Final Project - International Economics
Final Project - International Economics
International Economics
FC-PREENI06A01
Professor: Gonzales Taranco, Carlos
Members:
Lima – Perú
2024 – 01
Abstract
This study analyzes the wage gap in the agricultural and energy sectors of Brazil and Peru
between 2000 and 2019, using the Heckscher-Ohlin model. A correlation analysis using the
Spearman and Pearson test was used to assess the relationship between private investment,
capital per capita, commodity prices (coffee and oil) and wages. The results show that there is
no positive correlation between investment and wages in the energy sector of Brazil, a
negative correlation between investment and wages in the agricultural sector of Peru.
Likewise, there is a positive and direct correlation between wages in the energy sector and oil
prices, and a positive correlation between coffee prices and wages in the agricultural sector of
Peru. This suggests that other factors, such as government policies and labor market
dynamics, are more influential. The research concludes that wage trends are determined by a
complex interaction of factors, highlighting the need for specific sectoral policies and
investment in education and vocational training to improve incomes and support sustainable
El presente estudio analiza la brecha salarial en los sectores agrícola y energético de Brasil y
inversión privada, el capital per cápita, los precios de las materias primas (café y petróleo) y
los salarios. Los resultados muestran que no hay una correlación positiva entre la inversión y
los salarios en el sector energético de Brasil, una correlación negativa entre la inversión y los
salarios en el sector agrícola de Perú. Asimismo, hay una correlación positiva y directa entre
salarios en el sector energético y precios del petróleo, y una correlación positiva entre los
precios del café y los salarios en el sector agrícola de Perú. Esto sugiere que otros factores,
como las políticas gubernamentales y la dinámica del mercado laboral, son más influyentes.
La investigación concluye que las tendencias salariales están determinadas por una
Introduction
Problem statement
Formulation of the problem.
Theoretical framework
Empirical evidence
Objectives
Method
Type, level, and focus of research.
Investigation design.
Operational design of variables.
Sample investigation.
Instruments and techniques.
Methodology
Results
Linear graphs of the study variables
Normality
Scatter plots of the study variables
Scatter plots according to study objectives
Correlation test
Introduction
agricultural sector; in 2021, with 4,702,349 workers, representing 27.5% of the total. When
analyzing the agricultural labor force, at the regional level, they are mainly concentrated in
Cusco, Cajamarca and Puno, with a sum of 26.6%, in the other hand, Madre de Dios, Tumbes
and Moquegua have the lowest number of workers, with a sum of 1.4%. Additionally, almost
two thirds of the agricultural workforce is concentrated in the Sierra region, with a sum of
54%. In the same year, approximately 2,243,000 Peruvian workers indicated that agriculture
is their main activity; this represents a rise of 23.1% compared to the previous year. Talking
about salaries, on average, the workers in agriculture obtain lesser payment compared to the
national aggregate. If we compare the agricultural sector with the other, we observe that their
workers earn the least; in 2020, the payment in the formality and informality, respectively,
amounted S/573 and S/1608 (Escuela de Gestión Pública de la Universidad del Pacífico,
2022). In Latin America, Brazil positions as the first place in the production of oil. In their
geographic zone, 97.6% of the oil production of the country is made offshore; Brazil has the
1992, the inequality in the world of personal income increased impressively in that time span.
More importantly, the rise in inequality between the countries drove a rise in the wage
inequality; explained by the faster increasing of the income per capita in rich countries
compared to poor countries, in other words, a wider gap of the income per capita between the
The gap in wage levels between a large economy, represented by Brazil, and a small
economy, represented by Peru, over the period 2000-2019, using the Heckscher-Ohlin
products such as oil (Mendes & Teixeira, 2018, p.70), while Peru specializes in labor-
intensive agricultural products such as coffee (Decreto Supremo N°017-2021, 2021, pp.45-
69).
This wage gap between large and small economies, such as Brazil and Peru
relevant economic and social challenges. First, this gap contributes significantly to economic
inequality, both domestically and internationally. When workers in the small economy
receive significantly lower wages compared to workers in the large economy, income and
wealth gaps widen, which can generate social tensions and affect economic stability (Ewout,
2008).
In addition, this wage gap can act as an obstacle to social mobility (Lu, 2020). If
workers in the small economy have fewer opportunities to access higher wages compared to
workers in the large economy, it spreads cycles of poverty and limits the possibilities of
Inequality, 2012) This not only affects people's individual well-being, but can also have
wider consequences for social cohesion and economic progress (Ambrus, 2017).
According to FasterCapital (2024), the wage gap can hinder growth efforts in an
economy, through low productivity resulting from disincentives, social cohesion between
social strata, and a limitation in purchasing power that affects the internal demand of certain
groups and therefore the development of some industries. Furthermore, other authors such as
Del Carpio (2018) point out that in small economies, low wages can discourage investment in
human capital and advanced technologies, which in turn limits long-term productivity and
competitiveness.
rather than examining specific wage effects related to the characteristics of economies of
different sizes and sectors. Therefore, more research is needed to investigate the wage gap
In this sense, this research seeks to make a comparative analysis of wages in Brazil
and Peru using the Heckscher-Ohlin model. Since this research focuses on the energy and
agricultural sectors, by the end of this work there could be a better understanding of how two
General question:
What is the relationship between the economic structure and factor endowments with
the wages of workers in the Peruvian agricultural sector and the Brazilian energy sector from
2000 to 2019?
Specific questions:
particularly in coffee production, with the variation of wages from 2000 to 2019?
