394 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22

CHAPTER 19

DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE
Area

Delhi is the National Capital Territory and it is bordered by Haryana on three

sides and by Uttar Pradesh in the east. It is located at North Latitude from 28.24
– 28.53 degrees and East Longitude from 76.50 - 77.20 degrees. Delhi covers
an area of 1483 Km2, of which 369.35 sq. Km. is designated as rural and
1113.65 Km2 as urban, which makes it the largest city in terms of area in the
country. It has a length of 51.9 km and breadth of 48.48 Km. Delhi has 11
districts with 33 Tehsils /Sub-Divisions. Two prominent features of Delhi are the
Yamuna flood plains and the Ridge. It is located in India’s seismic zone-iv, an
indication of its vulnerability to major earthquakes.

2. Demographic Trends

2.1 Delhi is one of the fastest growing cities in the country. Due to rapid pace of
urbanization, the landscape of Delhi has undergone a change from a rural
majority to urban. The rural to urban area change during the last three censuses
in Delhi is depicted in Statement 19.1:

STATEMENT 19.1
AREA - RURAL AND URBAN
S. Classification 1991 2001 2011
No. of Area Km 2
% Km 2
% Km 2
%
1. Rural 797.66 53.79 558.32 37.65 369.35 24.90
2. Urban 685.34 46.21 924.68 62.35 1113.65 75.1
3. Total 1483.00 100.00 1483.00 100.00 1483.00 100.00
Source: Census of India, 1991, 2001 & 2011
 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22 395

2.2 The growth in the urban area during 2001-2011 was observed at 20.44 percent.
This pace of urbanization has reduced the number of villages in Delhi from 300
in 1961 to 165 in 2001 and 112 in 2011. The number of urbanized villages has
increased from 20 in 1961 to 135 in 2011. The number of census towns has
increased from 3 in 1971 to 29 in 1991 and 110 in 2011. Thus more and more
rural villages of Delhi are being declared as census towns in each successive
Census, resulting in decreasing rural population and rural areas in Delhi.

3. Population

The Population Census is the only source providing comprehensive data on

population characteristics carried out decennially by the Govt. of India in
collaboration with states. The first synchronous census in India was held in
1881. The latest census, 15th in the series, was conducted in 2011.As per this
census, the population of Delhi, as of 1st March, 2011, was 16.78 million as
against 13.85 million on 1st March, 2001. According to Census 2011, about
97.50 per cent of the population of Delhi lives in urban areas and the remaining
2.5 percent in rural areas. This urban population includes the population of 110
census towns in the 2011 Census. As per the Revenue Department record,
these census towns are located in the rural area of Delhi and they are not a part
of the notified urban area of Delhi.

4. Growth of Population

4.1 The population of Delhi and India and its growth during the last six decades has
been presented in Statement 19.2.

STATEMENT 19.2
POPULATION OF INDIA AND DELHI & ITS GROWTH DURING 1951-2011
(Lakh)
Delhi India Share of
Delhi’s
S.No. Years Population Growth Population Growth
(%) (%) Population in
All India
1. 1951 17.44 -- 3610.88 -- 0.48
2. 1961 26.59 52.44 4392.35 21.64 0.61
3. 1971 40.66 52.93 5481.60 24.80 0.74
4. 1981 62.20 53.00 6833.29 24.66 0.91
5. 1991 94.21 51.45 8464.21 23.87 1.11
6. 2001 138.51 47.02 10287.37 21.54 1.35
7. 2011 167.88 21.20 12108.55 17.70 1.39
Source: - Census of India (Primary Census Abstract 2011).
396 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22

4.2 The decadal growth rate of the population during 2001-20112011 was recorded at
21.2 per cent. This is a peculiar feature of Census 2011
2011, as in all censuses
since 1951, the decadal growth rate of the population was more than 50% and
47% in 2001.This trend may be attribut
attributed to the implementation of various
employment promotion programmes such as MGNREGA NREGA and welfare schemes
such as pension for senior citizens and widows by Central and State
Governments on one hand and development of NCR priority towns viz.
Gurgaon, Faridabad, Sonipat, Noida, Ghaziabad, MeerutMeerut, etc.,
etc. contributing to
the reduction of migration to Delhi. The population growth rate in Delhi during
the last decade was higher than the national level by 3.5 per cent. Delhi
accounts for about 0.05 per cent of India’s geographical area,
area but comprises
1.39 per cent of the nation’s population.

