Edelweiss Business Cycle Fund - NFO Presentation (1) - 1
Edelweiss Business Cycle Fund - NFO Presentation (1) - 1
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 CAGR
Realty -51% 54% -34% 11% -14% -4% 111% -33% 29% 6% 55% -11% 82% 12%
Capital Goods -47% 37% -4% 52% -8% -2% 41% 0% -9% 13% 55% 17% 68% 17%
Auto -18% 45% 11% 58% 0% 12% 33% -22% -9% 13% 20% 17% 49% 15%
Cons Discr -22% 42% -2% 56% 9% 6% 56% -15% -1% 21% 31% -1% 40% 16%
Utilities -34% 12% -12% 23% -2% 12% 32% -13% -4% 4% 70% 25% 37% 12%
Pharma & HC -9% 33% 27% 44% 10% -14% -6% -7% -9% 62% 11% -11% 35% 11%
Telecom -16% -3% 19% 10% 3% -21% 51% -39% 14% 14% 43% -3% 31% 7%
FMCG 10% 51% 13% 20% 1% 5% 31% 15% 0% 15% 12% 20% 31% 16%
IT -17% 0% 60% 20% 2% -5% 15% 26% 11% 58% 62% -24% 26% 16%
Metal -48% 19% -12% 8% -29% 48% 54% -17% -10% 18% 73% 25% 19% 12%
Financial Services -29% 54% -6% 59% -4% 6% 43% 11% 26% 5% 15% 10% 14% 16%
Nifty 500 TRI -26% 33% 5% 39% 0% 5% 38% -2% 9% 18% 32% 4% 27% 15%
Source: NSE and BSE indices data, ACEMF and Edelweiss internal analysis. Sectors have been sorted basis 2023 returns. Calendar year returns provided above. Past performance is not an
indicator of future performance. HC = Healthcare 2
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
70
120
170
220
270
370
320
Dec-14
Dec-12
Jun-13 May-15
Dec-13 Oct-15
Jun-14 Mar-16
Dec-14 Aug-16
Jun-15
Jan-17
Dec-15
IT
Auto
Jun-17
Jun-16
Dec-16 Nov-17
Jun-17 Apr-18
Dec-17 Sep-18
Jun-18 Feb-19
Dec-18
Jul-19
Jun-19
Dec-19
Dec-19
90
70
110
150
170
130
190
90
70
110
130
150
170
190
Dec-13 Dec-12
Mar-13
May-14
Jun-13
Oct-14
Sep-13
Mar-15
Dec-13
Aug-15 Mar-14
Jan-16 Jun-14
Jun-16 Sep-14
Nov-16 Dec-14
PHARMA
Apr-17 Mar-15
Every business goes through its cycle
Jun-15
Financial Services
Sep-17
Sep-15
Feb-18
Dec-15
Jul-18
Mar-16
Dec-18
Jun-16
May-19 Sep-16
Oct-19 Dec-16
50
90
100
200
250
300
100
110
120
130
140
150
150
Dec-20 Dec-13
Mar-21 Mar-14
Jun-21 Jun-14
Sep-21 Sep-14
Dec-21
Dec-14
Mar-22
Mar-15
Source: NSE and BSE indices data, ACEMF and Edelweiss internal analysis. Index levels rebased to 100 for the respective periods chosen for each sector. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance.
Jun-22
FMCG
Jun-15
Realty
Sep-22
Sep-15
Dec-22
Dec-15
Mar-23
Jun-23 Mar-16
An effective investment strategy is required to capture the up cycle and avoid the down cycle.
Sep-23 Jun-16
Dec-23 Sep-16
Mar-24 Dec-16
3
Traditional approach to identify business cycles
Full Recovery
Weaknesses of this
1. Identify Macro- Early Recession approach
economic cycle
Early Recovery
Macroeconomic conditions
Full Recession
may change rapidly
The above is for illustration only. The sectors/stocks mentioned should not be construed as a recommendation and the fund may or may not have exposure to these stocks currently or in the
future. 4
Most diversified portfolios miss business cycles
Financial Services 33 35 37 38 29 29 30 23 30 28 32 28 32 29 32 28
Information Technology 8 6 12 8 12 13 8 7 11 9 6 5 13 14 11 10
Healthcare 8 6 9 13 3 3 3 4 5 5 3 3 5 5 5 5
Capital Goods 7 7 7 6 5 7 9 12 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 5
Power 10 8 6 5 - - - 1 1 2 2 3 2 3 3 4
Construction 6 5 3 1 4 4 5 5 3 3 3 4 2 2 3 3
6
What is Factor investing?
