Aifa Notes
Aifa Notes
UNIT – I
OBJECTIVES OF INVESTMENT
I. PRIMARY OBJECTIVESS
REASONS OF INVESTMENT:
3. Interest Rate
4. Inflation:
5. Income:
Type of speculation
a) Bullish speculation
b) Bearish speculation
3. Hedging: Covering the risk and is used as risk management technique to reduce
substantial loss. Ex. Stock exchange traded funds, insurance, forward contract,
swaps, options, future etc.
Type of Hedging
a) Forward
b) Future
c) Money market
d) Hedging strategies
e) Hedging through asset allocation.
f) Hedging through structure
g) Hedging through options
h) Staying in cash.
4. Arbitrage: Purchasing in low rate market and selling in high rate market. Ex.
Foreign exchange market.
5. Par value: Issue price of shares
6. Book value : Based on depreciation or appreciation of the stock the value will be
changing and carried forward to balance sheet.
7. Market value: Based on market conditions, the value will be changing.
3. Explain about the Investment process?
Ans:
FRAMING OF INVESTMENT POLICY
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS
INVESTMENT VALUATION
PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
PORTFOLIO EVALUATION
Ans: Definition: Risk is the potential for variability in returns. Ex. Fluctuations of
stock prices in stock market.
TYPES OF RISK: -
Ans: Security Analysis: It refers to analysis of trading securities from the point of
their prices, return and risk. Security analysis is the analysis of tradable financial
instruments called securities. Ex. Stock, bond.
1. Regular income:
2. Capital appreciation
3. Safety of capital
4. Liquidity
5. Hedging against inflation
2. Performance
● Industry survival
● Technological threats
● Regulatory threats
3. Vulnerability to external shocks:
Could major portions of the industry be nationalised by foreign
government. Are they subject to fashion trends that may soon change.
4. Regulatory and tax:
● Current regulation faced by industry?
● Any new regulation and any special taxes is implemented.
5. Labour conditions:
● What percentage of the industry workers is unionized?
● Are the unions generally hostile?
6. Financial and financing issues:
● How much debt does the average firm have?
● What is the mix of fixed assets & current assets?
7. Industry stock price valuation:
● What is P/E ratio for the industry?
● What were the economic conditions?
Industry Life cycle
1. Introduction stage
2. Growth stage
3. Maturity stage
4. Decline stage
B. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
Definition: Technical analysis is the study of market action primarily through the
use of charts for the purpose of forecasting future price trend.
1. Bar & Line charts: - Depicts the daily prices changes along with closing price.
Technical analysis is based on information or patterns observed on the chart.
2. Moving average analysis: An average is a sum of prices of a share over some
weekly periods divided by the number of weeks.
3. Relative strength Index:- It emphasis market moves in advance. So the raise or
fall of a market is not smooth.
4. Charles Dow theory:- Charles Dow & Edward Jones were newspaper reporters
working at New York in 1882. They are the partners of a company and
specialised in delivery the financial news.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL was started in 1899. Dow theory was
formulated from series of wall street journal editorial authorised by Charles H
Dow (1800- 1902).
Dow suggest part, current and future information is discounted into the markets
and reflected in the price of stocks and indexes. That information includes everything
from the emotions of investors to inflation and interest rate.
Dow Theory focuses mainly on price movements. Dow theory has three forces
(trend).
a) A primary direction or trend (Tide) – long term or secular, Bull or Bear market.
b) Secondary reaction or trend (wave) – weeks to months.
c) Day to day fluctuation (Dow theory is not applicable).
UNIT – 2
UNIT-2
1. It generates fixed income securities through regular income, reduce overall risk
and protect against volatility (fluctuations) of a portfolio.
2. To appreciate securities in value and offer more stability of principle than other
investments
3. Corporate bonds are more likely than other cooperate investments is be repaid if
a company declares bank rusty (liquidated due to loses insolvency)
4. To maintain the principle balance that may be tied up for a long time i.e.,
resulting in lost income by not investing in their securities.
