Youth Crime Project Part 1 Age Crime
Youth Crime Project Part 1 Age Crime
AGE A N D CRIME
Satyanshu K. Mukherjee
(/ j f ^> - x
AUSTRALIAN INSTITUTE 0? CREMENOLOGY
Jj. AUDTRAUA,^
YOUTH AND CRIME PROJECT
Part I
Satyanshu K. Mukherjee
A U S T R A L I A N INSTITUTE OF CRIMINOLOGY
Published by the Australian Institute of Criminology,
10 18 Colbee Court, Phillip, A.C.T., Australia. 2606.
364.3'6
In recent years 'rising' serious crimes by juveniles have been given con-
siderable attention by scholars, administrators, and the media. Significant
changes in the laws pertaining t o juveniles have been made, some of which
prescribe severe punishments for juveniles who indulge in serious law viol-
ations. The late 1960s saw the granting of certain rights, which were available
only to adults, t o juveniles. It is clear from available records that these
changes were neither based on nor accompanied by systematic studies of the
problem of juvenile misbehaviour. Is serious criminal behaviour among
juveniles increasing? This is the question which this study attempts to
answer.
In this monograph arrest data from Australia, the United Kingdom, and
the United States of America are used to examine trends in juvenile and
adult criminal behaviour. Persons arrested for violent crimes, for example,
homicide and serious assault, and property crimes, for example, robbery,
burglary, motor vehicle theft, larceny, and fraud and forgery in these countries
during approximately t w o decades are analysed. As will be described in the
text, this is the first part of a large study on youth and crime.
The Youth and Crime project began as a minor research project at the
Australian Institute of Criminology. But it soon became apparent that the
problem of serious criminal behaviour among juveniles could not be dealt
with adequately by such a study, as such the scope of the study was signific-
antly expanded. A large volume of unpublished statistics were collected to
examine the problem. In this respect most generous help was given by each
of the police departments in Australia. I am indebted to the officers of these
departments for their support.
A number of persons assisted in typing and typesetting. I am grateful to
Evelyn Jacobsen, Trish Psaila, Nancy Smith (University of Manitoba, Winni-
peg) and Christine Grant.
CONTENTS
Preface
Section I — Introduction
The Present Study
Survey of Literature and Views
A juvenile, for the Australian part of the study, is a person who is under
the age of 17 years. This is not an age used in every Australian jurisdiction;
the dichotomy used in this research was dictated by practical considerations.
Data for Australia as a whole and those for the eight States and Territories
were collected from different sources4 and hence the Australian totals for an
offence will not be the same as the totals for eight jurisdictions. Furthermore,
the Australian series covers a much longer period than the State series.
Offences selected for analysis are: Homicide; Serious/Aggravated Assault;
Robbery; Burglary; Larceny; Motor Vehicle Theft; Fraud, Forgery, etcetera.
After a brief survey of current perspectives, predictions and predilections,
youth crime in Australia will be analysed. National patterns for selected
offences will be compared with patterns in the United States and England
and Wales. This will be followed by a description of trends in the eight
Australian jurisdictions. In the concluding section, besides summarising the
main findings, some tentative hypotheses will be offered and the following
two parts of the research will be described.
3
Type of Offence
Offender Index Non-index Total
We are able to assert, however, that once an offense has been committed, the
probability of a repeat of the same type of violation is somewhat greater than
the likelihood of the initial offense. But as we earlier pointed out, these increased
probabilities of repeats of the same type of offense can be explained, under the
assumption of a stationary transition process, as the product of the accumulation
of a large number of offenses rather than as the product of any special proclivity
toward offense specialization. Thus in order to prevent the occurrence of serious
crimes in a delinquent boy's future, efforts should be made to prevent all forms
of recidivism. 6
Wolfgang's study has not proved that most serious crime is committed
by repeaters. Second, in Wolfgang's study no conclusive evidence was found
with regard to 'persistent burglars or robbers'. The two paragraphs quoted
above throw ample doubt on this issue.
Wilson's position, which has attracted serious criticism, 12 is that confin-
ing criminals prevents a crime. He does not present any evidence. Actually
the research on which he depends largely for support tells otherwise. Consider,
Finally, we may briefly note that the effect of disposition on the offense histories
of the cohort members is unclear. It appears that the juvenile justice system has
been able to isolate the hard core offender fairly well. Unfortunately, the pro-
duct of this encounter with sanctioning authorities is far from desirable. Not
only do a greater number of those who receive punitive treatment (institutional-
ization, fine, or probation) continue to violate the law, but they also commit
more serious crimes with greater rapidity than those who experience a less
constraining contact with the judicial and correctional systems. Thus, we must
conclude that the juvenile justice system, at its best, has no effect on the subse-
quent behavior of adolescent boys and, at its worst, has a deleterious effect on
future behavior. For it is clear that, if a selection process is operating which
routes hard core delinquents into the courts and correctional institutions, no
benefit is derived from this encounter, for the subsequent offense rates and
13
seriousness scores show no reduction in volume and intensity.
This does not, however, deal with the issue of length of confinement.
Although exceedingly persuasive in recommending three to five years incap-
acitation for serious repeat offenders, Wilson lacks evidence. There is not yet
available enough information to take Wilson seriously. A more pertinent of
Wilson's works deals with age and crime. In a paper published in 1978,
Boland and Wilson commence their description of juvenile crime thus:
Persons under the age of 18 constitute about one fifth of the total population,
but they account for one quarter of all persons arrested and nearly one half of
all those arrested for one of the seven 'index' crimes. Many of these index
crimes, though serious, are nonviolent — burglary, auto theft, and larceny.
Unfortunately, however, the rate at which juveniles are arrested for violent
crimes — homicide, rape, robbery, and assault - has been growing faster than the
rate at which they are arrested for nonviolent crimes, and faster even than the
rate at which adults are arrested for violent crimes. Assuming, as seems likely,
that changes in arrest rates bear a reasonably close relationship to changes in
actual crime rates, we can conclude that juvenile violence has been increasing
faster than crime generally. 14
these cannot serve as indicators of actual juvenile crime rate. The reasons are
as follows:
(i) Juveniles are often arrested for less serious crimes than adults.
(ii) Juveniles tend to commit burglary, robbery and auto theft in
groups and therefore several juveniles may be arrested for one
offence.
(iii) Juveniles are neither accomplished criminals nor are they armed
with deadly weapons; they are likely t o be arrested easily.
A t the most aggregate level, including all index crimes, youths from 16 to 21 are
disporportionately overrepresented in arrests. However, as soon as we begin
restricting our attention to more serious offenses (homicide or rape) or serious
offenders (individual armed predators), we find that the proportion of youths
involved drops substantially. To sort out which types of offenses are predomin-
antly youth crimes, and thus possibly responsive to youth-releated sentencing
policies, we need to know more about the relative severity of offenses attributed
to different age groups.
Recent data from California also indicate the juvenile arrest rate is on a
downward trend. 20
Section II - N A T I O N A L D A T A
(iv) Because there are very few persons under the age of 10 involved
in serious crimes, in computing age and sex specific arrest rates
I have excluded population under the age of 10.
14 per cent of the corresponding female population. Data for England and
Wales, although including the same age groups as in Austrlaia, show the
proportion of juveniles in the population to be quite small. In 1964, boys in
England and Wales constituted four percentage points less than their counter-
parts in Australia and girls were almost five percentage points less. This gap
has reduced significantly in recent years. The American data include 17 year
old juveniles as well and hence the proportions are higher than in the other
two countries. However, the trend in this proportion is again at variance w i t h
those of Australia and England and Wales. Therefore, the three countries
present three distinct trends of the composition of the population, and this
should facilitate a better assessment of the allegation.
