PM Week 13 Lecture Note-1
PM Week 13 Lecture Note-1
b Control
monitoring actual performance, and comparing same with the objective or plan
taking control action where appropriate
evaluating actual performance
c Decision Making
Managers might need to make ‘one-off’ decisions, outside the formal planning and control systems
Levels of Management
a Strategic Management
deciding on the objectives and strategies for the organisation
making or approving long-term plans for the achievement of strategic targets
monitoring actual results, to check whether these are in line with strategic targets;
where appropriate, taking control action to bring actual performance back into line with strategic targets
reviewing and amending strategies
b Tactical Management
associated with the efficient and effective use of an organisation’s resources, and the control over expenditure. In a large
organisation, tactical managers are the ‘middle managers
c Operational Management
Management of day-to-day operating activities. It is usually associated with operational managers and supervisors
Business Information
Information is processed data. Data can be defined as facts that have not been assembled into a meaningful structure. Data is
processed into a structured form that has some meaning: this is called ‘information
1 Assignment
List at least 5 characteristics of the 3 levels of information
Sources of Information
A Internal Sources
the financial accounting records Personnel
human resource records maintained in support oPersonnel
production information Personnel
sales information Personnel
Minutes of meeting Personnel
External Sources
B market research
supplier price lists and brochures
trade journals
newspapers and other media
government reports and statistics
reports published by other organisations, such as trade bodies.
1 Observation
2 Interviews
3 Questionnaire
4 Documentation Review
2 Assignment
What are the advantages and disadvantages of the Methods listed above
Cost classification
All organisations need to understand their costs.
Cost can be classified in different ways:
A According to behaviour
Fixed cost
Variable cost
Stepped fixed cost
Semi-fixed/variable/mixed
cost
B According to Function
Production
Non-Production (Selling,
Distribution, Administrative,
Finance)
C According to element
Material
Labour
Other expenses/Overhead
E Relevant
Irrelevant
F Product
Period cost
Cost classification
according to behaviour
explained
Cost classification
According to behaviour React to changes in level of activity
a Fixed Cost Does not react to changes in level of activity
b Variable Cost Changes whenever level of activity is changing - In the same proportion
c Stepped fixed cost When relevant range for fixed cost is exceeded
d Semi-fixed/Mixed cost/Semi vaElement of both fixed and variable cost
Note: Only Total Fixed Cost is expected to remain constant while Fixed cost per unit is expected to reduce as the level of activity is increasing
Only Total variable cost is expected to keep changing while variable cost per unit is expected to remain constant
The changes in total variable cost should always be in the same proportion as changes in the level of activity. That is, if level of activity should increase by 30%, Total variable cost should als increase
Salesperson
Fixed monthly salary 10,000
Commission(10*1,000) 10000
Total Cost in Period 1 20,000
Total costs iluustrated above for the 3 periods cannot be regarded as fixed or variable cost but a mixed cost
Example 1
Material Study Pack
Page 29 TC=TFC+TVC
TC=a+bx High
TC 180,000
a ??
b 3.0
x 22,000
180,000=a+(3*22000)
a=180,000-(3*22,000)
a=180,000-66,000
a=114,000
TC=114,000+3x
Total Cost Function
i 0-18,999 TC=114,000+3x
ii 19,000 and above TC=129,000+3x
Alternative approach
Units Total Cost Adjusted total Cost
High 22,000 195,000 195,000
Low 17,000 165,000 180,000
Difference 5,000 15,000
Variable cost per unit 3
TC=a+bx Low
TC 180,000
a ??
b 3
x 17,000
180,000=a+(3*17,000)
a=180,000-(3*17,000)
a=180,000-51,000
a=180,000-51,00 129,000
a=129,000
0-7,499 x
7,500 and above x+0.2x
TC=a+bx High
TC 276,000
a ??
b 12
x 11,000
276,000=a+(12*11,000)
a=276,000-(12*1 132000
a=276,000-132,0 144,000
a=144,000
Level of Activity
January 9,000
February 8,000
March 7,800
April 10,000
May 15,000
June 7,000
Level of Activity
January 7,200
February 5,600
March 3,000
April 10,000
May 6,500
June 7,000
Absorbtion Costing
Absorption costing measures cost of a product or a service as:
a its direct costs (direct materials, direct labour and sometimes direct expenses and variable production overheads); plus
b a share of fixed production overhead costs Cost of product/Per unit Unit Cost
Unit cost Fixed Direct Material xx 10
Absorbtion Costing N Production Direct Labour xx 7
Direct Materials xx Overhead Direct Expenses xx 3
Direct Labour xx Factory Rent 1,000,000 Factory Rent 20
Direct Expense xx Total Cost/unit xxx
Variable production overhead xx Set Selling per unit Profit Margin 15%
**(Absorbed) Fixed production xx Selling Price/Unit
Product Cost xxx
January December Jan-Dec Total Fixed 1,000,000 TFC
Budgeted Fixed Production Overhead (Nair 1,000,000 No of Unit 50,000 LOA
Normal/Budgeted Level of Activity 50,000 Fixed overhead absorbtion ra 20 FOAR
Fixed Overhead Absorbtion rate (FOAR) 20
Absorbed fixed cost FOAR * Actual Level of Activity
Actual production(Units)
Marginal Costing
In marginal costing, fixed production overheads are not absorbed into product costs but expensed in the period.
Marginal Costing
Direct Materials xx
Direct Labour xx
Direct Expense xx
Variable production overhead xx
Product Cost xxx
Sales 630,000
Absorbtion
July
Sales (150*1,500) 225,000
Less Cost of Sales
Opening Inventory 0
Variable Production Cost (70*2,000) 140,000
Absorbed Fixed Production (50*2,000) 100,000
Total cost of goods available 240,000
Workings
Variable Production Cost/Un 70
Fixed Production Overhead/ 50
120
Closing inventory 500 60,000
Alternatively 500/2000*240,000
60000
Opening Inventory 0
Closing Inventory 500
Inventory level has change 500
FOAR 50
Difference in profit 25,000
Assignment
Prepare profit statement for the month of August using both absorbtion and marginal costing techniques
Single Product
Multiple Products
A B
Activity Based Costing Material xx 40% 40%
Target Costing Labour xx 45% 5%
Life cycle Costing Overhead xx 5% 45%
Throughput Accounting Total cost xxxx
Margin of 5%
Selling
Activity Based Costing
Activity-based costing (ABC) is a form of absorption costing that takes a different approach to the apportionment and
absorption of production overhead costs
In a modern manufacturing environment, a large proportion of total costs are overhead costs, and direct labour costs are
relatively small.
It is appropriate to trace these costs as accurately as possible to the products that create the cost because overhead costs
are large
The traditional methods of absorbing production overhead costs on the basis of direct labour hours or machine hours have
no rational justification as many production overhead costs are not directly related to the production work that is carried
out
Identify Activities
Identify Cost drivers
A cost driver is the factor that determines the cost of the activity. It is something that will cause the costs for an activity to
increase as more of the activity is performed.
Cost Pool
A cost pool is simply the overhead expenditure allocated and apportioned to an activity. Overhead costs are allocated (or allocated
and apportioned) to each activity, and for each activity there is a ‘cost pool’.
ABC absorbs overheads into the cost of products (or services) at a separate rate for each cost pool (each activity).
Example Page 58
Order Processing Cost
A
manufactures and sells a single product
Processed a total of 5,000 orders
B
manufactures and sells 5 different products
Order processed:
Product 1 400
Product 2 1,000
Product 3 2,000
Product 4 900
Product 5
700
5,000
Overhead 1 1,000
Overhead 2 4,000
Overhead 3 3,000
Overhead 4 4,000
Overhead 5 2,000
Total overh 14,000
Target Cost 100 naira per unit
Target Costing
Target costing is a method of strategic management of costs and profits. As its name suggests, target costing involves setting a target
or objective for the maximum cost of a product or service, and then working out how to achieve this target.
