Gemachu Proposal
Gemachu Proposal
HAWASSA UNIVERSITY
COLLEGE OF BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS
DEPARTMENET OF ECONOMICS
Advisor Hiwot T
December/2024
Hawassa,Ethiopia
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
First of all, the researchers praise God for giving us strength, courage, health, wisdom and
patience to finalize our study.
Next, the researcherslike to express our heartfelt thanks and honest appreciation to our major
research advisor Hiwot.T) for his all-round help, guidance, valuable comments and
encouragement which enabled us to complete the research work and thesis write up. The
researchers are also deeply indebted to Gemechu Wako(Our friend’s) for his useful and valuable
comments and kind treatment starting from the early design of the research proposal to the final
write up of the thesis.
Finally, the researchers also owe our deepest gratitude to our family for their encouragement,
inspiration and help without which we could not have completed the study on time. The
researchers sincerely thank Hawassa University, especially the School of Graduate Studies for
their unstinted support and follow up until the completion of the research.
Acronyms
CSA= central statistical Agency
UN=united Nation
Table of contents
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT...............................................................................................................2
Acronyms.........................................................................................................................................3
Table of contents..............................................................................................................................4
ABSTRACT......................................................................................................................................8
CHAPTER ONE..............................................................................................................................9
1. INTRODUCTION.......................................................................................................................9
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2. LITERATURE REVIEW...........................................................................................................13
3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY.............................................................................................21
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APPENDIX....................................................................................................................................33
ABSTRACT
Urbanization is the improved possibilities of using information and facilities available to the
urban communities easily and without time lag in any part of the society polity and economy.
The general objective of this study is to examine the effect of urbanization on economic growth
of shashemene town. This study was employed a descriptive and explanatory research design.
This study used mixed (both qualitative and quantitative) research approach. For the purpose of
this study, data was collected from both primary and secondary data sources. The primary data
was collected from 263 respondents by using questionnaires and interview. Multistage sampling
procedure was employed to select specific respondents for the study. Generally in this study
descriptive statistics and explanatory was used for analyzing the collected data. In this study the
effect of urbanization on economic growth in shashamene town were analyzed using multiple
regression model. The econometric result shows that the explanatory variables water scarcity,
environmental degradation, high rate of unemployment and land use and management problem
were found to have negative and significant influence on on economic growth in shashamene
town. The study recommended that Government and concerned body should improve the level of
employment at different place through investment expansion, should overlooked environmental
protection, improve water supply, apply better land use and management practice.
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CHAPTER ONE
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background of the study
In Ethiopia, cities (towns) had been organized as administrative service and commercial centers
since the days of Axumite Empire. That means the history of urbanization in Ethiopia goes back
to the period of Axumite kingdom. However, the establishment of modern urban centers will did
not start until 19th century, which coincides with the creation of the modern state but it is still
under urbanize by comparison with other least developed countries (LDCs) of Africa and the rest
of the world (Abebe,2006).
Ethiopia is one of the sub-Saharan countries with a population of more than 100 million
(USAID, 2017) next to Nigeria in Africa. The country’s urban population share is one of
the lowest in the world estimated at only 21.2% in 2019 well below the sub Saharan Africa
average of 40.7% (UN DESA, 2019). However, the urban population of Ethiopia are
expanding rapidly (WB Group, 2015). For instance, the annual urban population growth rate
was between 4.7 to 5.2% from 2008 to 2020 which was above the sub Saharan African urban
growth rate of 3.98 to 4.26% during the same period (World Bank, 2021). The share of the
population living in cities has also increased from 16.5% in 2008 to 22% in 2020
(World Bank, 2021) and is expected to reach 39% by 2050 (UN DESA, 2019). The
trend in the growth of urban populations in Ethiopia is likely to continue more than expected
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given the shift in emphasis from agricultural to industrial-led development policy of the
country.
Urbanization has a great effect on economic growth. ’urban’ refers to towns or cities having
marked secondary and tertiary functions along with municipality on notified area community.
Urbanization on the other hand, means the process of whereby land and inhabitants become
urban oriented rather than engaged in primary occupations or it is a process by which a section of
people change from the way of agriculture operation in rural living to urban sub agriculture life
with the predominance in secondary and tertiary functions (Reddy, 2006).
