Presentation 4 Time Value of Money
Presentation 4 Time Value of Money
FINANCE
PhD. Tran Thu Ha
0944505868
tranthuha1985@gmail.com
2
CHAPTER 4
The time value of
money
CHAPTER 4
The time value of money
u 4.1. Compound interest, future value and present value
u 4.2. Annuities
u 4.3. Making interest rates comparable
u 4.4. The present value of an uneven stream and perpetuities
4.1. Compound
interest, future value
and present value
USING TIMELINES TO VISUALIZE CASH FLOWS
u A timeline identifies the timing and amount of a stream of cash flows—both cash
received, and cash spent—along with the interest rate it earns.
u Timelines are a critical first step used by financial analysts to solve financial
problems.
u Time periods are identified on the top of the timeline, measured in years.
u Time period 0 is both today and the beginning of the first year.
u The dollar amount of the cash flow received or spent at each time period is shown
below the timeline.
u Positive values represent cash inflows. Negative values represent cash outflows.
USING TIMELINES TO VISUALIZE CASH
FLOWS
u If I offered to give you $100, would you say yes?
u Then, if I asked you if you wanted the $100 today or one year from
today, what would you say?
u The phrase time value of money refers to the fact that a dollar in
hand today is worth more than a dollar promised at some time in the
future.
u On a practical level, one reason for this is that you could earn interest
while you waited; so a dollar today would grow to more than a dollar
later.
u The trade-off between money now and money later thus depends on,
among other things, the rate you can earn by investing.
USING TIMELINES TO VISUALIZE CASH
FLOWS
u Timelines are used to identify when cash inflows and outflows will
occur so that an accurate financial assessment can be made.
u Because money has a time value, it gives rise to the concept of
interest.
u Interest can be thought of as rent for the use of money.
u The size of the rental rate or user fee is the interest rate.
Future Value and
Compounding
Future Value and Compounding
u Suppose you invest $100 in a savings account that pays 10% interest
per year. How much will you have in one year?
u You will have $110 = original principal of $100 + $10 in interest earnt.
u è $110 is the future value of $100 invested for one year at 10%,
meaning that $100 today is worth $110 in one year, given that 10% is
the interest rate.
u In general, if you invest for one period at an interest rate of r, your
investment will grow to (1 + r) per dollar invested.
u Ex: r = 10%
u à investment growth: 1+0,1 = 1,1 dollars per dollar invested
u à 100$ invested x 1,1 = $110
b. Investing for more than one period
u Going back to our $100 investment, what will you have after
two years, assuming the interest rate doesn’t change (10%)?
u If you leave the entire $110 in the bank,
u Earn $110 x 0.10 = $11 in interest during the second year
u à a total of $110 + 11 = $121.
u This $121 is the future value of $100 in two years at 10%.
u This $121 has four parts.
u The first part is the $100 original principal.
u The second part is the $10 in interest you earned in the first year
u The third part is another $10 you earn in the second year, for a total of
$120.
u The fourth part is the last $1 which is interest you earn in the 2nd year on
the interest paid in the first year: $10 x 0.10 = $1.
b. Investing for more than one period
u FV = PV * (1+r)t
u The expression (1 + r)t is sometimes called the future value interest factor (or
just future value factor) for $1 invested at r percent for t periods and can be
abbreviated as FVIF(r, t).
u In our example, what would your $100 be worth after five years? We can first
compute the relevant future value factor as follows:
u (1+r)t =(1 + 0.10)5 =1.15 =1.6105
u Your $100 will thus grow to: $100 x 1.6105 = $161.05
The interest earned in each year is equal to the beginning
amount multiplied by the interest rate of 10%.
(4-2)
u Suppose you need to have $1,000 in two years. If you can earn 7%, how much
do you have to invest to make sure you have the $1,000 when you need it? In
other words, what is the present value of $1,000 in two years if the relevant
rate is 7%?
u The amount invested must grow to $1,000 over the two years:
$1,000 = PV x 1.07 x 1.07 = PV x 1.072 = PV x 1.1449
u Present value = $1,000 / 1.1449 = $873.44
à $873.44 is the amount you must invest to achieve your goal.
2.2. Present values for multiple periods
u PV = $1 x [1/(1+r)t] = $1/(1+r)t
u Suppose you need $1,000 in three years. You can earn 15 percent on your
money. How much do you have to invest today?
u The discount factor is: 1/(1 + 0.15)3 = 1/1.5209 = 0.6575
u The amount you must invest is thus: $1,000 x 0.6575 = $657.50
u We say that $657.50 is the present or discounted value of $1,000 to be
received in three years at 15%.
