JobsFit Chap 1 - Rev2 Roby
JobsFit Chap 1 - Rev2 Roby
E M P LOY MENT
SITUATION
ANNUAL GDP
ANNUAL GDP GROWTH RATE (2010-2016)
GDP 9.0
YEAR (at constant
prices) 8.0
7.6 7.1 6.9
7.0 6.7
4.0
2012 6,305,229
3.7
3.0
2013 6,750,631
2.0
2016 8,126,403 Source: Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) and World Bank
The Philippine economy is on a higher growth trajectory since the beginning of the
current decade. From 2010, the average growth of the economy is 6.3% which is the
highest seven-year average since the 1970’s.
SECTOR CONTRIBUTIONS TO GDP
GROWTH
AVERAGE SECTOR CONTRIBUTIONS TO GDP SERVICE
FROM 2010-2016 ➢ Private consumption (i.e.,
remittances)
AGRICULTURE
10% ➢ ICT
INDUSTRY
➢ Electronic products
AGRICULTURE
SERVICE
57% INDUSTRY
33%
➢ Exports of agricultural
products (i.e., oil, fresh
banana, tuna, pineapple,
tobacco, and seaweeds
Source: Philippines Statistics Authority (PSA), National Accounts
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT OUTLOOK
FORECASTYEAR GDP
Sources: Asian Development Bank, World Bank, Philippine Employment Projection Model 2015
The 2016-2022 PEPM range of projection of GDP at 5.8 to 6.2 is much lower than the GDP
forecast of 2017-2018 by World Bank at 6.2 to 6.9 and ADB 6.5 – 6.7.
DEMOGRAPHICS (POPULATION)
POPULATION COUNT
2015 – 100.98 M
80+
70 ELDERLY
60 PROJECTION
50
2020 – 109.95 M
PRIME
Males – 55.46 M or 50.4%
40
Females - 54.49 M or 49.6%
30
20 YOUTH
10
YOUNG
0
By 2020, the Philippine population will grow by 1.6% bringing total count to almost 110 M. There are
relatively more males than females in the young and prime ages. But there are more females in the
old category than males due to the difference in life expectancy. Almost 1 in every 5 (18.4%) person
is youth while two-fifths (38.7%) of the population is of prime working age.
POPULATION BY REGION
POPULATION (IN MILLIONS)
REGION 2020 RANK
Region IV-A registered the 2015 RANK
PROJECTION
RANK
DIFF
biggest population in 2015 RO IVA 14.4 1 15.4 1 -
with 14.4 M among the 18 NCR 12.9 2 13.3 2 -
administrative regions. NCR REGION III 11.2 3 11.9 3 -
placed second with 12.9 M REGION VII 6.0 4 6.5 5
REGION V 5.8 5 6.6 4
followed by Region III with 11.2
REGION I 5.0 6 5.5 6 -
M. The CAR with 1.7 M was the REGION XI 4.9 7 5.4 7 -
least populous region in 2015. REGION X 4.7 8 5.1 8 -
REGION XII 4.5 9 5.1 9 -
By 2020, it is projected that REGION VI 4.5 10 4.9 12
there will be no change in the REGION VIII 4.4 11 5.0 10
most and least populous regions NIR 4.4 12 4.9 11
in the country, however the ARMM 3.8 13 4.2 13 -
ranking of some regions REGION IX 3.6 14 4.1 14 -
changed (i.e. Region V will REGION II 3.5 15 3.7 15 -
overtake Region VII in terms of MIMAROPA 3.0 16 3.4 16 -
total population count). CARAGA 2.6 17 3.0 17 -
CAR 1.7 18 1.9 18 -
TOTAL 101.0 109.9
Source: Philippine Statistics Authority, Census of Population and Housing an 2010 Census-based Population Projections in collaboration with the Inter-Agency Working Group on Population
Projections
POPULATION BY AGE GROUP
50
By 2020, the share of the
working age population is
40
37.6
38.7 projected to increase to 69.7%
from 68.3% in 2015.
31.7
30.3
30
Contributory to this increase
are the growth of share in the
19.5
20 18.4 prime and elderly age group.
12.6
Portion of youth population
11.2
10
will decline by 2020.
