Chap024 6th
Chap024 6th
Chapter Twenty-Four
Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with
Loan Sales and Securitization
I. Chapter Outline
1. Why Financial Institutions Sell and Securitize Loans: Chapter Overview
2. Loan Sales
a. Types of Loan Sales Contracts
b. The Loan Sale Market
c. Secondary Market for Less Developed Country Debt
d. Factors Encouraging Future Loan Sales Growth
e. Factors Deterring Future Loan Sales Growth
3. Loan Securitization
a. Pass-Through Security
b. Collateralized Mortgage Obligation
c. Mortgage-Backed Bond
4. Securitization of Other Assets
5. Can All Assets Be Securitized?
24-1
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
24-2
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
Nonperforming sovereigns
V. Teaching Notes
2. Loan Sales
Loan sales have been a traditional activity of correspondent banking for over 100 years
in the U.S.2 Small banks often sell all or part of loans they have originated that are too
large for them to finance on their own, and large banks sell loan participations to smaller
banks. The market for buying and selling loans after origination is called the syndicated
loan market. This market has three type participants:
1. Market makers who commit capital to create liquidity and take outright positions
in the markets. These are primarily the large money center banks and investment
banks.
2. Institutions that actively participate in the market. These would include some
commercial and investment banks, insurers and specialized investment funds (see
below).
3. Occasional participants who either sell or buy loans as opportunities arise.
Examples would include smaller banks involved in correspondent relationships
purchasing pieces of large loans originated by bigger institutions, or the reverse
with the small banks selling shares in a loan to larger institutions.
2
Correspondent banking is the term used to characterize the relationship and the services large banks offer
to smaller banks.
24-3
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
Loan sales grew rapidly in the 1980s due to the growth of levered buy outs (LBOs).
Banks provided financing for many of these LBOs via lending for so called highly
leveraged transactions or HLTs. HLTs are primarily loans to finance takeovers and
mergers where the resulting borrower has a high leverage ratio after the takeover.
Technically a HLT is a transaction that meets the following two criteria: 1) the loan is for
a buyout, acquisition or recapitalization and 2) one of the following: either the company’s
liabilities are doubled as a result and the leverage ratio is at least 50%, or the resulting
leverage ratio is at least 75%. In some of the HLTs, large banks divested parts of the
loans to smaller banks in order to spread the high risk of these transactions. The quantity
of loan sales tends to rise and fall through time with M&A and HLT activity.
Loan Sales Through Time
Year Billions $ % Distressed
1980 < $ 20
1989 285
1999 79
2008 510 7.8%
2009 474 29.4%
2010 413 20.5%
2011 409 8.4%
2012 395 5.7%
2013 517 3.9%
Source:
https://www.loanpricing.com/analysis/152-2/
The HLT market grew rapidly in the 1980s, tapered off in the early 1990s, grew again in
the boom years of the latter part of the decade, dropped in the early 2000s and began
growing again with the economy by the mid 2000s. Loan sales continued to grow in
2007 and 2008 before falling with the crisis. The HLT market suffered larger declines
but bounced back along with total loan sales. Distressed loan sales were very high
following the crisis years.
A bank loan sale occurs when the originating institution sells the loan to another party. If
the loan is sold without recourse the loan is removed from the balance sheet and the
bank has no further liability in the event of borrower default. The bank may or may not
retain the workout responsibility (collections and resolution of problem loans). Most
loan sales are without recourse. If the sale is with recourse, the loan seller removes the
loan from the balance sheet, but the seller records a contingent liability that must be
disclosed in the footnotes. There may be reserve and capital requirements for loans sold
with resource.
Loan participations: A loan participation is buying a share in a loan, but the buyer
has only limited control and rights over the borrower. In particular, in a participation
the original loan agreement between the originating lender and the borrower remains
24-4
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
intact after the sale. The loan buyer is thus not a direct claimant of the borrower, but
of the loan seller. The loan buyer has only limited control over any changes in the
loan contract. The loan buyer(s) can only vote on changes in the interest rate or
collateral backing, but other contractual changes that the buyer does not approve can
occur. Thus, the loan buyers are clearly in a subordinate position to the original
lender. For example if a borrower fails to repay the original loan, the loan seller, who
normally retains a part of the loan, may agree to renegotiated terms that the loan
buyers do not want. Moreover if the loan seller fails, the original borrower’s debt
may be netted against any claims (such as deposits at the failed FI) the borrower has
against the selling FI. This would reduce the amount the loan buyers could collect.
