Hi Growth
Hi Growth
data)
I. Income Statement
Current EBIT = $ (55.00)
Current Interest Expense = $ 0.51
Current Capital Spending $ 459.27
Current Depreciation and Amortization $ 59.52
Current Revenues = $ 1,246.30
II. Balance Sheet This period Last period
Current Non-cash Working Capital = $ 65.00 $ 29.00
Book Value of Debt = $ 198.47 108.165
Book Value of Equity = $ 1,513.04 1097.267
Cash & Marketable Securities = $ 792.26
Non-operating Assets $ 194.48
III. Tax Information
NOL carried forward = $ 1,289.00
Marginal tax rate = 37.50%
General Information
Current long term government bond rate = 3.55%
Estimated Market Risk Premium = 4.56%
Relative Valuation
If you want to do a relative valuation of your firm, enter these inputs:
Year on which multiple is to be applied = 10
Value to Sales multiple in that year = 3.796507133
e, use trailing 12-month data)
Base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Terminal Year
Revenue Growth Rate 55.00% 45.00% 40.00% 35.00% 30.00% 20.00% 15.00% 12.00% 8.00% 6.00% 3%
Revenues $1,246 $1,932 $2,801 $3,921 $5,294 $6,882 $8,259 $9,497 $10,637 $11,488 $12,177 $12,543
Operating Margin -4.18% 3.17% 7.58% 10.22% 11.81% 12.76% 13.34% 13.68% 13.88% 14.01% 14.08% 14.19%
EBIT -$52 $61 $212 $401 $625 $878 $1,101 $1,299 $1,477 $1,609 $1,715 $1,780
Taxes $0 $0 $0 $0 $4 $329 $413 $487 $554 $603 $643 $668
EBIT(1-t) -$52 $61 $212 $401 $621 $549 $688 $812 $923 $1,006 $1,072 $1,113
+ Depreciation $60 $80 $104 $125 $144 $161 $174 $185 $190 $196 $202 $208
- Capital Expenditure $459 -$658 -$831 -$1,081 -$1,333 -$1,548 -$1,307 -$1,149 -$1,037 -$720 -$540 -$180
- Chg WC $36 $965 $1,224 $1,577 $1,932 $2,236 $1,938 $1,744 $1,604 $1,198 $970 $514
FCFF -$488 -$166 -$76 $30 $167 $23 $233 $402 $546 $724 $844 $986
NOL $1,289 $1,228 $1,016 $615 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Terminal Value $26,302
Computed Variables (These are measures of how efficiently your firm is investing over time)
Total Capital Invested $ 1,711.51 $ 1,938 $ 2,226 $ 2,597 $ 3,052 $ 3,578 $ 4,033 $ 4,444 $ 4,821 $ 5,103 $ 5,331 $ 5,458
Reinvestment Rate NMF 371.04% 135.62% 92.54% 73.15% 95.78% 78.90% 74.68% 67.65% 53.58% 11.37% 11.37%
Increase in Revenue/Increase in Cap 3.02 3.02 3.02 3.02 3.02 3.02 3.02 3.02 3.02 3.02 2.89
Return on Capital 3.57% 10.95% 18.01% 23.92% 17.99% 19.24% 20.13% 20.77% 20.86% 21.00% 26.38%
The Valuation
PV of FCFF during high growth phase = $ 1,245
PV of Terminal Value = $ 11,235
Value of Operating Assets of the firm = $ 12,479
Value of Cash & Non-operating assets= $ 986.74
Value of Firm = $ 13,466
- Value of Outstanding Debt = $ 191
Value of Equity = $ 13,275
- Value of Equity Options = Err:522
Value of Equity in Common Stock = Err:522 Treasury Stock Approach
Value of Equity per share = Err:522 $ 164.23
Summary Output
Revenues $1,932 $2,801 $3,921 $5,294 $6,882 $8,259 $9,497 $10,637 $11,488 $12,177 $12,543
EBIT $61 $212 $401 $625 $878 $1,101 $1,299 $1,477 $1,609 $1,715 $1,780
EBIT(1-t) $61 $212 $401 $621 $549 $688 $812 $923 $1,006 $1,072 $1,113
- Reinvestment $227 $288 $371 $454 $526 $456 $410 $377 $282 $228 $127
FCFF -$166 -$76 $30 $167 $23 $233 $402 $546 $724 $844 $986
Relative Valuation Output
Year in which multiple is used = 10 Year
Value to Sales Ratio for Specialty retailers= 3.796507133 1
2
Revenue in chosen year = $ 12,177 3
Value in chosen year = $ 46,232 4
Cost of capital in chosen yea 2.3412 5
Value today = $ 19,747 6
+ Cash & Securities = $ 987 7
- Debt outstanding = $ 191 8
-Equity options outstanding Err:522 9
Value of Equity in stock = Err:522 10
Value per share = Err:522
Revenues Cumulated Cost of Capital
$ 1,932 109.72%
$ 2,801 120.39%
$ 3,921 132.09%
$ 5,294 144.93%
$ 6,882 158.96%
$ 8,259 173.19%
$ 9,497 188.12%
$ 10,637 203.61%
$ 11,488 219.32%
$ 12,177 234.12%
Company Market Value Percent Owned
Operating Lease Converter
Inputs
Operating lease expense in current year = $ 43.00
Operating Lease Commitments (From footnote to financials)
Year Commitment ! Year 1 is next year, ….
