Artificial Intelligence and Economic Development: An Evolutionary Investigation and Systematic Review
Artificial Intelligence and Economic Development: An Evolutionary Investigation and Systematic Review
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13132-023-01183-2
Abstract
In today’s environment of the rapid rise of artificial intelligence (AI), debate con-
tinues about whether it has beneficial effects on economic development. However,
there is only a fragmented perception of what role and place AI technology actu-
ally plays in economic development (ED). In this paper, we pioneer the research by
focusing our detective work and discussion on the intersection of AI and economic
development. Specifically, we adopt a two-step methodology. At the first step, we
analyze 2211 documents in the AI&ED field using the bibliometric tool Bibliome-
trix, presenting the internal structure and external characteristics of the field through
different metrics and algorithms. In the second step, a qualitative content analysis of
clusters calculated from the bibliographic coupling algorithm is conducted, detailing
the content directions of recently distributed topics in the AI&ED field from differ-
ent perspectives. The results of the bibliometric analysis suggest that the number
of publications in the field has grown exponentially in recent years, and the most
relevant source is the “Sustainability” journal. In addition, deep learning and data
mining-related research are the key directions for the future. On the whole, scholars
dedicated to the field have developed close cooperation and communication across
the board. On the other hand, the content analysis demonstrates that most of the
research is centered on the five facets of intelligent decision-making, social govern-
ance, labor and capital, Industry 4.0, and innovation. The results provide a forward-
looking guide for scholars to grasp the current state and potential knowledge gaps in
the AI&ED field.
This article is part of the Topical Collection on AI in the Knowledge Economy and Society:
Implications for Theory, Policy and Practice
* Marinko Skare
mskare@unipu.hr
1
Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
2
Juraj Dobrila University of Pula, Pula, Croatia
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Introduction
In recent years, the sound of artificial intelligence (AI) has always been in every-
one’s ears, and it seems to be telling us that the arrival of AI is the destiny of the age
(Makridakis, 2017). Indeed, AI technology is appearing in various forms at all lev-
els of our contact with society, from small daily chatting intelligent robots to large
industry and government-level assisted offices, and is quietly changing the way of
life around the world (Li et al., 2017). By convention, AI is described as a sub-disci-
pline of computer science dedicated to the development of data processing systems
and the execution of functions that match human intelligence, such as learning, rea-
soning, and self-improvement (Peres et al., 2020). According to Trifan and Buzatu
(2020), AI is machine learning, that is, a neural network trained on a data set. Drive
resources, data resources and computational theory are the three core elements that
influence the development of AI. In contrast to any of the technologies that have
emerged in the past, AI can get more brilliant at a particular practical task with the
accumulation of time owing to its unique learning ability. AI is designed to serve
humans in making the best decisions. To this end, AI has been incorporated into
operating systems in the hope of creating systems that can assist humans or even be
utterly AI-driven in their decision-making (Gomes et al., 2020). Progressively, AI
is becoming indispensable technological support for daily social life and economic
activities (Naimi-Sadigh et al., 2021). Its tremendous contribution to sustainable
economic development in all industries is rapidly becoming evident, leading it to
become an instant focus of attention at the industry, academic and even government
levels (Heylighen, 2017). Arguably, AI-related activities will be the driving force for
further economic development and result in fundamental shifts in the structure and
approach to production, and in the quantity and quality of consumption (Vyshnevs-
kyi et al., 2019).
However, while people are cheering this inspiring fact, some are expressing their
skepticism. Although the widespread application of AI will cause a short-lived
economic boost at this stage (Goertzel et al., 2017), in the long run, people’s over-
reliance on AI is likely to pose some potential threats (McClure, 2017). Such as
the unemployment fiasco, moral and ethical risks, and personal privacy concerns
that are often mentioned by scholars in the literature (Kak, 2018). What is more,
the technical bottlenecks in the development of AI technology itself also lead to a
large gap between the conception of theoretical research and the blueprint in actual
practice. In light of recent events between AI and economic development (AI&ED),
it is becoming extremely difficult to ignore the existence of the two colliding with
each other. Accordingly, a considerable amount of literature has been published on
AI&ED. These studies over the past two decades have provided important informa-
tion on discussions between AI and economic development. More importantly, the
evidence shows the increasing urgency and depth of the intersection between AI
and various sectors of economic activity. For instance, to allow the power sector
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identified. The “Discussions and Implications” section gives discussions and impli-
cations. Concluding remarks and limitations end the paper.
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we defined the field boundary using a set of keywords that are coherent with the
purpose of the study. To ensure that the final search results include as much of the
desired literature as possible, broader search strings were initially identified, i.e.,
TS = (“Artificial Intelligence” OR “Machine learning” OR “Deep learning” OR
“Intelligent agents” OR “Neural networks” OR “Data mining” OR “Natural lan-
guage processing” OR “Pattern recognition”) AND TS = (“Economic development”
OR “GDP” OR “Economy”). In parallel, to ensure state-of-the-art of records, purely
peer-reviewed academic journal articles were considered for this study. Only the
publications with language in English were taken into consideration. Besides, to
guarantee the annual property of the data, we limited the search span during the
period from 1900 to 2021. The search was carried out in March 2022, and a total
of 2522 items matched these constraints and were initially included in this exami-
nation. Prior to the quantitative statistical analysis, we manually checked the titles,
abstracts and keywords of the identified documents and those irrelevant publications
were removed. In the end, 2211 records were created for this investigation.
