Grayscale Digital Currency Toolkit
Grayscale Digital Currency Toolkit
CURRENCY
INVESTOR
TOOLKIT
INVESTING IN BITCOIN
www.grayscale.com
Introduction
Bitcoin1 continues to gain broader acceptance from some of the world’s largest
institutional investors, asset managers and public companies which have
embraced and advocated Bitcoin’s value proposition as an inflationary hedge and
superior store of value. The adoption of digital currencies and advancement into
a more digital world was accelerated this past year by the pandemic and growing
concerns over inflation, currency debasement and loss of purchasing power
resulting from massive unprecedented money printing by central banks.
1. When referring to the Bitcoin network, blockchain protocol and system as a whole, we will use “Bitcoin,”
with an uppercase “B.” When referring to the network’s unit of account, BTC, we will use “bitcoin(s),” with
a lowercase “b.”
2. While this Toolkit is focused on investing in Bitcoin, Grayscale resources on other digital currencies can
be accessed at https://grayscale.com/digital-currency-basics/
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Table of Contents
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1. Current Monetary Environment
Against the backdrop of the Covid-19 pandemic, the worst economic crisis since
the Great Depression and unprecedented monetary and fiscal policy responses by
governments and central banks, Bitcoin experienced explosive growth. This strong
demand for Bitcoin is attributable in large part to Investors embracing Bitcoin’s anti-
inflationary and non-correlated asset qualities as they seek to protect their assets
against a seemingly ever-expanding monetary supply. The cranking up of money
printing presses and the flooding of markets with newly printed fiat stands in stark
contrast to Bitcoin’s verifiable scarcity and perfect inelasticity which is increasingly
attractive to Investors.
Concerns have been growing over the debasement of fiat currencies as G3 central
banks’ (ECB, Fed, and BoJ) collective total assets rose by approximately $8 trillion in
2020, a level of growth which took almost eight years to achieve following the global
financial crisis.3 In the United States, between February 2020 and February 2021, the
quantity of money in the U.S. economy, measured by M2, increased by a shocking
$4.2 trillion. This increase of over 27% represents the largest YoY percentage
increase since World War II.
3. https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-the-2020-qe-boom-might-trip-up-central-bankers-11609237796
4. Source: Grayscale, Bloomberg; April 15, 2021
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2. Bitcoin’s Disinflationary Qualities
Bitcoin is immune from fiscal and monetary policy and its disinflationary qualities
were highlighted this past year as Bitcoin underwent its third scheduled “halving,”
which resulted in a 50% reduction in the rate of newly mined bitcoins. The
geometrically decreasing flow of block rewards, which occurs every four years,
ensures that bitcoin does not experience inflation and suggests that it will become
more valuable relative to the seemingly ever-expanding government backed fiat
currencies. There will only ever be 21 million bitcoin.
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3. Bitcoin’s Increasing Adoption
We have seen an incredible evolution of Bitcoin over the last 12 years. Since its
inception in 2009, Bitcoin has grown from an obscure nine-page white paper,
entitled “Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System,” into a widely accepted
decentralized, trustless digital monetary network. Similarly to how the computer
and internet radically transformed the ways in which we store, process, and
exchange information, Bitcoin is radically transforming the ways in which we are
able to store, process and exchange monetary value.
Bitcoin has defied expectations, growing from a whitepaper into the dominant
leader of an entirely new asset class and achieving a $1 trillion market cap in a
shorter timeframe than even the most successful tech companies. While it took
Microsoft 44 years, Apple 42 years, Amazon 24 years and Google 21 years to
achieve a thirteen-figure market value – it took Bitcoin just 12 years to reach that
lofty milestone.
We believe that Bitcoin is here to stay and its store of value and anti-inflationary
qualities have earned it an allocation in a well-diversified investment portfolio.
Bitcoin offers one of the most compelling risk-reward profiles among assets and
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
investors should consider the real opportunity cost associated with anything but
a non-zero portfolio allocation.
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4. Bitcoin’s Fundamentals
Bitcoin possesses a superior composition of “good money” qualities: it is perfectly
scarce, independent of central authority, verifiable, durable, portable, immutable,
divisible and fungible.
Bitcoin Is Independent
One critical difference between Bitcoin and other asset classes is that there is
no central authority that governs Bitcoin’s monetary policy or global distribution.
Changing political climates do not impact how much bitcoin is created daily. The
ability to send and receive bitcoin cannot be controlled by any government.
Bitcoin is Verifiable
Bitcoin can be verified with mathematical certainty on the Bitcoin blockchain, in
real-time, from anywhere in the world. Using cryptographic signatures, the owner
of a bitcoin can publicly prove ownership.
Bitcoin is Durable
Bitcoin resides on an open-source network maintained by a global base of users.
The open-source nature of the Bitcoin protocol has made the network incredibly
durable to threats, eliminating single points of failure and allowing for continuous
adaptation and improvement.
Bitcoin is Portable
Because Bitcoin is a digital currency, it can be stored easily on any digital medium.
Whether via computer, smartphone, or even a simple mobile device, connectivity
to the internet is all that is required to send bitcoin quickly and securely, to and
from anywhere in the world, at any time, in any amount, with little or no transaction
costs, and with transparent and verifiable transaction records.