What is the relation between capital investment in Brazil’s energy sector, considering
its capital-intensive nature and oil production, with the evolution of wages in that sector
The research on how factor endowments relate to wages in Peru and Brazil, within the
global economy and international trade dynamics. According to this model, countries are
specialized in the creation and export of products that make intensive use of their most
abundant resources. As an example, Peru, with an abundance of labor, and Brazil, with an
abundance of capital, benefit by specializing in sectors that maximize the use of these
Such specialization may lead to wage adjustments in each country based on the
predominant factor. The Heckscher-Ohlin theory highlights the close connection between
wages and a country’s productive specialization, related directly with wage levels based on
This study is significant because it shows how labor and capital are related to wage
levels in both countries between 2000 and 2019. This research focuses on expanding
knowledge and filling the existing research gap on the specialization and interaction of
The results of this research allow for an analysis of the effectiveness and limitations of
the model in a real-world context, as well as an impact on practices for the formulation of fair
The main beneficiaries of this study are academics, researchers and students interested in
global economics and labor policies, as well as local and multinational companies in the
agricultural and energy sectors operating in Peru and Brazil, who can take advantage of these
findings to improve their efficiency by aligning their operations with comparative advantages
of each country and competitiveness through strategies on hiring, training and compensation
Theoretical framework
Empirical evidence
Matano & Naticchioni (2010) conducted a study to examine how international trades
affect the wages structure and the inequalities of Italian workers. The research employed a
Their findings revealed that local trade significantly influences wage inequality. Local export
unskilled labor-intensive goods. However, imports from these countries increase inequality
by favoring skilled managerial employees. The study concluded that it is essential to consider
local comparative advantages within their specific diversification cones and in relation to
other cones. Exports to less developed countries increase wage inequality, as the HOS model
predicts. Additionally, trade affects employment in a way that aligns with its impact on
wages, indicating a cohesive understanding of trade's effect on the Italian labor market.
employed an experimental and quantitative approach. The results reveal that rational
underdevelopment is influenced not only by wage subsidies but also by capital and mobile
factors. This research holds significant implications for economic policies designed to lessen
learning effects and the adoption of new technologies, leading to unequal development
between initially similar regions. Spillover effects allow advanced regions to adopt new
technologies, while financial transfers to less developed regions increase their income but
decrease their ability to implement new technologies. Although the movement of factors like
capital can diminish inequality by increasing industrial output in the North and reducing
financial transfers, the less developed region still struggles with lower productivity. Evidence
from the Mezzogiorno in Italy illustrates these dynamics, suggesting that although financial
Peeters and Vaal (2000) conducted research on globalization and wage inequality,
availability. Using a quantitative experimental approach, they found that the reduction in
transportation costs for producer services could have led to the significant increase in wage
inequality. Their numerical simulations indicate that the decline in transportation costs for
producer services contributed to the reduction in wages for low-skilled workers during the
1980s. While the initial liberalization of service markets negatively impacted these workers,
further reductions in transportation costs eventually benefited them. This suggests that low-
skilled workers could ultimately benefit from the increased globalization of service markets.
Additionally, the mobility of high-skilled labor and the local presence of service firms can
between outsourcing services and human capital. The study drew on standard growth and
between outsourcing services and human capital was analyzed through the lens of
comparative advantage and factor ratios. The results indicated that the size of the labor force
with tertiary education is a crucial determinant of service exports, with adjusted R² values
above 0.8 and positive, significant coefficients for all three independent variables. The study
concluded that comparative advantage analysis based on population size and human capital
indicators can be misleading. Although India and China have low tertiary education
enrollment rates relative to their populations, they have a large absolute number of enrolled
efforts by some Eastern bloc countries, their tertiary-educated labor force is relatively small.
Similarly, while Ireland excels in information technology, its educated workforce in this field
Wacker (2010) conducted a study to investigate the impact of trade with the EU-15 on
wages in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia between 1997 and 2005. Using
found that definitive statements about this effect are challenging. The results showed that
although trade with the EU-15 may negatively affect earnings in the short term (1-2 years),
the impact turns beneficial in the intermediate to extended period, particularly for Hungary
and Poland. Despite real wages rising more in these countries compared to the EU-15,
substantial disparities in living standards continue to exist. Classical trade theory does not
fully explain this convergence, especially with the rise in exports of medium-high and high-
tech goods. Instead, the theory of increasing returns and the influence of multinational
corporations may provide a better explanation for these trade patterns, calling into question
the relevance of the Stolper—Samuelson theorem and the factor price equalization theory.
wage and income disparity in developed and developing countries. This work employed a
quantitative methodology, which was supported using cross-sectional and panel data. The
cross-sectional analysis results reveal a direct correlation between trade liberalization and
technological changes that favor skilled workers. Finally, it is concluded that trade
liberalization helps reduce income inequality in both advanced and emerging economies.
Therefore, trade liberalization seems to hold significant implications for advancing the
Sustainable Development Goals. The inclusion of additional income sources like transfers
and capital income, alongside wages, in total household income, might explain the varying
Carneiro & Arbache (2003), performed research on the impacts of trade on the labor
market in Brazil employing a CGE model methodology. Their study aimed to assess the
Brazil. The research utilizes a methodology that functions as a versatile empirical simulation
tool to quantitatively evaluate the impacts of economic policies and external shocks on the
national economy. The key findings confirmed that liberalized trade improves economic
welfare by augmenting production, decreasing domestic prices, and increasing demand for
labor. Finally, it is concluded that the simulations conducted evaluated the effects of a general
productivity across the economy. The results indicate that the capacity of trade liberalization
to enhance labor market outcomes in Brazil is restricted, contrary to the predictions of the
production and labor demand, the advantages typically favor the most skilled workers.