Although the process of urbanization may have started in 19th century in advance way, the
founding of many of the countries urban centers precedes on this era. While these early urban
centers were created and established as military, political administrative centers, the emergency
of the major town as economic centers, which come about in the wake of laying down of the
country’s first and only railway line in recent phenomenon. The level of urbanization in Ethiopia
would be seen as a manifestation of countries low level of development. That means the
development level of the countries has a direct relationship with the level of their urbanization
level which could be used as the measure of development level of countries (Abebe, 2006).
Urban centers contributes Engineering goods, pumping sets and specialized skills in a wide
Varity of situational which are necessary for national development in new industries including
the provisions of higher education, transport and communication line, Diversification of
occupation, commercialization of agriculture and change in consumption pattern and other
infrastructural facilities in a state and national level (Reddy,2006).
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While urban centers maintain the above role, there were times; however, their growth becomes a
source of social problems as nuisances to government and as hazards sprouting an unwanted of
their own occurred. On the other hand, however, urban center have managed to overcome such
challenges as an infrastructure development provision linking quarter to their populations, crimes
resulting from lacking of social fabrics, traffic congestion, environmental degradation, and
pollution, deterioration of town centers, increase and move of land price continuously and others
are the major negative spillover effects of urban centers (ibid, 2006).
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understanding this, the study tries to investigate and examine the following major questions to
fill the gap (time and space).
What are the positive effects (contributions) of urbanization on economic growth in Shashemene
town?
What are the negative effects of urbanization on economic growth in case of Shashemene town?
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research can also serve any other body to conduct further study. In addition to the above, the
researchers get benefit from the study by acquiring knowledge on the issue.
CHAPTER TWO
2. LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Theoretical literatures Review
2.1.1. What is urbanization?
The term “urban” refers to towns or cities having marked secondary and tertiary functions along
with a municipality or notified area community. And “urbanization” on the other hand is a
process of population increment in urban areas. Urbanization on the other hand indicates the
growth of secondary and tertiary activities like manufacturing, trade and etc. other defines
urbanization as a dynamic socio-economic force which involves urban element that suffer
considerable temporal and special variation(http://www.en.wikipidia,urban.com).
The transportation of rural services centers in both time and space, due to concentration of
commercial, transportation and professional service give rise to the development or urban
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centers. The development of urban center also leads to a change in infrastructure facilities which
in turn affect regional development, transportation linkage, population distribution, and the entire
rural-urban continuum (Knox et al., 1998).
In the buildup of the transaction between the rural urban areas, urban areas supply manufacture
goods, services and innovation of the rural areas. Such high as pay of modern inputs, fertilizers,
modern irrigation systems as well as a biochemical input for the agriculture sector (Todaro,
2006).
The natural course of economy will be one in which the labor progressively shift from primary to
secondary and finally tertiary sector. Meanwhile urban areas would generate move demand
which proper the entire economy forward (Todaro, 2006).
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Urban places can be used as market and manufacturing sector functions because:
They act as the centers for the exchange of rural produced agricultural products for the
distribution of rural surplus and other commodities.
They are centers for distribution of urban produced manufactured products to rural areas.
The availability of the market centers helped in the rationalization of agriculture from substance
to commercial agriculture.
An economic definition of a city is “an area with relatively high population density that contains
a set of closely related activities.” Firms often also prefer to be located where they can learn from
other firms doing similar work. Learning takes place in both formal relationships, such as joint
ventures, and informal ones, such as from tips learned in evening social clubs or over lunch.
These spillovers are also agglomeration economies, part of the benefits of what Alfred Marshall
called “industrial districts,” and they play a big role in Michael Porter’s “clusters” theory of
competitive advantage. Firms located in such industrial districts also benefit from the
opportunity to contract out work easily when an unusually large order materializes. Thus a firm
of modest size does not have to turn down a big job due to lack of capacity, an arrangement that
provides “flexible specialization.” Further, firms may wish to operate in well-known districts for
the marketing advantages of locating where company procurers and household consumers of
their goods know to shop to get the best selection. It may not matter so much where such
industrial districts are located as that they somehow got an early start there, perhaps because of a
historical accident. For example, in the United States, many innovative computer firms located in
Silicon Valley, California, simply because other such firms were al- ready located there. A
growing body of evidence shows that industrial clusters are increasingly common in developing
countries, at stages of industrial development ranging from cottage industry to advanced
manufacturing techniques, and appear to be significant factors in emerging industrial
competitiveness. (Todaro, 2012)
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v. Other changes
In addition to the above, urbanization enhances the magnitude of investment in social and
overhead capital and directly productive activities, increase the rate of capital formation
enhancing the potentialities and possibilities of saving by expanding the number of informal
sectors, which are pre-industrial activities, etc. (Reddy, 2006).