Bitcoin is Immutable
Proof-of-Work makes it prohibitively expensive for anyone to attempt to rewrite or
undo a Bitcoin transaction, thus making transactions effectively immutable. Once
a block has been recorded those transactions cannot be reversed.
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
Bitcoin is Divisible
A bitcoin is displayed to the eighth decimal place, creating one hundred million
units within each bitcoin. The smallest unit, a “satoshi,” represents 0.00000001 of
a single bitcoin and is the smallest fraction of a bitcoin that can be transacted.
Bitcoin is Fungible
One bitcoin has exactly the same value as any other bitcoin on the network.
6. Note that the actual number of bitcoins available will always be less than the number created, because some
bitcoins are irretrievable as users have lost private keys and the electronic mediums on which their bitcoin are stored.
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5. Bitcoin’s Mechanics
Bitcoin’s origin begins with the circulation of a nine-page white paper7 by the
pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto to a small cryptography mailing list in October 2008. In
it, Satoshi proposed a solution to a long-standing digital double-spending problem, known
as the Byzantine Generals Problem. When the Bitcoin network launched in January 2009,
for the first time in history, it was possible for value to be quickly and securely transferred
across great distances without the need for a trusted third party.
Bitcoin is an open-source digital monetary network that allows users to utilize blockchain
technology and encryption to transfer value to other participants on the network, without
the need for a central administrator or authority, by relying on a global network of peers to
enforce its rules. Transaction validators, known as “miners,” compete to solve cryptographic
problems. The miner who first solves a problem gets to update and verify a new block of
data on the blockchain, and in return, receives a block reward consisting of transaction
fees and newly mined bitcoins. On average, a new block of data is added to the blockchain
every 10 minutes.8
Every 210,000 blocks, about every four years, the block reward undergoes a halving and
decreases by 50%. These halvings will continue until the total number of mined bitcoin
reaches the built-in supply cap of 21 million around the year 2140. After reaching this cap,
no new bitcoins will ever be produced. In May 2020 Bitcoin underwent its third halving,
which reduced the block reward from 12.5 bitcoins to 6.25 bitcoins per block. The fourth
halving, in 2024, will reduce the block reward to 3.125 bitcoins.
Bitcoin is a digital currency that enables payment in a decentralized peer-to peer (P2P) network that is powered
and approved by the consensus of its users. There is no central authority or middleman that controls it.
TRANSACTIONS MINING
1 A user generates a 2 The request is 3 During the 4 Miners compete to 5 The miner that
request to transfer broadcast on the mining process, match the block’s successfully
a bitcoin value from Bitcoin network transactions header with a nonce, an generates the hash
their account to until users in the are packed into arbitrary number used accepted by the
another account using network called data blocks and only once, to get a short Bitcoin network
a mobile device or “miners” pick it up are randomly alphanumeric code is rewarded with
computer. for processing. assigned with a called a hash. bitcoins, currently
header. at 6.25, but this
will exponentially
decrease, halving
every four years
until a total of 21
million bitcoins have
been released.
The average
confirmation time
for a transaction is
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
about 10 minutes
and once complete,
it is irreversible.
Bitcoin client software
is required to create a
virtual wallet, a private
key, and public key for 6 The hash values are then added to the next block’s header,
authenticating and securing creating a blockchain, which serves as the public ledger of all
each transaction. transactions ever made in the Bitcoin network.
7. Satoshi Nakamoto, “Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System,” White Paper, Bitcoin.org
(31 Oct. 2008). https://Bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
8. The difficulty adjustment is one of the crowning achievements by Satoshi; it essentially enforces a fixed
issuance schedule.
9. Adapted from Bitcoin.org; Bitcoin Ladder; Reuters
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6. Mining and Proof-of-Work
Bitcoin is viewed by many as a new and improved form of gold, a “Digital Gold,” that
is better suited to the modern digital age. In many ways Bitcoin is actually better at
being gold than gold – in the sense that it is more scarce, more salable and far easier
to transport.
For thousands of years, gold has held the pre-eminent position as the most widely
recognized and sustainable store of value in the world. Countless nations and
currencies have risen and fallen, but throughout recorded history, gold has remained
a valued median of exchange as it represents the ultimate store of value due to its
scarcity and good money qualities. The same properties that make gold an effective
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
store of value and have afforded it a +$12 trillion valuation are also present in Bitcoin.
This suggests that Bitcoin’s +$1 trillion valuation should continue to rise.
While physical gold historically played a crucial role in global trade and local
economies, the world we inhabit today is becoming increasingly digital. As our money
and payment systems evolve, Bitcoin looks to displace gold because it exhibits some
10. Satoshi Nakamoto, “Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System,” White Paper, Bitcoin.org
(31 Oct. 2008). https://Bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
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clear advantages over physical gold. While physical gold remains difficult and costly
to transport and store, bitcoin’s digital transferability makes it far easier to transport
and store. Bitcoin can be sent across physical borders at the speed of information 24
hours/day, 365 days/year.
Although recognized as a scarce asset, the total amount of unmined gold is unknown.