framework where sustained expansion is propelled through the accumulation of both physical
and human capital. This research had a non-experimental approach. The results indicated that
in the interconnected global economy, there exists a balanced, stable, and singular growth
equilibrium, specific to each locality. They also found that integrating adjustment costs into
the human capital accumulation process results in a reduced long-term growth rate. We then
showed that, in a global economy comprising two countries engaged in international trade,
achieving balanced growth is feasible. Also introduced was a dynamic version of the
concluded that adjustment costs diminish the long-run growth rate and that variations in the
compared to Europe using linear programming to analyze the two economies. They
developed a customs union model for India and Europe to evaluate their respective
where the search of various sources was used to build a database for the empirical
implementation of the model. The results indicated that India's focus on mining,
manufacturing, and utilities could result in substantial efficiency gains, while the deregulation
of these sectors could enhance their appeal for investment. Finally, it was concluded that to
which are hindering its potential due to government regulations. Although economic
openness benefits workers more than local capitalists, sectors such as agriculture,
transportation and services are inefficient and in need of significant technical change. While
adjustment costs remain elevated, resources will be more efficiently allocated to sectors
trade openness and income inequality, aiming to discern whether increasing income
inequality might be linked to trade openness. The research employed a longitudinal non-
(1960-1990). Measures of income inequality, such as the Gini index, and GDP-adjusted
indicators of trade openness were utilized. Regression analyses were carried out to explore
the association between trade openness and income inequality, while controlling for variables
such as the logarithm of GDP per capita, levels of education, democracy and rule of law
indices, as well as interaction variables and regional variations. The study's findings provided
evidence supporting the notion that trade openness influences income inequality in
developing countries, trade openness was linked with an increase rather than a decrease in
income inequality. These outcomes suggest that the relationship between trade openness and
income inequality in developing countries is more intricate than initially presumed. While
nations, as anticipated, trade openness in these contexts was associated with a rise in income
inequality.
Carbajal (2019) conducted research on the Manufacturing Wage Gap: Mexico and the
United States, which has as its main objective to calculate the rate and extent of the wage gap
in the manufacturing sector for production and non-supervisory workers between Mexico and
the United States. Two complementary methodological approaches were employed in this
research. First, we used a synthetic panel approach and econometric analysis applied to
survey data. Second, descriptive statistics based on census data from the 1990s, 2000s and
2010s were used. The results showed that the analysis did not reveal evidence of long-run
convergence in factor prices during the period studied. It was argued that significant
macroeconomic events, such as the 1994 Mexican peso crisis, could have influenced these
contradictory results. From the review of the existing literature, it was concluded that the
wage gap between Mexico and the United States has not shown a significant reduction or a
clear convergence since the implementation of NAFTA. The lack of conclusive evidence
suggests that the expected wage convergence in the context of globalization has not
materialized as anticipated.
Busssolo (2002) made a research to analyze the main labor market regulation in Chile
and explore how they relate to trade policy. This work used empirical data and numerical
model simulations of trade reform proposals for the country. The results observed show that
trade reforms can have big effects on the economy, especially considering labor market
imperfections, and these effects are changes in wages, employment and sectoral adjustments.
Also, the work shows trade liberalization can complicate wage inequality. The effect varies
across sectors and regions, being influenced by the characteristics of the labor market. In
addition, this study delves into the particular adjustments of each sector following regional
trade agreements such as NAFTA or Mercosur. And, each sector responds differently to trade
interactions between labor market regulations and trade expansion may explain the increase
Lee (2017) made an investigation whose main objective was to identify the changes in
the inequality of wage in the Korean manufacture and which factors affected them in the last
30 years. The methodology used was a decomposition method, it was to inspect the variations
wages in the sector and between the sector, inside the Korean manufacture between the
period 1980-2012. The analytical results showed and confirmed that the variation of the wage
inside the sector explains a great part of the wage inequality. The result indicated that the
wage inequality inside the Korean manufacturing sector is impacted by labor market
conditions, technological change biased towards skills and international trade. Also, the
results indicated that around the mid-90’s there was an anatomical change in determinants of
wage inequality. Over the last 20 years, the international trade influence on wage dispersion
perspective on international trade to quantify the distributional effects. The Roy model was
used in the analysis; where the absolute advantage and comparative advantage is
heterogeneous for workers. The results indicated that the fall in wage inequality in Brazil in
the period 1991 and 2010 is represented by shocks in world prices of raw materials at a rate
of 5% and 10%. Finally, it was concluded that global demand shocks for commodities have a
distributional impact similar to that of tariff shocks. This analysis highlights the importance
change and automation on wage differentials in international trade patterns. The results
showed that it is possible to analyze technical change through the skills of the labor factor, it
means an increase in the relative supply of skilled workers stimulates the productivity of
capital, thereby increasing wage premia relative to their skills. Conversely, they also showed
capital, leading to low wages. This causes a reversal of the standard effects of the Heckscher-
Ohlin model with respect to predicting trade patterns based on relative factor endowments.
Finally, this investigation concluded that external effects such as firm-level technologies can
cause the induced improvements in capital factor productivity to be high, which outweigh the
direct negative effect on wage premiums as a countermeasure to the lack of qualified skills
Bajona, C., & Kehoe, T. J. (2010), explains about trade, growth, and convergence in
the Hecksher-Ohlin dynamic model with its objective of evidencing through equations of
economic growth models about the convergence of income distribution in an open economy,
model of Hecksher-Ohlin, comparing intensive factors and investment goods. The results
consider that the greater the free trade, the greater the profits for the countries, but there is a
greater divergence in the income of the countries. In his study, he considers that the
Hecksher-Ohlin model cannot measure some important factors in the pattern of trade.
Therefore, it is suggested that it is crucial to implement the use of differentiation in the labor
effectiveness of countries.
