be priority conflicts on
Master Plan consolidated or integrated interventions between
2005-2030 with those of the Port MP for the two Master Plans
(2009) synergy. at the port.
Programme Environmental and Social Opportunities for the Master Potential areas of Conflict
Considerations within the Plan
Policy
The Land Cover and Land Use Vision 2030 flagship Detailed information on land None
Mapping Initiative progamme that will map land use and land cover in the NEC
cover and use in the country will be availed.
The Water Catchment Vision 2030 flagship Water catchments within NEC None
Management Initiative progamme that will manage such as the Athi and Tana,
water catchments in the South and Northern Lake
country Victoria Basin, will be
managed
Securing the Wildlife Corridors Vision 2030 flagship Wildlife corridors and In areas traversed by the roads
and Migratory Routes progamme that will provide migratory routes such as in the and railway
Initiative and keep open wildlife Tsavo West, Tsavo West,
corridors in the country Chyulu, Nairobi National
Park, Longonot, Hell’s Gate,
Lake Nakuru National Parks
will be secured and protected
The Solid Waste Management Vision 2030 flagship The system will indicate how None
System Initiative progamme that will develop solid waste especially in urban
solid waste management areas including those in the
system NEC will be collected and
disposed or used.
Rehabilitation and protection This project entails full Indigenous forests in the Mau None
of indigenous forests in the 5 rehabilitation of the 5 water Escarpment Abadares Ranges,
water towers towers in the country. Mt. Kenya, Cherengani Hills
and Mt. Elgon will be
rehabilitated and protected
Rehabilitation, Regeneration & The aim of the programme is Nairobi rivers will be None
Restoration of Nairobi Rivers to fully rehabilitate the rehabilitated, regenerated and
catchment basin of the Nairobi restored. Other rivers like
River in order to make it a Ngong will also be covered
recreation site. under this programme.
The target area of the Master Plan study covers the following routes
and surrounding areas (see below) (1):
Main route
o Mombasa – Nairobi – Tororo –Kampala – Katuna – Kigali
(Rwanda)
Sub-routes
o Eldoret – Nadapal – Juba (South Sudan)
o Tororo – Gulu – Elegu – Juba
o Kampala – Gulu – Elegu – Juba
o Mbarara – Mpondwe – Kisangani (DRC)
(1) It is important to note that an SEA is also being carried out in Uganda, under consultation with NEMA Uganda
4.3 SCOPING
The scoping stage establishes the focus and content of the SEA and the
relevant criteria for assessment. The scoping study identified the
potentially significant environmental and social impacts relating to the
PPP that needed to be addressed as part of the SEA Study. The scoping
study was carried out by ERM between October 2015 and February
2016.
The following methods of data collection were used during the Scoping
Study:
The Scoping Report was submitted to NEMA on the 02nd March 2016
and the Report was approved by NEMA on 06th April 2016 (Reference
number NEMA/SEA/5/2/043).
Due to the extensive coverage of the Master Plan, the level of baseline
data was collected at County and City levels from secondary data,
mainly the most recent County Integrated Development Plans (CIDPs),
Strategic Plans and the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics.
(1)It is important to note that since the coverage area of the Master Plan is so extensive, the places where the stakeholder
meetings were conducted was limited to major cities/towns along the Corridor. This was agreed in consultative meetings
between NEMA/JST/MoTI.
Baseline data was collected as per the National Guidelines for SEA in
Kenya (NEMA, 2012), as indicated in Box 4.1
The desk based study also included the development of Key Informant
Interview (KII) questionnaires/guided discussions, as well as the
approach to continued stakeholder engagement as outlined in the
Stakeholder Engagement Plan (SEP).
This stage was concerned with identifying the physical, legal and
institutional constraints, and the opportunities affecting the Area of
Interest (AoI).
Significance Effect
Severe Effects that the decision-maker must take into account as the
receptor/resource is irretrievably compromised
Major Effects that may become a key decision-making issue
Moderate Effects that are unlikely to become issues on whether the
project design should be selected, but where future work may
be needed to improve on current performances
Minor Effects that are locally significant
4.7 REPORTING
Several data gaps and uncertainties have been identified through the
preparation of the environmental baseline. These are the following:
Whilst this study was able to identify their location, there is limited
information available in literature on the ecology of PAs and CAs.
Furthermore, from the spatial data obtained, the spatial extent of many
of these areas is not discernible since they only appear as points.
This study was only able to identify groundwater potential but not
accurately map aquifers. It is recommended that further studies on
hydrogeology be done at the project level when the NEC MP is
implemented.
Land values along the NEC constantly fluctuate, therefore the SEA
study is based on the current land values.
The Kenyan Section of the NEC is the basis of this Baseline Study. Its
primary infrastructure component is the Main Arterial Road (MR)
(A109 and A104 highway) which links Mombasa and Malaba. A total of
29 counties are traversed by the corridor in the main route with an
additional 2 in the sub route as identified in Table 5.1. These counties
are together termed as the ‘NEC Counties’ in this Report.
Infrastructure Components
MR (Km) MGR (Km) SR
County NEC Area (Km2) (Km)
Mombasa 216.0 12.2 5.7
Kilifi 3,673.3 31.6 33.4
Kwale 5,001.8 52.5 40.4
Taita/Taveta 12,075.5 118.9 176.6
Kitui 4,896.6
Bomet 247.9
Makueni 7,925.2 147.8 221.3
Kajiado 10,667.9 40.9 47.7
Machakos 3,155.7 44.7 57.0
Nairobi 706.4 38.2 46.2
Kiambu 2,495.0 46.3 76.9
Murang'a 1,315.4 9.5
Nyeri 617.8
Nyandarua 2,911.4 3.4 58.8
Nakuru 7,362.6 147.5 246.4
Narok 2,047.8
Laikipia 107.6 3.0
Baringo 3,528.9 18.8 45.0
Kericho 1,566.9 2.3 43.2
Kisumu 344.9 35.9
Nandi 2,475.0
Vihiga 82.8
Uasin Gishu 3,407.0 91.5 112.6 35.0
Elgeyo Marakwet 2,835.8 23.7
Kakamega 2,937.8 34.6 40.2 15.2
Siaya 415.0
Trans-Nzoia 2,495.1 19.9 45.6
Bungoma 2,992.0 48.7 59.7
Busia 1,394.8 12.9 15.1
West Pokot 8,254.3 104.4
Turkana 35,159.0 415.2
Totals 133,313.2 892.8 1,418.2 615.4
5.1.2 Methodology
The methods used by this study are informed by GIIP guidelines such
as those of the International Finance Corporation (IFC), JICA and the
World Bank in addition to similar practices used in routing risk
assessment studies.
Constraint Description
Class
Low A Low Constraint is one which is worth considering but does
not require additional mitigation measures beyond those
normally employed for infrastructure projects under normal
conditions.
Moderate A Moderate Constraint is one which definitely requires
mitigation measures to prevent impacts even under normal
conditions. It may have pre-determined mitigation measures
from characteristic practices in the infrastructure sector but
without these measures, the cost (social, legal, environmental
and financial) will be significant. The key difference between it
and High Constraints is the magnitude of the impact for a
Moderate Constraint is lower and under normal conditions
acceptable with mitigation.
High A High Constraint is one which is sensitive or pristine in
nature and should otherwise be avoided through re-routing or
refinement. They are features which impacts would result in
legal, social, environmental and financial costs on the MP that
would undercut its benefits. They are features upon which the
acceptability of impacts is low to negligible whilst the
magnitude of impact is higher than Moderate Constraints.
The study area, the NEC, is Kenya’s main economic corridor that
stretches from Mombasa to Kenya’s western border in Busia County
and north-western border with South Sudan. The NEC Main Route and
Eldoret-Nadapal-Juba Sub-Route occupy an area of 136,998.56 km2,
within 31 counties, comprising of both terrestrial and marine regions.
The climate of this area is influenced by five main factors which are:
The Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), monsoons, latitude,
topography and inland lakes. The NEC experiences a bi-modal system
of rainfall wherein rainfall ranges from 42 mm to 302 mm during the
long rains and 26 mm to 220 mm during the short rains. Influenced by
the aforementioned five factors, the highlands in the NEC generally
experience a cooler climate as compared to low-lying areas. On the
other hand, air quality is generally poorer in densely populated areas
and within the neighbourhoods of industries.
The main land cover classes in the NEC’s terrestrial area in 2012 were
grassland, cropland/natural vegetation mosaic, woody savannas and
savannas which occupied 39.77%, 23.97%, 10.67% and 9.79% of the area
respectively. Deciduous and evergreen needleleaf forests occupied
0.0014% of the area whilst permanent wetlands, water, croplands,
evergreen broadleaf forests, and urban and built up areas occupied
0.23%, 4.08%, 3.59%, 3.4% and 0.36% of the area respectively.
Due to its extent, the NEC covers an area that supports numerous
species including several that are at risk globally according to IUCN’s
Red List. In both eco-regions, a total of 166 species, are identified to be
at risk, divided amongst the threatened assessment categories as
follows: 61 NT, 56 VU, 31 EN and 18 CR. The NEC is thus rich in
species diversity and it includes national and international designated
The climate of the coastal belt (Kilifi, Kwale and Mombasa Counties) is
influenced by the monsoons whereby:
1 McSweeney C. et al (n.d). UNDP Climate Change Country Profiles. Kenya. Retrieved February
15, 2016 from http://www.geog.ox.ac.uk/research/climate/projects/undp-
cp/UNDP_reports/Kenya/Kenya.lowres.report.pdf
2 UNEP, (1998). East Africa Atlas of Coastal Resources.
5.3.1.3 Latitude
5.3.1.4 Topography
Central Highlands and Rift Valley: This region receives high annual
rainfall in the mountains (up to 3,000 mm). This rain feeds the lakes
of the Rift Valley. Average daytime temperatures in Nairobi
(altitude 1,661 m) which is in this region, are between 21-26 °C. NEC
Counties in this region include: Uasin Gishu, Kericho, Baringo,
Nakuru, Nyandarua, Nairobi and the north-western regions of
Kajiado.
Western Kenya: This region is hot and wet throughout the year,
with annual rainfall over 1,000 mm and average daytime
temperatures in areas such as Kisumu ranging between 27-29 °C.
NEC Counties located here are Kakamega, Busia and Bungoma.
Northern and Eastern Kenya: Here the land is hot and arid, with
vast ‘lake’ beds/deserts of lava, sand, salt and soda. Average
annual rainfall is less than 510 mm and daytime temperatures are
mostly between 30 and 40 °C, soaring to 39 °C in some desert areas.
NEC Counties in this region include Central and South Eastern
regions of Kajiado, Machakos, Makueni and western regions of Taita
Taveta.
Figure 5.1 shows the ACZs zones found within the NEC.
5.3.1.6 Precipitation
1ILRI, (2007). Agro-Climatic Zones of Kenya. ESRI ArcGIS Shapefile. Adopted from Sombroek
at al. (1982).
5.3.1.7 Temperature
30
20
15
10
J F M A M J J A S O N D
15
9.1
10
6.1
5
2.1 2.1
0.1
0
Industrial Agriculture Forestry Energy Transport Electricity Waste
Process Demand
The NEC intersects several industries and industrial zones which are
potential point sources of air pollution. There is an average of 28
manufacturing industries per county amongst the NEC Counties. Those
counties with large urban areas such as Nairobi, Mombasa, Uasin Gishu
and Nakuru host majority of industries as shown in Figure 5.4. Other
point sources include fossil fuel generators and land use changes (land
conversion). Mobile sources include motor vehicles, trains and aero
planes.
1NEMA, (2014). Improving Ambient Air Quality in Urban Centers of Kenya. Presentation by Dr
Geoffrey Wahungu.
250
200
150
100
50
0
Busia
Kwale
Bomet
Siaya
Kitui
Machakos
Laikipia
Nyandarua
Vihiga
Baringo
Elgeyo Marakwet
Kisumu
Murang'a
Nairobi
Nyeri
Nakuru
Kericho
Trans-Nzoia
Mombasa
Nandi
Narok
Kajiado
Kakamega
Kiambu
Kilifi
Makueni
Bungoma
Taita Taveta
Uasin Gishu
Source: KNBS, (2013)1.
1 Wangari S. (2014). Assessment of Heavy Metals in Rooftop dust around Lake Nakuru Basin,
Kenya. Research Journal of Chemical Sciences. Vol. 4(11), 13-17, November (2014).
2 Galcano C and Kariuki L (2001). Mapping and Analysis of Air Pollution in Nairobi, Kenya.
1 Patrick K. et al (2011). Traffic Impacts on PM2.5 Air Quality in Nairobi, Kenya. Elsevier.
Environmental Science and Policy. 2011 June; 14(4): 369–378.
2 Donna A et al (2015). Air Quality and Health Impacts: A novel approach to an international
Towns in Kenya. A Case of Eldoret Municipality. Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and
Management Sciences (JETEMS) 5(3):351-363.
4 CPK (2000) Pollution from Panpaper factory, A research report by the Church of the Province
of Kenya.
5 Eunice O. et al (2014). Industrial Air Pollution in Rural Kenya: Community Awareness, Risk
Perception and Associations Between Risk Variables. BMC Public Health 2014, 14:377.
1 Zablon W. et al (2015). Ambient Air Quality Monitoring and Audit over Athi River Township,
Kenya. International Journal of Scientific Research in Environmental Sciences, 3(8), pp. 0291-
0301, 2015.
2 AfDB (2014). Mombasa–Mariakani Road Upgrading Project Environmental and Social Impact
Under this topic, this study identifies constraints to include areas that
are prone to hydrometeorological hazards. These are discussed in
Section 5.3.6
5.3.2 Topography
Volcanic activity and the Great Rift Valley system shaped Kenya’s
topography. The country’s highlands are located to the west of the Rift
Valley with their highest point being Mt Kenya’s summit at 5,199 m asl.
In the eastern region are the lowlands whose altitude decreases to sea
level at the coast1. The country has the following six distinct
physiographic regions which are traversed by the NEC:
1Cornelius J. (2015). Air Quality Assessment for Development Options at Olkaria Geothermal
Field in Kenya. Proceedings World Geothermal Congress 2015. Melbourne, Australia, 19-25
April 2015.
As the MR traverses the Rift Valley its altitude reduces steeply to 1,498
m at the floor of the graben. The altitude oscillates between 2,028 and
1,901 m asl over a distance of 92 km within the floor of the graben in
Nakuru and Nyandarua Counties. The MR the crosses the Mau
escarpment where it rises to highest altitude of 2,685 m at 703 km from
its starting point in Mombasa. The remaining 195 km of the MR
descends gradually to an eventual altitude of 1,153 m at the Kenya-
Uganda border as the route traverses from Nakuru through Kericho,
Uasin Gishu, Kakamega, Bungoma and eventually Busia. Figure 5.7
illustrates this East to West (E-W) elevation profile based on a Digital
Elevation Model (DEM) with a resolution of 30 m, while Figure 5.8
displays that of the Eldoret-Nadapal-Juba Sub-Route on a South to
North (S-N) profile.
Figure 5.7 MR E-W Elevation Profile along the Main Route of the NEC
2500
Altitude (m asl)
2000
1500
1000
500
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
Distance (km)
2000
1000
500
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
Distance (Km)
Figure 5.9 shows the elevation of the NEC through a DEM developed
with data from the SRTM satellite instrument.