At present, new gold production has a low annual supply rate of 1-2%.11 When the price
of gold increases significantly, production of gold tends to rise thereby increasing the
supply and exerting downward pressure on its value.
Bitcoin is the first store of value in history in which its supply is completely unaffected
by an increase in demand. Bitcoin is perfectly inelastic. Its supply cap of 21 million is
hard coded into the protocol – no matter how high the value or level of demand rises,
the supply of bitcoin remains consistent. With each halving, Bitcoin’s supply growth
is cut by 50%. Bitcoin’s third halving in May 2020 resulted in the annual issuance
rate dropping to below 2%. The fourth halving in 2024 will result in Bitcoin’s annual
issuance rate dropping below 1%, bringing it below gold’s current supply growth.
Recent surveys of millennials have indicated that this digitally native generation
exhibits an openness towards investing in Bitcoin and other digital currencies as part
of their portfolio strategy. A November 2019 Millennials and the Future of Money
Report by Edelman found that 63% of the millennial “crypto users” believe that crypto
is a “better investment than gold in a volatile economy.”12 A survey conducted by
financial advisory DeVere Group in December 2020 echoed that sentiment reflecting
that 66% of its +700 millennial clients, born between 1980 and 1996, view Bitcoin as a
better safe-haven asset than gold.13
Charles Schwab released an SDBA Indicators Report which illustrated that millennials
allocated more to Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (1.84%) than to some of the largest and most
well-known public companies, including Walt Disney (1.68%), Netflix (1.58%), Microsoft
(1.53%), and Alibaba (1.39%).14 Schwab’s data came from a total of 142,000 Schwab
retirement plan participants with balances between $5,000 and $10 million.15
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
11. In 2005, some 2,470 metric tons of gold was produced worldwide, with gold production increasing steadily
to an estimated 3,200 metric tons in 2019. Statista, “Global production of gold mines 2005 to 2020,” M.
Garside, March 19, 2021. https://www.statista.com/statistics/238414/global-gold-production-since-2005/ As
technologies for the extraction of gold advance or asteroid mining becomes reality, the supply of gold could
rise dramatically.
12. https://www.edelman.com/sites/g/files/aatuss191/files/2019-11/2019%20Edelman%20Millennials%20and%20
the%20Future%20of%20Money%20Report.pdf
13. https://www.devere-group.com/news/Two-thirds-of-millennials-prefer-Bitcoin-to-gold-as-safe-haven-survey%20
14. https://www.bloomberg.com/press-releases/2019-12-04/schwab-report-self-directed-401-k-balances-hold-
steady-millennials-allocate-more-to-etfs-and-cash-than-gen-x-boomers
15. Ibid.
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FIGURE 4: TOP HOLDINGS AS PERCENTAGE OF ASSETS HELD IN CHARLES SCHWAB
Tesla (TSLA) 3.22% Berkshire Hathaway (BRK) 2.37% Berkshire Hathaway (BRK) 2.75%
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) 1.84% Microsoft (MSFT) 2.16% Facebook (FB) 1.43%
Berkshire Hathaway (BRK) 1.73% Tesla (TSLA) 1.45% Visa (V) 1.25%
Walt Disney (DIS) 1.68% Alphabet (GOOG) 1.30% Alphabet (GOOG) 1.23%
In the United States, key regulatory developments have provided clarity that has
enabled institutional investors to get more comfortable with investing in the digital
currency space. Bitcoin has been recognized and addressed by nearly every applicable
regulatory authority in the U.S. dating as far back as 2013. Bitcoin is classified as a
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
16. https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/SpeechesTestimony/opamassad-6
17. https://www.sec.gov/news/speech/speech-hinman-061418
18. https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-14-21.pdf
19. https://www.fincen.gov/sites/default/files/shared/FIN-2013-G001.pdf
20. https://jlopp.github.io/us-marshals-bitcoin-auctions/
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Guidance on Bitcoin and digital currencies was further provided by the Office of the
Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), an independent bureau within the U.S. Department
of the Treasury. In July 2020, the OCC authorized regulated banks to custody digital
currencies21 and in October 2020, the OCC authorized regulated banks to hold
stablecoin22 reserves for customers.23 Then in January 2021, the OCC gave approval for
regulated banks to run blockchain nodes and use stablecoins to conduct payments.24
The OCC also approved the U.S.’s first national cryptocurrency bank charter advising that
“the national bank charters provided under the National Bank Act are broad and flexible
enough to accommodate evolving approaches to financial services in the 21st century.”25
In its early years, Bitcoin unfortunately suffered reputational damage due to the
exploitation by bad actors who utilized the network for nefarious purposes. Fortunately,
cryptocurrency-related crime has fallen significantly since then and represents only a
fraction of overall cryptocurrency transactions today. According to Chainalysis 2021
Crypto Crime Report, only 2% of all cryptocurrency transaction volume was linked to illicit
activity in 2019 and by 2020 that figure had declined to just 0.3%.26
As the Bitcoin blockchain is transparent and immutable, every transaction is traceable and,
in reality, digital currencies make a poor choice for nefarious activities. Blockchain analytics
firms have developed specialized blockchain tracing techniques and methodologies for
identifying sources and real-world identities. Physical cash is therefore a far better medium
for illicit activity than a transparent blockchain.
