Blended Finance Archetypes - Underlying Rationale
Blended Finance Archetypes - Underlying Rationale
ARCHETYPES &
UNDERLYING RATIONALE
CATALYZING PRIVATE CAPITAL FOR THE
SDGs – A WORKSHOP ON BLENDED FINANCE
CONVERGENCE 3
UNDERLYING RATIONALE
FOR BLENDED FINANCE
NUMEROUS BARRIERS IMPEDE CAPITAL FLOWS INTO FRONTIER AND
EMERGING MARKETS
Developing countries constitute 49% of global GDP, however only a small fraction of the USD 220
trillion in global capital markets flows to these countries; primarily because of the following challenges
1 2 3 4
Liquidity is often Local financial Private investors Challenging local
weak or non markets often do have knowledge investment
existent not function and capability climate
efficiently gaps
5 6 7
Private investors Individual High volatility
have limited investment impedes stable
mandates and opportunities are investment
incentives often too small returns
The most significant barrier to private capital flow in emerging markets is that returns
are often not commensurate with the high level of risk (real or perceived)
CONVERGENCE 5
RELATIVELY LOW NON-PERFORMING LOAN (NPL) RATIOS SHOW
THAT PERCEIVED RISK MIGHT BE HIGHER THAN REAL RISK
• According to the IMF, the region has witnessed a marked Non Performing Loan Ratio (Median)
Regions/Groupings
reduction in NPL’s because High Income 3.66%
1. There have been improvements in asset quality across ODA Countries Only
Sub Saharan Africa 4.32%
the board Europe & Central Asia 10.81%
2. Progress has been made in reducing the role of state- Latin America & Caribbean
Middle East & North Africa
2.31%
8.50%
owned banks in lending South Asia 7.78%
East Asia & Pacific 2.16%
3. There has been enhanced supervision from regulators
Note: According to the IFC, there is a
strong correlation between NPL’s and loan
• Despite an improvement in the overall health of the dollarization across certain regions
CONVERGENCE 6
VARIABLES AFFECTING RISK-ADJUSTED RETURNS
Returns
Emerging markets returns are
realized based on certain
Risks variables:
Emerging markets face a • Seniority
number of unique risks:
• Tenor
• Macroeconomic
• Exit
• Political
• Credit Spread
• Regulatory
• Growth Rates
• Business
• Leverage
• Hard & Local Currency If risk adjusted returns
• Liquidity are less attractive
• Tax Conditions relative to other markets,
investors will not allocate
capital to emerging and
frontier markets
CONVERGENCE 7
BLENDED FINANCE IS A STRUCTURING APPROACH TO SHIFTING
RISKS & MANAGING RETURNS
Public and donor capital can be used to shifting risk or manage returns bringing risk adjusted
returns in line with donor requirements
• Amongst others…..
CONVERGENCE 8
BLENDED FINANCE ENTAILS STRUCTURING TO CREATE MARKET
RISK-RETURN ACCEPTABLE TO PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTORS
Deploying Blended Finance To Achieve Commercially
• The blue line depicted is the risk-return frontier; Acceptable Risk – Return Profile
which is a range of risk & return combinations A
available to investors Expected
Return Blended Deal Market Line
with Return (Risk-Return
• For the public sector and donors to induce private Enhancement C Profile for Private
Investors)
investment, they must increase increase returns or
reduce risk of projects that fall below the blue line B B A C
Project Before Blending
Blended Deal
• Transactions below and to the right of the blue line Risk
Free with De-Risking
(Unacceptable to Private
Investors)
are less attractive to commercial investors because Return
CONVERGENCE 12
MAIN ARCHETYPES AND INSTRUMENTS
Archetype Typical Development and Financial
Instruments
Investment or Grant: Debt (Loans and Bonds),
1. Funded Risk Participation Mezzanine Capital or Equity
4. Viability Gap Funding, Smart Subsidies and Performance Grant: Capital Investment and
Payments Incentive/Affordability
5. Project Preparation & Design Funding Grant: Project Preparation or Design Funding
6. Results-Based Financing Outcome Funding Grant
CONVERGENCE 13
1. CONCESSIONAL DEBT OR EQUITY
CONVERGENCE 14
CONCESSIONAL DEBT OR EQUITY - ILLUSTRATION OF APPLICATION
Opportunities to apply this concept exist where the composition of the structuring components make
economic sense but do not deliver the necessary commercial returns. By introducing new
components or enhancing existing ones, the risk adjusted returns in the tranches are
reconfigured and the deal becomes bankable.
