Economic Survey 2024 - Summary Final
Economic Survey 2024 - Summary Final
5. Medium Term Outlook: A Growth Vision for New India 9-11
6. Climate Change and Energy Transition: Dealing with Trade-offs 12-13
9. Agriculture and Food Management: Plenty of Upside Left if We Get It Right 18-19
Introduction:
● T he Indian economy has shown resilience and recovery post-pandemic, marked by strong growth in
GDP and substantial investments in infrastructure.
● The chapter outlines the government's response to the pandemic through public spending,
digitalization, and structural reforms under the Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan.
● Inflationary pressures due to global disruptions and monsoon variability were managed through
administrative and monetary policies.
● Fiscal balances improved despite increased public investment, aided by tax compliance reforms and
digitalization.
● T he external sector faced challenges from subdued global demand for goods but benefited from
strong services exports.
● Global economic conditions have shown improvement, with shrinking inflationary pressures and
recovering trade, barring further geopolitical disruptions.
India's real GDP in FY24 was 20% higher than in FY20, showcasing significant recovery.
●
● Growth was inclusive, with reductions in unemployment and multi-dimensional poverty, and
increased labor force participation.
● The economy is poised for robust growth in FY25 and beyond.
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Sectoral Performance:
● P rivate consumption remained a crucial driver of GDP growth, with strong urban demand and
improving rural consumption.
● Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) increased, indicating a private capex upcycle aided by
government capital expenditure.
● T he banking and financial sector maintained stability with improved asset quality and adequate
capital buffers.
● Credit disbursal to MSMEs, housing, and services grew in double digits, supporting investment
demand.
● Corporate bond market activities increased, reflecting strong corporate financial health.
● T he economy is expected to continue its growth trajectory, supported by domestic growth drivers
and improved global economic conditions.
● Potential risks include geopolitical conflicts, inflationary pressures, and supply chain disruptions.
Conclusion:
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CHAPTER - 2
"Monetary Management and Financial Intermediation: Stability is the
Watchword"
Introduction:
● The Indian banking and financial sectors demonstrated exceptional performance in FY24, marked by
significant growth in bank credit, reduced non-performing assets (NPAs), and improved asset
quality.
● Capital markets expanded, with the Nifty 50 index rising by 26.8%, and the insurance sector
expected to grow rapidly over the next five years.
Monetary Developments:
F inancial Intermediation:
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○ The government implemented measures to resolve stressed assets, including strengthening
banking regulations and enacting insolvency and bankruptcy legislation.
○ The Gross NPA (GNPA) ratio of public sector banks reduced significantly from 14.5% in March
2016 to 2.8% in March 2024.
3. F inancial Inclusion:
○ Financial inclusion improved with the involvement of microfinance institutions (MFIs) and the
expansion of digital financial services.
○ The insurance and pension sectors also saw growth, with increased coverage and subscriber
base.
4. Capital Markets:
○ Capital markets played a crucial role in resource mobilization for the corporate sector and the
government.
○ The market capitalization of the Indian stock market rose significantly, and India's stock markets
remained stable despite global uncertainties.
5. Regulatory Coordination and Financial Stability:
○ The Financial Stability and Development Council (FSDC) ensured regulatory coordination and
overall financial stability.
○ The RBI's bi-annual Financial Stability Report assessed the risks to financial stability and the
resilience of the financial system.
● The financial sector is poised for growth, with a focus on digital financial inclusion, AI/ML,
decentralized finance, and IoT.
● The vision of a "fintech nation" with high fintech adoption is being pursued.
● Regulatory and government policy measures will continue to support financial stability and promote
capital formation, trade, and investments.
Conclusion:
● The Indian financial sector has made significant strides in improving asset quality, capital adequacy,
and profitability.
● As India aims to become a developed country by 2047, the financial sector must support economic
growth by providing efficient financial services, promoting trade and investments, and ensuring
financial inclusion.
● The sector must prepare for potential vulnerabilities and continue regulatory improvements to align
with global best practices.
● The next steps involve embracing technologies like AI/ML and decentralized finance to enhance the
digital payments ecosystem and financial services.
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CHAPTER - 3
"Prices and Inflation: Under Control"
Introduction:
● Managing low and stable inflation is crucial for sustaining economic growth. The Reserve Bank of
India (RBI) and the Central Government have worked together to maintain retail inflation at 5.4% in
FY24, the lowest since the COVID-19 pandemic.
● The chapter discusses the impact of the pandemic, geopolitical tensions, and global economic
conditions on inflation in India, alongside the measures taken to control it.
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Sectoral Analysis of Inflation:
Conclusion:
● Indian economy has successfully managed inflation through prudent monetary policies and
administrative measures.
● The outlook for inflation remains positive, with projections indicating a gradual alignment towards
the inflation target.
● Continued efforts to enhance domestic production, improve storage facilities, and refine policy
frameworks are essential for maintaining long-term price stability.