To fulfill the objectives of the quantitative analysis and visualization of the
retrieved documents, we need to adopt some advanced bibliometric tools. Biblio-
metrics is based on quantitative methods designed to identify, describe, and evaluate
published research (Bretas & Alon, 2021; Garfield, 1979). Its use of scientific map-
ping and graphical presentation of reproducible statistics reduces the subjective bias
of literature reviews on the one hand, and overcomes the limitations of diagnosis
and the error-prone nature of manual summarization on the other (Su & Lee, 2010;
Tariq et al., 2021; van Eck & Waltman, 2010). Gradually, the ideas and theories of
bibliometrics have become an invaluable manner for many scholars to explore and
discover new knowledge in academic research (Qin et al., 2020; Wang et al., 2020a,
b, c). In response to this trend, many advanced algorithms and sophisticated vis-
ual analysis tools have been developed to help scholars quickly perform bibliomet-
ric analysis. In this paper, we apply two bibliometric tools Bibliometrix and VOS
viewer that are more mature at this stage. Bibliometrix is a powerful open-source
tool developed by Aria and Cuccurullo (2017), which supports a recommended
workflow to perform bibliometric analysis aimed at performing comprehensive
scientific mapping work. By using this tool, we accomplished almost all the bib-
liometric parts of this paper, that is, the performance analysis and science mapping
analysis of the collected records, including publication trend, most relevant sources,
most influential papers and authors, conceptual structure, and intellectual and social
structure. As an equally excellent structured analysis software, VOS viewer is more
focused on the graphical representation of bibliometric maps (van Eck & Walt-
man, 2010). With the assistance of its bibliographic coupling procedure, this paper
achieves an in-depth exploration and examination of the intellectual structure of the
core publications of AI&ED.
In the first phase, we utilized bibliometric analysis to provide an objective, but only
cursory, understanding of the intrinsic structure and overall extrinsic performance of
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Performance Analysis
Publication Trend
The 2211 documents included in the final dataset generate the annual scientific
production in the field of AI&ED, as depicted in Fig. 2. Studies on AI&ED started
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in 1986, when Yamashiro posted their seminal work in which online secure-econ-
omy preventive control of power system was presented based on pattern recog-
nition (Yamashiro, 1986). Although research on this issue has received atten-
tion from the scientific community since then, the published studies on AI&ED
increased dramatically until approximately 2016, especially during the period
from 2018 to 2021. The exponential growth pattern of the field in recent years
suggests two facts. The extensive application of AI to economic development and
relevant areas is a very recent phenomenon. On the flip side, there exists a fierce
argument in management research within AI’s role in the achievement of eco-
nomic development. According to the visible observed trend in Fig. 2, research
on AI&ED is still immature and in the stage of infancy. With the deepening of AI
technology, we can expect a great deal of research in the future dedicated to fur-
ther enhancing domain knowledge on economic research through AI.
Overall, the 2211 selected documents cover 1096 different sources. Figure 3
sets out the international panorama of the top 20 most relevant sources in the
AI&ED field. In this case, we could easily find that the top source comes from
“Sustainability” with a total number of 61 publications updated to 2021. The
“IEEE Access” owns the second rank with 60 publications, followed by “Ener-
gies” (39 publications). With the same number of 39 publications, “Expert
Systems with Applications” is in the fourth position. In this regard, investiga-
tors concerned with the AI&ED topic need to be particularly attentive to these
sources. Moreover, Fig. 4 provides the year-wise growth of the top 5 sources over
the period 1986–2021. The temporal evolution of these sources demonstrates that
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Citations for an article are regarded as an appropriate manner to measure its influ-
ence and authority in the field (Wang et al., 2021a). Given this backdrop, highly
cited documents over the period 1986 to 2021 in the AI&ED field are assessed,
and the top 10 cited publications are exhibited in Table 1. Nevertheless, the total
number of citations (TC) per se does not completely determine the quality of
an article, and the time factor usually needs to be considered. Thus, the average
number of citations received each year (TC/Y) is also generally deployed as an
effective metric for an article’s impact.
Table 1 lists the specific TC and TC/Y across the top 10 documents. Also, the
other useful information on them is specified. Evidence from Table 1 indicates that
more than half of the publications have been cited more than 300 times in total.
