42 Fallacies - Michael LaBossiere 2010
42 Fallacies - Michael LaBossiere 2010
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This book is copyright 2002-2010 by Dr. Michael C. LaBossiere. It may
be freely distributed for personal or educational use provided that it is not
modified and no fee above the normal cost of distribution is charged for it.
Fallacies and Arguments
The reason why an ad Hominem (of any kind) is a fallacy is that the
character, circumstances, or actions of a person do not (in most cases) have
a bearing on the truth or falsity of the claim being made (or the quality of
the argument being made).
Example#1:
Bill: “I believe that abortion is morally wrong.”
Dave: “Of course you would say that, you’re a priest.”
Bill: “What about the arguments I gave to support my position?”
Dave: “Those don’t count. Like I said, you’re a priest, so you have to
say that abortion is wrong. Further, you are just a lackey to the Pope, so I
can’t believe what you say.”
Example#2:
John: “Sally was saying that people shouldn’t hunt animals or kill them
for food or clothing. She also…”
Wanda: “Well, Sally is a sissy crybaby who loves animals way too
much.”
John: “So?”
Wanda: “That means she is wrong about that animal stuff. Also, if we
weren’t supposed to eat ‘em, they wouldn’t be made of meat.”
Ad Hominem Tu Quoque
The fact that a person makes inconsistent claims does not make any
particular claim he makes false (although of any pair of inconsistent claims
only one can be true—but both can be false). Also, the fact that a person’s
claims are not consistent with his actions might indicate that the person is a
hypocrite but this does not prove his claims are false.
Example #1:
Bill: “Smoking is very unhealthy and leads to all sorts of problems. So
take my advice and never start.”
Jill: “Well, I certainly don’t want to get cancer.”
Bill: “I’m going to get a smoke. Want to join me Dave?”
Jill: “Well, I guess smoking can’t be that bad. After all, Bill smokes.”
Example #2:
Jill: “I think the gun control bill shouldn’t be supported because it won’t
be effective and will waste money.”
Bill: “Well, just last month you supported the bill. So I guess you’re
wrong now.”
Example #3:
Peter: “Based on the arguments I have presented, it is evident that it is
morally wrong to use animals for food or clothing.”
Bill: “But you are wearing a leather jacket and you have a roast beef
sandwich in your hand! How can you say that using animals for food and
clothing is wrong!”
Appeal to the Consequences of a Belief
Description:
The Appeal to the Consequences of a Belief is a fallacy that comes in the
following patterns:
#1: X is true because if people did not accept X as being true, then there
would be negative consequences.
#2: X is false because if people did not accept X as being false, then
there would be negative consequences.
Example #1:
God must exist! If God did not exist, then all basis for morality would
be lost and the world would be a horrible place!
Example #2:
It can never happen to me. If I believed it could, I could never sleep
soundly at night.
Example #3:
I don’t think that there will be a nuclear war. If I believed that, I
wouldn’t be able to get up in the morning. I mean, how depressing.
Example #4:
I acknowledge that I have no argument for the existence of God.
However, I have a great desire for God to exist and for there to be an
afterlife. Therefore I accept that God exists.
Appeal to Authority
2. The claim being made by the person is within her area(s) of expertise.
If a person makes a claim about some subject outside of his area(s) of
expertise, then the person is not an expert in that context. Hence, the claim
in question is not backed by the required degree of expertise and is not
reliable.
It is very important to remember that because of the vast scope of human
knowledge and skill it is simply not possible for one person to be an expert
on everything. Hence, experts will only be true experts in respect to certain
subject areas. In most other areas they will have little or no expertise. Thus,
it is important to determine what subject area a claim falls under.
It is also very important to note that expertise in one area does not
automatically confer expertise in another. For example, being an expert
physicist does not automatically make a person an expert on morality or
politics. Unfortunately, this is often overlooked or intentionally ignored. In
fact, a great deal of advertising rests on a violation of this condition. As
anyone who watches television knows, it is extremely common to get
famous actors and sports heroes to endorse products that they are not
qualified to assess. For example, a person may be a great actor, but that
does not automatically make him an expert on cars or shaving or underwear
or diets or politics.
Example #1:
Bill and Jane are arguing about the morality of abortion:
Example #2:
Dave and Kintaro are arguing about Stalin’s reign in the Soviet Union.
Dave has been arguing that Stalin was a great leader while Kintaro
disagrees with him.
Kintaro: “I don’t see how you can consider Stalin to be a great leader.
He killed millions of his own people, he crippled the Soviet economy, kept
most of the people in fear and laid the foundations for the violence that is
occurring in much of Eastern Europe.”
Dave: “Yeah, well you say that. However, I have a book at home that
says that Stalin was acting in the best interest of the people. The millions
that were killed were vicious enemies of the state and they had to be killed
to protect the rest of the peaceful citizens. This book lays it all out, so it has
to be true.”
Example #3:
I’m not a doctor, but I play one on the hit series “Bimbos and
Studmuffins in the OR.” You can take it from me that when you need a fast
acting, effective and safe pain killer there is nothing better than
MorphiDope 2000. That is my considered medical opinion.
Example #4:
Siphwe and Sasha are having a conversation:
This line of “reasoning” is fallacious because the fact that many people
believe a claim does not, in general, serve as evidence that the claim is true.
There are, however, some cases when the fact that many people accept a
claim as true is an indication that it is true. For example, while you are
visiting Maine, you are told by several people that they believe that people
older than 16 need to buy a fishing license in order to fish. Barring reasons
to doubt these people, their statements give you reason to believe that
anyone over 16 will need to buy a fishing license.
There are also cases in which what people believe actually determines the
truth of a claim. For example, the truth of claims about manners and proper
behavior might simply depend on what people believe to be good manners
and proper behavior. Another example is the case of community standards,
which are often taken to be the standards that most people accept. In some
cases, what violates certain community standards is taken to be obscene. In
such cases, for the claim “x is obscene” to be true is for most people in that
community to believe that x is obscene. In such cases it is still prudent to
question the justification of the individual beliefs.
Example #1:
At one time, most people in Europe believed that the earth was the
center of the solar system (at least most of those who had beliefs about such
things). However, this belief turned out to be false.
Example #2:
God must exist. After all, I just saw a poll that says 85% of all
Americans believe in God.
Example #3:
Of course there is nothing wrong with drinking. Ask anyone, he’ll tell
you that he thinks drinking is just fine.
Appeal to Common Practice
Description:
The Appeal to Common Practice is a fallacy with the following structure:
1) X is a common action.
2) Therefore X is correct/moral/justified/reasonable, etc.
The basic idea behind the fallacy is that the fact that most people do X is
used as “evidence” to support the action or practice. It is a fallacy because
the mere fact that most people do something does not make it correct,
moral, justified, or reasonable.
An appeal to fair play, which might seem to be an appeal to common
practice, need not be a fallacy. For example, a woman working in an office
might say “the men who do the same job as me get paid more than I do, so
it would be right for me to get paid the same as them.” This would not be a
fallacy as long as there was no relevant difference between her and the men
(in terms of ability, experience, hours worked, etc.). More formally:
1) Most people do X.
2) Therefore X is morally correct.
would not be a fallacy. This would however entail some odd results. For
example, imagine that there are only 100 people on earth. 60 of them do not
steal or cheat and 40 do. At this time, stealing and cheating would be
wrong. The next day, a natural disaster kills 30 of the 60 people who do not
cheat or steal. Now it is morally correct to cheat and steal. Thus, it would be
possible to change the moral order of the world to one’s view simply by
eliminating those who disagree.
Example #1:
Director Jones is in charge of running a state waste management
program. When it is found that the program is rife with corruption, Jones
says “This program has its problems, but nothing goes on in this program
that doesn’t go on in all state programs.”
Example #2:
“Yeah, I know some people say that cheating on tests is wrong. But we
all know that everyone does it, so it’s okay.”
