Tornado Intecept Reseach
Tornado Intecept Reseach
FOREWORD ix
NOMENCLATURE xvii
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTORY CHAPTER 1
1.4 Hurricanes 5
1.4.1 Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale 6
1.4.2 The 2005 hurricane season 6
1.4.3 Hurricane Katrina 12
1.4.4 Hurricane whirlwinds (tornados) 18
CHAPTER 2
BRIEF DATA ON CYCLONES (ANTICYCLONES) 45
i
CONTENTS
CHAPTER 3
BRIEF DATA ON WHIRLWINDS 71
ii
TORNADO
CHAPTER 4
BASES OF THE THEORY OF VORTEX MOTION 153
CHAPTER 5
v
CONTENTS
CHAPTER 6
PHYSICAL MODELING OF TORNADOS 229
CHAPTER 7
CONCLUSIONS 293
REFERENCES 299
ANNEX 1 315
ANNEX 2 331
ANNEX 3 347
INDEX 365
vii
FOREWORD
x
TORNADO
xi
FOREWORD
xii
TORNADO
xiii
FOREWORD
xiv
TORNADO
The authors also express their sincere gratitude to Academicians of the Rus-
sian Academy of Sciences V. E. Fortov, A. I. Leontiev, G. A. Filippov, V. A.
Levin, and A. M. Lipanov, Corresponding Members of the Russian Academy
of Sciences V. M. Batenin and Yu. V. Polezhaev, Professor A. F. Polyakov for
support of this work, and to postgraduate students M. A. Gorbachev and Yu.
A. Churov for their involvement in a series of investigations the results of
which are used in this book.
This book was supported by the Russian Science Foundation (Grant no.
14-19-00453).
xv
NOMENCLATURE
Dimensional quantities
xvii
NOMENCLATURE
Greek symbols
xviii
TORNADO
Dimensionless quantities
Greek symbols
Subscripts
∞ value at infinity
0 value at the initial instant of time; on the ground surface;
on the core boundary
c value at the center of the underlying surface
f value on the funnel surface
k value for the k intensity tornado
max maximum value
min minimum value
p value for the probable tornado.
xx
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTORY CHAPTER
299
300 REFЕRENCES
Texas, Tornado of 25 May 1994, Monthly Weather Rev., vol. 125, no. 2, pp.
212–230, 1997.
Bluestein, H. B., Weiss, C. C., and Pazmany, A. L., Mobile Doppler radar
observations of a tornado in a supercell near Basset, Nebraska, on 5 June
1999. Part I. Tornadogenesis, Monthly Weather Rev., vol. 131, no. 12, pp.
2954–2967, 2003.
Bluestein, H. B., Weiss, C. C., and Pazmany, A. L., The vertical structure of
a tornado near Happy, Texas, on 5 May 2002: High-resolution, mobile,
W-band, Doppler radar observations, Monthly Weather Rev., vol. 132, no.
10, pp. 2325–2337, 2004.
Borisov, А. V. and Mamaev, I. S., Poisson’s Structures and Lie Algebra Ham-
iltonian Mechanics, Izhevsk: NITs "Regulyarnaya i Khaotichnaya Dynami-
ka" Press, 1999.
Borisov, А. V., Mamaev, I. S., and Sokolovsky, M. A. (Eds.), Fundamental
and Applied Problems of Vortex Theory, Moscow–Izhevsk: Inst. Kompyut.
Issledovanii Press, 2003.
Brogan, C. L. and Goss, W. M., VLA observations of the eye of the tornado,
the high velocity H II region G357.63-0.06, Astronom. J., vol. 125, no. 1,
pp. 272–276, 2003.
Brooks, E. M., The tornado-cyclone, Weatherwise, vol. 2, no. 2, pp. 32–33,
1949.
Brooks, H. E., On the relationship of tornado path length and width to intensi-
ty, Weather Forecast., vol. 19, no. 2, pp. 310–319, 2004.