Besides, two observations could be obtained from this table. In the first place, five
of these documents were pressed before the year 2010, and five after 2010. Sur-
prisingly, the article titled “Automated detection of COVID-19 cases using deep
neural networks with X-ray images”, published in 2020, earned a whopping 622
citations. The sudden appearance of the novel coronavirus in 2019 has brought
a great impact on the life and health of people all over the world. To accurately
detect and diagnose potential people suffering from this disease, an automated
assisted diagnosis tool named DarkCovidNet based on deep neural networks
was developed by Ozturk et al. (2020). Furthermore, the article called “Brain
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Table 1 Citation analysis of the top 10 documents ordered by the TC
No Author(s) Title Year Journal TC TC/Y
1 Ozturk et al Automated detection of COVID-19 cases using deep neural 2020 Computers in Biology and Medicine 622 207.3
networks with X-ray images
2 Latora & Marchiori Economic small-world behavior in weighted networks 2003 The European Physical Journal B—Condensed Matter and 503 25.2
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Complex Systems
3 Leitao Agent-based distributed manufacturing control: A state-of- 2009 Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence 464 33.1
the-art survey
4 Lu et al Brain Intelligence: Go beyond Artificial Intelligence 2018 Mobile Networks and Applications volume 409 81.8
5 Ding et al A survey on security control and attack detection for indus- 2018 Neurocomputing 363 72.6
trial cyber-physical systems
6 Chen et al Application of neural networks to an emerging financial mar- 2003 Computers & Operations Research 239 12
ket: forecasting and trading the Taiwan Stock Index
7 Kaytez et al Forecasting electricity consumption: A comparison of regres- 2015 International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems 226 28.3
sion analysis, neural networks and least squares support
vector machines
8 Paya et al Artificial neural network based fault diagnostics of rotating 1997 Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing 220 8.5
machinery using wavelet transforms as a preprocessor
9 Boros et al An implementation of logical analysis of data 2000 IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering 213 9.3
10 Chen et al Energy management for a power-split plug-in hybrid electric 2014 IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology 178 19.8
vehicle based on dynamic programming and neural net-
works
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Science Mapping
With respect to the analysis at the science mapping level, a series of bibliometric
methods are exploited here to identify the conceptual, intellectual and social struc-
tures hidden in AI&ED issues.
Conceptual Structure
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the comprehensive strategic diagram of AI&ED research from 1986 to 2021 is con-
structed as presented in Fig. 6. As a result, the nutshell overview of the dominant
research topics on AI&ED is highlighted. Obviously, the X-axis (centrality) and
Y-axis (density) split the two-dimensional space into four different regions (i.e.,
quadrants). In this setting, four types of themes with different meanings are clearly
distinguished (Cobo et al., 2011). Centrality gauges the level of inter-cluster interac-
tion, whereas density measures the level of intra-cluster cohesion (Forliano et al.,
2021). More to the point, themes that fall in the first quadrant (upper-right quadrat)
are usually well-developed and are significant in shaping the field of study. They
have high centrality and density values and are usually referred to as motor themes.
A theme is characterized by low centrality and high-density values, which is posi-
tioned in the second quadrant (upper-left quadrat) as a highly-developed and isolated
theme. Diametrically opposed to the thematic characteristics of the first quadrant,
themes in the third quadrant (bottom-left quadrat) are not only low in centrality but
also low in density, with disappearing or emerging themes gathering here. Lastly,
basic and transversal themes usually lie in the fourth quadrant (bottom-right quad-
rat) with high centrality and low-density values (Lam-Gordillo et al., 2020). Visible
here is that each theme cluster is composed of a number of keywords, and its name
is determined by the most frequent keyword. Besides, the higher the frequency of
keywords per theme, the larger the area of the circle will be accordingly.
Therefore, five prevalent themes are finally identified in the diagram. Research
related to “artificial intelligence,” “big data,” and “Internet of things” is aligned to
the first quadrant, suggesting research on these topics dominates and profoundly
influences other topics in the AI&ED field. The developed but isolated theme in
the second quadrant, namely “neural network,” “optimization,” and “energy
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After examining the conceptual structure concerning the AI&ED field, the intel-
lectual and social structure would be further revealed in this part. To be specific,
we are committed to visualizing co-citation network and country collaboration
map in the AI&ED field. Co-citation analysis is used for the analysis of the
cited sources, which allows us to quickly capture the mainstream source com-
munities. In the same way, Fig. 7 outlines the three source clusters amongst the
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50 most influential sources. In the first cluster (shown in red), 16 sources are
detected, and high-quality journals such as “Neurocomputing,” “Expert Systems
with Applications,” and “Decision Support Systems” occupy the main position.
18 sources make up the largest Cluster 2 (shown in blue), in which the repre-
sentative sources include “Applied Energy,” “Renewable and Sustainable Energy
Reviews,” “Energy,” and so forth. In the last cluster (shown in green), 16 sources
are more dispersed in the figure, with “Nature” and “Science” journals occupying
the center of the diagram.
With consideration to the prevalence of cooperation and linkages between
authors from different regions or countries, we conduct a collaboration-based
assessment of international cooperation. By performing the Collaboration World-
Map function in the Bibliometrix and setting the minimum edges as three, Fig. 8
sheds light on the social structure within the AI&ED domain. Overall, there are
627 pairs of country/region key cooperation on this map. At the same time, the
higher the productivity of a country or region, the darker its color is, while the
connection of the lines indicates the presence of collaboration, and the more
robust the line, the higher the rate of collaboration. The assessment shows that
China, the USA, and India are among the world leaders in terms of individual
country or regional contributions with 624, 412, and 210 publications, respec-
tively. Another interesting finding shows that scholars from the USA and China
are fostering the strongest collaborations, and they are building strong ties with
their counterparts around the world. In fact, the highest rate of collaboration
between the USA and Chinese scholars has also been maintained, with a total of
66 co-authored articles. As it clearly appears, there are still several authors from
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different countries or regions who are not involved in this area of communication
and collaboration.
