s09 Optimal Policy (Complete)
s09 Optimal Policy (Complete)
Bruno Salcedo
cbna
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four economic policies
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four government policies
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◮ Policy implications can depend on type of market
– Textbook largely focuses on perfect competition
– Market works well =⇒ policy has mostly downsides
– Wrong takeaway: government interventions are always bad
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price floors
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Definition — A price control is a rule that restricts the set
of prices at which trade can take place
◮ Typical examples:
– Minimum wage
– Rent controls
– Drug price caps
– Taxi and private transit fares
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minimum wage
◮ Policy objectives
– Ensure minimum living standards
– Protect small employees from unequal bargaining
– Alleviate poverty (reduce crime, homelessness,. . . )
– Distributive justice
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a competitive labour market
24.00
20.00 S
16.00
12.00 b
8.00
4.00 D
10 20 30 40 50 L
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ineffective minimum wage
24.00
20.00 S
16.00
12.00 b
4.00 illegal D
10 20 30 40 50 L
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effective minimum wage
24.00
20.00 S
12.00 b
8.00
4.00 illegal D
10 20 30 40 50 L
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NJ and PA fast food wages
Card & Krueger (1993) “Minimum Wages and Employment: A Case Study of the
Fast-Food Industry in New Jersey and Pennsylvania.” American Economic Review,
84(4):772–793.
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NJ and PA fast food wages
Card & Krueger (1993) “Minimum Wages and Employment: A Case Study of the
Fast-Food Industry in New Jersey and Pennsylvania.” American Economic Review,
84(4):772–793.
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effective minimum wage
24.00
20.00 S
16.00 b
minimum wage
12.00 b
8.00
4.00 D
10 20 30 40 50 L
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dead-weight loss
24.00
20.00 S
16.00 b
minimum wage
12.00 b
8.00
4.00 D
10 20 30 40 50 L
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unemployment
24.00
20.00 S
16.00 b
minimum wage
12.00 b
8.00 b
4.00 D
10 20 30 40 50 L
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change in worker surplus
W W W
b b
b b
L L L
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change in worker surplus
W W W
b b
b b
L L L
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effective minimum wage in a competitive market
◮ Causes unemployment
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effective minimum wage in a competitive market
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Card and Krueger (1993)
“Our empirical findings challenge the prediction that a rise in the mini-
mum [wage] reduces employment. Relative to stores in Pennsylvania, fast
food restaurants in New Jersey increased employment by 13 percent. . .
Stores that were unaffected by the minimum wage had the same em-
ployment growth as stores in Pennsylvania, while stores that had to in-
crease their wages increased their employment.”
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elasticity of low-wage labour supply
https://economic.github.io/owe/
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price ceilings
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rent controls
◮ Policy objectives
– Ensure access to housing
– Protect tenants from unequal bargaining
– Alleviate poverty (reduce crime, homelessness,. . . )
– Distributive justice
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a competitive housing market
1500.00
1250.00 S
1000.00
750.00 b
500.00
250.00 D
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effective rent control in a competitive market
1500.00
1250.00 S
1000.00 b
750.00 b
500.00 b b
maximum rent
250.00 D
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is real estate competitive?
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a monopolistic housing market
1200.00
1000.00 MC
800.00 b
600.00
400.00
200.00 D
MR
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ineffective rent control
1200.00
illegal
1000.00 MC
rent ceiling
800.00 b
600.00
400.00
200.00 D
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effective rent control
1200.00
illegal
1000.00 MC
800.00 b
400.00
200.00 D
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added housing
1200.00
1000.00 MC
800.00 b
600.00 b
rent ceiling
400.00
200.00 D
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welfare gains
1200.00
1000.00 MC
800.00 b
600.00 b
rent ceiling
400.00
200.00 D
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effects of effective rent control
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◮ Effective price controls can affect trade levels and total surplus
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How do we find the optimal price ceiling for a monopoly?
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marginal-cost price cap
1200.00
1000.00 MC
800.00
600.00 b
rent ceiling
400.00
200.00 D
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MC rule ideal if above ATC
1200.00
1000.00 MC
800.00
600.00 b ATC
400.00
200.00 D
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otherwise it leads to loses
1200.00
1000.00 MC
800.00
b
ATC
600.00 b
rent ceiling
400.00
200.00 D
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average-pricing price cap
1200.00
1000.00 MC
800.00
b ATC
600.00 b
400.00
200.00 D
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monopoly deadweight loss
P P P
b
b
Q Q Q
free market ATC price cap MC price cap
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optimal price cap for monopolist
MC = P
MC < LRAC
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Hayek (1945)
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◮ How does the government know the MC/ATC?