5. To monitor the interest rate fluctuation that causes bond prices to change
potentially resulting in lost income by having money locked into a lower interest
bond and not being able to invest in a higher interest bond.
Xyz co.
1. Bonds:-
A bond is an obligation or loan made by an invester to an issuer. In
turn issuer promises to repay the principle of the bond on fixed maturity date and
make regular interest payments. Majority the bond issuers are governments and
corporate.
2. Saving bonds:- saving bonds issued by the Canadian and various provincial
governments are different from conventional bonds. Canada saving bonds(CSB)
pays a minimum guaranteed interest rate (also pay compound interest)
3. Guaranteed Investment Certificates:- (GIC)
GIC is anot issued by a trust company corporation (cdic) insure may GIC’s for
interest and principle totalling upto 1 lakh $ . it is not redeemable.
4. Treasury bills (T-Bills) :-
It is afastest investment with short term period issued by federal government.
The period in treasury bills 1- 12 months and highly liquid and very secured.
5. Bankers Acceptance:-
It is short term premisery note issued by a corporation bearing the unconditioned
guarantee. BA Offers superior yeid to T- bills and higher quality and liquidity.
6. NHA Mortgage paced securities:-
National Housing act MBS is an investment that combines the features of
residential mortgage and Canadian government bends. It includes monthly
income returns consisting of blend of principle and interest payment from a pool
of Mortgage.
7. Shipe Coupons & Residualss:-
These are the instruments purchased at discount and matured at par value. They
grow ever time and while any intere3st income is not payable until maturity. A
nominal amount of interest its occurred (outstanding) each year and must be
claimed as income by the purchaser fro tax purpose.
8. Laddered portfolio:-
It consist of several bends each of which has a successively longer term to
maturity each position in the portfolio is usually the same size as the next with
intervals between maturity dates roughly equal.
3Q) Define bond? Explain characteristics of bonds, types, bond yield measures?
Ans) Bonds are commonly referred to as fixed income securities it which is considered
as dept instruments and traded only OTC (ever the counter /24x7).
Bend contract between bond issuer and bend holder is called bond indenture.
Characteristics of Bonds:-
1) Face Value:-
Face value is called par value. It is the money amount, the bend will be worth at
its maturity and also reference amount to calculate interest rate payment.
2) Coupon rate:-
It is the rate of interest the bond issuer pays either face value of bond.
3) Coupon date:- these are rates on which the bend issuer will make interest
payment. It may be annual or semi- annual coupon payment.
4) Maturity Date:- it is the date on which the bond will mature and bend issuer will
pay the bond holder the face value of the bond.
5) Issue Price:- it is the price at which the bond issuer sells the bond.
6) Redemption value:- redemption means repayment of amount is made as per
the T&C of the agreement i.e, it may a discount or a premium.
7) Market value:- A bond may be traded is a stock exchange the price at which it is
sold or bought is called market value of the bond.
Types of bonds:-
1) Secured & Unsecured Bonds:- the secured bonds is secured by real assets
of the issuers unsecured bonds are not like this
2) Perpetual & Redeemable Bonds:- bonds that are not matured are called
perpetual in which only interest is paid. In redeemable bonds the maturity
date id given at the end of period they will pay interest as well as principal
amount.
3) Fixed interest rate of bonds & floating interest rate Bonds (FIRB)
In FIRB the interest rate is fixed at the time of issue where as in the floating
interest rate bonds interest rate changes.
4) Zero Coupon Bonds:-
This bond sell at discount & face value is repaid at maturity. The origin of
these type of bond can be traced to the US security market. The high value of the
U.S Government security prevented the investors from investing their money in
government security. The difference b/w purchase cost and face value of the
bond is gain for the investor since the investor does not receive any interest on
the bond. The conservation price is suitable arranged to protect the less of interst
to the investor.