Bibliographic coupling occurs when two publications cite a third common publica-
tion in their bibliographies (Wang et al., 2021b). As a similarity measure, it is often
used to cluster similar research streams. Obviously, the magnitude of coupling is
proportional to the relevance of the research topic and content between publications.
The significant difference compared to co-citation analysis is that bibliographic cou-
pling analysis can better identify the distribution of recent research topics and cur-
rent trends in AI&ED, which can inspire us to ponder about future research (van
Oorschot et al., 2018). Thus, with the assistance of the VOS viewer tool, Fig. 9 visu-
alizes the coherent bibliographic network of the AI&ED literature to detect similar
subject areas, and determines the mindset of core researchers.
Since the bibliographic network generated by the initial 2211 publications can-
not identify the number of controllable and valid clusters, we set some filtering
conditions and modulate some parameters to derive the number of clusters that can
be analyzed. Expressly, to obtain core insights and capture closely linked research
results within each cluster, we eliminate unconnected items to show the largest set of
connected items. What is more, in our study, we adjusted the minimum cluster size
and set it to 12 instead of the default of 1, which makes the final number of clusters
more concentrated. In fact, we have also fine-tuned the final rendering of the graph
by changing the repulsion parameter to -1, while leaving the attraction parameter as
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default. Finally, Fig. 9 generates five highly distinguishable clusters that are given
different colors to highlight. In what follows, this paper will review these five rel-
atively independent research streams in detail. The five presented broad research
topics are: AI supports intelligent decision-making ("AI supports Intelligent Deci-
sion-Making" subsection), AI empowers social governance ("AI Empowers Social
Governance" Subsection), AI enhances labor and capital ("AI Enhances Labor and
Capital" subsection), AI accelerates Industry 4.0 ("AI Accelerates Industry 4.0" sub-
section) and AI fuels innovation ("AI Fuels Innovation" subsection).
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Uzlu et al. (2014) applied the ANN model and TLBO (teaching–learning-based opti-
mization) algorithm to estimate its energy consumption, which also showed good pre-
diction performance. However, a single model cannot always meet the requirements
of time series prediction and fuel consumption variation (Liu et al., 2016). In paral-
lel, the fact that energy consumption involves a large number of parameters makes
its forecasting a complex and challenging task to carry out. To this end, combining
the excellent predictive models available is the most straightforward response, and it
has proven to be effective (Li et al., 2018). Predicting the interrelationship between
energy activities and real economic fluctuations is also further explored by relying
on AI algorithms. In different domestic and international environments, varying oil
price shock incentives can cause different oil price shocks and have different mac-
roeconomic impacts. In response to this problem, Ju et al. (2016) proposed an ontol-
ogy-supported case-based reasoning approach to an incentive-oriented AI early warn-
ing system, namely the relationship between oil price shocks and the economy early
warning system, for predicting the linkage changes between macroeconomic and oil
price shocks in China. Furthermore, the economic dependence between urban devel-
opment policies and energy efficiency improvement was revealed by building a neu-
ral network model (Skiba et al., 2017). In addition to the energy sector, other areas
involved in economic development are also actively incorporating AI technologies to
achieve the best forecasting results, such as the spatial prediction of land subsidence
susceptibility (Arabameri et al., 2020), the prediction of standardized precipitation
evapotranspiration index (Soh et al., 2018) and predicting the monthly closing price
of major USA indices (Weng et al., 2018).
In fact, forecasting can also be considered as the process of filling in the miss-
ing information, i.e., using the information already collected to generate informa-
tion that we do not yet have or that we expect to have. Based on the vast amount of
available data, AI technology can quickly and efficiently make diagnoses or judg-
ments to help people make the best decisions in a short period of time, minimizing
economic risk at the organizational, industry and national levels. At the end of 2019,
the sudden onslaught of the novel coronavirus 2019 not only posed a huge threat
to people’s lives and health, but also caused a heavy blow to economic develop-
ment worldwide. As the epidemic continues to spread around the world, diagnos-
ing infected patients has become one of the urgent tasks to be solved at that time.
For this reason, many radiological images have been widely used for the detection
of COVID-19. In particular, the integration of AI technology allows the diagnosis
of patients with COVID-19 infections at a significant advantage (Tsiknakis et al.,
2020). For instance, Ozturk et al. (2020) presented a new model for the automatic
detection of COVID-19 using raw chest x-ray images. The model can achieve an
accuracy of 98.08% for the classification of binary classes and 87.02% for the clas-
sification of multiple classes. It is worth pointing out that despite the widespread use
and effectiveness of AI in fraud detection, the emergence of new fraudulent vectors
has posed severe challenges to fraud detection in the AI framework (Ryman-Tubb
et al., 2018). Besides, the boom in the fitness industry in recent years has led to a
critical need for scientific and practical instructional programs. In light of this, real-
time monitoring and guidance based on exercisers’ daily fitness data, supported by
AI technology, has become a trend for future fitness applications (Yong et al., 2018).
