Unit-3 International Monetary System
Unit-3 International Monetary System
The whole story of monetary and financial system revolves around 'Exchange
Rate' i.e. the rate at which currency is exchanged among different countries for
settlement of payments arising from trading of goods and services. To have an
understanding of historical perspectives of international monetary system,
firstly one must have a knowledge of exchange rate regimes. Various exchange
rate regimes found from 1880 to till date at the international level are
described briefly as follows:
Monetary System Before First World War: (1880-1914 Era of Gold Standard)
The oldest system of exchange rate was known as "Gold Species Standard" in
which actual currency contained a fixed content of gold. The other version
called "Gold Bullion Standard", where the basis of money remained fixed gold
but the authorities were ready to convert, at a fixed rate, the paper currency
issued by them into paper currency of another country which is operating in
Gold. The exchange rate between pair of two currencies was determined by
respective exchange rates against 'Gold' which was called 'Mint Parity'. Three
rules were followed with respect to this conversion:
• The authorities must fix some once-for-all conversion rate of paper money
issued by them into gold.
• There must be free flow of Gold between countries on Gold Standard.
• The money supply should be tied with the amount of Gold reserves kept by
authorities. The gold standard was very rigid and during 'great
depression' (1929-32) it vanished completely. In modern times some
economists and policy makers advocate this standard to continue
because of its ability to control excessive money supply.
Merits:
1. Public Confidence:
Since the standard coin is made of gold, it is universally acceptable. Thus, gold
coin Standard enjoys full confidence of the public.
2. Automatic Working:
It is automatic in working and needs no government intervention. Money
supply depends upon the volume of gold reserves and money supply can be
changed in accordance with the changes in the volume of gold reserves.
3. Price Stability:
Since there are no frequent changes in the supply of gold, this system ensures
reasonable degree of internal price stability.
4. Exchange Stability:
Free and unrestricted import and export of gold under gold coin standard
ensures stability in foreign exchange rates. This promotes international trade.
5. Simplicity:
This is the simplest form of gold standard which can be easily understood by
the common people.
Demerits:
1. Fair-Weather Standard:
It is fair-weather standard; it operates smoothly during peace times but fails to
work properly and to inspire public confidence at the time of economic crisis.
2. Wastage of Gold:
There is great deal of wastage of gold under this standard. Circulation of gold
coins suffers depreciation. Moreover, since paper currency is fully backed by
gold, gold remains idle while in reserves.
3. Not Automatic:
Gold coin standard operates automatically with the cooperation of the
participating countries. After World War I, in the absence of international
cooperation, this standard ceased to be automatic in its functioning.
4. Price Stability Unreal:
Under this system, internal price stability is unreal. Various factors like
discoveries of new gold mines, changes in the techniques of production of
gold, changes in imports and exports of gold, lead to changes in the price of
gold, and hence cause fluctuations in the internal prices.
With the failure of gold standard during first world war, a much-refined form
of exchange regime was initiated in 1925 in which US and England could hold
gold reserve and other nations could hold both gold and dollars/sterling as
reserves. In 1931, England took its foot back which resulted in abolition of this
regime.
3. Exchange Stability:
Under gold exchange standard, it is the responsibility of the government to
maintain the stability of exchange rate. Exchange stability is essential for the
promotion of foreign trade.
4. Gains of Gold Standard:
All the advantages of the gold standard become available under this standard
without putting gold coins in circulation.
5. Suitable for Poor Countries:
This standard is particularly suited to the less developed countries with gold
scarcity.
Demerits:
The gold exchange standard has the following drawbacks:
1. Complex:
This standard is complex in its working and is not easily understandable by the
common people.
2. Less Public Confidence:
Under this standard, domestic currency is not directly linked with gold and the
currency is not convertible into gold. Therefore, it does not inspire much public
confidence.
3. Not Automatic:
This standard does not work automatically and needs active government
intervention. It may be more appropriately called a managed standard.
4. Inflation-Oriented:
Under this system, money supply can be increased easily but it is very difficult
to reduce money supply. Hence it is prone to inflation.