Example #3:
“Sure, some people buy into that equality crap. However, we know that
everyone pays women less then men. It’s okay, too. Since everyone does it,
it can’t really be wrong.”
Example #4:
“There is nothing wrong with requiring multicultural classes, even at the
expense of core subjects. After all, all of the universities and colleges are
pushing multiculturalism.”
Appeal to Emotion
Description:
An Appeal to Emotion is a fallacy with the following structure:
Appeal to Popularity
1) Most people approve of X.
2) So, I should approve of X, too.
3) Since I approve of X, X must be true.
Appeal to Emotion
1) I approve of X.
2) Therefore, X is true.
Example #1:
The new PowerTangerine computer gives you the power you need. If
you buy one, people will envy your power. They will look up to you and
wish they were just like you. You will know the true joy of power.
TangerinePower.
Example #2:
The new UltraSkinny diet will make you feel great. No longer be
troubled by your weight. Enjoy the admiring stares of the opposite sex.
Revel in your new freedom from fat. You will know true happiness if you
try our diet!
Example #3:
Bill goes to hear a politician speak. The politician tells the crowd about
the evils of the government and the need to throw out the people who are
currently in office. After hearing the speech, Bill is full of hatred for the
current politicians. Because of this, he feels good about getting rid of the
old politicians and accepts that it is the right thing to do because of how he
feels.
Appeal to Fear
Example #1:
You know, Professor Smith, I really need to get an A in this class. I’d
like to stop by during your office hours later to discuss my grade. I’ll be in
your building anyways, visting my father. He’s your dean, by the way. I’ll
see you later.
Example #2:
I don’t think a Red Ryder BB rifle would make a good present for you.
They are very dangerous and you’ll put your eye out. Now, don’t you agree
that you should think of another gift idea?
Example #3:
You must believe that God exists. After all, if you do not accept the
existence of God, then you will face the horrors of hell.
Example #4:
You shouldn’t say such things against multiculturalism! If the chair
heard what you were saying, you would never receive tenure. So, you had
just better learn to accept that it is simply wrong to speak out against it.
Appeal to Flattery
The basic idea behind this fallacy is that flattery is presented in the place
of evidence for accepting a claim. This sort of “reasoning” is fallacious
because flattery is not, in fact, evidence for a claim. This is especially clear
in a case like this: “My Bill, that is a really nice tie. By the way, it is quite
clear that one plus one is equal to forty three.
Example #1:
Might I say that this is the best philosophy class I’ve ever taken. By the
way, about those two points I need to get an A.
Example #2:
“That was a wonderful joke about AIDS boss, and I agree with you that
the damn liberals are wrecking the country. Now about my raise…”
Example #3:
That was a singularly brilliant idea. I have never seen such a clear and
eloquent defense of Plato’s position. If you do not mind, I’ll base my paper
on it. Provided that you allow me a little extra time past the deadline to
work on it.
Appeal to Novelty
1. X is new.
2. Therefore X is correct or better.
Example #1:
The Sadisike 900 pump-up glow shoe. It’s better because it’s new.
Example #2:
James: “So, what is this new plan?”
Biff: “Well, the latest thing in marketing techniques is the GK method.
It is the latest thing out of the think tank. It is so new that the ink on the
reports is still drying.”
James: “Well, our old marketing method has been quite effective. I
don’t like the idea of jumping to a new method without a good reason.”
Biff: “Well, we know that we have to stay on the cutting edge. That
means new ideas and new techniques have to be used. The GK method is
new, so it will do better than that old, dusty method.”
Example #3:
Prof: “So you can see that a new and better morality is sweeping the
nation. No longer are people with alternative lifestyles ashamed. No longer
are people caught up in the outmoded moralities of the past.”
Student: “Well, what about the ideas of the great thinkers of the past?
Don’t they have some valid points?”
Prof: “A good question. The answer is that they had some valid points
in their own, barbaric times. But those are old, moldy moralities from a
time long gone. Now is a time for new moralities. Progress and all that, you
know.”
Student: “So would you say that the new moralities are better because
they are newer?”
Prof: “Exactly. Just as the dinosaurs died off to make way for new
animals, the old ideas have to give way for the new ones. And just as
humans are better than dinosaurs, the new ideas are better than the old. So
newer is literally better.”
Student: “I see.”
Appeal to Pity
The above example does not involve a fallacy. While the professor does
feel sorry for Bill, she is justified in accepting Bill’s claim that he deserves
a makeup. After all getting run over by a truck would be a legitimate excuse
for missing a test.
Example #1:
Jill: “He’d be a terrible coach for the team.”
Bill: “He had his heart set on the job, and it would break if he didn’t get
it.”
Jill: “I guess he’ll do an adequate job.”
Example #2:
“I’m positive that my work will meet your requirements. I really need
the job since my grandmother is sick”
Example #3:
“I should receive an ‘A’ in this class. After all, if I don’t get an ‘A’ I
won’t get the fellowship that I want.”
Appeal to Popularity
Description:
The Appeal to Popularity has the following form:
The basic idea is that a claim is accepted as being true simply because
most people are favorably inclined towards the claim. More formally, the
fact that most people have favorable emotions associated with the claim is
substituted in place of actual evidence for the claim. A person falls prey to
this fallacy if he accepts a claim as being true simply because most other
people approve of the claim.
It is clearly fallacious to accept the approval of the majority as evidence
for a claim. For example, suppose that a skilled speaker managed to get
most people to absolutely love the claim that 1+1=3. It would still not be
rational to accept this claim simply because most people approved of it.
After all, mere approval is no substitute for a mathematical proof. At one
time people approved of claims such as “the world is flat”, “humans cannot
survive at speeds greater than 25 miles per hour”, “the sun revolves around
the earth” but all these claims turned out to be false.
This sort of “reasoning” is quite common and can be quite an effective
persuasive device. Since most humans tend to conform with the views of
the majority, convincing a person that the majority approves of a claim is
often an effective way to get him to accept it. Advertisers often use this
tactic when they attempt to sell products by claiming that everyone uses and
loves their products. In such cases they hope that people will accept the
(purported) approval of others as a good reason to buy the product.
This fallacy is vaguely similar to such fallacies as Appeal to Belief and
Appeal to Common Practice. However, in the case of an Ad Populum the
appeal is to the fact that most people approve of a claim. In the case of an
Appeal to Belief, the appeal is to the fact that most people believe a claim.
In the case of an Appeal to Common Practice, the appeal is to the fact that
many people take the action in question.
This fallacy is closely related to the Appeal to Emotion fallacy, as
discussed in the entry for that fallacy.
Example #1:
My fellow Americans…there has been some talk that the government is
overstepping its bounds by allowing police to enter people’s homes without
the warrants traditionally required by the Constitution. However, these are
dangerous times and dangerous times require appropriate actions. I have in
my office thousands of letters from people who let me know, in no
uncertain terms, that they heartily endorse the war against terrorism in these
United States. Because of this overwhelming approval, it is evident that the
police are doing the right thing.
Example #2:
I read the other day that most people really like the new gun control
laws. I was sort of suspicious of them, but I guess if most people like them,
then they must be okay.
Example #3:
Jill and Jane have some concerns that the rules their sorority has set are
racist in character. Since Jill is a decent person, she brings her concerns up
in the next meeting. The president of the sorority assures her that there is
nothing wrong with the rules, since the majority of the sisters like them.
Jane accepts this ruling but Jill decides to leave the sorority.
Appeal to Ridicule
Example#1:
“Sure my worthy opponent claims that we should lower tuition, but that
is just laughable.”
Example#2:
“Equal rights for women? Yeah, I’ll support that when they start paying
for dinner and taking out the trash! Hah hah! Fetch me another brewski,
Mildred.”
Example#3:
“Those crazy conservatives! They think a strong military is the key to
peace! Such fools!”
