PMT

Mark Scheme (Results)

January 2009

GCE

GCE Mathematics (6684/01)

Edexcel Limited. Registered in England and Wales No. 4496750

Registered Office: One90 High Holborn, London WC1V 7BH
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January 2009
6684 Statistics S2
Mark Scheme

Question
Scheme Marks
Number

1 The random variable X is the number of daisies in a square.

Poisson(3) B1

(a) 32
1 – P(X ≤ 2) = 1 – 0.4232 1 - e-3(1+ 3 + ) M1
2!
= 0.5768 A1
(3)
(b) ⎛ 35 36 ⎞
P (X ≤ 6) – P (X ≤ 4) =0.9665 – 0.8153 e 5! + 6! ⎟
-3 ⎜
M1
⎝ ⎠
= 0.1512 A1
(2)
(c) µ = 3.69 B1
1386
Var (X) = 80 80−(
295 2
) M1
= 3.73/3.72/3.71 accept s2 = 3.77 A1
(3)
(d) For a Poisson model , Mean = Variance ; For these data 3.69 ≈ 3.73
⇒ Poisson model B1
(1)
(e) e −3.6875 4
3.6875 M1
= 0.193 allow their mean or var
4!
Awrt 0.193 or 0.194 A1 ft
(2)

6684/01 GCE Mathematics January 2009 2

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Question
Scheme Marks
Number

2 (a) ⎧ 1 −2 ≤ x ≤ 7 B1
f ( x) = ⎨ 9
⎩0 otherwise B1
(2)

(b)
1/9
B1
B1

-2 7
(2)

(c) E(X) = 2.5 Var (X) = 1

(7 + 2) 2 or 6.75 both B1
12

E (X2) = Var (X) + E(X)2 M1

= 6.75 + 2.52
= 13 A1
alternative (3)

7 ⎡ x3 ⎤
7
∫ x2”f(x)” B1
∫−2 M1
2
x f ( x ) dx = ⎢ ⎥ attempt to integrate and use limits of -2 and 7
⎣ 27 ⎦ − 2
= 13 A1

(d) P( -0.2 < X < 0.6) = 1

× 0.8 M1
9

= 4
or 0.0889 0r equiv awrt 0.089 A1
45

(2)

6684/01 GCE Mathematics January 2009 3

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Question
Scheme Marks
Number

3 (a) X ∼ B(20, 0.3) M1

P (X ≤ 2) = 0.0355

P(X ≥ 11) = 1 – 0.9829 = 0.0171

Critical region is (X ≤ 2) ∪ (X ≥ 11) A1 A1

(3)
(b) Significance level = 0.0355 + 0.0171, = 0.0526 or 5.26% M1 A1
(2)

(c) Insufficient evidence to reject H0 Or sufficient evidence to accept H0 /not B1 ft

significant
x = 3 ( or the value) is not in the critical region or 0.1071> 0.025 B1 ft (2)

Do not allow inconsistent comments

6684/01 GCE Mathematics January 2009 4

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Question
Scheme Marks
Number

4 (a) 10 M1
∫ 0
ktdt = 1 or Area of triangle = 1
10 M1
⎡ kt 2 ⎤
⎢ ⎥ =1 or 10 x0.5 x 10k =1 or linear equation in k
⎣ 2 ⎦0
50k =1
k = 501 cso A1
(3)
(b) 10
10 ⎡ kt ⎤ 2

∫6
ktdt = ⎢ ⎥
⎣ 2 ⎦6
M1

= 16 A1
25
(2)
(c) 10
10 ⎡ kt ⎤
3
E(T) = ∫
0
kt 2 dt = ⎢ ⎥
⎣ 3 ⎦0
M1

= 6 23 A1

10
⎡ kt 4 ⎤
2 2
10 ⎛ 2⎞ ⎛ 2⎞
Var (T) = ∫ kt dt − ⎜ 6 ⎟ = ⎢
3
⎥ ;−⎜ 6 ⎟ M1;M1dep
0
⎝ 3⎠ ⎣ 4 ⎦0 ⎝ 3 ⎠

= 50 − ( 6 23 )
2

= 5 95 A1
(5)
(d) 10 B1
(1)
(e) B1

(1)

6684/01 GCE Mathematics January 2009 5

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Question
Scheme Marks
Number

5 (a) X represents the number of defective components.