Jones (2014) developed a work that studies how the comparison between trade models
is affected by the magnitude of shocks that generate new equilibrium. This work used a
comparative static analysis to see how changes in good prices and factor endowments affect
equilibrium positions in international trade patterns. Also, the study used calculus techniques
to evaluate the models, with focus on the differences between them. The results show that in
the case of infinitesimal changes, the HO model does not consider the relevance of industry
or technological flexibility in determining factor prices, but these become significant in the
case of finite changes, and the model can adapt endogenously as production patterns change.
In addition, this work says that technological differences between goods, such as the factor of
substitution, become important when the economy specializes in the production of a single
good. Finally, this work shows that both models assess the classification of industries
according to their factor intensity, but it differs in how this affects the variation in wages. In
the Specific Factors model, an increase in the price of a good raises wages more if the good is
more labor intensive, while in the HO model, the wage increase decreases as the difference
cooperate in international trade discussion, to provide evidence that the diversification cones
model is strong when explaining the inequality in wages inside developing countries. The
work employed the application of a model that separates states of Brazil in two cones;
through the samples of 1997 and 2007 of eighteen manufacturing industries in a ISUR
econometric model. The wage inequality was measured between cones. The result showed
that for the model suitability the salary equation is key. It also showed that in the industries in
the years analyzed, the real wages inequality didn’t perform a relevant change in patterns.
Additionally, the results showed that, as the wage variation is larger, the correct estimation of
the 2-cone model is possible thanks to the addition of the wage equation. The investigation
concluded that for the sample, the 2-cone model is valid and effective when estimating the
wage inequality and forecasting how the development will direct inside industries with
differences in the intensity of the capital per labor ratio. It was also concluded and
demonstrated the sensibility of the estimations according to the exclusion of the wage
equation. The investigation concluded that there was not found a relevant change in patterns
Theory
According to Krugman, et al. (2012), the Heckscher-Ohlin model says that differences
in the factor endowments of production, labor and capital, determine which products each
country is going to export or import (p.91). Taking into account Brazil and Peru specifically,
both countries have different endowments of capital and labor in their economic sectors. In
Brazil, the energy sector is capital intensive and in Peru, the agricultural sector is more labor-
intensive. So, according to the model, Brazil should export capital intensive products, such as
those in the energy sector, and Peru should export more labor-intensive goods, such as
agricultural products. This specialization influences wages in each sector, so sectors that use
the abundant factor more intensively, like capital in Brazil and labor in Peru, could have
higher wages.
Wages
According to Krugman & Wellls (2009), wages are the amount of money given in
exchange to the workforce (p.210). In addition, they describe that wages can be charged by
time frequency, such as per hour, per day, per week or per unit of work performed and these
are crucial production factors because they are part of the cost of companies, and are key to
Peru is a country that stands out for its agricultural production, with coffee being the
second most important agricultural export product of Peru. According to Comex (2022), in
2022 Coffee exportation generated US$ 1,234 million, which is equivalent to approximately
8.5% of agricultural GDP (p.7) It has also contributed significantly to generate employment
and income for more than 2 million people, mainly in rural areas.
In relation to labor, as production is centered in rural areas, the labor force has a lot of
people and tends to be low-skilled and receives relatively low wages, and wages are volatile
On the other hand, international prices influence the ability to pay in the Peruvian
coffee sector. According to National Coffee Board (2022), state that when international
coffee prices are high, coffee growers obtain higher incomes and can invest in better-paid
labor, directly impacting wages (p.20). That is, wages are prone to international market
volatility.
CONAVIDA (2020), in Peru various programs are implemented with the aim of boosting
productivity, employment and improving the quality of coffee. One of the most important
programs are: “Sierra Exportadora Program” and “National Coffee and Cocoa Program”.
Wages in the energy sector of Brazil:
Brazil is renowned for its oil production and stands as the world's third-largest crude
oil exporter, trailing behind Saudi Arabia and Russia. According to Mordor Intelligence
(2024), Brazil's daily oil production amounted to 3.7 million barrels and 131,325 thousand
cubic meters (parr.6). Also, according to OEC (2022), in 2022 Brazil exported $12.9MM in
refined oil. Brazil has this great production and export capacity because it presents great oil
development technologies, causing the expansion of production in the pre-salt and the
growing demand for energy, which allows them to work on 30 oil projects a year by 2023.
Wages in Brazil's oil sector are higher than the national average. According to
Bnamericas (2013), Brazil's salary is the best with an average permanent salary for a national
employee in the industry was US$111,000, higher than Argentina with US$94,200, Colombia
with an average pay of US$81,700, Venezuela with average salaries of US$66,200 and
This high amount of wages per year is because workers are specialized, well
educated and experienced in areas such as safety, environmental management and oil
regulations. In other words, in Brazil, there is a high demand for skilled labor and a low labor
between 2010 and 2015 to attract new workers (p.8). This high qualification of Brazilian
Exports
Exports are the transfer of goods from one country to another outside the borders.
According to Krugman, et al. (2012) explains that exports are the shipment of good from a
country that specializes in this good due to having a comparative advantage in production
compared to other countries (p.25). In addition, the increase in exports generates an
Labor
According to Harvey (1980), labor refers to the work people do, with their bodies and
their minds, to make things. It’s not just about getting paid, how people feel about their jobs
and their loyalty to their employers also play a big role (p. 176).
Labor demand
According to Sapsford & Tzannatos (1993), labor demand is the number that
businesses want to hire at a given wage and within a given time period. It’s about needing
Labor supply
According to Sapsford & Tzannatos (1993), labor supply refers to the total number of
work hours available for hire within a given time frame. It depends on factors like the size of
the labor force available, including those who actively seek employment, and the willingness
of individuals to offer their time for work once they are part of the labor force (p. 7).
Capital
According to Hall (2023), capital includes assets like physical tools, plants, and
equipment that improve work productivity. The utilization of these leads to increased
Objectives
General objective:
A comparative analysis between the economic structure and factor endowment with
workers' wages in the agricultural and energy sector of Peru and Brazil from 2000 to 2019.