Even if urban centers have a great a role for economic growth, there are also a number of
problems associated with urbanization. Some of these are the following:
Slums of hope, slums of despair: in situation, where urban growth has swamped the available
stock of cheap housing and outstripped the capacity of builders to create affordable new housing,
the inevitable outcome is make shift shanty housing that offers. This due to the increments of
unemployment and poverty mean overcrowding (Todaro, 2006)
Environmental degradation: with pressing problems of poverty, slum housing and inadequate
infrastructure, it is not surprising that peripheral urban center unable to devote many resources to
environmental problem. Because of the speed of population growth, these problems are
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escalating rapidly. Industrial and human wastes pile up in lakes and lagoons, and pollute long
stretches of rivers, estuaries and costal zones. Ground water is polluted through the leaching of
chemicals from uncontrolled dumpsites and the forest around many urban centers are being
denuded by the demand for cities for timber and domestic fuels and this environmental
degradation is, of course, directly linked with human health (Todaro, 2006).
Economic and social crisis: economic and social issues are the common problems of urban
centers in most developing countries due to alarming population increase and environmental
pollution (Reddy, 2006).
Increasing population
Juvenile
Ethiopia is the lowest urbanized country in the world average (50%), Asia and Africa (40%),
only 16.1% of the Ethiopian population live in urban area (CSA, 2007), but it is a country where
there is rapid urbanization growing at 4.2% per annum which is higher compared to average
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urbanization rate for Africa (3.2%), Asia (2.4%), Latin America (1.7%) and 2.8% for Arab states
(UN, 2011).
They have the opportunity to attract investment if their other problems have been solved and
their peace security established.
If the other problems constraining development are taken care of, the cities are capable of
providing to be source of cheap labor.
The existing demand for housing creates favorable condition for those interesting in the
construction sector and real estate business.
The state of our city still not out of control: they still have the opportunity for further growth and
their administration and management is still not passed in big problem, all of which point to
situation that can be called auspicious (Abebe, 2006)
Unless the problem of unemployment and shortage of housings which pointed out as favorable
for investment, they could open the door for special ills and hazards.
The slackening of social fabric lawlessness and environmental pollution (Abebe 2006)
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As argued by jean-Marie cur under his study of a demo-economic analysis of long term
structural changes in Ethiopia (2008) the productivities or per capital value added of the various
strata and are so much different between urban centers and rural villages. Urban productivity is
five times that of rural area. The disparity between urban and rural productivity has increased
from 4.4 in 1995 to 4.7 in 2005 and 4.92 in 2008.
A study of Tibebu (2007) on policy changes for urban growth balanced territorial development
shows that, concentration of unemployment and manufacturing activities in urban centers issue
much higher than other regions. Formal sector employment and number of establishments are
concentrated in and around major urban centers of Ethiopia accounts for 59% of medium and
large scale manufacturing employments and 67% of manufacturing establishment.
According to Minal in his study of urban management and development in Ethiopia (2007), The
city has become both resource centers and a power house of development and from the city has
come creativity, experimentation, production and growth even though urban centers high
unemployment, chronic poverty and environmental degradation.
The article by Giraud (2006) based on the experience the cotton production area of chad
illustrates the importance of urbanization even more than the development of rural infrastructure
in developing not only the income of farmers by creating the necessarily demand for their
products, but even more interestingly in its contribution to the technical improvement of
agriculture itself.
According to the study conducted by shumye (2008) about the socio economic condition of
urban centers in case of Addis Ababa and Shashemene, stated that given the pressure on land,
urban centers, creating markets and providing opportunities or diversification and nonfarm
employment are the critical link in the intensification of agriculture. This indicates that, without a
well-developed urban system linked to national and international markets and sustainable
agricultural development is impossible.