Appeal to Spite
Description:
The Appeal to Spite Fallacy is a fallacy in which spite is substituted for
evidence when an “argument” is made against a claim. This line of
“reasoning” has the following form:
1. Claim X is presented with the intent of generating spite.
2. Therefore claim C is false (or true)
In this case, Jill has a good reason not to vote for Jane. Since a treasurer
should be honest, a known thief would be a bad choice. As long as Jill
concludes that she should vote against Jane because she is a thief and not
just out of spite, her reasoning would not be fallacious.
Example #1:
Bill: “I think that Jane did a great job this year. I’m going to nominate
her for the award.”
Dave: “Have you forgotten last year? Remember that she didn’t
nominate you last year.”
Bill: “You’re right. I’m not going to nominate her.”
Example #2:
Jill: “I think Jane’s idea is a really good one and will really save a lot of
money for the department.”
Bill: “Maybe. Remember how she showed that your paper had a fatal
flaw when you read it at the convention last year…”
Jill: “I had just about forgotten about that! I think I’ll go with your idea
instead.”
Appeal to Tradition
Also Known as: Appeal to the Old, Old Ways are Best, Fallacious
Appeal to the Past, Appeal to Age
Description:
Appeal to Tradition is a fallacy that occurs when it is assumed that
something is better or correct simply because it is older, traditional, or
“always has been done.” This sort of “reasoning” has the following form:
1. X is old or traditional
2. Therefore X is correct or better.
Example #1:
Sure I believe in God. People have believed in God for thousands of
years so it seems clear that God must exist. After all, why else would the
belief last so long?
Example #2:
Gunthar is the father of Connan. They live on a small island and in their
culture women are treated as property to be exchanged at will by men.
Connan: “You know father, when I was going to school in the United
States I saw that American women are not treated as property. In fact, I read
a book by this person named Mill in which he argued for women’s rights.”
Gunthar: “So, what is your point son?”
Connan: “Well, I think that it might be wrong to trade my sisters for
cattle. They are human beings and should have a right to be masters of their
own fate.”
Gunthar: “What a strange and new-fangled notion you picked up in
America. That country must be even more barbaric then I imagined. Now
think about this son. We have been trading women for cattle for as long as
our people have lived on this island. It is a tradition that goes back into the
mists of time. “
Connan: “But I still think there is something wrong with it.”
Gunthar: “Nonsense my boy. A tradition this old must be endorsed by
the gods and must be right. “
Example #3:
Of course this mode of government is the best. We have had this
government for over 200 years and no one has talked about changing it in
all that time. So, it has got to be good.
Example #4:
A reporter is interviewing the head of a family that has been involved
with a feud with another family.
Reporter: “Mr. Hatfield, why are you still fighting it out with the
McCoys?”
Hatfield: “Well you see young man, my father feuded with the McCoys
and his father feuded with them and so did my great grandfather.”
Reporter: “But why? What started all this?”
Hatfield: “I don’t rightly know. I’m sure it was the McCoys who started
it all, though.”
Reporter: “If you don’t know why you’re fighting, why don’t you just
stop?”
Hatfield: “Stop? What are you crazy? This feud has been going on for
generations so I’m sure there is a darn good reason why it started. So I aim
to keep it going. It has got to be the right thing to do. Hand me my shooting
iron boy, I see one of those McCoy skunks sneaking in the cornfield.”
Begging the Question
Some cases of question begging are fairly blatant, while others can be
extremely subtle.
Example #1:
Bill: “God must exist.”
Jill: “How do you know.”
Bill: “Because the Bible says so.”
Jill: “Why should I believe the Bible?”
Bill: “Because the Bible was written by God.”
Example #2:
“If such actions were not illegal , then they would not be prohibited by
the law.”
Example #3:
“The belief in God is universal. After all, everyone believes in God.”
Example #4:
Interviewer: “Your resume looks impressive but I need another
reference.”
Bill: “Jill can give me a good reference.”
Interviewer: “Good. But how do I know that Jill is trustworthy?”
Bill: “Certainly. I can vouch for her.”
Biased Generalization
Biased samples are generally not very reliable. As a blatant case, imagine
that a person is taking a sample from a truckload of small colored balls,
some of which are metal and some of which are plastic. If he used a magnet
to select his sample, then his sample would include a disproportionate
number of metal balls (after all, the sample will probably be made up
entirely of the metal balls). In this case, any conclusions he might draw
about the whole population of balls would be unreliable since he would
have few or no plastic balls in the sample.
The general idea is that biased samples are less likely to contain numbers
proportional to the whole population. For example, if a person wants to find
out what most Americans thought about gun control, a poll taken at an
NRA meeting would be a biased sample.
Since the Biased Sample fallacy is committed when the sample (the
observed instances) is biased or loaded, it is important to have samples that
are not biased making a generalization. The best way to do this is to take
samples in ways that avoid bias. There are, in general, three types of
samples that are aimed at avoiding bias. The general idea is that these
methods (when used properly) will result in a sample that matches the
whole population fairly closely. The three types of samples are as follows
Random Sample: This is a sample that is taken in such a way that nothing
but chance determines which members of the population are selected for the
sample. Ideally, any individual member of the population has the same
chance as being selected as any other. This type of sample avoids being
biased because a biased sample is one that is taken in such a way that some
members of the population have a significantly greater chance of being
selected for the sample than other members. Unfortunately, creating an ideal
random sample is often very difficult.
Example #1:
Bill is assigned by his editor to determine what most Americans think
about a new law that will place a federal tax on all modems and computers
purchased. The revenues from the tax will be used to enforce new online
decency laws. Bill, being technically inclined, decides to use an email poll.
In his poll, 95% of those surveyed opposed the tax. Bill was quite surprised
when 65% of all Americans voted for the taxes.
Example #2:
The United Pacifists of America decide to run a poll to determine what
Americans think about guns and gun control. Jane is assigned the task of
setting up the study. To save mailing costs, she includes the survey form in
the group’s newsletter mailing. She is very pleased to find out that 95% of
those surveyed favor gun control laws and she tells her friends that the vast
majority of Americans favor gun control laws.
Example #3:
Large scale polls were taken in Florida, California, and Maine and it
was found that an average of 55% of those polled spent at least fourteen
days a year near the ocean. So, it can be safely concluded that 55% of all
Americans spend at least fourteen days near the ocean each year.
Burden of Proof
In many situations, one side has the burden of proof resting on it. This
side is obligated to provide evidence for its position. The claim of the other
side, the one that does not bear the burden of proof, is assumed to be true
unless proven otherwise. The difficulty in such cases is determining which
side, if any, the burden of proof rests on. In many cases, settling this issue
can be a matter of significant debate. In some cases the burden of proof is
set by the situation. For example, in American law a person is assumed to
be innocent until proven guilty (hence the burden of proof is on the
prosecution). As another example, in debate the burden of proof is placed
on the affirmative team. As a final example, in most cases the burden of
proof rests on those who claim something exists (such as Bigfoot, psychic
powers, universals, and sense data).
Example #1:
Bill: “I think that we should invest more money in expanding the
interstate system.”
Jill: “I think that would be a bad idea, considering the state of the
treasury.”
Bill: How can anyone be against highway improvements?”
Example #2:
Bill: “I think that some people have psychic powers.”
Jill: “What is your proof?”
Bill: “No one has been able to prove that people do not have psychic
powers.”
Example #3:
“You cannot prove that God does not exist, so He does.”
Circumstantial Ad Hominem
Description:
A Circumstantial ad Hominem is a fallacy in which one attempts to attack
a claim by asserting that the person making the claim is making it simply
out of self interest. In some cases, this fallacy involves substituting an
attack on a person’s circumstances (such as the person’s religion, political
affiliation, ethnic background, etc.). The fallacy has the following forms:
Example #2:
“I think that we should reject what Father Jones has to say about the
ethical issues of abortion because he is a Catholic priest. After all, Father
Jones is required to hold such views.”