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The development of computers and information technology gave rise to the crea-
tion of a decision support system (DSS) in the mid-1970s to help decision-mak-
ers improve the level and quality of their decisions. Suffice it to say that the rapid
advancement of AI technology has given people a wonderful aspiration for the intel-
ligence of traditional DSS (Pinter et al., 1995). Later, DSS was combined with AI
and expert system technologies, and the prototype of an intelligent decision support
system (IDSS) was outlined, enabling the original system to cope with more com-
plex and uncertain decision scenarios. With this opportunity, IDSS has been widely
studied by scholars and involved in many human economic activities. For example,
to achieve effective management and rapid response to different customer needs
in transportation enterprises, He et al. (2014) proposed a general framework that
integrates intelligent technologies as components into the architecture of service-
oriented group decision support system, and skillfully used AI technology to solve
the conflict problem in distributed group decision-making. The multi-agent system
theory and techniques in AI likewise provide essential insights for the develop-
ment of DSS. To address the complex issues in agricultural development, Xue et al.
(2013) designed an agent-based regional agricultural economy decision support sys-
tem (RAEDSS) to simulate and evaluate the impact of policies on rural development
under different scenarios. Considering that intelligent decision-making should have
the ability to explore and discover uncertain environments, scholars have tried to
combine fuzzy logic with IDSS to enhance its knowledge representation and rea-
soning capabilities. Using fuzzy cognitive maps, Albayrak et al. (2021) developed
an IDSS to achieve high yield of honey. In addition, uncertain production goals are
extremely common in production plants, and this uncertainty leads to the invalida-
tion of regular management. In view of this, Rodriguez et al. (2020) proposed an
IDSS for production planning based on machine learning and fuzzy logic to solve
the closed-loop supply chain management problem.
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recent COVID-19 pandemic has prompted a great deal of thought by many schol-
ars about many vital issues and potential complexities for organizations and socie-
ties (Dwivedi et al., 2020; Iandolo et al., 2021), particularly the controversy over
data sharing related to the concept of urban health and safe cities (Allam & Jones,
2020). On one side, strengthening standardized protocols to increase data sharing
will not only help the efficient development of epidemic prevention and control, but
also facilitate the further construction and design of smart cities, as well as lead to
better global understanding and management of the same. However, it is undeniable
that sharing urban health data has the potential to impact the economy and politics
of a country or region. Besides, as AI continues to permeate all aspects of human
society, some administrative agencies are attempting to employ intelligent algo-
rithms to improve the intelligence of government governance. On a technical level,
this is entirely possible. Hildebrandt (2018) pointed out that data-driven artificial
legal intelligence may be much more successful in predicting the content of positive
law. Likewise, profound developments in information technology are changing the
way banks work, relying more on reliable quantitative information from online and
credit bureaus, contributing to AI-based decision-making (Jakšič & Marinc, 2019).
Finally, over recent years, AI technology is also quietly changing the face and opera-
tion of other social industries such as education (Mehmood et al., 2017; Williams,
2019), marketing (Rust, 2020) and accounting (Moll & Yigitbasioglu, 2019), seek-
ing to improve economic efficiency.
However, we should also see that while AI accelerates economic development
and promotes social governance to a new level, it brings additional challenges to
human society in terms of legal norms, moral ethics and governance guidelines that
should not be underestimated. Firstly, as mentioned earlier, big data gives AI enough
valuable data to support it. Generally speaking, the larger and more dimensional the
data, the more promising the final effect of intelligent algorithms, which inevita-
bly involves individual-level data analysis, collection and application. Scholars have
long debated the protection of personal data and concerns related to privacy (Kak,
2018). On the one hand, some scholars have called for striking as much of a bal-
ance as possible between data protection and data-related concerns (Dwivedi et al.,
2020). On the other hand, some scholars pointed out that no one owns data and that
property rights protection of data is not appropriate to promote better privacy, more
innovation or technological progress, but is more likely to stifle freedom of expres-
sion, freedom of information and technological progress. Thus, the case for prop-
erty rights to data is not compelling, and there is no need to create new property
rights for data (Determann, 2018). Secondly, Allam and Newman (2018) cautioned
against the blind acceptance of technology and encouraged further embedding
into the social fabric. Such a reminder stems in large part from the ethical issues
of fairness, responsibility or subjectivity that AI can raise. Research in AI could
be roughly divided into three stages: mechanical AI, thinking AI and feeling AI.
While mechanical AI is already mature and thinking AI is developing rapidly, the
highest level of feeling AI is progressing slowly (Huang et al., 2019). Since AI at
this phase does not possess self-awareness, AI platforms are not neutral technolo-
gies, they are designed with a purpose and exhibit bias and human rights violations
(Bourne, 2019). Additionally, government agencies are beginning to widely adopt
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The debate over the conclusion that AI enhances the quality of labor as well as the
quality of capital. In the traditional economic development model, the three pro-
duction factors, i.e., capital, labor and total factor productivity (TFP), determine
the development dynamics of the economy. When the two physical factors, capital
and labor, rise in quantity or are used more efficiently, they contribute to economic
development. Of course, an increase in TFP due to technological or innovative
advances would also generate economic development. Collectively, it seems to be
an undisputed fact that the widespread use of AI promotes economic development.
More importantly, a large body of empirical literature supports this view as well
(Chattopadhyay & Rangarajan, 2014).