Table 2
a a b
Year AUSTRALIA ENGLAND & WALES UNITED STATES
a. A juvenile is a person aged 10 years or over but under the age of 17.
b. A juvenile is a person aged 10 years or over but under the age of 18.
10
Arrest Proportions
Tables 3.1 to 3.3 present the proportion of juveniles in the arrested
population in the three countries. In order to prove his point that the youths
of America have let themselves loose and are on a rampage, Professor Wilson
uses homicide data. It is not difficult to counter his conclusions. First, across
countries and over time I find not a trace of overrepresentation of youths in
homicide arrests. The data clearly demonstrate that juvenile boys and girls
account for far less a proportion of homicide arrests than their proportion
in the population. Second, I consider it entirely unfair to show increases in
arrests of young adults to mean increases in arrests of juveniles. Obviously,
the increase which Professor Wilson observed was in the age group 18-24;
and if their rate is calculated separately it would be higher than that which
concerned him.
Arrests for aggravated assault also show that boys, proportionate t o their
population, are underrepresented in all the three countries. Here again the
patterns seem to indicate that Wilson is inaccurate. Furthermore, the trends
in recent years in each of the three countries very clearly show that among
arrested population the proportion of boys is on the decline. The interesting
part of arrest data for aggravated assault is the representation of girls — they
are not necessarily underrepresented. Although the number of girls arrested
for violent offences is small compared to the number of boys, the patterns
are indicative of change. In the United States, girls constitute a consistently
higher proportion of the arrests for aggravated assault than in the total popul-
ation since 1971; in Australia and England and Wales, these trends are erratic.
It is also interesting to note that girls constitute a higher proportion of all
female arrests than boys of all male arrests.
Americans are a violent people, and America is a violent society. So goes
the cliche. Professor Wilson and those who hold similar views, have certainly
exacerbated such fears. Wilson is quite specific, however, and he suggests
that it is the American youth who is violent. Unfortunately, the definitions
of a youth considered in various studies are not uniform. Boland and Wilson
while describing juvenile crime obviously refer to youth as a person in the
age group 15 to 24; others have used age group 16 to 21 to mean youth. I
have, in this study, used the dichtomy juvenile and adult taking 17 or 18 as
the cut-off point. Thus 'youth' in this study will mean a juvenile.
Information on juveniles as proportion of population and as proportion
of arrests for violent offences are provided in Figure 1. The curves for all the
three countries are clear and it is evident that juvenile boys proportionate to
their population are underrepresented among those arrested for aggravated
assault and homicide. Conversely, therefore, adult males must constitute a
higher proportion among arrestees than their representation in the popul-
ation. In the United States the trends in juvenile arrests for violent offences
have followed roughly the population trend. The relatively sharp increases in
11
Table 3.1
AUSTRALIA
Table 10.7
Aggravated
Homicide Assault Robbery Burglary
Year Boys Girls Boys Girls Boys Girls Boys Girls
< 17 < 17 < 17 < 17 < 17 < 17 < 17 < 17
Table 10.7
UNITED STATES
Aggravated
Homicide Assault Robbery Burglary
Year "Boys Girls Boys Girls Boys Girls Boys Girls
<18 <18 <18 <18 <18 <18 <18 <18
FIGURE 1
Juveniles as Proportion of Population and as Arrests for Violent Offences
Proportion Population
Proportion Population
Affravatad Attaglt
V \ "
Aggr»*atad Auault
X
15
arrests during the late 1960s to early 1970s both in Australia and in England
and Wales are difficult to explain, but is is known that in both the countries
major changes in the recording procedures were introduced about that time.
During approximatley the last two decades, therefore, male youths who
constitute over 80 per cent of all youth arrestees for violent offences have
not been murdering and maiming people in increasing proportions. Girls,
however, present a slightly different picture. The change in their ratio of
participation in violent offences needs to be examined carefully because this
could have significant implications for research in the area of women and
crime. If indeed girls engage in violent crimes in proportions higher than
their representation in the population, the hypotheses that boys and girls of
the 1970s and the 1980s have been acting in a less sex-differentiated behaviour
pattern holds promise. Also the claim that women's movements have led to
an increase in violent crimes by women must be re-examined.
therefore, could be ascribed to higher age limits in the United States. Again,
as in the case of robbery arrests, girls are represented in higher proportions
than boys in arrests for burglary in Australia and the United Kingdom; in
the United States the participation of boys and girls is at the same level.
And finally, while proportion of juveniles in burglary arrests has increased
gradually in Australia, in England and Wales this has declined slightly and in
the United States this proportion of juveniles has remained fairly stable until
1978.
There has been appreciable decline in the participation of juveniles in
larceny in the United Kingdom and currently girls, proportionate to their
population, areunderrepresented in larceny arrests. Although the proportions
are declining in the United States as well, juveniles still constitute over twice
as high a proportion among larceny arrestees as in the general population. In
arrests for automobile thefts the trends in the three countries are at variance
— in Australia juveniles as proportion to all arrests are increasing, in England
and Wales they maintain a stable 25 to 30 per cent and in the United States
they demonstrate a slight decline. In all the three countries however, girls
form a higher proportion of all female arrests than boys of all male arrests.
Among arrestees for property offences juveniles are least represented in
arrests for fraud and forgery. Juveniles arrested for this offence not only
constitute lower than their proportion in the population but lower than
their proportion in arrests for any other offence except homicide; in the
United States their participation is even lower than those for homicide.
Logically, this is what one would expect the situation to be. The kinds of
violations that are included in the category of 'fraud and forgery' and
reported in the official crime statistics are those which are not only minor in
nature but also those which can be perpetrated mainly by adults. Cheque
fraud, passing valueless cheques and credit card frauds constitute a large
majority of reported cases of fraud and forgery; misappropriation and
embezzlement constitute approximately one-fourth of these offences.
In sum, therefore, the above analysis of representation of juveniles
among those arrested for selected offences tend to show that adults dominate
the violent crime scene and in property related offences, excluding fraud and
forgery, juveniles figure in a much larger proportion than their component in
the general population. Among the seven offences examined, juveniles
constitute higher proportions in arrests for burglary and automobile theft
than for any other offence. It was also found that fluctuations in the pro-
portions of girls have been more pronounced than those of boys.
Arrest rates
An analysis of ratio of juvenile to adult participation, described above,
does not provide any clues on the extent of involvement in arrest. This is
based on absolute number of arrests and the proportions of juveniles may
17
alter without any change in total arrests. Furthermore, when the number of
arrests is really small, a minor change in the juvenile/adult composition
would result in a higher proportional change.
As stated in the introduction, the inference that crime problem in
many industrialised nations is primarily a problem posed by the youth is
based on arrest figures published by official agencies. It is well known that
these arrest figures relate only to a portion of the known crimes. Therefore,
whether a segment of the population is involved in criminal activity in
increasing numbers is not known. Arrest figures could be biased against
certain groups. Furthermore, official statistics which are the bases for
assertions and speculations, do not offer information on the severity of
offences. Again, it is possible that certain sections of the population may
commit relatively less serious offences (within an offence category) and
hence their criminality could be exaggerated by arrest data. And finally,
while it is difficult t o disprove the assertion that youths are overrepresented
in arrests for serious offences, this may not be true for every specific offence.