1NASA Land Processes Distributed Active Archive Center (LP DAAC), (2016). SRTM.
USGS/Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center, Sioux Falls, South Dakota.
5.3.3.1 Geomorphology
In terms of percentage area, the NEC main route is covered with the
following rock classes: metamorphic rocks 25.8%, igneous rocks 34.6%,
sedimentary rocks 13.8% and unconsolidated rocks 25.4%. The
remaining 0.3% are water bodies. The remaining 0.3% are water bodies.
Figure 5.10 shows the spatial distribution of the rock groups in the NEC.
Intersection of the NEC with the Great Rift Valley is the major factor
behind the presence of faults in the NEC. These faults were caused due
to the formation of the grabens (including Kavirondo) on whose
escarpments they are predominantly located (see Box 5.3 for the
constraints).
5.3.3.2 Soils
With respect to soil textures, the NEC main route is overlain by clays,
loams and sandy soils mainly at the coast. Sandy soils create a
constructability challenge of water ingress and erosion requiring soil
management mitigation measures. On the other hand, clay soils expand
on infiltration of water and also require to be accommodated on
construction. 74.4% of the NEC is covered by clay soils, 5.4% by sandy
soils and 19.3% by loams. The remaining 0.9% is unclassified or water.
Figure 5.11 shows the distribution of these soils textures in the NEC.
Most of the NEC is located within the Kenya Dome which overlies the
Nubian (African) Plate covering an area of about 1,000 km wide. The
NEC traverses the Eastern Branch of the Rift Valley in the region where
the Somalia Plate is pulling away from the Nubian and Arabian plate.
This branch bisects the country north to south and splits further into
three rift arms. The main rift is formed by two of these arms whilst the
third (Kavirondo) is a subdued graben west of the dome in Nandi,
Kericho and Nakuru1. The eastern section of the plate forms a smaller
segment underlying the NEC in the South East (Mombasa, Taita Taveta,
Kwale and Kilifi Counties). This region lies in the Somalia plate.
5.3.3.4 Volcanism
Kenya’s volcanic activity is associated with the East African Rift System
(EARS) which covers an area extending up to 200 km on each of its
flanks concentrated around the Kenya Dome. Two volcanism regions
are distinguished in Kenya as follows: the northern half of the Kenya
Rift Valley which began at 30 Million years ago (Ma), and the southern
half which began at 15 Ma. Volcanic rock in the country range from
acidic to basic with the majority being alkaline (mildly alkaline, alkali
basalt-trachyte series to strongly alkaline) under saturated nephelinites
and phonolites2.
1Alex G. and James W., (n.d). East Africa's Great Rift Valley: A Complex Rift System.
2Kristján S., (2008). East African Rift System - An Overview. Presented at Short Course III on
Exploration for Geothermal Resources, organized by UNU-GTP and KenGen, at Lake Naivasha,
Kenya, October 24 - November 17, 2008.
Out of the eight volcanic peaks identified within the NEC, only Mt
Elgon and Chyulu Hills are not located along the Rift Valley. This
confirms the influence of the Rift on volcanism in the NEC. The location
of these peaks is shown in Figure 5.12 below.
1Volcanoes Live, (2008). Volcanoes of Kenya. Retrieved November 18, 2014 from
www.volcanoeslive.com.
1Robert L. et al, (1993). The distribution of earthquakes and volcanoes along the East African
Rift system.
The Great Rift Valley bisects Kenya on a N-S axis into two regions
thereby influencing the extent of the country’s drainage basins. The
NEC intersects all of the country’s five drainage basins which are
described herein:
Lake (L) Victoria Basin: Covers ~8% of Kenya land area but
provides up to 54% of the country’s freshwater. The main outflow
from the basin is through River (R) Nile to its north in Uganda. Its
inflows from the Kenyan catchment include Rivers Sio, Nzoia, Yala,
Nyando, Sondu Miriu, North Awach, South Awach and Gucha-
Migori. Other inflows outside of Kenya’s catchment is R Akagera
whose source is in Rwanda1.
Athi River and Coast Basin: Stretches over an area of about 67,000
km2 and comprises the southern part of Kenya east of the Rift
Tana River Basin: Measures about 127,000 km2 and drains into the
Indian Ocean from the eastern slopes of the Aberdares range, the
southern slopes of Mt Kenya and the Nyambene hills. This basin
also provides water for populated regions of the country in Central
Kenya and despite 80% of it being located within ASALs it is a
major source of hydropower1.
Figure 5.13 displays the extent of each of these basins. This study
identifies that the area of the NEC is comprised 16.0% Lake Victoria
Basin, 46.0% Rift Valley Basin, 34.1% Athi River and Coast Basin, 3.4%
Tana River Basin and 0.6% Ewaso Ng’iro Basin.
Surface % of
Surfac Water total
e Abstraction Total water
Annual Water water resource NEC
Area Rainfal (106 Groundwate (106 s NEC Area Major Lakes within the
Basin (Km2) l m3) 106 m3 % r (106 m3) m3) potential Counties (Km2) Rivers NEC
L 46, 229 1,368 11,672 254.3 2.2 116 11,78 54.1 Trans 21,287 Sio, Nzoia, Victoria
Victori 8 Nzoia, Yala,
a Bungoma, Nyando,
Busia, Sondu-
Kakamega, Miriu,
Siaya, North
Kisumu, Awach,
Vihiga, South
Kericho, Awach and
Bomet, Gucha-
Narok, Migori
Nakuru,
Nandi,
Uasin
Gishu and
Elgeyo
Marakwet
Rift 130,45 562 2,784 46.8 1.7 126 2,910 3.4 Elgeyo 61,245 Kerio, Nakuru,
Valley 2 Marakwet, Turkwell Elementaita,
Baringo, Naivasha,
West Ol Bolossat
Pokot,
Turkana,
Nakuru,
8
6
4
2
0
In each of the five drainage basins are Kenya’s water towers which are
mountains and highlands which provide lowlands with essential
freshwater for different demands. There are five main water towers in
Kenya namely: Aberdares, Cherangani Hills, Mau Complex, Mt Elgon
and Mt Kenya. Of these five water towers only Mt Kenya is not
intersected by the NEC. Jointly, these five water towers provide up to
75% of the country’s renewable water resources3. In addition to these
five water towers there are 24 other smaller water towers spread across
the country. Those which intersect the NEC as shown in Figure 5.15.
Table 5.5 identifies the water towers which intersected by the NEC, and
the drainage basins and counties in which they’re located.
5.3.4.2 Hydrogeology
Aquifers in Kenya are linked with the three major rock formations: the
basement metamorphic, intrusive igneous and the quaternary
sedimentary rocks. Volcanic and quaternary formations are particularly
rich in groundwater. However, groundwater potential in the country is
extremely variable, spatially and temporally, in terms of quality and
quantity and in the level of the water table and depth. Recharge rates
vary from as high as 30% of annual rainfall in areas of deep sandy soils,
coral limestone and unconsolidated rock where evapotranspiration
losses are low, to 5% in the ASALs where evapotranspiration losses are
high. Moreover, humid and semi-humid regions exhibit higher
recharge rates1.
The NEC crosses through regions with high and moderate likelihood of
groundwater in its central and western sections as deduced from Figure
5.16. The northern and eastern sections of the corridor interest regions
with less production potential which have fewer areas of moderate or
high likelihood of groundwater production.
1ILRI, (n.d). Workshop Paper presented at the ILRI Workshop: Groundwater Management:
Sharing Responsibility for an Open Access Resource.
2 Gulf Power Ltd., (2010). Geology and Hydrogeology Report.
3 Stephen F. and Albert T., (2005). The Role of Groundwater in the Water-Supply of Greater
Nairobi, Kenya.
4 WRMA, (2010). Nairobi Water Allocation Plan.
In 2009, 43% of the urban population and 23% of the rural population
accessed water mainly through groundwater underpinning its
importance in water supply4. Amongst the NEC Counties, an average
1 Appelgren B. (2004). Managing Shared Aquifer Resources in Africa. UNESCO. IHP-VI, Series
on Groundwater No. 8.
2 Malte G. (2008). The Kilimanjaro Aquifer A case study for the research project
1 500
1 250
1 000
750
500
250
-
Trans-Nzoia
Machakos
Kiambu
Narok
Bungoma
Kilifi
Mombasa
kisumu
Kwale
Makueni
Nyeri
Bomet
Murang'a
Nakuru
Kakamega
Baringo
Busia
Elgeyo Marakwet
Nairobi
Taita Taveta
Kajiado
Kitui
Nandi
Vihiga
laikipia
Siaya
Uasin Gishu
kericho
Rivers, lakes and other water bodies intersected by the NEC. These
features provide water for human and ecological needs in a water
scarce country. National regulations also protect these water bodies
from pollution or unsustainable consumption. Moreover, some of
them are designated as Ramsar Wetlands and or their linked
ecosystems are national PAs.
Water towers which are the source of the rivers mentioned above in
addition to being ecosystems that support a variety of species some
of which are at risk. They also provide other ecosystem goods and
services that are important to human wellbeing. These water towers
are protected by national regulations and some of them are also
national PAs.
The GCA in the NAS since the abstraction of water from within it
will contribute to the challenge of over-abstraction in the NAS. Any
water demands of NEC in the NAS will have to be supplied in
accordance to the management strategies implemented by
regulatory authorities such as WRMA.
5.3.5 Oceanography
5.3.5.1 Bathymetry
Kenya has a narrow continental shelf with depths dropping below 200
m within less than 4 km of the coastline in most regions. In front of the
mouths of rivers Tana and Sabaki, the shelf however widens
significantly exceeding 15 km off the northern end of Ungwana Bay.
Fringing reefs protect the shoreline by running along the coast with
gaps at the areas adjacent to the mouths of the main rivers. Slope of
gentle gradients of about 1:20 to the shelf edge generally characterize
the continental slope and dissected appearance occurs probably due to
previous fluvial action.
1 Hove A.R.T, (1980). Some Aspects of Current Sedimentation, Depositional Environments and
Submarine Geomorphology of Kenya’s Submerged Continental Margins. University of Nairobi,
IDS/OP 28, pp. 127–144.
2 Abuodha J.O.Z, (1989). Morphodynamics and sedimentology of the Malindi-Fundisa coastal
area associated with the heavy mineral deposition. Unpubl. M.Sc. thesis, Univ. Nairobi, 258p.
5.3.5.2 Tides
5.3.5.3 Currents
The EACC flows northward at least as far as Malindi all year round. It
continues beyond Malindi during the Southeast Monsoon, joining the
SC to continue north to the Horn of Africa. The northward extent of the
EACC is restricted during the Northeast Monsoon when it meets and
joins the southward flowing SC (which changes direction under the
influence of the monsoon). The currents converge between Malindi and
north of Lamu depending on the monsoon’s strength in any particular
year. The resultant stream turns eastwards flowing offshore as the ECC1
(Figure 5.19).
The SC reverses its flow under the monsoon’s influence and flows
south westerly at about 1.5 to 2.0 knots with the Northeast monsoon.
However, during the Southeast monsoon the flow reverts and increases
its velocity to around 2.0 to 2.5 knots. During this period, it appears as
the northward extension of the EACC, which still arises from the
onshore SEC (Figure 5.20). At this time of the year, the ECC is not very
distinct from the general Southwest monsoon drift at the lower
northern latitude of the Indian Ocean. The seaward flowing ECC
1NEMA, (2009). Kenya State of the Coast Report. Towards Integrated Management of Kenya’s
Coastal Marine Resources.
The net onshore current results in the sinking of surface waters along
most of the coast. During the Northeast monsoon, Kiunga is the
exception where some mild upwelling is considered to occur. Switching
of winds and currents is not exactly synchronous as some research has
shown. Closer to the shore off Malindi Bay (at depths of less than 40 m)
the current direction remains variable throughout the year, with a
dominant southerly flow tendency. Research has shown that monsoon
winds do not seem to influence the current direction at the shallow part
of the shelf where water movement is most likely a mixture of the
‘escaping waters’ out of Ungwana Bay, tidal current and the flow of R
Sabaki.
SST ⁰C
27
26
25
24
23
J F M A M J J A S O N D
In this section natural hazards which occur in Kenya and the NEC are
discussed. Hazard prone areas are also identified as constraints. The
International Disaster Database (EM-DAT) shows hydrometeorological
hazards to be the most common hazards in Kenya2. Prevailing poverty
levels predispose the country’s population to vulnerability. The Index
for Risk Management (INFORM) assesses Kenya’s humanitarian and
disaster risk profile to a value of 6.2, ranking the country 16 out of 191
1 World Sea Temperatures, (2016). Average Sea Surface Temperature Data. Retrieved February
27, 2016 from www.seatemperature.org
2 Guha-Sapir D., Below R. and Hoyois Ph., (2015). EM-DAT: The CRED/OFDA International
5.3.6.1 Earthquakes
In Kenya and the NEC, seismic activity is related to the fracture zones
and volcanic activity associated with the EARS. Resultantly majority of
the seismic activity in Kenya is observed along the rift, and the south
west and north-west borders2. The southern region of the Lamu basin
(sedimentary basin) is also considered to be a seismic active area. This
region intersects Mombasa, Kilifi and Kwale. In general, Kenya faces
low seismic risks or activity as compared to Northern Tanzania and the
Western Rift Valley regions along the border of Uganda and Tanzania,
and Burundi and Rwanda. Figure 5.22 displays the recorded
earthquakes of magnitude greater than 2.5 on the Richter Scale in
Kenya, and the country’s neighbourhood, in relation to the NEC in the
period between 1st January 1973 and 29th February 2016. It is observed
that most events occurred around Mt Ol Doiny and Meru in Tanzania
whereas in Kenya most events occurred along the Rift Valley.
1European Commission Joint Research Centre, (2016). Index for Risk Management (INFORM)
2016 Results. Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen.
2Sumedh R., (2013). Assessing Seismic Risk in Kenya.
1USGS, (2016). Earthquake Hazards Program. Data on Earthquakes with magnitude greater
than 2.5 that occurred between 1st January 1973 and 29th February 2016, in the area between
Longitudes 32.959 and 42.715 and Latitude -5.091 and 5.703.
5.3.6.2 Floods
Floods are amongst the most frequent natural hazards that occur in
Kenya. They typically occur in areas with flat terrain such as river
basins, lake basins and urban centres in the country. The country’s bi-
modal system of rainfall dictates that they mostly occur during the long
and short rains. Other phenomena such as El Nino, storms and heavy
rains have also caused flood events (including flash floods), and several
studies also point out that human manipulation of watersheds has also
contributed to their occurrence1,2. Flood prone areas in the country have
been identified to include:
Figure 5.23 shows the floodplains in relation to the NEC Counties. Apart
from urban flood prone areas in Nairobi, Nakuru and Mombasa, 22
alluvial floodplains are located in the NEC as shown in Figure 5.23.
They are located in Kwale, Taita Taveta, Kajiado, Kitui, Makueni, Busia,
Bungoma, Elgeyo Marakwet and Baringo.
1 UNDP, (n.d). Kenya Disaster Profile. United Nations Development Program. Enhanced
Security Unit.