5. Expensive:
This system is not economical. To make it work, the government has to keep
many reserves which involve lot of expenditure. It is due to its expensive
nature that India abandoned this system on the recommendations of Hilton
Young Commission.
Why Gold? (Gold is also known as Yellow Metal)
Most commodity-money advocates choose gold as a medium of
exchange because of its intrinsic properties. Gold has non-monetary uses,
especially in jewellery, electronics and dentistry, so it should always retain a
minimum level of real demand. It is perfectly and evenly divisible without
losing value, unlike diamonds, and does not spoil over time. It is impossible to
perfectly counterfeit and has a fixed stock — there is only so much gold on
Earth, and inflation is limited to the speed of mining.
To streamline and revamp the war ravaged world economy & monetary
system, allied powers held a conference in 'Bretton Woods', which gave birth
to two super institutions - IMF and the WB. In Bretton Woods modified form of
Gold Exchange Standard was set up with the following characteristics :
• One US dollar conversion rate was fixed by the USA as one dollar = 35 ounce
of Gold
• Other members agreed to fix the parities of their currencies vis-à-vis dollar
with respect to permissible central parity with one per cent (± 1%)
fluctuation on either side. In case of crossing the limits, the authorities were
free hand to intervene to bring back the exchange rate within limits.
The mechanism of Bretton Woods can be understood with the help of the
following illustration:
Suppose there is a supply curve SS and demand curve DD for Dollars. On Y-axis,
let us draw price of Dollar with respect to Rupees
Suppose Indian residents start demanding American goods & services.
Naturally demand of US Dollar will rise. And suppose US residents develop an
interest in buying goods and services from India, it will increase supply of
dollars from America.
Assume a parity rate of exchange is Rs. 10.00 per dollar. The ± 1% limits are
therefore Rs. 10.10 (Upper support and Rs. 9.90 lower support).
As long as the demand and supply curve intersect within the permissible range;
Indian authorities will not intervene.
Two major events took place in 1973-74 when oil prices were quadrupled by
the Organisational of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). The result was
seen in expended oils bills, inflation and economic dislocation, thereby the
monetary policies of the countries were being overhauled. From 1977 to 1985,
US dollar observed fluctuations in the oil prices which imposed on the
countries to adopt a much flexible regime i.e. a hybrid between fixed and
floating regimes. A group of European Nations entered into European
Monetary System (EMS) which was an arrangement of pegging their currencies
within themselves.
$500 = Rs 40000
$1 = Rs 80 (40000/500)
The gold standard is not currently used by any government. Britain stopped
using the gold standard in 1931 and the U.S. followed suit in 1933 and
abandoned the remnants of the system in 1973. The gold standard was
completely replaced by fiat money, a term to describe currency that is used
because of a government's order, or fiat, that the currency must be accepted
as a means of payment.
Disadvantages
The mortgage crisis of 2007 and subsequent financial meltdown, however,
tempered the belief that central banks could necessarily prevent depressions
or serious recessions by regulating the money supply. A currency tied to gold,
for example, is generally more stable than fiat money because of the limited
supply of gold. There are more opportunities for the creation of bubbles with
fiat money due to its unlimited supply.
The supply (inflow) of foreign exchange comes from the people who receive it
due to the following reasons.
(a) Exports of Goods and Services: Supply of foreign exchange comes through
exports of goods and services.
(b) Tourism: The amount, which foreigners spend in the home country,
increases the supply of foreign exchange.
(c) Remittances (unilateral transfers) from Abroad: Supply of foreign exchange
increases in the form of gifts and other remittances from abroad.
(d) Loan from Rest of the world: It refers to borrowing from abroad. A loan
from U.S. means flow of U.S. $ from U.S. to India, which will increase supply of
Foreign exchange.
(e) Foreign Investment: The amount, which foreigners invest in our home
country, increases the supply of foreign exchange.
(f) Speculation: Supply of foreign exchange comes from those who want to
speculate on the value of foreign exchange.
Exchange Rates
The equilibrium exchange rate is the rate which equates demand and supply
for a particular currency against another currency.