Example #3:
“Of course the Senator from Maine opposes a reduction in naval
spending. After all, Bath Ironworks, which produces warships, is in Maine.”
Example #4:
“Bill claims that tax breaks for corporations increases development. Of
course, Bill is the CEO of a corporation.”
Fallacy of Composition
Description:
The fallacy of Composition is committed when a conclusion is drawn
about a whole based on the features of its constituents when, in fact, no
justification provided for the inference. There are actually two types of this
fallacy, both of which are known by the same name (because of the high
degree of similarity).
The first type of fallacy of Composition arises when a person reasons
from the characteristics of individual members of a class or group to a
conclusion regarding the characteristics of the entire class or group (taken
as a whole). More formally, the “reasoning” would look something like this.
This line of reasoning is fallacious because the mere fact that individuals
have certain characteristics does not, in itself, guarantee that the class (taken
as a whole) has those characteristics.
It is important to note that drawing an inference about the characteristics
of a class based on the characteristics of its individual members is not
always fallacious. In some cases, sufficient justification can be provided to
warrant the conclusion. For example, it is true that an individual rich person
has more wealth than an individual poor person. In some nations (such as
the US) it is true that the class of wealthy people has more wealth as a
whole than does the class of poor people. In this case, the evidence used
would warrant the inference and the fallacy of Composition would not be
committed.
The second type of fallacy of Composition is committed when it is
concluded that what is true of the parts of a whole must be true of the whole
without there being adequate justification for the claim. More formally, the
line of “reasoning” would be as follows:
Example #1:
A main battle tank uses more fuel than a car. Therefore, the main battle
tanks use up more of the available fuel in the world than do all the cars.
Example #2:
A tiger eats more food than a human being. Therefore, tigers, as a
group, eat more food than do all the humans on the earth.
Example #3:
Atoms are colorless. Cats are made of atoms, so cats are colorless.
Example #4:
Every player on the team is a superstar and a great player, so the team is
a great team.” This is fallacious since the superstars might not be able to
play together very well and hence they could be a lousy team.
Example #5:
Each part of the show, from the special effects to the acting is a
masterpiece. So, the whole show is a masterpiece.” This is fallacious since a
show could have great acting, great special effects and such, yet still fail to
“come together” to make a masterpiece.
Example #6:
Come on, you like beef, potatoes, and green beans, so you will like this
beef, potato, and green been casserole.” This is fallacious for the same
reason that the following is fallacious: “You like eggs, ice cream, pizza,
cake, fish, jello, chicken, taco sauce, soda, oranges, milk, egg rolls, and
yogurt so you must like this yummy dish made out of all of them.
Example #7:
Sodium and chlorine are both dangerous to humans. Therefore any
combination of sodium and chlorine will be dangerous to humans.
Confusuing Cause and Effect
This fallacy requires that there not be, in fact, a common cause that
actually causes both A and B.
This fallacy is committed when a person assumes that one event must
cause another just because the events occur together. More formally, this
fallacy involves drawing the conclusion that A is the cause of B simply
because A and B are in regular conjunction (and there is not a common
cause that is actually the cause of A and B). The mistake being made is that
the causal conclusion is being drawn without adequate justification.
In some cases it will be evident that the fallacy is being committed. For
example, a person might claim that an illness was caused by a person
getting a fever. In this case, it would be quite clear that the fever was caused
by illness and not the other way around. In other cases, the fallacy is not
always evident. One factor that makes causal reasoning quite difficult is that
it is not always evident what is the cause and what is the effect. For
example, a problem child might be the cause of the parents being short
tempered or the short temper of the parents might be the cause of the child
being problematic. The difficulty is increased by the fact that some
situations might involve feedback. For example, the parents’ temper might
cause the child to become problematic and the child’s behavior could
worsen the parents’ temper. In such cases it could be rather difficult to sort
out what caused what in the first place.
In order to determine that the fallacy has been committed, it must be
shown that the causal conclusion has not been adequately supported and
that the person committing the fallacy has confused the actual cause with
the effect. Showing that the fallacy has been committed will typically
involve determining the actual cause and the actual effect. In some cases, as
noted above, this can be quite easy. In other cases it will be difficult. In
some cases, it might be almost impossible. Another thing that makes causal
reasoning difficult is that people often have very different conceptions of
cause and, in some cases, the issues are clouded by emotions and
ideologies. For example, people often claim violence on TV and in movies
must be censored because it causes people to like violence. Other people
claim that there is violence on TV and in movies because people like
violence. In this case, it is not obvious what the cause really is and the issue
is clouded by the fact that emotions often run high on this issue.
While causal reasoning can be difficult, many errors can be avoided with
due care and careful testing procedures. This is due to the fact that the
fallacy arises because the conclusion is drawn without due care. One way to
avoid the fallacy is to pay careful attention to the temporal sequence of
events. Since (outside of Star Trek), effects do not generally precede their
causes, if A occurs after B, then A cannot be the cause of B. However, these
methods go beyond the scope of this program.
All causal fallacies involve an error in causal reasoning. However, this
fallacy differs from the other causal fallacies in terms of the error in
reasoning being made. In the case of a Post Hoc fallacy, the error is that a
person is accepting that A is the cause of B simply because A occurs before
B. In the case of the Fallacy of Ignoring a Common Cause A is taken to be
the cause of B when there is, in fact, a third factor that is the cause of both
A and B. For more information, see the relevant entries in this program.
Example #1:
Bill and Joe are having a debate about music and moral decay:
Bill: ‘”It seems clear to me that this new music is causing the youth to
become corrupt.”
Joe: ‘What do you mean?”
Bill: “This rap stuff is always telling the kids to kill cops, do drugs, and
abuse women. That is all bad and the kids today shouldn’t be doing that sort
of stuff. We ought to ban that music!”
Joe: “So, you think that getting rid of the rap music would solve the
drug, violence and sexism problems in the US?”
Bill: “Well, it wouldn’t get rid of it all, but it would take care of a lot of
it.”
Joe: “Don’t you think that most of the rap singers sing about that sort of
stuff because that is what is really going on these days? I mean, people
often sing about the conditions of their time, just like the people did in the
sixties. But then I suppose that you think that people were against the war
and into drugs just because they listened to Dylan and Baez.”
Bill: “Well…”
Joe: “Well, it seems to me that the main cause of the content of the rap
music is the pre-existing social conditions. If there weren’t all these
problems, the rap singers probably wouldn’t be singing about them. I also
think that if the social conditions were great, kids could listen to the music
all day and not be affected.”
Joe: ‘Well, I still think the rap music causes the problems. You can’t
argue against the fact that social ills really picked up at the same time rap
music got started.”
Example #2:
It is claimed by some people that severe illness is caused by depression
and anger. After all, people who are severely ill are very often depressed
and angry. Thus, it follows that the cause of severe illness actually is the
depression and anger. So, a good and cheerful attitude is key to staying
healthy.
Example #3:
Bill sets out several plates with bread on them. After a couple days, he
notices that the bread has mold growing all over it. Bill concludes that the
mold was produced by the bread going bad. When Bill tells his mother
about his experiment, she tells him that the mold was the cause of the bread
going bad and that he better clean up the mess if he wants to get his
allowance this week.
Fallacy of Division
Description:
The fallacy of Division is committed when a person infers that what is
true of a whole must also be true of its constituents and justification for that
inference is not provided. There are two main variants of the general fallacy
of Division:
The first type of fallacy of Division is committed when 1) a person
reasons that what is true of the whole must also be true of the parts and 2)
the person fails to justify that inference with the required degree of
evidence. More formally, the “reasoning” follows this sort of pattern:
Example #1:
“The ball is blue, therefore the atoms that make it up are also blue.”
Example #2:
“A living cell is organic material, so the chemicals making up the cell
must also be organic material.”
Example #3:
“Bill lives in a large building, so his apartment must be large.”
Example #4:
“Sodium chloride (table salt) may be safely eaten. Therefore its
constituent elements, sodium and chlorine, may be safely eaten.”