2.2. Present values for multiple periods
(4-3)
u PMT: Annuity
u Annuity future value factor:
a. COMPOUND ANNUITIES
u For example: if we know that we need $10,000 for college in 8 years, how
much must we deposit in the bank at the end of each year at 6% interest to
have the college money ready?
u Using equation (4-3), we know the values of n = 8, r = 6%, and FVn = $10,000;
what we do not know is the value of PMT:
(4-3)
u Thus, we must deposit $1,010.36 in the bank at the end of each year for 8
years at 6% interest to accumulate $10,000 at the end of 8 years.
a. COMPOUND ANNUITIES
u For example: How much must we deposit in an 8% savings account at the end
to accumulate $5,000 at the end of 10 years?
u Using equation (4-3), we know the values of n = 10, r = 8%, and FVn = $5,000;
what we do not know is the value of PMT:
u Thus, we must deposit $345.15 in the bank per year for 10 years at 8% to
accumulate $5,000.
b. THE PRESENT VALUE OF AN ANNUITY
u Pension payments, insurance obligations, and the interest owed on bonds all
involve annuities.
u To compare these three types of investments we need to know the present
value of each.
u For example, if we wish to know what $500 received at the end of each of the
next 5 years is worth today given a discount rate of 6%?
u We can simply substitute the appropriate values into equation (4-2):
THE PRESENT VALUE OF AN ANNUITY
(4-4)
u Annuities due are really just ordinary annuities in which all the annuity
payments have been shifted forward by 1 year.
u With an annuity due, each annuity payment occurs at the beginning of each
period rather than at the end of the period.
4.2.2. ANNUITIES DUE
(4-5)
4.2.2. ANNUITIES DUE
(4-5)
4.2.2. ANNUITIES DUE
(4-6)
4.2.2. ANNUITIES DUE
(4-6)
4.2.3. AMORTIZED LOANS
u An amortized loan is a type of loan with
scheduled, periodic payments that are
applied to both the loan's principal amount The Amortization Process
and the interest accrued.
u An amortized loan payment first pays off the
relevant interest expense for the period,
after which the remainder of the payment is
put toward reducing the principal amount.
u Although the payments are fixed, different
amounts of each payment are applied
toward the principal and the interest.
u With each payment, you owe a bit less
toward the principal. As a result, the
amount that has to go toward the interest
payment declines with each payment,
whereas the portion of each payment that
goes toward the principal increases.
u Common amortized loans include auto loans,
home loans, and personal loans from a
bank for small projects or debt
consolidation.
4.2.3. AMORTIZED LOANS
u To repay the principal and interest on the outstanding loan in 4 years, the annual
payments would be $2,101.59.
4.2.3. AMORTIZED LOANS
u Ex: Suppose a firm wants to purchase a piece of machinery. To do this, it
borrows $6,000 to be repaid in four equal payments at the end of each of the
next 4 years, and the interest rate that is paid to the lender is 15% on the
outstanding portion of the loan. What is the annual payments associated with
the repayment of this debt?
u To repay the principal and interest on the outstanding loan in 4 years, the annual
payments would be $2,101.59.
u
Perpetuities – Dòng tiền đều vô hạn
u A perpetuity is an annuity that continues forever; that is, every year following
its establishment this investment pays the same dollar amount.
u An example of a perpetuity is preferred stock that pays a constant dollar
dividend infinitely.
u Determining the present value of a perpetuity is delightfully simple; we
merely need to divide the constant flow by the discount rate.
Perpetuities – Dòng tiền đều vô hạn
u What is the present value of a $500 perpetuity discounted back to the present
at 8 percent?
u 1. Peter hit 47 home runs in 2023. If his home-run output grew at a rate of 12% per
year, what would it have been over the following 5 years?
u 2. If you were offered $1,079.50 for 10 years from now in return for an investment of
$500 currently, what annual rate of interest would you earn if you took the offer?
u 3. You lend a friend $10,000, for which your friend will repay you $27,027 at the end of
5 years. What interest rate are you charging your “friend”?
u 4. You are offered $1,000 today, $10,000 in 12 years, or $25,000 in 25 years. Assuming
that you can earn 11% on your money, which should you choose?
PRACTICE
u 5. Adam Smith, who has been married for 23 years, would like to buy his wife
an expensive diamond ring with a platinum setting on their 30-year wedding
anniversary. Assume that the cost of the ring will be $12,000 in 7 years. Adam
currently has $4,510 to invest. What annual rate of return must Adam earn on
his investment to accumulate enough money to pay for the ring?
u 6. Mary and Anna are twins and both work at the Springfield DMV. Mary and
Anna decide to save for retirement, which is 35 years away. They’ll both
receive an 8% annual return on their investment over the next 35 years. Anna
invests $2,000 per year at the end of each year only for the first 10 years of
the 35-year period—for a total of $20,000 saved. Marry doesn’t start saving
for 10 years and then saves $2,000 per year at the end of each year for the
remaining 25 years—for a total of $50,000 saved. How much will each of them
have when they retire?
PRACTICE
u 7. (ANNUITY) DAVIDSON, a sophomore mechanical engineering student,
receives a call from an insurance agent, who believes that Davidson is an
older woman ready to retire from teaching. He talks to her about several
annuities that she could buy that would guarantee her an annual fixed
income. The annuities are as follows: