2012 Corporate Update January
2012 Corporate Update January
JANUARY 2012
Growth Leader
SUSTAINABLE PROSPERITY
Low Cost Producer Outstanding Balance Sheet Low Political Risk Responsible Mining
$868 $703
563 540
305 163 295 274
209
2007
2008
2009
2010
Cash Margin
Q3'11 YTD
$1.60 $2.50
$1.59
$1.37
$0.56
2007
2008
2009
2010
Q3'11 YTD
Reserves / Share3
(per 1000 shares) $0.50 80.0 70.0 $0.00 65.0 66.7 78.0
61.5
2007
2008
2009
2010
Q3'11 YTD
2007
1 2 3 4
2008
2009
2010
Cash flow before changes in working capital Adjusted earnings per share Reserves for gold only Includes Cerro Negro update March 2011
2006
2007 2008 2009 2010* Gold proven & probable reserves (000s oz)
2012 Guidance
20121 Guidance 2011 Actual
2,600,000
Capital expenditures
Exploration expenditures Corporate administration
$2.6B
$200M $160M
TBA
TBA TBA
Depreciation /oz
Tax rate
1
$325
30%
TBA
TBA
Cash & cash equivalents Available debt facility undrawn Convertible senior notes due 2014 Forecast avg. annual operating cash flow over next 5 years
2 Price
Moodys: Baa2; S&P: BBB+; Fitch: BBB assumptions 2012-2016: Au=$1600/oz, Ag=$34/oz, Cu=$3.50/lb, Zn=$0.90/lb, Pb=$0.90/lb
10%
8%
9% 6%
4%
2% 0%
Newmont
Source: Bloomberg consensus Company reports
Goldcorp
Yamana
2011E
Newcrest
2012E
Barrick
Kinross
CANADA
USA
MEXICO GUATEMALA
AMERICAS ORIENTATION
CHILE ARGENTINA
US 5%
2012E Gold Production
OPERATING MINES
DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS
10
4,000,000
4,200,000
2011A
2012E
2013E
Current Operations
2014E
New Projects
2015E
2016E
11
Agua Rica
Feasibility
El Morro (2017)
Construction
Production
12
13
Construction & development activities advancing: Approval of amended EIA received Plant construction underway Development of Mariana Central and Mariana Norte veins commenced
14
San Marcos
4810000N
Concession Boundary
El Retiro
1.5m 92.6 g/t Au 72 g/t Ag 6.5m 150 g/t Au 172 g/t Ag
Buena Vista
Eureka
Sur Vein
4.0m 3.67 g/t Au 3 g/t Ag
4805000N
Fault
5 kilometers
15
17
18
Average annual output 415,000 to 450,000 ounces per year* in first five years
* Goldcorp interest 40%
19
20
Rahill - Bonanza
22
2012 exploration budget $38M - Focus on High Grade Zone extension - Hanging Wall exploration success
District optimization plans advancing: Cochenour, bulk u/g mining
23
25
Goldcorp +627%
Gold Price +461%
Peers* +266% Philadelphia Gold / Silver Index +232% Dow Industrials +22%
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
2001
* Peers include Barrick, Newmont, Kinross and Agnico Source: Bloomberg data Dec. 31/01 - Dec. 31/11
26
Why Gold?
Flat mine supply Growing physical demand - Asia - Central bank buying
Growth Leader
28
29
5.2 Moz
5,000,000
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
30
Change Increments
$100 $2.00 $0.50 $0.10 $0.10 10% 10%
FCF ($mm)
$186
Diesel ($/barrel)
Electricity ($/kWh)
$95.00
$0.09
10%
10%
$0.01
$0.02
$7
$10
$12
$17
31
5%
2%
15%
14%
Canada / USA
2% 1% 10% 6% 4% 4% 38% 6% 2% 15%
Mexico
12% 4% 14% 6% 1% 8% 18% 16% 13%
CSA
18%
8% 7%
9% 6% 5% 19%
12% 9%
14% 13%
32
Endnotes
1.
Goldcorp has included non-GAAP performance measures, total cash costs, by-product and co-product, per gold ounce, throughout this presentation. Total cash costs are defined as cost of sales divided by ounces of gold and silver sold or pounds of copper sold. The calculation of total cash costs per ounce of gold is net of by-product sales revenue (by-product copper revenues for Alumbrera; by-product silver revenues for Marlin at market silver prices; by-product lead, zinc and 75% of the silver for Peasquito at market silver prices and 25% of the silver for Peasquito at $3.90 per silver ounce sold to Silver Wheaton). The Company reports total cash costs on a sales basis. In the gold mining industry, this is a common performance measure but does not have any standardized meaning. The Company follows the recommendations of the Gold Institute Production Cost Standard. The Company believes that, in addition to conventional measures prepared in accordance with GAAP, certain investors use this information to evaluate the Companys performance and ability to generate cash flow. Accordingly, it is intended to provide additional information and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with GAAP. Total cash costs on a by-product basis are calculated by deducting by-product copper, silver, lead and zinc sales revenues from production cash costs. Production costs in 2012 are allocated to each co-product based on the ratio of actual sales volumes multiplied by budget metals prices of $1,600 per ounce of gold, $34 per ounce of silver, $3.50 per pound of copper, $0.90 per pound of lead and $0.90 per pound of zinc, rather than realized sales prices. 2. All Mineral Reserves and Mineral Resources have been calculated as at December 31, 2010 in accordance with the standards of the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum and National Instrument 43-101, or the AusIMM JORC equivalent. Cautionary Note to United States Investors Concerning Estimates of Measured, Indicated and Inferred Resources. United States investors are advised that while such terms are recognized and required by Canadian regulations, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission does not recognize them. Inferred Mineral Resources have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence, and as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of an Inferred Mineral Resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category. Under Canadian rules, estimates of Inferred Mineral Resources may not form the basis of feasibility or other economic studies. United States investors are cautioned not to assume that all or any part of Goldcorps Measured or Indicated Mineral Resources will ever be converted into Mineral Reserves. United States investors are also cautioned not to assume that all or any part of an Inferred Mineral Resource exists, or is economically or legally mineable. Calculations have been prepared by employees of Goldcorp, its joint venture partners or its joint venture operating companies, as applicable, under the supervision of Maryse Belanger, Director Technical Services. Reserve calculations incorporate current and/or expected mine plans and cost levels at each property. Varying cut-off grades have been used depending on the mine and type of ore contained in the reserves. Goldcorps normal data verification procedures have been employed in connection with the calculations. For a breakdown of Reserves and Resources by category and for a more detailed description of the key assumptions, parameters and methods used in calculating Goldcorps Reserves and Resources, see Goldcorps Annual information Form/ Form 40-F on file with Canadian provincial securities regulatory authorities and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Goldcorps exploration programs are designed and conducted under the supervision of Charlie Ronkos, Senior Vice-President, Exploration of Goldcorp. For information on geology, exploration activities generally, and drilling and analysis procedures on Goldcorps material properties, see Goldcorps Annual Information Form/Form 40-F on file with Canadian provincial securities regulatory authorities and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
3.
33