Example #5:
“Americans use much more electricity than Africans do. So Bill, who
lives in primitive cabin in Maine, uses more electricity than Nelson, who
lives in a modern house in South Africa. “
Example #6:
“Men receive more higher education than women. Therefore Dr. Jane
Smart has less higher education than Mr. Bill Buffoon. “
Example #7:
“Minorities get paid less than whites in America. Therefore, the black
CEO of a multi-billion dollar company gets paid less than the white janitor
who cleans his office.”
False Dilemma
In cases in which the two options are, in fact, the only two options, this
line of reasoning is not fallacious. For example:
Example #1:
Senator Jill: “We’ll have to cut education funding this year.”
Senator Bill” “Why?”
Senator Jill: “Well, either we cut the social programs of we live with a
huge deficit and we can’t live with the deficit.”
Example #2:
Bill: “Jill and I both support having prayer in public schools.”
Jill: “Hey, I never said that!”
Bill: “You’re not an atheist are you Jill?
Example #3:
“Look, you are going to have to make up your mind. Either you decide
that you can afford this stereo, or you decide you are going to do without
music for a while.”
Gambler’s Fallacy
Description:
The Gambler’s Fallacy is committed when a person assumes that a
departure from what occurs on average or in the long term will be corrected
in the short term. The form of the fallacy is as follows:
1. X has happened.
2. X departs from what is expected to occur on average or over the long
term.
3. Therefore, X will come to an end soon.
There are two common ways this fallacy is committed. In both cases a
person is assuming that some result must be “due” simply because what has
previously happened departs from what would be expected on average or
over the long term.
The first involves events whose probabilities of occurring are independent
of one another. For example, one toss of a fair (two sides, non-loaded) coin
does not affect the next toss of the coin. So, each time the coin is tossed
there is (ideally) a 50% chance of it landing heads and a 50% chance of it
landing tails. Suppose that a person tosses a coin 6 times and gets a head
each time. If he concludes that the next toss will be tails because tails “is
due”, then he will have committed the Gambler’s Fallacy. This is because
the results of previous tosses have no bearing on the outcome of the 7th
toss. It has a 50% chance of being heads and a 50% chance of being tails,
just like any other toss.
The second involves cases whose probabilities of occurring are not
independent of one another. For example, suppose that a boxer has won
50% of his fights over the past two years. Suppose that after several fights
he has won 50% of his matches this year, that he his lost his last six fights
and he has six left. If a person believed that he would win his next six fights
because he has used up his losses and is “due” for a victory, then he would
have committed the Gambler’s Fallacy. After all, the person would be
ignoring the fact that the results of one match can influence the results of
the next one. For example, the boxer might have been injured in one match
which would lower his chances of winning his last six fights.
It should be noted that not all predictions about what is likely to occur are
fallacious. If a person has good evidence for his predictions, then they will
be reasonable to accept. For example, if a person tosses a fair coin and gets
nine heads in a row it would be reasonable for him to conclude that he will
probably not get another nine in a row again. This reasoning would not be
fallacious as long as he believed his conclusion because of an understanding
of the laws of probability. In this case, if he concluded that he would not get
another nine heads in a row because the odds of getting nine heads in a row
are lower than getting fewer than nine heads in a row, then his reasoning
would be good and his conclusion would be justified. Hence, determining
whether or not the Gambler’s Fallacy is being committed often requires
some basic understanding of the laws of probability.
Example #1:
Bill is playing against Doug in a WWII tank battle game. Doug has had
a great “streak of luck” and has been killing Bill’s tanks left and right with
good die rolls. Bill, who has a few tanks left, decides to risk all in a
desperate attack on Doug. He is a bit worried that Doug might wipe him
out, but he thinks that since Doug’s luck at rolling has been great Doug
must be due for some bad dice rolls. Bill launches his attack and Doug
butchers his forces.
Example #2:
Jane and Bill are talking:
Example #3:
Joe and Sam are at the race track betting on horses.
Joe: “You see that horse over there? He lost his last four races. I’m
going to bet on him.”
Sam: ‘Why? I think he will probably lose.”
Joe: “No way, Sam. I looked up the horse’s stats and he has won half his
races in the past two years. Since he has lost three of his last four races,
he’ll have to win this race. So I’m betting the farm on him.”
Sam: “Are you sure?”
Joe: “Of course I’m sure. That pony is due, man…he’s due!”
Genetic Fallacy
Description:
A Genetic Fallacy is a line of “reasoning” in which a perceived defect in
the origin of a claim or thing is taken to be evidence that discredits the
claim or thing itself. It is also a line of reasoning in which the origin of a
claim or thing is taken to be evidence for the claim or thing. This sort of
“reasoning” has the following form:
Example #1:
“Yeah, the environmentalists do claim that over-development can lead
to all kinds of serious problems. But we all know about those darn bunny
huggers and their silly views!.”
Example #2:
“I was brought up to believe in God, and my parents told me God exists,
so He must.”
Example #3:
“Sure, the media claims that Senator Bedfellow was taking kickbacks.
But we all know about the media’s credibility, don’t we.”
Guilt by Association
Also Known as: Bad Company Fallacy, Company that You Keep
Fallacy
Description:
Guilt by Association is a fallacy in which a person rejects a claim simply
because it is pointed out that people she dislikes accept the claim. This sort
of “reasoning” has the following form:
Example #1:
Will and Kiteena are arguing over socialism. Kiteena is a pacifist and
hates violence and violent people.
Example #2:
Jen and Sandy are discussing the topic of welfare. Jen is fairly
conservative politically but she has been an active opponent of racism.
Sandy is extremely liberal politically.
Jen: “I was reading over some private studies of welfare and I think it
would be better to have people work for their welfare. For example, people
could pick up trash, put up signs, and maybe even do skilled labor that they
are qualified for. This would probably make people feel better about
themselves and it would get more out of our tax money.”
Sandy: “I see. So, you want to have the poor people out on the streets
picking up trash for their checks? Well, you know that is exactly the
position David Count endorses.”
Jen: “Who is he?”
Sandy: “I’m surprised you don’t know him, seeing how alike you two
are. He was a Grand Mooky Wizard for the Aryan Pure White League and
is well known for his hatred of blacks and other minorities. With your
views, you’d fit right in to his little racist club.”
Jen: “So, I should reject my view just because I share it with some
racist?”
Sandy: “Of course.”
Example #3:
Libard and Ferris are discussing who they are going to vote for as the
next department chair in the philosophy department. Libard is a radical
feminist and she despises Wayne and Bill, who are two sexist professors in
the department.
Description:
This fallacy is committed when a person draws a conclusion about a
population based on a sample that is not large enough. It has the following
form:
The fallacy is committed when not enough A’s are observed to warrant the
conclusion. If enough A’s are observed then the reasoning is not fallacious.
Small samples will tend to be unrepresentative. As a blatant case, asking
one person what she thinks about gun control would clearly not provide an
adequate sized sample for determining what Canadians in general think
about the issue. The general idea is that small samples are less likely to
contain numbers proportional to the whole population. For example, if a
bucket contains blue, red, green and orange marbles, then a sample of three
marbles cannot possible be representative of the whole population of
marbles. As the sample size of marbles increases the more likely it becomes
that marbles of each color will be selected in proportion to their numbers in
the whole population. The same holds true for things others than marbles,
such as people and their political views.
Since Hasty Generalization is committed when the sample (the observed
instances) is too small, it is important to have samples that are large enough
when making a generalization. The most reliable way to do this is to take as
large a sample as is practical. There are no fixed numbers as to what counts
as being large enough. If the population in question is not very diverse (a
population of cloned mice, for example) then a very small sample would
suffice. If the population is very diverse (people, for example) then a fairly
large sample would be needed. The size of the sample also depends on the
size of the population. Obviously, a very small population will not support a
huge sample. Finally, the required size will depend on the purpose of the
sample. If Bill wants to know what Joe and Jane think about gun control,
then a sample consisting of Bill and Jane would (obviously) be large
enough. If Bill wants to know what most Australians think about gun
control, then a sample consisting of Bill and Jane would be far too small.