4.3 It may be observed from Statement 19.2 that the percentage of Delhi’s
population to the national level enhanced from 0.48 per cent in 1951 to 1.39 per
cent in 2011. The rate of growth of population in Delhi was highest during 1971
1971-
81 at 53.00 per cent. The annual rate of growth of population in Delhi during the
last decade was 2.12 per cent per annum
annum, which was higher than the national
level of 0.35 per cent per annum. The population in Delhi during 1951-2011 is
depicted in Chart 19.1.

CHART 19.1
POPULATION OF DELHI: 1951
1951-2011
(Lakh)

180 167.88

160
138.51
140

120

94.21
100

80
62.2
60
40.66
40 26.59
17.44
20

1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011

 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22 397

5. District-wise Population

5.1 At the time of the 1991 Census, Delhi was a single district territory. In 1996, the
Government of NCT Delhi, through a gazette notification, created 9 districts and
27 sub-divisions. The Population Census of 2001 was conducted in each of the
9 districts and 27 Sub-divisions. The district-wise population of NCT Delhi
during Census 2001 and 2011 is presented in Statement 19.3.
STATEMENT 19.3
DISTRICT-WISE POPULATION OF NCT DELHI: 2001 & 2011
S. Districts 2001 2011
No. Number Per cent Rank Number Per cent Rank
1. North West 2860869 20.65 1 3656539 21.78 1
2. South 2267023 16.37 2 2731929 16.27 2
3 West 2128908 15.37 3 2543243 15.15 3
4 North East 1768061 12.77 4 2241624 13.35 5
5. South West 1755041 12.67 5 2292958 13.66 4
6. East 1463583 10.57 6 1709345 10.18 6
7. North 781525 5.64 7 887978 5.29 7
8. Central 646385 4.67 8 582320 3.47 8
9. New Delhi 179112 1.29 9 142004 0.85 9
Total 13850507 100.00 16787941 100.00
Source: -Census of India (Primary Census Abstract 2011).

5.2 It is evident from Statement 19.3 that more than 53 per cent of the population of
Delhi in 2011 lived in three districts viz. North-west, South and West districts of
Delhi. The district-wise population of Delhi in 2001 and 2011 is depicted in
Chart 19.2
CHART 19.2
DISTRICT-WISE POPULATION OF DELHI-2001 and 2011
398 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22

6. Sex Ratio
6.1 Sex ratio is a very important demographic indicator for analyzing the socio-
economic features of a population. It is the ratio of females per thousand males.
As per 2011 Census, the sex ratio of Delhi was 868.During the last decade, the
sex ratio in Delhi increased from 821 in 2001 to 868 in 2011. In order to
overcome this critical situation both at the national and state level, various
stringent actions against female foeticide and the complete abolition of sex
determination practices during pregnancy period have been introduced and
implemented. The district-wise sex ratio of NCT Delhi in 2001 and 2011 is
presented in Statement 19.4.
STATEMENT 19.4
DISTRICT-WISE SEX RATIO OF NCT DELHI DURING 2001 & 2011
S. Sex Ratio
Districts
No. 2001 Rank 2011 Rank
1. North East 849 1 886 2
2. East 843 2 884 3
3 Central 842 3 892 1
4 West 830 4 875 4
5. North 826 5 869 5
6. North West 820 6 865 6
7. South 799 7 862 7
8. New Delhi 792 8 822 9
9. South West 784 9 840 8
Delhi 821 868
Source: - Census of India (Primary Census Abstract 2011).

6.2 In most of the Northern states in India, the sex ratio indicated a critical situation
as per the 2001 and 2011 Censuses. The sex ratio of Northern states as per the
2001 and 2011 Census is presented in Statement 19.5.