In order to make a profit, companies need to make the product at a cost below the expected sales price.
Target costing is used mainly for new product development. This is because whenever a new product is designed and developed for a
competitive market, a company needs to know what the maximum cost of the new product must be so that it will sell at a profit.
If estimated cost is higher that target cost, there is a target cost gap.
B. Direct Labour
Should allow for allow any expected idle time that will occur during production
C. Production Overhead
Example
Study Pack
Page 82
Material M2 Workings
Metres to be introduced into productio x 3.333
Less 10% loss 0.1x 0.333
Meters required 3 0.9x 3
3=0.9x
x=3/0.9
Metres introduced into produc 3.3333
Cost per metre 1.8
Cost of Material M2 6
Hours to be budgeted x
Idle time 0.05x
Hours required 0.5 0.95x
0.5=0.95x
x=0.5/0.95
Hours to be budgeted 0.52632
Rate per hour 19
Labour cost 10
Example
Study Pack
Page 86
Before After Comment
Manufacturing Cost
Bought in parts 50,000 (100%-12%)*50,000 44,000 Reduction from 100 to 80 components resulting in 12% reducti
Direct Labour(Assembly of components 5,000 ((100%-20%)*10)*500 4,000 Assembly time will be reduced by20%
Machine costs 15,000 15,000 No change
Ordering and receiving 500 (500*80*500)/50,000 400 Reduction from 100 to 80 components reduction in cost
Quality Assurance 8,000 (6*800) 4,800 Quality assurance will only require 6 hours.
Rework Cost 1,000 5%*10,000 500 The probability of a failure at the inspection stage will fall to 5%
Distribution Cost 10,000 (10,000-1,000) 9,000 Distribution cost reduces
i. The probability by 1,000,000
of an after-sales failure will also fall to 5%.
Warranty Costs 1,500 5%*(15,000-2,000) 650 Ii. Cost of warranty corrections will fall by ₦2,000.
Estimated Cost 91,000 78,350
Target Cost 80,000 80,000
Target cost gap 11,000 (1,650) The target cost is achieved
Implications
Cost of actively
savings are using Target
soughtCosting
and made continuously over the life of the
product
There is joint responsibility for achieving benchmark savings. If one department fails to deliver the cost savings expected, other
departments may find ways to achieve the savings.
Staff are trained and empowered to find new ways to reduce costs while maintaining the required quality.
Target costing is more likely to succeed in a company where a culture of ‘continuous improvement’ exists.
volves setting a target
Mat 30
Pack 20
Lab
price than competitors, 40
25
Cost 115
15
xpected, other
exists.
Throghput
Throughput is the money generated from sales minus the cost of the materials used in making the items sold.
Throughput accounting supports a production management system which aims to maximise throughput, and therefore cash generation from sales. It is not concerned with 'traditional' measurements of profit, or maximisation of this profit.
Inventory is the amount of money the system has invested in purchasing things that it intends to resell within its finished products
Inventory' should also be considered as costs of materials purchased. Inventory has no value because it does not create throughput until it is used to sell products.
Operational expenses, also known as factory expenses, are all the other costs of operations. They include what in traditional costing would be both direct labour costs and overhead costs.
The theory of constraints also states that at any time there will always be a bottleneck resource or factor that sets a limit on the amount of throughput that is possible.
Example:
a A production resource, such as time available on a type of machine, or the available amount of skilled employee time
b A selling resource, such as the number of sales representatives
c The lack of reliable material suppliers
The theory states that the aim should be to maximise total throughput. The only way to increase throughput is to increase the capacity of the bottleneck constraint
Example
Throughout Accounting
Throughput accounting (TA) is an approach to production management which aims to maximise sales revenue less materials cost, while also reducing inventory and operational expenses.
Concept 1: In the short run, all costs in the factory (with the exception of materials costs) are fixed costs. These fixed costs include direct labour costs. It is useful to group all these costs and call them
Total Factory Costs (TFC).
Concept 2: In a JIT environment, all inventory is a 'bad thing' and the ideal inventory level is zero. Products should not be made unless a customer has ordered them. When goods are made, the factory
effectively operates at the rate of the slowest process, and there will be unavoidable idle capacity in other operations.
Concept 3: Profitability is determined by the rate at which 'money comes in at the door' (that is, sales are made) and, in a JIT environment, this depends on how quickly goods can be produced to satisfy
customer orders. Since the goal of a profit-orientated organisation is to make money, inventory must be sold for that goal to be achieved. The bottleneck resource slows the process of making money. Making
money means maximising throughput.
Throughput per unit of bottleneck resource Throughput per unit/Usafe of Bottleneck resource
Throughput per unit xxxx
Divide by usage of Bottleneck resource per unit xxxx
Throughput per unit of bottleneck resource xxxx
Total Factory cost = Total operating expenses = all other costs other than material cost
A TA ratio that is not much higher than 1.0 is barely profitable. The aim should be to achieve as high a TA ratio as possible.
TA ratios can also be used to assess the relative earning capabilities of different products. Products can be ranked in order of priority for
manufacture and sale in order of their TA ratios. (Higher TA ratios should be given priority over lower TA ratios).
However, ranking products in order of priority according to their TA ratio will always give the same ranking as putting them in order of
throughput per unit of bottleneck resource.
1,200=1
1=x
Demand
x 6,000
y 9,000
z 5,000
8 12,000
a
X Y Z Total
Output 6,000 4,500 1,200
Revenue(SP*Qty) 900,000 585,000 360,000 1,845,000
Material Cost 480,000 180,000 120,000 780,000
Operational expenses 720,000
Profit 345,000
X Y Z Total
Output 6,000 4,500 1,200
Throughput per unit 70 90 200
Total throughput 420,000 405,000 240,000 1,065,000
Operational expenses 720,000
Profit 345,000
b X Y Z
Througput per unit 70 90 200
Consumption of bottleneck per unit/ 0.0008333 0.000667 0.001667
Hours required to make a unit
Throughput per unit of bottleneck
84,000 135,000 120,000
resource/Throughput per hour
Factory cost per unit of bottleneck resource 90,000 90,000 90,000
Throughput Accounting ratio 0.93 1.50 1.33
Ranking 3rd 1st 2nd
Throughput per unit of bottleneck resource
Total Factory cost = Total operating expenses = all other costs other than material cost Factory cost per unit of bottleneck resource
Operational expenses 720,000
Total units/Maximum availability of bottleneck resource 8
Factory cost per unit of bottleneck resource 90,000
Profit
Total revenue
Contribution
(a). Development. The product has a research or design and development stage. Costs are incurred but the product i
and there are no sales revenues.
(b) Introduction. The product is introduced to the market. Potential customers are initially unaware of the product or
organisation may have to spend heavily on advertising to bring the product or service to the attention of the market. In
expenditure costs may be incurred in order to increase the production capacity as sales demand grows.
(c) Growth. The product gains a bigger market as demand builds up. Sales revenues increase and the product begins
(d) Maturity. Eventually, the growth in demand for the product will slow down and it will enter a period of relative mat
reached a peak and are fairly stable. This should be the most profitable phase of the product's life. The product may be
a means of sustaining its demand and making this phase of the life cycle as long as possible.
(e) Decline. At some stage, the market will have bought enough of the product and it will therefore reach 'saturation p
to fall. Eventually it will become a loss-maker and this is the time when the organisation should decide to stop selling th
Life cycle costing estimates the costs and revenues attributable to a product over its entire expected life
cycle. The life cycle costs of a product are all the costs attributable to the product over its entire life, from
product concept and design to eventual withdrawal from the market.