P (X = 1) = ( 0.99 ) ( 0.01) ×10 =0.0914

9 M1A1
(2)
(b) P (X ≥ 2) = 1 – P( X ≤ 1) M1
= 1 – (p)10 – (a) A1√
= 0.0043 A1
(3)

(c) X ~ Po(2.5) B1B1

P(1 ≤ X ≤ 4) = P( X ≤ 4) - P( X = 0) M1

= 0.8912 – 0.0821
= 0.809 A1

(4)

Normal distribution used. B1for mean only

Special case for parts a and b

If they use 0.1 do not treat as misread as it makes it easier.
(a) M1 A0 if they have 0.3874
(b) M1 A1ft A0 they will get 0.2639
(c) Could get B1 B0 M1 A0
For any other values of p which are in the table do not use misread. Check
using the tables. They could get (a) M1 A0 (b) M1 A1ft A0 (c) B1 B0 M1 A0

6684/01 GCE Mathematics January 2009 6

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Question
Scheme Marks
Number

6 (a)(i) H0 : λ = 7 H1 : λ > 7 B1

X = number of visits. X ~ Po(7) B1

P ( X ≥ 10) = 1 - P( X ≤ 9) 1 - P( X ≤ 10) = 0.0985 M1

= 0.1695 1 - P( X ≤ 9) = 0.1695
CR X ≥ 11 A1

0.1695 > 0.10 , CR X ≥ 11

Not significant or it is not in the critical region or do not reject H0 M1
The rate of visits on a Saturday is not greater/ is unchanged A1 no ft

(ii) X = 11 B1
(7)
(b) (The visits occur) randomly/ independently or singly or constant rate B1
(1)

(c) [H0 : λ = 7 H1 : λ > 7 ( or H0 : λ = 14 H1 : λ > 14)]

X ~N;(14,14) B1;B1

⎛ 19.5 − 14 ⎞
P (X ≥ 20) = P ⎜ z ≥ ⎟ +/- 0.5, stand M1 M1
⎝ 14 ⎠
= P (z ≥ 1.47)
= 0.0708 or z = 1.2816 A1dep both
M

0.0708 < 0.10 therefore significant. The rate of visits is greater on a Saturday A1dep 2nd M
(6)

6684/01 GCE Mathematics January 2009 7

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Question
Scheme Marks
Number

7 (a) x M1A1
∫
x
F(x0) = − 92 x + 89 dx = ⎡⎣ − 19 x 2 + 89 x ⎤⎦
1 1

= ⎡⎣ − 9 x + 9 x ⎤⎦ – ⎡⎣ − 9 + 89 ⎤⎦
1 2 8 1

= − 19 x 2 + 98 x - 7 A1
9
(3)
(b) ⎧ 0 x <1
⎪ 1 2 8 7 B1B1√
F( x) = ⎨ − 9 x + 9 x- 9 1≤ x ≤ 4
⎪ x>4
⎩ 1
(2)
(c) F( x ) = 0.75 ; or F(2.5) = − 19 × 2.5 + 89 × 2.5 -
2 7 M1;
9

− 19 x 2 + 89 x - 7
9 = 0.75

4x2 – 32x +55 = 0

− x 2 + 8 x - 13.75 = 0
x = 2.5 = 0.75 cso A1

and F( x ) = 0.25
− 19 x 2 + 89 x - 79 = 0.25 M1

− x 2 + 8 x - 7 = 2.25
− x 2 + 8 x - 9.25 =0 quadratic 3 terms =0 M1 dep
M1 dep
−8 ± 82 − 4 × −1× −9.25
x=
2 × −1 A1
x = 1.40
(6)
(d) Q3 –Q2 > Q2 –Q1 M1
Or mode = 1 and mode < median
Or mean = 2 and median < mode
Sketch of pdf here or be referred to if in a different part of the question
Box plot with Q1, Q2, Q3 values marked on
Positive skew A1

(2)

6684/01 GCE Mathematics January 2009 8