Brooks, H. E., Tornado-warning performance in the past and future ― a per-
spective from signal detection theory, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., vol. 85, no.
6, pp. 837–843, 2004.
Brooks, H. E. and Doswell, C. A., Deaths in the 3 May 1999 Oklahoma City
tornado from a historical perspective, Weather Forecast., vol. 17, no. 3, pp.
354–361, 2002.
Brooks, H. E., Doswell, C. A., and Kay, M. P., Climatological estimates of lo-
cal daily tornado probability for the United States, Weather Forecast., vol.
18, no. 4, pp. 626–640, 2003.
Brooks, H. E., Lee, J. W., and Craven, J. P., The spatial distribution of severe
thunderstorm and tornado environments from global reanalysis data, At-
mos. Res., vol. 67-8, SI, pp. 73–94, 2003.
Brown, R. A., Lemon, L. R., and Burgess, D. W. Tornado detection by
pulsed Doppler radar, Monthly Weather Rev., vol. 106, no. 1, pp. 29–38,
1978.
302 REFЕRENCES
Burgess, D. W., Lemon, L. R., and Brown, R. A., Tornado characteristics re-
vealed by Doppler radar, Geophys. Res. Lett., vol. 2, no. 5, pp. 183–184,
1975.
Burgess, D. W., Magsig, M. A., Wurman, J., Dowell, D. C., and Richardson,
Y., Radar observations of the 3 May 1999 Oklahoma City tornado, Weather
Forecast., vol. 17, no. 3, pp. 456–471, 2002.
Capital and country of Old Cathay, Nat. Geogr. Magaz., vol. LXIII, no. 6,
1933.
Case, R. A. and Gerrish, H. P., Atlantic hurricane season of 1983, Monthly
Weather Rev., vol. 112, pp. 1083–1092, 1984.
Case, R. A. and Gerrish, H. P., Atlantic hurricane season of 1987, Monthly
Weather Rev., vol. 116, pp. 939–949, 1988.
Chalmers, A., Synoptic and mesoscale environments in tropical tornado out-
breaks, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., vol. 88, no. 10, pp. 1536–1536, 2007.
Changnon, S. A. and Semonin, R. G., A great tornado disaster in retrospect,
Weatherwise, vol. 19, no. 2, pp. 56–65, 1966.
Church, C. R. and Snow, J. T., The dynamics of natural tornadoes as inferred
from laboratory simulations, J. Rech. Atmos., vol. 12, pp. 111–133, 1979.
Church, C. R., Snow, J. T., and Agee, E. M., Tornado vortex simulation at
Purdue University, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., vol. 58, no. 9, pp. 900–908,
1977.
Davies, J. M., Doswell, C. A., Burgess, D. W., and Weaver, J. F., Some note-
worthy aspects of the Hesston, Kansas, tornado family of 13 March 1990,
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., vol. 75, no. 6, pp. 1007–1017, 1994.
Davies-Jones, R. P., Burgess, D. W., Lemon, L. R., and Purcell, D., Interpre-
tation of surface marks and debris patterns from 24 May 1973 Union-City,
Oklahoma tornado, Monthly Weather Rev., vol. 106, no. 1, pp. 12–21, 1978.
Desrochers, P. R. and Donaldson, R. J., Automatic tornado prediction with an
improved mesocyclone-detection algorithm, Weather Forecast., vol. 7, no.
2, pp. 373–388, 1992.
Dessens, J., Man-made tornadoes, Nature, vol. 193, no. 4810, pp. 12–14, 1962.
Donaldson, R. J. and Donaldson, D. E., Tornado viewing in Corfu, Greece,
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., vol. 66, no. 7, pp. 845–846, 1985.
Doswell, C. A. and Burgess, D. W., On some issues of United-States tornado
climatology, Monthly Weather Rev., vol. 116, no. 2, pp. 495–501, 1988.
Dotzek, N., An updated estimate of tornado occurrence in Europe, Atmos.
