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386 views96 pages

Cambridge International AS & A Level: Mathematics 9709/52

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Cambridge International AS & A Level

CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*7551162639*

MATHEMATICS 9709/52
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 February/March 2022

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INSTRUCTIONS
! Answer all questions.
! Use a black or dark blue pen. You may use an HB pencil for any diagrams or graphs.
! Write your name, centre number and candidate number in the boxes at the top of the page.
! Write your answer to each question in the space provided.
! Do not use an erasable pen or correction fluid.
! Do not write on any bar codes.
! If additional space is needed, you should use the lined page at the end of this booklet; the question
number or numbers must be clearly shown.
! You should use a calculator where appropriate.
! You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a
calculator.
! Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in
degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

INFORMATION
! The total mark for this paper is 50.
! The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 12 pages. Any blank pages are indicated.

JC22 03_9709_52/2R
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1 A fair red spinner has edges numbered 1, 2, 2, 3. A fair blue spinner has edges numbered −3, −2, −1, −1.
Each spinner is spun once and the number on the edge on which each spinner lands is noted. The
random variable X denotes the sum of the resulting two numbers.

(a) Draw up the probability distribution table for X . [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Given that E!X " = 0.25, find the value of Var!X ". [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

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2 In a certain country, the probability of more than 10 cm of rain on any particular day is 0.18,
independently of the weather on any other day.

(a) Find the probability that in any randomly chosen 7-day period, more than 2 days have more than
10 cm of rain. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) For 3 randomly chosen 7-day periods, find the probability that exactly two of these periods have
at least one day with more than 10 cm of rain. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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3 At a summer camp an arithmetic test is taken by 250 children. The times taken, to the nearest minute,
to complete the test were recorded. The results are summarised in the table.

Time taken, in minutes 1 − 30 31 − 45 46 − 65 66 − 75 76 − 100

Frequency 21 30 68 86 45

(a) Draw a histogram to represent this information. [4]

(b) State which class interval contains the median. [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) Given that an estimate of the mean time is 61.05 minutes, state what feature of the distribution
accounts for the median and the mean being diﬀerent. [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

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4 The weights of male leopards in a particular region are normally distributed with mean 55 kg and
standard deviation 6 kg.

(a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen male leopard from this region weighs between 46
and 62 kg. [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

The weights of female leopards in this region are normally distributed with mean 42 kg and standard
deviation # kg. It is known that 25% of female leopards in the region weigh less than 36 kg.

(b) Find the value of #. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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........................................................................................................................................................

The distributions of the weights of male and female leopards are independent of each other. A male
leopard and a female leopard are each chosen at random.

........................................................................................................................................................

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5 A group of 12 people consists of 3 boys, 4 girls and 5 adults.

(a) In how many ways can a team of 5 people be chosen from the group if exactly one adult is
included? [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) In how many ways can a team of 5 people be chosen from the group if the team includes at least
2 boys and at least 1 girl? [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

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The same group of 12 people stand in a line.

(c) How many diﬀerent arrangements are there in which the 3 boys stand together and an adult is at
each end of the line? [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

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6 A factory produces chocolates in three flavours: lemon, orange and strawberry in the ratio 3 : 5 : 7
respectively. Nell checks the chocolates on the production line by choosing chocolates randomly one
at a time.

(a) Find the probability that the first chocolate with lemon flavour that Nell chooses is the 7th
chocolate that she checks. [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the probability that the first chocolate with lemon flavour that Nell chooses is after she has
checked at least 6 chocolates. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

‘Surprise’ boxes of chocolates each contain 15 chocolates: 3 are lemon, 5 are orange and 7 are
strawberry.

Petra has a box of Surprise chocolates. She chooses 3 chocolates at random from the box. She eats
each chocolate before choosing the next one.

........................................................................................................................................................