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CHAPTER - 4
"External Sector: Stability Amid Plenty"
Introduction:
● The Indian external sector remained robust despite global geopolitical headwinds and inflationary
pressures.
● While merchandise exports faced challenges due to lower demand from key trading partners, the
services exports performed well, helping to reduce the overall trade deficit from USD 121.6 billion
in FY23 to USD 78.1 billion in FY24.
Sectoral Analysis:
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○ Government measures in trade facilitation and logistics cost reduction improved India’s rank in
the World Bank’s Logistics Performance Index.
● The balance of payments situation improved with a lower CAD and robust capital inflows.
● India’s foreign exchange reserves remained ample, covering 11 months of projected imports and
more than 100% of total external debt.
● India’s external debt remained sustainable, with a decline in the external debt to GDP ratio to 18.7%
in March 2024 from 19.0% in March 2023.
● The ratio of foreign exchange reserves to total debt stood at 97.4%, indicating strong external
sector resilience.
● The Indian external sector has been managed effectively amid global uncertainties, with stable
forex reserves and a manageable exchange rate.
● Future challenges include geopolitical tensions, policy uncertainties, and potential protectionist
measures from major trading partners.
● India’s rise as a global supplier of goods and services will be supported by a stable policy
environment, improved trade infrastructure, and enhanced quality standards in the private sector.
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CHAPTER - 5
"Medium Term Outlook: A Growth Vision for New India"
Introduction:
● The Indian economy has demonstrated resilience over the past decade due to structural reforms
since 2014, positioning it on a robust growth path.
● The chapter sets out a vision for achieving sustained economic growth of 7% or more, building on
past reforms and focusing on new strategic areas for development.
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5. Policy Space and Trade-offs:
○ Limited policy space requires policymakers to recognize and accept trade-offs, with a focus on
bottom-up reforms for sustained growth.
6. Structural Reforms:
○ Continued focus on implementing structural reforms, with an emphasis on engaging state
governments, the private sector, and civil society.
● India’s economy is on track to become the third-largest globally, supported by strong domestic
demand and a rising working-age population.
● Sustaining high growth rates requires addressing evolving challenges, leveraging structural reforms,
and fostering inclusive development.
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Conclusion:
● The Indian growth story is one of resilience, with structural reforms paving the way for sustained
growth.
● The focus must now shift to bottom-up reforms and strengthening governance to realize the vision
of a "Viksit Bharat" by 2047.
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CHAPTER - 6
"Climate Change and Energy Transition: Dealing with Trade-offs"
Introduction:
● India, despite being one of the fastest-growing economies, has a per capita carbon emission that is
about one-third of the global average. The country aims for a "Viksit Bharat" (Developed India) by
2047 and Net Zero carbon emissions by 2070, emphasizing inclusive and environmentally
sustainable growth.
● The challenge is to balance development needs with a low-carbon pathway, requiring viable battery
storage technologies and access to critical minerals for stable energy supplies.
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○ Offshore wind energy policies and the Green Hydrogen Mission targeting 5 MMT of green
hydrogen by 2030 are key initiatives.
Conclusion:
● India’s energy transition is progressing with significant strides in renewable energy and efficiency
improvements. However, challenges related to intermittency, financial constraints, and technological
gaps remain.
● A balanced approach, recognizing trade-offs and focusing on both climate and development goals,
is essential for achieving sustainable growth and energy security.
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CHAPTER - 7
"Social Sector: Benefits That Empower"
Introduction:
● India is progressing towards becoming a developed nation by 2047, focusing on economic, social,
technological, and institutional advancements.
● The welfare approach has transformed to be more efficient and empowering, aiming for universal
access to basic amenities as a foundation for inclusive growth.
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Women-led Development:
F inancial Inclusion:
● The Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana has improved financial inclusion, with 52.3 crore bank accounts
opened, 55.6% of which are for women.
● Microfinance initiatives under DAY-NRLM have empowered women through self-help groups and
community resource persons.
Conclusion:
● India's approach to welfare is now more empowering and efficient, emphasizing digitalization,
transparency, and community participation.
● Continued focus on improving education, healthcare, and women’s empowerment is crucial for
achieving the vision of a developed India by 2047.
● Effective implementation and governance at all levels are essential to maximize the impact of
welfare programs and ensure sustainable development.
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CHAPTER - 8
"Employment and Skill Development: Towards Quality"
Introduction:
● Employment is the critical link between economic growth and improved quality of life. India’s goal is
to generate suitable employment opportunities to harness its demographic dividend and ensure
prosperity.
Skilling Initiatives:
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Sectoral Employment Opportunities:
Conclusion:
● India's employment landscape has improved significantly over the past decade, with strides in
formalization, skill development, and inclusive growth.
● Continued efforts in regulatory reforms, industry collaboration, and skilling initiatives are essential
for sustainable employment creation and economic resilience.
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CHAPTER - 9
"Agriculture and Food Management: Plenty of Upside Left if We Get It Right"
Introduction:
● The agriculture sector is vital for India's economy, providing livelihood to 42.3% of the population
and contributing 18.2% to the GDP.