Specific objectives:
focusing on coffee production, with the variation of wages from 2000 to 2019.
A comparative analysis between capital investment in Brazil’s energy sector, given its
capital-intensive nature and oil production, with the evolution of wages in that sector between
Method
numerical data related to predefined variables (Dominguez, 2007). It will be based on the
collection and analysis of numerical and statistical data related with the wage disparities in
the agriculture and energetic sectors in Peru and Brazil during the period of 2000-2019.
knowledge, with the sole purpose of increasing the understanding of a specific reality
(Álvarez, 2020). This investigation aims to deepen the theoretical and conceptual
understanding of wage disparities in the agricultural and energy sectors of Brazil and Peru.
Investigation design.
focuses on analyzing the evolution or variation of one or several variables, as well as the
interactions between them (Agundelo et al., 2008). For example, it could be said that there
are significant changes and trends in wage disparities between agricultural and energy sectors
The design proposed for this research is characterized as a trend design because it
aims to observe and analyze changes in wage disparities over time by collecting and
Table 1.
Conceptual definition of variables
Sample investigation.
An intentional sample will be used that covers the years 2000 to 2019, composed of 4
variables and 19 observations, all belonging to the national and foreign territory.
Tabla 2.
Instruments and techniques
Instruments Description
Methodology
Figure 1
Coffee price line graph
The graph below illustrates coffee prices from 2000 to 2019, with all values converted
by the natural logarithm to visualize percentage changes. From 2000 to 2011, coffee prices
increased exponentially. They represent a tremendous percentage rise arising from reasons
attached to global supply and demand, besides prevailing weather conditions. There are
significant fluctuations following from the figures after 2011; e.g., an increase of one unit in
the log of the price equals about 2.718-fold in the practical price, and a decrease of 0.5 in the
The graph below shows the development of oil prices during 2000–2019 in natural
logarithm values. From 2000 to around 2010, oil prices grew exponentially, with a very high
percentage of growth being shown. This was mainly due to changing global supply-demand
dynamics and a change in geopolitical factors. After 2010, there is significant volatility; for
example, a drop from 4.5 to 4 in the logarithm implies a 39% decrease in actual prices.
Figure 3
Private Investment in the Peruvian Agriculture line graph
Note: Own work.
agriculture from 2000 to 2019 in Peru. There was a sharp decline from 2000 to 2005, some
fluctuation from 2005 to 2010, followed the decreasing trend till 2019, but at the lowest level
over the whole period. This means significant challenges in mobilizing private capital into the
Figure 4
Private Investment in the Brazilian Energy line graph
Note: Own work.
The following chart shows the private investment in US dollars, including those in the
Brazilian energy segment, from 2000 to 2019. Private investment is highly volatile, featuring
significant peaks in 2005, 2010, 2012, and 2019, with substantial crests and sharp declines
around 2013 and 2015. That means the economic scenario fluctuated, and investor confidence
Figure 5
Number of workers in the agriculture sector of Peru line graph
Note: Own work.
The graph above reflects the percentage of total workers in Peru's agricultural sector
from 2000 to 2019. Overall, there is a noticeable decline, but mainly from 2000 to 2010,
showing a shift from the industry. This has slowed down after 2010 and exhibited small
Figure 6
Number of workers in the energy sector of Brazil line graph
Note: Own work.
Total workers employed in the Brazilian energy sector from the year 2000 up to the
year 2019 have been accounted for in percentage. The percentage increased steadily from the
year 2000 up to around 2013, whereby it suddenly dropped in the rate, which continued to
fall until the year 2019. An increase is shown in the employment share in the energy sector,
Figure 7
The graph shows the logarithm of wages in Peru's agricultural sector from 2000 to
2019. Wages grew exponentially from 2000 to 2010, peaked around 2010, and then slightly
declined from 2011 to 2015. After 2015, wages stabilized and showed a gradual increase
towards 2019.
Figure 8
Wages in the energy sector of Brazil line graph
Figure 9
Capital per capita of the agriculture sector line graph
The graph shows the logarithm of capital per capita in Peru's agriculture sector from
2000 to 2019. From 2000 to 2010, capital per capita is relatively stable, with some
fluctuations. It peaks around 2010, then declines significantly after 2012, reaching the lowest
point by 2019. This indicates a major reduction in investment per worker in the agricultural
sector.
Figure 10
The following is a graph of the log of capital per capita in Brazil's energy sector in the
2000-2019. There is a noticeable variation in capital per capita, with high peaks around 2005,
2010, and 2013 and sharp declines around 2003, 2008, and after 2013. In essence, the graph
shows that there has been high volatility in investment per worker in the energy sector.
Normality
Shapiro - wilk
Table 1
The Shapiro-Wilk test shows that coffee prices follow a normal distribution because
its p-value is 0.22353 which is greater than 0.05.
Figure 11
The following histogram of the coffee price histogram is evident from a normal
distribution, as symmetry is observed around the mean (μ) which is 7.50. In addition,
unimodal characteristics and asymptotes are observed, as the curve approaches the horizontal
Table 2
The Shapiro-Wilk test shows that oil prices follow a normal distribution because its p-
value is 0.30452 which is greater than 0.05.
Figure 12
The following histogram of the Oil price histogram is evident from a normal
distribution, as symmetry is observed around the mean (μ) which is 3.50. In addition,
unimodal characteristics and asymptotes are observed, as the curve approaches the horizontal
Table 3
The Shapiro-Wilk test shows that Private Investment in Peruvian Agriculture follows
a normal distribution because its p-value is 0.49979 which is greater than 0.05.