The component elements of a product's cost over its life cycle could therefore include the following.
Traditional cost accumulation systems are based on the financial accounting year and tend to dissect a product's life cy
month periods. This means that traditional management accounting systems do not accumulate costs over a product's e
not therefore assess a product's profitability over its entire life. Instead they do it on a periodic basis.
Life cycle costing, on the other hand, tracks and accumulates actual costs and revenues attributable to each product ov
cycle. Hence the total profitability of any given product can be determined.
(a) It helps management to assess profitability over the full life of a product, which in turn helps management to decide
product, or to continue making the product.
(b) It can be very useful for organisations that continually develop products with a relatively short life, where it may be p
volumes and prices with reasonable accuracy.
(c) The life cycle concept results in earlier actions to generate more revenue or to lower costs than otherwise might be c
(d) Better decisions should follow from a more accurate and realistic assessment of revenues and costs, at least within a
stage.
(e) It encourages longer-term thinking and forward planning, and may provide more useful information than traditional r
and profits in each accounting period.
the following.
Steady state - When the average time to produce an additional unit becomes constant
The time to make a new model of a sailing boat is 100 days. It has been established that in the boat-building industry, there is an 80% learning curve. Calculate:
(a) the cumulative average time per unit for the first 2 units, first 4 units, first 8 units and first 16 units of theboat
(b) the total time required to make the first 2 units, the first 4 units, the first 8 units and the first 16units
(c) the additional time required to make the second unit, the 3rd and 4th units, units 5 – 8 and units 9 – 16.
Assignemnt 1
Practice question
The first unit of a new model of machine took 1,600 hours to make. A 90% learning curve applies. How much time would it take to make the first 32 units of this
machine? Calculate:
(a) the cumulative average time per unit for the first 2 units, first 4 units, first 8 units and first 16units.
(b) the total time required to make the first 2 units, the first 4 units, the first 8 units and the first 16units
(c) the additional time required to make the second unit, the 3rd and 4th units, units 5 – 8 and units 9 – 16.
(d) the average time required to make the second unit, the 3rd and 4th units, units 5 – 8 and units 9 – 16.
It is easy to construct a table to show the learning effect and it provides useful information. However, it can only be constructed to show doubling of the output.
The table can be used to calculate how many days it would take to construct units 3 and 4 and the average time for each of these. However, it cannot be used
to calculate how long unit 3 actually took and how long unit 4 actually took. (We know that boats 3 and 4 together took 96 days to make but not how long each
took as the learning effect means that boat 4 would have taken less time than boat 3).
Similarly, the table can be used to calculate how many days it would take to construct units 5 to 8 and the average time for each of these. However, it cannot
be used to calculate how long unit 5 actually took and how long unit 7 (say) actually took. (We know that boats 5 to 8 together took 153.6 days to make but
not how long each took as the learning effect means that boat 8 would have taken less time than boat 5 for example).
The way around this is to use the learning curve formular:
The formula can be used for any number of units.
Using the same example of the sailing boat above, we have recalculated all the requirements using the formular approach below
Cummulative
Cummulative number of units
Additional Time Cummulative Average time
X
taken(days) Total time (Y)
1.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
2.00 60.00 160.00 80.00
3.00 50.63 210.63 70.21
4.00 45.37 256.00 64.00
8.00 51.20
14.00 598.63 42.76
15.00 28.67 627.30 41.82
16.00 28.06 655.36 40.96
The formular approach can be used to calculate the time taken to build any unit
Additional requirements
a Calculate the additional time taken to make the 3rd unit only
b Calculate the additional time taken to make the 4th unit only
c Calculate the additional time taken to make the 15th unit only
0.427591619724899
42.7591619724899
Periodic
2024 Jan 2024 -Dec 2024 Period 1
2025 Jan 2025 - Dec 2025 Period 2
2026 Jan 2026 - Dec 2026 Period 3
Rolling
2024 Jan 2024 -Dec 2024 12 months
Apr 2024 - Mar 2025 12 months
Jul 2024 - June 2025 12 months
Oct 2024 - Sep 2025 12 months
Jan 2026 - Dec 2026 12 months
Jan - Dec
Apr - Dec
July - Dec
Oct - Dec
Flexible
2024
Prepared in Dec 2023
Master Budget Flexible Budgets
2024
Flexed
Prepared in Dec 2024
Prepared in Dec 2023
Master Budget Flexed Budget
100 LOA 10,000 units 7,000 units
Revenue
Mat Cost
Lab Cost
Other variable cost
Fixed
10 Minutes Break
Class resumes by 9:55am
Functional Budgets
Budgeted Income Statement
Master budget Budgeted Statement of financial position
Cash Budget
Flexible and Flexed budget
Practice Question 1
ICAN Study Pack
Page 161
i Sales budget
Prouct X Product Y
Volume 2,500 3,200
Price 410 400
Budgeted Revenue 1,025,000 1,280,000
Product X
Opening Inventory xxx 300
Production for the period xxx ???
Sales (xxx) 2,500
Closing inventory xxx 200
OI+P-S=CI
P=CI-OI+S
P=S+CI-OI
Product Y
Material A: (1*3,150) 3,150
Material B: (0.5*3,150) 1,575
Material C: (3*3,150)
Material Usage Budget 5,550 3,375
A
Opening Inventory xxx 400
Purchase xxx ???
Usage/Consumption (xxx) 5,550
Closing inventory xxx 380
OI+P-U=CI
P=CI-OI+U
P=U+CI-OI
X y
OI(Units) 300 150
Cost/unit 370 320
Valuation 111,000 48,000
Actual Budget
Level of Activity (Units) 45,000 45,000
N'000 N'000
Sales Revenue 2,790 2,790
Direct Materials 907 900
Direct Labour 443 450
Variable Production Overhead 284 270
Variable admin overhead 148 149.625
Total Variable Cost 1,782 1,770
Contribution 1,008 1,020
Fixed Production Overhead 212 187
Fixed Admin Overhead 180 160
Total Fixed Cost 392 347
Profit 615.6 673
Workings
1 Sales Revenue
Sp x
Quantities 40,000
2,480,000
Sp*40,000=2,480,000
SP=2,480,000/40,000
Selling Price 62
Direct Materials
Initial Budget 800,000
Quantities 40,000
Material Cost per unit 20
Revised unit 45,000
Revised Direct Material 900,000
Direct Labour
Initial Budget 400,000
Quantities 40,000
Labour cost per unit 10
Revised Quantities 45,000
Revised Direct Labour 450,000
Alternative
Initial Budget 400,000
