PEA2018
PEA2018
This guidance provides information on how USAID can Have you ever done everything right in a development
think and work in ways that are more politically aware program — followed every technical best practice — but
— an approach known as “thinking and working still missed the mark? When this happens, it often relates
politically” (TWP) 1 — through the use of applied to factors in the context beyond any external
political economy analysis (abbreviated PEA; see Box development actor’s ability to control. PEA is an analytical
1). PEA is a structured approach to examining power approach to help understand the underlying reasons why
dynamics and economic and social forces that influence things work the way they do and identify the
development. Through programming that seeks to incentives and constraints impacting the behavior of
more rigorously respond and adapt to these realities, actors in a relevant system. By helping identify these
Bureau
USAID is working to improve the effectiveness and influences — political, economic, social and cultural —
sustainability of its international development efforts. PEA supports a more politically informed approach to
PEA can help to operationalize the process of thinking working, known as “thinking and working politically”
politically, while USAID’s initiative on Collaborating, (TWP). Through TWP, USAID seeks to better
Learning and Adapting (CLA), described later in this understand the systems where we work and to identify
guide, supports the operationalization of working sustainable, locally generated solutions.
politically. Together, they can add significant value to a Characteristics of PEA include:
mission’s strategy, projects and activities — offering
the potential to address development challenges in all A concern with the role of formal and informal
sectors. This guide follows the definition of politics as “rules of the game.”
the process of determining “who gets what, when and An analysis of power and the processes of
how.” contestation and bargaining between economic
and political elites.
USAID is working to build a culture where staff and A focus on the interests of different groups.
partners continuously explore the context of a given An analysis of how these interests impact
system, to adapt programming according to realities
development outcomes, at times to the
on the ground and opportunities and barriers that
detriment of broader development objectives.
emerge. This work is not simply about a particular
analytical product; perhaps more importantly, it’s also Sources: DFID 2009; Rocha Menocal 2014
about a mindset. This requires development
1 This term was originally coined by the Thinking and Working Politically Community of Practice. For further information see
the TWP Community of Practice website: https://twpcommunity.org.
PEA can be initiated at any stage in the program cycle and is intended to guide adaptive management of smart,
dynamic, locally owned and sustainable interventions. This guide describes how the use of applied political
economy analysis can support more politically informed ways of thinking and working, with core resource
documents and supplemental reference materials intended to support staff in operationalizing the process most
effectively. This version of the guide updates the 2015 version.
One of the most important lessons to emerge among international development practitioners over the past two
decades is that institutions (understood here as the formal and informal “rules of the game” that shape behavior in
economic, social and political life) matter for development, and that behind institutions lie politics and power.
Despite vast support from the international assistance community, increased resourcing and improved formal
policies and systems, many developing countries struggle to adequately provide for the well-being of their people.
From this, we understand that the challenge of development lies less in what needs to be done (whether it’s
building schools or providing vaccinations) and identifying the right “technical fix,” but rather in how it is done (the
processes and actors that facilitate or obstruct change). Getting to the “how” requires a solid understanding of the
politics at work: Development actors need to understand the incentives, and the formal and informal power
structures, in the contexts where they work (Rocha Menocal 2014).
This is potentially a major paradigm shift in international development — an “almost revolution,” as Thomas
Carothers and Diane de Gramont (2013) have called it. But what does it mean to “take politics seriously”? At one
level, thinking and working politically may involve engaging in explicitly political goals, such as elections that are free
and fair. Yet, even when addressing goals that are explicitly political, development actors often approach them
from a technical perspective that is based on idealized, “best practice” models of change. Political and contextual
realities are also critical to effectively advance goals and objectives that are not explicitly political in nature. Finance
of health care, education and market regulation, for instance, are political issues in that reforms will create winners
and losers. Thus, taking politics seriously needs to be about thinking and working in ways that are politically aware
— whether working toward explicitly political objectives (like elections) or traditionally socioeconomic objectives
(like health and education). Table 1 includes further reflections on how politically aware approaches may differ
from traditional practice (Rocha Menocal 2014).
