SHORT TERM SIGNALS

LONG TERM SIGNALS

SIGNALS
- MACD, RSI, VOL
- Convergence of vol. profiles, (mark them with a line) with 1H clusters &
H,L,O,VAs
- CCI extremes
-
OPEN
- Opening range, ofa tape
- If 15-min candles are fuzzy, check OR “bouncing ball including opening/mid
line
- 15-min candles strategy, check previos 15-min candle
- See if there is any convergence of 15min candles with volume profile RTH
1-day

EXITS
- Stop loss below cluster in OFA or momentum dots

-Head fake. Draw consolidation boxes. When there is a false break out and
jumps back through the middle line, then it is highly likely that prices will go to
other direction. When the fake head happens and stop losses are hit, see the
market depth orders dissapear
-Long up, long down pattern. First 15-min candle up, second retraces all the
way down, breaking lows of previous candle. The it closes at the middle or near
middle and that point becomes resistance. Bearish trend continues
-Where stops started
-Breakouts, you need volatility. Be careful w. Thursday and Friday’s
breakouts. Use NQ, CL, etc for correlations. It will also help you to decide which
side wins in a rotation
 If in 15min clusters, target is off by 0.50-0.75 on
If there is a sudden big drop, see the 1-day RTH chart for levels of support.
ETH in NQ, CL

2.4 High volume areas 3 atributes: rotation, magnet and fair price.
Low volume areas 2 atributes: brick wall or slingshot ( momentun
dots, volume spikes ).
2.5 If price is in a vpoc or hva short term, but at the same time, in a low
volume area long term, wait till the fight of buyers and settle.
2.6 If price comes against us but without a big volume spike, it usually is a
stop run.
2.8 Normal distribution: when price fails to get through vpoc, and heads
towards an edge, that edge is at risk. VPOC near the center.
Trend days: usually followed by a balanced day. Low volume areas as
potential entry.
2.9 If we don´t see rotation at VPOC, most likely it will turn hard in the other
direction.
In normal distribution days, see for large volumes near both both extremes of
the distribution. Check for “thick” tails and a raise of volume just below indicating
that sellers are holding; price will reverse. If it was acceptance near the top, it
would be “thing” tails and prices making new highs.
Long wicks on Ofa bars that hit the topl
3.3 If VPOC is on the bottom of the day´s distribution, expect price going up,
if VPOC is on the top, then expect price to go down. And if it´s in the middle,
expect balanced day and also check that once it bounce out of vpoc, there is not a
breakout in one of the sides.

3.5 Traps when rotation can provide good opportunity when one of the side
breaks to a new level
3.6 See how print develops. For instance, if a nice volume cluster develops to
the upside, and sellers get the control of price under the cluster, then it means
sellers have the control to a lower level.
3.7 High volume areas expect rotation even though sometimes they can be
support/resistance levels. Rotation at high volume areas usually means acceptance,
so after rotation check for next level up as next target. For LVA expect support
resistance or going through to next level.
3.8 If price opens at VPOC and low volume area, expect either lots up and
downs or an explosive move in one direction.
4.1 Doing the homework every night before the day, it´s of paramount
importance. All to 1. gain CONTEXT, CONTEXT, CONTEXT. And 2. identify
possible entry points.
The first if/them is at the open: -if opens within previous value range, then
we can use extremes of the value range as 1st
ref.point
-If opens outside previous value range, then
we will use the extremes of the value range or vpoc
or other refer.

4.2
4.3 -Naked VPOC does not get hit at the night session, you have to wait till
day session. - NEWS See how news affect the auction structure. If
after news release, price returns to previous area, then continue w. plan. If it does
not return, then examine new potential targets and check volume building up and
rotations that could indicate acceptance of a new level. Finally, update plan to
reflect nearest LVA, HVA
- Breakouts, statistically most breakout trades fail, so it´s better to wait for a
retest and to enter at the low volume areas using the VPA tool.
4.4 -If a IB is broken and a LVA is formed around the IB and volume forming,
take that trade entering around LVA
4.5 If a tail is thin, looking like broken teeth, then it might not be finished,
and you may enter in a rebound (if bearish) micro-LVA or small correction (if
bullish)
5.1 Mark with a thick horizontal white line “the line in the sand” levels. Also
remember to expect rotation in HVN and rejection or sling shot in LVN. If we see
volume coming at LVN, then that LVN won´t longer work as support/resistance.
If there is not volume in HVA, see LVA below to see if it offers support. If not,
enter short at the LVA at the retest
5.2 See on the OFA print where there were prior big buyers/sellers to
identify levels.
Short term up from 1 day to up 1 wk. Mid term 1 wk to 3 months. Long 3
months+
 5.3 Moving the stop 2 ticks below a cluster bc. there was one weakness print
just below the cluster. Look when price is probably creating a support; the first
prints should be heavy on the bid, but as multiple retest occurs, we should see
weakness at the bid, strength at the offer.
5.6 In oil two volumes profiles: at 8:30 PM and at 3 PM. See if there is level
confluence bt. both profiles.
When the current vol.profile context lines up w. the long term vol. profile
context, is when you are going to have amazing trades.
6.1 Since one of the IBs is going to be 80% of the time an extreme of the day,
it´s a good strategy to enter in the low volume area close to the IB (whether that
LVA is above or below Ib) in the direction of the range extension. Short IBs of the
3-5 point ranges, are prone to range extensions.
Analyzing values: Where does it open? Inside value? What happens when
breaks one of the values? Put IB also in the context of value/range
Opening swings only become relevant if market opens in the same opening
swing range than the previous day. Also, check for normal opening swings, that are
2-3 points. If OS are bigger, we may have an early break away.
If there is a failed range extension w. a very small IB (3-5 points), chances
are that price is going to go to the other extreme of IB, creating a neutral day.
6.2 If price closes outside of value, it means strength. So next day, you can
choose a LVA area below and have good confidence on taking that long.
Nuance: If we see weakness in buyers in a pullback around IB, that is normal
and extension may happen, but we see strong bid around IB, then be careful, that
would indicate the end at IB.
Closing price is another important level, specially if next day opens around
the close of the day before.
6.3 When drawing the profile, identify clusters that act as LVN and mark
them.
Whenever, you have an intraday HVN that is sitting within 3 or 4 ticks of a
longer term LVN, expect a battle, and usually whoever wins that battle also wins
the day. The best is to sit in your hands and wait to avoid being swept.

1c. Entering short/long close to a print of weakness in the bid or offer

1d. If/Then scenarios. Breaking a resistance, moving sideways in an HVN or
range zone: Price breaks first, pullback, weakness at the bid, strength at the offer,
then enter long.
1f. Identify areas where to trade and areas where NOT to trade