Budgeted Units 40,000
Budgeted Hours/unit 3
Total Budgeted Labour hours 120,000
Labour cost per hour 3
Revised Quantities 45,000
Revised budgted hours 135,000
Revised Direct Labour 450,000
Variable Production Overhead(VPO)
Initial Budget 240,000
Quantities 40,000
VPO/Unit 6
Revised Quantities 45,000
Revised Variable Production O/H 270,000
Main
40,000 30,000
N'000 N'000
Sales Revenue 2,790
Direct Materials 899
Direct Labour 400
Variable Production Overhead 240
Variable admin overhead 133
Total Variable Cost 1,672
Contribution 1,118
Fixed Production Overhead 187
Fixed Admin Overhead 160
Total Fixed Cost 347
Profit 771
Cash inflow
Receipt from customers Februrary
Proceeds from disposal of assets Cash and cash carry
Issue of shares
Inflow from borrowings
Dividend and interest income
Cash outflow
Payment to suppliers
Payment to employees and labour
Other expenses and overhead
Purchase of asset
Rent
etc
Assignment
What are the benefits of cash budget
Question Review
May 2022 Question 2
Cash outflow
Payment to suppliers 398,833
Payment to labour 236,400
Other expense 200,000
Total Outflow 835,233
Workings
1 Receipt from customers
3 Labour budget
Hours per unit 2
Units to be produced 19,700
Budgeted hours 39,400
Rate per hour 6
Labour budget 236,400
Time Series
Time Series Revenue
January 100,000
February 120,000 20,000
S=YA-T
Estimating the Trend Line
Calculating the amount of seasonal variation
Additive Y=T+S
S=Y-T
Week Day of the week Observation
Week 1 Monday 1
Week 1 Tuesday 2
Week 1 Wednesday 3
Week 1 Thursday 4
Week 1 Friday 5
Week 2 Monday 6
Week 2 Tuesday 7
Week 2 Wednesday 8
Week 2 Thursday 9
Week 2 Friday 10
Week 3 Monday 11
Week 3 Tuesday 12
Week 3 Wednesday 13
Week 3 Thursday 14
Week 3 Friday 15
Week 4 Monday
Week 4 Tuesday
Week 4 Wednesday
Week 4 Thursday
Week 4 Friday
Week 5 Monday
Week 5 Tuesday
Week 5 Wednesday
Week 5 Thursday
Week 5 Friday
Forecast Sales for Wednesday in Week 5
Step 1. - Forecast Trend
Step 2. - Adjust the trend using the appropriate seasonal variation
Forecasted Sales for Wednesday Week 5
Year 1 Q1 1
Year 1 Q2 2
2.5
Year 1 Q3 3
3.5
Year 1 Q4 4
4.5
Year 2 Q1 5
5.5
Year 2 Q2 6
6.5
Year 2 Q3 7
7.5
Year 2 Q4 8
8.5
Year 3 Q1 9
9.5
Year 3 Q2 10
10.5
Year 3 Q3 11
Year 3 Q4 12
Year 1 Q1 1
Year 1 Q2 2
Year 1 Q3 3
Year 1 Q4 4
Year 2 Q1 5
Year 2 Q2 6
Year 2 Q3 7
Year 2 Q4 8
Year 3 Q1 9
Year 3 Q2 10
Year 3 Q3 11
Year 3 Q4 12
Year 4 Q1
Year 4 Q2
Year 4 Q3
Year 4 Q4
Year 5 Q1
Year 5 Q2
Year 5 Q3
Year 5 Q4
Q2 Y3 2 Q3 Y1
Y4 4 Y2
Q3 Y5 3 Y3
x= 9 Y4
Q3 Y5
x=
Additive Model
Seasonal Adjustment Quarter 1 Quarter 2
Year 1 0 0
Year 2 -0.125 -0.25
Year 3 -2 0.875
Average -1.0625 0.3125
Adjustment 0.109375 0.109375
Seasonal Adjustment -0.953125 0.421875
Multiplicative/Proportional Model
Y=T*S*C*R Ignoring C and R
Seasonal variation S=Y/T
Week 1 Monday 1
Week 1 Tuesday 2
Week 1 Wednesday 3
Week 1 Thursday 4
Week 1 Friday 5
Week 2 Monday 6
Week 2 Tuesday 7
Week 2 Wednesday 8
Week 2 Thursday 9
Week 2 Friday 10
Week 3 Monday 11
Week 3 Tuesday 12
Week 3 Wednesday 13
Week 3 Thursday 14
Week 3 Friday 15
Week 4 Monday
Week 4 Tuesday
Week 4 Wednesday
Week 4 Thursday
Week 4 Friday
Week 5 Monday
Week 5 Tuesday
Week 5 Wednesday
Week 5 Thursday
Week 5 Friday
Forecast Sales for Wednesday in Week 5
Step 1. - Forecast Trend
Step 2. - Adjust the trend using the appropriate seasonal variation
Forecasted Sales for Wednesday Week 5
Linear Regression
Explanatory/
Independent Variable
Observation
Years Quarter
X
Year 1 Q1 1
Year 1 Q2 2
Year 1 Q3 3
Year 1 Q4 4
Year 2 Q1 5
Year 2 Q2 6
Year 2 Q3 7
Year 2 Q4 8
Year 3 Q1 9
Year 3 Q2 10
Year 3 Q3 11
Year 3 Q4 12
78
Year 4 Q1 13
Year 4 Q2 14
Year 4 Q3 15
Year 4 Q4 16
year 5 Q1 17
year 5 Q2 18
year 5 Q3 19
year 5 Q4 20
n
∑x
∑y
∑xy
∑x^2
n∑xy
∑x∑y
n∑x^2
(∑x)^2
a
∑y/n
Minus
(b∑x)/n
b∑x
y=a+bx
y=15.38+3.99x
Forecast sales for Quarter 3 Year 5
Forecast Trend 91.2459207459208
Seasonal adjustment 0.336829836829833
Forecas for quarter 3 year 5 91.5827505827506
Additive Model
Seasonal Adjustment Quarter 1 Quarter 2
Year 1 0.628205128205124 0.635198135198131
Year 2 -0.343822843822849 -0.336829836829835
Year 3 -2.31585081585082 0.691142191142191
Seasonal Adjustment -0.67715617715618 0.329836829836829
Adjustment 0 0
Seasonal Adjustment -0.67715617715618 0.329836829836829
Q1 Q2
Seasonal Variation 25,000 15,000
Average 25,000 15,000
Inflation Additions 2024 Budget
29.90% 5%
2024
Flexible Budgets
Prepared in
Prepared in Dec 2023 Prepared in Dec 2023
Dec 2023
2,305,000
C
KG
4,800
9,450
14,250
C Total
14,250
120
14,370
(150)
14,220
30
426,600 858,500
B C
450 150
??? ???
3,375 14,250
400 120
159,000
Variances
N'000
-
(7)
7
(14)
2
(12)
12
(25)
(20)
(45)
58
30,000
50,000
45,000
Flexible
45,000 50,000 55,000
N'000 N'000 N'000
Actual result Trend Seasonal Variation
Y T Additive
78
83
89 84 5
85 86 -1
85 88 -3
88 90 -2
93 92 1
99 94 5
95 96 -1
95 98 -3
98 100 -2
103 102 1
109 104 5
105 106
105 108
110
112
114
116
118
120
122
124
124
5
129
Moving average of
Moving Seasonal
Sales N'000 moving average
Average variation
Trend
20
24
25.5
27 27.375
29.25
31 31.125
33
35 35.125
37.25
39 39.25
41.25
44 43
44.75
47 46.875
49
49 51
53
56 55.125
57.25
60
64
Moving average of
Moving Seasonal
Sales N'000 moving average
Average variation
Trend
20
24
27 27.375 -0.375
31 31.125 -0.125
35 35.125 -0.125
39 39.25 -0.25
44 43 1
47 46.875 0.125
49 51 -2
56 55.125 0.875
60 59.0892857142857
64 63.0535714285714
67.0178571428571
70.9821428571429
74.9464285714286
78.9107142857143
82.875
86.8392857142857
90.8035714285714
90.8035714285714
0.421875
91.2254464285714
27.375
3.96428571428571
16
Y=27.375+(3.96*16)
Y=27.375+63.43 63.428571429
90.8035714285714
1
4
4
4
3
16
124
1.0537075722
130.659739
Wednesday Thursday Friday Total
1.05952380952381 0.98837209 0.965909090909091
1.0531914893617 0.98958333 0.969387755102041
1.04807692307692 0 0
1.05359740732081 0.98897771 0.967648423005566 4.99944917579 SUM of seasonal variation is expected to add up to 5
0.0001101648426859 0.00011016 0.0001101648426859 0.00055082421
1.0537075721635 0.98908788 0.967758587848252 5
Dependent Variable
Seasonal
Sales N'000 Seasonal
Trend variation
Actual Result XY X^2 variation
y=15.38+3.99x Mutitplicative
Y Additive Model
Model
91.2459207459208
12
78 12
496 Year 4 4
3795 Year 5 3
650
6852 Numerator
1716 Denominator
3.99300699300699 Slope
41.3333333333333
25.9545454545455
15.3787878787879
311.454545454545
38+3.99x
Q3 Q4
- (40,000)
- (40,000) -
s expected to add up to 5
12
64
3
79
Divisional Performance and Transfer Pricing
Divisionalisation
Divisionalisation is a term for the division of an organisation into divisions. Each divisional manager is responsible for the performance of the division.