Formula:- Face value of the Bond
(HR)n
5) Deep Discount Bonds (DDB)
A deep discount bond is another form of zero coupon bonds. The bonds are
sold at a large discount on those nominal value and interest is not paid on
them also they at par value. The different between the maturity value and the
issue price series as an interest return the DDB maturity period may range
from 3years to 25 years or more.
6) Capital Index Bonds:-
In this types of bonds the principle amount of the bond he adjusted for
inflation for every year. The bond is advantage because it gives the investor
more returns by taking inflation into account.
● Measures of Bonds:-
1) It is also called as present income bond yield is determined by dividing the
fixed coup amount by the current price value of the particular bond .
Formulae:- Current Bond Yeild:- coupon Amount
Current Price of a Bond
2) Coupon yield:- Coupon yield is also known as nominal yield referred as
coupon rate in the bond market. Bond yield is calculated at the end of the
financial year and paid is fixed coupon amount on the face value.
3) Yield to Maturity (YTM) :-
It is calculated at the end of term for which the bond was issued in the
bond market. This type of bond yield is calculated taking into account the
eventual payment made by the company. In this method we will consider
annual coupon interest payment made by the company to know whether it
is capital gain or capital loss.
PV = C1 + C2 + ........ + CN +FV
(1+Y)1 (1+Y)2 (1+Y)N
4) Holding Period of return (HPR):
Investors buy a bond and sell it after holding for a period.
Holding period return = Price/Loss during the holding period +coupon interest rate
Price of the beginning of holding period
The holding period rate of return is also called as the one period rate of ratio
CP = Call price
UNIT –III
VALUATION OF COMMON STOCK
51% 49%
An investor plans to buy an equity share hold it for one yeart or more than
itself.
1. One period valuation methods:-
Formula :- P0 = D1 + P1
1+kc 1+kc
Where ; Po = Current value of the share
D1 = Expected dividend at the end of the year.
P1 = Expected price share at the end of the year
Kc = The required rate of return on equity capitalisation/
discount rate
2. Two period valuation Models:- Suppose now that the investor plans to
hold the share for two years and then sell it.
The value of the share to the investor today would be
Po = D1 + D2 + P2
(1+kc) (1+kc)2 (1+kc)2
Where ; D2 = Divided expected at the end of the year 2
P2 = Expected selling at the end of the year 2
3. N- Period valuation model:-Similarly if the investor plans to hold the
share for N- years and then sell, the value of the share would be
Po = D1 + D2 + ..........+ Dn + Pn
(1+ke) (1+ke)2 (1+ke)n (1+ke)n
Po 1 Dt + Pn
(1+ke)t (1+ke)n
If the expected dividend in different period is (D) constant, we can
calculate the value of the share by using amunity discount factor
tables, given below
Po = (D) (PV1Fai,n) +(Pn) (PV1i,n)
Po = D1 + Do(1+g)
Kc-g ke-g
Where : Do = Current dividend
D1 = Expected dividend in year 1
Kc = required rate of return on equity
g= Expected percent of return in dividend
This model is also known as goerdon’s share valuation model.
3. Two Stage growth model:- the constant growth model is extended to two
stage growth model. There growth rated are divided into two namely a period
of extraordinary growth will continue for a finite number of years and there
after the normal growth rate will prevail i.e, a constant growth period of infinite
nature.