According to a 2020 “Follow the Money” Report by the Society for Worldwide Interbank
Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT), “cases of laundering through cryptocurrencies
remain relatively small compared to the volumes of cash laundered through traditional
methods.”27 Indeed, as former Deputy Assistant Secretary for the Treasury’s Office of
Terrorist Financing and Financial Crimes, Jennifer Fowler, testified in a Senate Judiciary
Committee Hearing (2017), “although virtual currencies are used for illicit transactions,
the volume is small compared to the volume of illicit activity through traditional financial
services.”
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
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13. Is Bitcoin Worth the Energy
It is a fact that Bitcoin mining is highly energy intensive.28 The Bitcoin network
uses as much energy as a small country. Annual consumption of energy estimates
range from around 79.6 terawatt-hours, according to Digiconomist,29 to 127.7
terawatt-hours according to the Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance.30
One important question to address is whether the value derived from Bitcoin
justifies its energy consumption. A trillion dollars in market cap suggests that
it does. The Bitcoin network has also facilitated nearly $13 trillion worth of
transactions throughout its history and over $4 trillion in the last year alone.
The value derived from the most secure, decentralized and censorship-resistant
digital monetary network in the world is immense and, as defended by advocates,
well worth the energy consumed to maintain it. Bitcoin is providing the world with
a sound digital monetary good in a digital age. Proponents take the position that
if bitcoin miners are willing to pay for the electricity required to run the hashing
algorithms that produce bitcoin, then they should be entitled to do so.
Another important question to address is what are the sources of the energy?
Due to the economics and highly competitive nature of the bitcoin mining
industry, bitcoin miners tend to seek out the most economical energy sources,
which are increasingly coming from renewables. According to Cambridge’s 3RD
Global Cryptoasset Benchmarking Study, 76% of Bitcoin miners use renewable
energy sources as part of their energy mix.31 The Cambridge Study found that
of the total energy consumed by Bitcoin mining globally, 39% comes from
renewable energy sources.32 In comparison to other global industries, this
represents one of the highest percentages of renewable penetration.
28. While most industries and sectors are opaque about their energy consumption, Bitcoin is not. The Bitcoin
network documents its energy use and is extremely transparent, which makes Bitcoin an easy target. It is
almost impossible to calculate, for example, how much energy the banking industry or the U.S. military uses.
29. https://digiconomist.net/bitcoin-energy-consumption/
30. https://cbeci.org/
31. University of Cambridge’s 3RD Global Cryptoasset Benchmarking Study, pp. 26-28 (2020).
32. Ibid.
33. https://flowcharts.llnl.gov/commodities/energy
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As Bitcoin miners are geographically agnostic and mining facilities can be located
anywhere, Bitcoin can monetize isolated energy sources in remote areas of the
world, wherever there is cheap and abundant energy. Bitcoin mining can be utilized
to create economic value in certain regions where jobs and industry are scarce.
Bitcoin could ultimately become a huge catalyst for innovation in the development
of renewable energy technology and maximization of resources. Developers of wind
farms, hydro dam generators, nuclear plants, and others are looking to develop
revenue-enhancement strategies by maximizing the energy they produce.
Bitcoin is the first and by far the largest and most well-known digital currency.
Despite the arrival of thousands of “competitor” digital currencies, Bitcoin has
not been displaced. As an open-source software protocol, it has always been
possible to copy Bitcoin’s software and thousands of digital currencies have tried
to “improve” upon a perceived “deficiency” or “limitation” of Bitcoin. None of them,
however, have been able to replicate Bitcoin’s network effect. Bitcoin continues
to dominate in terms of market value, liquidity of its market and number of miners,
validators and users. Bitcoin’s first mover advantage and a market cap that is in
orders of magnitude higher than that of other digital currencies make it unlikely to
be overtaken.
Technologist Michael Saylor, CEO of MicroStrategy and author of The Mobile Wave,
has cited $100 billion as the threshold at which a network achieves a near-certain
dominance. In the history of digital networks there have never been any examples
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
of a $100 billion-dollar digital network that was vanquished once it reached that
dominant position. Once the market value surpasses that threshold, it would appear
that the market has spoken. Bitcoin’s market cap hit $100 billion on October 20,
2017. By February 19, 2021, Bitcoin’s market value had surpassed the $1 trillion mark,
making it the fastest growth to a trillion dollars of any digital network.
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FIGURE 5: TOP 10 DIGITAL CURRENCIES BY MARKET CAPITALIZATION34
Bitcoin has quickly become a very liquid asset, from trading under a billion dollars per
day in 2017, to well over $10 billion per day in 2021. Not only is there sufficient liquidity,
but it is one of the few markets that is globally accessible and traded 24 hours a day,
365 days a year.
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16. Bitcoin Has Been the Best Performing Asset of the
21st Century
With little more than a 12-year history, Bitcoin has been the best performing
investment of this century. It has also been the best performing asset, as compared
to major asset classes, in eight of the past ten calendar years, with triple digit returns
in six of those years and a compound annual growth rate of over 200% as reflected
below.
