NorQuant Multi-Asset Fund White Paper 2023
NorQuant Multi-Asset Fund White Paper 2023
White Paper
Marketing Material
1. Introduction 4
2. The Power of Diversification 5
3. Static vs. Dynamic Asset Allocation 7
4. Harnessing Momentum 9
5. Modern Portfolio Optimisation 10
6. Strengths of a Rules-Based Investment Strategy 11
7. The Ensemble Edge 12
8. Our Investment Process 13
9. Fund Performance Since Inception 14
10. Advantages of Investing in NorQuant Multi-Asset 19
11. Conclusion and The Road Ahead 20
12. Relevant Research 21
As we approach its three-year mark, this white paper the sequential steps taken by NorQuant Multi-Asset.
outlines the principles and strategies that have Chapter 9 highlights the impressive results achieved
guided its journey and performance to date. since inception, demonstrating the strength and
resilience of our approach. In Chapters 10 and 11,
In the chapters that follow, we delve into the we discuss the unique advantages of investing in
theoretical underpinnings and practical aspects NorQuant Multi-Asset and look ahead.
of our rules-based investment philosophy.
Chapters 2-7 provide a comprehensive e xploration Whether you are already a part of our journey,
of the foundational principles that guide our contemplating an investment, or simply seeking to
approach, offering insights into the importance understand more about multi-asset investing, this
of diversification, the dynamic nature of asset document aims to offer a clear and comprehensive
allocation, and the role of momentum, volatility, understanding of how NorQuant Multi-Asset
and correlation in portfolio construction. Chapter 8 operates. Join us in exploring the approach,
showcases the implementation of these principles methods, and results that define our fund.
into our systematic investment strategy, detailing
Predicting returns is very challenging due to the and entire asset classes. Specific sectors or regional
inherent efficiency of markets, which severely limits markets, riding on their recent successes, may
opportunities for consistent outperformance. Yet, a exhibit continued positive performance.
significant exception in this scenario is the momen-
tum effect. This phenomenon, consistently observed When considering a spectrum of asset classes,
across markets and thoroughly documented in momentum strategies could involve strategic
a vast amount of academic papers, provides an rotations among equities, bonds, commodities, and
intriguing avenue for potentially enhancing returns. real estate, all predicated on their relative recent
performance. This approach not only capitalizes
Momentum in Stocks on prevailing economic trends but also offers the
Momentum, as an investment principle, identifies potential for relative outperformance. For example,
the proclivity of stocks that have recently performed equities might be the preferred choice during robust
well to continue their upward trend, while the economic growth, while bonds or other defensive
converse is true for those that have lagged. This assets might gain prominence during economic
trend, prevalent across various markets and time- contractions.
frames, offers a structured approach for investors.
By aligning investment decisions with recent In conclusion, momentum, whether at the stock,
performance trends, one can potentially benefit index, or asset class level, offers a nuanced and
from this momentum dynamic. Behavioral factors, potentially rewarding approach to investing.
such as investor reactions to new information and By understanding and judiciously leveraging
prevailing market sentiments, often underpin this momentum, investors can craft strategies that are
momentum effect. both responsive to market dynamics and aligned
with broader investment goals.
Momentum in Indices and Asset Classes
Beyond individual stocks, momentum can also be
discerned at broader levels, encompassing indices
Together with momentum, which aids in identify- Utilizing these short-term estimates in minimum
ing assets with high expected returns, volatility and variance optimization offers:
correlation form the backbone of optimal portfolio
construction. Let’s delve deeper into the nuances of Current Market Resonance: Portfolios are tailored
forecasting and leveraging volatility and correlation to the prevailing market conditions, aiming for better
for optimal results. risk-adjusted outcomes.
While financial markets often display unpredictability Dynamic Risk Management: With a focus on
in directional movements and returns, discernible minimizing volatility, portfolios remain adaptive to
patterns emerge in the realms of volatility and evolving market risks.
correlation, particularly in the short term. Empirical
studies indicate the presence of volatility clustering, Efficient Portfolio Design: Prioritizing recent data
where high volatility phases often precede similar reduces potential errors, leading to more accurate
volatile intervals and vice versa for tranquil periods. and risk-attuned portfolio structures.