2 The Earth Institute, (n.d). Kenya Disaster Profile.
5.3.6.3 Drought
Drought is common in Kenya due to the fact that 80% of the country’s
land mass is ASALs. In these areas annual rainfall ranges between 200
and 500 mm [1]. Moreover, these areas have the highest levels of poverty
creating vulnerable populations predisposed to drought disaster on
exposure. The impact of drought is experienced in the whole country in
all economic sectors since it causes:
1 Kandji T. (2006). Drought in Kenya: Climatic, Economic and Socio-Political Factors. New
Standpoints November-December 2006.
2 Mbogo E., Inganga F. and Maina J., (n.d). Drought conditions and management strategies in
Kenya.
Figure 5.23 identifies past drought events in the country between 1883
and 2011. A total of 26 events are identified in this time period.
5.3.6.4 Landslides
1 Republic of Kenya (2015). National Policy for the Sustainable Development of Northern Kenya
and other Arid Lands. The Presidency. Ministry of Devolution and Planning. July 2015 Draft.
2 NDMA, (2012). Kenya Post-Disaster Needs Assessment (PDNA) 2008-2011 Drought.
Mass wasting often occurs in areas which receive high rainfall (over
1,200 mm annual rainfall) and have steep (over 80⁰) or exposed slopes.
Such areas where landslides have occurred in the past have included,
Mombasa, Rift Valley, Nairobi, Central Kenya and Western. The former
Central Province is particularly susceptible since it has permeable soils
and receives high rainfall and has steep slopes (highlands). The NEC
Counties with a risk of landslides, based on past events between 1974
and 2009, are Kiambu, Murang’a, Nyandarua, Nairobi, Busia, Narok,
Bungoma, Taita Taveta, Nyeri and Nandi1,2.
1 Gichaba M., Kipseba K. and Masibo M., (2013). Overview of Landslide Occurrences in Kenya,
Causes, Mitigation, and Challenges Developments in Earth Surface Processes, Vol. 16. Elsevier.
2 Ministry of Special Programmes, (2009). National Policy for Disaster Management in Kenya.
In the NEC, and Kenya in general, tropical cyclones are rare and almost
unknown since the country intersects the equator. They are however
more common between November and April in the Mozambique
Channel, south of the NEC. They are associated with a fresh westerly
wind in southern Tanzania when they occur. Tropical cyclones
predominantly occur in the south Indian Ocean and pass farther south
of the NEC but may, however, at times affect winds along the Kenyan
coast.
5.3.6.6 El Niño
5.3.6.7 Tsunami
Kenya is amongst the western Indian Ocean states that were affected by
the Boxing Day Tsunami (December 26, 2004) albeit with low
1 World Meteorological Organization, (2006). Tropical Cyclones in the Western Indian Ocean.
2 Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources, (2015). El Niño. Retrieved March 01, 2016
from http://www.environment.go.ke/?p=1337
3Ngecu M. and Mathu E., (1999). The El Nino Triggered Landslides and Their Socioeconomic
It took nine hours for the Boxing Day Tsunami to impact the northern
part of the Kenyan coast. In contrast to the southern coast, the northern
coast registered higher tsunami heights. Higher magnitude damage
was observed in Lamu and Malindi towns compared to Kilifi and
Mombasa towns. A simulation of the Tsunami with Padang (Sumatra)
as the epicentre postulated wave heights as high as 1.5 m in areas such
as Ungwana Bay and Lamu, and 0.5 m around Mombasa’s coastline1
(Figure 5.24).
Loss of nutrients,
Loss of land fertility and productivity,
Increased sedimentation in water bodies,
Loss of biodiversity,
Increase of greenhouse emission from soil carbon losses,
Reduced livestock carrying capacity,
Reduced water quantity and quality, and
Reduced wood availability.
Soil erosion is amongst the co-factors that drive land degradation whilst
posing a threat to sustainable agriculture. Moreover, land and
environmental degradation, and soil erosion are reinforcing in an
interlinked network of factors and drivers as shown by Figure 5.25 on
their relationship with soil and land productivity in Kenya.
1 Angima S., Stott D., O’Neill M., Ong C. and Weesies G., (2002). Soil Erosion Prediction Using
RUSLE for Central Kenyan Highland Conditions. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 97
(2003) 295–308. Elsevier.
2 World Bank, (2016). Agriculture, value added (% of GDP). Retrieved March 03, 2016 from
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS
Geology
Soil type History of people
Drainage Labour Culture
Topography Capital Knowledge
Rainfall Inputs Demography
Temperature Tenure Security Government policies
Vegetation
Soil nutrients
Land use and
management
Soil erosion
Soil productivity
This study identifies only one study, Lieven C. et al, (2008)2, that has
calculated soil erosion potential in a study area that includes the whole
of Kenya’s land mass using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation
(RUSLE) model. On the other hand, other studies have focus on
regional subsets such as the Kenyan Highlands (Angima S.D. et al
(2003)3), Ewaso Ngiro Basin (Mati M., (2000)4) and Embu (Sara R.,
(2009)5) to mention a few. This study therefore estimates the erosion
potential of the NEC using an index calculated using the parameters of
rainfall, land uses, slope, soil texture, bedrock depth and landforms. All
these parameters were assigned representative values which are as
added and multiplied by the land use value. The resulting values,
ranging between 0 (waterbodies) and 92, are divided into 5 equal
interval classes namely, Very Low, Low, Moderate, High and Very
1 Ovuka M., (2000). Effects of Soil Erosion on Nutrient Status and Soil Productivity in The
Central Highlands of Kenya. Göteborg University, Department of Earth Sciences.
2 Lieven C., Paulo V.B., Notenbaert A., Mario H., Jeanette V.D.S, (2008). Mapping potential soil
erosion in East Africa using the Universal Soil Loss Equation and secondary data. Sediment
Dynamics in Changing Environments (Proceedings of a symposium held
in Christchurch, New Zealand, December 2008). IAHS Publ. 325, 2008.
3 Angima S.D., Stott D.E., O’Neill M.K., Ong C.K. and Weesies G.A, (2003). Soil erosion
prediction using RUSLE for central Kenyan highland conditions. Agriculture, Ecosystems and
Environment 97 (2003) 295–308. Elsevier.
4 Mati M., (2000). Assessment of erosion hazard with USLE and GIS—a case study of the upper
Ewaso Ngiro basin of Kenya. Int. J. Appl. Earth Observ. Geoinform. 2, 78–86.
5 Sara R., (2008). Soil physical properties and erosion risks at smallholder farms in Embu,
Figure 5.26 Soil Erosion Potential along the Main Route of the NEC
This erosion potential analysis identified high potential areas along the
coastal area, the central highlands, rift valley and western region. The
high potential in the coastal region is largely attributed to the high
annual rainfall received. The central highlands, rift valley and western
regions have high potential due high annual rainfall, steep slopes and
predominance of agricultural practices. The location of these high
potential areas coincides with the findings of Lieven C. et al, (2008).
1UNEP, (2009). Kenya: Atlas of Our Changing Environment. Division of Early Warning and
Assessment (DEWA). United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)
The NEC intersects ecosystems in both the marine and terrestrial eco-
regions. Topography plays a determinant role in the ecosystems found
in a particular location in the country. The NEC intersects all the
ecosystems shown in Figure 5.27 except for Mt Kenya, and the Glacial
and Alpine ecosystems.
1National prioritization of species and ecosystems are according to the 2nd Schedule of the
Wildlife Management and Coordination Act (2013).
Ecosystem Description
Characteristics
Sheltered Protected from wind and wave action, highly productive
mangrove environments; easily damaged physically and through
swamps, creeks, pollutants; mainly intertidal - regularly exposed and
estuaries, marshes submerged.
Sheltered tidal Mainly submerged but exposed at extreme low tides;
flats, sea grass usually subjected to medium wave energy; biological
meadows activity high.
Coral reefs Mainly submerged and subjected to significant wave
action; high productivity; very susceptible to water
pollution.
Sheltered rias, Reduced wave action, mixture of sub-tidal, intertidal and
sheltered rock littoral; often with extensive seaweed forests.
coasts
Exposed tidal flats Exposed to wave action; relatively high biodiversity.
exposed mud flats
Sheltered, fine- Generally sheltered beaches inside lagoons or behind the
grained sand protection of a coral reef, subjected more to wind than
beaches wave action; productivity medium to high.
Exposed near- Subjected to increasing wind and wave action; mainly
shore rocky sub-tidal; high productivity particularly of some algal
platforms species.
Exposed gravel, Exposed to wave action, usually with prominent storm
pebble, cobbles ridges and steep profiles; productivity low.
and boulder
beaches
Exposed Generally flat and very long stretches of beach without
compacted sand the protection of a reef; or accumulated sand dunes
beaches, wind- which are rarely behind the protection of a reef and
blown sand dunes usually open to wind and wave action; medium to low
productivity.
Exposed cliffs, Usually steeply dipping, near vertical walls; rocky
steep rocky headlands; exposed to wind and wave action; medium to
coasts, manmade high productivity.
structures
This study finds corals, sandy beaches, mangroves and seagrass beds to
be sensitive ecosystems. This is because they provide valuable
ecosystem services but are threatened by human activities. They are
discussed in more detail in Section 5.4.4
5.4.2 Biodiversity
The diversity of flora and fauna in Kenya has led to several areas to be
designated as Ramsar sites, Man and Biosphere (MAB) Reserves or
World Heritage Sites. Through tourism and other environmental
services this diversity contributes to the country’s economy. It is
however noted that 70% of the national diversity exists outside of
ENVIRONMENTAL RESOURCES MANAGEMENT JST/MOTI
5-60
protected areas1. This situation threatens the longevity and wellbeing of
this diversity.
5.4.2.1 Fauna
Kenya has over 25,000 species of fauna of which several are considered
at risk by IUCN Red List assessment method and national regulations.
This study focusses on species likely to be found in the NEC which are
considered to be at risk by these two regimes of assessment. Species are
identified through GIS from species ranges obtained from IUCN’s Red
List1. In the subsections herein briefs on the findings are provided:
1. Mammals
A total of 310 mammals listed in IUCN’s Red List are identified
to be likely to found within the NEC. Figure 5.30 displays the
distribution of these mammals according the assessment
categories. Whilst most of the identified mammals are assessed
to be under LC (260), 3 are EN and 3 are CE. Those under these
two categories are the following:
Endangered
o Equus grevyi (Grevy’s Zebra)
o Lycaon pictus (African Wild Dog)
o Rhynchocyon chrysopygus (Golden-rumped Elephant
Shrew)
Critically Endangered
o Beatragus hunter (Hunter’s Antelope)
o Diceros bicornis (Black Rhinocerous)
o Suncus aequatorius (Taita Shrew)
o
1 IUCN Red List, (2014). The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species.
200
Species
100
16 15 3 3 0 0 13
0
LC NT VU EN CR EW EX DD
2. Reptiles
46 Red List reptilians are identified to be likely to be found in the
NEC with their classifications as given in Figure 5.31. Of these 46
species, those that are EN and CR are the following:
Endangered
o Chelonia mydas (Green Turtle)
o Elapsoidea nigra (Black Garter Snake / Usambara Garter
Snake)
o Kinyongia tenuis (Usambara Flap-nosed Chameleon,
Matschie's Dwarf Chameleon)
Critically Endangered
o Eretmochelys imbricate (Hawksbill Turtle)
o Gastropholis prasina (Green Keel-bellied Lizard)
20
3 6 3 2 0 0 2
0
LC NT VU EN CR EW EX DD
3. Amphibians
89 amphibian species in the Red List, categorized according to
Figure 5.32, are likely to be found in the NEC. Six of these species
are EN and two are CR and these are:
Critically Endangered
o Arthroleptides dutoiti (Du Toit's Torrent Frog)
o Callulina dawida (Taita Hills Warty Frog)
50
1 1 6 2 0 0 3
0
LC NT VU EN CR EW EX DD
4. Birds
There are 971 species of birds that are likely to be found in the
NEC which are in the Red List. Figure 5.33 illustrates the
distribution of the assessment categories of these birds. Those
which are EN and CR are:
Endangered
o Acrocephalus griseldis (Basra Reed-warbler)
o Anthus sokokensis (Sokoke Pipit)
o Aquila nipalensis (Steppe eagle)
o Ardeola idae (Madagascar Pond-heron)
o Balearica regulorum (Grey crowned crane)
o Cisticola Aberdare (Aberdare Cisticola)
o Eremomela turneri (Turner's Eremomela)
o Falco cherrug (Saker Falcon)
o Macronyx sharpei (Sharpe's Longclaw)
o Neophron percnopterus (Egyptian vulture)
o Ploceus golandi (Clarke's Weaver)
Critically Endangered
o Apalis fuscigularis (Taita Apalis)
o Gyps africanus (White backed vulture)
o Gyps rueppelli (Rüppell's vulture)
o Necrosyrtes monachus (Hooded Vulture)
o Trigonoceps occipitalis (White-headed Vulture)
o Turdus helleri (Taita Thrush)
29 16 13 6 0 0 1
LC NT VU EN CR EW EX DD
Critically Endangered
o Aplocheilichthys sp. nov. 'Baringo'
50
40
30 23
20 13
10 2 4 5
0 1
0
LC NT VU EN CR EW EX DD
The marine zone of the NEC forms a habitat for a diverse set of species
some of which are under risk from human activities. These species
include cetaceans, wrasse, sea turtles and parrotfish amongst others.
1. Cetaceans
There are 23 cetaceans in the Red List likely to be found in the
NEC. The distribution of their assessment categories are given in
Figure 5.35. None of the species are CR, however those that are
EN are:
Balaenoptera musculus (Blue Whale), and
Balaenoptera borealis (Sei Whale).
4
2 2
2 1
0 0 0
0
LC NT VU EN CR EW EX DD
2. Sea Turtles
Kenya’s five sea turtle species are likely to be found in the NEC.
These are Chelonia mydas (Green turtle), Eretmochelys imbricate
(Hawksbill turtle), Caretta caretta (Loggerhead turtle),
Lepidochelys olivacea (Olive Ridley), and Dermochelys coriacea
(Leatherback Turtle). The Green turtle and Hawksbill turtle are
EN and CR respectively.
3. Angelfish
In the NEC there are 12 Angelfish species in the Red List that are
likely to be found. All these species are categorized as LC.
4. Groupers
There are 46 Red List Grouper species likely to found in the
NEC. Their assessment categories are distributed as shown by
Figure 5.36
o Near Threatened
Epinephelus malabaricus (Malabar Grouper)
Plectropomus pessuliferus (Roving Coralgrouper)
Epinephelus fuscoguttatus (Brown-marbled Grouper)
Epinephelus coioides (Orange-spotted Grouper)
Epinephelus polyphekadion (Camouflage Grouper)
o Vulnerable
Plectropomus laevis (Blacksaddled Coral Grouper)
20
Species
15
10
10
5
5 2
0 0 0 0
0
LC NT VU EN CR EW EX DD
6. Wrasse
Within the marine zones of the NEC, there are 99 Red List
Wrasse species that are likely to be found. 95 of these species are
categorized to be of LC, 3 are DD and Bolbometopon muricatum
(Green Humphead Parrotfish) is VU.