Violent Offences: Tables 4.1 to 4.3 present arrest rates for the t w o
violent offences in the study. Note that while the juvenile arrest rates are
based on the population aged 10 to 17 in the United States and 10 to 16 in
the other two countries the adult crime rate is based on the population 18
and over or 17 and over as the case may be. Thus, the true arrest rates for
the age group, young adults, which commits overwhelming majority of all
offences committed by adults is minimised. I am thinking of the age group
18 to 25. Since this study examines juvenile crimes only, it is necessary t o
concentrate on the adult-juvenile dichotomy.
With regard to homicide, data in the tables show that arrest rates for
juveniles, boys or girls, have never surpassed those for adults in any of the
countries under study. In fact, the highest arrest rate for juveniles is about
half that of adult rate (in the United States only). The general trend that is
obtained from the figures is that arrest rates for boys and men have increased
over the years, rates for women have remained remarkably constant and the
rates for girls show slight increases. In this analysis data from England and
Wales cannot be used because of very low rates.
Table 10.7
AUSTRALIA
Male Female
Year Adult Juvenile Adult Juvenile
Homicide
Aggravated Assault
Male Female
Year Adult Juvenile Adult Juvenile
Homicide
Aggravated Assault
Table 10.7
UNITED STATES
Male Female
Year Adult Juvenile Aduft Juvenile
Homicide
Aggravated Assault
only two men were arrested for each boy. This ratio decreased in England
and Wales, that is, the number of men arrested for each boy increased in
recent years. In Australia there was practically no change in the ratio,
meaning that the rate of increase for both boys and men has been similar.
A much more noticeable change occurred in the ratio of girls to women
arrest rates. Since the arrest rates for adult women did not demonstrate any
significant change, the above ratio increased. That is, for every girl arrested
for homicide in the United States in 1960 there were about six women,
this ratio rose to 1:3 in 1980. In Australia, the figures were even more striking;
these ratios in 1964 and 1980 were 1:10 and 1:4 respectively. Obviously,
arrest rates for homicide in Australia are generally lower than those in the
United States. But whereas the girls to women arrest ratio in the United
States halved between 1960 and 1980, in Australia the ratio in 1980 reduced
to about 40 per cent of that existed in 1964.
Another interesting change, which is of passing interest in this study, is
the ratio of adult female to male arrests. In the United States this ratio
increased from 1:4 in 1960 to 1:7 in 1980, the corresponding figures for
Australia in 1964 and 1980 were 1:5 and 1:9 respectively. Again, this finding
is important where allegations are made with regard to increasing violent
crimes by females. One must distinguish between persons belonging to differ-
ent age groups.
The last ratio I would like to mention is the one that is obtained in the
arrest rates of juvenile girls and boys. The data seem to indicate that although
the homicide arrest rate for girls in the United States has been increasing,
the rate of increase is slower than that for boys and as such the girls to boys
arrest ratio has increased.
The homicide arrest data, while indicating that arrest rates among
juveniles have been increasing, still suggest that homicide is predominantly
an adult offence. If the arrest rates of young adults are separated from all
adults, these rates will be much higher than those of juveniles. However, the
most hopeful signs are that during the 1970s homicide arrest rates per
100,000 relevant population have remained virtually constant in the three
countries. This, it would seem, refutes the claim of sharp increases in violent
crimes.
The general trend of arrest data for aggravated assault is similar to that
exhibited by arrest data for homicide; the difference lies mainly in the
magnitude of rates. Certain facts, however, need to be highlighted. Arrest
rates of juvenile females have shown the sharpest increases over the period
across countries, and in recent years these rates have surpassed those of adult
females in Australia and the United States. At the beginning of the 1960s
for every juvenile girl arrested for aggravated assault there were three arrests
of adult women in Australia and four in the United States, corresponding
figure for 1980 in both the countries is 1:0.8. Similarly, the girls to boys
22
arrest ratios in the early 1960s were 1:25 in Australia and 1:13 in the United
States; in 1980 these were 1:6 and 1:5 respectively.
These findings, and others, emerging from the data clearly indicate
increasing involvement of juveniles in violent offences. One must, however,
take caution in drawing such conclusions. Unlike homicides the offences of
aggravated assault vary enormously in severity. T w o offences, say one involv-
ing a blow on the person and the other involving an injury which resulted in
serious and permanent physical disability, could both be classified under
aggravated assault. Although no systematic evidence is yet available, it is
possible to speculate that most offences of juveniles will fall at the less
serious end of the spectrum. Also, as I have pointed out in the previous
section, if separated f r o m all adults, arrest rates of young adults would be
much higher than juveniles. The age and sex specific arrest rates for violent
offences confirm at least one hunch, that boys and girls are found in higher
proportions in these rates in recent than in earlier years. But a much more
significant aspect of the data is that the involvement of young girls in arrest
have been producing the highest rate of increase in violent offences among
the four groups examined. This situation is obtained only in case of arrests
for aggravated assaults, which numerically are the largest among all violent
offences. This is quite consistent w i t h my suggestion that the youth cultures
of the 1960s onward have significantly minimised sex differentiation in
roles, behaviours and attitudes.
Property Offences: trends in arrest rates for property offences tell a
different story. Generally, these rates for youngsters, both boys and girls,
have (at least during the study period) always been higher than for adults.
The magnitude of arrest rates however, vary from offence t o offence. Tables
5.1 to 5.3 provide arrest rates of adults and juveniles for robbery and burglary.
Few studies on robberies have been carried out in these countries and
usually these are area specific. McClintock and Gibson 21 studied robbery
incidents in London the major focus of which was on the location of the
victim, offender/victim relationship, and place of occurrence of the incident.
They were able to place the robbery incidents in five groups which were
later used by Normandeau in his study in Philadelphia. 22 In both the studies
the largest proportion of robberies (over one-third in London and more than
half of the robberies in Philadelphia) were found t o occur in the open,
following sudden attack on the individual. Robberies occurring in private
premises were few. Conklin, 2 3 in his study of convicted robbers in Massa-
chusetts, classified offenders in five categories on the basis of motive of theft,
modus operandi, and criminal career. Conklin based his study on interviews
w i t h 67 offenders and 90 victims. None of these studies provide sufficient
information on the age of the offenders. Similarly, in a study of armed hold-
ups in New South Wales and Victoria, 2 4 no information is given on the age
of the robbers. Dunn, in his study of patterns of robbery characteristics 25 in
23
Table 10.7
AUSTRALIA
Male Female
Year Adult Juvenile Adult Juvenile
Robbery
Burglary
Table 10.7
Male Female
Year Adult Juvenile Adult Juvenile
Robbery
Burglary
Table 10.7
UNITED STATES
Robbery
Burglary
victim survey data the burglary rate is two and a half times that reported in
official statistics. In spite of these dimensions, the offence of burglary has
been researched relatively rarely.
Among the few works on burglary, two bear some relevance to the
present investigation (i) research undertaken by the Santa Clara Criminal
Justice Pilot Program; 27 and (ii) Crime Specific Analysis by Pope.^-Accord-
ing to the Santa Clara study, 58 per cent of the offenders were adults, 38
per cent were juveniles, and four percent were adults and juveniles involved
in the same incidents. This study also revealed that 54 per cent of the burg-
laries involved two or more offenders.
Pope's inquiry, which covered the state of California, found that 51 per
cent of the apprehended burglary offenders were juveniles. Also, 70 per cent
of the burglaries involved two or more offenders (group), and only 30 per
cent of the apprehended offenders committed burglaries without accomplices.