STATEMENT 19.5
SEX RATIO OF NORTHERN STATES IN INDIA- 2001 & 2011
S. States Sex Ratio
No. 2001 2011
1. Jammu and Kashmir 892 889
2. Himachal Pradesh 968 972
3 Punjab 876 895
4. Chandigarh 777 818
5 Uttarakhand 962 963
6. Haryana 861 879
7. Rajasthan 921 928
8. Uttar Pradesh 898 912
9. Delhi 821 868
India 933 943
Source: - Census of India (Primary Census Abstract 2011)
 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22 399

6.3 The total number of births registered in Delhi under Civil Registration System
(CRS) is presented in Statement 19.6.

STATEMENT 19.6
BIRTHS REGISTERED UNDER CRS – SEX-WISE
S. Years Births Sex Ratio
No Total Male Female
1. 2001 296287 163816 (55.29) 132471 (44.71) 809
2. 2002 300659 164184 (54.61) 136475 (45.39) 831
3. 2003 301165 165173 (54.84) 135992 (45.16) 823
4. 2004 305974 167849 (54.86) 138125 (45.14) 823
5. 2005 324336 178031 (54.89) 146305 (45.11) 822
6. 2006 322750 176242 (54.61) 146508 (45.39) 831
7. 2007 322044 174289 (54.12) 147755 (45.88) 848
8. 2008 333908 166583 (49.89) 167325 (50.11) 1004
9. 2009 354482 185131 (52.22) 169351 (47.78) 915
10. 2010 359463 189122(52.61) 170341(47.39) 901
11 2011 353759 186870(52.82) 166889(47.18) 893
12 2012 360473 191129(53.02) 169344(46.98) 886
13 2013 370000 195226(52.76) 174774(47.24) 895
14 2014 373693 197078(52.73) 176615(47.26) 896
15 2015 374012 197080(52.69) 176932(47.31) 898
16 2016 379161 199358(52.58) 179738(47.40) 902
17 2017 367046 191876(52.28) 175090(47.70) 913
18 2018 362803 188494(51.96) 174196(48.01) 924
19 2019 365868 190527(52.08) 175267(47.90) 920
20 2020 301645 155973(51.71) 145597(48.27) 933
Source: -Annual Report on Registration of Births and Deaths, DES, Delhi.

6.4 Sex ratio as per birth registered in Delhi under CRS indicates a positive picture,
enhanced from 809 in 2001 to 933 in 2020.The increase in sex ratio during
2005 to 2008 may be linked to the introduction of a number of schemes for the
empowerment of women and the welfare of children by the Government of NCT
Delhi.

7. Density of Population

7.1 Population density is an often reported and commonly compared statistic for
places all over the world. Population density is the measure of the number of
population per unit area. It is commonly represented as people residing per
square kilometer. As per 2011 Census, the density of population in Delhi
400 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22

worked out at 11320 persons per square kilometer, as against the national level
of 382 persons per square kilometer. Density of population in Delhi was the
highest among all states and union territories during the year 2011. District-wise
density of population in Delhi in 2001 and 2011 is presented in Statement 19.7.

STATEMENT 19.7
DISTRICT-WISE POPULATION DENSITY OF NCT DELHI: 2001 AND 2011
S. Population Density (Persons per Sq. Km)
Districts
No. 2001 Rank 2011 Rank
1. North East 29,468 1 36155 1
2. Central 25,855 2 27730 2
3 East 22,868 3 27132 3
4 West 16,503 4 19563 4
5. North 13,246 5 14557 5
6. South 9,068 6 11060 6
7. North West 6,502 7 8254 7
8. New Delhi 5,117 8 4057 9
9. South West 4,169 9 5446 8
Delhi 9340 11320
Source: - Census of India, census 2011 (primary census abstract).

7.2 It is evident from Statement 19.7, that the North East District ranks first in terms
of population density in Delhi at 36155 persons per Sq. Km and New Delhi
ranks last with population density at 4057 persons per Sq. Km. During the last
decade, the density of population in New Delhi showed a declining trend from
5117 persons per sq.km in 2001 to 4057 persons per sq. Km in 2011.

