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Ps Important Questions

Probability

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8 views2 pages

Ps Important Questions

Probability

Uploaded by

praneeththota123451
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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1)A doctor is called to see a sick child.

The doctor has prior information that 90% of sick


children in that neighborhood have the flu, while the other 10% are sick with 1 measles. Let F
stand for an event of a child being sick with flu and M stand for an event of a child being sick
with measles. Assume for simplicity that F ∪ M = Ω, i.e., that there no other maladies in that
neighborhood. A well-known symptom of measles is a rash (the event of having which we
denote R). Assume that the probability of having a rash if one has measles is P(R | M) = 0.95.
However, occasionally children with flu also develop rash, and the probability of having a rash if
one has flu is P(R | F) = 0.08. Upon examining the child, the doctor finds a rash. What is the
probability that the child has measles?

2) You take an exam that contains 20 multiple-choice questions. Each question has 44 possible
options. You know the answer to 10 questions, but you have no idea about the
other 1010 questions so you choose answers randomly. Your score Xon the exam is the total
number of correct answers. Find the PMF of X. What is P(X>15)?

3) The average number of acres burned by forest and range fires in a large New Mexico county is
4,300 acres per year, with a standard deviation of 750 acres. The distribution of the number of
acres burned is normal. What is the probability that between 2,500 and 4,200 acres will be
burned in any given year?

4) A government agency was charged by the legislature with estimating the length of time it
takes citizens to fill out various forms. Two hundred randomly selected adults were timed as
they filled out a particular form. The times required had mean 12.812.8 minutes with standard
deviation 1.71.7 minutes. Construct a 90%90% confidence interval for the mean time taken for
all adults to fill out this form.

5) From following information find the correlation coefficient between advertisement expenses
and sales volume using Karl Pearson’s coefficient of correlation method

Firm 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Advertisement Exp. (Rs. In 11 13 14 16 16 15 15 14 13 13


Lakhs)

Sales Volume (Rs. In Lakhs) 50 50 60 65 65 65 55 60 60 50

6) A gambler plays a game that involves throwing 3 dice in a succession of trials. His winnings
are directly proportional to the number of sixes recorded. If the dice are fair, what is the
probability distribution that governs the outcome of each throw? The frequencies of the sixes
observed in 100 trials are recorded, together with their expected values, in the following table:

You are asked to assess whether it is likely that the dice have been unfairly weighted, using a
chi-square test of goodness of fit.
7) A psychologist claims that the number of repeat offenders will decrease if firsttime offenders
complete a particular rehabilitation course. You randomly select 10 prisons and record the
number of repeat offenders during a two-year period. Then, after first-time offenders complete
the course, you record the number of repeat offenders at each prison for another two-year
period. The results are shown in the following table. At 0.05 significance level, can you support
the psychologist’s claim?

Prison 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Before 21 34 9 45 30 54 37 36 33 40

After 19 22 16 31 21 30 22 18 17 21

8) Suppose 30% of the women in a class received an A on the test and 25% of the men received
an A. The class is 60% women. Given that a person chosen at random received an A, what is the
probability this person is a women?

9) Based on field experiments, a new variety green gram is expected to given an yield of
12.0quintals per hectare. The variety was tested on 10 randomly selected farmers fields. The
yield ( quintals/hectare) were recorded as 14.3,12.6,13.7,10.9,13.7,12.0,11.4,12.0,12.6,13.1.
Do the results conform the expectation?

10) Let XX be a positive continuous random variable. Prove


that EX=∫∞0P(X≥x)dxEX=∫0∞P(X≥x)dx.

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