Pope also makes available data on single versus multiple offenders by age and
shows 80 per cent of the juvenile offenders as against 60 per cent of adult
offenders acted in company. Another important finding relates to the
distance which an offender travels to commit burglary. Pope found that
about two-thirds of the juvenile offenders in California travelled less than a
mile from their residence; approximately two-thirds of the adult offenders
travelled more than a mile from their residence to commit burglary. This is
not an unusual finding. Adults have legitimate as well as illegitimate accasi
to automobiles and they can afford to be more selective in target aress and
the type of items t o be burglarised.
I have shown in Tables 3.1 to 3.3 that between 40 and 60 per cent of the
offenders apprehended for burglary across countries and over time have been
juveniles. Data in Tables 5.1 to 5.3 further demonstrate the dominance of
juveniles in burglary incidents. Data from all the three countries very clearly
indicate that boys are involved in a disproportionately large volume of
burglary incidents. Although increases in the rates have generally been higher
for the other_three age and sex categories, burglary arrest rates for boys have
been so high to begin with that even a small increase in these rates literally
neutralises the increases in the rates of other groups. (The Australian data
differ from those of the United Kingdom and the United States primarily
because a major change in counting rules took place in 1973). In both, the
United Kingdom and the United States, burglary arrest rates for adult males
increased by approximatley 50 per cent during the study period, yet these
rates are about one-fourth of those of boys. And, although the arrest rate of
girls in the United States increased by 250 per cent between 1960 and 1980,
the ratio of this rate to that of boys is still 1:14.
More systematic research on burglary incidents and offenders are needed,
without which most of what can be said is speculation. If indeed it could be
established that juveniles tend t o commit these crimes in company, then their
28
Table 10.7
AUSTRALIA
Male Female
Year Adult Juvenile Adult Juvenile
Table 10.7
Male Female
Year Adult Juvenile Adult Juvenile
Larceny
Table 10.7
UNITED STATES
Male Female
Year Adult Juvenile Adult Juvenile
Larceny
arrest rates for robbery, burglary, motor vehicle theft, and fraud and forgery.
Likewise, adult women arrested for larceny produce a rate per 100,000 adult
women which is much higher than the rates for the remaining four property
offences put together. This is indicative of the fact that girls and adult
women seem to specialise in larceny which probably is the most trivial of all
the seven offences examined in this study. This has been the trend during the
entire study period. 29
Among males, the larceny arrest rates for adult men exhibit patterns and
trends similar to those exhibited by adult women. Although juvenile males
arrested for larceny also produce a higher rate than those arrested for any
other offence, they are also arrested for burglary at a high rate.
The high rate of larceny arrests for girls, and adult women can be des-
cribed in another way. Girls and adult women arrested for each of the five
offences examined other than larceny have constituted only a small portion
of arrest and their arrest rates have always been much lower than those of
boys and men. Larceny data, especially of the United States, present some
remarkable shifts in this relationship. The rate of girls arrested for larceny
has always been higher than the arrest rate of adult women. But what is
striking is the fact that since 1964 the larceny arrest rate for girls has also
been higher than those for adult males, 785 and 684 respectively in 1980.
The current suggestion that crimes by women are increasing rapidly can,
therefore, be explained by the increase in the arrest rate of juvenile girls.
That juveniles make up a higher proportion of arrests for property
offences cannot be disputed. The male juveniles' arrest rate for robbery,
burglary, motor vehicle theft, and larceny combined was 4,154 per 100,000
boys in 1980 in the United States; more than half (2,140) of that was for
larceny alone. This combined arrest rate was more than three times the
arrest rate for adult males. Similarly, girls were arrested for these property
offences at a rate of 946 per 100,000 girls, over three-fourths of which (785)
was for larceny alone. And again, juvenile girls were arrested for these
offences at a rate three times that of adult females.
The situation in the United Kingdom is somewhat different. Actually,
there appears a declining trend in the larceny arrest rates for boys and girls
and a reverse trend for adult males and females. Thus, the arrest rate for
boys was thrice that of men in 1964, and in 1979 this ratio dropped to
1.25:1. The adult male arrest rate almost doubled between 1964 and 1979
and the boys' arrest rate declined by about 25 per cent during the same
period. Similarly, the adult women's arrest rate for larceny doubled during
the study period, while the arrest rate of juvenile girls declined. Furthermore,
the girls' arrest rate was more than two and a half times that of adult women
in 1964, while currently girls are arrested less often than women.
This brings me to the last set of tables showing arrest rates for fraud and
forgery offences. The limitations of statistics on these offences have been
33
Table 10.7
Male Female
Year Adult Juvenile Adult Juvenile
Table 10.7
UNITED STATES
Male Female
Year Adult Juvenile Adult Juvenile
that although peak arrest age varies, this variation is determined only in
relation to the main element of an offence. That is t o say that peak ages of
arrest for violent offences are different from those for property offences.
For pure property offences, namely, burglary, automobile theft and larceny,
the peak arrest age is the same, for example, 16 years. What is striking is the
fact that from age 17 upward the arrest rate for these property offences
decline systematically and without a single incidence of irregularity. Thus
the highest arrest rate of 1,267.4 per 100,000 relevant population for burg-
lary, which relates t o age 16, declined uniformly to only 361.4 at age 24.
Similar trends are obtained for larceny and motor vehicle theft. Robbery,
which undoubtedly has property as the primary motive, also presents a
36
Table 8
Aggravated Auto
Age Homicide Assault Robbery Burglary Larceny Theft
similar trend with the only variation being that the peak age of arrest is 17.
The two pure violent offences not only present different patterns they also
indicate that there exists not one peak age of arrest but rather similar arrest
rates for young adults between the ages of 18 and 24. For homicide the
highest arrest rate of 25.2 per 100,000 relevant population is obtained at
age 19 but the arrest rate of each subsequent age is only marginally low;
there is no uniform decline in rate however. In the case of aggravated assault,
the peak arrest rate is obtained at age 21 and there was no steady increase in
rate before this age nor was there steady decline in rate after age 21. It is
clear, therefore, that whereas adults of 18 to 24 age group dominate violent
offences, juveniles of 15 to 17 prevail in arrests for property offences.
The figures presented in Table 8 must not however be considered as
indicators of true offence rates for each age, especially juveniles. All the
offences examined in this study incorporate a wide range of behaviours and
it is highly likely that juveniles are arrested for behaviours that are less
serious than adults. Also, as stated earlier, juveniles tend to operate in groups,
at least in property offences and as such several juveniles may be arrested to
clear only one offence. It is difficult with the help of annual statistics to
prove the point that juvenile illegal behaviour tends to fall at the less serious
37
end of the seriousness scale. Thus, although I maintain that among those
arrested for burglary the 15-year olds probably committed the least serious
offence in terms of property loss or damage, I cannot prove this. This is
precisely the issue that I want to address in the second part of this study.
I may, however, point out that where it concerns an extremely serious
offence, for example, homicide, the number of juvenile arrests is relatively
small. The arrest rates for aggravated assault are relatively high but I must
point out that this offence category involves behaviour which may range
between inflicting an injury resulting in a black eye to one which permanently
handicaps a person, and juveniles may be arrested for inflicting minor
injuries.
The high arrest rates of persons under the age of 18 in property offences
may not overestimate the delinquency of juveniles but it most certainly
overestimates the risks of being a victim of juvenile property crime. In other
words, because juveniles tend to commit serious property offences in groups,
the official arrest rates for juveniles need not necessarily be an exaggeration.