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(d) Find the probability that each of Petra’s 3 chocolates has a diﬀerent flavour. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

(e) Find the probability that at least 2 of Petra’s 3 chocolates have strawberry flavour given that none
of them has orange flavour. [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

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Additional Page

If you use the following lined page to complete the answer(s) to any question(s), the question number(s)
must be clearly shown.

........................................................................................................................................................................

Permission to reproduce items where third-party owned material protected by copyright is included has been sought and cleared where possible. Every
reasonable effort has been made by the publisher (UCLES) to trace copyright holders, but if any items requiring clearance have unwittingly been included, the
publisher will be pleased to make amends at the earliest possible opportunity.

To avoid the issue of disclosure of answer-related information to candidates, all copyright acknowledgements are reproduced online in the Cambridge
Assessment International Education Copyright Acknowledgements Booklet. This is produced for each series of examinations and is freely available to download
at www.cambridgeinternational.org after the live examination series.

Cambridge Assessment International Education is part of Cambridge Assessment. Cambridge Assessment is the brand name of the University of Cambridge
Local Examinations Syndicate (UCLES), which is a department of the University of Cambridge.

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Cambridge International AS & A Level

CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*5918533970*

MATHEMATICS 9709/51
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 May/June 2022

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INFORMATION
! The total mark for this paper is 50.
! The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 12 pages.

JC22 06_9709_51/2R
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2

1 (a) Find the number of diﬀerent arrangements of the 8 letters in the word DECEIVED in which all
three Es are together and the two Ds are together. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the number of diﬀerent arrangements of the 8 letters in the word DECEIVED in which the
three Es are not all together. [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

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3

2 There are 6 men and 8 women in a Book Club. The committee of the club consists of five of its
members. Mr Lan and Mrs Lan are members of the club.

(a) In how many diﬀerent ways can the committee be selected if exactly one of Mr Lan and Mrs Lan
must be on the committee? [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) In how many diﬀerent ways can the committee be selected if Mrs Lan must be on the committee
and there must be more women than men on the committee? [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

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3 The times taken to travel to college by 2500 students are summarised in the table.

Time taken (t minutes) 0 ≤ t < 20 20 ≤ t < 30 30 ≤ t < 40 40 ≤ t < 60 60 ≤ t < 90

Frequency 440 720 920 300 120

(a) Draw a histogram to represent this information. [4]

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5

From the data, the estimate of the mean value of t is 31.44.

(b) Calculate an estimate of the standard deviation of the times taken to travel to college. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

It was later discovered that the times taken to travel to college by two students were incorrectly
recorded. One student’s time was recorded as 15 instead of 5 and the other’s time was recorded as 65
instead of 75.

(d) Without doing any further calculations, state with a reason whether the estimate of the standard
deviation in part (b) would be increased, decreased or stay the same. [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

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4 Jacob has four coins. One of the coins is biased such that when it is thrown the probability of obtaining
7 . The other three coins are fair. Jacob throws all four coins once. The number of heads
a head is 10
that he obtains is denoted by the random variable X . The probability distribution table for X is as
follows.

x 0 1 2 3 4
P!X = x" 3 a b c 7
80 80

(a) Show that a = 15 and find the values of b and c. [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find E!X ". [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

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Jacob throws all four coins together 10 times.

........................................................................................................................................................

(d) Find the probability that Jacob obtains exactly one head for the first time on the 7th or 8th time
that he throws the 4 coins. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

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5 The lengths, in cm, of the leaves of a particular type are modelled by the distribution N!5.2, 1.52 ".

(a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen leaf of this type has length less than 6 cm. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

The lengths of the leaves of another type are also modelled by a normal distribution. A scientist
measures the lengths of a random sample of 500 leaves of this type and finds that 46 are less than 3 cm
long and 95 are more than 8 cm long.

(b) Find estimates for the mean and standard deviation of the lengths of leaves of this type. [5]

........................................................................................................................................................

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........................................................................................................................................................