7. Butterflyfish
There are 26 Red List Butterflyfish species likely to be found in
the NEC. 24 of these are of LC and the remaining two are
categorized to be NT and DD. The two are Chaetodon trifascialis
(Triangulate Butterflyfish) and Chaetodon bennetti (Bluelashed
Butterflyfish) respectively.
8. Damselfish
There are two species of Damselfish likely to be in the NEC.
These are Chrysiptera unimaculata (Cape Damsel, One-spot
Damsel) and Chromis pembae (Pemba Chromis, Yellow-edge
Chromis) which are both categorized to be LC.
5.4.2.1.3 Flora
As mentioned above floral species vary with AEZs. Table 5.11 describes
the common species found in the AEZs which are traversed by the
NEC.
Amongst the floral species found in the country, several are classified to
be at risk by KWS and IUCN. Those species include:
Zone Description
I This zone is confined to mountains and immediate surrounding such
as Mt Kenya and Mt Elgon.
II This zone is generally restricted to the highlands of Kenya between
1980 and 2700 m and occurs as a forest or open grasslands. This zone is
found in the surrounding of Mt Kenya (parts of Meru, Embu,
Kirinyaga and Nyeri), isolated parts of the Rift Valley around Mau and
Aberdares mountains (e.g. around Kericho and Nyahururu
respectively) and the surrounding of Mt Elgon (e.g. around Kitale and
Webuye).
Low trees and shrubs found here include Acacia mellifera, Acacia tortilis,
Acacia horrida, Acacia reficiens, Acacia nubica, Acaia paslii, Acacia
Zanzibarica, Adansonia digitata, Terminalia prunioides, Dobea spp.,
Dioppspyros spp. and Commiphora spp.
5.4.2.1.5 Forestry
Kenya is classified as a country with low forest cover since less than
10% of its area covered by forests. Recent estimates calculated the
country’s gazetted forest cover to a value less than 3.5%. This has
driven efforts of increasing the country’s forest cover since forest
provide diverse and valuable environmental services and goods.
Kenya’s Vision 2030 sets 10% as the national goal of forest cover.
Climate change, encroachment, pollution, land use changes and
unsustainable harvesting of forest products are amongst the pressures
which prevent the attainment of this goal. Nationally, only 18 counties
had a forest cover above 10% in 2015[3].
Amongst the NEC Counties, the counties which meet the 10% goal are
Elgeyo Marakwet, Baringo, Bungoma, Trans Nzoia, Nandi, Kericho,
Bomet, Narok, Kiambu, Nyandarua, Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Kiambu and
Makueni. Figure 5.37 illustrates the distribution of percentage forest
cover amongst the NEC Counties. This study calculates that 8.93% of
land area of the NEC Counties is covered by forests. This translates to
24,467.20 km2 wherein an average of 789 km2 of forest cover per county
is observed amongst these counties.
.
1Infonet-Biovision, (2016). AEZs: The Kenya System. Retrieved March 04, 2016 from
http://www.infonet-biovision.org/EnvironmentalHealth/AEZs-Kenya-System
The 789 km2 of forests in the NEC Counties include the different types
of forests listed below alongside the specific NEC Counties where they
are commonly found:
Figure 5.38 Forests, Forest Ranges and Mangrove Forests in the NEC
There different forest and vegetation types in the NEC covering an area
of 28,756.2 km2. The different vegetation and forest types comprise their
total area in the NEC as follows:
Kenya has gazetted several Forest Reserves (FR) for conservation and
sustainable management purposes due to the economic and ecological
significance of forests. These FRs are protected by EMCA, WMCA and
the Kenya Forests Act (2005), whereas the latter places them under the
1. Mangroves
Mangroves are distinctive coastal ecosystems that are highly
productive areas making them important economically and socially.
They are estuarine and occur in protected habitats where the
seawater and freshwater mix. They provide fish habitat and are
source of materials such as locally used wood. They are important
nurseries and breeding sites for a variety of marine species of
economic importance and other that contribute to the food chain.
UNEP, (2011) calculated the value of mangroves in Gazi Bay based
on the following goods and services:
2. Seagrass Beds
Seagrass beds occur along the entire coastline of Kenya, usually
adjacent to or associated with coral reefs from the inter-tidal zone
down to a depth of 20 m or more. They serve as an important
ENVIRONMENTAL RESOURCES MANAGEMENT JST/MOTI
5-73
habitat for many species and as a sediment trap thus keeping coastal
beaches pristine. Seagrass beds provide a habitat for many species of
fish, octopi and holothurians. Many of these species are of
commercial importance. Seagrass beds are also the feeding grounds
for endangered species such as the green turtle, the hawksbill turtle
and the dugong. Artisanal fishing and commercial trawling
activities often concentrate on seagrass beds.
Seagrass distribution along the Kenyan coast has not been mapped.
UNEP, (1998)2 shows that seagrass beds occur throughout the 600
km-long Kenyan coastline in sheltered tidal flats, lagoons and
creeks, with the exception of the coastal stretch adjoining the Tana
Delta.
3. Invasive Species
According to the Global Invasive Species Database (GISD), Kenya
has documented at least 61 invasive species to present day (2016).
These comprise the 26 animals, 2 bacteria, 2 fungi, 30 plants and 1
Fauna
Mammals Arthropods Coral
Myocastor Cactoblastis cactorum Tubastraea coccinea (Colonial
coypus (Swamp (Cactus Moth, Prickly Cup- Coral, Orange–Cup
Beaver, Coypu Pear Moth) Coral, Orange-Tube Coral)
Rat, Coypu Rat, Ceratitis capitate
Nutria, Nutria (Meditarranean Fruit
Rat) Fly, Medifly)
Molluscs
Gonipterus scutellatus
Achatina fulica (Giant African
(Eucalyptus Snout
Snail, Giant African Land
Beetle, Eucalyptus,
Snail, Kalutara Snail)
Eucalyptus Weevil)
Orthezia insignis (Croton
Bug, Kew Bug,
Jacaranda Bug, Latana
Blight)
Paratrechina longicornis
(Crazy Ant)
Pheidole megacephala (Big
Headed Ant, Coastal
Brown Ant, Lion Ant,
Brown House Ant)
Procambarus clarkia (Red
Swamp Cray Fish,
Louisiana Cray Fish)
Scyphophorus
acupunctatus (Acapiche
Del Nardo, Agave
Billbug, Agave Snout
Weevil Agave Snout-
1. Terrestrial Species
There several species of fauna and flora that are either traded,
produce goods or are part of services that are traded in the NEC,
country and export markets. These are the species of commercial
Through the tourism sector wild fauna and flora species create value
since they are part of the attractions in the country. These species
include those within the boundaries of protected areas as well as
outside. Signature species in the country include: elephant, buffalo,
lion, cheetah, primate, rhino, crocodile and hippopotamus amongst
others. The tourism sector yielded KES 84.1 Billion in 2014 from
domestic and foreign tourists. Part of this value was generated from
the 2,164,600 people who visited national parks and reserves in that
year2. This signifies the commercial value of the ecosystems, flora
and fauna in these protected areas.
Fauna
Terrestrial Avifauna
Fauna Flora
Butterfly Ostrich Aloe
Chameleon Pigeon Ocimum kilimanscharicum
Crocodile Doves (Camphor basil)
Frog Ducks Osyris lanceolate (East African
Lizard Helmeted Sandalwood)
Reptile Guinea fowl Prunus Africana (Red Stinkwood)
Snail Vulturine Mondia whytei (White’s Ginger
Snake Guinea fowl (mkombera))
Tortoise Quelea
Bees
Wild silk
moths
2. Marine Species
In the marine eco-region commercial valuable species include:
marine fauna, mangroves and seagrass. Wild fauna in the marine
environment form part of the tourist attractions in the coastal region
and thus has a similar economic contribution as wild terrestrial
fauna. Some of the signature species of fauna in the Kenyan marine
eco-region include: Cetaceans, Sea turtles and corals amongst others.
1 Vellema W., Mujawamariya G. and D'Haese M., (2014). Gum Arabic Collection in Northern
Kenya: Unexploited Resources, Underdeveloped markets. Afrika Focus - Volume 27, Nr. 1, 2014
- pp. 69-86.
2 Republic of Kenya, (2013). The Wildlife Conservation and Management Act, 2013.
3 KWS, (2016). Wildlife species for which game farming may be allowed.
Figure 5.39 displays the trend in value earned from marine fisheries
in Kenya between 2010 and 2014. In addition, ornamental or
aquarium fishing is practised along the coast of Kenya. In 2009, an
estimated 250,000 fish were exported through the trade, primarily
from Kilifi, Shimoni, Shelly beach, Kanamai, Nyali, Diani and
Kikambala. Species involved in this trade include Angelfish,
Anemonefishes, Butterflyfish, Damselfish, Anthiases and Corals1.
600
400
200
-
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1 Okemwa G., Kimani E., Zamu M., Waiyaki E., Muthama C., Ogutu B., Muturi J., (2011). The
Marine Ornamental and Curio trades in the Western Indian Ocean – benefit or threat? KMFRI.
2 Magangi N., Kiema A., Kimanthi A. and Nzioka A., (2011). Development of a Seaweed
Nursery for Kappaphycus alvarezi (cottonii) and Eucheuma denticulatum (spinosum) in the
South Coast of Kenya. KMFRI.
The NEC traverses diverse regions in the country including rural, peri-
urban and urban areas. It intersects Kenya’s primary economic belt
linked by the MR and SGR through the cities and towns of Mombasa,
Nairobi, Nakuru, and Kisumu amongst others. In addition, as noted in
Section 5.4.1 the corridor transects most classes of ecosystems in the
country. Consequently, land cover classes/types in the corridor vary
with the social, environmental and economic characteristics of the
underlying regions.
This study calculates the percentage area occupied in the NEC by the
typical land cover classes used for the MODIS satellite instrument. This
is based on 2012 MODIS data through which it is observed that
grassland, cropland/natural vegetation mosaic, woody savannas and
savannas occupied 39.77%, 23.97%, 10.67% and 9.79% of the NEC
respectively. These land covers occupied the most area, together
comprising 84.2% of the NEC’s area. The least area was occupied by
deciduous and evergreen needleleaf forests (0.0014%). Permanent
wetlands, water, croplands, evergreen broadleaf forests, and urban and
built up areas occupied 0.23%, 4.08%, 3.59%, 3.4% and 0.36% of the
NEC’s area. Figure 5.40 compares the percentage of the total area of
these land cover classes.
Figure 5.41 shows the spatial distribution of land cover in 2012 using
MODIS data from the Global Land Cover European Space Agency
(GLCESA). It is observed that croplands and natural vegetation mosaic
primarily occurs in the western and coastal regions and some smaller
regions in the central. Urban and built-up areas are in the towns and
cities of Nairobi, Machakos, Nakuru and Eldoret, whilst grasslands and
savannas are predominantly located in the east between Nairobi and
the coastal region.
1NASA Land Processes Distributed Active Archive Center (LP DAAC), (2014). MODIS.
USGS/Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center, Sioux Falls, South Dakota.
This Study notes that several of the PAs in the NEC have multiple
national and international designations. These are identified in this
Section accordingly.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESOURCES MANAGEMENT JST/MOTI
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5.4.4.1 Nationally Protected Areas
Protected Areas cover 14% of Kenya’s surface area and are grouped into
8 conservation areas (CAs) by KWS. The NEC intersects the 7 out of the
8 (CAs) in Kenya namely, Western, Mountain, Tsavo, Southern, Coast,
Central Rift and Eastern conversation areas. These CAs include
Protected Areas (PAs) of economic and ecological significance. This is
because they provide a habitat to some of the species at risk in the
country whilst being fundamental to the tourism sector. The ecological
significance of some of these PAs is evidenced by their international
recognition whereby some are classified as Ramsar Sites, World
Heritage Sites, UNESCO Biosphere Reserves or form part of the EAM.
Economically, these PAs contributed to revenues earned from tourism
even in spite of reduced activity in the sector between 2010 and 2014
(The specific nationally gazetted PAs in the NEC are identified using
data from WDPA (2016) and KWS, (2016)1. A total of 163 PAs are
intersected by the NEC with their typology including:
The specific nationally gazetted PAs in the NEC are identified using
data from WDPA (2016)1 and KWS, (2016)1. A total of 163 PAs are
intersected by the NEC with their typology including:
450
400
350
300
VISITORS ('000S)
250
200
150
100
50
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1Others include: Arabuko Sokoke, Ol-Donyo Sabuk, Marsabit, Saiwa swamp, Sibiloi, Bamburi,
Chyulu, Ruma National Park, Mwea National Reserve, Central lsland National Park, Kiunga,
Mt. Elgon, Nasolot, Ndere and Kakamega.
NEC PAs
138
3 12 7 10
1 2 1 2 1
1 In the dataset used in this map some PAs did not have polygons showing their boundaries but
instead had points. These points were considered in this study since they still show the location
of their respective PAs in relation to the NEC.
Category Ia Strict Nature Reserve: These are strictly PAs set aside
to protect biodiversity and also possibly geological/geomorphic
features, where human visitation, use and impacts are strictly
controlled and limited to ensure protection of the conservation
values. Such PAs can serve as indispensable reference areas for
scientific research and monitoring1.
Category III Natural Monument or Feature: These are PAs set aside
to protect a specific natural monument, which can be a landform,
sea mount, sub-marine cavern, geological feature such as a cave or
even a living feature such as an ancient grove. They are generally
quite small PAs and often have high visitor value.
1IUCN, (2014). IUCN Protected Areas Categories System. Retrieved March 09, 2016 from
http://www.iucn.org/about/work/programmes/gpap_home/gpap_quality/gpap_pacategori
es/
Ten national parks (NPs) are intersected by NEC. Details of these NPs,
including characteristics and number of species at risk supported, are
provided in Table 5.14 as well as Figure 5.46.
1 KWS, (2016). Tsavo East National Park. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from http://www.kws.go.ke/content/tsavo-east-national-park
2 KWS, (2016). Tsavo West National Park. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from http://www.kws.go.ke/tsavo-west-national-park
1 KWS, (2016). Chyulu Hills National Park. Retrieved March 16, 2016 http://www.kws.go.ke/content/chyulu-hills-national-park
2 Prins H.; Grootenhuis J.G; Thomas T., (2000). Wildlife Conservation by Sustainable Use. Springer.
3 Trzyna, T., (2014). Urban Protected Areas: Profiles and Best Practice Guidelines. Best Practice Protected Area Guidelines Series No. 22, Gland, Switzerland:
1 KWS, (2016). Aberdare National Park. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from http://www.kws.go.ke/content/aberdare-national-park
2 UNESCO, (2010). Aberdare Mountains. World Heritage Centre. Tentative Lists.
3 KWS, (2016). Mount Elgon National Park. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from http://www.kws.go.ke/content/mount-elgon-national-park
1 KWS, (2016). Lake Nakuru National Park. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from http://www.kws.go.ke/lake-nakuru-national-park
1 KWS, (2016). Ol Donyo Sabuk National Park. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from http://www.kws.go.ke/content/ol-donyo-sabuk-national-park
2 UNESCO, (2010). The African Great Rift Valley - Hell’s Gate National Park. World Heritage Centre. Tentative Lists.
3 KWS, (2016). Mount Longonot National Park. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from http://www.kws.go.ke/content/mount-longonot-national-park
1 Moses M.O, Bobby E.W. and Avignon M.M., (2001). Importance of Conservation Areas in Kenya Based on Diverse Tourist Attractions. The Journal of
Tourism Studies Vol. 12, No. 1, May '01 39.