But because several juveniles may be arrested for one offence, and this fact
is never disclosed in official statistics, members of the community are likely
to feel threatened by the misinformed notion of increasing youth crime.
Let me approach the subject of peak arrest age and the decline of arrest
age. When talking of reforming criminal offenders, there is an expression
often used by workers in the criminal justice services to describe the phenom-
enon of criminals growing out of their crime. This process is often called the
'burning-out' process. Across the spectrum of rehabilitative and reformative
measures, there is none more effective in reducing crime than simply growing
up. In fact if maturity be something independent of age, it may have an
effect in restoring offenders to good citizenship which is quite disproportion-
ate to the aging process. The follow up of Wolfgang's cohort study indicates
that not many of the cohort subjects continued on the delinquency path
much beyond their eighteenth birthday.
The significance of this 'burning-out' process is quite clear from Figure 2.
The consistent and regular decline in arrest rates for robbery, burglary,
motor vehicle theft, and larceny shown in Table 8 appears dramatic when
presented graphically. Statistics on arrests do not provide figures for individ-
ual years after age 24. The trends in arrest for the four pure property or
property dominated offences shown in Figure 2 suggest the continuing sharp
declines beyond age 24. Arrests for violent offences are quite different. A t
least up to age 24, shown in the Figure, there is no convincing sign of decline.
Violence, therefore, is an adult preoccupation: to be categorical, it is an
adult male problem. All that is made of increasing you in violence, therefore,
is an exaggeration beyond proportions. That violence is an adult pastime is
receiving strong support from recent literature on domestic violence. The
frequency of violence within the family, including wife bashing and physical
38
FIGURE 2
Arrest rate per 100,000 population by age and type of offence. United States 1980
39
and sexual assault on children, most of which do not ever come to the
attention of official agencies, is claimed to be several times higher than the
violent offences reported to the police. Violence in the family is almost
exclusively perpetrated by adults.
Section III - AGE A N D CRIME IN A U S T R A L I A N JURISDICTIONS
Proportion arrested
Tables 9.1 to 9.8 present frequency of persons involved in crimes cleared
in the eight Australian jurisdictions of New South Wales, Victoria, Queens-
land, South Australia, Western Australia, Tasmania, Northern Territory, and
the Australian Capital Territory, respectively.
Looking first at the data for violent offences, for example, homicide and
serious assault, it is quite apparent that juveniles are not involved in numbers
disproportionate to their population nor is their number escalating at an
unprecedented rate. In this regard the patterns exhibited in various Australian
jurisdictions follow closely those observed in the national data. Interpreting
the data any further would involve repeating what has already been said
earlier. Actually, the number of persons, especially juveniles and females,
41
arrested for these two violent offences is such that only in the three largest
jurisdictions (New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland) can the data be
adequately examined. Before I describe trends in property offences, I must
note two minor points:
(i) disregarding their number, girls account for a higher proportion
of female arrests than their share in the population. This again is
what was observed in relation to national data; and
(ii) in only one jurisdiction, that is, South Australia, the proportion
of juveniles arrested was high but here too between 1972 and
1980 this proportion has reduced by half.
As we move from pure violent to the mixed offence of robbery one sees
immediately the changes in patterns of juvenile participation. Although the
number of persons arrested for robbery in all the eight jurisdictions is lower
than those arrested for serious assault, juvenile representation in arrests for
robbery is relatively high. In three states, Victoria, South Australia, and
Western Australia, boys and girls are present in arrest data in a slightly higher
proportion than in the general population. In the pure property offences,
except fraud and forgery, juvenile representation increases sharply. By and
large, they constitute from a low of about 40 per cent to a high of over 80
per cent of all arrests for property offences. However, some differences are
observed when arrest data are examined separately for each property offence.
Proportionately, boys and girls are arrested more often for burglary than for
motor vehicle theft or larceny. This is in spite of the fact that larceny is by
far the most frequent serious offence for which individuals are arrested.
What is more interesting is that this proportionate distribution is obtained
over time and across all the eight jurisdictions. There is no doubt that this is
characteristic of youth of today and I shall attempt to present my explan-
ation in Section IV of this monograph.
Next to arrests for burglary, juveniles constitute a higher proportion of
arrests for motor vehicle theft than for larceny. In fraud and forgery, as
observed in the previous section, boys and girls are underrepresented. This
would suggest that children do not indulge in trickery, deceit and the like.
But there are also limitations which an underage person encounters. By
virtue of the fact that he/she is a minor, a juvenile is not permitted to sign
legal contracts, not many can obtain credit cards, not many have bank
accounts, not many acquire driving licences, and so on.
The above description must be accepted with caution mainly because
examination of proportions does not provide any clues as to the extent of
juvenile participation in crimes. These proportions may remain stable over a
number of years, yet the number of arrests may indeed have increased or
decreased substantially. In Tables 9.1 to 9.8 actual number of arrests has
42
Table 9.8
Homicide
Serious Assault
Robbery
Burglary
1974 5003 2468 49.3 4778 2339 48.9 225 129 57.3
1975 4759 2555 53.7 4568 2430 53.2 191 125 65.4
1976 4798 2554 53.2 4629 2462 53.2 169 92 54.4
1977 4468 2344 52.5 4232 2220 52.5 236 124 52.5
1978 4505 2178 48.3 4292 2063 48.1 213 115 53.9
1979 4797 2308 48.1 4538 2173 47.9 259 135 52.1
1980 4920 2438 49.6 4671 2308 49.4 249 130 52.2
1981 5778 2849 49.3 5401 2690 49.8 377 159 42.2
Fraud
Table 9.4
Homicide
1972 141 8 5.7 131 8 6.1 10 _ _