Large organisation can be structured in one of two ways: functionally (all activities of a similar type within a company, such as production, sales and research, are under the control of the
appropriate departmental head) or divisionally (split into divisions in accordance with the products or services made or provided).
Decentralisation
A divisional structure will lead to decentralisation of the decision-making process and divisional managers may have the freedom to set selling prices, choose suppliers, make product mix
and output decisions, and so on. Decentralisation is, however, a matter of degree, depending on how much freedom divisional managers are given.
Advantages
Divisionalisation can improve the quality of decisions made because divisional managers (those taking the decisions) know local conditions and are able to make more informed judgements
Decisions should be taken more quickly because information does not have to pass along the chain of command to and from top management.
The authority to act to improve performance should motivate divisional managers
Divisionalprovide
Divisions organisation frees
valuable top management
training grounds forfrom detailed
future involvement
members in day-to-day
of top management by operations
giving themand allows them
experience to devote more
of managerial skillstime to strategic
in a less complexplanning.
environment than that faced by top
management.
Disadvantages
Decisions might be taken by a divisional manager in the best interests of their own part of the business, but against the best interest of other divisions and possibly against the interests of
the
It isorganisation
claimed thatas
thea costs
whole.of activities that are common to all divisions, such as running the accounting department, may be greater for a divisionalised structure than for a centralised Division A
structure.
Top management, by delegating decision-making to divisional managers, may lose control since they are not aware of what is going on in the organisation as a whole
Responsibility Accounting
Responsibility accounting is the term used to describe decentralisation of authority, with the performance of the decentralised units measured in terms of accounting results.
Principal Performance
Responsibility Centre Management has control over
Measures
Variance analysis
Cost Centre _Controllable Cost
Weakest Efficiency measures
Revenue Centre _Revenue only Revenue
_Controllable costs
Profit Centre _Sales price (including transfer Profit
prices)
_As for profit centre except that
Contribution Centre expenditure is reported on a Contribution
marginal cost basis
_Controllable costs
_Sales prices (including transfer
prices) _Return on investment
Strongest Investment Centre _Output volumes _Residual income
_Investment in non-current assets _Other financial ratios
and
working capital
Return on Investment
Return on investment (ROI) shows how much profit has been made in relation to the amount of capital invested and is calculated as (profit/capital
employed) * 100%
It ties in directly with the accounting process and can be identified from the income statement and balance sheet
Example
A B
Profit 60,000 30,000
Capital Employed 400,000 120,000
ROI 15% 25%
Measuring ROI
A Profit after depreciation as a % of net assets employed Numerator Profit after depreciation
Non-current asset after considering depreciation Denominator Net Asset Employed
Net Asset employed Non-current asset after considering depreciation(NBV) + Investment in working capital
Example
The results of investment centre X, with a policy of straight-line depreciation of assets over a five-year period, might be as follows.
ROI for year 2023
Non-current asset after
considering depreciation
Net asset employed at the end
A
of the year 31 December
Net asset employed at the
B
beginning of the year 1 Janary
Net at asset the middle of the
C
year 30 June/1 July
Net asset employed at Investment with useful life of 5
the end of the year years
Net Asset
Depreciation for the
Year Non-Curret Asset at Cost Working Capital Profit after depreciation NBV at year end employed/Capita ROI%
year
l Employed
N'000 N'000 N'000
1 100 10 10 20 80 90 11%
2 100 10 10 20 60 70 14%
3 100 10 10 20 40 50 20%
4 100 10 10 20 20 30 33%
5 100 10 10 20 0 10 100%
Limitation
This can give a false impression of improving performance over
time.
There
It is easy
is not no generally acceptable
to compare fairly theway to measure
performance of investment
centres
B Profit after depreciation as a % of gross assets employed
Instead of measuring ROI as return on net assets, we could measure it as return on gross assets ie before depreciation. This
would remove the problem of ROI increasing over time as non-current assets get older.
Depreciation for the Gross Asset Capital
Year Non-Curret Asset at Cost Working Capital Profit after depreciation ROI%
year Employed Employed
N'000 N'000 N'000
1 100 10 10 20 100 110 9% 7.5%
2 100 10 10 20 100 110 9%
3 100 10 10 20 100 110 9%
4 100 10 10 20 100 110 9%
5 100 10 10 20 100 110 9%
If a company acquired a non-current asset costing $40,000, which it intends to depreciate by $10,000 pa for four years, and if
the asset earns a profit of $8,000 pa after depreciation, ROI might be calculated on net book values or gross values, as follows.
Middle
ROI based on Gross Annual 6 months Net ROI based on
Year Profit Gross Value Capital Employed
Value depreciation depreciation Asset(Middle) Net Asset
1 8000 40,000 40,000 20% 10,000 5,000 35,000 23%
2 8000 40,000 40,000 20% 10,000 5,000 25,000 32%
3 8000 40,000 40,000 20% 10,000 5,000 15,000 53%
4 8000 40,000 40,000 20% 10,000 5,000 5,000 160%
30%
25%
Belongs to a Company
Residual Income
An alternative way of measuring the performance of an investment centre, instead of using ROI, is residual income (RI). Residual income is a measure
of the centre's profits after deducting a notional or imputed interest cost.
(a) The centre's profit is after deducting depreciation on capital equipment.
(b) The imputed cost of capital might be the organisation's cost of borrowing or its weighted average cost of capital.
Residual income is a measure of the centre's profits after deducting a notional or imputed interest cost
Example 1
A division with capital employed of $400,000 currently earns an ROI of 22%. The division's cost of capital is 14%. What is the
residual income.
Residual Income Workback of profit after depreciation
Profit after depreciation xxxx 88,000 22=Profit/400,000
Notional/Imputed Interest (xxx) 56,000 Profit=22%*400,000
Residual Income xxxx 32,000
Example 2
A division with capital employed of $400,000 currently earns an ROI of 22%. It can make an additional investment of $50,000 for a five year life with
nil residual value. The average net profit from this investment would be $12,000 after depreciation . The division's cost of capital is 14%. What are the
residual incomes before and after the investment?
RoI/ROCE
Profit after depreciation
Capital Employed
1 48,000,000 40,000,000 16,000,000 9,600,000 6,400,000 48,000,000 13% 16% 7,680,000 (1,280,000)
2 48,000,000 40,000,000 16,000,000 9,600,000 6,400,000 38,400,000 17% 16% 6,144,000 256,000
3 48,000,000 40,000,000 16,000,000 9,600,000 6,400,000 28,800,000 22% 16% 4,608,000 1,792,000
4 48,000,000 40,000,000 16,000,000 9,600,000 6,400,000 19,200,000 33% 16% 3,072,000 3,328,000
5 48,000,000 40,000,000 16,000,000 9,600,000 6,400,000 9,600,000 67% 16% 1,536,000 4,864,000
1 48,000,000 56,000,000 22,400,000 9,600,000 12,800,000 48,000,000 27% 16% 7,680,000 5,120,000
5-May-15
X Y
Revenue 46.4 28.1
Net profit margin 30% 35%
Profit 13.92 9.835
Investment/Capital Employe 88.2 46
ROI 16% 21%
Cost of Capital 15% 15%
Imputed Interest 13.23 6.90
Residual Income 0.69 2.93
Revenue xxxx
Variable cost (xxx)
Contribution xxxx
Fixed cost (xxx)
Profit xxxx
Imputed
NBV at the ROCE/ RI=Profit after
Annual Interest (CoC *
Revenue Contribution - 40% Annual depreciation Profit after depreciation Cost of Investment beginning/Capital ROI(Profit/capital dep-Imputed
depreciation Capital
employed employed) interest
emplpyed)
N'm N'm N'm N'm N'm N'm N'm N'm N'm
Year 1 56 22.4 9.6 12.8 48 9.6 48 27% 7.68 5.12
Company
Division B Division C
Alternatively
Division A Division B
Selling division Buying Division
Tranfer price between A and B should be zero
xxx (xxx)
100 -100
90 0
The minimum
The sum of the supplying division's marginal cost and opportunity cost of the item
transferred.
