Tarun Financial Model - InFOSYS
Tarun Financial Model - InFOSYS
Assumptions
xxxx Inputs /
Assumptions
Discounted Cash flow model xxxx Formulae
xxxx Linking to other
Cost of equity tabs
Relative valuation
Blended TEV
Charts
Ratios
multinational information
rovides business
%margin 12% 8% 8% 8%
4% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8%
- - - - - -
72 72 72 72 72 72
Current Assets
Current Liabilities
Equity
Check OK OK OK OK OK
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
13,129 13,307 13,562 13,333 13,400
OK OK OK OK OK
CASH FLOW - INFOSYS
(All figures in INR cr)
Purchase of Goodwill 0 0 0
28551 33045
3115 3627
(4586) (5500)
399 824
27480 31996
(3,665) (4,267)
0 0
0 0
(411) 184
(2,984) (3,152)
(7,060) (7,235)
573 573
579 586
(10,164) (9,958)
(9,012) (8,799)
11407 15962
42,717 54,125
54125 70087
SCHEDULE -INFOSYS
As of 2017 2018 2019 2020
PP&E Schedule
as a % of Revenue 3% 3% 4%
Less: Disposal 0 0 0
Common Equity
Beginnning of Period 67838 63835 62778
Debt Schedule
Beginnning of Period - -
4%
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
5 5 5 5 5 5
77 77 77 77 77 77
5 5 5 5 5 5
70 70 70 70 70 70
2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
0 0 0 0 0 0
195
4%
ASSUMPTION - INFOSYS
Assumptions
Income Statement
Revenue Forecast
8%
4%
15%
13%
12%
13%
12%
8%
Total 82,675 90,792
10%
Financial services
Best case
base case
Worst case
Retail
Best case
base case
Worst case
Communication
Best case
base case
Worst case
Best case
base case
Worst case
Manufacturing
Best case
base case
Worst case
Hi tech
Best case
base case
Worst case
Life sciences
Best case
base case
Worst case
Others
Best case
base case
Worst case
Expenses Forecast
COGS Margin
Best Case
Base Case
Worst Case
Employee Expense
Best Case
Base Case
Worst Case
SG&A
Best Case
Base Case
Worst Case
D&A
Best Case
Base Case
Worst Case
Best Case
Base Case
Worst Case
BALANCE SHEET
Best Case
Base Case
Worst Case
Best Case
Base Case
Worst Case
Select the Case base case
5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
5% 5% 5% 5%
5% 5% 5% 5%
6% 6% 6% 6%
3% 3% 3% 3%
8% 8% 8% 8%
8% 8% 8% 8%
6% 6% 6% 6%
-21%
65 65 65 65
70 70 70 70
65 65 65 65
60 60 60 60
57 57 57 57
60 60 60 60
57 57 57 57
54 54 54 54
2026
88062
22%
18819
5%
16117
5%
17457
7%
10952
3%
23881
23%
18568
22%
9634
25%
203,490
16%
14.0%
12%
10.0%
7.00%
5%
3.00%
7.00%
5%
3.00%
8.00%
6%
4.00%
5.00%
3%
1.00%
22.00%
20%
18.00%
17.00%
15%
13.00%
22.00%
20%
18.00%
13%
15%
13%
11%
55%
57%
55%
53%
8%
10%
8%
6%
85%
83%
85%
87%
-19%
-21%
-23%
65
70
65
60
57
60
57
54
Discounted cash flow technique of valuation - Infosys
Revenues
Less: Depreciation
Add: Depreciation
FCFF
Discount factor
Terminal value
Gap 211%
uation - Infosys
6%
3051172
1863507
Working Note of Cost of Equity
2021 EBITDA
EV(metric*multiple)
Trading Comparables (IT Sector)
P/E TEV/EBITDA
27889
559653
Blended TEV - INFOSYS
250000 0.2
17% 0.18
16%
16%
200000 15% 0.16
15%
14%
0.14
0 0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
28% 28%
203490
200000
27% 27%
174776
150908 26%
150000
131019
25% 25% 114400 25%
24%
100472
100000 90791 24% 24% 24% 24% 24%
82675 24%
68484 70522
23%
50000
174776
150908 26%
150000
131019
25% 25% 114400 25%
24%
100472
100000 90791 24% 24% 24% 24% 24%
82675 24%
68484 70522
23%
50000
22%
0 21%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
2024 2025 2026
0.2
0.18
16%
16%
0.16
0.14
0.12
0.1 Revenue
Growth
203490 0.08
174776
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
2025 2026
28%
203490
174776 27%
26%
25% Revenue
EBITDA Margin
24% 24%
24%
23%
174776
26%
25% Revenue
EBITDA Margin
24% 24%
24%
23%
22%
21%
2025 2026
Ratio Analysis- Infosys
Liquidity Ratio
Current Ratio 4 4 3 3 3 3
Cash ratio 2 1 1 1 1 1
Solvency Ratio
Turnover Ratio
Asset Turnover Ratio 82% 88% 98% 98% 93% 98%
Profitability Ratio
Operating Profit margin 25% 24% 22% 21% 25% 22%
3 4 4 5
1 2 2 3