(c) In a random sample of 2000 leaves of this second type, how many would the scientist expect to
find with lengths more than 1 standard deviation from the mean? [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

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6 Janice is playing a computer game. She has to complete level 1 and level 2 to finish the game. She is
allowed at most two attempts at any level.
• For level 1, the probability that Janice completes it at the first attempt is 0.6. If she fails at her first
attempt, the probability that she completes it at the second attempt is 0.3.
• If Janice completes level 1, she immediately moves on to level 2.
• For level 2, the probability that Janice completes it at the first attempt is 0.4. If she fails at her first
attempt, the probability that she completes it at the second attempt is 0.2.

(a) Show that the probability that Janice moves on to level 2 is 0.72. [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the probability that Janice finishes the game. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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........................................................................................................................................................

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12

Additional Page

If you use the following lined page to complete the answer(s) to any question(s), the question number(s)
must be clearly shown.

........................................................................................................................................................................

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Cambridge International AS & A Level

CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*8280433961*

MATHEMATICS 9709/52
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 May/June 2022

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INFORMATION
! The total mark for this paper is 50.
! The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 16 pages. Any blank pages are indicated.

JC22 06_9709_52/RP
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2

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3

1 For n values of the variable x, it is given that

Σ!x − 200" = 446 and Σ x = 6846.
Find the value of n. [3]

................................................................................................................................................................

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2 A fair 6-sided die has the numbers 1, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3 on its faces. The die is rolled twice. The random
variable X denotes the sum of the two numbers obtained.

(a) Draw up the probability distribution table for X . [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find E!X " and Var!X ". [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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3 The back-to-back stem-and-leaf diagram shows the diameters, in cm, of 19 cylindrical pipes produced
by each of two companies, A and B.

Company A Company B
4 33 1 2 8
9 8 3 2 0 34 1 6 8 9 9
8 7 5 4 1 1 35 1 2 2 3
9 6 5 2 36 5 6
4 3 1 37 0 3 4
38 2 8
# #
Key: 1 35 3 means the pipe diameter from company A is 0.351 cm and from company B is 0.353 cm.

(a) Find the median and interquartile range of the pipes produced by company A. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

It is given that for the pipes produced by company B the lower quartile, median and upper quartile are
0.346 cm, 0.352 cm and 0.370 cm respectively.

(b) Draw box-and-whisker plots for companies A and B on the grid below. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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4 The weights, in kg, of bags of rice produced by Anders have the distribution N!2.02, 0.032 ".

(a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen bag of rice produced by Anders weighs between
1.98 and 2.03 kg. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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7

The weights of bags of rice produced by Binders are normally distributed with mean 2.55 kg and
standard deviation $ kg. In a random sample of 5000 of these bags, 134 weighed more than 2.6 kg.

(b) Find the value of $. [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

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5 In a large college, 28% of the students do not play any musical instrument, 52% play exactly one
musical instrument and the remainder play two or more musical instruments.

A random sample of 12 students from the college is chosen.

(a) Find the probability that more than 9 of these students play at least one musical instrument. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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9

A random sample of 90 students from the college is now chosen.

(b) Use an approximation to find the probability that fewer than 40 of these students play exactly
one musical instrument. [5]

........................................................................................................................................................

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6 (a) Find the number of diﬀerent arrangements of the 9 letters in the word CROCODILE. [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the number of diﬀerent arrangements of the 9 letters in the word CROCODILE in which
there is a C at each end and the two Os are not together. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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11

Find the number of selections in which the number of Cs is not the same as the number of Os.
[3]

........................................................................................................................................................

(d) Find the number of ways in which the 9 letters in the word CROCODILE can be divided into
three groups, each containing three letters, if the two Cs must be in diﬀerent groups. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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7 Hanna buys 12 hollow chocolate eggs that each contain a sweet. The eggs look identical but Hanna
knows that 3 contain a red sweet, 4 contain an orange sweet and 5 contain a yellow sweet. Each
of Hanna’s three children in turn randomly chooses and eats one of the eggs, keeping the sweet it
contained.