2 WWF EARPO, (2007). Lake Bogoria National Reserve World Ramsar Site No. 1057 Integrated Management Plan 2007-2012.
1 KWS, (2016). Shimba Hills National Reserve. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from http://www.kws.go.ke/content/shimba-hills-national-reserve
2 KWS (2016). Kakamega Forest Reserve. Retreived March 16, 2016 from http://www.kws.go.ke/content/kakamega-forest-reserve
3 KVDA, (2015). Wildlife Resource. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from http://www.kvda.go.ke/Wildlife.html
MPAs in the NEC include Mombasa Marine National Park (MNP), its
adjacent Mombasa Marine National Reserve (MNR) and Diani MNR.
The details of these MPAs are provided in Table 5.16 as well as Figure
5.48
1 KWS, (2016). Mombasa Marine National Park and Reserve. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from http://www.kws.go.ke/content/mombasa-marine-national-
park-reserve
2 Kenya County Guide, (2015). Diani/Chale Marine National Park and Reserve. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from
http://kenyacountyguide.com/home/dianichale-marine-national-park-and-reserve/
3 Muthiga N.A., Kawaka J., (2010). Progress Towards Conservation Science for Marine Protected Areas in Kenya: An Annotated Bibliography. WIOMSA Book
1 AWF, (n.d). Descriptions & Plan. Black rhinos in danger of extinction. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from http://www.awf.org/projects/ngulia-rhino-sanctuary
There are 138 FRs intersected by the NEC Table 5.17 and Figure 5.49
identify them according to the regions or wider ecosystems in which
they belong. They are important ecosystems which are protected by
national regulations and some these FRs have globally recognized
designations. The forests within their boundaries provide important
ecosystem goods and services including, carbon sequestration, flood
mitigation, soil erosion prevention, provision of goods (food, wood
fuel, water - some of the FRs are water towers (see Section 5.3.4)),
provision of habitat for wild fauna and avifauna and climate
modulation.
1 TFCG, (2006). Coastal Forests of Kenya and Tanzania. Retrieved March 10, 2016 from http://coastalforests.tfcg.org/index.html
1 BirdLife International, (2016). Important Bird and Biodiversity Area factsheet: Shimba Hills.Retrieved March 16, 2016 from www.birdlife.org
1 Friends of Karura, (2016). Ecology: Climate & Soils, Plants & Animals. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from http://www.friendsofkarura.org/the-karura-forest-
researve/ecology-climate-soils-plants-animals/
2 Ngong Forest Sanctuary, (2016). Conservation. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from www.ngongforest.org
3 CCN, (2007). City of Nairobi Environment Outlook.
1 Nature Kenya, (n.d). Nairobi Arboretum. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from http://www.naturekenya.org/content/nairobi-arboretum
1 UNEP, (2008). Mau Complex and Marmanet forests, Environmental and economic contributions, Current state and trends.
2 BirdLife International, (2016). Important Bird and Biodiversity Area factsheet: Mau Forest Complex. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from www.birdlife.org
1 BirdLife International, (2016). Important Bird and Biodiversity Area factsheet: Cherangani Hills. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from www.birdlife.org
2 KFS, (2015). Cherangani Hills Forest Strategic Ecosystem Management Plan 2015 -2040.
3 Piritta P., (2004). Forest Types of Kenya. In: Pellikka, P., J. Ylhäisi & B. Clark (eds.) Taita Hills and Kenya, 2004 – seminar, reports and journal of a field
excursion to Kenya.
Expedition reports of the Department of Geography, University of Helsinki 40, 8-13. Helsinki 2004, ISBN 952-10-2077-6, 148 pp.
1 BirdLife International, (2016). Important Bird and Biodiversity Area factsheet: Kakamega Forest. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from www.birdlife.org
2 KFS, (2012). Kakamega Forest Ecosystem Management Plan 2012-2022.
3 BirdLife International, (2016). Important Bird and Biodiversity Area factsheet: South Nandi Forest. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from www.birdlife.org
4 BirdLife International, (2016). Important Bird and Biodiversity Area factsheet: North Nandi Forest. Retrieved March 16, 2016 from www.birdlife.org
1 BirdLife International, (2016). Important Bird and Biodiversity Area factsheet: Mount Elgon (Kenya). Retrieved March 16, 2016 from www.birdlife.org
PCAs and CCAs in the NEC are listed below and their locations are
shown in Figure 5.50. This study notes there is limited information
available from secondary sources on the sensitivities and other
characteristics of these areas.
5.4.4.8 Wetlands
Figure 5.52 shows those mapped within the NEC. Of these wetlands,
Lakes Nakuru, Elementaita and Naivasha are considered to be
1Ramsar Convention Secretariat (2013). The Ramsar Convention Manual: a guide to the
Convention on Wetlands (Ramsar, Iran, 1971), 6th ed. Ramsar Convention Secretariat, Gland,
Switzerland.
-
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
500
Baringo
Bomet
Bungoma
Busia
Elgeyo Marakwet
Kajiado
Kakamega
Trans-Nzoia
Uasin Gishu
NEC Counties Water Resources Surface Area
5-124
Vihiga
Mombasa
Kilifi
Makueni
Nairobi
Machakos
JST/MOTI Kiambu
5.4.4.9 Ramsar Sites
Lake Bogoria (2001): The Lake provides critical refuge for the
Phoenicopterus minor (Lesser Flamingo), with a population of 1 to 1.5
million. It supports over 300 waterbird species whilst the shoreline
fringe of the lake and associated acacia woodland provide critical
habitat for the endangered Tragelaphus strepsciseros (Greater Kudu)
and other mammals1. Lake Bogoria is also a NR.
1 Ramsar, (2001). Information Sheet on Ramsar Wetlands (RIS) - Lake Bogoria. Ramsar Site
Information Service.
2 Ramsar, (2005). Information Sheet on Ramsar Wetlands (RIS) - Lake Nakuru. Ramsar Site
Information Service.
3 Ramsar, (2005). Information Sheet on Ramsar Wetlands (RIS) – Lake Naivasha. Ramsar Site
Information Service.
Figure 5.54 shows the location of these sites in relation to the NEC.
Fort Jesus (2011): This site was designated due to its cultural and
historical value. The Fort was built by the Portuguese in 1593-1596
to the designs of Giovanni Battista Cairati to protect the port of
Mombasa. It is one of the well preserved examples of 16th
Portuguese military fortification and a historical landmark in its
type of construction. The property covers an area of 2.36 hectares
1Ramsar, (2005). Information Sheet on Ramsar Wetlands (RIS) – Lake Elementaita. Ramsar Sites
Information Service.
1 UNESCO, (2011). Cultural Properties - Fort Jesus, Mombasa (Kenya). UNESCO World
Heritage Committee Decision: 35 COM 8B.19.
2 UNESCO, (2011). Natural Properties - Kenya Lake System in the Great Rift Valley (Kenya).
UNESCO Man and the Biosphere Reserves (MAB) are areas comprising
either terrestrial, marine and coastal ecosystems designated to promote
solutions reconciling the conservation of biodiversity with its
sustainable use. They are special places for testing interdisciplinary
approaches to understanding and managing changes and interactions
between social and ecological systems, including conflict prevention
and management of biodiversity.
1 UNESCO, (2004). Biosphere Reserve Information. Kenya. Mt Elgon. UNESCO MAB Biosphere
Reserves Directory. The MAB Programme.
2 BirdLife International, (2016). Global IBA Criteria. Retrieved March 11, 2016 from
www.birdlife.org
Trigger Species
Name County CR EN VU NT LC NR DD IBAs A41
IBAs
Aberdare Mountains Nyeri 0 2 1 1 39 10 0 N/A 0
Busia grasslands Busia 0 0 1 1 5 0 0 N/A 0
Chyulu Hills forests Kajiado 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 N/A 0
Dandora ponds Nairobi 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 N/A 0
Diani forest Kwale 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 N/A 0
Hell’s Gate NP Nakuru 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 N/A 0
Kakamega forest Kakamega 0 1 1 0 35 4 0 N/A 0
Kaya Gandini Kwale 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 N/A 0
Kaya Waa Kwale 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 N/A 0
Kikuyu Escarpment Kiambu 0 0 1 0 30 9 0 N/A 0
forest
Kinangop grasslands Nyandarua 0 2 0 2 1 0 0 N/A 0
Lake Ol’ Bolossat Nyandarua 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 N/A 0
Lake Elmenteita (2) Nakuru 0 0 0 3 6 0 0 N/A 1
Lake Naivasha Nakuru 0 1 0 1 3 0 0 N/A 1
Lake Nakuru NP Nakuru 0 1 0 2 8 2 0 N/A 1
Machakos valleys Machakos 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 N/A 0
Mau forest complex Bomet 0 0 0 1 39 10 0 N/A 0
Mau Narok - Molo Narok 0 2 0 2 2 0 0 N/A 0
grasslands
Mt Elgon Bungoma 0 1 0 0 46 10 0 N/A 0
Nairobi National Park Nairobi 0 1 0 1 2 0 0 N/A 0
North Nandi forest Nandi 0 0 1 0 21 2 0 N/A 0
Shimba Hills Kwale 0 2 0 4 12 0 0 N/A 0
South Nandi Forest Nandi 0 1 0 0 25 3 0 N/A 0
In the NEC, 3 out of Kenya’s 5 AZE sites are located. These are
identified in Table 5.20 alongside the CR or EN species.
1 Alliance for Zero Extinction, (2013). AZE Overview. Retrieved March 11, 2016 from
www.zeroextinction.org.
2 Alliance for Zero Extinction, (2013). Kenya AZE Sites.
The hotspot supports close to 7,600 species of plants, of which 2,350 are
endemic. The Eastern Arc Mountains support over 1,100 species of
endemic plant and about 40 endemic plant genera. In addition, 1,300
bird species occur in the EAM, and about 110 of these are found
nowhere else. The Eastern Arc and Southern Rift Mountains form a
single EBA, as defined by BirdLife International1.
The EAM is a habitat to nearly 500 mammal species, more than 100 of
which are endemic to the region. Nearly 350 reptilians are found in the
EAM, of which more than 90 are endemic. The Great Rift Lakes are
located within this hotspot making it important for freshwater fish
diversity and endemism, with more than 890 species of fish, of which
nearly 620 are endemic1.
from http://www.birdlife.org/datazone/sowb/casestudy/88.
The total area of Kenya’s coral reefs (warm water corals) is estimated at
50,000 Ha. These reefs are divided into two main areas – a fairly
continuous 200 km long fringing reef along the south coast extending
from Malindi to Shimoni and patch reefs (exposed and protected), and
fore reef slopes in north coast from Lamu to the Somali border (See
Figure 5.59). In both areas, hard substrate patches with coral growth are
interspersed between extensive seagrass and algal beds. Coral cover is
typically about 30% within these patches, and the reef’s complexity and
diversity is higher in the south decreasing northward past Lamu due to
increasing influence of the cold-water Somali current system2.
In the south, the narrow 200 km long fringing reef continues into the
Tanzanian coast. It colonized the shallow part of the continental shelf
along half of Kenya’s coastline from about mean sea level to a depth of
20-25 m and at a distance of between 500 m and 2 km offshore.
Exceptions exists where river systems create high turbidity and low
salinity conditions, which limit coral growth. As a result of these
conditions, estuaries and deltas along the coast are instead
characterized by extensive mangrove forests.
80
Species 61
60
40 26
20
5
0 0 0 0 0
0
DD LC NT VU EN CR EW EX NR
Cold water reefs are found in dark, deep waters with temperatures
between 4°-13°C. Cold-water corals are still being studied but are
potentially located in all seas and at all latitudes. There are only six
identified coral species that are able to build reefs (vs. approximately
800 warm-water species). Most cold water reefs are comprised of just 1-
2 species. These reefs provide habitat and feeding grounds for a range
of deep-water organisms. Their full ecological importance is still
unknown. These reefs are at risk from bottom fisheries, oil and gas
exploration activities, placement of pipelines and cables and pollution.
Cold-water reefs have been identified off the coast of East Africa, near
Madagascar, and are potentially present off the coast of Kenya. They
have however not been identified in the NEC’s offshore area.
Two types of sandy shores are present along the Kenyan coast:
1IWMI, (2013). Transboundary Aquifer Mapping and Management in Africa. CGIAR. Research
Program on Water, Land and Ecosystems.
The Western Indian Ocean is shared amongst the East African states of
Kenya, Somalia and Tanzania. Its pelagic and benthic habitats support
numerous species some of which are globally threatened. Moreover, it
features numerous coastal and marine PAs in these three countries,
which are considered to be sensitivities by this study. Those PAs along
the coasts of Somalia, Kenya and Tanzania are shown in Figure 5.64.
1BirdLife International, (2016). Important Bird and Biodiversity Area factsheet: Mkomazi Game
Reserve. Retrieved March 17, 2016 from www.birdlife.org
5.4.5.1 Pollution
In Kenya, air, water and soil pollution are mainly driven by a growth in
population that is not met with adequate services. This results in
pollution from the: by-products from the manufacture of the goods
demanded by this population, service industry used by this population
and the goods consumed by the same population. Other factors
contribute to the pollution such as the level of technological
advancement of the country, level of awareness, and enforcement of
and compliance with regulations. These drivers are not universal and
they would apply in any combination and interlinked manner for a
particular case of pollution.
Studies have elucidated that the effects of climate change are already
being experienced in Kenya. The country warmed by 1 °C from 1960 to
2010, with projections suggesting that it will rise to 2.5 °C by 2050.
General trends of increases in temperature and reduced rainfall over
long-term means have been observed in the country. These changes
place the country’s economic goals at risk since they have been
associated with short and long-term negative effects on agriculture,
health and tourism. Adding on to this, it is postulated that climate
change would increase the frequency of natural hazards such as floods,
1 World Bank, (2016). CO2 emissions (metric tons per capita). Data on Kenya.
2 The ND-GAIN Country Index summarizes a country's vulnerability to climate change and
other global challenges in combination with its readiness to improve resilience. It measures the
overall vulnerability by considering vulnerability in six life-supporting sectors – food, water,
health, ecosystem service, human habitat and infrastructure.
3 ND-GAIN, (2014). Country Rankings. Retrieved March 23, 2016 from
http://index.gain.org/ranking
Lastly, sea-level rise along the coast has already been documented
whereas it increases the risks of coastal erosion, loss of coastal wetlands,
loss of agricultural land, infrastructure damages from storm surges and
salt intrusion. It is estimated that sea-level rise in Kenya can result in
losses of 7-58 million USD per year by 2030 and 31-313 USD million per
year by 2050[1].
In summary, the risks and impacts of climate change in Kenya have
been postulated by NEMA (2015) to be those given in the table below.
1 NEMA, (2015). Kenya Second National Communication to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.
1Ochillo D., (2012). Groundwater Governance and Policies in Kenya: Institutional Structure and
Legal Settings. WRMA Presentation.
Nairobi NP
Mlolongo Township
L Nakuru Ecosystem
L Naivasha Ecosystem
The Mau Forest Complex
Source: UNEP, (2009)1.
