Startup Outlook Report 2024 Innoven Capital
Startup Outlook Report 2024 Innoven Capital
9th Edition
January 2024
CONTENTS
• Survey Highlights
• Fundraising
• Impact of AI
• Exit Expectations
• Workplace
• Government Policy
• Respondent Demographics
FOREWORD
9th edition of InnoVen Start-up outlook report, a view from founders
2023 was yet another challenging year for the start-up eco-system, with a weak funding environment and
a tough global macro. The headlines were less about new unicorns or mega funding rounds but on
layoffs and valuation corrections. While public markets (particularly Tech) has seen a strong momentum
(NASDAQ up 40+%), there will be downward pressure on late-stage private valuations.
On the positive side, we are now seeing a higher appreciation for sustainable business models, a laser
Ashish Sharma
InnoVen Capital focus on unit economics/profitability and more realistic valuation expectations.
We are pleased to release the 9th annual Start-up Outlook report, which will provide some useful insights
to all stakeholders that have a keen interest in the venture eco-system. This report is part of our
continued effort to gauge the current mood & sentiment, as seen through the eyes of entrepreneurs.
• 68% of those who attempted to raise had a favorable fundraising experience in 2023, down from 71% in 2022
• 78% are optimistic about the fundraising environment in 2024 … SaaS, Deep tech founders most bullish
• 62% founders have a higher bias on profitability v/s growth (highest ever) … up from 55% (2022), 17% (2021)
• 64% believe that a domestic IPO is the most likely mode of exit …up from 63% (2022) and 58% (2021)
• 61% founders expect pace of hiring to stay at same levels or go down compared to last year
• 75% of startups have less than 20% women in leadership ... 45% with less than 10% women in leadership
• 23% believe that artificial intelligence will have a significant impact on their business model over the next 2-3 years
• 24% founders open to professional CEO in next 2-3 years (up from 20% in 2022)
• AI chosen as the most overhyped sector, while B2B & Manufacturing, the most underhyped sector
• Zerodha was the most admired start-up, and Kamath brothers the most admired founders (fourth year in a row)
How was your funding experience in 2023? Will funding environment be more favorable in 2024?
24% 25%
Favorable Yes 78%
Unfavorable
No 22%
51%
Trend over time (% favorable) fund-raising experience • Of those who attempted to raise, 68% had a favourable
experience (71% in 2022)
74% 75% 84%
63% 53%
54% 54% • Enterprise/SaaS, DeepTech and Ecommerce founders had the
51% most favorable funding experience
Most important factor in choosing a lead investor In addition to India based VC’s, choose one other type
of investor you are targeting for your next round?
• Importance of commercial terms at 13% (8% in 2022), driven by • ~60% of founders targeting PE, Strategic investors for their next
more “investor friendly” v/s “”founder friendly” terms round … Family offices & venture debt also on their radar
• Strength of the Investor’s institutional brand/reputation • Preference for hedge funds continues to decline … 3% now vs.
continues to be #2 factor (consistent with 2022 survey) 8% (2022) and 15% (2021)
Between growth & profitability, what is the bigger focus currently? Growth v/s Profitability Bias (By Stage of Company)
62%
53% 56% 55%
Growth Profitability
38%
47% Early Stage 47% 53%
44% 45%
21% 23%
15% 17%
Growth Profitability
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
• As the funding environment slowed down over last 2 years, • Growth/Late-stage: Almost two thirds of founders have
there has been a significant shift in Profitability over Growth higher focus on profitability over Growth
• SaaS & Fintech founders have the highest focus on profitability • Early Stage: Profitability ranks higher than growth for first
time in 9 years (53% vs. 33% in 2022)
19% 39%
30% 7%
69%
11% 54%
1-2 years Already profitable 2-4 years Early Stage Growth & Late Stage
• 30% of respondents claimed they are already EBITDA • Even early-stage respondents are targeting to be EBITDA profitable
profitable, up from 19% in 2022…SaaS leads the pack over the next 1-2 years, while 13% claim to have reached profitability
• Majority of respondents expect to turn profitable within 2 years • 39% of growth / late-stage companies claim to be EBITDA profitable
What are your top 2 priorities in the next 12 months? What are your start-up's top 2 biggest challenges?