Factor investing involves selecting stocks based on certain characteristics that are believed to contribute to
their performance.
7
Key factors that drive stock returns
An investment factor is a specific feature of a security that explains its risk and expected return.
The stocks mentioned should not be construed as a recommendation and the fund may or may not have exposure to these stocks currently or in the future. 8
An informed way of identifying business cycles
1. Identify factors
driving stock Quality Growth Momentum
returns
3. Arrive at Banks
Industrials
sectors doing well Auto Early Recession
Full Recession
The above is for illustration purpose only. It demonstrates identification of business cycles using factor investing approach. The stocks mentioned should not be construed 9
as a recommendation and the fund may or may not have exposure to these stocks currently or in the future.
Factor tilts vary across periods
Nifty 500 calendar year returns
39% 38%
33% 32%
27%
18%
9%
5% 5% 4%
0%
-2%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Growth Momentum Value Momentum Quality Growth Momentum Growth Quality Momentum Momentum Value
Quality Growth Growth Growth Growth Value Growth Quality Growth Quality Growth Growth
Value Value Quality Value Momentum Quality Value Value Value Value Quality Quality
Factor tilts are provided basis an internal model on top 500 stocks. 10
Introducing
*Factor investing approach is based on internal proprietary model mentioned in the SID 11
Introducing Edelweiss Business Cycle Fund
A factor-based approach to capture trends in business cycles
Investment Philosophy
Factor investing approach is based on internal proprietary model mentioned in the SID 12
Factors used in the process
The Edelweiss Business Cycle Fund evaluates businesses combining Momentum with
other factors
Momentum
Value Price performance of last 3 and 12- Quality
P/E, P/B, months ROE, ROCE, Standard deviation
EV/EBITDA, Dividend yield
Growth
EPS, Operating Profit & Sales growth
13
Stock selection process using factors
STEPS PROCESS
14
Back-testing of proprietary model performance
Strategy performance
Nifty 500 TRI
(back-tested)
Data as on 31st May 2024. Performance is based on the back testing of proprietary model gross of expenses. CAGR provided above. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. 15
Strategy has consistently outperformed
Calendar year returns
53%
Strategy performance (back 48% 49%
48%
tested)
38% 39% 38% Nifty 500 TRI
33% 32%
25% 27%
18%
13% 11% 11%
5% 5% 7% 9%
4%
0% 1%
-2%
-6%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Source: Edelweiss internal analysis. Model performance is based on the Back testing of proprietary model, gross of expenses. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. 16
Back-testing of proprietary model performance
Strategy
performance Nifty 500 TRI
5 year rolling returns (back tested)
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Mar-24
Sep-17
Sep-18
Sep-19
Mar-20
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
Sep-23
Nov-16
Jul-17
Nov-17
Jul-18
Nov-18
Jul-19
Nov-19
Jul-20
Nov-20
Jul-21
Nov-21
Jul-22
Nov-22
Jul-23
Nov-23
Jan-17
Jan-18
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-23
Jan-24
May-17
May-18
May-19
May-20
May-21
May-22
May-23
May-24
-5%
Model performance is based on the back testing of proprietary model, gross of expenses. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. Data as on 31st May 2024. 17
Factor based approach leads to a dynamic portfolio
Nifty 500 Index Edelweiss strategy
Static sector allocation (%) dynamic sector allocation (%)
Sector Mar'21 Mar'22 Mar'23 Mar'24 Mar'21 Mar'22 Mar'23 Mar'24
Financial Services 32 29 32 28 9 3 19 22