8. Household Size

The number of persons living together in one house is commonly called

household size. As per 2011 Census, there were 3340538 households in Delhi.
The average size of a household in Delhi was found to be 5.02. It indicates that
in one house, there are more than five persons. More than one half of the
households had more than five members during the year 2011. The distribution
of households by size in Delhi in 2001 and 2011 are presented in Statement
19.8.
 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22 401

STATEMENT 19.8

DISTRIBUTION OF HOUSEHOLDS BY SIZE IN DELHI- 2001 & 2011

Per cent of total No.

No. of Household
S. of Household
Size of Household
No.
2001 2011 2001 2011

1. One member 99786 123106 3.90 3.70

2. Two members 206925 252370 8.10 7.60

3. Three members 295216 428403 11.56 12.80

4. Four Members 544289 803065 21.31 24.00

5. Five Members 506711 681142 19.84 20.40

6. Six to Eight Members 680065 853773 26.63 25.60

7. Nine or more members 221157 198679 8.66 5.90

Total Households 2554149 3340538 100.00 100.00

Source: -Census of India 2011.

9. Literacy Rate

As per Census 2011, Delhi showed a high level of literacy i.e. 86.2 per cent as
compared to 81.67 per cent in 2001, with the literacy rate of 90.9 per cent for
males and 80.8 for females. The rural and urban literacy rates of Delhi were
81.9 and 86.3% respectively, in 2011.

10. Age-wise Distribution of Population

10.1 The age-wise distribution of population is the best indicator of future human
potential, the magnitude of responsibility of the working population especially for
taking care of children and their aged parents. The information regarding the
age-wise distribution of population in Delhi during the last two census periods is
presented in Statement 19.9.
402 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22

STATEMENT 19.9
AGE-WISE DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION IN DELHI: 1991, 2001 & 2011
S. Age Group 1991 2001 2011
No Number Per cent Number Per cent Number Per cent
1. 0-14 3273482 34.75 4492939 32.44 4565319 27.19
2. 15-19 914871 9.71 1427979 10.31 1667375 9.93
3. 20-24 982866 10.43 1426860 10.30 1764060 10.51
4. 25-29 956788 10.16 1358925 9.81 1668326 9.94
5. 30-39 1438035 15.26 2211006 15.96 2753943 16.40
6. 40-49 867731 9.21 1432467 10.34 2008410 11.96
7. 50-59 504149 5.35 759505 5.48 1196361 7.13
8. 60 or more 439520 4.67 719650 5.20 1147445 6.83
Age not
9. 43202 0.46 21176 0.15 16702 0.1
stated
Total 9420644 100.00 13850507 100.00 16787941 100.00
Source: -Census of India. Primary Census Abstract 2011

10.2 It may be observed from Statement 19.9 that one-third of the total population in
Delhi during 2001 was in the category of children within the age group of 0 to 14
years and the percentage change was recorded at a minimal rate. The condition
was more or less the same in all other age-wise categories, either at positive in
one group or at negative in the consecutive age group. The information
regarding age-wise distribution of population of Delhi during 2001 is depicted in
Chart 19.3.
CHART 19.3
AGE-WISE DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION IN DELHI 2011
 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22 403

11 Metro Cities Population

11.1 The population of metropolitan cities in India is presented in Statement 19.10.

STATEMENT 19.10
POPULATION OF SOME OF THE METROPOLITAN CITIES IN INDIA: 2001 & 2011
S. Metropolitan Population (Number) Ranks
No. Cities
2001 2011 2001 2011
1. Mumbai 16,434,386 18,414,288 1 1
2. Delhi 13,850,507 16,787,941 2 2
3. Kolkata 13,211,853 14,112,536 3 3
4. Chennai 6,560,242 8,696,010 4 4
5. Bangalore 5,701,456 8,499,399 6 5
6. Hyderabad 5,742,036 7,749,334 5 6
Source: - Census of India and Provisional Population census 2011.

11.2 It may be observed from Statement 19.10 that Delhi was placed at Second
position during 2001 and 2011 continuously. The population in Mumbai in 2001
was 16.43 million; 2.58 million higher than Delhi’s population. The difference
between the population of Mumbai and Delhi in 2011 (Census 2011) reduced to
1.63 million, which clearly indicates the fast development of the Delhi. The
population of metro cities in India during 2011 is depicted in Chart 19.4.