Figure 13
distribution, as symmetry is observed around the mean (μ) which is 0.015. In addition,
unimodal characteristics and asymptotes are observed, as the curve approaches the horizontal
Table 3
The Shapiro-Wilk test shows that Private Investment in Brazil energy does not have a
normal distribution because its p-value is 0.02199 which is lower than 0.05.
Figure 14
distribution, as symmetry is observed around the mean (μ) which is 0.015. In addition,
unimodal characteristics and asymptotes are observed, as the curve approaches the horizontal
Table 4
The Shapiro-Wilk test shows the Number of workers in the agriculture sector of Peru
does not follow a normal distribution because its p-value is 0.00362 which is lower than 0.05.
Figure 15
Histogram of Number of workers in the agriculture sector of Peru
The following histogram of the price of the number of workers in the agriculture
sector of Peru shows that it does not have a normal distribution, as it shows a skewness to the
right, the peak displaced from the mean and the asymmetric slope of the curve.
Table 5
The Shapiro-Wilk test shows the Number of workers in the energy sector of Brazil
follow a normal distribution because its p-value is 0.12341 which is lower than 0.05.
Figure 16
distribution, as symmetry is observed around the mean (μ) which is 0.03 distributed on both
sides of this value. In addition, unimodal characteristics and asymptotes are observed, as the
curve approaches the horizontal axis when it moves away from the mean.
Table 6
The Shapiro-Wilk test shows the Number of Wages in the agricultural sector does not
follow a normal distribution because its p-value is 0.01601 which is greater than 0.05.
Figure 17
The following histogram of the Wages in the agriculture sector of Peru shows that it
does not have a normal distribution, as it shows a skewness to the right, the peak displaced
Table 7
The Shapiro-Wilk test shows the Number of Wages in the energy sector of Brazil
does follow a normal distribution because its p-value is 0.18283 which is greater than 0.05.
Figure 18
The following histogram of the price of the wages in the agriculture sector of Brazil
shows that it does not have a normal distribution, as it shows a skewness to the right, the peak
displaced from the mean and the asymmetric slope of the curve.
Table 8
The Shapiro-Wilk test shows the Number of Capital per capita of the agriculture
sector of Peru follows a normal distribution because its p-value is 0.13229 which is greater
than 0.05.
Figure 19
Table 9
The Shapiro-Wilk test shows the Capital per capita of the energy sector of Brazil
follows a normal distribution because its p-value is 0.79632 which is greater than 0.05.
Figure 20
The following histogram of Capital per capita of Energy sector is evident a normal
distribution, as symmetry is observed around the mean (μ) which is 11 and distributed on
both sides of this value. In addition, unimodal characteristics and asymptotes are observed, as
the curve approaches the horizontal axis when it moves away from the mean.
Correlation Tests
The Pearson correlation test is used when both variables have a normal distribution.
This test measures the strength and direction of the linear relationship between two
continuous variables. The Pearson correlation coefficient (r) can range from -1 to 1, where:
r= 0: No correlation
Table 10
Pearson's correlation between Wages in the Agriculture Sector of Peru and Private
investment in the agriculture industry
In the Pearson correlation test, it is evident that the p-value (0.000) is less than 0.05,
so there is correlation between the variables. However, the value of 0.8708 is a negative
Figure 26
Scatter line graph between Wages in the agricultural sector and Private investment in the
agriculture industry
Note: Own work.
Table 11
Pearson's correlation between Wages in the Agriculture Sector of Peru and Coffee Price
In the Pearson correlation test, it is evident that the p-value (0.000) is less than 0.05,
so there is correlation between the variables. In addition, the value of 0.9057 being a positive
value would mean that the correlation is positive and direct.
Figure 27
Scatter line graph between Wages in the Agriculture Sector of Peru and Coffee Price
Table 12
Pearson's correlation between Private investment in the agriculture industry and Coffee
Price
In the Pearson correlation test, it is evident that the p-value (0.0001) is less than 0.05,
which means that there is a correlation. In addition, the value of 0.7706 is a negative value,
which means that the correlation is negative and indirect.
Figure 28
Scatter line graph between Private Investment in the Peruvian Agriculture and Coffee Price
Note: Own work.
Table 13
Pearson's correlation between Wages in the energy sector of Brazil and Oil Price
In the Pearson correlation test, it is shown that the p-value (0.0015) is less than 0.05,
so there is correlation between the variables. In addition, the value of 0.6601 being a positive
value would mean that the correlation is positive and direct.
Figure 29
Scatter line graph between Wages in the energy sector of Brazil and Oil price
Note: Own work.
Table 14
Pearson's correlation between Wages in the energy sector and Number of workers in the
energy sector of Brazil
In the Pearson correlation test, it is evident that the p-value (0.0006) is less than 0.05,
so there is correlation between the variables. In addition, the value of 0.6988 being a positive
value would mean that the correlation is positive and direct.
Figure 30
Scatter line graph between Wages in the energy sector of Brazil and Number of workers in
the energy sector of Brazil
Note: Own work.
Table 15
Pearson's correlation between Number of workers in the energy sector of Brazil and Oil
Price
In the Pearson correlation test, it is evident that the p-value (0.0031) is less than 0.05,
so there is correlation between the variables. In addition, the value of 0.6261 being a positive
value would mean that the correlation is positive and direct.
Figure 31
Scatter line graph between Number of workers in the Energy sector of Brazil
Table 16
Pearson's correlation between Capital per capita of the agriculture sector and Wages in the
Agriculture Sector of Peru
In the Pearson correlation test, it is evident that the p-value (0.5449) is more than
0.05, so there is no correlation between the variables. However, the value of 0.7706 is a
negative value, which means that the correlation is negative and indirect.