Information Technology 13 14 11 10 20 25 3 7
Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels 10 11 10 9 1 5 6 8
Fast Moving Consumer Goods 8 7 9 7 6 2 10 3
Automobile and Auto Components 5 4 5 7 2 5 11 11
Healthcare 5 5 5 5 22 9 5 9
Capital Goods 3 3 4 5 6 7 24 5
Power 2 3 3 4 2 6 6 10
Metals & Mining 3 4 3 3 6 9 2 3
Construction 2 2 3 3 0 0 1 1
Consumer Durables 4 4 3 3 8 2 0 5
Consumer Services 2 2 2 3 4 1 0 3
Telecommunication 2 2 2 2 1 3 0 0
Construction Materials 3 2 2 2 3 1 0 0
Top 15 sectors for the index as on March 2024 provided above
Source: ACEMF and Edelweiss internal analysis. Factor based approach is based on internal proprietary model. Sector derived based on back testing of model portfolio 18
Strategy’s dynamic sectoral rotation
100%
Metals & Mining
90%
FMCG
80%
O&G
70%
Utilities
Pharma & HC
60%
Pharma & Healthcare
50%
Technology
Technology
40%
Capital goods Consumer Discretionary
30%
CapGoods
20%
Autos
10% Financials
Financial
0%
Sep-19
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
Sep-23
Mar-19
Jul-19
Mar-20
Jul-20
Mar-21
Jul-21
Mar-22
Jul-22
Mar-23
Jul-23
Mar-24
Nov-18
Nov-19
Nov-20
Nov-21
Nov-22
Nov-23
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-23
Jan-24
May-19
May-20
May-21
May-22
May-23
May-24
Note: Sector allocation of Edelweiss’ internal model demonstrated above for illustration only. Sector derived based on back testing of model portfolio. Data as on 31st May 2024. 19
Illustration: Technology exposure over the years
60,000 50,769 40%
50,000 35%
30%
40,000 25%
15,179
30,000 20,680 20%
6,708 13,619 15%
20,000
10%
10,000 16,216
5%
- 0%
Mar-12
Mar-13
Mar-14
Mar-15
Mar-16
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Mar-24
Nov-11
Jul-12
Nov-12
Jul-13
Nov-13
Jul-14
Nov-14
Jul-15
Nov-15
Jul-16
Nov-16
Jul-17
Nov-17
Jul-18
Nov-18
Jul-19
Nov-19
Jul-20
Nov-20
Jul-21
Nov-21
Nov-22
Jul-23
Nov-23
Jul-22
Allocation NIFTY IT - TRI
After a muted 2012, expanding order In a highly volatile and During and post
book, rising spends on IT in the challenging environment, pandemic, increased
Tailwinds
developed world and fall of the rupee IT among the few sectors focus on
against the US dollar. that performed well. technology.
Note: Sector allocation of Edelweiss’ internal model demonstrated above for illustration only. Source: Edelweiss internal analysis and ACE MF. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. 20
Illustration: Pharma & Healthcare exposure over the years
25,000 45%
40%
20,000 15,507 35%
15,369
8,790 30%
15,000 8,596 25%
10,000 20%
15%
5,000 10%
5%
- 0%
Mar-12
Mar-13
Mar-14
Mar-15
Mar-16
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Mar-24
Nov-11
Jul-12
Nov-12
Jul-13
Nov-13
Jul-14
Nov-14
Jul-15
Nov-15
Jul-16
Nov-16
Jul-17
Nov-17
Jul-18
Nov-18
Jul-19
Nov-19
Jul-20
Nov-20
Jul-21
Nov-21
Jul-22
Nov-22
Jul-23
Nov-23
Allocation NIFTY PHARMA - TRI
Note: Sector allocation of Edelweiss’ internal model demonstrated above for illustration only. Source: Edelweiss internal analysis and ACE MF. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. 21
Illustration: PSU Banks exposure over the years
10,000 9,418 8%
9,000 7%
8,000
6%
7,000
6,000 5%
3,240
5,000 4%
4,000 3%
3,000
2%
2,000
1,000 1%
- 0%
Mar-12
Mar-13
Mar-14
Mar-15
Mar-16
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Mar-24
Nov-11
Jul-12
Nov-12
Jul-13
Nov-13
Jul-14
Nov-14
Jul-15
Nov-15
Jul-16
Nov-16
Jul-17
Nov-17
Jul-18
Nov-18
Jul-19
Nov-19
Jul-20
Nov-20
Jul-21
Nov-21
Jul-22
Nov-22
Jul-23
Nov-23
Allocation NIFTY PSU BANK - TRI
Note: Sector allocation of Edelweiss’ internal model demonstrated above for illustration only. Source: Edelweiss internal analysis and ACE MF. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. 22