CHART 19.4
POPULATION OF METRO CITIES IN INDIA-2011
404 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22

11.3 As population increases, more people will prefer to live in large cities. Many
people will live in growing cities with over 10 million inhabitants, known as
megacities.

12. Urban-Rural Scenario in Delhi

12.1 At the beginning of the 21st century, more than 93 per cent of the population
was in urban areas as compared to 53 per cent in 1901. This clearly indicates
the fast growth of urbanization in the national capital. The information regarding
the urbanization trend in Delhi during the century is presented in Statement
19.11.

STATEMENT 19.11
URBANIZATION TREND OF DELHI DURING 1901-2011
Growth
Population (Number)
S. Census (Per cent)
No. Year % of urban
Total Urban Decadal AEGR
to total
1 1901 405819 214115 52.76

2 1911 413851 237944 57.50 11.13 1.1

3 1921 488452 304420 62.32 27.94 2.5

4 1931 636246 447442 70.33 46.98 3.9

5 1941 917939 695686 75.79 55.48 4.4

6 1951 1744072 1437134 82.40 106.58 7.3

7 1961 2658612 2359408 88.75 64.17 5.0

8 1971 4065698 3647023 89.70 54.57 4.4

9 1981 6220406 5768200 92.73 58.16 4.6

10. 1991 9420644 8471625 89.93 46.87 3.8

11 2001 13850507 12905780 93.18 52.34 4.2

12 2011 16787941 16368899 97.50 26.83 1.92

Source: - Census of India Provisional Population Totals, NCT of Delhi Series 8, Paper
1 of 2011.
Note: - AEGR means Annual Exponential Growth Rate.

12.2 District-wise urban and rural population of NCT Delhi during the last census is
mentioned in Statement 19.12.
 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22 405

STATEMENT 19.12
DISTRICT-WISE URBAN & RURAL POPULATION OF DELHI: 2011
S. District Population (Number) % of Urban
No. Urban Rural Total Population
1. North West 3442589 213950 3656539 94.15
2. North 870232 17746 887978 98.00
3 North east 2220097 21527 2241624 99.04
4. East 1705816 3530 1709346 99.79
5. New Delhi 142004 -- 142004 100.00
6. Central 582320 -- 582320 100.00
7. West 2536823 6420 2543243 99.75
8. South West 2149282 143676 2292958 93.73
9. South 2719736 12193 2731929 99.55
Delhi 16368899 419042 16787941 97.50
Source: -Census of India and Primary Census Abstract 2011

12.3 Statement 19.12 indicates that two districts in Delhi have 100 percent of urban
population, namely Central and New Delhi district, during the year 2011. All the
remaining districts in Delhi had more than 90 per cent of the population living in
urban areas.

13. Vital Rates

13.1 Vital rates are perhaps one of the most widely used national, state and local
data generally, which includes birth, death and infant mortality rates defined as
under:-
(a) Birth Rate :- Birth Rate is a crude measure of fertility of a population and is
a crucial determinant of population growth. It gives the number of live births
per thousand population in a given region and year.

(b) Death Rate :- Mortality is one of the basic components of population change
and the related data is essential for demographic studies and public health
administration. Death rate is one of the simplest measures of mortality and is
defined as the number of deaths per thousand population in a given region
and time period.
(c) Infant Mortality Rate:- The Infant Mortality Rate (IMR), which is widely
accepted as a crude indicator of the overall health scenario of a country or a
region, is defined as the infant deaths (less than one year) per thousand live
births in a given time period and for a given region.
The information regarding vital rates (Both Civil Registration System and
Sample Registration System) in Delhi is presented in Statement 19.13.
406 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22

13.2 The Civil Registration System is the legal recording of the occurrence of vital
events (birth and death) through a network of government offices and
designated officials, together with certain identifying or descriptive
characteristics of the events on a continuous, permanent and compulsory basis.
The Civil Registration System also serves as the tool for measuring changes in
the population. In other words, the population census, which is held once in a
period of 10 years, gives stock of population at a point of time. Whereas, vital
statistics presents the flow of population.