Figure 32
Scatter line graph between Capital per capita of the agriculture sector and Wages in the
Agriculture Sector of Peru
Table 17
Pearson's correlation between Capital per capita of the energy sector and Wages in the
energy sector of Brazil
In the Pearson correlation test, it is evident that the p-value (0.0002) is less than 0.05,
so there is correlation between the variables. In addition, the value of 0.7330 being a positive
Figure 33
Scatter line graph between Capital per capita of the energy sector and Wages in the energy
sector of Brazil
The Spearman correlation test is used when one or both variables do not have a
normal distribution. This test does not require the variables to have a linear relationship, but
instead evaluates the monotonic relationship between them. The Spearman correlation
coefficient (ρ) also ranges from -1 to 1, similar to the Pearson coefficient.
Table 12
Spearman's correlation between Wages in the Agriculture Sector of Peru and Number of
workers in the agriculture sector of Peru
Note: Own work.
Through the Spearman correlation test, it is shown that the t probabilities are less than
0.05 that means that they are correlated, and the rho value (0.8902) is negative so it has a
negative correlation.
Figure 34
Scatter line graph between Wages in the Agriculture Sector of Peru and Number of workers
in the agriculture sector of Peru
Table 19
Spearman's correlation between Private Investment in the Peruvian Agriculture and Number
of workers in the agriculture sector of Peru
Note: Own work.
In Spearman's correlation test, it is evident that the t-probabilities (0.000) are less than
0.05, so there is a correlation. However, the rho value (0.8997) is positive, so it determines
that it has a positive and direct correlation.
Figure 35
Scatter line graph between Private investment in the agriculture industry and Number of
workers in the agriculture sector of Peru
Table 20
Spearman's correlation between Number of workers in the Agriculture Sector of Peru and
Coffee Price
Note: Own work.
In Spearman's correlation test, it is shown that the t-probability is less than 0.05 which
means that there is correlation and the rho value (0.7038) is negative so it has a negative
indirect correlation.
Figure 36
Scatter line graph between Number of workers in the agriculture sector of Peru and Coffee
Price
Table 21
Spearman's correlation between Wages in the Energy Sector of Brazil and Private
Investment in the energy sector of Brazil
Note: Own work.
In Spearman's correlation test, it is shown that the t-probability (0.5144) is more than
0.05 which means that there is no correlation and the rho value (0.1549) is positive so it has a
positive direct correlation.
Figure 37
Scatter line graph between Wages in the energy sector of Brazil and Private Investment in
the Brazilian Energy
Table 22
Spearman's correlation between Private Investment in the energy sector of Brazil and Oil
Price
In Spearman's correlation test, it is noted that the t-probability (0.9348) is greater than
0.05 which means that these variables are not correlated. Also, the rho value (0.0195) is
positive, so it has a positive and direct correlation.
Figure 38
Scatter line graph between Private investment in the Brazilian Energy and Oil price
Table 23
Spearman's correlation between Private Investment in the energy sector of Brazil and
Number of workers in the Oil Sector
In Spearman's correlation test, it is shown that the t-probability (0.6045) is more than
0.05 which means that there is no correlation and the rho value (-0.1233) is negative so it has
a negative indirect correlation.
Figure 39
Scatter line graph between Private investment in the Brazilian Energy and Number of
workers in the Energy sector of Brazil
Note: Own work.
Conclusions
In the agriculture sector of Peru, there was found a significant negative correlation (-
0.8708) between wages and private investment, this indicates that if private investment
increases, wages in the agriculture sector would decline. One of the possible explanations is
the substitution of labor by technology and mechanization, which, despite increasing
productivity, allowed less dependence on intensive labor. In addition, there was a very
significant positive correlation (0.9057) between wages in the agriculture sector and the price
of coffee. On the other hand, private investment in the agriculture sector showed a significant
negative correlation (-0.7706) with the price of coffee, suggesting improvements in efficiency
and productivity costs and international coffee prices. So, these findings are consistent with
the Heckscher Ohlin model, which says that countries specialize in the production of goods
that intensively use their most abundant factor of production. In the case of Peru, the labor-
intensive agriculture sector is highly influenced by international coffee prices and investment
in technology.
The relation between the factor endowments and wages in Peru show important
differences in economic and employment terms. Farmers in Peru, particularly in coffee
production, enjoy a large amount of labor. With a large number of workers available, wages
must decrease, especially in low pay and undeclared work. Although employment in the
agriculture sector has increased, pay has not increased too. In addition, the graphs and scatter
plots indicate a correlation between the two factors of employment and fluctuating wages. As
a result, Peru’s agricultural economy, which is mainly based on the export of primary
products, does not leave many opportunities for value addition and does not contribute to
wage increases. However, economic policies that can promote industrialization and training
can change this situation, and then wages in the sector will also increase.
In the case of Brazil, the situation in the energy sector is significantly different due to
the high capital intensity. The high return in terms of technology and machinery resulted in
high productivity and high wages, which is also confirmed by the support of the correlation
test and scatter plots. Moreover, this economic difference does not only affect these countries,
but also international trade and competition. For instance, countries with capital intensive
sectors such as Brazil will have an advantage in negotiations and a greater impact on other
foreign markets.
Recommendations
Bnamericas (2023, april 5). Brasil paga los salarios más altos en sector petrogasífero,
México los más bajos. https://www.bnamericas.com/es/noticias/brasil-paga-los-salarios-mas-
altos-en-sector-petrogasifero-mexico-los-mas-bajos
Brazil - Oil and Gas. (2023, 4 diciembre). International Trade Administration | Trade.gov.
https://www.trade.gov/country-commercial-guides/brazil-oil-and-gas
Bussolo, M. (2002). Veyron Heckscher Ohlin: trade and labor market interactions in a case
study for Chile. Journal of Policy Modeling, 24(7-8), 639-666.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0161-8938(02)00167-9.
