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16 Efg

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)

20 views2 pages

16 Efg

Uploaded by

tuantuan210920041

Copyright

© © All Rights Reserved

We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.

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16

e.

January 2007 = 444.180

f.
MAPE Winter method = 0.3958 > Exponential smoothing (0.0769451) > Naïve
Model (0.076584)
 I prefer the Naïve Model because of the lowest MAPE
g.
From lag 1 to 6, autocorrelations are close to 0 and fall within the confidence
bounds. LBQ after 6 lags don’t appear large so the residual series are not significant
and Winter’s procedure is working well.

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