Bitcoin’s market value today represents only a fraction of the markets it stands to
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
disrupt. We believe that it is still early and that Bitcoin is only just beginning its ascent
and will take significant market share from other asset classes. In fact, Bitcoin has been
taking market share from gold, as evidenced by recent outflows from gold funds and
inflows into Bitcoin. Further, with global bond yields now close to zero, Bitcoin looks to
replace some of the nominal bond exposure in traditional 60/40 stock/bond portfolios.
36. Source: Grayscale, Bloomberg; April 11, 2011 to April 11, 2021
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FIGURE 8: THE WORLD’S MONEY & MARKETS37
Figure 9 shows a popular model that uses Bitcoin’s historical relationship between
price and stock-to-flow to estimate a future price.38 The hypothesis of this model is
that Bitcoin’s price can be directly derived from its scarcity or stock-to-flow values.
As Bitcoin’s annual inflation decreases every four years through the halving events,
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
the stock-to-flow increases in turn increasing the price projections. While it is true
that Bitcoin’s price has followed this stock-to-flow model with high correlation,
the model may be limited as it does not consider the requisite demand for price
appreciation.
37. Source: Bloomberg, World Gold Council, BIS, CoinMarketCap.com, April 15, 2021.
38. “Modeling Bitcoin Value with Scarcity,” Medium, March 22, 2019.
https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25
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FIGURE 9: STOCK-TO-FLOW MODEL39
Metcalfe’s Law, named after Ethernet inventor Robert Metcalfe, states that the
value of a network will grow geometrically and is proportional to the square of the
number of participants in the network (n²). In this context, Bitcoin’s demand-side
dynamic is analyzed not as a currency but as a network of connected users, and the
more people on the network, the more valuable it will become. Metcalfe’s Law was
famously used to value Facebook and Tencent revenue growth in the early days of
each network.
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
Compared to other digital currencies, Bitcoin has by far the strongest network
effect by orders of magnitude. According to Jeff Booth, a technology entrepreneur
and author of The Price of Tomorrow, unless a new challenger can deliver a 10x
advantage to the market, it has no chance of achieving escape velocity to become
a new category leader. This advantage is demonstrated in the continued growth in
daily active addresses on the Bitcoin network as shown below.
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FIGURE 10: BITCOIN’S DAILY ACTIVE ADDRESSES40
This network effect carries forward to the security accrued by the Bitcoin network.
Bitcoin hashrate is the measure of aggregate computing power devoted to mining
transactions on the network. As the hashrate increases, so does the security of
the network. Since Bitcoin’s inception, the hashrate has grown significantly, now
commanding over 150 Exahashes per second, more than any computing network in
the world. Simply put, the Bitcoin network is extremely secure.
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20. Bitcoin and Modern Portfolio Theory
Generally uncorrelated to the behavior of other asset classes, Bitcoin can serve
as a strategic allocation in a well-diversified portfolio. Low correlations between
traditional asset classes and Bitcoin should minimize idiosyncratic risks and lower
overall volatility, resulting in higher risk-adjusted returns.
Bitcoin’s history of positive returns and track record as a low correlation asset
relative to other asset classes make it an attractive addition to modern portfolios.
This is demonstrated in the below chart that shows correlations of daily returns since
2016 for a collection of major assets and indices.
BTC Return
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21. Portfolio Simulations with Bitcoin
What does the data say about the historical performance of Bitcoin? How would a
portfolio have performed with or without Bitcoin over the last several years?
By replacing a portion of the 40% bond allocation with hypothetical allocations of 1%,
3%, and 5% of Bitcoin, the portfolios returned 91.0%, 124.9%, and 164.2%, respectively,
since 2013.
180%
Global 60/40
160%
Global 60/39 + 1% Bitcoin
120%
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
-20%
Mar-17
Jun-17
Dec-17
Dec-13
Mar-14
Jun-14
Dec-14
Dec-19
Sep-16
Dec-16
Jun-19
Sep-19
Mar-19
Sep-15
Dec-15
Mar-16
Jun-16
Mar-15
Jun-15
Sep-18
Dec-18
Mar-18
Jun-18
Sep-20
Mar-20
Dec-20
Jun-20
Mar-21
Sep-17
Sep-13
Sep-14
43. The model uses iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI), which includes the stocks of developed and emerging
markets, as a proxy for global equities and uses the Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) as a proxy for
the US dollar denominated bond market. The model uses daily data from Coin Metrics to represent Bitcoin in
portfolios. We use total returns, which assumes that all dividends are reinvested. Portfolios assume quarterly
rebalancing. Any fees and expenses associated with building and maintaining the portfolios have not been
deducted in our hypothetical analysis.
44. Source: Grayscale, Bloomberg, Coinmarketcap
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Our analysis reflects that even a relatively small allocation of Bitcoin can significantly
enhance the returns of traditional portfolios, like the Global 60/40, without having a
material impact on portfolio volatility. For example:
Historically, the Bitcoin market has proved difficult for investors to access— even those
who work with a seasoned financial advisor. As Bitcoin is not a physical commodity,
purchasing and storing it directly often comes with barriers to entry that can feel
overly complicated.
