Investa Learn
Investa Learn
Technical analysis is a term that we hear a lot in the stock market. But what does it
actually mean and how can it help you with stock trading? Today, we’ll cover the basics
and tell you everything you need to know.
Technical analysts look at the price movement over time, trading volume, and other
historical market data. Then, they find trends and patterns which can be used to predict
future price movements.
It can seem complicated at first, but many traders actually find it easier than its
counterpart, fundamental analysis. It’s less subjective, involves less research, and can
be used even if you don’t know a lot about the industry or company.
**To read more about fundamental analysis vs. technical analysis, click here.
In general, there are two sides when it comes to stock market analysis—
fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Today we’ll discuss both methods and
explain their advantages and disadvantages.
**Before we begin, you may want to check out these basic terms to help you understand
this article better.
Being profitable in the stock market is not easy as it requires not only your belief,
patience, and discipline, but also a great deal of your time to research and adequate
understanding of the market, among many others.
Here’s a list of common stock market terminologies that you will inevitably come
across in your investing journey. We’ve also added the gist of their definitions to get you
ahead as learning these jargons (for newbies) is of extreme importance especially when
you are starting out.
The goal here is not to memorize every terminology but use it as a guide to understand
each vocabulary so you may take value from it:
MARKET STATUSES
Pre-Open Period – trading participants can modify and cancel existing orders or
enter new orders
Pre-Open No-Cancel Period – trading participants may enter new orders but
may not modify or cancel open orders
Opening Period – opening prices are calculated during this period
Continuous Trading – the period where trading participants’ orders are matched
and may enter, cancel, and edit orders
Market Recess – the period where trading-related activities are halted
Market Resumes – trading-related activities continue
Pre-Close Period – indicates the last two minutes to open new orders but can’t
cancel or modify orders
Run-off Period – trading participants can still enter limit and market orders but
matching for both is executed at the closing price of the stock
ORDER TERMS
ORDER TYPES
Market Order – these are buy and sell orders that transacts the current bid and
ask prices
Limit Order – this type of order allows you to set the price you’re willing to buy or
sell a stock far from the current prices
Iceberg Orders– allows you to hide a portion of the volume of your order
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis – a method of stock market analysis that uses past data and
statistics to predict future movements in the market
Trend – the general direction of a market, a stock, or the price of an asset based
on a chart of its historical value
Uptrend – when price movements consistently reach higher highs and higher lows
Downtrend – when price movements consistently reach lower highs and lower
lows
Sideways – when the price of a stock moves in a generally flat manner
Chart – a visual summary of a stock’s prices within a certain period
Open – the first price at which a stock is sold for a particular day
High – the highest price at which a stock is sold for a particular day
Low – the lowest price at which a stock is sold for a particular day
Close – the last price at which a stock is sold for a particular day
Volume – the number of shares that are bought and sold on a particular day
Value Traded – volume multiplied by the price that investors have paid for a
stock
Indicators/Oscillators – measurements that investors use to anticipate price
movements, momentum, and other behaviors of a particular stock or market
Support – a price level at which, historically, a stock has had difficulty falling
below
Resistance – a price level which historically, a stock has had difficulty breaking
above
Breakdown – a situation where the price falls below the support level
Breakout – a situation where the price rises above the resistance level
Reversal – the change of a price level from resistance/support to
support/resistance after a breakout/breakdown
Cut Loss/Stop Loss – realizing or actualizing your loss by selling the stock to save
you from a bigger loss
Bottom-Picking– the act of buying a stock with the anticipation that it has
bottomed out from its downtrend
Divergence – this happens when a technical indicator and price action are headed
into opposite directions
Bullish Divergence – a signal that indicates an impending upward move
Bullish Signal – signal that is given by a technical indicator that indicates a
possible bullish move
Bearish Divergence – a signal that indicates an impending downward move
Bearish Signal – a signal that is given by a technical indicator that indicates a
possible bearish move
Volatility– the proportion or rate wherein the price of a stock is increasing or
decreasing
Confluence – this occurs when multiple indicators or strategies share the same
sentiment/bias
Insider Trading – this is done by someone who has non-disclosed, nonpublic
information about a company and trades its shares based on it
Rally – a period of continuous surges, whether downward or upward, in price
Parabolic Move – an upward movement in price where it moves in the manner of
a parabola
Oversold – a reading made by a technical indicator that indicates that it’s below
its period’s “true” value
Overbought – a reading made by a technical indicator that indicates that it’s
above its period’s “true” value
Momentum – the rate of the acceleration of a stock’s price
Momentum Trading – the method of buying a stock while there’s buying
pressure from other investors or traders
Range Trading – a strategy where a trader buys at support and sells at resistance
during a sideways movement
Target Price (TP) – the price point where you plan to sell a position
Time Stop – a way to sell a stock when it isn’t moving within your bias in a
specified time
Trail Stop – an amount below the current trading price of a stock that you plan to
sell it for a profit
Tranche Buying – the action of buying a stock in portions
Tranche Selling – the action of selling a stock in portions
Technical analysis, on the other hand, is easier to apply to short-term stock trading.