Even though the above researcher argues the important role of urbanization Belayneh (2009) in
his study on elasticity of urban poverty with respect to growth and distribution, urban centers are
highly affected by poverty hazards. But also argued that the growth of urban center will provide
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not only market function but they also provide social support (23.5%), health facility (7.2%),
employment opportunities (69%), and information technology (4%).
Further with Feleke (2008) under his study on migration urban-rural linkage and poverty in
Ethiopia depict that because of high rural-urban migration, urban pop inniulation increase at
alarming rate on average 3% which resulted overcrowded and cost of job opportunity which
directly leads to decrement of per capita income and poverty.
Literature gap
It is cited in the literature that urbanization has a number of meanings attributed for economic
growth. All over the world cities really function as the center of modernization and economic
change, because they are the main educational, financial and industrial centers. Ethiopia is one of
the fast urbanizing countries in the world, 4.2% per annum. Urbanization has an advantage in
climate condition, investment attraction, and other economic issue of Ethiopia. On the other hand
in Ethiopia urbanization has a negative effect on housing, unemployment and environmental
pollution of the country. By considering this the researchers focus on the effects of urbanization
on economic growth in the case of Shashemene town by collecting and analyzing the necessary
data.
Water Scarcity
Economic growth of
shashemene town
Environmental degradation
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CHAPTER THREE
3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1 Description of the study area
The study was conducted in Shashamene town, which is located geographically in Oromia
region, west Arsi zone which is about 252 km away from Addis Ababa the capital city of
Ethiopia. geographically the town is located at 7.2-degree north latitude and 38.6-degree East
longitude. Elevation of the town varies between 1683m to 2742m above mean sea level.
According to the result of housing and population census May 2022 Shashemene town has
population of 208,368, out of these 104014 males and 104354 females with the annual
population growth rate about 4.5%
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The study was also used explanatory research design because it can help a researcher to increase
the understanding of a problem in depth by providing more information about the effect of
Urbanization on economic growth in the case of Sheshamane town. This study was cross
sectional in nature as data was collected from different respondents and was returned to
researcher at one time.
According to Malhotra (2007) target population is the collection of elements or objects that hold
the information required by the researcher and about which inferences are to be made. The term
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population means the collection of distinct elements under consideration that is of interest in a
particular study.
The target population of the study was all population in the study areas at the time of the data
collection. The population of the study contains a total of 208,368 in shashemene town. There
are a total of 834 residents in four selected kebeles.
The target population of the study was all shashemene residents at the time of the data collection.
There are a total of 834 residents in four selected kebeles.
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The econometric analysis was used to identify the direct association between the effect of
urbanization on economic growth in the study area. The data was analyzed by using SPSS
version-24.
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α = constant
Β1-4= coefficient of the explanatory/independent variable
X1= Water Scarcity
X2= environmental degradation
X3=high rate of unemployment
X4= Land use and management problem
Ui = disturbance term
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APPENDIX
HAWASSA UNIVERSITY COLLEGE OF BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS
DEPARTEMENT OF ECOMICS
QUESTIONNAIRE
Dear respondent:
First of all I would like to extend my sincere gratitude for helping me by filling these questions
are. The purpose of this questionnaire is to collect data that will be used in first degree research
project attitude on the effect of urbanization on economic growth at Shashemene town. Then,
please fill free to provide your valuable response that will make this research project successful.
All information will be used for academic purposes only. Thank you in advance for your kind
cooperation and dedicating your time.
Instructions1. No need of writing your name and indicate your answers with a check mark (√) in
the appropriate space.
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7. What are the population trend and the rural urban migration in Shashemene town?
Yes ⃝ No ⃝
12 .Is your answer is yes for question number 11 what type of environmental problem?
13. Is there any tangible effort made to you from government to relieve you from such problem
Yes ⃝ No ⃝
14. If your answer the above question is yes how do you evaluate the effort being made in
creation of different job opportunity?
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15. What kind of measure do you personally recommend to reduce the negative effect of
urbanization?
Others ⃝
17. Is other factors that affect the responsible aggravator of urban problem?
Yes ⃝ No ⃝
18. If your answer is yes mention some of the problems you think as responsible?
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