Vision of Change More normative, based on what ought to be. More strategic and pragmatic, based on what exists.
“Best practice” based on a pre-established “Best fit” grounded in contextual realities, more
Changes Sought understandings or blueprints, top-down organic change and “good-enough” reforms based on
diffusion of innovation. what is politically feasible as well as technically sound.
Linear, rational sequencing in fixed annual Iterative cycles of planning, action, reflection, revision
Implementation work plans and results frameworks; fidelity (drawing on local knowledge). Explicit attention to
Approach to plan, with more limited attention to risk, risks, which are managed by making “small bets.”
uncertainty and the potential of failure. Incrementalism based on trial and error.
Provision of expert technical assistance and Facilitating, convening and brokering partnerships and
Ways of
capacity development within limited spaces for collective action based on long-term
Working
timeframes. engagement, with focus on local ownership.
The experience of donors over the last 10 years makes clear that taking politics seriously involves more than
strong political economy analyses. Thinking and working politically is intended to be an ongoing process of engaging
with and addressing development challenges. Until very recently, however, international development actors have
been much more focused on the thinking component of TWP, often reducing the process to the production of a
specific output or piece of political economy analysis. Acting on the insights and operational implications that
emerge from such analysis—or the working differently component of TWP—has proven much more challenging.
Working in a more politically aware manner entails asking more searching questions about how programmatic
decisions are taken: what assumptions ground interventions; what activities should be undertaken and why; how
activities are funded, and through which modalities; how progress is measured and risk is assessed; and what kinds
of skills, relationships and networks are needed to deliver progress. Moving away from a focus on reports toward
a culture of ongoing analysis, understanding and action is essential. Among other things, this shift calls for:
At USAID, these changes have significantly advanced through efforts such as the Local Systems Framework which
defines sustainability in terms of a local system; the introduction of Collaborating, Learning and Adapting (CLA) as
a framework for improving development effectiveness; and the mainstreaming of both within the updated Agency
program cycle guidance, as defined through the Automated Directives System (ADS) 201 and associated
supplemental guidance.
PURPOSE
Foundational
Factors
'
ANALYSIS
Rules of
the Game
Here
and Now
Dynamics
IMPLICATIONS
The USAID Applied PEA Framework builds on methodologies developed by other donors (most notably the
Netherlands, the European Union, the United Kingdom and Australia) to better understand the politics and power
structures in a given setting and how those shape development prospects. The framework consists of three main
components: purpose, analysis and implications, as Figure 1 illustrates.
The purpose defines the reasons for conducting a particular PEA. What are the main questions that the PEA seeks
to address, and at what level? The purpose will shape the framing questions, methodology and reporting of findings
and their ultimate intended use.
Analysis
The analysis provides the lens through which the questions outlined in the purpose will be explored. It consists of
three main pillars and a crosscutting consideration of how the factors identified through those pillars are
interacting, or may change in a way that affects the questions identified in the proposed purpose.
● Foundational Factors: These refer to deeply embedded, longer-term national, subnational and international
structures that shape the character and legitimacy of the state, the political system and socio-economic
structures. These tend to be fixed or slow to change, such as geography, borders with conflict-affected
countries, natural resource endowments or class structures.
● Rules of the Game: These are the formal and informal institutions (rules and norms) that shape the quality of
governance and influence actors’ behavior, their incentives, relationships, power dynamics and capacity for
collective action.2 This encompasses both the formal constitutional and legal frameworks, as well as informal
norms, social and cultural traditions that guide behavior in practice and the extent to which state, civil society
and private sector institutions work according to known rules (in predictable ways).
● The Here and Now: This refers to how current events and circumstances influence the objectives and
behavior of key actors /stakeholders, and how they respond to opportunities for or impediments to change.
This could include leadership changes, scandals, or natural disasters.