The minimum
Marginal Cost
Opportunity cost
Minimum Transfer Price
Marginal Cost
Direct material
Direct Labour
Direct expenses
Incremnetal fixed cost
Marginal Cost
Opportunity cost
I Where there is an external market for the item being transferred. Opportunity cost in this case is measured as contributio
ii There is an alternative use for the facilities used in manufacturing the item being transferred
Opportunity cost
External selling/Market Price
Variable/Marginal cost of item
Contribution/Opportunity cost
1,000
Division B
External Market
Scenario 1
Division A is the supplying/Selling division
Division B is the Buying/Receiving division
Division A has the capacity to manufacture 10,000 units per period
Option 1 Divions B is willing to buy all the 10,000 units
Option 2 External Market is willing to buy all the 10,000 units
There is an opportunity on the 10,000 units transferred to division B
Scenario 2
Division A is the supplying division
Division B is the Buying division
Division A has the capacity to manufacture 20,000 units per period
Option 1 Divions B is willing to buy only 10,000 units
Option 2 External Market is willing to only 10,000 units
There is no opportunity cost on the 10,000 units transferred to divisio
Scenario 3
Division A is the supplying division
Division B is the Buying division
Division A has the capacity to manufacture 10,000 units per period
Option 1 Divions B is willing to buy all the 10,000 units
Option 2 External Market is willing to buy all the 0 units
There is no opportunity cost on the 10,000 units transferred to divisio
Scenario 4
Division A is the supplying division
Division B is the Buying division
Division A has the capacity to manufacture 10,000 units per period
Option 1 Divions B is willing to buy all the 10,000 units
Option 2 External Market is willing to buy all the 4,500 units
There is no opportunity cost on 5,500 units
There is opportunity cost on 4,500 units
Scenario 5
Division A is the supplying division
Division B is the Buying division
Division A has the capacity to manufacture 15,000 units per period
Option 1 Divions B is willing to buy all the 10,000 units
Option 2 External Market is willing to buy all the 4,500 units
There is no opportunity cost on the 10,000 units transferred to divisio
Scenario 6
Division A is the supplying division
Division B is the Buying division
Division A has the capacity to manufacture 15,000 units per period
Option 1 Division B is willing to buy all the 10,000 units
Option 2 External Market is willing to buy all the 10,000 units
There is no opportunity cost on 5,000 units
There is opportunity cost on 5,000 units
Scenario 7
Division A is the supplying division
Division B is the Buying division
Division A has the capacity to manufacture 12,000 units per period
Option 1 Division B is willing to buy all the 10,000 units
Option 2 External Market is willing to buy all the 4,500 units
There is opportunity cost on 2,500 units
There is no opportunity cost on 7,500 units
Scenario 7
Division A is the supplying division
Division B is the Buying division
Division A has the capacity to manufacture 12,000 units per period
Division B is willing to buy all the 10,000 units
External Market is willing to buy all the 14,500 units
There is an opportunity on the 10,000 units transferred to division B
The maximum
The lowest market price at which the receiving division could purchase the goods
or services externally, less any internal cost savings in packaging and delivery.
Contribution=Revenue-variable cost
Revenue=Contribution + variable cost
Analysis of revenue
Quantities
Capacity 150,000
Supplied to division Y 60,000
Sales to external market 90,000
Y if it becomes the group’s policy to quote transfer prices based on
Aii opportunity costs.
Price based on opportunity cost = Minimum transfer price
Scenario 6
Division X is the supplying division
Division Y is the Buying division
Division X has the capacity to manufacture 150,000 units per period
Division B is willing to buy all the 60,000 units
External Market is willing to buy all the 110,000 units
There is opportunity cost on 20,000 units
There is no opportunity cost on 40,000 units
Prices to be quoted
40,000 Marginal cost/Variable cost
20,000 Marginal cost + Opportunity cost
Evaluate the impact of the group’s current and proposed policies on the profits
b of Divisions X and Y and on group profit.
Current policy Divisions have the freedom to set transfer prices and choose their supp
Proposed policy Transfer price based on opportunity cost. It uses Residual Income (RI)
X
Capacity 150,000
External Sales 110,000
Variable cost 110,000
Fixed cost
Profit
Y
External revenue 60,000
Cost of tyres from external supplier(Adex Limite) 60,000
Profit
Group's profit
Proposed policy X
External sales 90,000
Internal sales 60,000
Total revenue
Variable 150,000
Fixed cost
Profit
Y
External revenue 60,000
Cost of tyres from divison X 60,000
Profit
Group profit
X
Profit based on current policy 2,510,000,000
Profit based on proposed policy 350,000,000
Impact 2,160,000,000
60,000
60,000
A - Assume that Y is buying the 60,000 tyres from X at a price of 30,000 per tyre
X
Revenue
Variable cost
Contribution
Fixed cost
Profit before tax
Tax
Profit after tax
B- Assume that Y is buying the N60,000 tyres from Adex Limited at a price of 28,000 per tyre
X
Revenue
Variable cost
Contribution
Fixed cost
Profit before tax
Tax
Profit after tax
November 2018
Question 2
b
I External demand is 15,000 units
X
External Revenue (200*15,000) 3,000,000
Total Revenue 3,000,000
Cost of component(170*20,000) -
Variable cost (105*15,000) 1,575,000
Total variable cost 1,575,000
Contribution 1,425,000
Fixed cost 1,375,000
Profit 50,000
Group Policy
I 2,550,000
II 2,550,000
III 2,550,000
Alternative I
New cost of component(170*20,000) 3,400,000
Initial cost of component transferred 2,100,000
Change 1,300,000
Company
0
0
90
xxx 100
xxx 80
xxx 180
Opportunity cost
xxx
xxx
xxx
xxxx
xxxx
xxxx 180
(xxx) 100
xxxx 80
1,000
Demand Demand
1,000 Division B 1,000
1,000 Alternative Forgone External Market -
lling division
ving division
manufacture 10,000 units per period
he 10,000 units
buy all the 10,000 units
he 10,000 units transferred to division B
on 7,500 units
Price Revenue
29,900 1,794,000,000
35,000 3,150,000,000
4,944,000,000
22,000
35,000
29,900
35,000 3,850,000,000
