Banking Board Academy
Banking Board Academy
The geo-politic and geo-economic risks faced by banks have evolved since the
early 2000s. Banks and their network are operating in a business environment in
which emerging geo-economic forces are interacting with shifting geopolitical
realities. These risks are a growing concern due to the wide-ranging impacts to the
bank’s portfolios and business models from increasingly more interconnected and
frequent events.
First, of course, the fact banks have become more global players. The search for
growth and competitiveness has placed them in new cultural and political
environments with a mechanistic increase in the level of risk, also linked to rapid
developments, the importance of interconnections, and in particular the central
place of infrastructures.
Second, after a situation of confluence between those two risks that shaped
globalization in the 1990s, the international system has moved to a mismatch
between global geo-economics and geo-politics with a growing volatility in the
global political environment, which is another factor of increased risk:
- Globalization in the 1990s was essentially mono-centric, based on the post-
Cold War with North Atlantic being the geo-economic center of the world in
all trade, investment and financial relationships. All international relations
were organized around the G7.
Third, geo-political risks are more and more frequent realities and banks are facing
conflicting situations which may be caused by states (wars and other forms of
conflict between powers, internal conflicts, regulatory stability problems,
expropriation, corruption, extraterritorial sanctions, …) or non-state entities (social
movements, terrorism, cyberattack,...).
These dynamics underscore the need for banks to proactively address strategic
opportunities and risks stemming from geo-politic and geo-economic
risks/challenges/trends. The new environment exposes banks to new risks to their
clients, their supply chain, operational structure, regulatory obligations, and taxes.
Of course, one can say that it is not something new, banks have always faced and
managed those risks, and this is why it is important to recognize that geo-politic
and geo-economic risks influence more the business environment with stronger
potential disruptions.
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These risks need to be managed and this is clearly a corporate governance
issue and therefore also a board’s responsibility.
- that they capture all their operations globally and their possible geopolitical
impacts,
- that the bank’s financial resilience is able to meet these risks,
- that geo-political and geo-economic risks are taken into account in the
bank's strategic vision.
In this respect, boards clearly need to understand how the management is taking
into account these dimensions. How are they addressed? Which framework is
used to identify these risks? Are there scenarios available? How do we reconcile
short and longer “time horizons”? What is the decision making process?
In addition, this may raise questions on how this can affect a global network. What
role for subsidiary board will play versus the holding board? Who owns the
decision making (centralized/decentralized?) and how effective controls look like?
While geo-politic and geo-economic risks have the potential to disrupt, if well
prepared and ready to act, it can create opportunities; another reason for the
board to be involved and to set the tone.
2 – How the board can cultivate competency and readiness around geo-politics
and geo-economics? How this can be linked to the main questions on how to
understand/contribute to the management approach?
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The board should be in a position to consider several questions:
- How do I make sure that our team is fit for purpose here?
- How do I make sure that the strategic decision making processes across
the organization are incorporating both these new risks and opportunities?
- What are the risk appetite frameworks and stress testing around geo-
political and geo-economic challenges?
- And do the above cover funding and liquidity interconnections across the
Banking group?
- How does this affect the bank’s financial model, business model and
operating model?
- Does the board have the visibility? Do you have access to the right
directors or committees?
- Does the board have the right people around the table?