Similarly, asset correlations are subject to change
over time, influenced by evolving market dynamics In summation, while no estimation technique
and macroeconomic developments. Factors such guarantees perfection, leveraging short-term
as shifts in monetary policy or geopolitical events historical data for discerning volatility and
can lead to varied responses across different asset correlations can provide a sturdy foundation for
classes or regions, or alternatively, cause them to portfolio crafting. Melding this with minimum
move more in sync. variance optimization principles yields portfolios
that are attuned to current market dynamics and
Using short-term history (typically spanning 1 to primed for risk containment. Such a nimble, data-
6 months) for estimating volatility and correlation centric methodology presents a robust alternative
provides a contemporary and efficient snapshot, to traditional, longer-term anchored investment
capturing the pulse of the current market dynamics. strategies.
Research: Rooting the strategy in established finan- Transparency: Employing a predefined set of rules
cial principles ensures its foundation in time-tested renders the investment process transparent and
methodologies. This synergy with academic insights easy to communicate. Investors gain clarity about
marries theoretical soundness with practical applica- the mechanics behind portfolio allocations, fostering
tion. trust and understanding.
Efficiency: With set rules in place, the investment In summary, a rules-based investment strategy
process can be largely automated, leading to offers a concise and streamlined approach to asset
operational efficiency. This streamlining reduces management, adeptly combining empirical research
the time and resources required for investment with the practicalities of the financial world.
decisions and execution.
Data Aggregation: The initial phase involves Portfolio Optimization: The fund then engages
collecting extensive data on a wide range of indices, in Minimum Variance Optimization, using the
encompassing equities, bonds, real estate, and algorithm’s estimated volatilities and correlations
commodities from various geographical regions. to construct a portfolio aimed at maximizing risk-
This data serves as the primary input for the fund’s adjusted returns.
algorithm.
Monitoring & Monthly Rebalancing: The fund
Momentum Selection: Using historical price adheres to a monthly rebalancing schedule. We
data, NorQuant’s proprietary momentum models have found that this interval strikes a good balance
rank and select indices exhibiting strong momentum between adapting to significant market develop-
for inclusion in the portfolio. ments—such as changes in return, volatility, or cor-
relation dynamics—and not reacting to short-term
Volatility and Correlation Estimation: Once the noise. Monthly rebalancing ensures that the port-
indices for inclusion in the fund’s portfolio have been folio remains consistently aligned with its strategic
selected, NorQuant’s proprietary models use recent objectives and risk profile.
historical data of these indices (typically spanning
1-6 months) to estimate volatility and correlation In essence, NorQuant Multi-Asset’s strategy
metrics. combines academic insights with pragmatic asset
management. Its systematic, algorithmic process has
resulted a clear, repeatable, and robust investment
Engelsk versjon
methodology.
Commodities
Real estate
Bonds
Equities
Chart 4:
A Simplified Visualization of NorQuant Multi-Asset’s Systematic, 100% Rules-Based Investment Process.
Although the precise rating remains to be seen, the In the landscape of Norwegian balanced funds with
exceptional performance of the fund bodes well moderate risk profiles, NorQuant Multi-Asset stands
for a favorable evaluation. If the fund continues its out with its robust results. Moreover, the fund’s
current trajectory of performance over the next performance is noteworthy even when compared to
couple of months, a top rating of four or five stars a wider array of European, US, and global balanced
could very well be within reach. funds.
NorQuant Multi-Asset has exhibited a strong track Illustrated in Chart 5, the fund’s ascent since its
record over the past three years, delivering a nearly launch in January 2021 is marked by outperforming
30% total return, which translates to an impres- its benchmark—a balanced mix of 50% global stocks
sive annualized rate of approximately 9-10%. This and 50% global bonds. Chart 6 further positions
robust performance has been accompanied by a NorQuant Multi-Asset among the leading funds
well-managed volatility profile around 10%, and a when compared to a selection of about 15 t actical
Sharpe ratio close to 1, based on a risk-free rate of asset allocation ETFs, emphasizing its s uperior
zero percent. This blend of high returns and moder- risk-adjusted performance. These outcomes are
ate volatility underlines the fund’s proficient risk-ad- a testament to the fund’s strategic precision in
justed strategy. navigating market conditions to deliver compelling
returns for its investors.
NorQuant Multi-Asset A -
Teoretisk avkastning basert på valutakursen ved slutten av måneden uten handelskostnad
Thomas Nygaard
CEO / Portfolio Manager
Mobile: +47 991 22 033
E-mail: tn@norquant.no