The loan buyer must thus monitor the creditworthiness of the borrower (or trust the
loan seller to do so) and monitor the creditworthiness of the loan seller. Direct loan
participations occur in less than 10% of U.S. loan sales.
Teaching Tip: These characteristics keep the risk down. Many bankers, particularly at
smaller conservative institutions, are reluctant to invest in loans when they did not
conduct the credit evaluation. As a result, sales of well secured loans by creditworthy
corporations have been the traditional mainstay of the loan sale market.
HLT loan sales: Loan sales grow with the volume of HLTs. This segment of the
market was insignificant before 1985 but grew with the increased interest in LBOs
and takeovers in the latter part of the 1980s. HLTs and other loans can be either
‘distressed’ (the borrower is having difficulty making the scheduled loan payments)
or ‘nondistressed.’ A distressed HLT loan is valued at less than 80¢ on the dollar
(the text mentions 90¢ rather than 80¢). HLT loans are usually long term, secured
24-5
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
with collateral, floating rate and have strong covenant protections. Distressed loan
sales peaked at about 20% of loan sales in 2009 and 2010 before declining over the
next three years to a 2013 low of under 4%.
Teaching Tip: The junk bond market grew rapidly in the 1980s as takeovers of
increasingly larger firms occurred. Banks were unable or unwilling to provide the
necessary financing to fund the large takeovers. Michael Milken and his firm Drexel
Burnham saw an opportunity and successfully created a secondary market for junk bonds
(below investment grade bonds). Junk bond financing allowed the takeovers of firms
previously considered too large to acquire.
Loan buyers:
Vulture funds: These are specialized funds that invest in distressed loans and bonds.
These funds are often operated by investment banks. They can be actively managed; loan
purchasers of distressed funds are often able to dictate favorable terms that can result in
high rates of return. Other funds passively diversify their holdings instead, being content
with the higher promised yield on distressed loans. The active funds sometimes pressure
borrowers to restructure debts and/or sell off assets. These investors are looking for a
quick return on their capital, and unlike a bank lender, are usually not interested in
building long term relationships with the borrowers.
Investment banks: Investment banks invest in HLT loans because of their expertise in
analyzing M&A activity and their role in junk bond financing (a related product, see the
Teaching Tip above).
Foreign banks: Foreign banks are the dominant buyer of U.S. domestic loans. Loan
sales allow them to participate in U.S. loans without incurring the cost of branching.
Closed End Bank Loan Mutual Funds: Some mutual funds both purchase and originate
loans.
3
This problem can be partially resolved by requiring the selling institution to keep a significant portion of
the loan, as is usually the case and as is now required under the 2010 Dodd-Frank law.
24-6
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
24-7
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
Teaching Tip: Suppose a bank is technically insolvent but is still operating. Bank
managers have an incentive to sell loans at fire sale prices in order to raise cash to
keep the institution afloat as long as possible. Alternatively, suppose a corporation is
insolvent. Its banker may attempt to sell any loans the bank has with the corporation
at discounted prices to limit its losses. The loan buyer may be unaware of the
corporation’s insolvency and would be purchasing a claim that is different than
represented by the selling bank. Notice that both these problems stem from
information asymmetry between the parties.
In 2013 agency mortgage backed securities outstanding (MBS) totaled $5,905.6 billion or
83.9% of the total. Agency CMOs were $1,134.0 or about 16.1% of the total. Non-
Agency MBS were $1,681.9 or about 19.28% of the total outstanding.4 The Non-Agency
MBS market includes issuers involved in the bulk of the subprime market. According to
Thomson Financial, international securitization volume dropped by about 92% in the first
quarter of 2008 as compared to the same time period in 2007. This was the smallest
volume at the time since 1996.5 In 2010 mortgage related issuance was $1,746.8 billion.
Almost 98% of total issuance was by government agencies in 2010 and through May of
2011, so the private securitization market had not recovered by spring of 2011. In 2013
about 95% of MBS issuance continued to be agency backed. 6
4
All data are from the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (SIFMA) website.
5
See http://banker.thomsonib.com Debt Capital Markets
6
SIFMA website data
24-8
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
Although at first securitization was largely limited to mortgage loans, other loan types are
now being securitized and many new institutions had entered the securitization business
before the subprime crisis.