(a) Find the probability that all 3 eggs chosen contain the same colour sweet. [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

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(b) Find the probability that all 3 eggs chosen contain a yellow sweet, given that all three children
have the same colour sweet. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

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14

Additional Page

If you use the following lined page to complete the answer(s) to any question(s), the question number(s)
must be clearly shown.

........................................................................................................................................................................

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Cambridge International AS & A Level

CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*2238232570*

MATHEMATICS 9709/53
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 May/June 2022

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INFORMATION
! The total mark for this paper is 50.
! The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 12 pages.

JC22 06_9709_53/3R
© UCLES 2022 [Turn over
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2

1 The time taken, t minutes, to complete a puzzle was recorded for each of 150 students. These times
are summarised in the table.

Time taken (t minutes) t ≤ 25 t ≤ 50 t ≤ 75 t ≤ 100 t ≤ 150 t ≤ 200

Cumulative frequency 16 44 86 104 132 150

(a) Draw a cumulative frequency graph to illustrate the data. [2]

(b) Use your graph to estimate the 20th percentile of the data. [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

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3

2 Twenty children were asked to estimate the height of a particular tree. Their estimates, in metres, were
as follows.
4.1 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.4
5.5 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.6 6.8 6.9 19.4

(a) Find the mean of the estimated heights. [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the median of the estimated heights. [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) Give a reason why the median is likely to be more suitable than the mean as a measure of the
central tendency for this information. [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

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3 The random variable X takes the values −2, 1, 2, 3. It is given that P!X = x" = kx2 , where k is a
constant.

(a) Draw up the probability distribution table for X , giving the probabilities as numerical fractions.
[3]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find E!X " and Var!X ". [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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5

4 Ramesh throws an ordinary fair 6-sided die.

(a) Find the probability that he obtains a 4 for the first time on his 8th throw. [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the probability that it takes no more than 5 throws for Ramesh to obtain a 4. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

Ramesh now repeatedly throws two ordinary fair 6-sided dice at the same time. Each time he adds
the two numbers that he obtains.

(c) For 10 randomly chosen throws of the two dice, find the probability that Ramesh obtains a total
of less than 4 on at least three throws. [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

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6

5 Farmer Jones grows apples. The weights, in grams, of the apples grown this year are normally
distributed with mean 170 and standard deviation 25. Apples that weigh between 142 grams and
205 grams are sold to a supermarket.

(a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen apple grown by Farmer Jones this year is sold to the
supermarket. [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

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7

Farmer Jones sells the apples to the supermarket at $0.24 each. He sells apples that weigh more than
205 grams to a local shop at $0.30 each. He does not sell apples that weigh less than 142 grams.

The total number of apples grown by Farmer Jones this year is 20 000.

(b) Calculate an estimate for his total income from this year’s apples. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

Farmer Tan also grows apples. The weights, in grams, of the apples grown this year follow the
distribution N!182, 202 ". 72% of these apples have a weight more than w grams.

(c) Find the value of w. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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6 Sajid is practising for a long jump competition. He counts any jump that is longer than 6 m as a success.
On any day, the probability that he has a success with his first jump is 0.2. For any subsequent jump,
the probability of a success is 0.3 if the previous jump was a success and 0.1 otherwise. Sajid makes
three jumps.

(a) Draw a tree diagram to illustrate this information, showing all the probabilities. [2]

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9

(b) Find the probability that Sajid has exactly one success given that he has at least one success. [5]

........................................................................................................................................................

On another day, Sajid makes six jumps.

........................................................................................................................................................

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7 A group of 15 friends visit an adventure park. The group consists of four families.
• Mr and Mrs Kenny and their four children
• Mr and Mrs Lizo and their three children
• Mrs Martin and her child
• Mr and Mrs Nantes

The group travel to the park in three cars, one containing 6 people, one containing 5 people and one
containing 4 people. The cars are driven by Mr Lizo, Mrs Martin and Mr Nantes respectively.