However, the market for Bitcoin and digital assets over the last few years has become
an increasingly accessible and regulated ecosystem. There are now numerous options
available to investors who are interested in investing in digital currencies. Below are
two main investment pathways.
Investing Directly
Directly buying or selling, transferring, storing, and safekeeping Bitcoin has been
around since the asset’s inception. While the principle has remained unchanged —
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
you or your client manage the Bitcoin allocation directly — the process has become a
bit more streamlined over the years. To purchase and store bitcoin directly today, you
will need to advise your clients on the following:
A Bitcoin wallet: As bitcoin are digital assets, they cannot be stored in physical
locations like physical cash. Enter the Bitcoin wallet — a secure, digital hub
where investors can store their bitcoin and carry out transactions. Bitcoin wallets
come in many forms, the most popular of which are desktop/mobile applications
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and physical hardware devices. You or your client will need to ensure the
secure storage of the wallet’s private key (akin to a password), consisting of a
long alphanumeric string of characters. Unlike traditional login/password pairs,
Bitcoin wallet private keys typically do not offer the ability to be reset if lost
or forgotten. It is likely that no financial institution or help desk will be able to
help recover your client’s private key, making these keys especially difficult to
manage for investors not comfortable with this level of security.
Bitcoin wallets exist in two forms, “hot wallets” and “cold wallets.” Hot wallets
are connected to the internet and held online, while cold wallets are not
connected to the internet and held offline. Examples of hot wallets include
the Blockchain Wallet, Cash App wallet and PayPal wallet. Examples of cold
wallets include the Ledger and Trezor hardware wallets which are physical
devices that store private keys offline.
PLEASE REVIEW IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & OTHER INFORMATION AT THE END OF THIS REPORT 22
The Alternative? Gain exposure through traditional investment vehicles
There are also ways to increase your clients’ exposure to digital assets without
having to purchase and store bitcoin directly. Traditional, institutional-grade
products exist to ensure investors can access familiar, regulated products that
easily fit into an existing product mix while providing diversification within a
portfolio. In fact, you might already be recommending equities that have significant
exposure to the digital asset space, or at least the underlying technology that
supports it. Stocks that fit within this theme are emerging as opportunities for
investors. For example:
Then there are traditional investment products built for Bitcoin exposure. The list
of bespoke, institutional-grade Bitcoin investment products continues to grow, a
signal that there is an increase in investor adoption. These products are designed
to be familiar to investors and advisors alike, such as Bitcoin Futures or investment
funds and trusts, including those focused on a single asset like Bitcoin (eg.
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust) or a multi-asset offering of a basket of digital currencies
allowing investors to diversify even further into the asset class (eg. Grayscale
Digital Large Cap Fund).
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
As digital assets continue to find a home in the traditional finance space, they
represent a growing trend of marketplace transformation. In the same way that
now-familiar investment products drastically transformed investors’ ability to access
the gold and precious metals market in the past, the potential for similar growth
and expansion is present for digital assets.
PLEASE REVIEW IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & OTHER INFORMATION AT THE END OF THIS REPORT 23
23. About Grayscale
Grayscale is the world’s largest digital currency asset manager, with more than
$45 billion in assets under management as of March 31, 2021. The firm focuses
on bringing digital currency investments into the mainstream – in other words, to
operate as a traditional asset manager, offering familiar investment vehicles for
investors to gain exposure to digital currencies. With an operational track record of
success dating back to 2013, Grayscale prioritizes its legal, compliance, reporting and
disclosure, supporting its investors with best-in-class service providers and products.
PLEASE REVIEW IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & OTHER INFORMATION AT THE END OF THIS REPORT 24
• Grayscale’s investment products are only available to accredited investors.
Certain Grayscale products trade publicly on OTC Markets. Shares of these
products that have become unrestricted in accordance with the rules and
regulations of the SEC may be bought and sold throughout the trading day
through any brokerage account at prices established by the market.
Of the various Grayscale products, two in particular may be of specific interest to your
clients, depending on whether they are interested in investing in Bitcoin as the most
prevalent and popular digital currency, or in a basket of the top digital currencies to
achieve further diversification within the asset class.
Grayscale Digital Large Cap Fund is a diversified digital currency investment vehicle,
providing exposure to the top liquid digital currencies by market capitalization
covering the upper 70% of the digital currency market. The Fund currently holds
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Litecoin (LTC) and Chainlink (LINK)
on a market cap-weighted basis and evaluates its fund components quarterly.
Shares of Grayscale Digital Large Cap Fund are currently offered in a private
placement pursuant to the exemption from registration provided by Rule 506(c) under
Regulation D of the Securities Act and are only available to accredited investors.
Investor Profile: Investors who want exposure to digital currencies, but rather than
having to choose a single digital currency, want to achieve broader-based coverage of
the digital currency market and achieve further diversification.
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is the largest Bitcoin investment product in the world, with
more than $38.5 billion in assets under management as of the end of March 2021.
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is solely and passively invested in Bitcoin.
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust private placement is offered on a periodic basis throughout the
year and is currently closed, however shares of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust are publicly-
traded on OTCQX® under the ticker symbol GBTC. Shares of the trust that have
become unrestricted in accordance with the rules and regulations of the SEC may be
bought and sold throughout the day via any brokerage account.
