Fundamentos Anaíticos para Finanza

Marian Edith Coronado Montemayor A00820

Tarea 1 / 17/09/2021

Capitulo 1: Página 16 p. 6 y 7

1 Explain the difference between a sample and a population.

Población hace referencia al total de objetos / individuos de interes, comprende todo el Set de datos, mient
población de interes.

2 Explain the difference between a discrete and a continuous variable. Give an example of each not include
La variable discreta toma valores enteros, no existe ningún valor entres dos números consecutivos, mientra
un intervalo. Por ejemplo, una variable discreta puede ser número de empleados de una fabrica, número de
puede ser el tiempo de descarga de un archivo, velocidad de un cohete espacial.

Capitulo 5: Pág. 56 p. 52, Pág. 58 p.62

3 The first card selected from a standard 52-card deck is a king.

a. If it is returned to the deck, what is the probability that a king will be drawn on the second selection?
0.0769 o 4/52, esto es debido a que al regresar la carta a la baraja tiene probabilidad de volver a sacar una

b. If the king is not replaced, what is the probability that a king will be drawn on the second selection?
0.0588 o 3/51, esto es debido a que al no regresar la carta a la baraja tiene solo 3 barajas de Rey entre 51 p

c. What is the probability that a king will be selected on the first draw from the deck and another king on
0.0045 o 12/2,652, esto es dedibo a la regla de multiplicación de probabilidades la primer probabilidad de o
rey asumiendo que el primero no es reemplazado es de 3/51, al multiplicar ambas probabilidades obtenem

4 Forty percent of the homes constructed in the Quail Creek area include a security sys-tem. Three homes
a. What is the probability all three of the selected homes have a security system?
0.064, esto es debido a que cada casa tiene un 40% de probabilidad de tener sistema de seguridad, al ser 3

b. What is the probability none of the three selected homes has a security system?
0.216, esto es debido a que cada casa tiene un 60% de probabilidad de NO tener sistema de seguridad, al se

c. What is the probability at least one of the selected homes has a security system?
0.784, esto es debido a que cada casa tiene un 60% de probabilidad de NO tener sistema de seguridad, al se
le resta al total para obtener la probabilidad de que al menos una tenga el sistema.

d. Did you assume the events to be dependent or independent?

Son eventos independientes, una casa de otra no depende para tener sistema o no.
Capitulo 6: Página 91 p. 37 y 38

5 What is the difference between a random variable and a probability distribution?

La variable aleatoria es una función que asigna un número real a cada resultado del espacio muestral, por o
probabilidad de una variable aleatoria siendo una función que asigna a cada suceso definido sobre la variab

6 For each of the following indicate whether the random variable is discrete or continuous.
a. The length of time to get a haircut.
Continua.

b. The number of cars a jogger passes each morning while running.

Discreta.

c. The number of hits for a team in a high school girls’ softball game.
Discreta.

d. The number of patients treated at the South Strand Medical Center between 6 and 10 p.m. each night.
Discreta.

e. The distance your car traveled on the last fill-up.

Continua.

f. The number of customers at the Oak Street Wendy’s who used the drive-through facility.
Discreta.

g. The distance between Gainesville, Florida, and all Florida cities with a population of at least 50,000.
Continua.

Capitulo 7: Página 128 p. 42 y 43

7
A tube of Listerine Tartar Control toothpaste contains 4.2 ounces. As people use the toothpaste, the amo
tooth-paste remaining in the tube follows a uniform distribution. From this information, we can determin
toothpaste tube without invading anyone’s privacy.
a. How much toothpaste would you expect to be remaining in the tube?
2.1 onzas, partiendo de la formula de Mean M=(a+b)/2 = (0+4.2)/2 = 2.1.

b. What is the standard deviation of the amount remaining in the tube?