(a) In how many diﬀerent ways can the remaining 12 members of the group be divided between the
three cars? [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

The group enter the park by walking through a gate one at a time.

(b) In how many diﬀerent orders can the 15 friends go through the gate if Mr Lizo goes first and
each family stays together? [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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In the park, the group enter a competition which requires a team of 4 adults and 3 children.

(c) In how many ways can the team be chosen from the group of 15 so that the 3 children are all
from diﬀerent families? [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

(d) In how many ways can the team be chosen so that at least one of Mr Kenny or Mr Lizo is
included? [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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12

Additional Page

If you use the following lined page to complete the answer(s) to any question(s), the question number(s)
must be clearly shown.

........................................................................................................................................................................

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Cambridge International AS & A Level

CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*5715777126*

MATHEMATICS 9709/51
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 October/November 2022

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INFORMATION
! The total mark for this paper is 50.
! The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 12 pages. Any blank pages are indicated.

JC22 11_9709_51/RP
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2

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3

1 The probability distribution table for a random variable X is shown below.

x −2 −1 0.5 1 2
P!X = x" 0.12 p q 0.16 0.3

Given that E!X " = 0.28, find the value of p and the value of q. [4]

................................................................................................................................................................

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4

2 The residents of Persham were surveyed about the reliability of their internet service. 12% rated the
service as ‘poor’, 36% rated it as ‘satisfactory’ and 52% rated it as ‘good’.

A random sample of 8 residents of Persham is chosen.

(a) Find the probability that more than 2 and fewer than 8 of them rate their internet service as poor
or satisfactory. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

A random sample of 125 residents of Persham is now chosen.

(b) Use an approximation to find the probability that more than 72 of these residents rate their internet
service as good. [5]

........................................................................................................................................................

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5

3 The Lions and the Tigers are two basketball clubs. The heights, in cm, of the 11 players in each of
their first team squads are given in the table.

Lions 178 186 181 187 179 190 189 190 180 169 196
Tigers 194 179 187 190 183 201 184 180 195 191 197

(a) Draw a back-to-back stem-and-leaf diagram to represent this information, with the Lions on the
left. [4]

(b) Find the median and the interquartile range of the heights of the Lions first team squad. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

It is given that for the Tigers, the lower quartile is 183 cm, the median is 190 cm and the upper quartile
is 195 cm.

(c) Make two comparisons between the heights of the players in the Lions first team squad and the
heights of the players in the Tigers first team squad. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/51/O/N/22 [Turn over

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6

4 In a large population, the systolic blood pressure (SBP) of adults is normally distributed with
mean 125.4 and standard deviation 18.6.

(a) Find the probability that the SBP of a randomly chosen adult is less than 132. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

The SBP of 12-year-old children in the same population is normally distributed with mean 117. Of
these children 88% have SBP more than 108.

(b) Find the standard deviation of this distribution. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/51/O/N/22

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7

Three adults are chosen at random from this population.

........................................................................................................................................................

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8

5 A game is played with an ordinary fair 6-sided die. A player throws the die once. If the result is
2, 3, 4 or 5, that result is the player’s score and the player does not throw the die again. If the result
is 1 or 6, the player throws the die a second time and the player’s score is the sum of the two numbers
from the two throws.

(a) Draw a fully labelled tree diagram to represent this information. [2]

Events A and B are defined as follows.

A: the player’s score is 5, 6, 7, 8 or 9
B: the player has two throws

(b) Show that P!A" = 13 . [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/51/O/N/22

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9

(c) Determine whether or not events A and B are independent. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

(d) Find P!B | A′ ". [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/51/O/N/22 [Turn over

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10

6 A Social Club has 15 members, of whom 8 are men and 7 are women. The committee of the club
consists of 5 of its members.

(a) Find the number of diﬀerent ways in which the committee can be formed from the 15 members
if it must include more men than women. [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/51/O/N/22

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11

The 15 members are having their photograph taken. They stand in three rows, with 3 people in the
front row, 5 people in the middle row and 7 people in the back row.

