Tutorial 7 - Exchange Rate Regimes
Tutorial 7 - Exchange Rate Regimes
3) Suppose a country that has been pegging its currency is faced with a
situation where financial market participants now expect some future
devaluation. In such a situation, we would generally expect which of
the following to occur?
A) a reduction in the domestic interest rate
B) an announcement by the central bank that a large devaluation will
occur in the near future
C) reduction in demand for the country's currency
D) all of the above
E) none of the above
Intermediate Macroeconomics 5ECON011C-n
4) For this question, assume that exchange rates flexible and that the
exchange rate expected to occur in one year is not constant. Suppose
that individuals now expect that the domestic central bank will pursue
expansionary monetary policy in one year. This expected future
monetary expansion will cause which of the following to occur?
A) The current nominal exchange rate will decrease.
B) The current nominal exchange rate will increase.
C) The current nominal exchange rate will not change.
D) The effects on the current nominal exchange rate are ambiguous.
8) An exchange rate crisis occurs when the peg (the fixed exchange
rate) loses its credibility. Bond holders no longer believe that next
period’s exchange rate will be this period’s exchange rate. The
uncovered interest rate parity equation used is the approximation:
𝑒
∗
(𝐸𝑡+1 − 𝐸𝑡 )
𝑖𝑡 ≈ 𝑖𝑡 −
𝐸𝑡
𝑒
Period 𝑖𝑡 𝑖𝑡∗ 𝐸𝑡 𝐸𝑡+1
1 3 0.5 0.5
2 3 0.5 0.45
3 3 0.5 0.45
4 3 0.5 0.5
5 15% 3 0.5 0.4
6 3 0.4 0.4
a. Solve the uncovered interest rate parity condition for the value of
the domestic interest rate in period 1.
b. The crisis begins in period 2. Solve the uncovered interest rate
parity condition for the value of the domestic interest rate in
period 2.
c. The crisis continues in period 3. However, in period 4, the central
bank and government resolve the crisis. How does this occur?
d. Unfortunately, in period 5, the crisis returns bigger and deeper
than before. Has the central bank raised interest rates enough to
maintain uncovered interest rate parity? What are the
consequences for the level of foreign exchange reserves?
e. How is the crisis resolved in period 6? Does this have implications
for the future credibility of the central bank and the government?