Firstly, the development of AI has significantly reduced the cost of traditional
automation while creating an opportunity for the era of intelligent automation (von
Joerg & Carlos, 2022). Although traditional automation technologies have led to
dramatic increases in labor productivity, specific and homogeneous settings, allow
them to perform only simple and repetitive tasks. In contrast to the former, the era
of intelligent automation has created a new kind of virtual labor force, which can
be considered as a new factor of production. This phenomenon, on the one hand,
diminishes the dependence on manual labor at the current stage of production and
triggers the substitution of capital for labor (Autor, 2015). On the other hand, due
to its self-learning and self-renewal characteristics, AI will effectively solve the
complex labor needs of the many automated jobs in real life (Bahrammirzaee et al.,
2011). In particular, this change in the structure of production factors will rapidly
produce high-end labor, which in turn will significantly boost economic develop-
ment (Vivarelli, 2014).
Secondly, with powerful and innovative AI technologies, the efficiency of the
existing capital and labor has been enhanced to an unprecedented degree, while
enabling the skills and capabilities of labor and physical capital to be also supple-
mented and improved. In fact, in addition to the above-mentioned substitution rela-
tionships, there are also many complementary relationships between AI and human
intelligence (Huin et al., 2003). With human–machine collaboration, workers’ pro-
ductivity can not only be effectively utilized and extended, but also be motivated to
focus on the areas they are good at and thus do more creative work. The scenario of
human–machine integration has led to increasing labor productivity (Wolff, 2014).
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For example, accurate estimation of the local scour depth concerning bridge piers is
crucial for engineering design and management, which places higher demands on the
professionalism of bridge engineers. To this end, a new hybrid smart artificial firefly
colony algorithm-based support vector regression model was developed to predict
the scour depth near bridge piers by Chou and Pham (2017). The results showed that
the model could effectively assist the concerned staff in constructing safe and cost-
effective bridge substructures. In terms of improving capital quality, as described in
the “AI Supports Intelligent Decision-Making” section, AI is able to model, predict
and ultimately optimize decisions in real time from massive amounts of data in the
production process. It can almost completely avoid the problems of low accuracy,
low integration and low adaptability in production activities, and achieve intelli-
gence in the production process, thus realizing capital efficiency improvements. For
the manufacturing industry, this is particularly evident. AI has become an important
driver for intelligent manufacturing technology innovation, promoting economic
development and improving people’s quality of life. Research results showed that
the adoption of highly interconnected and deeply integrated intelligent production
lines would lead to significant improvements in manufacturing productivity as well
as a corresponding reduction in the number of system instructions (Hu et al., 2018).
Finally, AI’s ability to increase TFP across the board is well documented, and
some existing studies even categorize it as a new factor of production that will fur-
ther fuel economic development in the future.1 Nevertheless, in the long run, many
scholars are divided on the question of whether the progress of AI will play a sus-
tainable role in promoting economic development. The negative school of thought
believes that AI will replace labor and take over human jobs, which will likely lead
to unemployed people much faster than productivity can be increased (Vermeulen
et al., 2018). In a situation where the labor market is disrupted, income inequality
and mass unemployment among workers are probably creating a further future of
high unemployment and even economic stagnation (Frey & Osborne, 2017). As a
consequence, AI’s boost in the economy is seen as unsustainable (Vermeulen et al.,
2018). As noted by Gasteiger and Prettner (2017), human dependence on AI would
eventually lead to an economic rout, as the utilization of automation inhibited wage
development and thus investment growth. In contrast, the positive school of thought
argues that while AI can rapidly replace labor, the AI revolution will not necessarily
have a fatal impact on employment. Specifically, on the one hand, the development
and application of AI technology still require many human resources for research
and development and design, as well as the operation and maintenance of AI equip-
ment cannot be separated from the participation of senior technical personnel. This
demand for high-end human capital creates a higher economic value, but of course
also puts forward higher requirements for the quality of the future workforce (Chen
et al., 2009). On the other hand, the skill requirements of jobs are dynamic, and
the impact of AI is likely to generate new labor demand and new job opportunities
(Frank et al., 2019). The historical experience of the industrial revolution tells us
that at this stage, human beings are likely to be in a short transitional period with
1
https://www.accenture.com
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According to our consensus, the Industry 1.0 era was marked by the invention of
the steam engine by the Englishman Watt, which exponentially increased the effi-
ciency of production technologies that previously relied on human and animal labor.
The widespread availability of electricity has inaugurated the era of Industry 2.0. In
this context, the productivity of factories has been developed and further improved.
The Industry 3.0 era then witnessed the advent of computers and automation (Syam
& Sharma, 2018). And in 2013, as the German government introduced the concept
of Industry 4.0, it instantly attracted the attention of various countries and indus-
trial giants (Carayannis et al., 2022). Industry 4.0 can be characterized as the emer-
gence of cyber-physical systems involving entirely new capabilities for people and
machines (Mhlanga, 2020). Even though these capabilities rely on the previous
phase of Industry 3.0, the continued incorporation of extraordinary technologies
has allowed for a long optimization of the third computerized industrial revolution
(Sharabov & Tsochev, 2020). At the same time, the technology embedded in Indus-
try 4.0 has created a new way of human life at this stage. Underpinned by these
disruptive technological advances, Industry 4.0 aims to blur the boundaries among
the physical, digital and biological worlds (Huynh et al., 2020). Simply put, it is
expected to establish a highly flexible, personalized and digital production pattern of
products and services, where the original industry boundaries will be broken down
and the industry chain will be redefined (Sharabov & Tsochev, 2020). Journal arti-
cles and related reports in the context of Industry 4.0 indicate a huge demand for
developing reliable and usable AI for real-world applications (Lee & Lim, 2021). It
is foreseeable that AI will play an integral role in the future production paradigm of
Industry 4.0 (Skrop, 2018). There seems to be a consensus among social scientists
that AI is the key technology of the fourth industrial revolution (Liu et al., 2021).