FNMA and FHLMC were quasi government agencies that are heavily involved in the
mortgage markets and securitization. These agencies reported losses of $9 billion in the
second half of 2007 related to the market for subprime MBS. In February 2008
regulators raised the caps on the size of jumbo mortgages FNMA and FHLMC could
purchase. In March 2008, regulators allowed both institutions to reduce their capital from
30% to 20%, both moves were attempts to add to liquidity in the ailing mortgage
markets, particularly for jumbo mortgages. The moves were expected to add up to $200
billion of liquidity in the mortgage markets and enable FNMA and FHLMC to purchase
or guarantee about $2 trillion in mortgages in 2008. Both institutions went bankrupt and
had to be placed in government conservatorship in September 2008. As of February
2011 the two agencies had cost taxpayers $133.7 billion net of funds paid back to the
government.7 However in 2012 and 2013 both entities made solid profits and have repaid
$66 billion of the funds received in 2008. The Treasury now expects a net profit of $50
billion. The return to profitability has made it more difficult to reform these institutions.
a. Pass-Through Security
With a mortgage pass-through security, after origination mortgages may be placed in a
pool held by a trustee and then mortgage pass-through securities may be sold to the
public. The pool organizer passes through all mortgage payments (less a servicing fee)
made by the homeowners, including prepayments, to the holders of the pass-through
securities on a pro-rata basis. Payments are thus monthly and are variable based on how
many homeowners pay off their mortgages early. The pool organizer and/or the
government usually provide insurance for the mortgages in the pool. Before the financial
crisis default risk was not generally a worry for a government backed pass-through
7
See FMCC at www.Bedford Report.com.
24-9
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
Teaching Tip: Privately Issued Pass-Throughs or PIPs are pass-throughs created without
government or quasi government involvement. Before the subprime crisis there were a
growing number of private mortgage pass-through issuers. They typically securitize
nonconforming mortgages that do not qualify for government insurance nor have
appropriate loan to value ratios.
8 ?
In reality the mortgages will be prepaid long before the maturity and the fee income will be less
than this.
9 ?
I assumed the SF mortgages have a 50% risk weight and I assumed an 8% minimum capital ratio
requirement similar to the text. See Chapter 13 for details on mortgage risk weighting.
10
For simplicity we assume a zero % rate of return on deposits at the Fed, although this is no longer
strictly true the rate earned is very low.
11
The amount invested in required reserves declines each year as the mortgages are amortized, the capital
required declines also. I used a spreadsheet to calculate the lost interest on the required reserves using the
declining reserve requirements each year. I did not account for prepayments. I ignored the declining
capital requirement in the capital cost calculation because the cost was relatively small to begin with.
24-10
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
Adding up the costs avoided and the fee income allows one to see why securitization has
grown in popularity.
Teaching Tip: These numbers are very rough guidelines of the costs involved. I
constructed them from common sense, but they may not be realistic guides to actual
costs. Instructors use them at your peril!
Securitization can reduce repricing and funding gap problems (interest rate risk)
because a long term fixed rate asset is removed from the balance sheet. The process can
also be used to reduce liquidity risk. The reduction in liquidity risk occurs because the
loans are now saleable and if the FI wishes to invest in the real estate markets mortgage
backed securities that are also liquid can replace the loan investments.
Prepayment Risk
Most mortgages are set up as fully amortized loans where there will be no remaining
balance at the end of the 30 year or 15 year maturity. However, most mortgages are also
prepaid (paid off in full prior to maturity). GNMA and other pass-throughs have little or
no default risk, but they have substantial prepayment risk (see Chapter 7). Prepayments
increase in falling interest rate environments and leave the pass-through holder with a
shorter maturity instrument than expected. The duration is reduced by prepayments so
the price gains anticipated from falling rates are not as large as predicted, but the lost
reinvestment income from having to reinvest at lower rates does occur. This can
substantially reduce the investor’s realized rate of return over time. The dollars of
interest earned each month can decline fairly rapidly as interest rates drop and
prepayments increase. The reduction in total expected cash flows over the life of the
pass-through dampens the increase in price associated with the interest rate drop, but the
future value of the reinvestment income declines due to the lower reinvestment rate and
the lower amount of interest that will be received.
