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Financial Distress
What we will learn:
1. What is financial distress? 2. What happens in financial distress? 3. Bankruptcy Liquidation and Reorganization 4. Private workout or Bankruptcy: Which is best? 5. Prepackaged Bankruptcy 6. Predicting corporate bankruptcy What is Financial Distress? It is difficult to precisely defined. Financial distress is a situation where a firm’s operating cash flows are not sufficient to satisfy current obligations and the firm is coerced to take corrective action. Events(symptoms) that usually precede financial distress: • Dividend reductions • Plant closings • Losses • Layoffs • CEO resignations • Plummeting stock prices What is Financial Distress? Financial distress may lead a firm to default on a contract, and it may involve financial restructuring between the firm, its creditors, and its equity investors. Insolvency is the symptom of financial distress. Two types of insolvency: 1. Stock-based insolvency 2. Flow based insolvency See figure 30.1 on page 929
Insolvency may lead to bankruptcy. (See Table 30.1 on page 929)
What Happens in Financial Distress? GM’s case Lost market shares to rivals such as Toyota, BMW and Honds. Reported negative income ($15 million) in 2008. Accumulated SHs’ equity of the company turned negative in 2006. Share price decreased from $50 in late 2003 to $1 in 2009. The company struggled to increase sales, cut costs, attempted to sell assets, drew down bank debt, and arranged for more long- term financing. GM filed for bankruptcy in November 2010. What Happens in Financial Distress? Firms deal with financial distress in many ways. Some of include the following: 1. Selling major assets. 2. Merging with another firm. 3. Reducing capital spending and research and development. 4. Issuing new securities. 5. Negotiating with banks and other creditors. 6. Exchanging for equity. 7. Filing for bankruptcy. See Figure 30.2 on page 931 Bankruptcy Liquidation and Reorganization Firms that cannot make contractually required payments to creditors have two basic options: • Liquidation: Termination of business as a going concern. • Reorganization: Option of keeping the firm as a going concern; it sometimes involves issuing new securities to replace old securities. Liquidation and formal reorganization may be done by bankruptcy. Bankruptcy is a legal proceeding and can be done voluntarily with the corporation filing the petition or involuntarily with the creditors filling the petition. Bankruptcy Liquidation and Reorganization Bankruptcy Liquidation The sequence of events: 1. A petition is filed in federal court. 2. A bankruptcy trustee is elected by the creditors to take over the assets of the debtor corporation. 3. When the assets are liquidated, after payment of the costs of administration, proceeds are distributed to the creditors. 4. If any assets remain after expenses and payments to the creditors, the are distributed to the shareholders Bankruptcy Liquidation and Reorganization Conditions Leading to Involuntary Bankruptcy: 1. The corporation is not paying debts as they become due. 2. If there are more than 12 creditors, at least three with claims totaling $13,475 or more must join in the filling. Bankruptcy Liquidation and Reorganization Priority of Claims as guided by absolute priority rule (APR) 1. Administration expenses associated with liquidating the bankrupt company’s assets. 2. Unsecured claims arising after the filing of an involuntary bankruptcy petition. 3. Wages, salaries, and commissions. 4. Contributions to employee benefit plans arising within 180 days before the filing date. 5. Consumer claims. 6. Tax claims. 7. Secured and unsecured creditors’ claims. 8. Preferred stockholders’ claims. 9. Common stockholders’ claims. Bankruptcy Liquidation and Reorganization Liens on property are outside APR ordering. If secured property is liquidated and provides cash insufficient to cover the amount owed them, the secured creditors join with unsecured creditors in dividing the remaining liquidating value. Bankruptcy Reorganization Corporate reorganization takes place under Chapter 11 of the Federal Bankruptcy Act of 1978, as amended by the Bankruptcy Prevention and Consumer Protection Act of 2005. The objective of a proceeding under Chapter 11 is to plan to restructure the corporation with some provision for repayment of creditors. Bankruptcy Reorganization A typical sequence of events follows: 1. A petition is filed. 2. A federal judge approves the petition, and a time for filing proofs of claims of creditors and of shareholders is set. 3. In most cases, the corporation (the “debtor in possession”) continues to run the business. 4. For 120 days only the corporation can file a reorganization plan. The corporation is given 180 days to gain acceptance of the plan. 5. A class of creditors accepts the plan if two-thirds of the class (in dollar amount) and one-half of the class (in number) have indicated approval. 6. After acceptance by the creditors, the plan is confirmed by the court. 7. Payment in cash, property, and securities are made to creditors and shareholders. The plan may provide for the issuance of new securities. Private Workout or Bankruptcy: Which is Best? In case of default on debt payments, the firm will have two choices: Formal Bankruptcy Private Workout In case of bankruptcy reorganization and private workout, exchanging new financial claims for old financial claims is needed. Private Workout or Bankruptcy: Which is Best? Historically, half of financial restructurings have been private, but recently, formal bankruptcies have dominated. Firms that emerge from private workouts experience stock price increases that are much larger than those for firms emerging from formal bankruptcies. The direct costs of private workouts are much less than the costs of formal bankruptcies. Top management usually loses pay and sometimes jobs in both private workouts and formal bankruptcies. These facts, taken together, seem to suggest that a private workout is much better than a formal bankruptcy. Private Workout or Bankruptcy: Which is Best? Formal bankruptcy allows firms to issue debt that is senior to all previously incurred debt. This new debt is “debtor in possession” (DIP) debt. For firms that need a temporary injection of cash, DIP debt makes bankruptcy reorganization attractive. Bankruptcy is usually better for the equity investors than it is for creditors. Equity investors can usually hold out for a better deal in bankruptcy. Asymmetric information: Equity(Insiders) holders know the company better. Debt(outsiders) holders always think they are getting less, So private workout fails. Predicting Corporate Bankruptcy Professor Edward Altman developed a model to predict bankruptcy for publicly traded manufacturing firms. The model is given below:
EBIT NWC Sales MV of Equity Acc. R/E
Z = 3.3 + + 1.2 + 1.0 + .6 + 1.4 TA TA TA BV of debt TA Where Z is an index of bankruptcy. A score of Z less that 2.675 indicates that a firm has a 95% chance of becoming bankrupt within one year.