The principal features of Industry 4.0 are technological transformations, digi-
tal revolution and AI (Wang et al., 2020a, b, c). More precisely, Sanz et al. (2021)
pointed out that intelligent and automated solutions should be included in industrial
processes that employ AI (AI-driven framework) to be competitive in the Industry
4.0 paradigm that essentially affects manufacturing. For this reason, a great deal of
research has been conducted on how to combine and embed AI into the existing
Industry 4.0 manufacturing value chain (Peres et al., 2020). To meet Industry 4.0
manufacturing standards, Nasr et al. (2020) proposed a hybrid adaptive neuro-fuzzy
inference system (ANFIS) based on a multi-objective particle swarm optimization
approach to obtain optimal combinations of milling parameters and matching rates
to minimize feed force, depth force, and surface roughness. Artificial neural network
model for dynamic behavior optimization of robotic arms, an AI technology, was
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AI Fuels Innovation
It is now widely accepted that the advent of AI technology has disruptively improved
productivity, but its radiating effect of driving innovation through economic diffu-
sion is rarely talked about or even valued. Innovative thinking and creative ideas
are becoming mainstream as people slowly get used to the pounding of the fourth
industrial revolution era (Chen, 2022). Imagine that if imagination is lost, progress
may only be a short-lived blessing (Shakir et al., 2019). Mechanical improvements
or instability have a long history of impacting innovation, as has AI, endowed with
human intelligence (Shakir et al., 2019). Within a business perspective, innovation is
a multi-stage process by which organizations transform ideas into new or improved
products, services or processes to successfully move forward, compete and differen-
tiate in the marketplace (Buhmann & Fieseler, 2021). Since AI at this stage is pri-
marily characterized by expanding all aspects of human performance, it is not possi-
ble to achieve a high degree of autonomy, or even full autonomy, for the time being.
We may question whether AI can take up the burden of influencing or even domi-
nating the innovation management process. At first glance, the vision of AI being
used to facilitate innovation purposes seems to be nonsensical. After all, the abil-
ity to innovate has traditionally been considered a uniquely human survival capa-
bility (Haefner et al., 2021). So far, decisions in the innovation process have been
made by humans. Just imagine what it means when they are replaced by machines
(Verganti et al., 2020). Nevertheless, along with the gradual blurring of the bounda-
ries between AI and humans, a large number of cases tell us that AI promises to
give birth to different explanations and inventions than before. This groundbreaking
progress suggests that AI can be defined as the invention of an inventive method.
In other words, AI has the ability to increase innovation productivity by helping
human innovators with all the supportive tasks that ignite the creative spark and col-
late innovation propositions based on their merits (Samid, 2021). This is particu-
larly evident in business activities. AI becomes a technology driver for business pat-
tern innovation by steering decisions and automating services to leverage business
practices that improve efficiency and profitability (Anton et al., 2021). Arguably, AI
plays the role of creative enabler and partner to innovation managers in their inno-
vation process (Kakatkar et al., 2020). More broadly, AI does have the potential to
innovate on its own and to disrupt the entire innovation process under conventional
perception, thus fundamentally changing the traditional innovation generation pat-
terns (Hutchinson, 2021). The same view is shared by Cockburn et al. (2018). They
claimed that AI also has the potential to transform the innovation process itself, with
potentially equally far-reaching consequences, and it may dominate the direct impact
over time. Moreover, it is not just about improving the efficiency of research activi-
ties, but about creating new scripts for innovation itself.
Certainly, the great human emphasis on the adoption of AI technology in the inno-
vation process stems mainly from compromise with the reality of the environment.
To begin with, today’s increasingly turbulent and competitive innovation environ-
ment has inevitably created extremely difficult survival conditions. In addition, with
the exponential increase in the amount of information collected by organizations
or companies, limited human resources can no longer demonstrate the confidence
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Practical Implications
Moreover, the findings of this study also help us summarize a number of practi-
cal implications for future development with the aim of removing obstacles to the
future development path of AI in terms of its widespread acceptance in economic
activities.
Firstly, our bibliometric analysis and content review help practitioners gain a
comprehensive understanding of the current state of development of AI as an emerg-
ing technology in various areas of human economic development. More importantly,
practitioners can increase their confidence that AI will change the future landscape
of economic activity and gain possible guidance for their practice from this work.
Secondly, practitioners can derive highly condensed findings and research
boundaries from bibliometrics to discuss design choices and trade-offs to remove
major barriers and obstacles to the inclusion of AI in economic activities. More
pertinently, practitioners in the AI industry may benefit from our survey for more
nuanced applications and designs.