22,000 2,420,000,000
1,080,000,000
2,510,000,000
35,000 2,100,000,000
28,000 1,680,000,000
420,000,000
2,930,000,000
35,000 3,150,000,000
26,333.33 1,580,000,000
4,730,000,000
22,000 3,300,000,000
1,080,000,000
350,000,000
35,000 2,100,000,000
1,580,000,000
520,000,000
870,000,000
Y Group
420,000,000 2,930,000,000
520,000,000 870,000,000
(100,000,000) 2,060,000,000
22,000 880,000,000
35,000 700,000,000
Total cost 1,580,000,000
28,000.0 1,680,000,000
33,000 1,980,000,000
40,000
40,000
35,000
28,000
Y Group
Y Total - group
-
8,000,000
8,000,000
2,480,000
2,500,000
4,980,000
3,020,000
900,000
2,120,000 2,550,000
Y Total - group
-
8,000,000
8,000,000
4,000,000
2,500,000
6,500,000
1,500,000
900,000
600,000 2,550,000
Y Total - group
8,000,000
8,000,000
3,400,000
2,500,000
5,900,000
2,100,000
900,000
1,200,000 1,250,000
Y Total - group
8,000,000
8,000,000
3,400,000
2,500,000
5,900,000
2,100,000
900,000
1,200,000 1,630,000
Y Total - group
8,000,000
8,000,000
3,400,000
2,500,000
5,900,000
2,100,000
900,000
1,200,000 3,150,000
II III
3,400,000 3,400,000
2,480,000 4,000,000
920,000 (600,000)
market price
1,000
Demand
Division B 1,000
External Market 400
Capacity to make 10,000
Supplied to division B - priority (10,000)
Balance available -
External market demand 10,000
Unsatisfied external market demand (10,000)
Marginal cost
2
3 Relevant cost
Relevant cost of Material
1,000
4,000
5,000
500
1,500
10 Minutes break
Class Resumes by 10:00am
Fixed Salary and there is spare capacity
Relevant cost of labour is zero
5 staffs paid a fixed monthly salary of 10,000 naira. For a standard 8 hours per day and 5 days a week
800
600 hours
50 hours required from new job
Overtime
Divert from current job - opportunity cost
Employ temporary
Overtime
Divert from current job - opportunity cost
Employ temporary
Department 1
Department 2
Normal rate (240*100)
Overtime premium (50%*240*100)
Diversion - opportunity cost(80*100)
Lower option
Total relevant cost
Department 3
Normal rate (240*300)
Diversion - opportunity cost (200/2)*300
Total relevant cost
Overhead
Fixed
Variable
Labour
75 hours - freely available
165 hours no freely available
Option 1 Overtime(165*140)
Temporary staff
Option 2 Temporary staff(165*120)
Cost of supervision (10*180)
Total cost of option 2
Total relevant cost of labour
Incremental cost
1,000
Decision to make an extra unit of a product 500
Variable - DM, DL, DE
Old Machine New Machine
Differential cost 2,000 3,600
12,000 21,600
Avoidable 1
Unavoidable
Close down Do no close down
Rental cost 100,000 100,000
Local taxes - 16,000
Security - 40,000
Committed cost
Maintenace cost 20,000 per annum
Revenue 15,000 per annum
Sale of Machine 25,000
1 2
Maintenace cost 20,000 20,000
Revenue 15,000
Sale of Machine 25,000
Keep
Sell the machine
Manufacturing
Keep
Sell the machine
Manufacturing
Revenue(15,000*2) 30,000 -
Sale of Machine 0 25,000
Total 30,000 25,000
Opportunity cost
Future cost
cash flow
Direct consquent
Material
Material X - 5,000 required 5,000 required
Not in store 420,000
In store 1,680,000
Total relevant cost 2,100,000
Total relevant cost 2,100,000
Material Y
Material Y - 2,000 required
Not in store 50,000
In store 36,000
Total relevant cost 86,000
by 10:00am
salary of 10,000 naira. For a standard 8 hours per day and 5 days a week
Hours 50,000
spare capacity
xxx
portunity cost xxx
xxx
Relevant cost 0
24,000
12,000
8,000
8,000
32,000
72,000
(200/2)*300 30,000
102,000
200
2
100
300
30,000
13,750
3,600
30,000
47,350
23,100
19,800
1,800
21,600
21,600
1,750
70,700
200
200
1,600
9,600
Unavoidable Irrelevant
Avoidable Relevant
Avoidable Relevant
Irrelevant
Relevant
Relevant
3
20,000 Committed
15,000
Committed Irrelevant
Relevant
Relevant
Relevant
Relevant
Based on opportunity cost=Minumum transfer price
variable cost xx
Opportunity cost xx
Based on opportunity cos x xxx
Tokas Tadex
Suppling division Buying division
Expected Value
Simulation
Maximax, Maximin and Minimax regret
Probability of each
Value of each outcome (X) px
outcome(p)
1 17%
2 17%
3 17%
4 17%
5 17%
6 17%
Project 1
Probability of each
Value of each outcome (X) px
outcome(p)
100 0.4 40
200 0.3 60
900 0.3 270
Expected value/weighted average value 370
Project 2
Probability of each
Value of each outcome (X) px
outcome(p)
0 0.4 0
500 0.3 150
600 0.3 180
Expected value/weighted average value 330
Project 3
Probability of each
Value of each outcome (X) px
outcome(p)
180 0.4 72
190 0.3 57
200 0.3 60
Expected value/weighted average value 189
Project 1 370
Project 2 330
Project 3 189
Project 1 370
Possible
100
200
900
Current policy
Number of defects
Possible outcomes (x) Probability px
0 0.99 0
1 0.07 0.07
2 0.02 0.04
3 0.01 0.03
0.14
Number of products 10,000
Expected number of defect 1,400
Proposed policy
Reduction in revenue (6*10,000) 60,000
Point C
Outcome outcome(x) probability(p)
Good 50,000 0.6
Poor (20,000) 0.4
Expected value at point C=22,000
Decision point A
Do not develop 0
Expected profit 0
Develop
Cost (12,000)
Expected value of benefit 17,600
Expected profit 5,600
Original Plan
Sales 200,000
Variable costs:
Materials 120,000
Labour 20,000
140,000
Contribution 60,000
Fixed cost 50,000
Profit 10,000
Profit 10,000
Material cost 120,000
Maximum change 8.333%
Profit 10,000
Labour 20,000
Maximum change 50%
Investment appraisal
NPV
10-5.7
=10-6
=IRR-COC/COC
CoC 20%
Increase by 25% 5.00%
25.00%
20%
5%
CoC 20%
IRR 25%
C Minimax regret
Decision - Buy 20 boxes
Worst possible
Best option 1,500 Best option
Buy 10 boxes 1,500 Buy 20 boxes
Regret - Regret
Most Likely
Best option 3,000 Best option
Buy 10 boxes 1,500 Buy 20 boxes
Regret 1,500 Regret
Best possible
Best option 4,500 Best option
Buy 10 boxes 1,500 Buy 20 boxes
Regret 3,000 Regret
Pathfinder
November 2021
Question 5
A B
Regret
Poor 50 0
Average 85 75
Good 0 290
Maximum regret 85 290
Maximin
Maximax
Minimax regret
Expected value
Decisions
Probabilities
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
Expected Profit
Decision 1 - Purcha
Outcome
Sales price
Purchase price
Holding cost
Profit
Purchase
Demand
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
Purchase
Demand
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
Purchase
Demand
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
Purchase
Demand
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
px
30,000
(8,000)
22,000
px
17,600
-
17,600
Profit 10,000