6.1 INTRODUCTION
The NEC traverses 29 Counties in the main route (as indicated in Box
6.1 and Figure 6.1 below) and 4 Counties in the sub-route (as shown in
Box 6.2) As the coverage area of the NEC Master Plan is so extensive,
the level of baseline information collected is at national and county
levels.
Box 6.1 NEC Counties along the Main Route of the NEC
The Bantu are the largest single group of people found within the NEC
and they are also the single largest population division in Kenya. The
Bantu are mainly farmers. There are three main clusters of Bantu in
Kenya:
The second largest group of people within the NEC are the Nilotes. The
Nilotic-speaking tribes comprise the Luo, Maasai, Pokot, Samburu,
Turkana, and many of the subgroups which constitute the Kalenjin.
They mainly occupy the western Kenya's Rift Valley. The Nilotes are
traditionally cattle-herders, although some groups, notably the Luo and
Kalenjin, have converted to agricultural ways of life.
While this classification of people is true for most rural areas and some
smaller towns, the same cannot be said of big towns such as Nairobi,
Nakuru and Mombasa. In these areas, there are diverse people
including other Africans, Arabs, Indians and Europeans who come
from different cultural backgrounds (2).
The two main groups of people in the NEC are Bantus and Nilotes and,
culturally are farmers. Therefore most of the goods expected to
originate from the areas these people occupy will be mostly agricultural
goods; food and cash crops and, live animals and animal products.
Conversely, these groups of people constitute the market for
agricultural inputs as well as a market for industrial consumer goods.
6.3.1 Population
(1) http://www.bluegecko.org/kenya/contexts/bantu.htm
(2) http://www.bluegecko.org/kenya/contexts/nilotes.htm
(3) KNBS, Population and Housing Census 2009
It is believed that good jobs are found in the urban areas and
industries in the major towns,
Better living standards and services in the urban areas, and
Insecurity, famine and natural disasters in the rural areas.
While the total national population will double by the year 2045, the
urban population will more than quadruple. According to the World
Bank (2010), by the year 2033 the Country will reach a “spatial tipping
point”, when half of the Kenyan population will reside in the urban
areas.
The industrial centres and logistics hubs will have ready semi-
skilled and unskilled labour.
Agricultural, industrial and mining and oil development projects
will be developed and logistics hubs to reduce the rural-urban
migration trend will be established
Major urban areas in Kenya have high education levels but there are
very large disparities with regards to levels of education within these
populations. Mombasa, Nairobi, Nakuru, Eldoret and Kisumu all have
gaps between highest and lowest wards in share of residents with
secondary school education or higher levels. In most rural counties,
education levels are lower but the gap, while still large, is somewhat
lower than that experienced in urban areas (1) .
(1) KNBS & SIDS, 2013. Exploring Kenya's Inequality. Pulling Apart or Pooling Together?
Table 6.3 below shows the percentage of residents within the NEC and
their levels of education, while Figure 6.5 presents the national levels of
education between 1970 and 2050.
In the NEC, all 29 counties have Level 1-4 healthcare facilities. Only 6
Counties have Level 5 health care facilities, namely:
Nairobi County (Kenyatta National Hospital),
Mombasa County (Coast General Hospital),
Nakuru County (Nakuru Hospital),
Kisumu County (Kisumu Hospital), and
Kakamega County (Kakamega Hospital).
In 2012, the Country had an average of 19 doctors and 173 nurses per
100,000 population, compared to WHO recommended minimum
staffing levels of 36 and 356 doctors and nurses per 100,000 people (1) .
(1) http://www.wssinfo.org/definitions-methods/watsan-categories/
Majority of the residents in the NEC use firewood for cooking followed
by charcoal (see Table 6.5). LPG is the least used energy source for
cooking. Paraffin is mostly used in Mombasa, Nairobi and Kiambu
Counties. This means that if the present rate of using firewood and
charcoal is not well managed, more trees in the NEC will be harvested
in future. Loss of trees would result in deforestation, especially if the
rate of tree planting is less than the rate at which trees are harvested (as
is the case presently).
6.6.3 Housing
In the event that residents along the Corridor are required to give-way
to development of some of the proposed NEC projects, they would
have to be relocated and resettled elsewhere. Compensation for loss of
housing would take into account the costs of materials used to build the
houses.
6.7.1 Roads
Box 6.14 Constraints - Current State of the Roads along the NEC
6.7.2 Railway
The completion of the SGR will be in line with the NEC Master
Plan and its development objectives
Source: http://www.kpc.co.ke/operations/pipeline-network
In line with the NEC strategy, the pipeline will allow for bulk
transport and trucks off the roads/highways
6.7.4 Airports
JKIA is expected to be the hub of Africa for both passengers and cargo
and it handled the largest cargo volume of 279 thousand tons per year
in the East African Community (EAC) in 2012 (JST, 2015),
There are seven major airports around the NEC as shown in Figure 6.9
Figure 6.11 (see below) shows the existing and proposed facilities in
Mombasa Port as follows:
1. Mombasa Port Development Project/ JICA, project schedule:
November 2007 - November 2015
a. Construction of the Second Container Terminal(depth:
15m and 11m; berth ×2)
b. Procurement of cargo handling equipment (SSG cranes
and RTG cranes)
c. Construction of an access road (approx. 1.6km)
d. Dredging works (dredging volume: approx. 3 million
cubic meters)
e. Consulting services (detailed design, bidding assistance,
construction supervision and assistance for selection of
terminal operators, etc.)
f. Master Plan on Logistics in Northern Economic Corridor
2. Project on Master Plan for Development of Dongo Kundu,
Mombasa Special Economic Zone/ JICA, project schedule:
January 2014-March 2015
3. The Project for Technical Assistance to Kenya Ports Authority on
Dongo Kundu Port, Mombasa Master Plan/ JICA, project
schedule: August 2014 - October 2015
4. Study on the Project for Construction of Mombasa Gate Bridge/
JICA
5. Construction of a new SGR linking Mombasa with Nairobi,
Kampala and other hinterland destinations, which began in 2013
6. Construction of a Southern By-Pass for Mombasa linking the
South to North Coast (began in 2014).
Along the NEC, Kisumu, Jinja and Port Bell have been used for railway
cargo transit in the past. Currently, Port Bell is operation with cargo
coming in once a week or several times a month.
In the recent years, cargo transport has shifted from lake transport to
road transport with the decline of railway logistics. It is possible to
6.8 URBANISATION
Figure 6.12 Cities, Municipalities and Towns found along the NEC Main Route
Along the NEC land is either owned on lease or freehold. In many rural
areas land is owned on freehold, this gives the holder absolute
ownership of the land for life. This means that descendants can remain
as the owner for as long as the family lineage exists. A freehold title
deed has no restrictions as to the use or occupation.
Figure 6.15 shows the land values in the counties along the NEC
100
KES (Millions)/Acre
28
20 20 18
15 15
10 10 8
5 3 3 2 2 2 2 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1 0.8 0.7
0.25
This type of settlement pattern develops when structures are built along
linear features such as roads, rail, a coastline and rivers. Many Kenyan
urban centres attribute their growth and development as a result of
infrastructure development, for example, Nairobi City grew due to the
construction of the Kenya-Uganda railway, being strategically placed
between Mombasa and Kampala. The ease of movement when located
along a transport network greatly contributes to increased settlement
growth along a corridor.
Advantages Disadvantages
Easy access to the NEC No open spaces, which may limit
development
- This type of settlement can lead to
traffic congestion in many areas along
the NEC
- Prone to accident
Advantages Disadvantages
Good transport network High population density, which can
lead to diseases spreading quickly
It is easy to provide services to this Urban areas with this type of
type of settlement settlement pattern suffer from
shortage of housing, transport, health
and civic amenities.
There in convenience , in that access to This settlement pattern attracts
facilities and services is easy inadequate social infrastructure and
basic facilities due to over-population
and lack of financial resources in the
cities.
Advantages Disadvantages
Clustered settlement pattern provides It is expensive to provide services to
open spaces which provides this type of settlement
community members with larger
recreation areas and create a sense of
openness that people along the
corridor desire
Open spaces also benefit the Methods to protect and maintain the
environment by providing habitat for open space must be carefully
wildlife, naturally filtering storm developed, implemented and
water, reducing storm water runoff monitored
from impervious surfaces, and
protecting the natural features of an
area
Linking the open space of several Although not necessarily a restricting
conservation design subdivisions will disadvantage, the management of
help to develop larger and more waste water must be carefully
effective “environmental corridor” designed for smaller lots. While these
within and between communities disadvantages should be
acknowledged and addressed, none
should preclude the use of cluster
development
Clustered settlement pattern will -
benefit the implementers of the NEC
corridor because in areas where there
is this kind of settlement the costs of
development is reduced
Clustered settlement pattern helps to -
reinforce the policy of maintaining the
local rural character which is included
in many comprehensive land use
plans
6.9.4.4 Summary
The most visible settlement forms within the NEC are clustered and
linear patterns whereby people and activities are located in large
groups and along linear features, in this case being the road and
railway (see Figure 6.2).
6.10.1 Agriculture
The main crops are grown in the NEC shown in Table 6.12
Kenya’s export prices for agricultural products like tea and coffee are
volatile because the demand for them is elastic. The prices have been
rising and falling in the international market for quite some time.
Moreover, the more export prices fall, the less the country earns foreign
exchange. As a result, farmers cut down on production of exportable
crops, or resort to using the land for other enterprises. This adversely
affects the volume of export cargo to be handled by the transport
infrastructure.
6.10.4 Fishing
Most fishing activities take place along the Indian Ocean and along
Lakes Naivasha and Victoria. The marine capture fishery is composed
of coastal and near shore artisanal, semi industrial and offshore
The main fish landing beaches on Lake Naivasha are Karagita, Kamere,
Kihoto, Tarembete,and central. The main fish caught include common
carp, minor carp, tilapia, black bass and catfish.
Fishing also takes place on both private and community owned dams.
In addition, fish farming is being encouraged by the government and a
number of fish ponds are producing fish especially in Kiambu,
Nyahururu and Muranga counties. The main fish farmed are Tilapia
and catfish. Although fish farming is being encouraged by the
government, it has not picked up in most parts of the NEC due to
shortage of water.
Declining fish stocks and fishing may result in a call for more prudent
management of fresh water fisheries resources in the country, including
supporting marine fishermen with better fishing gear and encouraging
people in the NEC to start fish farming.
Declining fish stocks and fishing activities in lakes means that there will
not be enough fish to be transported from these water bodies to the
markets. It also means that the fishermen may lose their livelihoods.
6.10.5 Industries/Manufacturing
Table 6.15 Industries and Manufacturing Enterprises in Urban Centres in the NEC
6.10.6 Tourism
6.10.7 Employment
6.10.8 Unemployment
Counties with Gini coefficient closer to zero have more even income
distribution than those with Gini coefficient closer to one. Income
distribution reveals possible markets sizes in the NEC that will support
manufactured goods resulting from proposed industrial projects.
In 2012, Kenya’s exports the EAC accounted for 54% of the total exports
to Africa and 26.1% of its exports. The exports to the Common Market
for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) increased by 58% and
accounted for 34& of the total exports in 2012. On the other hand, the
total exports imports from COMESA increased by 117%. (KNBS, 2013)
Other areas that have an impact on the Country’s economy are youth
unemployment, HIV/Aids burden, increasing debt and terrorism
threats.
Corruption
Corruption leads to the depletion of national wealth. Large scale corruption
hurts the economy and impoverishes entire population. In the social sphere,
corruption discourages people to work together for the common good.
Frustration and general apathy within the public results in a weak civil
society. Demanding and paying bribes becomes the tradition. It also results in
social inequality and widened gap between the rich and poor, civil strife,
increased poverty and lack of basic needs like food, water and drugs, jealousy
and hatred and insecurity. Corruption will thus adversely affect
implementation of the strategies by making infrastructure project expensive,
delay or, even fail. A country suffering from corruption cannot implement
sound plans and thus is not expected to benefit from sustainable development
despite embarking upon economic growth from time to time for some reason
or the other.
Security Concerns
The economic growth and development anticipated in Vision 2030 can
only be achieved and sustained in a peaceful, stable and secure
environment. In the recent years, there has been a surge of terrorist
attacks in Eastern Africa and Kenya has had a share of these attacks.
Terrorists are motivated to disrupt the economy, to cause personal
injury to concentrations of people, to strike at symbolic targets, and
transport tools of terror using transport infrastructure. A secure
transportation system is critical to overall national security from
terrorism. There are also instances where intermittent insecurity,
conflicts and tensions occur thereby threatening movement of cargo.
Lack of Will
The implementation of government major projects and programs
largely depends on the political willingness of the government of the
day. There are many experiences in Kenya where good plans have been
shelved or postponed or overtaken by time for lack of political will.
This is because prioritizing of national projects is not only economic but
also a political decision
(1) Panosa, M. I (2012) Historical and Archaeological Heritage: Contributions and challenges. International Journal of
Humanities and Social Science, Vol.2 No, 22, 2012
Along the NEC there are a number of archaeological sites that have to
be preserved. . Development of the NEC transport infrastructure is
likely to disturb or disrupt these sites.
Along the NEC there are a number of historical sites and monuments
that have to be avoided. The NEC Master Plan could plan for these sites
and boost tourism by making these sites more accessible.
The three alternative spatial structures for the NEC are described in this
Chapter, and include:
7.1 ALTERNATIVES
Table 7.1 Advantages and Disadvantages of the Super Double Core Type
Advantage Disadvantage
Lower development cost as it follows Excessive imports and imbalanced
current market demands and freight volumes
concentrates investment especially in
Primary Cities (such as Nairobi)
Relatively short development period Imbalanced development
Low cost to realize this structure plan -
as the area to be newly developed is
smaller than the other alternatives
Source, JST 2016
Figure 7.2 Alternative B: Double Core with Regional Industrial Promotion Type
Advantages Disadvantages
Expansion of exports Imbalanced development
Replacement of imports by domestic High development cost
products
- Longer development period
Source, JST 2016
Advantages Disadvantages
Expansion of export and replacement Highest development costs
of imports by domestic products
Balanced development Longest development period
Source, JST 2016
The no-go alternative means that the proposed Master Plan is not
implemented in its entirety, leading to the following disadvantages:
As such, this No-Go option alternative is not considered reasonable and will
not be considered any further in this SEA.
7.2 ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO ANALYSIS
7.2.1 Overview
7.2.2 Economic Framework for the NEC and East Africa Community
(1) JST, 2016, Master Plan on the Logistics in the NEC – Draft Final Report
For the purpose of this analysis, this scenario is defined by the Kenyan
Growth Domestic Product (GDP) growing at the current rate of 6.5%
based on the assumptions discussed in Section 7.2.2.