Illustration: Auto exposure over the years
30,000 27,921 30%
25,000 25%
20,000 20%
15,046
15,000 10,619 15%
10,000 5,101 10%
5,000 5%
- 0%
Mar-12
Mar-13
Mar-14
Mar-15
Mar-16
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Mar-24
Nov-11
Jul-12
Nov-12
Jul-13
Nov-13
Jul-14
Nov-14
Jul-15
Nov-15
Jul-16
Nov-16
Jul-17
Nov-17
Jul-18
Nov-18
Jul-19
Nov-19
Jul-20
Nov-20
Jul-21
Nov-21
Jul-22
Nov-22
Jul-23
Nov-23
Allocation NIFTY AUTO - TRI
Nov-12
Nov-13
Nov-14
Nov-15
Nov-16
Nov-17
Nov-18
Nov-19
Nov-20
Nov-21
Nov-22
Nov-23
Mar-12
Mar-13
Mar-14
Mar-15
Mar-16
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Mar-24
Jul-12
Jul-13
Jul-14
Jul-15
Jul-16
Jul-17
Jul-18
Jul-19
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-22
Jul-23
Allocation S&P BSE Capital Goods - TRI
Mar-13
Mar-14
Mar-15
Mar-16
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-22
Mar-23
Mar-24
Jul-12
Jul-13
Jul-14
Jul-15
Jul-16
Jul-17
Jul-18
Jul-19
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-22
Jul-23
Nov-11
Nov-12
Nov-13
Nov-14
Nov-15
Nov-16
Nov-17
Nov-18
Nov-19
Nov-20
Nov-21
Nov-22
Nov-23
Allocation NIFTY METAL - TRI
Note: Sector allocation of Edelweiss’ internal model demonstrated above for illustration only. Source: Edelweiss internal analysis and ACE MF. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. 25
Model maintained consistent market cap allocation
At each rebalance, the portfolio has been equally split between large (top 100 stocks by
market cap) and mid/small caps (Next 200 stocks by market cap)
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 H2 2021 H1 2022 H2 2022 H1 2023 H2 2023
Note: Market cap allocation of Edelweiss’ internal model demonstrated above for illustration only. AMFI market cap classification has been used above. 26
Outcome of a diversified portfolio vs Index constitution
0% -1% -2%
-4%
-6%
-7%
-15%
Consumer Durables
Construction
Chemicals
Power
Healthcare
Automobile and Auto
Realty
NBFC
Financials ex Banks and
Telecommunication
Information Technology
Components
Goods
NBFCs
Note: As on 31st May 2024. The data is based on back testing of proprietary model as mentioned in the SID. 27
Stock allocation vs Nifty 500
Note: As on 31st May 2024. The data is based on back testing of proprietary model as mentioned in the SID. 28
Strategy model portfolio details
Data for the model portfolio provided above as on 31st May 2024. This is for illustration purpose only. The Fund may or may not invest in the above stocks in future. The
data is based on back testing of proprietary model as mentioned in the SID. 29
Factor investing expertise
₹ 14,000 cr 15 5
years of applied Factor investment
AUM of factor-based funds quantitative innovation professionals
1
clear investment philosophy
4
Strategies being run
using factors
Note: As on 31st May 2024. The above data is for Edelweiss Balanced Advantage Fund, Edelweiss Aggressive Hybrid Fund, Edelweiss Equity Savings Fund and Edelweiss Large Cap Fund. 30
Our Factor Investing Team
Bharat has 18 years of experience in areas of portfolio management, Bhavesh started his career with Edelweiss Asset Management in
macro and sector research. He has earlier worked with marquee January 2008 and has over 15 years of rich experience in the financial
investment banks and asset management companies. His last markets. He had joined in the Low-Risk Trading team which is
assignment before joining Edelweiss Asset Management Limited was responsible for looking at arbitrage between SGX Nifty and NSE Nifty
with DE Shaw Group, a global hedge fund, as a senior manager along with normal cash-future and index arbitrage.
working on fundamental and quantitative research ideas.