Bajona, C., & Kehoe, T. J. (2010). Trade, growth, and convergence in a dynamic Heckscher–
Ohlin model. Review Of Economic Dynamics, 13(3), 487-513.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2010.05.002
Decreto Supremo N.º 017-2021. (2021). Decreto supremo que aprueba la política nacional
agraria 2021-2030. https://cdn.www.gob.pe/uploads/document/file/2071814/DECRETO
%20SUPREMO%2017-2021-MIDAGRI.pdf
Del Carpio, X. (2018, August 16). How low human capital can limit productivity
improvements. Examples from Turkey and Peru. World Bank Blogs.
https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/education/how-low-human-capital-can-limit-productivity-
improvements-examples-turkey-and-peru
Escuela de Gestión Pública de la Universidad del Pacífico (2022). Evidencia para una Nueva
Observatorio/AllItems/Informe%20de%20Evidencia%20sector%20Agropecuario%20-
%20EGP.pdf
Harvey, J. (1980). Labour. In The Organisation in its Environment. (pp. 176-196). Palgrave,
London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-16302-1_11
Krugman, P., Obstfeld, M. & Melitz, M. (2012). International Economics: Theory and Policy
(9th ed.). Pearson.
Lee, Siwok, 2017. “International trade and within-sector wage inequality: The case of South
Korea.” Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol, 48(C), pages 38-47.
10.1016/j.asieco.2016.11.001a
Lu, M. (2020, Sep 2). Is the American Dream over? Here’s what the data says. World
Economic Forum. https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/09/social-mobility-upwards-
decline-usa-us-america-economics/
Mendes, A. & Teixeira C. (2018). Petróleo e Gas Natural. Banco Nacional de
Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social.
https://bibliotecadigital.economia.gov.br/handle/123456789/526588
Sapsford, D. & Tzannatos, Z. (1993). Labour Demand: The Basic Model. In: The Economics
of the Labour Market. Text in Economics. (pp. 109-134). Palgrave, London.
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-22825-6_5
Sapsford, D. & Tzannatos, Z. (1993). Labour Supply: The Basic Model. In: The Economics
of the Labour Market. Texts in Economics. (pp. 7-44). Palgrave, London.
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-22825-6_2
Peeters, J., & Vaal, A. D. (2000). Explaining the wage gap: Heckscher-Ohlin, economic
geography and services availability. s.n.
Wacker, K. (2010). The Influence of Trade with the EU-15 on Wages in the Czech Republic,
Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia between 1997 and 2005. FIW Working Paper, No. 47, FIW -
Research Centre International Economics, Vienna.
Hu, Y., Kemp, M. C., & Shimomura, K. (2008). A two-country dynamic Heckscher–Ohlin
model with physical and human capital accumulation. Economic Theory, 41(1), 67–84.
doi:10.1007/s00199-008-0413-1
Raa, T. ten, & Chakraborty, D. (1991). Indian Comparative Advantage vis-à-vis Europe as
Revealed by Linear Programming of the Two Economies. Economic Systems Research, 3(2),
111–150. doi:10.1080/09535319100000012
Matano, A., & Naticchioni, P. (2010). Trade and Wage Inequality: Local versus Global
Comparative Advantages. The World Economy, 33(12), 1757–1787. doi:10.1111/j.1467-
9701.2010.01293.x
Carbajal, C. (2019). The Manufacturing Wage Gap. Norteamérica, Revista Académica Del
CISAN-UNAM, 14(2).
Inequality.Scopus.10.1093/restud/rdab025
Saltiel, F & . Urzúa, S(2017) The Effect of the minimum wage on employment in
https://scioteca.caf.com/bitstream/handle/123456789/1109/Saltiel_Urz
%C3%BAa_oct2017.pdf
https://repositorio.ulima.edu.pe/handle/20.500.12724/10818?locale-attribute=es
https://lup.lub.lu.se/luur/download?
func=downloadFile&recordOId=1848561&fileOId=1973558
Jones, R. W. (2014). Heckscher–Ohlin and specific-factors trade models for finite changes:
how different are they? International Review of Economics & Finance, 29, 650–659.
doi:10.1016/j.iref.2013.09.001
and wage inequality for the states of Brazil. International Economics, 152, 55-62.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inteco.2017.08.001
León.https://medioambiente.jcyl.es/web/es/planificacion-indicadores-cartografia/renta-
capita.html#:~:text=El%20indicador%20muestra%20la%20relaci%C3%B3n,y%20su
%20cantidad%20de%20habitantes.&text=Se%20trata%20de%20un%20indicador%20com
%C3%BAnmente%20utilizado%20para%20estimar%20la%20riqueza%20econ
%C3%B3mica
and necessary.Oxfam.https://www-cdn.oxfam.org/s3fs-public/file_attachments/dp-private-
investment-in-agriculture-250912-es_0.pdf
Argentina.Cepal,1154.https://www.cepal.org/es/publicaciones/7444-determinantes-la-
inversion-sector-petroleo-gas-la-argentina
Obstfeld, M., Maurice, Milesi-Ferretti , G., Arezki, R. (2016)Oil prices and the global
D8A7-499A-81BA-5B332C01F8B9&ss=1390030341854
International Labor Organization. (2022). Agricultural wage earners: poor among the rural
poor.https://www.ilo.org/es/resource/news/asalariados-agricolas-pobres-entre-los-pobres-del-
campo#:~:text=Adem%C3%A1s%20de%20percibir%20bajos%20salarios,durante%20dichos
%20per%C3%ADodos%20de%20desempleo
geography,163-185.https://www.redalyc.org/journal/3477/347750606001/html/
oil..https://www.trade.gov/country-commercial-guides/brazil-oil-and-gas
website.https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/107451498513689693/pdf/P162084-06-26-
2017-1498513685623.pdf