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Williamsbarrett Financial Securities PowerPoint

Esta guia de deuda a corto plazo te ayudara a entender las formulas adecuadas para calcular tu rendimiento

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15 views11 pages

Williamsbarrett Financial Securities PowerPoint

Esta guia de deuda a corto plazo te ayudara a entender las formulas adecuadas para calcular tu rendimiento

Uploaded by

alexrg996
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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THE FAST FOURIER TRANSFORM IN

FINANCE
BY: BARRETT WILLIAMS
KEY POINTS

• What is a Fast Fourier Transform?


• How are they used in finance?
• My model and its outcomes
• Improvements
• Summary
THE FAST FOURIER TRANSFORM
• FFT: is an algorithm that computes the Discrete Fourier Transform of a
sequence or its inverse, often times both are preformed.
• Fourier Analysis finds a signal from the domain of the data, usually time or
space, and transforms it into a representation of frequency.
• The algorithm is used to predict future values in a multitude of different fields
from environmental data to financial data.
𝑁 −2𝜋 2𝑛 𝑖𝑘 𝑁 −2𝜋 2𝑛+1 𝑖𝑘
−1 −1
• 2
𝑛=0
𝑎2𝑛 𝑒 𝑁 + 2
𝑛=0
𝑎2𝑛+1 𝑒 𝑁
FFT IN FINANCE

• They are mostly used to compute future predictions of the prices of financial
derivatives.
• Can be used for plain vanilla equities, but not normally implemented due to the fact that
derivatives are more mathematically backed. Meaning that there are more parameters
to aid in forecasting.

• This type of valuation is mostly used by quantitative hedge funds that employ
complex algorithmic trading strategies.
FFT IN FINANCE
• The following slides will be how the FFT is used to price an option call
2𝜋
−1 𝑁 𝑗−1 𝑘−1
• 𝜔𝑘 = 𝑁
𝑗=1 𝑒 𝑋 𝑗 for k=1,…,N
• N is typically a power of 2. The algorithm reduces it from 𝑁 2 to 𝑁𝑙𝑛2 (𝑁). The
exp −𝛼𝑘 𝑁 −𝑖𝑣𝑗 𝑘
approximation of the call price 𝐶𝑇 𝑘 ≈ 𝑗=1 𝑒 Ψ𝑇 𝑣𝑗 𝜂
𝜋
• The upper limit for integration is now 𝑎 = 𝑁𝜂. We are mostly focusing on near-the-money
calls with this integration.
• The FFT returns N values of k and we will then employ normal spacing of size λ, this
gives us k values of:
• 𝑘𝑢 = −𝑏 + λ(𝑢 − 1) for u=1,…,N
FTT IN FINANCE

• This returns log strike levels from –b to b, where 𝑏 = 12 𝑁λ


• Incorporate Simpson's rule of weighting into the summation and the restriction
2𝜋
λη = , the call price can be rewritten as:
𝑁

• 𝐶𝑇 𝑘𝑢 ≈ exp −𝛼𝑘
𝜋
𝑢 𝑁
𝑗=1 𝑒 −𝑖𝑣𝑗 𝑘
Ψ𝑇 𝑣𝑗
η
3
3 + −1 𝑗 − 𝛿𝑗−1
• Where 𝛿_𝑛 is the Kronecker delta function that is unity for n=0 and zero otherwise.
MODEL AND ITS
OUTCOMES
• Used a non-linear least-
squares to fit this quadratic
equation.
• Linear was not strong
enough and a cubic fit
went off to infinity
because it tried to map
the peaks to close and
couldn’t.
MODEL AND ITS OUTCOMES
MODEL AND ITS
OUTCOMES
• I obtained the theoretical (predicted)
values (red) by taking the IFFT of the
curve I got from the first 162 days. I
then used this to interpolate the next
90 days of data and plotted it against
the actual 90 days (blue).
• I obtained a 55% correlation, but my
percent error was much than expected
for only having a 55% correlation. I
had a 15% error of average of the
90 interpolated data points.
IMPROVEMENTS

• The model works much better for stocks that are not as volatile, but I really
wanted to test it.
• I could implement spectral interpolation. This was one of the more popular
ways to increase the resolution of FFT models
• When looking at a peak in the frequency spectrum of a signal, the relationship between
the bin of highest magnitude with those surrounding it can provide valuable information.
• If, there is a relationship between consecutive FFT bin magnitudes, it can be used to
approximate the exact frequency of the input sine, even if it is not equal to one of the bin
frequencies.
SUMMARY

• FFT models have become very prominent in application do to there powerful


and accurate prediction ability.
• They are not going away in finance anytime soon.

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