Farmula: Po = D1 [1- (1+g1)n] + [ D1 (1+g1)n-1 (1+g2) ]
[ (1+r) ] [ r-g2 ]
r-g1
Where : Po = Current price of equality share
D1 = is the dividend expected a year 1
g1 = extra ordinary growth rate
g 2= Normal growth rate
n= No of years
r= Investors required rate of return
Po =EPS1(1-b)
ke-b
Po = EPS1 (1-b)
Ke(1-br)
Po = EPS
Ke
Depending upon the relationship b/w r & kc, the investors will value the
expected capital gain and will thus value the share. The walter’s model
can be represented as follows:
P= D + r
Kc kc(E-D)
Kc
Where ; P= Market Price of the share
D = Dividend per share
r= rate of return on investment by the firm
ke= equity capitalisation rate of investor
EPS = Equity per share
As per walter’s model the value of an equity share is the sum of the
components
(i) Present value of infinite of dividends
(ii) Present value of infinite of stream of return from retain earnings
Multiple Approach:-
This ratio most common earning valuation model. It is a ratio b/w
the price & its EPS
Po = D1 -----(1) Pc = D1/E1 -- (2)
Ke-1 E1 k1-g
D = Dividend per share
P = Market Price of the share
E = EPS
K = rate of return
Ke = equity capitalisation rate
g = growth rate
UNIT-4
Security means marketable (LIC Bonds, NSE bonds (Post office) Fixed deposit etc
are non-marketable ie. These are not included).
Types of Portfolio
1. The Aggressive Portfolio: It includes stock with high risk / high reward proposition it
has high beta (sensitivity) to the over all market. It has constituently high beta stock
experience.
2. The Defensive portfolio:- It doesn’t carry high beta (market risk) and fairly
associated from board market moments. Cyclic stock are more sensitive to the
economic business cycle. The benefits of buying cyclic stock offers extra level of
protection against detrimental (danger events).
5. The hybrid Portfolio:- It means venturing into other investments such as bonds,
commodities, real estate etc there is a lot of flexibility in hybrid portfolio approach.
This type of portfolio would contain blue chip stock and sum high grade and government
and corporate bonds.
2. Define Portfolio Management? Explain the need and types of the Portfolio
Management?
Ans: Portfolio Management refers to managing and individual investments in the form of
bonds, shares, cash, mutual funds etc that earns maximum profit with stabilised time.
This money is managed under the guidance of portfolio manager is called portfolio
management.
1. Presents best investment plan to the individuals as per their income, budget, age
and ability to understand risk.
2. Portfolio management minimize risk and maximize the return.
3. Portfolio management understands the clients financial needs and suggest best
investment policy.
4. Portfolio management provides customized investment according to the clients
investment.
1. An investor has a certain amount of capital. He wants to invest over a single time
horizon. “ Do not put all your eggs in one basket”.
2. He can choose different types of investment instruments like stock, bonds,
options currency etc based on risk and return.
3. He assets in the selection of effectively portfolio. This model to investor how to
reduce their risk.
4. The decisions is depend upon hi expectation that is maximise the yield and
minimise the risk.
5. It is also called as mean variance model.
UNIT-5
UNIT-5
1. Self Evaluation:- In this, investor under takes the investment activity on their
own and takes investment decision. They construct and manage their own
portfolio of their securities. This is for rectify the mistakes committed by him.
2. Evaluation of portfolio manager:- Investment company usually creates
different portfolio with a different objective for different set of investors. For this
we require professional portfolio manager who is responsible for investment
decisions.
3. Evaluation of Mutual funds: - In India, there are many mutual funds as also
investment companies operating both in the public sector as well as in the private
sector. These compete with each other for mobilising the funds with individual
and organisation by offering attractive returns, minimum risk, high safety and
prompt liquidity. In this regard we need to select best options for that we require
evaluation of mutual funds.
4. Evaluation perspective:- A portfolio comprises several individual securities. In
this regard purchasing and selling of securities takes place to revise a portfolio.
Hence, evaluation is required from different point of view.
5. Transaction view:- An investor may attempt to evaluate every transaction of
purchase and sale of security. Whenever a security is bought or sold. It is
evaluated whether it is correct profitable.
6. Security view:- Securities includes purchased price. At the end of the holding
period the price of the securities may be lower or higher than its cost price.
Furtherly during holding period interest or dividend might have been received on
security. Thus evaluation of profits of holding each security separately called as
evaluation from the security view point.