CMOs are a hybrid between a pass-through and a bond. With a sequential pay CMO,
separate classes are created with different levels of prepayment protection. Suppose a
sequential pay CMO with a total pool value of $150 million has three classes, A, B and C
with principal amounts of $50 million per class. The Class A CMO holder would receive
all the initial principal payments (on the entire pool), including all prepayments on the
entire pool. These payments would reduce the Class A holders principal. Initially, Class
12
CMO tranches can also be set up for credit enhancement.
24-11
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
B and C holders would receive no principal payments until all of the principal of Class A
holders have been paid. Likewise, Class C is not affected by any prepayments until Class
B holders have been paid. The multiple classes allow investors to better choose the level
of prepayment risk desired.
Only Class A holders are initially affected by prepayments or any principal payments.
Once Class A principal is totally retired, Class B holders will begin to receive all
principal payments, including prepayments. CMOs sometimes have as many as
seventeen classes. Class A may have an expected maturity of 2 to 3 years, Class B may
have an expected maturity of 5 to 7 years, and Class C may have a typical expected
maturity of 8 to 10 years or more. Buyers of Class A bonds are seeking short duration
mortgage investments and are typically purchased by FIs with shorter time horizons,
including thrifts, banks and P&C insurers. Class B bonds have some prepayment
protection; these appeal to longer term investors such as banks, pension funds and life
insurance companies. Class C securities are generally desirable investments for
institutions seeking long term investments and are primarily held by pension funds and
life insurers. Each class is usually quoted at a markup over the appropriate maturity
Treasury rate. Thus mortgage investments offer a higher promised rate than
comparable maturity Treasuries with typically little or no additional default risk. Actual
promised rates depend upon expected prepayment patterns. Higher prepayments result in
shorter maturities. Pool organizers often can sell CMO claims for more total value than
similar pass-throughs because some investors are usually willing to pay more for the
additional prepayment protection.
The Z class
CMOs usually have a Z class which is different from the other classes. The Z class is a
residual claim on the mortgage pool. Initially the Z class receives no payments, but its
face value increases at a stated coupon rate. Once the principal on all other classes have
24-12
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
been fully paid, Z class investors begin to receive both interest and principal payments. Z
class investments are long duration and are thus risky. Faster prepayments will start
payments to the Z class investor sooner. An investor faces uncertainty when payments
will begin and how many payments will be received. Typical investors are institutions
such as hedge funds that are seeking long duration investments with higher risk and
return.
REMICs
The IRS normally rules that issuers that securitize and issue securities with multiple debt
classes are engaging in a taxable activity. If the IRS taxes the interest payments on the
mortgage backed securities CMOs could not offer competitive returns. To circumvent
this problem Congress created the Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduit (or
REMIC) trust that was specifically exempt from IRS taxation. Most CMOs are placed in
REMICs and the industry often uses the terms interchangeably.
POs exhibit greater volatility than an equivalent maturity bond. As interest rates fall
and prepayments increase, the present value of the cash flows will rise, increasing the
value of the PO and cash payments to the PO holder are accelerated, further increasing
the value of the PO. The converse is also true. In this case, the present value and
prepayment effects both work in the same direction to increase the PO’s volatility relative
to a standard bond. POs may appeal to investors who want a potentially higher rate of
return than a standard bond offers without facing additional default risk. POs may also
be useful for FIs who wish to increase the interest rate sensitivity of their assets. For
24-13
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
instance, POs may be useful hedging investments for institutions with a negative duration
gap or positive repricing gaps.
Both IOs and POs can be used to hedge balance sheet interest rate exposures. These are
examples of financial engineering.
2. Planned Amortization Class CMO
An alternative to a sequential pay CMO is the planned amortization class (PAC) CMO.
The basic PAC CMO has two classes:
The PAC or Planned Amortization Class:
For a range of Prepayment Speeds, for example, 80% of standard to 250% of
standard, the maturity of the PAC and the principal and interest payments
received will not change. That is, payments will be according the original
planned amortization schedule. PAC investors have a higher degree of certainty
of the cash flows they will receive and the maturity of their investments than
investors in pass-throughs.
The “Companion Class.” (The text uses the term “Support Class” instead)
The Companion Class receives all prepayments as long as prepayment speed stays
within the given range. If the prepay speed moves outside the standard range,
prepayments are shared between the PAC and Companion Class.
Other types of CMOs exist. The websites of FHLMC and FNMA can provide more
examples.