This method uses historical data on price, volume, and other statistics to predict future
price movements. Stock charts are commonly used in technical analysis to track and
analyze patterns that can predict price movement.
In reality, most traders will use a combination of these two methods. A general rule of
thumb is that fundamental analysis will help you determine which companies to invest
in, while technical analysis will help you determine when you should buy and sell shares
of these companies.
When looking at the financial statements, one of the most important indicators is the
company’s net income. We’re not talking about NGO’s or charities after all. In the stock
market, a company needs to be making money to be valuable. However, you should
remember that a company’s income only shows one part of the picture.
Using a combination of financial statements and news, you can answer more complex
questions such as: Are the company’s expenses high compared to the industry average?
What amount of its earnings are retained and reinvested into the company? Are they
constantly improving their product or service? What are their plans for the future and will
these plans increase or decrease their value? What risks are they taking are you willing
to take on the same risk?
There is no single way to do fundamental analysis, but at the end of the day there is one
question every fundamentalist is trying to answer: Is this a business that I want to
put my money into?
Identifying chart patterns such as the cup and handles, head and shoulders,
ascending triangle, etc.
Assessing the market sentiment based on price movement, volume, moving
averages, etc.
Identifying and riding trends until your preferred indicators signal otherwise
Whatever your preferred methods for technical analysis, the objective remains the
same: To capitalize on patterns formed by the unified emotions and reactions
of market players.
If you want to invest long-term, then you might want to go for a more fundamental
approach. You’ll have to do more work initially, but you won’t be as sensitive to the day-
to-day price fluctuations. If you are able to buy an undervalued stock, all those ups and
downs will still result in an overall price increase and profit for you.
If you’re going for a short-term investment, then technical analysis might be a better
option. Because prices tend to fluctuate, patterns in price movement will more
accurately predict the stock price tomorrow or next week. The emotions and reactions of
market players have a bigger impact on short-term investments because there isn’t
enough time for the ups and downs to average out—unlike in long-term investments.
Our advice?
The more knowledge you have, the better. Learning both fundamental and technical
analysis will not only help you make better decisions, but also give you more confidence
in yourself and your trades. This will prevent you from giving into hyped up stocks or
selling your stocks too early because you doubted yourself. It will also allow you to start
building your own stock trading system and strategy—the foundation of any trader trying
to make money in the stock market.
Even if you eventually become a pure fundamental or technical trader, you won’t know
which method works best for you if you don’t try them both first! You may even use one
method to validate your analysis using the other. So give both methods a try, and tell us
about your experience in the comments below.
This is one of the strongest assumptions in TA. Here, we assume that all publicly
available information is already “priced-in” or reflected in the stock price.
Our assumption is that when market players get information, they react to it by either
buying or selling shares. Because of this, supply and demand will immediately adjust
along with the stock’s price.
Any news, disclosures, or announcements won’t matter anymore because the market is
always a step ahead. You can never have any “new” information that the market didn’t
already account for,
Technical analysts believe that price movements are not random. They will always move
in some general direction, whether upward, downward, or sideways.
For example, if a certain stock’s price is increasing, then it is more likely that the price
will continue to increase. If the price is going down, then it is more likely that the price
will continue to go down.
The trend can be short-, medium-, or long-term, but prices always tend to move in one
direction and are more likely to continue that trend rather than move randomly.
People behave in a predictable way. Because of this, similar events and information are
usually met with similar reactions. Bad earnings will make people want to sell, expansion
plans will make people want to buy, and so on.
This allows us to use past market data and chart patterns to predict future price
movements and market behavior.