1973 101 - - 90 - -
11 - _
1974 99 6 6.1 88 6 6.8 11 _ -
1978 86 2 2.3 74 2 - -
2.7 12
1979 124 9 7.3 103 9 8.7 21 - _
1980 113 ~ - 101 - - 12 - -
Serious Assault
Robbery
Burglary
1972 4477 2703 60.4 4315 2583 59.9 162 120 74.1
1973 3872 2453 63.4 3711 2340 63.1 161 113 70.2
1974 4020 2665 66.3 3802 2502 65.8 218 163 74.8
1975 3967 2550 64.3 3757 2403 64.0 210 147 70.0
1976 4264 2757 64.7 4040 2602 64.4 224 155 69.2
1977 3782 2204 58.3 3583 2095 58.5 199 109 54.8
1978 4579 2767 60.4 4346 2635 60.6 233 132 56.6
1979 4821 2769 57.4 4552 2626 57.7 269 143 53.2
1980 5498 3075 55.9 5149 2877 55.9 349 198 56.7
45
Theft
Fraud
Table 9.8
Homicide
1972 41 _ - 36 - -
5 - -
Serious Assault
11 7.2 9 - -
1972 162 11 6.8 153
1973 189 6 3.2 175 5 2.9 14 1 7.1
4.0 246 10 4.1 5 - -
1974 251 10
1975 224 23 10.3 213 21 9.9 11 2 18.2
1976 421 27 6.4 409 25 6.1 12 2 16.7
1977 418 30 7.2 393 28 7.1 25 2 8.0
1978 622 37 5.9 601 34 5.7 21 3 14.3
1979 792 47 5.9 749 42 5.6 43 5 11.6
1980 973 79 8.1 902 72 8.0 71 7 9.9
1981 1103 79 7.2 1032 66 6.4 71 13 18.2
Robbery
Burglary
Theft
1976 6474 1620 25.0 4959 1311 26.4 1515 311 20.4
1977 7044 2276 32.3 5679 1630 28.7 1365 646 47.3
1978 9022 3700 41.0 6715 2476 36.9 2307 1224 53.1
1979 10187 4175 41.0 7543 2958 39.2 2644 1217 46.0
1980 10945 4963 45.3 7631 3313 43.4 3314 1650 49.8
1981 11493 5254 45.7 7683 3409 44.4 3810 1845 48.4
Fraud
Table 9.4
Homicide
5.6 - - -
1972 18 1 5.6 18 1
1973 21 1 4.8 18 1 5.6 3 - -
1979 22 - - 20 - - 2 - -
1980 37 - - 30 7
Serious Assault
Robbery
Burglary
Theft
1972 4225 2170 51.4 3339 1787 53.5 886 383 43.2
1973 4381 2278 52.0 2981 lb39 55.0 1400 639 45.6
1974 4367 2183 50.0 2983 1562 52.4 1384 621 44.9
1975 6072 3140 51.7 3599 1988 55.2 2473 1152 46.6
1976 4930 2702 54.8 3099 1693 54.6 1831 1009 55.1
1977 5873 3473 59.1 3679 2165 58.8 2194 1308 59.6
1978 5949 3159 53.1 4052 2246 55.4 1897 913 48.1
1979 7011 3686 52.6 4792 2616 54.6 2219 1070 48.2
1980 7552 3612 47.8 4693 2377 50.6 2859 1235 43.2
Fraud
Table 9.8
Homicide
1976 50 - - 47 - - 3 - -
1978 30 - - 26 - - 4 - -
Serious Assault
Robbery
Burglary
1971 3589 2267 63.2 3422 2117 61.9 167 150 89.8
1972 3695 2045 55.4 3550 1930 54.4 145 115 79.3
1973 3995 2320 58.1 3832 2205 57.5 163 115 70.6
1974 2253 1238 55.0 2158 1164 53.9 95 74 77.9
1975 2869 1670 58.2 2670 1518 56.9 199 152 76.4
1976 3100 1930 62.3 2907 1779 61.2 193 151 78.2
1977 3093 1347 59.7 2951 1748 59.2 142 99 69.7
1978 3492 2099 60.1 3262 1921 58.9 230 178 77.4
1979 3009 1622 53.9 2842 1492 52.5 167 130 77.9
1980 3529 2090 59.2 3330 1945 58.4 199 145 72.9
1981 3495 2144 61.3 3237 1940 59.9 258 204 79.1
Fraud
Table 9.6
Homicide
1972 26 - - 22 - - 4 - -
1973 19 - - 17 - - 2 - -
1974 8 - - 8 - - - - -
Serious Assault
1972 12 _ - 9 - - 3 _ _
1973 14 2 14.3 12 2 16.7 2 - -
1974 34 - - 32 - - 2 - -
1977 14 - - 14 - - - - -
Robbery
1974 27 - - 27 - - - - -
Burglary
Theft
1972 3634 1627 44.8 3156 1483 47.0 478 144 30.1
1973 3458 1661 48.0 2880 1366 47.4 578 295 51.0
1974 1279 - - 978 - - 301 - -
Fraud
Table 9.8
Homicide
9 - - - -
1973 9 - -
1974 14 - - 13 - - 1 -
1975 24 - - 19 - - 5 -
- - 25 - - -
1976 25 -
Serious Assault
1973 66 - - 65 - - 1 -
Robbery
1973 6 - - 5 - - 1
1974 12 1 8.3 12 1 8.3 -
2 - - -
1977 2 - -
Burglary
Fraud
Table 9.8
Homicide
- - 2 - - - -
1973 2
1974 1 - - 1 - - -
1975 1 - - - - - 1
1976 1 1 100.0 - - - 1 1 100.0
—
1 - 1 - - - —
1977 -
- — —
1978 2 - - 2 - -
3 - - — — —
1979 3 - -
1980 —
Serious Assault
- - 2 2 100.0
1973 34 2 5.9 32
1974 34 1 2.9 33 - - 1 1 100.0
1975 28 5 17.9 28 5 17.9 - -
Robbery
- - 8 - - - - -
1973 8 —
1974 11 6 54.5 11 6 54.5 -
-
7 38.9 - —
1975 18 7 38.9 18 -
1976 8 1 12.5 8 1 12.5 - -
1977 13 - - 12 - - 1 —
—
1978 6 - - 5 - - 1 —
1979 23 3 13.0 23 3 13.0 —
— —
1980 10 8 2
Burglary
Theft
1973 93 50 53.7 93 50 53 .7 _ _ _
1974 111 55 49.5 111 55 49 .5 - - _
1975 153 78 51.0 152 77 50 .7 1 1 100.0
1976 120 51 42.5 120 51 42 .5 - - _
1977 141 79 56.0 138 78 56 .5 3 1 33.3
1978 122 48 39.3 122 48 39 .3 - - _
1979 123 47 38.2 122 47 38 .5 1 - -
Fraud
been provided and the reader can examine the data. To respond to the
extent of juvenile participation in arrest, I now present an analysis of rate
of arrest.
Arrest rates
Arrest rates per 100,000 relevant population have not been calculated
for each offence mainly because numbers were not large enough. For the
two largest states, New South Wales and Victoria, data on rates have been
provided for four offences, for others rates were calculated for two or three
offences. Data in Tables 10.1 t o 10.8 show arrest rates in each of the eight
jurisdictions by type of offence. One fact which has been highlighted on
numerous occasions, stands out most clearly, and that is that juvenile arrest
rates for serious assaults are much lower than those for adults. And again,
as I have pointed out earlier, juvenile arrest rates for pure property offences
in every jursidiction are several times higher than those for adults. A t this
point it is important to remember that the rates presented in Tables 10.1
to 10.8 are seriously biased in favour of the adults, much more so in pure
violent offences than in pure property offences. Violent offences are per-
petrated primarily by adults and as shown in Table 8 and Figure 2, not only
the peak arrest age is high but also at least up to age 24 the arrest rate con-
tinues to be very close to the peak arrest rate. This does not mean that the
high arrest rate continues during the rest of adult life. What is meant is that
the 'burning-out' phenomenon takes effect a little later and gradually, so
that by age 40 the arrest rate for violent offences will approximate zero.
Therefore, if the adult rates are calculated on the basis of a population aged
18 to 40, the arrest rates shown in Tables 10.1 to 10.5 for serious assaults
will be substantially higher. For property offences the peak arrest age is
usually 16 and thereafter the rate recedes swiftly and consistently. If the
trend shown in Figure 2 continues, a negligible arrest rate might arrive well
before one reaches the age of 40. However, juvenile arrest rates for property
offences may still remain high.
Serious assault
It is clear from data in Tables 10.1 to 10.5 that in general the arrest
rate for serious assault has been increasing steadily in four states and holding
stable in Victoria. When examined by sex and age it becomes apparent that
the major part of this increase is due to increase in the arrest rate of males,
and, although the arrest rate of boys has been increasing as well, it is the
adult male who contributes most to the arrest rate.
Burglary
Information on arrests for theft was available only for South Australia.