● The sector has shown resilience and consistent growth, with an average annual growth rate of
4.18% over the past five years.
Sectoral Analysis:
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Digitalization and Innovation:
Conclusion:
● The agriculture sector's performance is critical for economic growth, with significant potential in
allied sectors and high-value agriculture.
● Continued focus on policy reforms, digitalization, investment in infrastructure, and sustainable
practices is essential to unlock the sector's full potential and ensure food and nutritional security for
the nation.
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CHAPTER - 10
"Industry: Small and Medium Matters"
Introduction:
● Industrial growth in FY24 accelerated, with significant contributions from manufacturing and
construction. Industrial Gross Value Added (GVA) at constant prices was 25% higher than
pre-COVID FY20 levels, indicating broad-based recovery supported by credit offtake, capital
formation, and a supportive policy framework.
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○ Investment in white goods (ACs and LEDs) under the PLI scheme has generated significant
sales and employment.
MSME Sector:
● The medium-term outlook for industrial growth is positive, supported by strong domestic demand
and capital formation.
● Continued deregulation, R&D incentivization, skill development, and addressing supply chain
constraints are essential for sustained industrial growth.
● Government initiatives to improve ease of doing business, reduce compliance burdens, and alleviate
logistical bottlenecks are critical for fostering a conducive environment for industrial expansion.
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CHAPTER - 11
"Services: Fuelling Growth Opportunities"
Introduction:
● The services sector has been a significant contributor to India's economic growth, accounting for
about 55% of the economy in FY24.
● The sector includes a wide range of activities such as trade, hospitality, transport, real estate,
finance, IT, professional services, public administration, and defence.
● Post-pandemic, there has been a notable transformation towards digital services like online
payments, e-commerce, and entertainment platforms.
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2. Tourism:
○ The tourism sector is rapidly expanding, with a significant increase in foreign tourist arrivals and
foreign exchange earnings.
○ India ranks 39th in the World Economic Forum's Travel and Tourism Development Index 2024,
reflecting the sector's positive post-pandemic revival.
3. Aviation:
○ The aviation sector is poised for growth, supported by liberalised regulations and incentives for
the drone industry and aircraft leasing.
○ The promotion of the International Financial Services Centre (IFSC) at GIFT City has facilitated
aviation leasing and financing.
● The services sector continues to drive India's economic growth, with significant contributions from
digital services, IT, tourism, and aviation.
● Addressing challenges related to skill development, logistics, and finance is essential for sustaining
growth and leveraging the full potential of the services sector.
● Government initiatives and policies will play a critical role in fostering an enabling environment,
promoting investment, and enhancing competitiveness in the services sector.
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CHAPTER - 12
"Infrastructure: Lifting Potential Growth"
Introduction:
● The Union Government's significant increase in capital expenditure has been central to overcoming
the pandemic-driven economic slowdown, focusing on creating high-quality physical and social
infrastructure.
● Over the last five years, capital expenditure has nearly tripled, with substantial investments in
foundational assets such as roads and railways.
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○ Power Sector:India’s unified electricity grid has expanded, with significant increases in
transmission capacity. Renewable energy resources have seen the highest growth in
electricity generation.
○ Revamped Distribution Sector Scheme (RDSS):Launched to improve operational
efficiencies and financial sustainability of distribution companies, RDSS aims to reduce
technical and commercial losses and improve power supply quality.
3. Water and Sanitation:
○ Improvements in sanitation and water supply infrastructure have enhanced living conditions,
supported by government programs focusing on these essential services.
Conclusion:
● The infrastructure landscape in India has transformed significantly, driven by public investment and
supportive policies.
● To maintain this momentum, a higher level of private sector financing and resource mobilization
from new sources is essential.
● Continuous improvement in data capture, project execution, and utilization assessment is necessary
for effective infrastructure development and addressing gaps.
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CHAPTER - 13
"Climate Change and India: Why We Must Look at the Problem Through Our
Lens"
Introduction:
● Climate change is a global priority, with nations worldwide urged to mitigate its effects. Despite
making significant strides, India is often criticized as one of the largest polluters, overlooking the
need to balance economic development with meaningful climate action.
● India's traditional sustainable living ethos contrasts with the overconsumption prevalent in
developed countries. Solutions often substitute means to achieve overconsumption rather than
addressing it directly.
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2. Adaptation and Resilience:
○ India focuses on adaptation strategies, particularly in agriculture, through initiatives like the
Pradhan Mantri Krishi Sinchayee Yojana (PMKSY) and National Innovations on Climate Resilient
Agriculture (NICRA).
○ Programs like Swachh Bharat Mission and Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana integrate climate
resilience into development plans.
Conclusion:
● India's approach to climate change balances economic development with sustainable practices,
drawing from its traditional ethos of harmonious living with nature.
● The focus on individual responsibility through Mission LiFE and adaptation strategies tailored to
local needs underscores India's commitment to addressing climate change while pursuing economic
growth.
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