Table 7.5 therefore shows the analysis of the Multi-Core with Regional
Industrial Development Type in relation to the various scenarios expected
within the 20-year implementation period of the NEC Masterplan, for
the chosen alternative:
SCENARIO 1 – Status Quo (i.e., GDP at a SCENARIO 2 – Optimistic (i.e., GDP SCENARIO 3 – Pessimistic (i.e., GDP
rate of 6.5%) growing at a higher rate than 6.5%) growing at a slower rate than 6.5%)
Issues
Transport In the various cities, i.e. Nairobi, Mombasa The high economic growth shall result in There would be a deterioration of roads in the
and Nakuru, there shall be congestion construction of better roads within the towns cities, since there shall be little or no
leading to high operating costs for motor and also by passes, resulting in less congestion maintenance of existing roads, and no
vehicles. within towns, and subsequently low operation construction of new roads. Therefore more
costs for motor vehicles. congestion shall be experienced within the
We shall continue to experience accident cities.
on the roads especially the Mombasa- On the highways, there shall also be dedicated
Nairobi road, due to the high number of lanes for cargo trucks resulting in fewer Decreased economy growth shall lead in a
Cargo trucks. accidents on the road. decrease in cargo handled in Mombasa port,
resulting in underutilisation of the port.
At the port, the cargo clearance time shall At the port of Mombasa, there shall be a
remain to be high due to the lack of reduction in the time taken to clear goods A decrease in the rate of economic growth
synergy amongst the clearing agencies. resulting from an integrated system of cargo shall lead to inability to control the water
clearance. hyacinth in lake Victoria, leading to collapse of
For the inland water ways, the operations the waterway transport, which shall lead to
shall remain at a low scale due to lack of At the port of Lake Victoria, there shall be collapse of businesses which transport goods
modern berths and shallow channels construction of modern berths, state-of-the-art from Kenya to Uganda and vice versa
restricting the size of vessels. cargo handling equipment and dredging the
access channel to enable the port to handle For the SGR a, decrease in economic growth
If the status quo remains, the SGR may bigger vessels. may lead to incompletion of the infrastructure
take a long time to complete, due to and the inability to recover the investment
strained resources, and therefore the An increase in economic growth shall lead to already injected in the project.
benefits may take a long time to be reaped. timely completion of the SGR construction.
This shall lead to increased trade in areas There will be underutilisation of the existing
The airports shall continue to experience served by the SGR due to decreased cost of airports due to decreased exports.
the inadequate warehouses to store goods doing business and therefore improved
and also delay in delivery of imported livelihood
goods to their destination due to lack of
last mile transport of the goods. Expansion of existing airports due to increase
in import and export, and also availability of
resources for expansion.
Public investments in socio-economic More public investments in socio-economic Less public investments in socio-economic
infrastructure (education, health, housing, infrastructure (education, health, housing, infrastructure (education, health, housing,
water, energy) would be undertaken at the water, energy) would be undertaken at higher water, energy) would be undertaken at a lower
current rate rate rate than in scenario 1
Rural urban migration would continue Rural Urban migration would be minimized Rural urban migration would escalate
Unemployment will increase than Unemployment would decrease Unemployment would increase more than in
presently is the case scenario 1
Economic The economy will be growing at 6.5% The average annual growth rate would be The average annual growth rate would be less
greater than 6.5%. than 6.5%.
Current level of investments in More investments in agricultural, mineral, Output in the drivers (The agricultural,
agricultural, mineral, fisheries and tourist fisheries and tourism sectors will be made mineral, fisheries and tourism sectors) would
sectors would continue contract
Current growth rates of the drivers Growth rates of the drivers (agricultural, Growth rates of the drivers (agricultural,
(agricultural, mineral, fisheries and industrial, mineral, fisheries and tourism industrial, mineral, fisheries and tourism
tourism sectors) would be maintained sectors) would increase sectors would decline
More jobs would be created Many more jobs would be created Very few jobs would be created
There would be enough cargo to be There may be too much enough cargo to be The transport logistics infrastructure would
handled by the transport logistics handled by the transport logistics lack enough cargo to handle. It would operate
infrastructure. infrastructure. below planned capacities
Land use Less change of land use because the More change of land uses due to rapid growth No changes of land uses since there will be
developments are moderate and development little to no developments
Inadequate land use information There will be land use database on a regular Lack of adequate land use information
basis which will be categorized sufficiently
and effectively
Insufficient land use framework and plan There will be integrated land use framework Lack of integrated land use framework and
and plan at national, regional and local level plan
Difficulty to achieve target land use cover Zoning of forest and wetland areas to protect The target land use cover of forest and
of forest and wetland due to infrastructure them from further degradation wetlands can be achieved since there will be no
development infrastructure development
Land values Changes in land values due to speculation Changes in land values due to speculation No changes in land values
Urbanisation No clear guidelines to control urbanization Growth of urban centres and other growth Lack of integrated plans to control
e.g. integrated plans. drivers urbanization, Urban Sprawl
8.1 OVERVIEW
The engagement process has been designed to meet both Kenyan legal
requirements for public participation in relation to a SEA and
international requirements for engagement as outlined in the JICA
Guidelines for Environmental and Social Considerations, 2010.
Private Sector Private Sector Private Sector with direct interest in the NEC,
and the impact it will have on their businesses.
In order to create the stakeholder map, the SEA team classified each
stakeholder as either high influence or low influence, and as either high
contribution or low contribution. The stakeholders were then placed
into the appropriate quadrant (group) on the stakeholder map: A, B, C,
or D (see Figure 8.1 below). Those that fell into groups B, C, and D were
considered key stakeholders because they had substantial influence,
could make substantial contributions to the SEA process, or both.
High
B. A.
High influence/Low High influence/High
contribution contribution
Level of Influence
D. C.
Low Low influence/High
influence/Low contribution
contribution
Low High
Contribution
Proactively engage
Group C (Low Influence, Same as Group A, plus: Same as Group A, plus:
High Dedicated
Contribution Work with stakeholders stakeholder
to ensure that expressed consultation during
needs and concerns are situation analysis to
directly reflected in the gather stakeholder
SEA input
Solicitation of
recommendations for
interventions
Review of planned
intervention
Various stakeholder meetings were then held as shown in Table 8.3 and
Table 8.4 below. The minutes and the list of participants in the meetings
are attached in Annex F. It is important to note that since the coverage
area of the Master Plan is so extensive:
Archaeological sites Are archaeological and historical sites documented in their National Museums of
respective counties? Kenya
Do the authorities maintain any records on them?
Additional sources of information Is there useful documentation that you know of, that the SEA Team All stakeholders
should note, refer to, or guide them while assessing the NEC Master
Plan?
Do the authorities maintain any records on them
Urban/Physical Planning
Urban areas How will the urban areas found along the corridor likely to be Ministry of Lands,
affected economically by the NEC? Housing and Urban
Development
Transport
Economic Growth Centres Since the NEC infrastructure by-passes some of the proposed KeNHA, KURE,
growth centres, are there plans to connect them to the NEC KeRRA, KRB
infrastructure?
Inter-modal transport efficiency. There has been an increase in cargo transport on road rather than MoTI
rail transport. What policies and plans are there to increase
efficiency on inter-modal transport and prevent overuse and under
use some means of transport?
Overall, the development of a Master Plan for the NEC was highly
welcomed and appreciated. Stakeholders pointed out that the Master
Plan would guide the Country and Counties on matters of transport
infrastructure and logistical development. If the Plan is implemented as
envisaged, then it will increase communications, production, trade and
employment in Kenya, as well as the neighbouring countries. The
Sections below provide a summary of area specific as well as cross-
cutting concerns:
The Draft Report was submitted to NEMA on 28th October 2016 (See
Annex A3 for the submission acknowledgement). Thereafter,
advertisements were placed in the media (see Annex E6 for copies of the
Daily Nation and the Kenya Gazette adverts) calling for the public to
submit their comments (see Annex E7 for the comments received on the
Draft NEC SEA Report from Stakeholders).
The Draft SEA Report was made available for inspection at the Ministry
of Environmental and Natural Resources and NEMA offices. The
Report was also made available for download at:
9.1 INTRODUCTION
Urban
8 Project for Support of Re-organizing Logistics Facilities around Mombasa Port Area
Development
Urban
20 Logistics Based Kisumu-Kakamega Metropolitan Area Development Project
Development
Urban
25 Great Kampala (including Jinja) Logistic Based Urban Development Project
Development
Urban
26 Study on master Plan for Urban Transport Development for Regional cities
Development
• Protected Areas,
• Internationally Designated Areas,
• Wetlands,
• Rivers and lakes, and
• Sensitive ecosystems (Water Towers, Forests, Corals, Sandy
beaches, Mangrove forests, and Sea Turtle Nesting Beaches).
(1) Habitats in this context refers to marine, terrestrial and aquatic habitats that are protected/designated as well as those
that are not
Firstly, faunal species will be affected negatively when their habitats are
converted during the establishment of infrastructure. This will be the
case when Greenfield sites are converted. Deforestation can also
happen when forested or vegetated areas are cleared for development.
Apart from loss of carbon stock, the effective habitat for faunal species
will be reduced from deforestation. Stakeholders in Mombasa informed
this study that due to dredging which causes beach erosion, sea turtles
have migrated away from Kenyan beaches to as far as Somalia. The
aquatic environment will also be susceptible to changes since
infrastructure such as the pipeline, roads and rail will establish river
crossings whose development will alter characteristics of each receptive
riverine and riparian ecosystem. Aquatic and riparian ecosystems are
rich in diversity and ecosystem services. Thus they are protected by the
Secondly, the increase in transportation (rail, road, water and air) can
disrupt migration and breeding of faunal species (behaviour). This
increase in movement can lead to mortality when collisions with
animals occur. Additionally, transmission lines can also lead to
avifauna fatalities through electrocution. In totality, these accidents and
establishment of infrastructure components in proximity or within the
natural habitats (species ranges) of wild fauna can increase human-
wildlife conflict. Introduced noise generated by vehicles, crafts,
machinery, equipment and civil processes can also become a
disturbance to fauna and affect their behaviour (1).
(1) Radle A., (2007). The Effect of Noise on Wildlife: A Literature Review.
• Avoiding PAs,
• Aligning new infrastructure with existing RoWs or defined
corridors,
• Limiting the size of construction RoWs where possible, and
• Complying with existing land use and PA management plans
and supporting their development and implementation where
none have been gazetted.
• Protected Areas
• Internationally Designated Areas,
• Sensitive ecosystems,
• Biodiversity (flora and fauna),
• Rivers, lakes and wetlands,
• Agricultural areas,
• Settlements, and
• Existing infrastructure.
Activity/Source/Facili CO O P SO NO VOC CF PM NH
ty X 3 b X X s C X 3
Civil construction X X X
activities
Land conversion and X X
excavation
Exhaust generated X X X X X X X X
from the use of fossil
fuel engines in
vehicles, crafts and
generators
Friction between tyres X
and road surfaces
Industrial and X X X X X X X X
manufacturing
processes
Agricultural processes X X X
Storage and transport X X
of hydrocarbons, coal
and agricultural
products
Use of refrigeration X
systems
Waste disposal X X X X X X
Coal Power Project X X X X X
Sources: EEA, (2016), IFC (2007).
(1) Institute of Economic Affairs, (2015). Situational Analysis of Energy Industry, Policy and Strategy for Kenya
(2) Department of Environmental Protection, (n.d). Health and Environmental Effects of Air Pollution
(3) WHO, (2005). WHO Air quality guidelines for particulate matter, ozone, nitrogen dioxide and sulfur dioxide. Global
update 2005.
(4) EPA, (2016). Effects of Acid Rain
energy (17.8%),
industries (1.5%),
agriculture (41.0%),
land use,
land use change and forestry (37.6%), and
waste (2.2%)1.
This SEA Study anticipates that, even though Kenya is a low emitter of
GHGs, total emissions will increase on implementation of the NEC
Master Plan. In a ‘business as usual (BAU)’ scenario and without
adequate mitigation, this increase of emissions will drive the Country
closer towards its projected emissions of 143 MTCO2eq by 2030. This
1NEMA, (2015). Kenya Second National Communication to the United Nations Framework Convention on
Climate Change.
(1) Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources, (2015). Kenya’s Intended Nationally Determined
Contribution (INDC).
2 Such standards and guidelines include the IFC EHS Guidelines for the Thermal Power Plants (2007).
(3) The term ‘necessary’ is based on the engineering specifications of each infrastructure project. Each type
of infrastructure project has unique land/excavation requirements and construction methods. Through
optimization of the construction methods the land/excavation requirements can be limited to minimize this
potential impact.
Mitigation strategies that can lower the magnitude or avoid this impact
include:
• Settlements,
• Protected Areas,
• Internationally Designated Areas,
• River, lakes and wetlands,
• Agricultural areas, and
• Areas with a high Soil Erosion Potential (SEP).
There are two methods through which the implementation of the NEC
Master Plan can alter soil characteristics, as presented in the Sections
below:
Soil erosion has a high potential of occurring in the 42% of the land
mass comprising the NEC which has a high Soil Erosion Potential
(SEP). Developing infrastructure, increasing crop agriculture or mining
activities has the potential to result in soil erosion, as follows:
9.8.4 Summary
• Protected Areas,
• Internationally Designated Areas,
• Sensitive ecosystems,
1Cohen J., Brown T. and Shepherd D., (2004). Estimating the Environmental Costs of Soil
Erosion at Multiple Scales in Kenya Using Emergy Synthesis. Agriculture, Ecosystems and
Environment 114 (2006) 249–269. Elsevier.
9.9.2 Overview
The NEC Master Plan’s water sector infrastructure projects are mainly
multi-purpose dams aimed at providing water to support livelihoods
and other industries. The environmental impacts of dams are
summarised in Box 9.1.
The NEC Master Plan infrastructure projects will involve land clearing
or deforestation for construction which will reduce the amount of
evapotranspiration. Consequently, this would mean less rainfall
potentially contributing to microclimatic modifications. This currently
occurs and is one of the challenges faced by Kenya’s water towers
1 Ding G., Jiao J. and Zhang D., (2007). Modelling Study on the Impact of Deep Building
Foundations on the Groundwater System. Hydrol. Process. (2007). Wiley InterScience.
2 Dougherty T. and Hall W., (1995). Environmental Impact Assessment of Irrigation and
• Settlements,
• Protected Areas,
• Internationally Designated Areas,
• Sensitive ecosystems,
• Rivers, lakes, aquifers and wetlands, and
• Agricultural and high productivity areas.
9.10.2 Pollution
Risk Agents
Source Solid Wastes Liquid Wastes Hazardous Materials
1. Construction, rehabilitation operation (use) and maintenance of transport infrastructure and related activities
1.1. Roads Construction waste Wastewater (black Petrochemicals (asphalt, tar and
Road surfacing waste and grey water) bitumen)
Road litter Construction Paint (may contain lead and heavy
Domestic and office effluents metals)
waste Stormwater
Waste tyres (including sediments
and sludge)
1.2. Railways Construction waste Stormwater Petrochemicals and petroleum
General solid waste Wastewater Cargo may include hazardous materials
(domestic and office (including Solvents, acids, coolants and alkalis
waste (MSW)) from construction (rolling stock maintenance)
passengers and effluents, black and PCBs may be found in old electrical
terminals grey water) equipment
Black water from
passenger cars and
terminal lavatories
1.3. Power Construction waste Construction Petrochemicals and petroleum
Transmission effluent (including mineral oils used as coolants)
Infrastructure PCBs and SF6
Wood preservation chemicals (Creosote,
PCP and CCA)
1.4. Logistic Hubs Construction waste Construction Cargo can include hazardous materials
1.5. OSBPs Domestic and office effluents -
waste Wastewater (black
and grey)
Stormwater
1.6. Inland Ports Construction waste Wastewater (black Petroleum and petrochemicals
(1) Source: NEMA, (2015). The National Solid Waste Management Strategy.
