Answers
Answers
67
ANSWERS/ SOLUTIONS
Answers to Theoretical Questions
1. Please refer paragraph 10.
2. Please refer paragraph 4.
Answers to the Practical Questions
1. Here we can assume two cases (i) If investor is US investor then there will be no impact of
appreciation in $. (ii) If investor is from any other nation other than US say Indian then there
will be impact of $ appreciation on his returns.
First we shall compute return on bond which will be common for both investors.
(Price at end - Price at begining)+ Interest
Return =
Price at begining
£
£ receipt as per Forward Rate (Can $ 5,00,000/ Can$ 2.535) 1,97,239
£ receipt as per Spot Rate (Can $ 5,00,000/ Can$ 2.40) 2,08,333
Loss due to forward contract 11,094
£
£ receipt as per Forward Rate (Can $ 5,00,000/ Can$ 2.535) 1,97,239
£ receipt as per Spot Rate (Can $ 5,00,000/ Can$ 2.50) 2,00,000
Loss due to forward contract 2,761
Bid Ask
Swap Points for 2 months (a) 70 90
Swap Points for 3 months (b) 160 186
Swap Points for 30 days (c) = (b) – (a) 90 96
Swap Points for 15 days (d) = (c)/2 45 48
Swap Points for 2 months & 15 days (e) = (a) + (d) 115 138
Bid Ask
Spot Rate (a) 66.2525 67.5945
Swap Points for 2 months & 15 days (b) 0.0115 0.0138
66.2640 67.6083
Bid Ask
Spot Rate (a) 66.2525 67.5945
Foreign Exchange Rates for 66.2640 67.6083
20 th June 2016 (b)
Premium (c) 0.0115 0.0138
Total (d) = (a) + (b) 132.5165 135.2028
Average (d) / 2 66.2583 67.6014
6. Since the direct quote for ¥ and ` is not available it will be calculated by cross exchange rate
as follows:
`/$ x $/¥ = `/¥
62.22/102.34 = 0.6080
Spot rate on date of export 1¥ = ` 0.6080
Expected Rate of ¥ for August 2014 = ` 0.5242 (` 65/¥124)
Forward Rate of ¥ for August 2014 = ` 0.6026 (` 66.50/¥110.35)
(i) Calculation of expected loss without hedging
7. The bank (Dealer) covers itself by buying from the market at market selling rate.
Rupee – Dollar selling rate = ` 42.85
Dollar – Hong Kong Dollar = HK $ 7.5880
Rupee – Hong Kong cross rate = ` 42.85 / 7.5880
= ` 5.6471
Profit / Loss to the Bank
Amount received from customer (1 crore × 5.70) ` 5,70,00,000
Amount paid on cover deal (1 crore × 5.6471) ` 5,64,71,000
Profit to Bank ` 5,29,000
8. Amount realized on selling Danish Kroner 10,00,000 at ` 6.5150 per Kroner = ` 65,15,000.
Cover at London:
Bank buys Danish Kroner at London at the market selling rate.
Pound sterling required for the purchase (DKK 10,00,000 ÷ DKK 11.4200) = GBP 87,565.67
Bank buys locally GBP 87,565.67 for the above purchase at the market selling rate of
` 74.3200.
The rupee cost will be = ` 65,07,88
Profit (` 65,15,000 - ` 65,07,881) = ` 7,119
Cover at New York:
Bank buys Kroners at New York at the market selling rate.
Dollars required for the purchase of Danish Kroner (DKK10,00,000 ÷ 7.5670) = USD
1,32,152.77
Bank buys locally USD 1,32,152.77 for the above purchase at the market selling rate of
` 49.2625.
The rupee cost will be = ` 65,10,176.
Profit (` 65,15,000 - ` 65,10,176) = ` 4,824
The transaction would be covered through London which gets the maximum profit of
` 7,119 or lower cover cost at London Market by (` 65,10,176 - ` 65,07,881) = ` 2,295
9. On January 28, 2013 the importer customer requested to remit SGD 25 lakhs.
To consider sell rate for the bank:
US $ = `45.90
Pound 1 = US$ 1.7850
(ii) In Japanese Yen, the net exposure is payable, and the forward rate is quoted at a
discount, effectively offsetting the position. Likewise, in the remaining currencies, the
net exposures are in receivables, and the related currencies are at a premium,
offsetting the positions in their respective currencies.
11. (i) US $ required to get ` 25 lakhs after 2 months at the Rate of ` 47/$
` 25,00,000
∴ = US $ 53191.489
` 47
(iii) Convert GBP to USD at New York GBP 6,230,650.155 × 1.6231 USD 10,112,968.26
There is net gain of USD 10,112968.26 less USD 10,000,000 i.e. USD 112,968.26
14. (i) Under the given circumstances, the USD is expected to quote at a premium in India
as the interest rate is higher in India.