Res., vol. 67-8, SI, pp. 153–161, 2003.
TORNADO 303
Dotzek, N., Grieser, J., and Brooks, H. E., Statistical modeling of tornado in-
tensity distributions, Atmos. Res., vol. 67-8, SI, pp. 163–187, 2003.
Dotzek, N., Kurgansky, M. V., Grieser, J., Feuerstein, B., and Nevir, P., Ob-
servational evidence for exponential tornado intensity distributions over
specific kinetic energy, Geophys. Res. Lett., vol. 32, no. 24, Article no.
L24813, 2005.
Dotzek, N., Tornadoes in Germany, Atmos. Res., vol. 56, pp. 233–251, 2001.
Dowell, D. C. and Bluestein, H. B., The 8 June 1995 McLean, Texas, storm.
Part II: Cyclic tornado formation, maintenance, and dissipation, Monthly
Weather Rev., vol. 130, no. 11, pp. 2649–2670, 2002.
Dunn, G. E. and Miller, B. I., Atlantic Hurricanes, Louisiana State Univ.
Press, 1960.
Elsner, J. B. and Kara, A. B., Hurricanes of the North Atlantic, New York:
Oxford University Press, 1999.
Emanuel, K., Divine Wind: The History and Science of Hurricanes, New York:
Oxford University Press, 2005.
Etkin, D., Brun, S. E., Shabbar, A., and Joe, P., Tornado climatology of Cana-
da revisited: Tornado activity during different phases of ENSO, Int. J. Cli-
matology, vol. 21, no. 8, pp. 915–938, 2001.
Faye, H., Nouvelle Etude Surles Tempetes, Cyclones, Trombes ou Tornados,
Paris: Gauthier-Villars, 1897.
Fedorey, V. G. (Ed.), Typhoons Evolution, Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat Press,
1987.
Feuerstein, B., Dotzek, N., and Grieser, J., Assessing a tornado climatology
from global tornado intensity distributions, J. Climate, vol. 18, no. 4, pp.
585–596, 2005.
Fiedler, B. H. and Rotunno, R., A theory for the maximum windspeeds in
tornado-like vortices, J. Atmos. Sci., vol. 43, no. 21, pp. 2328–2340,
1986.
Finley, J. P., Report on the tornadoes of May 29 and 30, 1879 in Kansas, Ne-
braska, Prof. Paper of the Signal Service, no. 4, 1881.
Fizjarrald, D. E., A laboratory simulation of convective vortices, J. Atmos.
Sci., vol. 30, no. 7, pp. 894–902, 1973.
Flora, S. D., Tornadoes of the United States, Norman, Oklahoma: University
of Oklahoma Press. 1953.
Franklin, J. L. and Brown, D. P., Atlantic hurricane season of 2006, Monthly
Weather Rev., vol. 136, pp. 1174–1200, 2008.
304 REFЕRENCES
Franklin, J. L., Avila, L. A., Beven, J. L., Lawrence, M. B., Pasch, R. J., and
Stewart, S. R., Atlantic hurricane season of 2000, Monthly Weather Rev.,
vol. 129, pp. 3037–3056, 2001.
Franklin, J. L., Pasch, R. J., Avila, L. A., Beven, II, J. L., Lawrence, M. B.,
Stewart, S. R., and Blake, E. S., Atlantic hurricane season of 2004, Month-
ly Weather Rev., vol. 134, pp. 981–1025, 2006.
Fujita, T., A detailed analysis of the Fargo tornadoes of June 20, 1957, Weath-
er Bureau of United States, Research Paper no. 42, 1960a.
Fujita, T., Formation and steering mechanisms of tornado-cyclones and associ-
ated hook echoes, Monthly Weather Rev., vol. 93, pp. 67–78, 1965.
Fujita, T., Mesoanalysis of the Illinois tornadoes of April 9, 1953, J. Meteor.,
vol. 15, no. 3, June, pp. 288–296, Boston, 1958.