(b) In how many diﬀerent ways can the 15 members of the club be divided into a group of 3, a group
of 5 and a group of 7? [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

In one photograph Abel, Betty, Cally, Doug, Eve, Freya and Gino are the 7 members in the back row.

(c) In how many diﬀerent ways can these 7 members be arranged so that Abel and Betty are next to
each other and Freya and Gino are not next to each other? [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/51/O/N/22

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12

Additional Page

If you use the following lined page to complete the answer(s) to any question(s), the question number(s)
must be clearly shown.

........................................................................................................................................................................

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Cambridge International AS & A Level

CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*8507639623*

MATHEMATICS 9709/52
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 October/November 2022

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INFORMATION
! The total mark for this paper is 50.
! The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 16 pages. Any blank pages are indicated.

BLANK PAGE

www.dynamicpapers.com
3

1 On any day, Kino travels to school by bus, by car or on foot with probabilities 0.2, 0.1 and 0.7
respectively. The probability that he is late when he travels by bus is x. The probability that he is late
when he travels by car is 2x and the probability that he is late when he travels on foot is 0.25.

The probability that, on a randomly chosen day, Kino is late is 0.235.

(a) Find the value of x. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the probability that, on a randomly chosen day, Kino travels to school by car given that he
is not late. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

www.dynamicpapers.com
4

2 The lengths of the rods produced by a company are normally distributed with mean 55.6 mm and
standard deviation 1.2 mm.

(a) In a random sample of 400 of these rods, how many would you expect to have length less than
54.8 mm? [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the probability that a randomly chosen rod produced by this company has a length that is
within half a standard deviation of the mean. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

www.dynamicpapers.com
5

3 Three fair 6-sided dice, each with faces marked 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, are thrown at the same time repeatedly.
The score on each throw is the sum of the numbers on the uppermost faces.

(a) Find the probability that a score of 17 or more is first obtained on the 6th throw. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the probability that a score of 17 or more is obtained in fewer than 8 throws. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

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6

4 The times taken, in minutes, to complete a word processing task by 250 employees at a particular
company are summarised in the table.

Time taken (t minutes) 0 ≤ t < 20 20 ≤ t < 40 40 ≤ t < 50 50 ≤ t < 60 60 ≤ t < 100

Frequency 32 46 96 52 24

(a) Draw a histogram to represent this information. [4]

www.dynamicpapers.com
7

From the data, the estimate of the mean time taken by these 250 employees is 43.2 minutes.

(b) Calculate an estimate for the standard deviation of these times. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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8

5 Eric has three coins. One of the coins is fair. The other two coins are each biased so that the probability
of obtaining a head on any throw is 14 , independently of all other throws. Eric throws all three coins
at the same time.

Events A and B are defined as follows.

A: all three coins show the same result
B: at least one of the biased coins shows a head

7.
(a) Show that P!B" = 16 [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find P!A | B". [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

www.dynamicpapers.com
9

The random variable X is the number of heads obtained when Eric throws the three coins.

(c) Draw up the probability distribution table for X . [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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10

6 At a company’s call centre, 90% of callers are connected immediately to a representative.

A random sample of 12 callers is chosen.

(a) Find the probability that fewer than 10 of these callers are connected immediately. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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11

A random sample of 80 callers is chosen.

(b) Use an approximation to find the probability that more than 69 of these callers are connected
immediately. [5]

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) Justify the use of your approximation in part (b). [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

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12

7 (a) Find the number of diﬀerent arrangements of the 9 letters in the word ALLIGATOR in which the
two As are together and the two Ls are together. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) The 9 letters in the word ALLIGATOR are arranged in a random order.