He has done Masters in Management Studies from N.L. Dalmia
He has done Master in Management Studies (MMS) in Finance from Institute – Mumbai University and MBA in Finance also from Mumbai
N.L. Dalmia Institute of Management and Bachelor in Engineering (BE) University.
in Electronics and Telecom from Mumbai University.
For mote details on the asset allocation, please refer the SID available on website.
32
Proven record of running factor-based strategies
Inception date 20th Aug 2009 26th June 2009 26th May 2009
AUM (Rs. cr) 11,300 1,600 900
Quality + Growth;
Quality + Growth +
Dominant factors Trend based Asset Quality + Growth
Momentum
Allocation model
14+ years track record, 15 years track record, 1st
14+ years track record,
proven multi-factor long only fund with
About the strategy 1st pure play trend-based
quant model in equity overlay of factor
asset allocation
stock selection investing
Since inception:
11.04% 12.30% 14.51%
Fund returns
Data as on 31st May 2024. Returns are CAGR. Regular plans considered. Numbers rounded off for ease of reference. 33
Disclaimer
Benchmark Additional Benchmark
Edelweiss Balanced Advantage Fund
(Nifty 50 Hybrid Composite Debt 50:50 Index) (Nifty 50 TR Index)
Period
Value of Rs 10,000 Value of Rs 10,000 Value of Rs 10,000
Returns Returns Returns
Invested Invested Invested
1 Year 23.43% 12,350 14.77% 11,482 22.95% 12,302
3 Years 12.66% 14,304 10.08% 13,342 14.44% 14,991
5 Years 14.30% 19,523 11.63% 17,347 14.93% 20,072
Since Inception 11.04% 47,030 10.68% 44,849 12.92% 60,355
Past performance may or may not be sustained in future and should not be used as a basis for comparison with other investments. Source: Ace-MF, Data as on May 31, 2024 34
Risk-o-meters & Disclaimers
This product is suitable for investors who are seeking*: Scheme Risk-o-meter Benchmark Risk-o-meter
To create wealth over long term and prevent capital erosion in medium term.
Investment predominantly in equity and equity related securities including through arbitrage
opportunities with balance exposure to debt and money market securities.
Edelweiss Balanced NIFTY 50 Hybrid Composite
Advantage Fund Debt 50:50 Index
35
Risk-o-meter & Disclaimers
Edelweiss Business Cycle Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking^:
• Long term capital appreciation
• Investment in equity and equity related instruments with a focus on
navigating business cycles through dynamic allocation between
various sectors and stocks at different stages of business cycles in the
economy.
^Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether
the product is suitable for them.
This document is for information purposes and private circulation only and is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any mutual fund units/ securities or to
have business relations with Sponsor/ AMC/ Trustee Company and its associates or Edelweiss Mutual Fund. These views alone are not sufficient and should not
be used for the development or implementation of an investment strategy. All opinions, figures and estimates included in this document (unless as specified in
the document) are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. It should not be construed as investment advice to any party. Neither Sponsor/ AMC/
Trustee Company and its associates nor Edelweiss Mutual Fund or any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this information.
Utmost care has been exercised while preparing the document, and Sponsor/ AMC/ Trustee Company and its associates or Edelweiss Mutual Fund does not
warrant the completeness or accuracy of the information and disclaims all liabilities, losses and damages arising out of the use of this information. The recipient
of this material should rely on their investigations and take their own professional advice. Investment decisions of the AMC may not always be profitable.
The above is the investment ideology which will be followed by the fund manager. However, this can change based on market dynamics, economic scenarios etc.
For detailed investment strategy, risk factors of the schemes please refer to SID available on website. The representational logos used does not imply any
affiliation or endorsement by the brands. These are for illustration purpose only.
Please click on Factsheet for performance of other funds managed by the fund managers.
Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully. 36
Know more, www.edelweissmf.com
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