Fujita, T., Mother cloud of the Fargo tornadoes of June 20, 1957, Proc. Conf.
on Cumulus Convection, Washington, pp. 175–177, 1960b.
Gall, R. L., Internal dynamics of tornado-like vortices, J. Atmos. Sci., vol. 39,
no. 12, pp. 2721–2736, 1982.
Gallus, W. A., Sarkar, P., Haan, F., Kuai, L., Kardell, R., and Wurman, J.,
A translating tornado simulator for engineering tests: comparison of radar,
numerical model, and simulator winds, Proc. 22 Conf. on Severe Local
Storms, Paper 15.1, 2004.
Galway, J. G., Relationship of tornado deaths to severe weather watch areas,
Monthly Weather Rev., vol. 103, no. 8, pp. 737–741, 1975.
Galway, J. G., Some climatological aspects of tornado outbreaks, Monthly
Weather Rev., vol. 105, no. 4, pp. 477–484, 1977.
Garner, J., Forecasting tornado path length — is it possible?, Bull. Amer. Me-
teor. Soc., vol. 88, no. 11, pp. 1721–1722, 2007.
Gianfreda, F., Miglietta, M. M., and Sanso, P., Tornadoes in Southern Apulia
(Italy), Natural Hazards, vol. 34, no. 1, pp. 71–89, 2005.
Ginevskii, А. S. and Zhelannikov, А. I., Aircraft Vortex Wakes, Moscow:
Fizmatlit Press, 2008.
Goldshtik, М. A., Vortex Flows, Novosibirsk: Nauka Press, 1981.
Grasso, L. D. and Cotton, W. R., Numerical simulation of a tornado vortex, J.
Atmos. Sci., vol. 52, no. 8, pp. 1192–1203, 1995.
Grice, A. W., The Cyprus tornado of 29 May 1985, Meteor. Magazine, vol.
115, no. 1366, pp. 143–149, 1986.
Grigorkina, R. G. and Fuks, V. R., Influence of Typhoons on the Ocean, Len-
ingrad: Gidrometeoizdat Press, 1986.
TORNADO 305
Grishin, А. M., Golovanov, А. N., and Sukov, Ya. V., Physical modeling of
fire whirlwinds, Dokl. Akad. Nauk, vol. 395, no. 2, pp. 196–198, 2004.
Grishin, А. M., Golovanov, А. N., Kolesnikov, А. А., Strokatov, А. А., and
Tsvyk, R. Sh., Experimental study of heat and fire whirlwinds, Dokl. Akad.
Nauk, vol. 400, no. 5, pp. 618–620, 2005.
Gruza, G. V. and Gresko, P. D., Statistical Methods of Forecasting Move-
ments of Atlantic Tropical Cyclones, Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat Press,
1977.
Haan, F. L., Sarkar, P. P., and Gallus, W. A., Design, construction and perfor-
mance of a large tornado simulator for wind engineering applications, Eng.
Struct., vol. 30, pp. 1146–1159, 2008.
Hexter, P. L., An observation of arcus and funnel clouds over Chesapeake Bay,
Monthly Weather Rev., vol. 90, pp. 217–224, 1962.
Holzer, A. M., Tornado climatology of Austria, Atmos. Res., vol. 56, nos. 1–4,
pp. 203–211, 2001.
Homar, V., Gaya, M., and Ramis, C., A synoptic and mesoscale diagnosis of
a tornado outbreak in the Balearic Islands, Atmos. Res., vol. 56. nos. 1–4,
pp. 31–55, 2001.
Ingel, L. K., On the motion of heavy particles in a tornado, Izv. Atmos. Okean.
Fiz., vol. 40, no. 6, pp. 765–768, 2004.
Ives, R. L., Behaviour of dust devils, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., vol. 28, pp.
168–174, 1947.
Janssen, B., The Hypnotic Power of Crop Circles, Campton: Adventures Un-
limited Press, 2004.