1.212, partiendo de la formula de Desviación Estándar, stdv=(((b-a)^2)/12)^1/2, siendo b=4.2 y a =0.

c. What is the likelihood there is less than 3.0 ounces remaining in the tube?
0.71429, partiendo de la formula de (X2-X1)/(B-A) = (3-0)/(4.2-0)=0.71429
 d. What is the probability there is more than 1.5 ounces remaining in the tube?
0.64286, partiendo de la formula de (X2-X1)/(B-A) = (4.2-1.5)/(4.2-0)=0.764286

8 Many retail stores offer their own credit cards. At the time of the credit application, the customer is given
credit ap-plication process follows a uniform distribution with the times ranging from 4 minutes to 10 mi
a. What is the mean time for the application process?
7 minutos, partiendo de la formula de Mean M=(a+b)/2 = (4+10)/2 = 7.

b. What is the standard deviation of the process time?

1.732, partiendo de la formula de Desviación Estándar, stdv=(((b-a)^2)/12)^1/2, siendo b=10 y a =4.

c. What is the likelihood a particular application will take less than 6 minutes?
0.333, partiendo de la formula de (X2-X1)/(B-A) = (6-4)/(10-4)=0.333

d. What is the likelihood an application will take more than 5 minutes?

0.833, partiendo de la formula de (X2-X1)/(B-A) = (10-5)/(10-4)=0.833

Capitulo 9: Pág. 172 p.1, Pág.167 p.31

9
A recent study indicated that women took an average of 8.6 weeks of unpaid leave from their jobs after t
normal prob-ability distribution with a standard deviation of 2.0 weeks. We select a sample of 35 women
is the likelihood that the mean of this sample is at least 8.8 weeks?
0.2776, partiendo de la formula Z=(X'-M')/Var/n^1/2= (8.6-8.8)/(2/35^1/2)=-0.59, para obtener la probabil
0.5 + 0.2224 nos da 0.7224, por lo que 1-0.7224 es igual a 0.2276 que representa la probabilidad de que la

10 A random sample of 85 group leaders, supervisors, and similar personnel at General Motors revealed tha
being promoted. The standard deviation of the sample was 1.7 years. Construct a 95% confi-dence interv

6.139 - 6.861 representa el intervalo de confianza del 95%. En tablas nuestra Z representa 1.96, partimos de
ticos para Finanzas
Montemayor A00820767
7/09/2021

do el Set de datos, mientra que la muestra corresponde a un Porcetaje/Porción de la

mple of each not included in the text.

os consecutivos, mientras que la variable continúa puede tomar cualquier valor dentro de
e una fabrica, número de inventario de una sucursal, por otro lado, una variable continúa

n the second selection?

ad de volver a sacar una de las 4 cartas Rey entre las 52 posibilidades.

the second selection?

barajas de Rey entre 51 posibilidades.

eck and another king on the second draw (assuming that the first king was not replaced)?
primer probabilidad de obtener un rey es de 4/52 y la segunda probabilidad de obtener un
probabilidades obtenemos la probabilidad del evento.

y sys-tem. Three homes are selected at random:

ma de seguridad, al ser 3 casas se multiplican las tres probabilidades (0.4)(0.4)(0.4).

stema de seguridad, al ser 3 casas se multiplican las tres probabilidades (0.6)(0.6)(0.6).

stema de seguridad, al ser 3 casas se multiplican las tres probabilidades (0.6)(0.6)(0.6) y se

.
el espacio muestral, por otro lado la distribución de probabilidad es un modelo de
o definido sobre la variable la probabilidad de que dicho suceso ocurra.

and 10 p.m. each night.

ugh facility.

on of at least 50,000.

the toothpaste, the amount remaining in any tube is random. Assume the amount of
mation, we can determine the following information about the amount remaining in a

endo b=4.2 y a =0.

on, the customer is given a 10% discount on the purchase. The time required for the
from 4 minutes to 10 minutes.

endo b=10 y a =4.

ve from their jobs after the birth of a child. Assume that this distribution follows the
ct a sample of 35 women who recently returned to work after the birth of a child. What

para obtener la probabilidad utilizamos la tabla de probablidad y tenemos que en tablas

a probabilidad de que la media sea del menos 8.8 de esta muestra.

eral Motors revealed that, on average, they spent 6.5 years in a particular job before
a 95% confi-dence interval.

resenta 1.96, partimos de la formula X'+-z(Var/n^1/2)=6.5+-1.96*1.7/85^1/20=6.5+-0.361.