(Will not add to 100% as respondents picked up to 2 choices) (Will not add to 100% as respondents chose top 2)
66%
Hiring Good Talent 54%
Fundraising 42%
14%
12% Regulatory Environment 22%
• While profitability continues to be a top priority, fund-raising • Hiring good talent continues to be the #1 challenge, despite the
moves up to #2 vs. #4 priority in 2022 job market being more “company” friendly
• Achieving PMF (31%) down to #3 priority v/s #2 in 2022 • Fundraising emerges as #2 challenge (up 42% vs. 28% in 2022)
48%
5%
• A higher proportion of growth stage founders (49%) believe that AI
will have an impact, compared to early-stage founders (35%)
Minor disruption No impact Significant Can't say
disruption
10
11
What is the most likely mode of exit for your company ? Trend over time
22%
46% 47%
Secondary Sale
43%
30% 38%
IPO (India)
M&A 40% 39%
39%
IPO (Offshore) 30% 28% 28%
25%
22%
64%
• Focus on domestic IPOs continues to rise - 64% (2023) v/s 30% • An exit through an IPO continues to be the preferred mode,
(2020), driven by successful Tech IPOs over the last 2-3 years followed by an M&A/Strategic exit
• Interest in overseas IPOs falls to 5% (2023) v/s 13% (2022). • Enterprise/SaaS and Agritech founders most bullish on an IPO
Secondary sale as an exit option up to 9% from 3% in 2022 exit, followed by Fintech
12
44%
• 44% are uncertain on their exit timelines vs. 50% (2022)
16%
Growth / Late-stage
63% • 21% of founders expect an exit within the next two years
53%
13
What do you believe has been the impact of the What is your realistic valuation expectation for your
funding slowdown? next round of funding relative to the last round?
(Will not add to 100% as respondents picked up to 2 choices)
Difficult to attract talent 1% Significantly Slightly higher Similar to the Slightly lower Significantly
higher previous round lower
• Slowdown driving sustainable business models & lower valuations • Most early-stage founders expecting higher valuations
• Slowdown has also led to more disciplined investing (32%) and • However, 20% of growth/late-stage founders expect a flat to
higher focus on governance (19%) a down round
14
Expected pace of hiring in 2024 compared to 2023 What % of your top leadership team are women?
Hiring
Significantly Freeze
Higher 45%
2% Significantly
16% 16% Lower
30%
Slightly
Higher 22%
14%
23%
Slightly Lower
3%
29%
Same Level
• Only 39% expect an increased pace of hiring in 2024 • 75% of cos. have < 20% women in leadership v/s 67% (2022)
• Expectations of a hiring freeze down to 2% vs. 6% last year • 45% of cos. have <10% women in leadership vs 38% (2022)
15
No, founders should remain in charge Yes, possible in next 2-3 years
16
46% 46%
2% 3% 3%
More companies More exits More friendly More innovation More unicorns
with robust regulations
business models
17
Rate government’s efforts to improve the start-up ecosystem What can government do to make it more appealing for start-ups?
(Will not add to 100% as respondents picked up to 2 choices)
74%
8% 60%
15% 33%
Average, needs to do more
Good effort, but can do more 31%
Poor, not helpful 22%
Excellent
44%
Stable regulatory Better incentives Invest in digital Stronger IP
environment to domestic infrastructure protection laws
players
• 52% founders rating government efforts as good or excellent, • A stable regulatory environment and better incentives for
up from 34% last year domestic players chosen as the top 2 areas of improvement
• 33% respondents feel that the government can still do more • Respondents also chose stronger IP protection laws as an area
for the ecosystem of improvement …up 22% vs. 19% (2022)
18
• AI seen as the most overhyped sector vs. Edtech in 2022 • B2B and Manufacturing emerge as the most underhyped
and Quick commerce in 2021 sectors, vs. Agritech & HealthTech in 2022
• Fintech moves up to #2 overhyped sector vs. #3 in 2022 • Agritech been in the underhyped list for last several years
19
20
68%
Enterprise SaaS/ B2B 22%
32%
Consumer/D2C 22%
By City
DeepTech 7% Bangalore 45%
NCR 23%
E-Commerce 6%
Mumbai/Pune 24%
Others 8%
The Start-up Outlook report is an annual report published by InnoVen Capital & provides an outlook on the sentiment prevailing in
the start-up eco-system through the eyes of founders. The survey is administered to founders & senior leaders and covers a
broad cross-section of companies from early-stage, growth stage and late stage. It covers wide ranging topics around funding
environment, exits, focus areas, challenges and other aspects that are on the mind of founders. The 9th Start-up outlook report
was based on a survey conducted with 100 VC/PE backed start-up leaders.
Data and figures herein may represent the whole or part of a set of responses to a given question to account for data completion
matters.
This presentation material is the property of InnoVen Capital. The material herein is provided for informational purposes only. The information should not be viewed as investment,
legal or other advice nor is it to be relied on in making an investment or other decision.