1 $ 9.38
2 $ 5.30
3 $ 4.85
4 $ 4.05
5 $ 3.92
6 and beyond $ 41.68
Output
Pre-tax Cost of Debt = 5.91% ! If you do not have a cost of debt, use the ratings estimator
Number of years embedded in yr 6 estimate = 8 ! I use the average lease expense over the first five years
to estimate the number of years of expenses in yr 6
Converting Operating Leases into debt
Year Commitment Present Value
1 $ 9.38 $ 8.86
2 $ 5.30 $ 4.72
3 $ 4.85 $ 4.08
4 $ 4.05 $ 3.22
5 $ 3.92 $ 2.94
6 and beyond $ 5.21 $ 24.36 ! Commitment beyond year 6 converted into an annuity for ten years
Debt Value of leases = $ 48.18
Restated Financials
Depreciation on Operating Lease Asset = $ 3.71 ! I use straight line depreciation
Adjustment to Operating Earnings = $2.85 ! PV of operating leases * Pre-tax cost of
Adjustment to Total Debt outstanding = $ 48.18
nverter
Inputs
Over how many years do you want to amortize R&D expenses 3 ! If in doubt, use the lookup table below
Enter the current year's R&D expense = $ 34.42 The maximum allowed is ten years
Enter R& D expenses for past years: the number of years that you will need to enter will be determined by the amortization period
Do not input numbers in the first column (Year). It will get automatically updated based on the input above.
Year R& D Expenses
-1 16.91 ! Year -1 is the year prior to the current year
-2 7.26 ! Year -2 is the two years prior to the current year
-3 3.27
0 1.24
0 3.84
0
0
0
0
0
Output
Year R&D Expense Unamortized portion Amortization this year
Current 34.42 1.00 34.42
-1 16.91 0.67 11.27 $ 5.64
-2 7.26 0.33 2.42 $ 2.42
-3 3.27 0.00 0.00 $ 1.09
0 1.24 0.00 0.00 $ -
0 3.84 0.00 0.00 $ -
0 0.00 0.00 0.00 $ -
0 0.00 0.00 0.00 $ -
0 0.00 0.00 0.00 $ -
0 0.00 0.00 0.00 $ -
0 0.00 0.00 0.00 $ -
Value of Research Asset = $48.11 $ 9.15
Adjustment to Operating Income = $25.27 ! A positive number indicates an increase in operating income (add to repo
Tax Effect of R&D Expensing $9
Inputs
Over how many years do you want to amortize these expenses 10
Enter the current year's operating expense = $ 206.54 The maximum allowed is ten years
Enter operating expenses for past years: the number of years that you will need to enter will be determined by the amortization period
Do not input numbers in the first column (Year). It will get automatically updated based on the input above.
Year Operating Expenses
-1 99.12 ! Year -1 is the year prior to the current year
-2 45.07 ! Year -2 is the two years prior to the current year
-3 19.00
-4 10.21
-5 11.98
-6
-7
-8
-9
-10
Output
Year R&D Expense Unamortized portion Amortization this year
Current 206.54 1.00 206.54
-1 99.12 0.90 89.20 $ 9.91
-2 45.07 0.80 36.06 $ 4.51
-3 19.00 0.70 13.30 $ 1.90
-4 10.21 0.60 6.13 $ 1.02
-5 11.98 0.50 5.99 $ 1.20
-6 0.00 0.40 0.00 $ -
-7 0.00 0.30 0.00 $ -
-8 0.00 0.20 0.00 $ -
-9 0.00 0.10 0.00 $ -
-10 0.00 0.00 0.00 $ -
Value of Expensing Asset = $357.22 $ 18.54
Adjustment to Operating Income = $188.00 ! A positive number indicates an increase in operating income (add
Tax Effect of Expensing $70
ments to operating income, net
d1 = Err:522
N (d1) = Err:522
d2 = Err:522
N (d2) = Err:522