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is the first and only bitcoin digital currency investment vehicle
to attain the status of an SEC reporting company. As an SEC reporting company, it
is held to the same disclosures and reporting standards that investors have come
to expect from all their investments. Advisors and investors may obtain up-to-date
reporting and information on Grayscale Bitcoin Trust through its 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K
filings with the SEC.
Investor Profile: Investors who want to diversify their existing portfolio through
exposure to the price movement of Bitcoin, the most popular digital currency, via an
investment vehicle.
PLEASE REVIEW IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & OTHER INFORMATION AT THE END OF THIS REPORT 25
Important Disclosures & Other Information
©Grayscale Investments, LLC. All content is original and has been researched and
produced by Grayscale Investments, LLC (“Grayscale”) unless otherwise stated herein.
No part of this content may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other
publication, without the express consent of Grayscale.
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell
or the solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security in any jurisdiction where such
an offer or solicitation would be illegal. There is not enough information contained in
this content to make an investment decision and any information contained herein
should not be used as a basis for this purpose. This content does not constitute a
recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial
situations, or needs of investors. Investors are not to construe this content as legal,
tax or invest- ment advice, and should consult their own advisors concerning an
investment in digital assets. The price and value of assets referred to in this content
and the income from them may fluctuate. Past performance is not indicative of the
future performance of any assets referred to herein. Fluctuations in exchange rates
could have adverse effects on the value or price of, or income derived from, certain
investments.
Investors should be aware that Grayscale is the sponsor of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust
(BTC), Grayscale Bitcoin Cash Trust (BCH), Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETH), Grayscale
Ethereum Classic Trust (ETC), Grayscale Litecoin Trust (LTC), Grayscale Horizen Trust
(ZEN), Grayscale Stellar Lumens Trust (XLM), Grayscale Zcash Trust (ZEC), Grayscale
Basic Attention Token Trust (BAT), Grayscale Chainlink Trust (LINK), Grayscale
Decentraland Trust (MANA), Grayscale Filecoin Trust (FIL), Grayscale Livepeer Trust
(LPT) (each, a “Trust”) and the manager of Grayscale Digital Large Cap Fund LLC (the
“Fund”). The Trusts and the Fund are collectively referred to herein as the “Products.”
Any Product currently offering Share creations is referred to herein as an “Offered
Product”. Information provided about an Offered Product is not intended to be, nor
should it be construed or used as investment, tax or legal advice, and prospective
investors should consult their own advisors concerning an investment in such Offered
Product. This content does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an
offer to buy interests in any of the Products. Any offer or solicitation of an investment
in a Product may be made only by delivery of such Product’s confidential offering
documents (the “Offering Documents”) to qualified accredited investors (as defined
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
under Rule 501(a) of Regulation D of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the
“Securities Act”)), which contain material information not contained herein and which
supersede the information provided herein in its entirety.
The shares of each Product are not registered under the Securities Act, the Securities
Exchange Act of 1934 (except for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust), the Investment Company
Act of 1940, or any state securities laws. The Products are offered in private
placements pursuant to the exemption from registration provided by Rule 506(c) under
Regulation D of the Securities Act and are only available to accredited investors. As a
result, the shares of each Product are restricted and subject to significant limitations
PLEASE REVIEW IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & OTHER INFORMATION AT THE END OF THIS REPORT 26
on resales and transfers. Potential investors in any Product should carefully consider
the long-term nature of an investment in that Product prior to making an investment
decision. The shares of certain Products are also publicly quoted on OTC Markets and
shares that have become unrestricted in accordance with the rules and regulations of
the SEC may be bought and sold throughout the day through any brokerage account.
Any interests in each Product described herein have not been recommended by
any U.S. federal or state, or non-U.S., securities commission or regulatory authority,
including the SEC. Furthermore, the foregoing authorities have not confirmed the
accuracy or determined the adequacy of this document. Any representation to the
contrary is a criminal offense.
The hypothetical simulated performance results are based on a model that used
inputs that are based on assumptions about a variety of conditions and events and
provides hypothetical not actual results. As with all mathematical models, results
may vary significantly depending upon the value of the inputs given, so that a
relatively minor modification of any assumption may have a significant impact on
the result. Among other things, the hypothetical simulated performance calculations
do not take into account all aspects of the applicable asset’s characteristics under
PLEASE REVIEW IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & OTHER INFORMATION AT THE END OF THIS REPORT 27
certain conditions, including characteristics that can have a significant impact on
the results. Further, in evaluating the hypothetical simulated performance results
herein, each prospective investor should understand that not all of the hypothetical
assumptions used in the model are described herein, and conditions and events
that are not accounted for by the model may have a significant adverse effect on the
performance of the assets described herein. Prospective investors should consider
whether the behavior of these assets should be tested based on different and/or
additional assumptions from those included in the information herein.
