Market Analysis by Indicators
Market Analysis by Indicators
SU
Whether you’re interested in forex trading, commodities trading or share trading, it can be helpful
to use technical analysis as part of your strategy – and this includes studying various trading
ER
indicators. Trading indicators are mathematical calculations, which are plotted as lines on a price
chart and can help traders identify certain signals and trends within the market.
S
There are different types of trading indicator, including leading indicators and lagging indicators. A
leading indicator is a forecast signal that predicts future price movements, while a lagging indicator
looks at past trends and indicates momentum.
Best trading indicators
patterns.
2
Exponential moving average (EMA)
EMA is another form of moving average. Unlike the SMA, it places a greater weight on recent data
points, making data more responsive to new information. When used with other indicators, EMAs
can help traders confirm significant market moves and gauge their legitimacy.
SU
The most popular exponential moving averages are 12- and 26-day EMAs for short-term averages,
whereas the 50- and 200-day EMAs are used as long-term trend indicators.
PR
EM
E
TR
A
Stochastic oscillator
A stochastic oscillator is an indicator that compares a specific closing price of an asset to a range
D
of its prices over time – showing momentum and trend strength. It uses a scale of 0 to 100. A
reading below 20 generally represents an oversold market and a reading above 80 an overbought
market. However, if a strong trend is present, a correction or rally will not necessarily ensue.
ER
S
3
SU
PR
EM
4
SU
PR
EM
E
TR
A
D
Bollinger bands
A Bollinger band is an indicator that provides a range within which the price of an asset typically
ER
trades. The width of the band increases and decreases to reflect recent volatility. The closer the
bands are to each other – or the ‘narrower’ they are – the lower the perceived volatility of the
financial instrument. The wider the bands, the higher the perceived volatility.
S
Bollinger bands are useful for recognising when an asset is trading outside of its usual levels, and
are used mostly as a method to predict long-term price movements. When a price continually
5
moves outside the upper parameters of the band, it could be overbought, and when it moves below
the lower band, it could be oversold.
SU
PR
EM
An overbought signal suggests that short-term gains may be reaching a point of maturity and
A
assets may be in for a price correction. In contrast, an oversold signal could mean that short-term
declines are reaching maturity and assets may be in for a rally.
D
ER
S
6
SU
PR
EM
E
TR
Fibonacci retracement
Fibonacci retracement is an indicator that can pinpoint the degree to which a market will move
against its current trend. A retracement is when the market experiences a temporary dip – it is also
A
known as a pullback.
D
Traders who think the market is about to make a move often use Fibonacci retracement to confirm
this. This is because it helps to identify possible levels of support and resistance, which could
ER
indicate an upward or downward trend. Because traders can identify levels of support and
resistance with this indicator, it can help them decide where to apply stops and limits, or when to
open and close their positions.
S
7
Ichimoku cloud
The Ichimoku Cloud, like many other technical indicators, identifies support and resistance levels.
However, it also estimates price momentum and provides traders with signals to help them with
their decision-making. The translation of ‘Ichimoku’ is ‘one-look equilibrium chart’ – which is exactly
why this indicator is used by traders who need a lot of information from one chart.
SU
In a nutshell, it identifies market trends, showing current support and resistance levels, and also
forecasting future levels.
PR
EM
E
TR
A
D
ER
S
8
Standard deviation
Standard deviation is an indicator that helps traders measure the size of price moves.
Consequently, they can identify how likely volatility is to affect the price in the future. It cannot
predict whether the price will go up or down, only that it will be affected by volatility.
SU
Standard deviation compares current price movements to historical price movements. Many
traders believe that big price moves follow small price moves, and small price moves follow big
price moves.
PR
EM
E
TR
A
D
ER
S
9
Average directional index (ADX)
The ADX illustrates the strength of a price trend. It works on a scale of 0 to 100, where a reading of
more than 25 is considered a strong trend, and a number below 25 is considered a drift. Traders
can use this information to gather whether an upward or downward trend is likely to continue.
SU
ADX is normally based on a moving average of the price range over 14 days, depending on the
frequency that traders prefer. Note that ADX never shows how a price trend might develop, it
simply indicates the strength of the trend. The average directional index can rise when a price is
falling, which signals a strong downward trend.
PR
EM
E
TR
A
D
What you need to know before using trading indicators
ER
The first rule of using trading indicators is that you should never use an indicator in isolation or use
too many indicators at once. Focus on a few that you think are best suited to what you’re trying to
achieve. You should also use technical indicators alongside your own assessment of the
movements of an asset’s price over time (the ‘price action’).
S
10
It’s important to remember that you have to confirm a signal in some way. If you’re getting a ‘buy’
signal from an indicator and a ‘sell’ signal from the price action, you need to use different
indicators, or different time frames until your signals are confirmed.
Another thing to keep in mind is that you must never lose sight of your trading plan. Your rules for
SU
trading should always be implemented when using indicators.
PR
EM
E
TR
A
D
ER
S
11