Basic Capital Structure Blended Capital Structure
Concessional Equity 5% rE = 5%
DFI Subscribed
rD = 4%
Debt 20%
CONVERGENCE
LEVERAGE RATIO DISTRIBUTION FROM CONVERGENCE DATABASE
LEVERAGE RATIOS OF SELECT DEALS
• The historical average leverage ratio has been 4.05
for blended finance funds that are recorded in
Convergence’s deals database Median: 2.74
Average: 4.05
CONVERGENCE
EXAMPLE OF CONSESSIONAL DEBT/EQUITY - CLIMATE INVESTOR
ONE
• Invest in renewable energy projects that serve 7 million
individuals in emerging countries and avoid GHG emissions
of 1.2 million tons of CO2 equivalent Tier 3 Institutional Capital 160 m
Tier 2 Commercial Capital 320 m
Tier 1 Donor Capital 320 m
• Offers life-cycle support through three funds that are
designed to address barriers specific to each stage USD 30 M
Development Construction Refinancing
USD 30 M
Fund Equity Fund Fund
• Mobilizes private sector financing through catalytic public USD 50 M USD 800 M USD 800 M
sector funding; investors and donors can participate in a
fund and a tranche according to their risk-return profile
SENIOR
• Successful fundraising and capital deployment of the fund proves MEZZANINE
SHARES
1. Experienced fund manager (Blue Orchard) can be a powerful ~ $120M
3. Commercially oriented blended finance vehicles can mobilize FIRST-LOSS SHARES ~ $1M
institutional investors
CONVERGENCE 19
2. CONTINGENT (UNFUNDED) RISK PARTICIPATION
• Risk reduction tools that protect investors against capital losses
- Guarantee provides protection to investors if guaranteed event occurs
(eg: payment default of borrower); Insurance provides protection by
promising compensation for specific loss in return for for a premium
Capital Structure
Guarantee or
will be repaid if obligor is not able to fulfill its contractual
Insurance
obligations (payments)
• Lowers cost of financing for obligors as guarantor typically has Equity
better credit rating than obligor
• Helps narrow gap between real and perceived risk & typically
requires no immediate outlay of cash/capital AfDB, MIGA, USAID & Sida
• Primarily backstops debt (e.g. loans and bonds) and secondarily are active users of guarantees
for development
other instruments like equity and provide credit enhancements
CONVERGENCE 20
CHALLENGES THAT PREVENT WIDE USE OF GUARANTEES
MDBs and DFIs face impediments linked to their capital structure and financial &
4
operational policies
CONVERGENCE 21
EXAMPLE OF CONTINGENT (UNFUNDED) RISK PARTICIPATION: IIX
WOMEN’S LIVELIHOOD BOND (WLB)
Donor Funded
• Innovative instrument that mobilizes private sector capital by Design Grant
pooling loans to social enterprises into a public debt security Grant
Portfolio
• $8m four-year bond to be listed on Singapore Stock Exchange; Manager (IIX)
Subscription
proceeds to be lent to social enterprises that focus on of bonds Bond
Holders
empowering women through sustainable livelihoods in SE Asia Issuer WLB
Asset Pvt. Ltd. Coupon
payment
• The WLB leverages three blended finance mechanisms First Loss First Loss
Provider (IIX)
1) Early stage grant funding to support design process (funded Capital $500K
Interest Provision
by Rockefeller Foundation and Japan Research Institute) payment of loans
2) Partial guarantee on the underlying loans (provided by Guarantor
USAID-DCA and subsidized by Australian DFAT) Pari- passu (USAID)
guarantee of 50%
3) Small first-loss capital tranche contributed by IIX
Social
Grantor
Enterprises &
• Looking to target 385K female beneficiaries; Social Return on Microfinance
(Australia
DFAT)
Institutions
investment (SROI) will be unique impact metric measured
CONVERGENCE
3. TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE SUPPORT
• Development funds deployed into Technical Assistance
for many reasons.Typically:
- Increase quality of project implementation Capital Structure
- Demonstrate feasibility of projects that could be
Debt
commercially viable
- Technical studies
- Training, capacity building and advisory services Equity
- Achieve systemic results beyond project (e.g., sector
reforms)
Grants
country
CONVERGENCE 25
EXAMPLE OF VIABILITY GAP FUNDING/SMART SUBSIDY: KIGALI BULK
WATER SUPPLY PROJECT
Junior Debt Facility Senior Debt Facility
• Kigali Water Limited (KWL), arranged by the Emerging
Africa Infrastructure Fund (EAIF), is building Sub-Saharan EAIF EAIF AfDB
Grant
• EAIF led financing of $40.6M of the $60.8M project; EAIF WASC Project
provided $2.6M in junior debt and $19M in senior debt PPP Agreement
Equity
Grants
• Typical examples include feasibility studies, proofs of
concept and technical studies to prepare projects that
are technically sound, sustainable and
Equity
bankable/investible
CONVERGENCE 27
EXAMPLE OF DESIGN/PREPARATION FUNDING: CONVERGENCE
DESIGN FUNDING PROGRAM (1/2)
apply through
funding windows
Practitioners
CONVERGENCE 28
EXAMPLE OF DESIGN/PREPARATION FUNDING: CONVERGENCE
DESIGN FUNDING PROGRAM (2/2)
SOLUTIONS SUPPORTED FUNDING AWARDED VEHICLE
18 $6.2M 11%
11%
33%
Fund
Bond/Note
Company
CAPITAL CATALYZED LEVERAGE 11% Impact Bond
Facility
SECTOR REGION
Agriculture 33% Sub-Saharan Africa 33%
Health 22% Global 28%
Energy 39% East Asia and Pacific 11%
Financial Services 28% South Asia 11%
Education 11% Latin America & The Caribbean 17%
Infra (Non-Energy) 28% Middle East and North Africa 6%
CONVERGENCE 29
6. RESULTS-BASED FINANCING
1 Intended ex-ante impact. How does this align with business model?
3 Leverage
4 Additionality
CONVERGENCE 33
IT IS IMPORTANT TO EVALUATE THE APPROPRIATENESS OF
THE BLENDED FINANCE SOLUTION WHEN EXAMINING A
PROPOSAL
CONVERGENCE 34