FOR EXAMPLE, EACH TRUST WILL HOLD ONLY ONE DIGITAL ASSET, WHEREAS
THE HYPOTHETICAL SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS ARE INTENDED TO
SHOW HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE OF AN INVESTMENT MULTIPLE DIGITAL
ASSETS. IN ADDITION, THE GENERAL MARKET DATA USED IN THE HYPOTHETICAL
SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS DO NOT REFLECT ACTUAL TRADING
ACTIVITY AND COULD NOT BE REPLICATED BY A PRODUCT IN ITS ACTUAL
TRANSACTIONS. If actual trading activity was executed at levels that differed
significantly from the general market data used in the hypothetical simulated
performance, the actual returns achieved would have varied considerably from the
results of the hypothetical simulated performances and could have been substantially
lower and could result in significant losses.
The hypothetical simulated performance results do not reflect the impact the market
conditions may have had upon a Product were it in existence during the historical
period selected. The hypothetical simulated performance results do not reflect any
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
fees incurred by a Product. If such amounts had been included in the hypothetical
simulated performance, the results would have been lowered.
PLEASE REVIEW IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & OTHER INFORMATION AT THE END OF THIS REPORT 28
Certain Risk Factors
Each Product is a private, unregistered investment vehicle and not subject to the
same regulatory requirements as exchange traded funds or mutual funds, including
the requirement to provide certain periodic and standardized pricing and valuation
information to investors. There are substantial risks in investing in a Product or in
digital assets directly, including but not limited to:
• PRICE VOLATILITY
Digital assets have historically experienced significant intraday and long-term
price swings. In addition, none of the Products currently operates a redemption
program and may halt creations from time to time. There can be no assurance
that the value of the common units of fractional undivided beneficial interest
(“Shares”) of any Product will approximate the value of the digital assets held
by such Product and such Shares may trade at a substantial premium over or
discount to the value of the digital assets held by such Product. At this time,
none of the Products is operating a redemption program and therefore Shares
are not redeemable by any Product. Subject to receipt of regulatory approval
from the SEC and approval by Grayscale, in its sole discretion, any Product may
in the future operate a redemption program. Because none of the Products
believes that the SEC would, at this time, entertain an application for the waiver
of rules needed in order to operate an ongoing redemption program, none of the
Products currently has any intention of seeking regulatory approval from the SEC
to operate an ongoing redemption program.
• MARKET ADOPTION
It is possible that digital assets generally or any digital asset in particular will never
be broadly adopted by either the retail or commercial marketplace, in which case,
one or more digital assets may lose most, if not all, of its value.
• GOVERNMENT REGULATION
The regulatory framework of digital assets remains unclear and application of
existing regulations and/or future restrictions by federal and state authorities may
have a significant impact on the value of digital assets.
• SECURITY
While each Product has implemented security measures for the safe storage of
its digital assets, there have been significant incidents of digital asset theft and
digital assets remains a potential target for hackers. Digital assets that are lost or
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
PLEASE REVIEW IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & OTHER INFORMATION AT THE END OF THIS REPORT 29
other Products intends to take the position that it is a grantor trust for U.S.
federal income tax purposes. Assuming that a Product is properly treated as a
grantor trust, Shareholders of that Product generally will be treated as if they
directly owned their respective pro rata shares of the underlying assets held in
the Product, directly received their respective pro rata shares of the Product’s
income and directly incurred their respective pro rata shares of the Product ’s
expenses. Most state and local tax authorities follow U.S. income tax rules in
this regard. Prospective investors should discuss the tax consequences of an
investment in a Product with their tax advisors.
• NO SHAREHOLDER CONTROL
Grayscale, as sponsor of each Trust and the manager of the Fund, has total
authority over the Trusts and the Fund and shareholders’ rights are extremely
limited.
their sponsors or managers and advisors and agents may be subject to various
conflicts of interest.
PLEASE REVIEW IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & OTHER INFORMATION AT THE END OF THIS REPORT 30
Additional General Disclosures
Carefully consider each Product’s investment objectives, risk factors, fees and
expenses before investing. This and other information can be found in each Product’s
private placement memorandum, which may be obtained from Grayscale and, for each
Product listed on the OTC Markets and/or registered with the SEC, such Product’s
annual report, which may be obtained by visiting the SEC’s website for Grayscale
Bitcoin Trust (Symbol: GBTC) or the OTC Markets website for Grayscale Bitcoin Cash
Trust (Symbol: BCHG), Grayscale Ethereum Trust (Symbol: ETHE), Grayscale Ethereum
Classic Trust (Symbol: ETCG), Grayscale Litecoin Trust (Symbol: LTCN) and Grayscale
Digital Large Cap Fund (Symbol: GDLC). Reports on OTC Markets are not prepared in
accordance with SEC requirements and may not contain all information that is useful
for an informed investment decision. Read these documents carefully before investing.
The Products are distributed by Genesis Global Trading, Inc. (Member FINRA/SIPC,
MSRB Registered).
© 2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC. All rights reserved. The GRAYSCALE and
GRAYSCALE INVESTMENTS logos, graphics, icons, trademarks, service marks and
headers are registered and unregistered trademarks of Grayscale Investments, LLC in
the United States.
©2021 Grayscale Investments, LLC
PLEASE REVIEW IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & OTHER INFORMATION AT THE END OF THIS REPORT 31
www.grayscale.com
info@grayscale.com
212.668.1427
@Grayscale