People often commit Hasty Generalizations because of bias or prejudice.
For example, someone who is a sexist might conclude that all women are
unfit to fly jet fighters because one woman crashed one. People also
commonly commit Hasty Generalizations because of laziness or sloppiness.
It is very easy to simply leap to a conclusion and much harder to gather an
adequate sample and draw a justified conclusion. Thus, avoiding this
fallacy requires minimizing the influence of bias and taking care to select a
sample that is large enough.
One final point: a Hasty Generalization, like any fallacy, might have a true
conclusion. However, as long as the reasoning is fallacious there is no
reason to accept the conclusion based on that reasoning.
Example #1:
Smith, who is from England, decides to attend graduate school at Ohio
State University. He has never been to the US before. The day after he
arrives, he is walking back from an orientation session and sees two white
(albino) squirrels chasing each other around a tree. In his next letter home,
he tells his family that American squirrels are white.
Example #2:
Sam is riding her bike in her home town in Maine, minding her own
business. A station wagon comes up behind her and the driver starts
beeping his horn and then tries to force her off the road. As he goes by, the
driver yells “get on the sidewalk where you belong!” Sam sees that the car
has Ohio plates and concludes that all Ohio drivers are jerks.
Example #3:
Bill: “You know, those feminists all hate men.”
Joe: “Really?”
Bill: “Yeah. I was in my philosophy class the other day and that Rachel
chick gave a presentation.”
Joe: “Which Rachel?”
Bill: “You know her. She’s the one that runs that feminist group over at
the Women’s Center. She said that men are all sexist pigs. I asked her why
she believed this and she said that her last few boyfriends were real sexist
pigs.”
Joe: “That doesn’t sound like a good reason to believe that all of us are
pigs.”
Bill: “That was what I said.”
Joe: “What did she say?”
Bill: “She said that she had seen enough of men to know we are all pigs.
She obviously hates all men.”
Joe: “So you think all feminists are like her?”
Bill: “Sure. They all hate men.”
Ignoring a Common Cause
Example #1:
One day Bill wakes up with a fever. A few hours later he finds that his
muscles are sore. He concludes that the fever must have caused the
soreness. His friend insists that the soreness and the fever are caused by
some microbe. Bill laughs at this and insists that if he spends the day in a
tub of cold water his soreness will go away.
Example #2:
Over the course of several weeks the leaves from the trees along the
Wombat river fell into the water. Shortly thereafter, many dead fish were
seen floating in the river. When the EPA investigated, the owners of the
Wombat River Chemical Company claimed that is it was obvious that the
leaves had killed the fish. Many local environmentalists claimed that the
chemical plant’s toxic wastes caused both the trees and the fish to die and
that the leaves had no real effect on the fish.
Example #3:
A thunderstorm wakes Joe up in the middle of the night. He goes
downstairs to get some milk to help him get back to sleep. On the way to
the refrigerator, he notices that the barometer has fallen a great deal. Joe
concludes that the storm caused the barometer to fall. In the morning he
tells his wife about his conclusion. She tells him that it was a drop in
atmospheric pressure that caused the barometer to drop and the storm.
Middle Ground
Example #1:
Some people claim that God is all powerful, all knowing, and all good.
Other people claim that God does not exist at all. Now, it seems reasonable
to accept a position somewhere in the middle. So, it is likely that God
exists, but that he is only very powerful, very knowing, and very good. That
seems right to me.
Example #2:
Congressman Jones has proposed cutting welfare payments by 50%
while Congresswoman Shender has proposed increasing welfare payments
by 10% to keep up with inflation and cost of living increases. I think that
the best proposal is the one made by Congressman Trumple. He says that a
30% decrease in welfare payments is a good middle ground, so I think that
is what we should support.
Example #3:
A month ago, a tree in Bill’s yard was damaged in a storm. His
neighbor, Joe, asked him to have the tree cut down so it would not fall on
Joe’s new shed. Bill refused to do this. Two days later another storm blew
the tree onto Joe’s new shed. Joe demanded that Joe pay the cost of repairs,
which was $250. Bill said that he wasn’t going to pay a cent. Obviously, the
best solution is to reach a compromise between the two extremes, so Bill
should pay Joe $125.
Misleading Vividness
Description:
Misleading Vividness is a fallacy in which a very small number of
particularly dramatic events are taken to outweigh a significant amount of
statistical evidence. This sort of “reasoning” has the following form:
This sort of “reasoning” is fallacious because the mere fact that an event is
particularly vivid or dramatic does not make the event more likely to occur,
especially in the face of significant statistical evidence.
People often accept this sort of “reasoning” because particularly vivid or
dramatic cases tend to make a very strong impression on the human mind.
For example, if a person survives a particularly awful plane crash, he might
be inclined to believe that air travel is more dangerous than other forms of
travel. After all, explosions and people dying around him will have a more
significant impact on his mind than will the rather dull statistics that a
person is more likely to be struck by lightning than killed in a plane crash.
It should be kept in mind that taking into account the possibility of
something dramatic or vivid occurring is not always fallacious. For
example, a person might decide to never go sky diving because the effects
of an accident can be very, very dramatic. If he knows that, statistically, the
chances of the accident are happening are very low but he considers even a
small risk to be unacceptable, then he would not be making an error in
reasoning.
Example #1:
Bill and Jane are talking about buying a computer.
Jane: “I’ve been thinking about getting a computer. I’m really tired of
having to wait in the library to write my papers.”
Bill: ‘What sort of computer do you want to get?”
Jane: “Well, it has to be easy to use, have a low price and have decent
processing power. I’ve been thinking about getting a Kiwi Fruit 2200. I read
in that consumer magazine that they have been found to be very reliable in
six independent industry studies.”
Bill: “I wouldn’t get the Kiwi Fruit. A friend of mine bought one a
month ago to finish his master’s thesis. He was halfway through it when
smoke started pouring out of the CPU. He didn’t get his thesis done on time
and he lost his financial aid. Now he’s working over at the Gut Boy Burger
Warehouse.”
Jane: “I guess I won’t go with the Kiwi!”
Example #2:
Joe and Drew are talking about flying.
Joe: “When I was flying back to school, the pilot came on the intercom
and told us that the plane was having engine trouble. I looked out the
window and I saw smoke billowing out of the engine nearest me. We had to
make an emergency landing and there were fire trucks everywhere. I had to
spend the next six hours sitting in the airport waiting for a flight. I was
lucky I didn’t die! I’m never flying again.”
Drew: “So how are you going to get home over Christmas break?”
Joe: “I’m going to drive. That will be a lot safer than flying.”
Drew: “I don’t think so. You are much more likely to get injured or
killed driving than flying.”
Joe: “I don’t buy that! You should have seen the smoke pouring out of
that engine! I’m never getting on one of those death traps again!”
Example #3:
Jane and Sarah are talking about running in a nearby park.
Jane: “Did you hear about that woman who was attacked in Tuttle
Park?”
Sarah: “Yes. It was terrible.”
Jane: “Don’t you run there every day?”
Sarah: “Yes.”
Jane: ‘How can you do that? I’d never be able to run there!”
Sarah: “Well, as callous as this might sound, that attack was out of the
ordinary. I’ve been running there for three years and this has been the only
attack. Sure, I worry about being attacked, but I’m not going give up my
running just because there is some slight chance I’ll be attacked.”
Sarah: “That is stupid! I’d stay away from that park if I was you! That
woman was really beat up badly so you know it is going to happen again. If
you don’t stay out of that park, it will probably happen to you!”
Peer Pressure
Description:
Peer Pressure is a fallacy in which a threat of rejection by one’s peers (or
peer pressure) is substituted for evidence in an “argument.” This line of
“reasoning” has the following form:
Joe: “Bill, I know you think that 1+1=2. But we don’t accept that sort of
thing in our group.”