Therefore, of all the offences in each of the eight jurisdictions burglary was
the one for which the largest number of arrests were made. The two largest
states, New South Wales and Victoria, show a remarkable degree of stability
in arrest rates. This is true for all the sex and age categories. In Queensland,
although the general arrest rate for burglary during the nine year period
1972 to 1980 showed only a marginal increasing trend, the arrest rate of
juveniles more than doubled. Thus the arrest rate for boys increased from
672 t o 1,357 per 100,000 boys and the corresponding increase for girls was
from 32 to 105. Girls in South Australia also showed an increase of similar
magnitude. Burglary arrests in Western Australia present a general declining
trend and this situation is attained as a result of a decline in the arrest rate
of males. Nevertheless, excluding Northern Territory, this state produces the
highest arrest rate for burglary. On an average one in 50 boys is arrested
every year for this offence. Tasmania in spite of a sharp decline between
1972 and 1974, presents a high rate of arrest.
Northern Territory, the smallest jurisdiction in the country in terms of
population, is the burglary capital of Australia. Not only is the general burg-
lary arrest rate high, in 1980 one out of every 100 residents aged 10 years
old and over was arrested for burglary. When sex and age distributions are
examined, the rates produce a frightening picture. Again, in 1980 one out of
every 50 male and one out of every 20 boys aged 10-16 were arrested for
burglary. Noting that an offence of burglary has a roughly 25 per cent chance
of being cleared, to imagine how many more children would have been
arrested had all burglaries been cleared makes a depressing scenario. Con-
tinuing on this gloomy picture, remember that according to victimisation
surveys only about 40 per cent of all burglaries are ever reported. A little
adding tells us that if all burglaries are reported and if all are cleared then
every other boy would be arrested for burglary in a year. Add arrests for all
offences and I doubt if any citizen could escape arrest. Call it fantasy, call it
scaremongering, that is what the figures say. If these figures have any cred-
ence, they show how absurd is the whole criminal justice system — from
legislation to release from correctional institutions. I shall return to this issue
in the concluding section of the report.
60
Table 10.1
Serious Assault
Robbery
Burglary
Table 10.2
Serious Assault
Robbery
Burglary
Table 10.3
Serious Assault
Burglary
Table 10.4
Serious Assault
Burglary
Theft
Table 10.5
Serious Assault
Burglary
Table 10.6
Burglary
Table 10.7
Burglary
Table 10.8
Burglary
Arrest rates for motor vehicle theft present trends similar to those
observed for burglary, the only variation being that the magnitude of rates
is about two-thirds that for burglary. In this offence as well, arrests in
Northern Territory are highest, followed by Western Australia and the rest.
My final comments in this section relate to the arrest rate for theft in
South Australia, see Table 10.4. These rates are high for every sex and age
group (although not as high as the burglary arrest rate in Northern Territory)
but what makes these rate trends interesting is the arrest trend for girls.
During the nine year period the arrest rate for girls has increased from 415 in
1972 to 1,403 in 1980 per 100,000 girls. Similarly, the arrest rate for
women has jumped from 179 to 517 per 100,000 women during the same
period. These theft rates for girls and women are several times higher than
their rates for burglary. What is striking is the magnitude of these rates and it
is no exaggeration to say that the arrest rates of girls and women for theft is
several times higher than their rates for all other offences combined.
Section IV - CONCLUSIONS: In Defence of Youth
Table 11
Adult Adult
Juvenile Young Adult Age 30 and Young Adult Age 35 and
Age 10-17 Age 18-29 over Age 18-34 over
Aggravated
Assault 130.37 291.40 84.41 264.47 65.20
Motor Vehicle
Theft 203.75 124.49 13.55 102.43 8.67
10.90 (see Table 4.3). Therefore, if this male attribute is used to calculate
young male adult (18 to 29) arrest rate for homicide, it will jump from
approximately 22 (Table 11) to about 40 per 100,000 young male adults.
Similarly, the young male adult arrest rate for aggravated assault will be
much higher than the rate of 291 of young adults. From these data the
major conclusion to be drawn is that homicide and aggravated assault are
offences committed primarily by males in the age bracket 18 t o 29.
Before I highlight the pattern in arrests for robbery and for all the
property offences I may point out an important fact which in recent years
has emerged as a disturbing phenomenon in modern societies. I wish t o draw
attention t o increasing incidents of child bashing. Examination of this fact
falls outside the scope of this study but its relevance t o the present study can
hardly be ignored. Statistics on the subject of juveniles as victims of violence
are hard to come by. Statistics Canada, however, publishes an annual volume
entitled Homicide Statistics. According to these statistics, between 1976 and
1981, on an average there were 650 victims of homicides per year of which
about 11 per cent were children under the age of 16 years. Again, on an
average there were 615 suspects each year of which only three per cent were
71
under the age of 16. Therefore, chances of children becoming victims are
about four times that of becoming suspects in homicide incidents. Statistics
Canada publication also shows that between two-thirds and three-fourths of
all child victims die in homicides involving relatives. When only victims and
suspects in domestic relationship are examined, some frightening results are
obtained. Children under 16 constitute about 24 per cent of all victims of
domestic homicides, but they form only two per cent of suspects in such
homicides. 33 The conclusion is inescapable. That children are likely to be
victims of homicide much more frequently at home than elsewhere, t o be
killed by his/her own relatives more often than by strangers, is the ultimate
form of cruelt" and does not speak well of our society. The above description
relates only t o the most extreme form of violence. If data were available on
the number of children not killed but maimed or severely beaten they could
further corroborate the fact that violence against children is a much more
common phenomenon than violence by children. This leads us to ponder if
violence by children is indeed a reflection of violence against them. It is an
area worth investigation.
It is the robbery arrest data which, however, demonstrate clearly the
mistaken notion of increasing violent crimes by juveniles (in the United States
robbery is considered to be a violent offence). From Table 5.3 we learn that
in 1980 the male juvenile arrest rate for robbery was more than twice that
for adults aged 18 years and over. Data in Table 11, however, show that
when the adult population is broken down into young adult (18 to 29) and
adult (30 and over), the robbery arrest rate of young adults is about 20 per
cent higher than that of juveniles. Data in Table 5.3 also show the female
arrest rate for robbery is less than 10 per cent of the male arrest rate. There-
fore, if we can separate the data in Table 11 by sex it will show that the
robbery arrest rate of young male adults will be well over 300 per 100,000
corresponding population.
I have categorised robbery as a primarily property motivated offence.
Although data in Table 11 show that the juvenile arrest rate for robbery is
not the highest among all age groups, this rate is substantial. For burglary,
larceny, and motor vehicle theft, there is no doubt that juvenile arrest rates
are higher than those of other population groups. However, when juveniles
are compared with young adults the arrest rates differences reduce signific-
antly. Thus another major conclusion is that juvenile participation rate is
higher than adult rate for relatively less serious offences.
Data in Table 11 also highlight low participation rates of adults (those
30 years and over and 35 years and over). Especially, for robbery, burglary,
and motor vehicle theft arrest rates of persons aged 35 and over are indeed
very low. Besides indicating the burning-out phenomenon, the data suggest
that present method of dichotomising arrest data into juvenile and adult is
not only biased against juveniles but also against middle-aged and the elderly.
72
Major findings
The findings of this study must be considered with caution. It is an
undeniable fact that there exists widespread selectivity in arrest data. I shall
summarise the major findings in terms of arrest for violent offences (homicide
and aggravated assault), mixed offences (robbery), and pure property offences
(burglary, larceny, motor vehicle theft, and fraud and forgery).
With this prior word of caution this study reveals at least two funda-
mental and significant facts:
(i) there is absolutely no evidence to indicate that juveniles, proport-
ionate to their population, are overrepresented in the total arrest
for violent offences. The juvenile propensity for violent crime,
that is, of those under 18 is not greater than the adult propensity.