Resistance is simply
the opposite of support.
This is the point where
the stock price usually
starts going down
because there is too
much supply and not enough demand. Masyadong marami nang gusto magbenta kaya
bumababa yung presyo.
Support and resistance levels are not always precise and they can be broken, but it’s a
simple and proven concept that many find useful. The basic rule when trading using
support and resistance is to buy on support and sell on resistance.
2. Trend Analysis
There are always going to be ups and downs in the stock market and in every stock, but
these ups and downs will eventually form a trend that moves in some general direction—
this is actually one of the key assumptions of TA that we discussed above.
Uptrend
Identified by a series of
higher highs and higher
lows. The general
movement over time is
going upward.
Downtrend
Identified by a series of
lower highs and lower
lows. The general
movement over time is going downward.
Sideways
3. Volume
A lot of technical analysis involves looking at the stock price, but that’s not the only
important statistic in TA. Another equally important, if not more important, number to
look at is the trading volume.
The trading volume tells you the number of shares that were bought and sold in a
particular time frame (usually a day). You can see the volume shown as a bar graph at
the bottom of the stock chart.
Volume is important
because it gives context
to price movements. It
tells you how strong or
weak a trend or chart
pattern is.
For example: If the price of a downtrending stock starts going up, does it mean the trend
changed to an uptrend? Take a look at the volume and you’ll find out. If the volume is
low, then the trend will probably continue going down. If the trading volume is high, it
means that there is a strong demand for the stock and the trend will likely change to an
uptrend.
The rule of thumb? Kung high volume, push mo na. Kung low volume, ingat
muna.
4. CHART PATTERNS
There are many kinds of charts that traders can use to monitor the stock market, but the
most popular is probably the candlestick chart.
A candlestick chart shows four key prices for the day—the opening price, closing price,
highest price, and lowest price. These are based on that day’s completed transactions.
A “double top” or
“double bottom” forms
when a stock hits its
existing support or
resistance level two
times without breaking
through. After the
second peak or valley,
watch out to see if the
chart breaks the key
support or resistance level. If it does, you will likely see it continue all the way up or
down, forming a trend reversal.
5. Moving Averages
There are many types of moving averages used in technical analysis, but they all have
one intention—to remove day-to-day price fluctuations and make chart analysis easier.
Moving averages allow us to plot smoother lines that show trends and patterns more
clearly.
One of the most popular types of moving averages is the simple moving average
(SMA). We’ll focus on this for now.
To find the simple moving average, just get the sum of all the prices in a certain period
and divide it by the number of prices you added up. The most common periods used in
TA are the last 20, 50, 100, or 200 trading days but you can really use any period you
want.
You can use these moving averages to determine support and resistance levels and to
identify trend reversals.
A long-term moving average, like the 200-day moving average, is often used as a basis
for the stock’s support or resistance. It shows the general trend that the stock has been
moving in.
A short-term moving average, like the 20-day moving average, shows how the stock is
performing now . When compared to the long-term moving average, it shows to how the
stock is performing compared to its past performance.
Conclusion
We talked about a lot in this article, but we barely scratched the surface of technical
analysis! As you practice trading, you will learn how to combine these concepts and turn
them into practical and useful trading strategies.
Stay tuned as we dive deeper into each of the concepts in our next articles and
subscribe to InvestaDaily for more investing tips and stock market advice!
In the meantime, try applying the concepts above in your trading! Leave your comments
below and update us on how you’re doing. 🙂
In this article, we’re going to tackle how you can find your bread-and-butter setups in the
market.
Here are the steps to find the right trading setup for you:
1. Know your trading profile. Ask yourself questions such as:
a. Which setups can you trade while working on your day job?
b. Are you more fitted to trade setups with trend-following objective?
c. Do you want to trade bounce play setups but can only enter EOD (end of day)?
3. Paper Trade
a. Try out the setup in real-time without using real money and make use of Virtual
Trading to test your skills. Try https://www.investagrams.com/vTrade
Take one setup at a time. It’s best not to be called as someone who’s the jack of all
trades or like a soldier who’s manning a machine gun shooting at everything. Instead, be
more like a sniper, calmly waiting for his target and shooting with high accuracy.
As Bruce Lee puts it, “I fear not the man who has practiced 10,000 kicks once, but I fear
the man who has practiced one kick 10,000 times.”