Bill: “I was just joking. Of course I don’t believe that.”
It is clear that the pressure from Bill’s group has no bearing on the truth
of the claim that 1+1=2.
It should be noted that loyalty to a group and the need to belong can give
people very strong reasons to conform to the views and positions of those
groups. Further, from a practical standpoint we must often compromise our
beliefs in order to belong to groups. However, this feeling of loyalty or the
need to belong simply do not constitute evidence for a claim.
Example #1:
Bill says that he likes the idea that people should work for their welfare
when they can. His friends laugh at him, accuse him of fascist leanings, and
threaten to ostracize him from their group. He decides to recant and
abandon his position to avoid rejection.
Example #2:
Bill: “I like classical music and I think it is of higher quality than most
modern music.”
Jill: “That stuff is for old people.”
Dave: “Yeah, only real sissy monkeys listen to that crap. Besides,
Anthrax rules! It Rules!”
Bill: “Well, I don’t really like it that much. Anthrax is much better.”
Example #3:
Bill thinks that welfare is needed in some cases. His friends in the
Young Republicans taunt him every time he makes his views known. He
accepts their views in order to avoid rejection.
Personal Attack
Example #1:
In a school debate, Bill claims that the President’s economic plan is
unrealistic. His opponent, a professor, retorts by saying “the freshman has
his facts wrong.”
Example #2:
“This theory about a potential cure for cancer has been introduced by a
doctor who is a known lesbian feminist. I don’t see why we should extend
an invitation for her to speak at the World Conference on Cancer.”
Example #3:
“Bill says that we should give tax breaks to companies. But he is
untrustworthy, so it must be wrong to do that.”
Example #4:
“That claim cannot be true. Dave believes it, and we know how morally
repulsive he is.”
Example #5:
“Bill claims that Jane would be a good treasurer. However I find Bill’s
behavior offensive, so I’m not going to vote for Jill.”
Example #6
“Jane says that drug use is morally wrong, but she is just a goody-two
shoes Christian, so we don’t have to listen to her.”
Example #7
Bill: “I don’t think it is a good idea to cut social programs.”
Jill: “Why not?”
Bill: “Well, many people do not get a fair start in life and hence need
some help. After all, some people have wealthy parents and have it fairly
easy. Others are born into poverty and…”
Jill: “You just say that stuff because you have a soft heart and an equally
soft head.”
Poisoning the Well
Description:
This sort of “reasoning” involves trying to discredit what a person might
later claim by presenting unfavorable information (be it true or false) about
the person. This “argument” has the following form:
Example #1:
“Don’t listen to him, he’s a scoundrel.”
Example #2:
“Before turning the floor over to my opponent, I ask you to remember
that those who oppose my plans do not have the best wishes of the
university at heart.”
Example #3:
You are told, prior to meeting him, that your friend’s boyfriend is a
decadent wastrel. When you meet him, everything you hear him say is
tainted.
Example #4
Before class
Bill: “Boy, that professor is a real jerk. I think he is some sort of
Eurocentric fascist.”
Jill: “Yeah.”
During Class:
Prof. Jones: “…and so we see that there was never any ‘Golden Age of
Matriarchy’ in 1895 in America.”
After Class:
Bill: “See what I mean?”
Jill: “Yeah. There must have been a Golden Age of Matriarchy, since
that jerk said there wasn’t.”
Post Hoc
Also Known as: Post Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc, False Cause, Questionable
Cause, Confusing Coincidental Relationships With Causes
Description:
A Post Hoc is a fallacy with the following form:
1) A occurs before B.
2) Therefore A is the cause of B.
The Post Hoc fallacy derives its name from the Latin phrase “Post hoc,
ergo propter hoc.” This has been traditionally interpreted as “After this,
therefore because of this.” This fallacy is committed when it is concluded
that one event causes another simply because the proposed cause occurred
before the proposed effect. More formally, the fallacy involves concluding
that A causes or caused B because A occurs before B and there is not
sufficient evidence to actually warrant such a claim.
It is evident in many cases that the mere fact that A occurs before B in no
way indicates a causal relationship. For example, suppose Jill, who is in
London, sneezed at the exact same time an earthquake started in California.
It would clearly be irrational to arrest Jill for starting a natural disaster,
since there is no reason to suspect any causal connection between the two
events. While such cases are quite obvious, the Post Hoc fallacy is fairly
common because there are cases in which there might be some connection
between the events. For example, a person who has her computer crash
after she installs a new piece of software would probably suspect that the
software was to blame. If she simply concluded that the software caused the
crash because it was installed before the crash she would be committing the
Post Hoc fallacy. In such cases the fallacy would be committed because the
evidence provided fails to justify acceptance of the causal claim. It is even
theoretically possible for the fallacy to be committed when A really does
cause B, provided that the “evidence” given consists only of the claim that
A occurred before B. The key to the Post Hoc fallacy is not that there is no
causal connection between A and B. It is that adequate evidence has not
been provided for a claim that A causes B. Thus, Post Hoc resembles a
Hasty Generalization in that it involves making a leap to an unwarranted
conclusion. In the case of the Post Hoc fallacy, that leap is to a causal claim
instead of a general proposition.
Not surprisingly, many superstitions are probably based on Post Hoc
reasoning. For example, suppose a person buys a good luck charm, does
well on his exam, and then concludes that the good luck charm caused him
to do well. This person would have fallen victim to the Post Hoc fallacy.
This is not to say that all “superstitions” have no basis at all. For example,
some “folk cures” have actually been found to work.
Post Hoc fallacies are typically committed because people are simply not
careful enough when they reason. Leaping to a causal conclusion is always
easier and faster than actually investigating the phenomenon. However,
such leaps tend to land far from the truth of the matter. Because Post Hoc
fallacies are committed by drawing an unjustified causal conclusion, the
key to avoiding them is careful investigation. While it is true that causes
precede effects (outside of Star Trek, anyway), it is not true that precedence
makes something a cause of something else. Because of this, a causal
investigation should begin with finding what occurs before the effect in
question, but it should not end there.
Example #1:
I had been doing pretty poorly this season. Then my girlfriend gave me
this neon laces for my spikes and I won my next three races. Those laces
must be good luck…if I keep on wearing them I can’t help but win!
Example #2:
Bill purchases a new PowerMac and it works fine for months. He then
buys and installs a new piece of software. The next time he starts up his
Mac, it freezes. Bill concludes that the software must be the cause of the
freeze.
Example #3:
Joan is scratched by a cat while visiting her friend. Two days later she
comes down with a fever. Joan concludes that the cat’s scratch must be the
cause of her illness.
Example #4:
The Republicans pass a new tax reform law that benefits wealthy
Americans. Shortly thereafter the economy takes a nose dive. The
Democrats claim that the tax reform caused the economic woes and they
push to get rid of it.
Example #5:
The picture on Jim’s old TV set goes out of focus. Jim goes over and
strikes the TV soundly on the side and the picture goes back into focus. Jim
tells his friend that hitting the TV fixed it.
Example #6:
Jane gets a rather large wart on her finger. Based on a story her father
told her, she cuts a potato in half, rubs it on the wart and then buries it under
the light of a full moon. Over the next month her wart shrinks and
eventually vanishes. Jane writes her father to tell him how right he was
about the cure.
Questionable Cause
Description:
This fallacy has the following general form:
Example #1:
Joe gets a chain letter that threatens him with dire consequences if he
breaks the chain. He laughs at it and throws it in the garbage. On his way to
work he slips and breaks his leg. When he gets back from the hospital he
sends out 200 copies of the chain letter, hoping to avoid further accidents.