Therefore, certain scholars, some journalists, and some law
enforcement officials, counting only those actually arrested
without reference to their total number in the community have
presented a misleading account of juvenile crime; and
1. Perhaps the most significant finding of this study is that the involvement
of juveniles in arrest for violent offences, for example, homicide and aggrav-
ated assault, is less than their share in the general population. This finding is
strongly supported by data over time and across countries. Analysis on the
basis of age and sex specific arrest rates also show that rates for juvenile
males are much lower than those for adult males. The only change that has
occurred during the last two decades is in the proportion and rate of juvenile
girls; in some instances arrest rates of girls are higher than those of adult
women. One must not, however, forget that women and girls in violent
offences constitute a small part of all arrests.
When data for homicide and aggravated assault are analysed separately,
one immediately notices the low representation of juveniles in homicide. It is
of interest to point out that the arrest rate of adult males and females calcul-
ated for this study and for others is evidently under-estimated. Whereas
rates for juveniles are calcualted on the basis of population aged 10 to 17,
rates for adults are calculated on the basis of total population aged 18 and
over. It is known and shown in Figure 2 and Tables 8 and 11, that young
adults are arrested much more frequently than adults in the higher age bracket.
In other words, whereas adults arrested for violent offences include a very
high proportion of those in the age group 18 to 24, in calculating rate the
denominator is the total adult population.
Finally, a large portion of violent offences in which death or injury occur,
73
involves the use of a lethal weapon such as a gun or knife. There is evidence
to suggest that juveniles tend to be less lethally armed than adults 34 and so
inflict less serious injuries.
2. Analysing arrest data and the burglaries estimated in victimisation studies
from Australian jurisdictions one can observe that if all burglaries are reported
and if all are cleared by arrest, one in every two juveniles would be arrested
each year. This could be an exaggeration. But before submitting an alternative
scenario, it is necessary to present the situation in the United Kingdom and
the United States. When one adds arrest figures for burglary, larceny and
motor vehicle theft in these two countries it emerges that one in 44 male
juveniles in the former and one in 26 in the latter is arrested for one of the
three offences each year. Assuming that only 25 per cent of these offences
are ever cleared, it would seem that one in 11 and one in seven juveniles
respectively would be arrested had all reported offences been cleared. And
finally, if only 40 per cent of the total of these three offences are reported,
it seems one in four juveniles in the United Kingdom and one in three
juveniles in the United States would be arrested if all offences were reported
and cleared. Admittedly, the figures are less frightening than those from the
Northern Territory in Australia, but these lower figures are nonetheless
discomforting.
Even if this is an exaggeration, the alternative scenario does not bring
much comfort. Suppose that the figures collected here indicate that some
juveniles are arrested more than once during the year. What conclusions may
be drawn from this? Does it mean that their offences were not serious enough
to warrant institutionalisation? Some such assumption follows if the juvenile
offender is released. But this being so the suggestion already made above that
juveniles tend to commit rather less serious offences would appear to be
supported. Yet if we accept that juveniles commit less serious offences, and
keep in mind the low overall clearance rate of property offences, two alarm-
ing possibilities present themselves: (i) that many serious property offenders
are on the loose; and (ii) juveniles are arrested unnecessarily. Because if as
seems to be the case, not many adults are arrested for comparable offences,
then the higher juvenile arrest could be a device intended to bolster the
clearance rate. This can be adequately verified. Part II of this research project
will try to match offences of adults and juveniles and examine possible biases.
In a mixed type of offence, for example, robbery, in which property is
an important element, the proportion of arrestees who are juveniles begins to
increase. Also, the arrest rates of juveniles for robbery has in recent years
surpassed those of adults. Criminal victimisation surveys have shown that
juveniles tend to commit robberies in groups more often than adults.
In most Western countries robbery is considered t o be a violent offence.
Thus, the inclusion of this offence in broad category of 'violent offence',
adds another complication. Data from the three countries under investigation
74
2. Juveniles are easy targets and used successfully t o cover-up adult mis-
deeds. In spite of the fact that violent crimes by juveniles are relatively
infrequent, certain scholars, the media, and the criminal justice agencies
continue to make headlines on increasing youth violence. This may be
deliberately to hide extensive violence perpetrated by adults. Violence in the
family has just begun to surface as one of the most tragic indictments on our
societies and all of it iscommitted by adults, quite frequently against children.
Violence by organised crime is committed solely by adults. Current research
seems to indicate that whereas family-related homicides are declining, drug-
related homicides are increasing. By artificially inflating juvenile violence,
adults shift attention from themselves.
75
4. It is in the best interests of the adult 'illegal world' to create the myth of
increasing youth crime, and stigmatise youth. Once a juvenile is arrested,
convicted and institutionalised, he/she becomes an unwelcome person in the
society. In his/her desire to survive one is drawn to influences which provide
support. The 'illegal world' of the adults requires workers, and individuals
who have been processed through the criminal justice system are easily
attracted because they are not wanted in the 'legal' world.
Future Research
This report has presented some very convincing evidence on the crimin-
ality of various segments of population in three countries. However, much
work is still to be carried out to identify options and recommend action.
The issue which data in the present study seem to strongly dispute is the one
dealing with positive relationship between juveniles and increasing violent
crimes. Not only the arrest rates of juveniles for homicide and aggravated
assault were much lower than those of adults, but when the adult population
is separated into young adult (18 to 29) and adult (30 and over), the arrest
rates of young adults were found t o be several times the rates of juveniles.
This finding alone suggests that further research be directed in the following
areas:
(i) Examination of trends in age and violent crimes. With the help of
data for the past two decades from several countries, an attempt
should be made to firmly establish the link between age and
violent crimes, to identify the age at which these crimes escalate
and the age at which they start declining. This will be a statistical
analysis.
This report has also pointed out that juveniles are arrested for property
offences in a much greater proportion than their representation in the general
population, and their arrest rates for burglary, motor vehicle theft and
larceny are much higher than those of adults. As is well known, the number
of arrests does not necessarily reflect the number of offences committed.
It has been submitted earlier that the juvenile arrest rate may be high because
juveniles tend t o c o m m i t these crimes in groups, and a number of juveniles
may be arrested for one offence. Therefore, while juveniles may participate
in property offences in high proportions their offence rate may indeed be
lower than that of adults. I have also suggested that juveniles are less likely
t o be lethally armed than adults, they tend to travel a short distance f r o m
their residence t o commit crimes and hence likely to be identified by neigh-
bours, shopkeepers, etcetera, they commit less serious offences, and that
they are less efficient in avoiding arrest. These hypotheses can be tested with
the help of data. This precisely is the objective of Part II of the project
Youth and Crime.
In Part 11,1 wish to investigate a major offence, for example, burglary, in
which juvenile involvement, in terms of arrest, is disproportionately high.
Negotiations are currently underway to obtain a 10 per cent systematic
sample of all persons arrested for burglary in a metropolitan city in Australia
in one year. Detail information on factors that would enable the testing of
the above hypotheses will be collected.
Urban, Surburban and Rural Areas; Juvenile Criminal Behavior and Its Relation to
Economic Conditions; and Juvenile Criminal Behavior and Its Relation to Neighborhood
Characteristics.
37. Wolfgang, M.E., etal., op. cit.
38. Coleman, J.S. and others. Youth: Transition to Adulthood. Report of the Panel on
Y o u t h of the President's Science Advisory Committee, Chicago: The University of Chicago
Press, 1974.