Jischke, M. C. and Parang, M., Properties of simulated tornado-like vortices,
J. Atmos. Sci., vol. 31, no. 3, pp. 506–512, 1974.
Kamenkovich, V. М., Koshlyakov, М. N., and Monin, А. S., Synoptic Vortices
in the Ocean, Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat Press, 1982.
Kelly, D. L., Schaefer, J. T., McNulty, R. P., and Doswell, C. A., An aug-
mented tornado climatology, Monthly Weather Rev., vol. 106, no. 8, pp.
1172–1183, 1978.
Khain, А. P. and Sutyrin, G. G., Tropical Cyclones and Their Interaction with
the Ocean, Leningrad: Gidrometeoizdat Press, 1983.
Khain, А. P., Mathematical Modeling of Tropical Cyclones, Leningrad: Gidro-
meteoizdat Press, 1984.
Khrgian, А. Kh., Physics of the Atmosphere, vol. 2, Leningrad: Gidrometeoiz-
dat Press, 1978.
306 REFЕRENCES
Vanierschot, M. and Van den Bulck, E., Influence of swirl on the initial merg-
ing zone of a turbulent annular jet, Phys. Fluids, vol. 20, pp. 105104-1–
105104-18, 2008.
Varaksin, A. Y., Romash, M. E., and Kopeitsev, V. N., Effect of net structures
on wall-free non-stationary air heat vortices, Int. J. Heat Mass Transfer,
vol. 64, pp. 817–828, 2013.
Varaksin, A. Y., Romash, M. E., and Kopeitsev, V. N., Tornado-like gas-solid
flow, Proc. 6th Int. Symp. on Multiphase Flow, Heat Mass Transfer and
Energy Conversion, vol. 1207, pp. 342–347, 2010a.
Varaksin, A. Y., Romash, M. E., Kopeitsev, V. N., and Gorbachev, M. A., Ex-
perimental study of wall-free non-stationary vortices generation due to air
unstable stratification, Int. J. Heat Mass Transfer, vol. 55, pp. 6567–6572,
2012a.
Varaksin, A. Y., Turbulent Particle-Laden Gas Flows, Berlin, Heidelberg:
Springer-Verlag, 2007.
Varaksin, A. Yu., Collisions in Particle-Laden Gas Flows, Moscow: Fizmatlit
Press. 2008.
Varaksin, A. Yu., Romash, M. E., and Kopeitsev, V. N., Controlling the be-
havior of air tornados, High Temperature, vol. 47, no. 6, pp. 836–842,
2009a.
Varaksin, A. Yu., Romash, M. E., and Kopeitsev, V. N., The possibilities of
visualization in the case of simulation of air tornados, High Temperature,
vol. 48, no. 4, pp. 588–592, 2010b.
Varaksin, A. Yu., Romash, M. E., and Kopeitsev, V. N., The possibility of in-
fluencing vortex atmospheric formations, High Temperature, vol. 48, no. 3,
pp. 411–415, 2010c.
Varaksin, A. Yu., Romash, M. E., and Kopeitsev, V. N., Tornado-like non-sta-
tionary vortices: experimental modeling under laboratory conditions, Natu-
ral Sci., vol. 3, no. 11, pp. 907–913, 2011a.
Varaksin, A. Yu., Romash, M. E., Kopeitsev, V. N., and Gorbachev, M. A.,
Physical simulation of air tornados: some dimensionless parameters, High
Temperature, vol. 49, no. 2, pp. 310–313, 2011b.
Varaksin, A. Yu., Romash, M. E., Kopeitsev, V. N., and Gorbachev, M. A.,
Simulation of free heat vortexes: generation, stability, control, High Tem-
perature, vol. 48, no. 6, pp. 918–925, 2010d.
Varaksin, A. Yu., Romash, M. E., Kopeitsev, V. N., and Gorbachev, M. A.,
Method of impact on free nonstationary air vortices, High Temperature,
vol. 50, no. 4, pp. 496–500, 2012b.