(ii) Calculation of the forward rate:
1 + R h F1
=
1 + R f Eo
Where: Rh is home currency interest rate, Rf is foreign currency interest rate, F1 is end
of the period forward rate, and Eo is the spot rate.
1 + ( 0.10/2 ) F1
Therefore =
1 + ( 0.04 / 2 ) 55.50
1 + 0.05 F1
=
1 + 0.02 55.50
1.05
or × 55.50 =
F1
1.02
58.275
or = F1
1.02
or F1 = `57.13
(iii) Rate of premium:
57.13 - 55.50 12
× × 100 =
5.87%
55.50 6
15. (i) Calculation of expected spot rate for September, 2009:
Therefore, the expected spot value of $ for £ for September, 2009 would be $ 1.81.
(ii) If the six-month forward rate is $ 1.80, the expected profits of the firm can be
maximised by retaining its pounds receivable.
16.
(ii) It is seen from the forward rates that the market expectation is that the dollar will
depreciate. If the firm's own expectation is that the dollar will depreciate more than
what the bank has quoted, it may be worthwhile not to cover forward and keep the
exposure open.
If the firm has no specific view regarding future dollar price movements, it would be better to
cover the exposure. This would freeze the total commitment and insulate the firm from undue
market fluctuations. In other words, it will be advisable to cut the losses at this point of time.
Given the interest rate differentials and inflation rates between India and USA, it would be
unwise to expect continuous depreciation of the dollar. The US Dollar is a stronger currency
than the Indian Rupee based on past trends and it would be advisable to cover the exposure.
19. (i) Rate of discount quoted by the bank
(45.20 - 45.60) × 365 × 100
= = 5.33%
45.60 × 60
(ii) Probable loss of operating profit:
(45.20 – 45.50) × 1,00,000 = ` 30,000
20. Buy £ 62500 × 1.2806 = $ 80037.50
Sell £ 62500 × 1.2816 = $ 80100.00
Profit $ 62.50
Alternatively, if the market comes back together before December 15, the dealer could unwind
his position (by simultaneously buying £ 62,500 forward and selling a futures contract. Both
for delivery on December 15) and earn the same profit of $ 62.5.
21. If importer pays now, he will have to buy US$ in Spot Market by availing overdraft facility.
Accordingly, the outflow under this option will be
`
Amount required to purchase $130000[$130000 X `48.36] 6286800
Add: Overdraft Interest for 3 months @15% p.a. 235755
6522555
If importer makes payment after 3 months then, he will have to pay interest for 3 months @
5% p.a. for 3 month along with the sum of import bill. Accordingly, he will have to buy $ in
forward market. The outflow under this option will be as follows:
$
Amount of Bill 130000
Add: Interest for 3 months @5% p.a. 1625
131625
Amount to be paid in Indian Rupee after 3 month under the forward purchase contract
` 6427249 (US$ 131625 X ` 48.83)
Since outflow of cash is least in (ii) option, it should be opted for.
22. (i) Pay the supplier in 60 days
If the payment is made to supplier in 60 days the applicable ` 63.15
forward rate for 1 USD
Payment Due USD 1 crore
Outflow in Rupees (USD 1 crore × ` 63.15) ` 63.15 crore
Add: Interest on loan for 30 days@9.5% p.a. ` 0.50 crore
Total Outflow in ` ` 63.65 crore
(ii) Availing supplier’s offer of 90 days credit
Amount Payable USD 1.00000 crore
Add: Interest on credit period for 30 days@7.75% p.a. USD 0.00646 crore
Total Outflow in USD USD 1.00646 crore
Applicable forward rate for 1 USD ` 63.45
Total Outflow in ` (USD 1.00646 crore ×` 63.45) ` 63.86 crore
23.
(`)
Present Exchange Rate `65 = 1 US$
If company purchases US$ 60,000 forward premium is
60000 × 64 × 2% 76,800
Interest on `76,800 for 6 months at 12% 4,608
Total hedging cost 81,408
If exchange rate is `68
Then gain (`68 – `64) for US$ 60,000 2,40,000
Less: Hedging cost 81,408
Net gain 1,58,592
If US$ = `62
Then loss (`64 – `62) for US$ 60,000 1,20,000
Add: Hedging Cost 81,408
Total Loss 2,01,408
If US$ = `70
Then Gain (`70 – `64) for US$ 60,000 3,60,000
Less: Hedging Cost 81,408
Total Gain 2,78,592
If US$ = `65
Then Gain (` 65 – ` 64) for US$ 60,000 60,000
Less: Hedging Cost 81,408
Net Loss 21,408
Total
(` )
Sum due Yen 78,00,000 US$1,02,300 Euro 95,920
Unit input price Yen 650 US$10.23 Euro 11.99
Unit sold 12000 10000 8000
Variable cost per unit ` 225/- ` 395/- ` 510/-
Variable cost ` 27,00,000 ` 39,50,000 ` 40,80,000 ` 1,07,30,000
26.