13.3 In Delhi, registration of births and deaths are being done by five local bodies i.e.
South Delhi Municipal Corporation, North Delhi Municipal Corporation, East
Delhi Municipal Corporation, New Delhi Municipal Council and Delhi
Cantonment Board.
STATEMENT 19.13
VITAL RATES IN DELHI: CRS AND SRS
*Estimated Vital Rates (Per Thousand)
S. Mid-Year Birth Rate Death Rate Infant Mortality
Year Population
No Rate
(Lakh)
CRS* SRS CRS* SRS CRS SRS
1. 2003 144.86 20.78 17.3 6.07 5.0 17 28
2. 2004 147.68 20.72 18.4 5.76 4.7 13 32
3. 2005 150.54 21.52 18.6 6.24 4.6 13 35
4. 2006 153.47 21.05 18.4 6.45 4.7 18 37
5. 2007 156.45 20.58 18.1 6.46 4.8 25 36
6. 2008 159.49 21.94 18.4 6.77 4.8 18 35
7. 2009 162.58 21.77 18.1 6.89 4.4 19 33
8. 2010 165.74 21.66 17.8 7.48 4.2 22 30
9. 2011 169.14 20.92 17.5 6.63 4.3 22 28
10. 2012 172.92 20.87 17.3 6.05 4.2 24 25
11. 2013 176.70 20.94 17.2 5.50 4.1 22 24
12. 2014 180.47 20.71 16.8 6.72 3.8 22 20
13. 2015 184.25 20.30 16.4 6.76 3.6 23 18
14. 2016 188.03 20.16 15.5 7.53 4.0 21.35 18
15. 2017 191.82 19.13 15.2 7.10 3.7 20.83 16
16. 2018 195.61 18.55 14.7 7.44 3.3 23.81 13
17. 2019 199.40 18.35 NA 7.29 NA 24.12 NA
18. 2020 203.19 14.85 NA 7.03 NA 20.37 NA
* Revised as per latest population projection prepared by National Commission of
Population from the Year 2011.

13.4 It may be inferred from Statement 19.13 that the vital rates of Delhi during
2003-2020 under CRS showed a mixed trend in birth and infant mortality rates.
 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22 407

It may be observed that death rates under CRS also showed mixed trend.
Under SRS, system birth rate, death rate and infant mortality rate showed a
decreasing trend.

14. Migration

14.1 The estimates of migration in Delhi are based on birth and death rates and the
total increase in population. It may be observed from Statement 19.14, in
absolute terms, the natural increase in population during 2020 was 1.59 lakh,
whereas migration has been estimated at 2.2 lakh. The trend of migration from
2003 to 2020 is given in Statement 19.14.

STATEMENT 19.14
TREND OF MIGRATION IN DELHI 2003-2020
(Lakh)
S. Year *Estimated Increased Total Natural Migration
No. Mid-Year Population Increase
Birth Death
Population Over
Previous Year
1. 2003 144.86 2.76 3.01 0.88 2.13 0.63
2. 2004 147.68 2.82 3.06 0.85 2.21 0.61
3. 2005 150.54 2.86 3.24 0.94 2.30 0.56
4. 2006 153.47 2.93 3.23 0.99 2.24 0.69
5. 2007 156.45 2.98 3.22 1.01 2.21 0.77
6. 2008 159.49 3.04 3.34 1.08 2.26 0.78
7. 2009 162.58 3.09 3.54 1.12 2.42 0.67
8. 2010 165.74 3.16 3.59 1.24 2.35 0.81
9. 2011 169.14 3.40 3.53 1.12 2.41 0.99
10. 2012 172.92 3.78 3.60 1.05 2.55 1.23
11. 2013 176.70 3.78 3.70 0.97 2.73 1.05
12 2014 180.47 3.77 3.74 1.21 2.53 1.24
13 2015 184.25 3.78 3.74 1.25 2.49 1.29
14 2016 188.03 3.78 3.79 1.42 2.37 1.41
15 2017 191.82 3.79 3.67 1.36 2.31 1.48
16 2018 195.61 3.79 3.63 1.46 2.17 1.62
17 2019 199.40 3.79 3.66 1.45 2.21 1.58
18 2020 203.19 3.79 3.02 1.43 1.59 2.2
Source: -Office of Chief Registrar, Births & Deaths, Government of NCT Delhi.
* Revised as per latest population projection prepared by National Commission of Population
from the Year 2011.
Notes: -1. Natural Increase of population means the difference between total births and deaths.
2. Migrated population is the difference between increased population and natural
increase in population.
408 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22