Thirdly, our social structure analysis identifies the countries/regions that have
achieved more results in the AI&ED field. This finding helps practitioners understand
where to seek appropriate collaboration opportunities or advice (Zhang et al., 2021).
Fourthly, our review argues that AI is rapidly becoming the new frontier of competi-
tive differentiation for economic development in countries around the world. To this
end, the work can help leaders as well as policymakers to capture the potential of AI.
Finally, our findings suggest that AI needs to focus on the legal and ethical
dimensions of its involvement in human economic activities. We, therefore, call on
policymakers to pay attention to these factors on the path to deepening the role of
AI. For example, the safety risks of AI technology should not be underestimated.
The security concerns of AI have been mentioned numerous times in the existing
literature, including ethical security, technical security, data security and so on. For
the technical level deficiencies, the government should increase the financial invest-
ment and policy protection in this area to provide a good external environment for
the development of the AI industry. When it comes to data and ethical security, on
the one hand, people must be aware of the privacy nature of data itself, and respect
human privacy by establishing moderate legal provisions to address data security
as well as embody data privacy protection without impeding the development of AI
technology. On the other hand, a professional code of ethics for AI should be devel-
oped. In the process of AI design and development, human ethical guidelines and
humanism are incorporated, and efforts are made to find best practices that make AI
decisions more ethical.
In this investigation, the aim is to provide a synthesized review of the extant studies that
specialize in the application of AI technology in the economy and related fields. Answer-
ing this critical issue requires detailed knowledge that overcomes the fragmented feature
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Journal of the Knowledge Economy
Summary
Using the bibliometric tool Bibliometrix, we conducted a performance analysis and sci-
ence mapping analysis of publications to visualize the landscape and evolution of the
AI&ED field and to capture the trajectory of themes over time. The intuitive results
show that articles on AI&ED have only emerged in recent years, especially in the last
three years, and are now the focus of much scholarly interest. In addition, the most rel-
evant publication sources are concentrated in “Sustainability,” “IEEE Access,” “Ener-
gies,” and “Expert Systems with Applications”. In particular, “IEEE Access” has seen
the most significant increase in the number of publications in this field in the last few
years. The most influential paper was published in 2020 by Ozturk et al. (2020) in
“Computers in Biology and Medicine”, entitled “Automated detection of COVID-19
cases using deep neural networks with X-ray images”. As of the time of data collection,
this paper has been cited more than 622 times and may be deemed as an extraordinary
work in the field. In addition, the scholar Li Y has produced the most articles and is the
most active author in the field. The science mapping draws the conceptual, intellectual
and social structure across the AI&ED domain. The distribution of topics in the four
quadrants and the evolution of topics over time provide a clear picture of the current
knowledge structure and orientation of the field. Overall, the extended conversations
on the “big data” and “Internet of Things” are still hot topics at this stage. Prediction-
related research is an enduring and widely discussed topic in the field. As expected,
the agenda for COVID-19 is emerging. More importantly, there is a close international
exchange of scholars from different countries/regions working in this field.
On the other hand, with the support of the bibliographic coupling function embed-
ded in the VOS viewer, we identify five key topic areas that are currently the most
popular under AI&ED research: AI and intelligent decision-making, AI and social
governance, AI and labor and capital, AI and Industry 4.0, and AI and innovation,
which is also an outstanding result of this study. In response to these frontier topics,
we run a systematic review to gain insight into each economic subfield. For the prac-
titioner sphere, this work provides theoretical basis and guidance to those currently
employed in the field, enabling them to quickly seize the unlimited potential of AI
in economic development. Nonetheless, for researchers working in this field, we out-
line the profile of each topic area and the research gaps, which will have an important
enlightening force and stimulating effect on future research in this field.
Although the study design of this paper ensures the relevance and reliability of the
final results, the generalizability of these results is still subject to certain limitations.
13
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First and foremost, for the determination of the data sources, we followed the inter-
nationally generally observed rule of access based on the WoS core collection plat-
form. Although the quality of the literature was ensured, a small amount of valu-
able literature was still hidden in other databases, which to some extent makes the
integrity of the sample questionable. Therefore, expanding reliable data collection
channels in future research is a feasible way to improve our study. Secondly, out of
research needs, we only considered most of the literature in the bibliographic cou-
pling network mapping instead of all the literature, which may cause some bias in
the final clustering results. To get a broader picture of the research clusters in this
field, we encourage future researchers to consider more literature information to
obtain more general and delicate insights. Finally, while the utilization of biblio-
metric techniques in the paper reveals its advantages of comprehensiveness, it also
exhibits its shortcomings of not being able to take into account many details. For the
time being, we can only rely on the future improvement of the discipline to remedy
this deficiency. Notwithstanding these limitations, this work offers valuable insights
for the future boom in the AI&ED field.
Author Contribution Yong Qin, Zeshui Xu, Xinxin Wang, and Marinko Škare conceived the study and
were responsible for the data collection, design, and development of the data analysis as well as for data
interpretation. Yong Qin, Zeshui Xu, and Xinxin Wang wrote the first draft of the article.
Funding The work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 72071135),
the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (YJ202063, SXYPY202146), and China
Postdoctoral Science Foundation (No. 2021M692259).
Declarations
Conflict of Interest The authors declare no competing interests.
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