Spot Rate = `40,00,000 /US$83,312 = 48.0123
Forward Premium on US$ = [(48.8190 – 48.0123)/48.0123] x 12/6 x 100
= 3.36%
(iii) Place DM 1503.76 in the money market for 3 months to obtain a sum of DM
Principal: 1503.76
Add: Interest @ 7% for 3 months = 26.32
Total 1530.08
(iv) Sell DM at 3-months forward to obtain Can$= (1530.08x0.67) = 1025.15
(v) Refund the debt taken in Can$ with the interest due on it, i.e.,
Can$
Principal 1000.00
Add: Interest @9% for 3 months 22.50
Total 1022.50
Net arbitrage gain = 1025.15 – 1022.50 = Can$ 2.65
28. The only thing lefts Rohit and Bros to cover the risk in the money market. The following steps
are required to be taken:
(i) Borrow pound sterling for 3- months. The borrowing has to be such that at the end of
three months, the amount becomes £ 500,000. Say, the amount borrowed is £ x.
Therefore
(ii) Convert the borrowed sum into rupees at the spot rate. This gives: £493,827 × ` 56 =
` 27,654,312
(iii) The sum thus obtained is placed in the money market at 12 per cent to obtain at the
end of 3- months:
(iv) The sum of £500,000 received from the client at the end of 3- months is used to refund
the loan taken earlier.
From the calculations. It is clear that the money market operation has resulted into a
net gain of ` 483,941 (` 28,483,941 – ` 500,000 × 56).
If pound sterling has depreciated in the meantime. The gain would be even bigger.
1 + in A
S1 = S0
1 + in B
1 + (0.075) × 3
S1 = £0.7570 12
1 + (0.035) × 3
12
1.01875
= £0.7570
1.00875
= £0.7570 × 1.0099 = £0.7645
= UK £0.7645 / US$
32. (i) The contract is to be cancelled on 30-10-2010 at the spot buying rate of US$ 1
= ` 41.5000
Less: Margin Money 0.075% = ` 0.0311
= ` 41.4689 or ` 41.47
US$ 20,000 @ ` 41.47 = ` 8,29,400
` 2,47,109
Since outflow of cash is least in case of Option same should be opted for. Further if
price of INR goes above JY 2.125/INR the outflow shall further be reduced.
34. The company can hedge position by selling future contracts as it will receive amount from
outside.
Company would like to take out 20 contracts for July and 14 contracts for September
respectively. Therefore costs, if the options were exercised, will be:
July Sept.
Can $ US $ Can $ US $
Decision: As the firm is stated as risk averse and the money due to be paid is certain, a fixed
forward contract, being the cheapest alternative in the both the cases, would be
recommended.
37. (i) Receipt under three proposals
(a) Proposal of Mr. Peter
€ 2.8 million
Invoicing in £ will produce = = £ 2.340 million
1.1965
(b) Proposal of Mr. Wilson
Forward Rate = € 1.1970-0.0055 = 1.1915
€ 2.8 million
Using Forward Market hedge Sterling receipt would be =
1.1915
£ 2.35 million
(c) Proposal of Ms. Karen
The equivalent sterling of the order placed based on future price (€1.1943)
€ 2.8 million
= = £ 2,344,470 (rounded off)
1.1943
£2,344,470
Number of Contracts = = 37 Contracts (to the nearest whole number)
62,500
€ Receipt
Amount to be hedged = € 590,000
(i) Forward market hedge
Sell 4 months' forward contract accordingly, amount
receivable after 4 months will be (€ 590,000 x1.9510) = US$ 1,151,090
(ii) Money market hedge
For money market hedge Columbus shall borrow in
€ and then translate to US$ and deposit in US$
For receipt of € 590,000 in 4 months (@ 5.33% interest)
amount required to be borrowed now (€590,000 ÷ 1.0533) = € 560,144
With spot rate of 1.8890 the US$ deposit will be = US$ 1,058,113
Deposit amount will increase over 4 months
(@3.83% interest) will be = US$ 1,098,639
In this case, more will be received in US$ under the forward hedge.