Teaching Tip: With a pass-through security, the investor bears all of the prepayment risk.
24-14
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
With a non-callable mortgage backed bond the issuer bears all of the prepayment risk.
With a CMO the prepayment risk is shared between the issuer and the investors and the
investors can choose their desired level of prepayment protection by choosing between
the different CMO classes.
Teaching Tip: The Paulson reform plan put forth in spring 2008 suggested that regulators
encourage the use of mortgage backed bonds rather than other forms of securitization
because it makes banks maintain capital to back the mortgages. Securitization has
removed the loans from the balance sheet and may have encouraged banks to create
excessive amounts of mortgage credit to less creditworthy borrowers.
In total, $1,355 billion of non-first mortgage related asset backed securities were
outstanding in 2013.
13
Data are from The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (SIFMA) website.
24-15
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
As the yield curve flattened in the mid-2000s profit margins were squeezed and more
CDOs began to add riskier securities to the asset pool; some added subprime mortgages.
When subprime defaults and past dues began to increase, the security of senior tranche
holders quickly evaporated and CDO organizers had difficulty persuading investors to
refinance in the asset backed commercial paper tranche.
Some CDOs were used to remove assets from the balance sheet as discussed under
securitization benefits above. Some were formed because the organizer hoped to earn the
difference between the interest earned on the assets and the interest paid to tranche
holders. This type is termed an arbitrage CDO. If the underlying asset portfolio is
predominantly loans it is termed a Collateralized Loan Obligation or CLO. If the
collateral is asset backed securities or mortgage backed securities it is called a ‘structured
finance’ CDO. A special type of CDOs called synthetic CDOs sell credit default swaps
(CDS) rather than invest in securities. Finally CDO2 are CDOs that invest in other
synthetic or cash CDOs rather than securities.
14
Information is drawn from Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association website and from
“CDOs in Plain English: A Summer Intern’s Letter Home,” Nomura Fixed Income Research, September
13, 2004, Nomura Securities International.
15
You may also hear the term SIV. A Structured Investment Vehicle (SIV) is a type of CDO that is more
actively managed and does not have a maturity date.
16
The term Cash Flow CDO means the CDO has purchased securities as assets. A Synthetic CDO
is one with credit default swap (CDS) payments as the asset. The term Hybrid CDO is used when the
CDO has both standard assets and CDS payments as assets.
24-16
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
CDOs are yet another form of securitization that contributed to the credit crunch when
problems developed in the subprime mortgage markets. These instruments are
complicated and difficult to value, especially the more exotic forms. It is doubtful that all
investors understood the risks they faced. CDOs are structured based on correlation
analysis of security prices in normal markets and even small changes in the underlying
security values can result in declines in credit quality of even senior tranches. In the
credit crunch asset correlations all increased toward +1. Under most CDO contracts,
collateral declines from dropping asset values can force CDO managers to change
investment policies to restore collateralization levels. This in turn can force asset sales
and in the markets managers faced in 2007 these sales led to additional declines in asset
values. CDO issuance rose from only $10 billion in 1995 to over $500 billion in 2006.
After the financial crisis issuance in 2010 was a mere $8.7 billion although the market
recovered substantially in 2012 and 2013 when $64.3 and $90.2 billion were issued. In
2013, there were $711,170.9 million of CDOs outstanding globally.
Using CDOs allows banks to create more mortgages which are then placed into a CDO
structure. As we found out in 2007 and 2008, the banks still had responsibility for these
mortgages even though they were not required to hold capital to back them since they had
been shifted off the balance sheet. Should these complex investment vehicles be banned?
Innovations such as these that allow risk sharing probably provide net benefits to society,
but regulators must move more quickly to understand the risks involved from financial
engineering before a crisis occurs.
24-17
Chapter 24 - Managing Risk off the Balance Sheet with Loan Sales and Securitization 6th Edition
3. At Fannie Mae’s website find out what the terms floaters and inverse floaters
mean. Also what are the major risks of REMICS? Identify and explain each.
4. At the FDIC’s website find the most recent amount of loans sold with
recourse by type of loan. Which type is largest? As a percentage of loans (per type)
how many loans are sold with recourse?
6. At the SIFMA website find the excel file for Global CDO Issuance. Looking
at the CDO Type section, describe what happened to CDO issuance each year from
2005 to the present? Explain the pattern you find.
24-18