Material cost 120,000 8.333%
25.00%
25%
5%
30%
Best possible
Expanding
mand
30 boxes
1,500
3,000
4,500
ossible
1,500 Best option 1,500
(1,000) Buy 30 boxes (3,500)
2,500 Regret 5,000
ikely
3,000 Best option 3,000
3,000 Buy 30 boxes 500
- Regret 2,500
ssible
4,500 Best option 4,500
3,000 Buy 30 boxes 4,500
1,500 Regret -
C D
10 40
65 0
340 50
340 50
Expected Expected
Outcome - Demand
Contribution profit
1,100 1,200 1,300 1,400
0.30 0.40 0.20 0.10
4,950,000 4,750,000 4,550,000 4,350,000 4,730,000 80000 4,650,000
4,600,000 5,400,000 5,200,000 5,000,000 5,080,000 80000 5,000,000
4,250,000 5,050,000 5,850,000 5,650,000 5,030,000 80000 4,950,000
3,900,000 4,700,000 5,500,000 6,300,000 4,780,000 80000 4,700,000
2,000
5,000
80,000 Irrelevant - one off and constant regardless of the number of purchase
1,100
4,950,000 =4,500*1,100
4,750,000 =(4500*1,100)-(100*2,000)
4,550,000 =(4500*1,100)-(200*2,000)
4,350,000 =(4500*1,100)-(300*2,000)
1,200
4,600,000 =(4,500*1,100)-(100*3,500)
5,400,000 =(4,500*1,200)
5,200,000 =(4,500*1,200)-(100*2,000)
5,000,000 =(4,500*1,200)-(200*2,000)
1,300
4,250,000 =(4,500*1,100)-(200*3,500)
5,050,000 =(4,500*1,200)-(100*3,500)
5,850,000 =(4,500*1,300)
5,650,000 =(4,500*1,300)-(100*2,000)
1,400
3,900,000 =(4,500*1,100)-(300*3,500)
4,700,000 =(4,500*1,200)-(200*3,500)
5,500,000 =(4,500*1,300)-(100*3,500)
6,300,000 =(4,500*1,400)
Make-or-buy decisions
Alternatively
Cost of manufacturing internally
Variable cost of Manufacturing per unit 100
General overhead expenditure 48,000
No of units 1,000
General overhead expenditure per unit 48
Total Cost of manufacturing internally per unit 148
Alternatively
Cost of manufacturing internally
Variable cost of Manufacturing 100
Number of units 1,000
Total variable cost 100,000
Total Cost of manufacturing internally 100,000
Production Plan
A 10,000
B 4,000
Unsatisfied demand
B 1,000
C 3,000
Daily office
cleaning
Variable cost of doing work internally 600
Cost of sub-contracting 800
Extra cost of sub-contracting per unit 200
Hours saved from subcontracting 4
Extra cost per labour hour 50
Order of oursourcing 1st
Order of doing work internally 3rd
Production plan
Job Hours Units Cost per unit
Minor repairs 1,920 640 560
Intensive Cleaning 2,400 400 1080
Daily office cleaning 3,680 920 600
Daily office cleaning - Outsourced 580 800
Total monthly variable cost
10,000
Relevant Cost
Labour Cost -
Material X (100*180) 18,000
Material Y (24,000)
Storage unit - opportunity (11,000*3) 33,000
Overhead - variable (250*200) 50,000
Total relevant cost 77,000
Contract price 200,000
Extra benefit 123,000 Contract should be accepted
Shutdown decisions
P Q R S
Direct Material 300 500 400 700
Direct Labour 400 800 600 400
Variable overheads 100 200 100 100
Total variable cost 800 1,500 1,100 1,200
Sales 1,800 1,650 2,200 1,550
Contribution 1,000 150 1,100 350
Directly attributable fixed cost (400) (250) (300) (300)
Share of general fixed costs (200) (200) (300) (400)
Profit/Loss 400 (300) 500 (350)
Shutdown product Q
P Q R S
Direct Material 300 - 400 700
Direct Labour 400 - 600 400
Variable overheads 100 - 100 100
Total variable cost 800 - 1,100 1,200
Sales 1,800 - 2,200 1,550
Contribution 1,000 - 1,100 350
Directly attributable fixed cost (400) - (300) (300)
Share of general fixed costs (200) (200) (300) (400)
Profit/Loss 400 (200) 500 (350)
P Q R S
Contribution forgone 1,000 150 1,100 350
Directly attributable fixed cost (400) (250) (300) (300)
Incremental benefit/cost 600 (100) 800 50
Process A 4,000
X Y X Joint products
Further process
X+
Common Process
J1 J2
15,000
Further process
F1
Cheaper
Cheaper
tal hours required
Intensive Minor
cleaning repairs
1,080 560
1,500 1,000
420 440
6 3
70 146.66667
2nd 3rd
2nd 1st
Total cost
358,400
432,000
552,000
464,000
1,806,400
evant cost required to deliver the job
Total
1,900
2,200
500
4,600
7,200
2,600
(1,250)
(1,100)
250
Total
1,400
1,400
300
3,100
5,550
2,450
(1,000)
(1,100)
350
100
Total
1,200
1,800
400
3,400
5,650
2,250
(950)
(1,100)
200
(50)
Total
2,600
(1,250)
1,350
Product X Initial New Change Change %
Price 90 100 10 11%
Demand 2,000 1,600 400 20%
Elasticity 1.80
A
Full cost plus Unit Cost
Variable cost 60
Fixed cost((600,000+200,000)/40,000) 20
Full cost 80
Mark up at 20% 16
Full cost plus 20% mark up 96
VC 2,400,000
Fixed production 600,000
Fixed Non product 200,000
3,200,000
B Price 96
Units Naira
Budgeted sales quanity 80,000 1,600,000
BeP(Units) 75,000 1,500,000
Margin of safety (80,000-75,000) 5,000 100,000
Margin of safety ratio (5,000/80,000) 0.0625 0.0625
Margin of safety ratio(%) 6.25% 6.25%
Units 5,000
Contribution 700,000
Fixed cost 700,000
Target profit
A 1
B 1
C 1
D 1
A 1 X
B 2 3
C 2 15,000
D 1 30,000
X Y Total
Contribution per unit 25 9
Volume 15,000 5,000 20,000
Total contribution 375,000 45,000 420,000
Weighted average Contribution/unit 21
Fixed cost 315,000
BEP(Units) 11,250
3,750
BEP(Naira) 1,575,000
BEP(Naira) 300/420 1,125,000
BEP(Naira) 120/420 450,000
BEP(Units 11,250
BEP(Units 3,750
BEP(Units)
Fixed cost 12,000,000
Weighted average C/unit 75
BEP(Units) 160,000
300,000/400000* 120,000 Common bag
100,000/400000* 40,000 Executive Bag
C/Unit 40%
SP/Unit
0.4x 8
SP/Unit x 20
b Quantities xxx
Sales xxx
Variable cost xx
Contribution 32,000 8 4,000
Fixed cost 10,000
Profit 22,000
A B C
C/S ration 40% 40% 40%
Current selling price 20 20 20
Current sales volume 4,000 4,000 4,000
Reductio is SP 2% 5% 7%
Increase in sales volume 10% 18% 25%
Reduction in SP 0.4 1 1.4
New selling 19.6 19 18.6
Increase in sales volume 400 720 1,000
New sales volume 4,400 4,720 5,000
Sales revenue 86,240 89,680 93,000
Contribution 34,496 35,872 37,200
Fixed cost 10,000 10,000 10,000
Profit 24,496 25,872 27,200
A B
Revenue 8,400,000 25,200,000
SP 120 180
Quantities 70,000 140,000
Revenue
Variable cost
Contribution
Fixed cost
Profit before tax
Tax rate 40% of profit before tax 0.6x
PAT 12% of Revenue
490,000
1,120,000
0.4375
7
16
0.4375
Contribution 500,000
Fixed cost 500,000
Profit or loss 0
Fixed cost/C/unit
1 unit
A 1
B 2
Period 3 Ratio %
40 0.14285714 14.29%
80 0.28571429 28.57%
40 0.14285714 14.29%
120 0.42857143 42.86%
280
Airpod
1 batch 2 batches
Pod 2 4
Case 1 2
Y
1
5,000
10,000
(x+y)
x
y
x
y
(x+y)
x
y
x
y
(x+y)
x
y
x
y
Batches
5,000 5,000
3,750
1,250 Unit
0.25
25%
Batches
5,000
3,750
1,250
0.25
25%
Common bag
Executive bag
and SP/Unit