39. (a) Forward contract: Dollar needed in 180 days = £3,00,000 x $ 1.96 = $5,88,000/-
(b) Money market hedge: Borrow $, convert to £, invest £, repay $ loan in 180 days
Amount in £ to be invested = 3,00,000/1.045 = £ 2,87,081
Amount of $ needed to convert into £ = 2,87,081 x 2 = $ 5,74,162
Interest and principal on $ loan after 180 days = $5,74,162 x 1.055 = $ 6,05,741
(c) Call option:
Expected Prem./ Exercise Total Total price Prob. Pi pixi
Spot rate in unit Option price per for
180 days unit £3,00,000xi
1.91 0.04 No 1.95 5,85,000 0.25 1,46,250
1.95 0.04 No 1.99 5,97,000 0.60 3,58,200
2.05 0.04 Yes 2.01* 6,03,000 0.15 90,450
5,94,900
Add: Interest on Premium @ 5.5% (12,000 x 5.5%) 660
5,95,560
* ($1.97 + $0.04)
GBP = 1 1
to
USD 1.5617 USD 1.5673
GBP = 1 1
to
USD 1.5455 USD 1.5609
42. Option I (To finance the purchases by availing loan at 18% per annum):
Advise: Option 2 is cheaper by (1092.03 – 1006.13) lakh or ` 85.90 lakh. Hence, the offer
may be accepted.
43. (A) To cover payable and receivable in forward Market
Amount payable after 3 months $7,00,000
Forward Rate ` 48.45
Thus Payable Amount (`) (A) ` 3,39,15,000
Amount receivable after 2 months $ 4,50,000
Forward Rate ` 48.90
Thus Receivable Amount (`) (B) ` 2,20,05,000
Interest @ 12% p.a. for 1 month (C) ` 2,20,050
Net Amount Payable in (`) (A) – (B) – (C) ` 1,16,89,950
(B) Assuming that since the forward contract for receivable was already booked it shall be
cancelled if we lag the receivables. Accordingly, any profit/ loss on cancellation of
contract shall also be calculated and shall be adjusted as follows:
Amount Payable ($) $7,00,000
Amount receivable after 3 months $ 4,50,000
Net Amount payable $2,50,000
Applicable Rate ` 48.45
Amount payable in (`) (A) ` 1,21,12,500
Profit on cancellation of Forward cost ` 2,70,000
(48.90 – 48.30) × 4,50,000 (B)
Thus, net amount payable in (`) (A) + (B) ` 1,18,42,500
Since net payable amount is least in case of first option, hence the company should cover
payable and receivables in forward market.
Note: In the question it has not been clearly mentioned that whether quotes given for 2 and
3 months (in points terms) are premium points or direct quotes. Although above solution is
based on the assumption that these are direct quotes, but students can also consider them
as premium points and solve the question accordingly.
44. The contract would be cancelled at the one-month forward sale rate of ` 27.52.
`
Francs bought from customer under original forward contract at: 27.25
It is sold to him on cancellation at: 27.52
Net amount payable by customer per Franc 0.27
= £ 3,28,947
Less: Amount Invested $ 5,00,000
Interest accrued thereon $ 5,000
= $ 5,05,000
Equivalent amount of £ required to pay the
above sum ($ 5,05,000/1.5430*) = £ 3,27,285
Arbitrage Profit =£ 1,662
(ii) If investment is made at New York
Gain $ 5,00,000 (8% - 4%) x 3/12 = $ 5,000
Equivalent amount in £ 3 months ($ 5,000/ 1.5475) £ 3,231
(iii) If investment is made at Frankfurt
Convert US$ 500,000 at Spot Rate (Cross Rate) 1.8260/1.5390= € 1.1865
Euro equivalent US$ 500,000 = € 5,93,250
Add: Interest for 3 months @ 3% =€ 4,449
= € 5,97,699
3 month Forward Rate of selling € (1/1.8150) = £ 0.5510
Sell € in Forward Market € 5,97,699 x £ 0.5510 = £ 3,29,332
Less: Amounted invested and interest thereon = £ 3,27,285
Arbitrage Profit = £ 2,047
Since out of three options the maximum profit is in case investment is made in New
York. Hence it should be opted.
* Due to conservative outlook.
50. (a) The following swap arrangement can be entered by Drilldip.
(i) Swap a US$ loan today at an agreed rate with any party to obtain Indian
Rupees (`) to make initial investment.
(ii) After one year swap back the Indian Rupees with US$ at the agreed rate.
In such case the company is exposed only on the profit earned from the
project.
Year 0 Year 1
(Million US$) (Million US$)
Buy ` 500 crore at spot rate of 1US$ = ` 50 (100.00) ----
Swap ` 500 crore back at agreed rate of ` 50 ---- 100.00
Sell ` 240 crore at 1US$ = ` 54 ---- 44.44
Interest on US$ loan @8% for one year ---- (8.00)
(100.00) 136.44
The Bank has to buy spot TT Sw. Fcs. 5,000 to increase the balance in Nostro account to
Sw. Fcs. 30,000.
This would bring down the oversold position on Sw. Fcs. as Nil.
Since the bank requires an overbought position of Sw. Fcs. 10,000, it has to buy forward Sw. Fcs.
10,000.