– Accounting cost 6= economic cost
– Firms may not know their own economic cost
– Firms can misrepresent their true economic cost
◮ So what do we do?
– Best possible regulation given information constraints
– Mechanism design based on game theory
– Very recent technology (Laffont & Tirole, 1986)
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Maskin (1993)
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Tirole (2018) “Economics for the Common Good.” Princeton University Press.
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taxes
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Definition — taxes are a compulsory contribution to state
revenue
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tax revenue in Canada
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sales tax
◮ Tax rate
– Real life—percentage of transaction value
– This class—fixed number of dollars per unit sold
◮ Wedge between the unit price paid by sellers and received by buyers
Pbuyers = Psellers + T
Tax Revenue = T × Q
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a competitive market
1.50
1.25 S
1.00
0.75 b
0.50
0.25 D
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50 cents tax on sellers =⇒ shortage
P
1.50
1.25 S
1.00
0.75 b
wedge
0.50
0.25 b
D
shortage
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50 cents tax on sellers
P
1.50 S + tax
1.25 S
1.00
0.75 b
tax
0.50
0.25 b
D
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equilibrium with tax
1.50 S + tax
1.25 S
1.00 b
tax
0.75
0.50 b
0.25 D
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tax revenue
1.50 S + tax
1.25 S
1.00 b
tax
0.75
0.50 b
0.25 D
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total surplus
1.50 S + tax
1.25 S
1.00 b
tax
0.75
0.50 b
0.25 D
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value added vs. final consumer
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Who pays the sales tax?
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tax sellers
1.50 S + tax
1.25 S
1.00 b
0.75 b
0.50 b
0.25 D
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tax buyers
1.50
1.25 S
1.00 b
0.75 b
0.50 b
0.25 D
D - tax
100 200 300 400 500 Q
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Claim — Tax incidence is determined by the elasticity of
demand and supply, not by the text of the law.
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tax burden and incidence
1.50 S + tax
1.25 S
1.00 b
0.75 b
0.50 b
0.25 D
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demand elasticity and incidence
P P
S + tax S + tax
S S
b b
D
b
Q Q
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supply elasticity and incidence
P P
S + tax
S + tax
S
b
S
b b
D D
Q Q
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summary
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decreasing consumption
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Definition — quotas are regulations that imposes economic
or legal sanctions for excessive consumption, production,
and/or trade of certain goods
◮ Completely illegal:
– Transactions—slavery, prostitution, gambling, organ trade
– Products—drugs, weapons, biological imports
– Applications—Google, TikTok, Uber
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why prevent voluntary trade?
◮ Paternalism
– Misinformation
– Behavioral issues
◮ Moral/religious reasons
◮ “Public Interest”
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how do we reduce smoking?
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Becker (1981)
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tax vs. ban
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Should we target sellers, buyers, of both?
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target sellers
P
1.50 S + CBL
1.25 S
1.00 b
0.75 b
0.50
0.25 D
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target buyers
P
1.50
1.25 S
1.00
0.75 b
0.50 b
0.25 D
D - CBL
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target both
P
1.50 S + CBL
1.25 S
1.00
0.75 b b
0.50
0.25 D
D - CBL
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5
2
prohibition 1920–1933
1
1920: 30%
0
1925: 65%
-1
1930: 71%
-2
1935: 100%
-3
Miron & Zwiebel (1991)
-4
-5
-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 75 / 85
Smoking prevalence among Canadians 15+
b
0.6
b
b
0.5 b
b
males
b
overall
b
b
b
b b
b
b b
females
b
0.4 b
b
b b b b
b
b b
b
b b
b b
b b
b b b
b b b b
b
0.3 b b
b
b b
b
b b
b b b
b b
b b
b b b b
b b b
b b
0.2 b b b
b b
b
b
b b
b
b b
b b b b
b
b b b b
b
b b b b b b
b b b
b b
b
b b b
b b
b
0.1 b b
b
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
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Imtiaz, Sameer, et al. (2023) “Cannabis legalization and cannabis use, daily cannabis use and
cannabis-related problems among adults in Ontario, Canada (2001–2019),” Drug and Alcohol
Dependence.
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800
US cannabis related arrests (1000 people) b
700
b b
possession
b
b b
600 b
b
b
500 b
400
300
200
100 b b b
distribution/manufacturing
b b
b b b b
b
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
https://drugabusestatistics.org/drug-related-crime-statistics/
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link to graph source from Our World in Data
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discussion
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optimal policy 6= real-life government policy
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BBC: Cancer children given water instead of
chemotherapy by Mexican governor
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◮ Market policies can target different goals:
– Prices
– Quantities
– Government revenue
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wrong takeaway
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better takeaway
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