15. Population Projections

STATEMENT 19.15
AGE WISE PROJECTED POPULATION 2011-2036

Year Age Group India Delhi Haryana UP Rajasthan Punjab Uttarakhand

0-14 Years 373893 4570 7539 71892 23819 7096 3134

15-29 Years 334458 5041 7399 55954 19275 7925 2887
30-44 Years 247730 3867 5187 35995 12852 5940 1942
2011 45-59 years 153236 2147 3051 21178 7705 3865 1228
60 and above 101538 1163 2176 14792 4897 2919 894
All Age
1210855 16788 25351 199812 68548 27743 10086
Groups
0-14 Years 362202 4498 7416 70581 23570 6584 2884
15-29 Years 359600 5500 7997 64494 21500 8157 3216
30-44 Years 271914 4496 5910 39642 14297 6574 2187
2016 45-59 years 179173 2688 3623 24711 9091 4490 1422
60 and above 118185 1496 2508 16658 5784 3336 1046
All Age
1291074 18677 27455 216087 74240 29140 10755
Groups
0-14 Years 349990 4479 7362 69468 23121 6181 2708
15-29 Years 371426 5791 8208 68947 22722 7922 3329
30-44 Years 297203 5119 6735 44698 16088 7309 2511
2021 45-59 years 206817 3279 4287 29021 10518 5096 1640
60 and above 137570 1904 2890 18772 6833 3828 1208
All Age
1363006 20571 29483 230907 79281 30339 11399
Groups
0-14 Years 339222 4586 7254 68479 22570 5871 2592
15-29 Years 367415 5883 8103 67450 22751 7385 3227
30-44 Years 324725 5761 7596 52284 18290 7950 2909
2026 45-59 years 231717 3884 4941 32873 11841 5644 1853
60 and above 162829 2424 3407 21774 8189 4468 1409
All Age
1425908 22540 31299 242859 83642 31318 11993
Groups
0-14 Years 323258 4723 6969 62951 21204 5520 2542
15-29 Years 356593 5955 8041 66122 22523 6900 2993
30-44 Years 349924 6304 8223 60579 20444 8199 3242
2031 45-59 years 255574 4513 5651 36457 13237 6267 2096
60 and above 193426 3056 4063 25853 9789 5201 1653
All Age
1478775 24552 32946 251963 87198 32087 12524
Groups
0-14 Years 306374 4910 6676 56989 19943 5181 2436
15-29 Years 345498 6081 8039 65022 22224 6520 2832
30-44 Years 362336 6685 8472 64914 21753 7990 3363
2036 45-59 years 280642 5139 6458 41385 15031 6988 2416
60 and above 227438 3777 4823 30680 11610 5978 1928
All Age
1522288 26591 34469 258990 90563 32658 12974
Groups
Source: - Report of Technical Group on Population projections of July 2020, National
Commission on Population, Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, Govt of India
 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22 409

STATEMENT 19.16
PROPORTION OF AGE WISE PROJECTED POPULATION 2011-2036

Year Age Group India Delhi Haryana UP Rajasthan Punjab Uttarakhand

0-14 Years 30.88 27.22 29.74 35.98 34.75 25.58 31.07
15-29 Years 27.62 30.03 29.19 28.00 28.12 28.57 28.62
30-44 Years 20.46 23.03 20.46 18.01 18.75 21.41 19.25
2011 45-59 years 12.66 12.79 12.04 10.60 11.24 13.93 12.18
60 and above 8.39 6.93 8.58 7.40 7.14 10.52 8.86
All Age
100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
Groups
0-14 Years 28.05 24.08 27.01 32.66 31.75 22.59 26.82
15-29 Years 27.85 29.45 29.13 29.85 28.96 27.99 29.90
30-44 Years 21.06 24.07 21.53 18.35 19.26 22.56 20.33
2016 45-59 years 13.88 14.39 13.20 11.44 12.25 15.41 13.22
60 and above 9.15 8.01 9.13 7.71 7.79 11.45 9.73
All Age
100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
Groups
0-14 Years 25.68 21.77 24.97 30.08 29.16 20.37 23.76