(2) A sanitary landfill in this case refers to one that is compliant with international standards on landfill design and
operation
• Protected Areas,
9.11.2 Overview
9.11.3 Energy
The NEC Master Plan will establish fixed facilities such as at the port,
airport, food processing, distribution, logistics hubs and OSBPs. These
facilities will require electrical energy to operate and where feasible the
national grid will be used. However, it may be beyond the facility
owners’ or occupiers’ discretion to select which source of electricity
generation is used to supply the national grid. Therefore, fossil fuel
sources which are known to have negative environmental impacts will
(1) It is anticipated that the NEC Master Plan will lead to population growth through influx and promoting the economic
drivers of population growth through its positive impacts
The NEC Master Plan’s facilities will also require backup power - due
to the intermittent nature of the supply from the national grid – which
is often provided through fossil fuel powered generators. Additionally,
some of the target areas of the NEC infrastructure have limited or no
connectivity to the national grid since by 2014 only 35% of Kenya was
connected (1). The development of infrastructure and ancillary activities
in such areas will mainly be powered by fossil fuels and biomass.
RE: Geothermal
RE: Wind
FF: MSD
9.11.4 Water
The NEC Master Plan projects will create additional demand for water
in all the areas that they will be implemented. Water will be required
(1) Ministry of Energy and Petroleum (2015). Draft National Energy and Petroleum Policy
(2) RE = Renewable Energy, FF = Fossil Fuel, MSD = Medium Speed Diesel Generator and HSD = High Speed Diesel
Generators.
The NEC traverses both urban and rural areas whose water sources
range from groundwater, piped water, rainwater and rivers amongst
others surface sources (See Figure 9.6) The Master Plan projects will
create an opportunity for service providers to capitalize on its
additional demand. But, without adequate investments into
infrastructure and Integrated Water Resource Management (IWRM), it
can contribute to intermittent service on piped supply and/or increase
competition on both surface and groundwater sources. This SEA study
deems the water sector projects are mainstream strategies aimed at
solving sectoral challenges in the country.
1 The World Bank (1997). Environmental Hazard and Risk Assessment. Environment Department. Number 21.
Industry specific hazards are those that are associated with the specific
activities of either the industry associated with the Master Plan projects
or the type of project itself. Table 9.7 identifies them according to their
respective sectors or projects, and they can be further identified and
assessed at the project level when project details are more defined.
Hazards
Sector/Project/Activities Physical Chemical Biological Radiological
Roads Moving equipment Hazardous chemicals Solid and -
Vehicular collisions (bitumen, asphalt, liquid wastes
(accidents), elevated work solvents and other (pathogens)
and loads chemicals)
Working over water Air emissions (exhaust
Noise and vibration and dust)
Slips and falls. Transportation of
hazardous/dangerous
cargo.
Railway Train/worker collisions Diesel exhaust Solid and Cargo
(accidents - derailment Hazardous chemicals and liquid wastes may
and at level crossings) substances (VOCs, PCBs, (pathogens) include
Noise and vibration asbestos, paints, solvents Cargo can radioacti
Electricity and heavy metals) include ve
Worker fatigue Fires and explosions biologically materials.
Moving equipment Transportation and hazardous
Working in confined handling of materials.
spaces. hazardous/dangerous
cargo.
Power Transmission Electricity (live power PCBs in transformers Solid and EMFs
Infrastructure lines) Ozone (produced from liquid wastes and EMI.
Working at height corona). (pathogens)
Air traffic obstacles
Noise (HV lines and
transformers).
Logistic Hubs Vehicular collisions Transportation and Solid and Cargo
(accidents) handling of liquid wastes may
Elevated and stacked hazardous/dangerous (pathogens) include
9.13.1 Accidents
With respect to pipelines, poor maintenance and the age of the current
product pipeline has resulted in spills some of which have been fatal. It
is deemed that the Master Plan interventions in the oil and gas section
aim to solve challenges in this sector.
9.13.3 Fire
Fires can occur on implementation of the Master Plan projects due to:
9.13.4 Electrocution
The use of electricity in the different Master Plan projects and its
transmission through powerlines can cause electrocution. This can
occur when people and animals are exposed to uninsulated conductors
or if electric faults occur. Avifauna and other large animals such as
primates which can scale power infrastructure will be particularly at
risk of electrocution from powerlines. Induced faults, including those
from animals, can result in loss of service affecting related economic
activities in service areas.
The Master Plan projects include 8No. Water Supply Projects (WSPs) as
part of the multi-purpose dams, a food processing hub and agricultural
produce distribution centre. These will produce or handle consumable
goods and will thus have to adhere with health and safety standards.
This is because risks of contamination and transmission of zoonoses (1)
will be present at these facilities. Contamination and transmission of
zoonoses can have negative health impacts on the receptors and
compromise the economic and social objectives of these
facilities/projects.
9.14.2 Floods
The risk of landslides can increase in the highland areas of the NEC as a
result of road and rail cut, hillside farming and land use changes. Road
and rail cut change slope angles thereby reducing their stability and
increasing susceptibility to mass wasting. Hillside farming and land use
change in hillsides contribute to this risk through a variety of way
which include: increasing run-off on slopes, altering slope angles and
stability and increasing the weight of overburden on the slopes.
9.17.1 Overview
Significance Effect
Severe Effects that the decision-maker must take into account as the
receptor/resource is irretrievably compromised
Major Effects that may become a key decision-making issue
Moderate Effects that are unlikely to become issues on whether the
project design should be selected, but where future work may
be needed to improve on current performances
Minor Effects that are locally significant
Not Effects that are beyond the current forecasting ability or are
Significant within the ability of the resource to absorb such change.
Primary Impacts1
Cumulative Impact HABI AE LM SA HM PR NRD HS Significance
Land
Land degradation X X X X X X X X Severe
Soil contamination X X X X X X Moderate
Loss of open spaces X X Minor
Increased soil erosion X X X X X Moderate
Loss of soil nutrients X X X X X X Minor
Air
Climate change/global warming X X X X X Major
Incremental reduction in air quality X X X X X X Major
Incremental reduction in ambience (e.g. noise) X Minor
Water
Incremental reduction in water quality X X X X X X X Major
Incremental reduction in water availability X X X X Major
Incremental lowering of water tables X X Moderate
Increased flood risk X X X X X Moderate
Biosphere
Habitat fragmentation X X X Moderate
Biodiversity losses X X X X X X X Moderate
Habitat losses X X X X X Moderate
Increase occurrence of Human-Wildlife conflict X X X X X Major
Behavioural intrusions on animals X X X X X X Minor
Increased risk of desertification X X X X X X Major
1Acronyms: Habitat Alteration and Biodiversity Impacts (HABI), Air Emissions (AE), Landscape Modifications (LM), Soil Alteration (SA), Hydrological
Modifications (HM), Pollution Risk (PR), Natural Resources Demand (NRD) and Health and Safety Risks (HS)
10.1 INTRODUCTION
In this Chapter the potential social, cultural, economic and human health
impacts of the NEC Master Plan are predicted and assessed, and
mitigation strategies are proposed. Similar to Chapter 9, the prediction
and assessment is focused on the Multi-Core with Regional Industrial
Development Type Master Plan Alternative. Insights and feedback
received from stakeholders during the preparation of this Study also
inform this impact assessment process.
8 Urban Dev’t Project for Support of Re-organizing Logistics Facilities around Mombasa Port Area
25 Urban Dev’t Great Kampala (including Jinja) Logistic Based Urban Development Project
26 Urban Dev’t Study on master Plan for Urban Transport Development for Regional cities
Impro Regional Grow Capacity Employ Procure Econo Cultu Liveliho Rural – Publ Insecur Land Lan Urbanisa Land
ved develop th Develop ment ment my ral ods urban ic ity acquisit d tion Tenu
Logisti ment drive ment Herita migrati Heal ion use re
cs rs ge on th
Sector
Road X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X
Railway X X X X
Border X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X
Post
Port X X X X X X X X X X X X X
Airport X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X
Inland X X X X X X X X X X X X X X
Waterwa
y/
Port
Logistic X X X X X X X
Hub
Oil and X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X
Mining
Agricultu X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X
re and
Fisheries
Manufact X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X
ure
Power X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X
Water X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X
The overall objective of the Master Plan is to improve logistics for the
NEC as well as to provide an integrated regional development strategy
consistent with sub-regional and national development plans. As per
Chapter 2 of this Report, it is hoped that this will:
Table 10.5 Projection of Reduction of Inland Transport Cost and Production Cost
The current transport and logistics situation for the NEC is that the
movement of cargo is heavily influenced by road traffic congestion, the
operation of the Mombasa Port, and cross border operations. In Kenya,
approximately 1% cost reduction of the total production can be realized
through the NEC Master Plan. It should be noted that the impact of
transportation and procedural streamlining will also improve the
logistics between the factories to customers, and sometimes across
borders. Therefore, the impact should not be limited to the above-
mentioned volume.
(1) The inland transportation cost per container is calculated using the lowest price per ton per container obtained through
interview. One container is assumed to be 25t of raw materials
Some of the growth driver products from the production centres can
replace import goods. Those are rice, oil products, phosphate fertilizer
and maize. The total reduction will be 3.5 million tonnes by 2030 and
that will be 10% increase of freight import in 2030 at Mombasa port.
Figure 10.4 below shows the rice products flow as an example.
Through the Master Plan study, the following three items have been
identified as necessary for capacity development,
Item Action
PPP Arrangement of technical and financial support
during the formulation of PPP projects
Formulation and issuance of specific guidelines on
where the jurisdiction of county government ends
and that of the central government in PPP
Formulation and issuance of guidelines for joint
agreements among the countries for cross border
infrastructure projects
Jobs will also be created by freight rail, related logistics industries, and
the manufacturing businesses served by freight rail. The sub-sectors
will offer good entry level jobs with career potential for more skilled
workers.
The existing infrastructure facilities will employ more people once there
is improvement in their utilization. More people will be employed as
result of increasing operations at inland water ports and Mombasa port.
Agricultural and mineral cargo will easily reach the markets. Farmers
will produce and earn more from agricultural produce and minerals
like coal in Makueni will be exploited. Conversely, manufactured cargo
from the industries will easily reach the rural areas which will stimulate
consumption. The combined impact would result in increased
employment, incomes, improved well-being of the people and
development of the rural areas.
More agricultural and mineral raw materials will be produced for local
consumption, industrial use and exports. Consequently, the county’s
GDP, revenues and foreign exchange will increase. In addition, there
will be industrial growth when raw materials are turned into
manufactured goods.
Tax bases for the logistical hubs will grow and raise government
revenue. More business created in the hubs and beyond will be taxed to
raise government revenue.
Trade between Kenya, Uganda, South Sudan, Ethiopia and Djibouti will
be enhanced. This will encourage production and consumption of
goods and services in these countries because of expanded market
Along the NEC there are a number of archaeological sites that have
to be preserved. Development of the NEC transport infrastructure is
likely to disturb or disrupt these sites (see Annex F), and
However, the NEC Master could also plan for these sites and boost
tourism by making these sites more accessible.
The development of projects within the NEC may interfere with the
existing archaeological and historical heritage sites (see Section 6.12.2
and Annex F). These sites are therefore susceptible to degradation and
at the worst case, permanent destruction. Loss of cultural assets can
impact on community networks, structures and traditional practices
and can negatively affect the ability of a project to achieve a social
licence to operate and establish good relationships with neighbouring
communities.
(1) http://www.unesco.org/new/en/culture/themes/illicit-trafficking-of-cultural-property/unesco-database-of-national-
cultural-heritage-laws/frequently-asked-questions/definition-of-the-cultural-heritage/
Finally, rural-urban migration will deprive the rural areas of the young
and able-bodied people necessary to provide labour and skills for
increased agricultural productivity. This may then hamper the growth
of the agricultural/rural sector.
Those with pre-existing health conditions, the elderly and children are
usually worse affected by any changes in the disease profile in an area
or in changes in access to health care facilities.
All projects should have a Worker Code of Conduct for all project
personnel that include guidelines on worker-worker interactions,
worker-community interactions and development of personal
relationships with members of the local communities. As part of the
Worker Code of Conduct, all project personnel should be prohibited
from engaging in illegal activities including the use of commercial
sex workers and transactional sex. Anyone caught engaging in
illegal activities will be subject to disciplinary proceedings. If
workers are found to be in contravention of the Code of Conduct,
which they will be required to sign at the commencement of their
contract, they will face disciplinary procedures that could result in
dismissal.
10.6.5 Insecurity
10.6.5.2 Insecurity
In addition:
The budgeting process for any of the NEC initiatives must also
include a budget for resettlement and compensation, as these costs
can be quite significant.
Institutions responsible for land use plans should ensure that they
contain measures relating to infrastructure provision that are robust
and fit for purpose, with a focus on the poorest and most vulnerable
communities
10.6.8 Urbanisation
10.7.1 Overview
Significance Effect
Severe Effects that the decision-maker must take into account as the
receptor/resource is irretrievably compromised
Major Effects that may become a key decision-making issue
Moderate Effects that are unlikely to become issues on whether the
project design should be selected, but where future work may
be needed to improve on current performances
Minor Effects that are locally significant
Not Effects that are beyond the current forecasting ability or are
Significant within the ability of the resource to absorb such change.
11.1 INTRODUCTION
The measures themselves are not costed, since the vast majority have
already been identified and costed in detail within the Master Plan
itself. Likewise the Master Plan already contains detailed timelines for
their implementation, which are not reproduced here. However, the
ESMF does provide approximate timeframes for the various additional
measures that have been identified. The incremental cost of these SEA
measures is considered to be negligible in comparison to the cost of the
Plan measures themselves.
12.1 INTRODUCTION
The potential impacts associated with the Master Plan are summarised
below and should be considered both in the context of the Master Plan
rationale as well as in the discussion of cumulative impacts.
12.2 CONCLUSION
Table 12.1 and Table 12.2 provide a summary listing of the specific
features comprising each environmental and socio-economic constraint
category respectively.
Pollution Developing complementary waste management facilities including a sanitary landfill and a
hazardous waste disposal facility,
To that end, the various countries traversed by the NEC will have to
cooperate with the National Government and, the National
Government in turn would have to cooperate with other national
governments in the region such as Uganda, Rwanda, Southern Sudan
and DRC.
JST has proposed 119 projects for the development of the NEC (see
Annex C) in both Kenya and Uganda. The potential impacts of these
projects have been discussed in Chapters 9 and 10 of this Report, and
are within the following sectors:
road
railway
border posts
port, airport, and inland way
logistic hub
oil and mining
The ESIA reports should also consider environmental impacts and also
include the following socio-economic impacts, where possible:
cultural heritage,
loss of livelihoods,
health, and
rural – urban migration
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Puerto Rico
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Indonesia South Korea
Ireland
Spain
Italy
Japan Sweden
Kazakhstan Taiiwan
Kenya Thailand
Malaysia United Arab
Mexico Emirates
Mozambique
United Kingdom
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