Idenitfying-Chart-Patterns (47 Pages)
Idenitfying-Chart-Patterns (47 Pages)
Technical Analysis
Getting Started with Technical Analysis
Learn the assumptions that guide technical analysis, and get
to know the basics of trend trading.
1
Charles D. Kirkpatrick II, CMT
Charles D. Kirkpatrick II, CMT, is president of Kirkpatrick & Company, Inc., a technical
analysis research firm that publishes the Market Strategistinvestment newsletter. A
past instructor in finance at the School of Business Administration at Fort Lewis College
and adjunct professor of finance at Brandeis University International Business School,
he is a two-time winner of the Chartered Market Technicians Association’s prestigious
Charles H. Dow Award for research in technical analysis, winner of the MTA Annual
Award in 2008 for “Outstanding Contributions to the Field of Technical Analysis,” and
winner in 2012 of the Mike Epstein Award from the MTA Educational Foundation for
“Long-Term sponsorship of Technical Analysis in Academia.”
About Our He is a Chartered Market Technician, a past member of the board of directors of the
Market Technicians Association, past editor of the Journal of Technical Analysis, past
Coauthor board member and vice president of the CMT Association Educational Foundation and
a member of the American Association of Professional Technicians (AAPTA). He
coauthored Technical Analysis: The Complete Source for Financial Market Technicians,
the primary textbook for the CMT program and for university graduate courses on
technical analysis, authored Beat the Marketand, most recently, Time the Markets:
Using Technical Analysis to Interpret Economic Data.
He is a graduate of Phillips Exeter Academy, Harvard College (AB), and the Wharton
School (MBA) and lives with his wife in Maine.
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Techniques for
Trading Patterns
Understanding Construction
Patterns and of Common
Their Limits Chart Patterns
Agenda
3
Understanding
Patterns and
Their Limits
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Defining Patterns
• Patterns are fractal, meaning that they can be seen in any charting
period (weekly, daily, minute, etc.)
•A pattern is not complete or activated until an actual breakout occurs
5
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Keep in Mind
Some of our human tendencies can be
dangerous for investors.
• See patterns where there aren’t any
6
Techniques for
Trading
Patterns
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
• Breakouts
• Entry Stops
•Protective Stops
•Retracements
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BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Breakouts
Price
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BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Confirmation Filters
Types of Filters
Confirmation
• Intrabar
10
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Entry Stops
Entry Stops
Buy stop orders are used to
enter trades once the price
breaks out.
Resistance Breakout
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BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
False Breakout
Breakout False Breakout (return
Price breaks out but almost Resistance through breakout level)
immediately returns back Line
through its breakout price. Failed Breakout
Failed Breakout
(Trap)
False breakout occurs and
the price then breaks out in
the opposite direction.
Trend Line
12
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Protective Stops
Protects Capital
Determines the amount of
capital risk before entry
Types of
placement Breakout
Resistance Line
• Filters, such as percent,
points, or money
13
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Example
False Breakout Protective sell stop and sell
• Enter on breakout short entry stop
• If price continues in
direction of breakout, profit
from breakout entry
14
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Retracements
Counter Trend
Correction Retracement (pullback)
Types
• Pullback (on breakout
• down) Throwback (on
breakout up)
Waiting for Trend Line Breakout
• Don’t always occur
• Performance can suffer
when they do
15
Construction of
Common Chart
Patterns
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Other
• Head and
• Shoulders Cup and
Handle
17
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Price
18
nd
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
19
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
20
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
21
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
Also We have 31 Best Premium
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experienced traders.
Characteristics: Rectangle
(entry up, breakout up) Resistance Zone
• Trading range with support and
resistance levels bounding price Entry Throwback
action Support Zone
Shortfall Breakout
Breakout
• Slight tilt, similar to horizontal
Resistance line
channel
22
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Triangle: Symmetrical
Target Line
• Prices must touch each bound at
Entry
least twice. Many false breakouts.
Moderately successful in
performance Cradle
Price
• Things to consider:
‐ Confirm a breakout
Calculate target price:
• Best occurrence may be upward Take the height from the highest peak in the pattern to the
breaking out –above average for lowest trough in the pattern. Then either add it (for upward
all patterns* breakouts) to the breakout price or subtract it (for downward
breakouts) from the breakout price to generate a price target.
23
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Triangle: Ascending
Price
About average failure rates but many
small false breakouts*
24
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Triangle: Descending
25
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Triangle: Wedge
26
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
Also We have 31 Best Premium
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👉All books are highly rated and
written by over 30+ years of
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Characteristics: Head
27 *Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Characteristics:
• Inverted but otherwise Head and Shoulders Bottom
identical to a top pattern (breakout up)
except not as profitable*
Price
Breakout Breakout
Neckline
Neckline
Entry Throwback
28
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
29
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
= Buy Wedge
= Stop Wedge
= Exit
Triangle
Triangle
Rectangle
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
30
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
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BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Characteristics:
• Traditionally, candlestick patterns are reversal patterns, meaning
they are used to identify when a trend is ending
32
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Doji
Characteristics: Doji
• A one-candle pattern formed when the open
and close are the same price, and the high
and low are roughly equidistant from the
open and close
• Extremely common
33
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Harami
Characteristics: Harami
• A two-candle pattern of a large body of either Top Bottom
color followed by a small body of the opposite
color; The second body is completely within
the body of the large body and is called a
“spinning top”
34 *Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
35
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
36
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Engulfing
Characteristics: Engulfing
• A two-bar pattern in which the second bar Top Bottom
body completely engulfs the first bar body*
37
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
38
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
Also We have 31 Best Premium
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👉All books are highly rated and
written by over 30+ years of
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Pennant/Flag
Characteristics:
• Flag and Pennant
Pennant and flag patterns are
in upward trend Flag Pennant
variations of the same pattern
39
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Gaps
Characteristics
• Definition –no trading (gap)
at specific prices
Gap Up
40
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Gaps
Characteristics
•
Gaps are generally profitable on
breakouts from patterns, trends,
support or resistance
•
post-gap breakout
• Protective stops initially placed at
gap low and then below pivot low
41
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
42
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Volatility Patterns
43
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Narrow Range
Characteristics: NR4
• One low volatility pattern is called a “Narrow
Range” pattern and consists of a bar with a Range on day 4 less
range narrower than its preceding bars than days 1-3
Sell
44
*Source: Technical Analysis: the Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians, 2 nd ed.
Getting Started with Technical Analysis
Learn the assumptions that guide technical analysis, and get
to know the basics of trend trading.
45
Also We have 31 Best Premium
Trading Ebooks
👉All books are highly rated and
written by over 30+ years of
experienced traders.