312 REFЕRENCES
Varaksin, A. Yu., Romash, M. E., Kopeitsev, V. N., and Taekin, S. I., The pos-
sibility of physical simulation of air tornados under laboratory conditions,
High Temperature, vol. 46, no. 6, pp. 888–891, 2008.
Varaksin, A. Yu., Romash, M. E., Kopeitsev, V. N., and Taekin, S. I., The gen-
eration of free concentrated air vortexes under laboratory conditions, High
Temperature, vol. 47, no. 1, pp. 78–82, 2009b.
Varaksin, A. Yu., Romash, M. E., Kopeitsev, V. N., and Taekin, S. I., The
parameters of unstable stratification of air leading to generation of free vor-
texes, High Temperature, vol. 48, no. 2, pp. 251–255, 2010e.
Vasiloff, S. V., Improving tornado warnings with the Federal Aviation Admin-
istration’s Terminal Doppler Weather Radar, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., vol.
82, no. 5, pp. 861–874, 2001.
Villat, H. T. H. P., Leçons sur la théory des tourbillons, Moscow–Leningrad:
ONTI, NKTP Press, 1936.
Walko, R. and Gall, R. L., Some effects of momentum diffusion on axisym-
metric vortices, J. Atmos. Sci., vol. 43, no. 20, pp. 2137–2148, 1986.
Wan, C. A. and Chang, C. C., Measurement of the velocity field in a simulat-
ed tornado-like vortex using a three-dimensional velocity probe, J. Atmos.
Sci., vol. 29, no. 1. pp. 116–127, 1972.
Ward, N. B., The exploration of certain features of tornado dynamics using
laboratory model, J. Atmos. Sci., vol. 29, no. 9, pp. 1194–1204, 1972.
Weatherwise, vol. 17, no. 4, p. 166, 1964.
Wicker, L. J. and Wilhelmson, R. B., Simulation and analysis of tornado de-
velopment and decay within a three-dimensional supercell thunderstorm, J.
Atmos. Sci., vol. 52, no. 15, pp. 2675–2703, 1995.
Wikle, C. K. and Anderson, C. J., Climatological analysis of tornado report
counts using a hierarchical Bayesian spatiotemporal model, J. Geophys.
Res., Atmospheres, vol. 108, D24, Paper no. 9005, 2003.
Wurman, J., Alexander, C., Robinson, P., and Richardson, Y., Low-level winds
in tornadoes and potential catastrophic tornado impacts in urban areas re-
ply, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., vol. 89, no. 10, pp. 1580–1581, 2008.
Wurman, J., Richardson, Y., Alexander, C., Weygandt, S., and Zhang, P. F.,
Dual-Doppler analysis of winds and vorticity budget terms near a tornado,
Monthly Weather Rev., vol. 135, no. 6, pp. 2392–2405, 2007.
Xia, J., Lewellen, W. S., and Lewellen, D. C., Influence of Mach number on
tornado corner flow dynamics, J. Atmos. Sci., vol. 60, no. 22, pp. 2820–
2825, 2003.
TORNADO 313
Yih, C.-S., Tornado-like flows, Phys. Fluids, vol. 19, pp. 076601-1–076601-6,
2007.
Ying, S. J. and Chang, C. C., Exploratory model study of tornado-like vortex
dynamics, J. Atmos. Sci., vol. 27, no. 1, pp. 3–14, 1970.
Zrnic, D. and Istok, M., Wind speeds in 2 tornadic storms and a tornado, de-
duced from Doppler spectra, J. Appl. Meteor., vol. 19, no. 12, pp. 1405–
1415, 1980.
Zrnic, D., Burgess, D. W., and Hennington, L., Doppler spectra and estimated
windspeed of a violent tornado, J. Climate Appl. Meteor., vol. 24, no. 10,
pp. 1068–1081, 1985.