0
Less than 15 15 -24 25 - 54 55 and over
Source: Philippine Statistics Authority, 2015 Census of Population and Housing and 2010 Census-based Population Projections
KEY EMPLOYMENT INDICATORS
PHILIPPINES 2010-2016
INDICATOR 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016P
Labor Force (‘000) 38,893 40,006 40,426 39,088 41,379 41,342 43,356
Employed Persons (‘000) 36,035 37,192 37,600 36,286 38,651 38,741 40,993
Unemployed Persons (‘000) 2,859 2,814 2,826 2,801 2,728 2,602 2,363
Underemployed Persons (‘000) 6,762 7,163 7,514 6,912 7,118 7,180 7,512
Labor Participation Rate (%) 64.1 64.6 64.2 63.9 64.6 63.7 63.5
Employment Rate (%) 92.0 92.8 93.1 92.8 93.4 93.7 94.5
Unemployment Rate (%) 8.0 7.2 7.0 7.2 6.6 6.3 5.5
Underemployment Rate (%) 18.8 19.3 20.0 19.0 18.4 18.5 18.3
Youth Unemployment Rate (%) 17.6 16.3 16.2 16.1 15.3 15.0 16.1
Source: Philippine Statistics Authority, averages of four (4) rounds of 2010-2016 Labor Force Survey
P - Preliminary
* The annual estimates for 2013 and 2014 exclude Region VIII or Eastern Visayas.
The Philippine employment situation has generally reflected a positive trend from
2010 to 2016.
KEY EMPLOYMENT INDICATORS
PHILIPPINES 2016 – 2022 PROJECTIONS
INDICATOR 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
From 2016 to 2022, the PEPM 2015 forecasts that the Philippine employment
situation will continue the positive trend recorded in the last seven (7) years.
EMPLOYED BY REGION
% SHARE
Region IV-A, NCR, and REGION 2022 RANK
Region III recorded the 2016 RANK RANK (+/-)
PROJECTION DIFF
top 3 highest
employment share in REGION IV-A 13.9 1 13.2 1 (0.7) -
2016 among the 17 NCR 12.8 2 2 (0.6) -
administrative regions. 11.6
While CAR has the REGION III 10.7 3 10.1 3 (0.6) -
lowest share in REGION VII 7.9 4 8.2 4 0.3 -
employment. REGION VI 7.8 5 7.8 5 0.0 -
REGION V 5.7 6 6.1 6 0.4 -
By 2022, Region IV-A, REGION X 4.9 7 4.9 8 0.0
NCR, and Region III’s REGION XI 4.9 8 4.7 10 (0.2)
employment will remain REGION I 4.8 9 5.0 7 0.2
the top highest but the REGION XII 4.5 10 4.5 11 0.2
shares is projected to REGION VIII 4.4 11 9 0.5
4.9
decline.
REGION IX 3.8 12 3.7 12 (0.1) -
Biggest employment REGION II 3.6 13 3.5 13 (0.1) -
share gainer are Region MIMAROPA 3.1 14 3.4 14 0.3 -
VII, Region V, and ARMM 2.8 15 3.3 15 0.5 -
ARMM CARAGA 2.6 16 2.8 16 0.2 -
Source: Philippine Statistics Authority, Labor Force Survey CAR 1.9 17 2.0 17 0.1 -
and DOLE PEPM 2015
EMPLOYMENT
BY SEX
From 2010-2015, the
Employment Rate by Sex (2010-2015) average employment rate of
94.5
94.2 men is 92.9 % with an
93.9
94.0 average of 0.2 % growth
93.5
93.4
93.3
93.4 every year.
93.2
93.1 93.1
93.0
92.7
92.8 92.7 On the other hand,
92.5
92.4
women employment
has a higher rate with an
92.0
average of 93.5 % and 0.2
91.5
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
% growth annually.
MALE FEMALE
Baseline
5.5% is the lowest point
2013 2014 2015 2016 2022 recorded since 2006.
2012
➢ PDP 2011-2016 unemployment
UNEMPLOYMENT
2,826 2,905 2,728 2,602 2,363 targets achieved
(‘000)
HIGHEST GRADE
Notably, most of the
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
COMPLETED unemployed are educated
No Grade Completed 2.2 1.8 2.1 2.4 1.7 1.5 individuals who
Elementary 3.3 3.1 3.2 3.3 2.9 2.9 reached/attained high school,
Undergraduate 3.1 2.8 2.8 3.0 2.6 2.8 post-secondary, and college
Graduate 3.5 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.2 3.0
level.