Example #2:
When investigating a small pond a group of graduate students found
that there was a severe drop in the fish population. Further investigation
revealed that the fishes’ food supply had also been severely reduced. At
first the students believed that the lack of food was killing the fish, but then
they realized they had to find what was causing the decline in the food
supply. The students suspected acid rain was the cause of both the reduction
in the fish population as well as the food supply. However, the local
business council insisted that it was just the lack of food that caused the
reduction in the fish population. Most of the townspeople agreed with this
conclusion since it seemed pretty obvious that a lack of food would cause
fish to die.
Red Herring
Description:
A Red Herring is a fallacy in which an irrelevant topic is presented in
order to divert attention from the original issue. The basic idea is to “win”
an argument by leading attention away from the argument and to another
topic. This sort of “reasoning” has the following form:
Example #1:
“Argument” against a bond measure:
“We admit that this measure is popular. But we also urge you to note
that there are so many bond issues on this ballot that the whole thing is
getting ridiculous.”
Example #2:
“Argument” for a tax cut:
“You know, I’ve begun to think that there is some merit in the
Republicans’ tax cut plan. I suggest that you come up with something like
it, because If we Democrats are going to survive as a party, we have got to
show that we are as tough-minded as the Republicans, since that is what the
public wants.
Example #3:
“Argument” for making grad school requirements stricter:
“I think there is great merit in making the requirements stricter for the
graduate students. I recommend that you support it, too. After all, we are in
a budget crisis and we do not want our salaries affected.”
Relativist Fallacy
1. Claim X is presented.
2. Person A asserts that X may be true for others but is not true for
him/her.
3. Therefore A is justified in rejecting X.
Example #2:
Jill: “I think that so called argument you used to defend your position is
terrible. After all, a fallacy hardly counts as an argument. “
Bill: “That may be true for you, but it is not true for me.”
Example #3:
Bill: “Your position results in a contradiction, so I can’t accept it.”
Dave: “Contradictions may be bad in your Eurocentric, oppressive,
logical world view, but I don’t think they are bad. Therefore my position is
just fine.”
Slippery Slope
Example #1:
We have to stop the tuition increase! The next thing you know, they’ll
be charging $40,000 a semester!”
Example #2:
“Europe shouldn’t get involved militarily in other countries. Once the
governments send in a few troops, then they will send in thousands to die.”
Example #3:
“You can never give anyone a break. If you do, they’ll walk all over
you.”
Example #4:
“We’ve got to stop them from banning pornographic web sites. Once
they start banning that, they will never stop. Next thing you know, they will
be burning all the books!”
Special Pleading
Description:
Special Pleading is a fallacy in which a person applies standards,
principles, rules, etc. to others while taking herself (or those she has a
special interest in) to be exempt, without providing adequate justification
for the exemption. This sort of “reasoning” has the following form:
Example #1:
Bill and Jill are married. Both Bill and Jill have put in a full day at the
office. Their dog, Rover, has knocked over all the plants in one room and
has strewn the dirt all over the carpet. When they return, Bill tells Jill that it
is her job to clean up after the dog. When she protests, he says that he has
put in a full day at the office and is too tired to clean up after the dog.
Example #2:
Jane and Sue share a dorm room.
Example #3:
Mike and Barbara share an apartment.
Description:
The Spotlight fallacy is committed when a person uncritically assumes
that all members or cases of a certain class or type are like those that
receive the most attention or coverage in the media. This line of
“reasoning” has the following form:
This line of reasoning is fallacious since the mere fact that someone or
something attracts the most attention or coverage in the media does not
mean that it automatically represents the whole population. For example,
suppose a mass murderer from Old Town, Maine received a great deal of
attention in the media. It would hardly follow that everyone from the town
is a mass murderer.
The Spotlight fallacy derives its name from the fact that receiving a great
deal of attention or coverage is often referred to as being in the spotlight. It
is similar to Hasty Generalization, Biased Sample and Misleading
Vividness because the error being made involves generalizing about a
population based on an inadequate or flawed sample.
The Spotlight Fallacy is a very common fallacy. This fallacy most often
occurs when people assume that those who receive the most media attention
actually represent the groups they belong to. For example, some people
began to believe that all those who oppose abortion are willing to gun down
doctors in cold blood simply because those incidents received a great deal
of media attention. Since the media typically covers people or events that
are unusual or exceptional, it is somewhat odd for people to believe that
such people or events are representative.
For brief discussions of adequate samples and generalizations, see the
entries for Hasty Generalization and Biased Sample.
Example #1:
Bill: “Jane, you say you are a feminist, but you can’t be.”
Jane: “What! What do you mean? Is this one of your stupid jokes or
something?”
Bill: “No, I’m serious. Over the summer I saw feminists appear on
several talk shows and news shows and I read about them in the papers. The
women were really bitter and said that women were victims of men and
needed to be given special compensation. You are always talking about
equal rights and forging your own place in the world. So, you can’t be a
feminist.”
Jane: “Bill, there are many types of feminism, not just the brands that
get media attention.”
Bill: “Oh. Sorry.”
Example #2:
Joe: “Man, I’d never want to go to New York. It is all concrete and
pollution.”
Sam: “Not all of it.”
Joe: “Sure it is. Every time I watch the news they are always showing
concrete, skyscrapers, and lots of pollution.”
Sam: “Sure, that is what the news shows, but a lot of New York is
farmlands and forest. It is not all New York City, it just receives most of the
attention.”
Example #3:
Ann: “I’m not letting little Jimmy use his online account anymore!”
Sasha: “Why not? Did he hack into the Pentagon and try to start world
war three?”
Ann: “No. Haven’t you been watching the news and reading the papers?
There are perverts online just waiting to molest kids! You should take away
your daughter’s account. Why, there must be thousands of sickos out
there!”
Sasha: “Really? I thought that there were only a very few cases.”
Ann: “I’m not sure of the exact number, but if the media is covering it
so much , then most people who are online must be indecent.”
Straw Man
Description:
The Straw Man fallacy is committed when a person simply ignores a
person’s actual position and substitutes a distorted, exaggerated or
misrepresented version of that position. This sort of “reasoning” has the
following pattern:
Example #1:
Prof. Jones: “The university just cut our yearly budget by $10,000.”
Prof. Smith: “What are we going to do?”
Prof. Brown: “I think we should eliminate one of the teaching assistant
positions. That would take care of it.”
Prof. Jones: “We could reduce our scheduled raises instead.”
Prof. Brown:” I can’t understand why you want to bleed us dry like that,
Jones.”
Example #2:
“Senator Jones says that we should not fund the attack submarine
program. I disagree entirely. I can’t understand why he wants to leave us
defenseless like
that.”
Example #3:
Bill and Jill are arguing about cleaning out their closets:
Jill: “We should clean out the closets. They are getting a bit messy.”
Bill: “Why, we just went through those closets last year. Do we have to
clean them out every day?”
Jill: I never said anything about cleaning them out every day. You just
want too keep all your junk forever, which is just ridiculous.”
Two Wrongs Make a Right
Description:
Two Wrongs Make a Right is a fallacy in which a person “justifies” an
action against a person by asserting that the person would do the same thing
to him/her, when the action is not necessary to prevent B from doing X to
A. This fallacy has the following pattern of “reasoning”:
Example #1:
Bill has borrowed Jane’s expensive pen, but found he didn’t return it.
He tells himself that it is okay to keep it, since she would have taken his.
Example #2:
Jane: “Did you hear about those terrorists killing those poor people?
That sort of killing is just wrong.”
Sue: “Those terrorists are justified. After all, their land was taken from
them. It is morally right for them to do what they do.”
Jane: “Even when they blow up busloads of children?”
Sue: “Yes. “
Example #3:
After leaving a bookstore, Jill notices that she was undercharged for her
book. She decides not to return the money to the store because if she had
overpaid, they would not have returned the money.”
Example #4:
Jill is horrified by the way the state uses capital punishment. Bill says
that capital punishment is fine, since those the state kill don’t have any
qualms about killing others.
from
Z-Access
https://wikipedia.org/wiki/Z-Library
ffi