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Abstract Report Aarzoo

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25 views8 pages

Abstract Report Aarzoo

Uploaded by

shahidarzoo39
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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1.

ABSTRACT:
Sixty percent of the population of Pakistan is directly or laterally reliant upon rain- fed

husbandry that depends on predictable rainfall patterns. Global climatic change affects

our husbandry and its impacts feel to increase daily. Pakistan produces wheat, rice,

cotton, sugarcane, and sludge and these crops are affected by climate change. Ceaseless

escalation in earth temperatures encyclopedically is changing rush patterns including a

shift in our thunderstorm season. These conditions affect agrarian product, ranch

livelihoods and agribusiness structure that's leading to food instability and malnutrition

among the husbandry communities. The end of this review is to punctuate the climate

change impacts on Pakistan's agrarian sector, current pitfalls, and mitigation eventuality

to ensure flexible agrarian practices that give ménage food security. Agriculture is

considered as the backbone of Pakistan's frugality because further 60 population is

directly involved with this profession. Due to rapid-fire industrialization the temperature

position is adding , which is dangerous for husbandry crops and also for the people. The

ideal of this exploration paper is to explore the impact of the global warming at

husbandry sector of Pakistan and to measure climatic effect on the husbandry sector in

future. Times series dataset from 1974 to 2013 is used to dissect the impact. Agriculture

value added periodic growth rate is used as dependent variable. Carbon oxide emigration,

husbandry methane emigration, husbandry nitrous oxide emigration, hothouse gas

emigration and population viscosity are used as explicatory variables. bus accumulative

distributed pause model is used asstatistical fashion to dissect the dataset. Our result

shows that the variables have significant impact on the husbandry sector of Pakistan. bus

accumulative distributed pause model shows the actuality of the short run and long run

relationship between the dependent and independent variables. In a policy

recommendation government try to reduce the warming through promoting

environmental friendly diligence.


2. INTRODUCTION:

Agriculture plays a crucial role in the economy of Pakistan and is considered its fundamental

part. According to data published by FAO (Food amd Agriculture Organization of the United

Nations) , around 23% of the GDP is contributed by agriculture sector that employs 37.4% of

the national labor force. The agriculture sector in Pakistan is further divided into 4 main

categories i.e. livestock, crops, forestry and fisheries, among which the livestock sector

contributes overwhelmingly. Their contributions to the agriculture sector can be presented in

terms of graph A. Livestock - 62 percent, followed by important crops (4.1 percent), other

crops (3.3 percent), forestry (0.5 percent) and fisheries (0.3 percent). Important crops include

wheat, cotton, sugarcane, mango, dates, oranges and rice of which Pakistan is considered to

be one of the largest producers in the world.

According to the Khan, M.A., et.al, 2016, Pakistan is observed to be on the rank of 135 in the

world in terms of Global Green House Gases (GHG) emissions per capita, whereas ranks

16th in terms of vulnerability to climate change. This examines the climate trends,

temperature trends and precipitation trends in Pakistan along with the impact of climate

change on economic condition of Pakistan.

According to the IPCC Lee, H., Calvin, et.al, 2023, report, the observed adverse effects of

climate change include water unavailability and decreased food production that lead to

physical water unavailability, lower agriculture yield, poor health and production of livestock

and animal and receded Fisheries yields and aquaculture production. This global warming,

principally caused through emissions of greenhouse gases has already been a source of

widespread deprivation and damages and altered terrestrial, fresh water and ocean ecosystem

globally.
Presently, nearly each-pastoralist land in Pakistan is under civilization as the country strives

to meet the sustainably of food security threshold for its fleetly growing population. Climate

change has increased temperatures performing in abrupt changes in downfall patterns, which

nearly linked to agrarian product, water, and timber coffers. downfall distribution and

intensity have changed drastically as substantiated by severe failure and ruinous cataracts that

damage rich lands as well as structure. Like utmost countries dependent upon pastoralist food

product in semiarid climates, Pakistan needs to develop and borrow climate-smart crop

operation strategies if its thing is to achieve food security. also, a top policy precedence must

be enforcing the climate- change mitigation strategies.( Syed, A., Raza, T.,et.al, 2022).

Imran, A., 2018, stated that it's a critical factor in the development and conservation of soil

structure and in the stability of soil summations and, accordingly, of the physical parcels that

depend on these factors water infiltration capacity, water holding capacity for shops, aeration,

contraction, erodibility. Another process that would presumably be affected by climate

change is soil Stalinization. Projected adding in evapotranspiration and failure would raise

water table, saline intrusion and accumulation of mariners in the lodging soil depth in thirsty

and semiarid lands.

Former studies show the fact that climate change causing an increase in temperature and

contemporaneously adverse goods on rice crop and eventually drop the crop productivity and

its quality( Joyo et al. 2018). It was revealed by comprehensive simulation exploration that

climate change since the 1960s dropped the yield of rice by 12.4, but with the largest

donation coming from lowering radiation. The positive and negative yield response in

different regions was demonstrated through statistical analysis between climate variables and

observed yield. Variations in mean temperatures, adding rainfall changes, and rising ocean

position prognosticated less but conceivably indeed more significant impact on rice product.

( Chandio, A.A., et.al, 2020).

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