High School 8.4 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.0 6.8
Undergraduate 7.0 6.0 6.3 6.4 5.6 5.6
Graduate
Jobseekers who are college
9.0 8.8 8.6 8.4 7.5 7.3
Post-secondary - - 12.9 12.0 10.9 10.3
undergraduates or graduates
Undergraduate - - 12.1 10.9 9.5 10.5
are less likely to get
Graduate - - 13.2 12.3 11.1 10.2 employed compared to
College 10.3 10.0 9.2 9.5 9.3 8.5 jobseekers with lower level
Undergraduate 11.3 10.9 9.9 10.2 9.8 8.7 of educational attainment.
Graduate and Higher 9.4 9.3 8.8 9.1 9.0 8.3
Agriculture sector employment Source: Philippines Statistics Authority (PSA), Labor Force Survey (LFS)
contracted within the last half decade. This was driven by the growth of the wholesale
and
The larger portion was mostly retail services and BPO sub-sectors. The
absorbed by the services sector.
industry sector growth was fueled by manufacturing
primarily by electronics products.
EMPLOYMENT
BY CLASS OF WORKER
Employment in the
formal sector or wage
and salary employment
has been increasing
Self-employed workers
accounted for 27.6% while
workers in own-family operated
business and unpaid family
workers had less than 10% each.
Source: Philippines Statistics Authority (PSA), Labor Force Survey (LFS)
UNDEREMPLOYMENT
BY SECTOR
➢ Lack of quality of
employment is the key issue
➢ Underemployment ranged at 18
to 20% over the past years.
➢ Underemployment
correspondingly decline in times
of high GDP growth but increase
in times of economic slowdown.
➢ Underemployment is dominant
in the agriculture sector.
Source: Philippines Statistics Authority (PSA), Labor Force Survey (LFS)
YOUTH NOT IN EDUCATION AND NOT
IN EMPLOYMENT (NEE)
NUMBER OF NUMBER OF TOTAL NUMBER OF NEE (2010-2015)
YEAR YOUTH NEE PERCENTAGE
('000) ('000) 4,750,000
2010 18,220 4,591 25.2%
4,700,000
4,690,000
2011 18,576 4,514 24.3% 4,669,000
4,650,000
2012 18,928 4,690 24.8%
4,600,000 4,591,000
2013 19,285 4,669 24.2%
4,550,000
2014 19,223 4,435 23.1%
4,514,000
4,500,000
2015 19,522 4,439 22.7%
4,450,000
4,435,000 4,439,000
In 2012, the total number of youth NEE had a 4,400,000
39%
Academic
➢ Around 2 out of 5 Grade 11 students
Technical Vocational Livelihood
Arts and Design Track are enrolled in the Tech-Voc track the
61%
Sports Track
most subscribed course is Bread and
Pastry Production (NC II), Cookery
(NC II), Food and Beverage
Services (NC II).
Source: Department of Education
LABOR SUPPLY
OUTLOOK
Annually, the percentage of school-aged population participating in basic education is
expected to increase by an average of 1.50%.
BASELINE TARGETS
INDICATORS
(2015) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
KINDER 74.65% 77.56% 80.46% 83.37% 86.28% 89.19% 92.09% 95.00%
ELEMENTARY 91.05% 91.61% 92.18% 92.74% 93.31% 93.87% 94.44% 95.00%
JUNIOR HIGH SCHOOL 68.15% 69.19% 70.23% 71.27% 72.32% 73.36% 74.40% 75.44%
SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL No Baseline Yet
On the other hand, the proportion of students completing basic education is expected to
increase by an average of 0.79% yearly.
ELEMENTARY 83.43% 84.37% 85.31% 86.25% 87.18% 88.12% 89.06% 90.00%
JUNIOR HIGH SCHOOL 73.97% 76.49% 76.82% 77.15% 77.48% 77.82% 78.15% 78.48%
SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL No Baseline Yet
PEIS (2015-2016)
4%
WITHOUT
WORK
EXPERIENCE
96%