15-29 Years 27.25 28.15 27.84 29.86 28.66 26.11 29.20

30-44 Years 21.80 24.88 22.84 19.36 20.29 24.09 22.03

2021
45-59 years 15.17 15.94 14.54 12.57 13.27 16.80 14.39

60 and above 10.09 9.26 9.80 8.13 8.62 12.62 10.60

All Age
100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
Groups
0-14 Years 23.79 20.35 23.18 28.20 26.98 18.75 21.61
15-29 Years 25.77 26.10 25.89 27.77 27.20 23.58 26.91
30-44 Years 22.77 25.56 24.27 21.53 21.87 25.38 24.26
2026 45-59 years 16.25 17.23 15.79 13.54 14.16 18.02 15.45
60 and above 11.42 10.75 10.89 8.97 9.79 14.27 11.75
All Age
100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
Groups
0-14 Years 21.86 19.24 21.15 24.98 24.32 17.20 20.30
15-29 Years 24.11 24.25 24.41 26.24 25.83 21.50 23.90
30-44 Years 23.66 25.68 24.96 24.04 23.45 25.55 25.89
2031 45-59 years 17.28 18.38 17.15 14.47 15.18 19.53 16.74
60 and above 13.08 12.45 12.33 10.26 11.23 16.21 13.20
All Age
100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
Groups
0-14 Years 20.13 18.46 19.37 22.00 22.02 15.86 18.78
15-29 Years 22.70 22.87 23.32 25.11 24.54 19.96 21.83
30-44 Years 23.80 25.14 24.58 25.06 24.02 24.47 25.92
2036 45-59 years 18.44 19.33 18.74 15.98 16.60 21.40 18.62
60 and above 14.94 14.20 13.99 11.85 12.82 18.30 14.86
All Age
100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
Groups
Source:- Report of Technical Group on Population projections July 2020, National Commission
on Population, Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, Govt of India
410 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22

STATEMENT 19.17
GROWTH IN AGE WISE PROJECTED POPULATION 2011-2036

Source: - Report of Technical Group on Population projections July 2020, National Commission
on Population, Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, Govt. of India

15.1 Technical Group on Population projections, National Commission on

Population, Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, Govt of India has prepared
report on Population projection in November, 2019. Population projection is a
scientific attempt to peep into the future population scenario, conditioned by
certain assumptions using past data. The Component Method is the universally
accepted method of making population projections because growth of
 Economic Survey of Delhi, 2021-22 411

population is determined by fertility, mortality and migration rates. Twenty-one

States and one UT have been considered and applied the Component method.

15.2 The population of India is expected to increase from 121.1 crores to 152.2
crores during the period 2011-2036 - an increase of 25 percent in twenty- five
years at the rate of 1.0 percent annually. As a consequence, the density of
population will increase from 368 to 462 persons per square kilometer.

15.3 The population of Delhi is expected to increase from 167.88 lakhs to 265.91
lakhs during the period 2011-2036 - an increase of 58 percent in twenty- five
years at the rate of 2.3 percent annually. As a consequence, the density of
population will increase from 11320 to 17930 persons per square kilometer.

15.4 It may be inferred from the statement 19.16 that between 2011 and 2036,
because of the declining fertility, the proportion of population of India aged
under 15 years is projected to decline from 30.8 to 20.1 percent; the proportion
of the middle age-group (15- 59 years) and the older ages (60 years and above)
are set to increase considerably. The proportion of population in the working
age-group 15-59 years is expected to rise from 60.7 percent in 2011 to 64.9
percent in 2036.

15.5 The proportion of population of Delhi aged under 15 years is projected to

decline from 27.22 to 18.46 percent; the proportion of the middle age-group (15-
59 years) and the older ages (60 years and above) are set to increase
considerably. The proportion of population in the working age-group 15-59
years is expected to rise from 65.85 percent in 2011 to 67.33 percent in 2036.

15.6 The growth in population at all India level is projected to be 11.69 percent
between 2021 and 2036 as compared to 29.26 percent growth projected for
Delhi during the same period.