Find the probability that the two Ls are together and there are exactly 6 letters between the
two As. [5]

........................................................................................................................................................

www.dynamicpapers.com
13

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) Find the number of diﬀerent selections of 5 letters from the 9 letters in the word ALLIGATOR
which contain at least one A and at most one L. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

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14

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must be clearly shown.

........................................................................................................................................................................

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16

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Cambridge International AS & A Level

CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*0608139866*

MATHEMATICS 9709/53
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 October/November 2022

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INFORMATION
! The total mark for this paper is 50.
! The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 16 pages. Any blank pages are indicated.

1 50 values of the variable x are summarised by

Σ!x − 20" = 35 and Σ x2 = 25 036.

Find the variance of these 50 values. [3]

................................................................................................................................................................

www.dynamicpapers.com
3

2 In a large college, 32% of the students have blue eyes. A random sample of 80 students is chosen.

Use an approximation to find the probability that fewer than 20 of these students have blue eyes. [5]

................................................................................................................................................................

www.dynamicpapers.com
4

3 The times, t minutes, taken to complete a walking challenge by 250 members of a club are summarised
in the table.

Time taken (t minutes) t ≤ 20 t ≤ 30 t ≤ 35 t ≤ 40 t ≤ 50 t ≤ 60

Cumulative frequency 32 66 112 178 228 250

(a) Draw a cumulative frequency graph to illustrate the data. [2]

(b) Use your graph to estimate the 60th percentile of the data. [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

www.dynamicpapers.com
5

It is given that an estimate for the mean time taken to complete the challenge by these 250 members
is 34.4 minutes.

(c) Calculate an estimate for the standard deviation of the times taken to complete the challenge by
these 250 members. [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

www.dynamicpapers.com
6

4 Three fair 4-sided spinners each have sides labelled 1, 2, 3, 4. The spinners are spun at the same time
and the number on the side on which each spinner lands is recorded. The random variable X denotes
the highest number recorded.

7.
(a) Show that P!X = 2" = 64 [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Complete the probability distribution table for X . [2]

x 1 2 3 4
7 19
P!X = x"
64 64

........................................................................................................................................................

www.dynamicpapers.com
7

On another occasion, one of the fair 4-sided spinners is spun repeatedly until a 3 is obtained. The
random variable Y is the number of spins required to obtain a 3.

(c) Find P!Y = 6". [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

(d) Find P!Y > 4". [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

www.dynamicpapers.com
8

5 Company A produces bags of sugar. An inspector finds that on average 10% of the bags are
underweight.

10 of the bags are chosen at random.

(a) Find the probability that fewer than 3 of these bags are underweight. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

The weights of the bags of sugar produced by company B are normally distributed with mean 1.04 kg
and standard deviation 0.06 kg.

(b) Find the probability that a randomly chosen bag produced by company B weighs more than
1.11 kg. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

www.dynamicpapers.com
9

........................................................................................................................................................

81% of the bags of sugar produced by company B weigh less than w kg.

(c) Find the value of w. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

www.dynamicpapers.com
10

6 (a) Find the number of diﬀerent arrangements of the 9 letters in the word ACTIVATED. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the number of diﬀerent arrangements of the 9 letters in the word ACTIVATED in which
there are at least 5 letters between the two As. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

www.dynamicpapers.com
11

Five letters are selected at random from the 9 letters in the word ACTIVATED.

........................................................................................................................................................

www.dynamicpapers.com
12

7 Sam and Tom are playing a game which involves a bag containing 5 white discs and 3 red discs. They
take turns to remove one disc from the bag at random. Discs that are removed are not replaced into
the bag. The game ends as soon as one player has removed two red discs from the bag. That player
wins the game.

Sam removes the first disc.

(a) Find the probability that Tom removes a red disc on his first turn. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

www.dynamicpapers.com
13

(b) Find the probability that Tom wins the game on his second turn. [4]

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) Find the probability that Sam removes a red disc on his first turn given that Tom wins the game
on his second turn. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

www.dynamicpapers.com
14

Additional Page

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........................................................................................................................................................................

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15

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16

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