The final aspect of the analytical process is to draw from the three pillars above to consider:
● Dynamics: This references the dynamics and interactions between foundational factors, rules of the game and
here and now. How do they affect each other, and how do they influence/shape prospects for change? For
instance, what features are in flux and may drive an opening or closing of space for change? What international
or domestic drivers of change are acting on the state, society and markets already? What levels of complexity
and uncertainty are there in any potential changes that are identified? What are the incentives and
disincentives for change; who are the potential champions and spoilers; and what kinds of alliances and
coalitions can be encouraged to overcome resistance to change and promote reform?
Implications
Beyond the analysis described above, it is critical to consider potential implications for USAID engagement. This
includes decisions on the timing, type and level of assistance most likely to maximize returns on investment,
specifically the content of programming (e.g., focus and approach, the relevance and applicability of theories of
change and embedded assumptions); and the selection of modalities (e.g., procurement mechanisms, budgets and
procedures, partners or personnel involved). The analysis directs attention to deep structures and informal
institutions (foundational factors and rules of the game) that shape the incentives and behavior of current actors,
2 Collective action refers to the work of a group to advance a shared interest. In development, one frequently confronts
“collective action problems” — or cases in which many would benefit from an certain action, but the cost of the action makes
it implausible that any individual would undertake it, and where the group faces challenges (such as size, geographic dispersion
or social cleavages) to working together.
While important throughout the process, the engagement of USAID staff in deriving implications relevant to their own
programming is critical. Experience indicates that the most relevant and useful implications are identified when USAID
staff—who know the type of information they need to inform programming—drive the process. While this is an argument
for conducting PEA entirely with USAID staff, external consultants can still play a supporting role. See Section 4 for more
detail on how to conduct a PEA and how to involve USAID staff in the process.
“PEA Levels of Analysis” provides greater detail on these levels of analysis and their advantages and limitations. In
the end, the best level to focus on will depend on the intended purpose of a given PEA, the kinds of questions it
seeks to address and when within the program cycle strategic PEA inputs or programmatic adjustments are sought.
A thorough literature review related to the questions under study is a critical component of an effective PEA
process. Synthesizing existing knowledge in a brief inception report ensures that team members have the basic
minimum knowledge, and identifies knowledge gaps for further research. Further guidance on conducting a
literature review is in the supplemental references to this document.
At the outset of fieldwork, the research team and key knowledgeable stakeholders should come together for a
workshop spanning one to three days to familiarize all participants with the methodology, finalize research questions,
develop an interview guide and plan for fieldwork — including, critically, team logistics. Fieldwork is likely to take
approximately two weeks, but could be shorter or longer depending on the scope and depth of the inquiry and the
resources available. The research question(s) should guide decisions about stakeholders to interview, with an ongoing
effort to incorporate new perspectives that collectively provide a balanced view of interests impacting a particular
Upon completion of field research, the team should meet to discuss findings, debriefing(s) (with the mission and
other stakeholders) and reporting. The latter can take multiple forms (standard report, PowerPoint, bulleted
findings, etc.) but should reflect the question(s), the strategic or programmatic need and the PEA framework. It
should address where learning from the PEA may inform these processes over time. Whatever the form of output,
it should be concise and clear to encourage reading and application. Reporting should be shared with key people in
the mission to serve as a baseline record for ongoing iterative PEA processes, to be discussed further below. Box
5 provides a brief outline of the steps and effort involved in conducting a baseline PEA study. Please see “The
Applied PEA Baseline Assessment Process” for a detailed description.
The ultimate strength of the PEA process depends heavily on the level of engagement of the USAID staff
commissioning the study, whose guidance will make the implications emerging from a particular study actionable or
practical. Ideally, these staff will assume a degree of leadership in the initial scoping workshop and participate in the
research team. By doing so, they learn directly about actors and interests that affect the potential for reform and
broaden their networks to update this understanding in the future. Second best, but far from optimal, they would
be involved in PEA planning and attend PEA out-brief meetings to discuss findings. Past experience with PEAs has
demonstrated that ultimate uptake of PEA findings in the planning, design or modification of development
interventions depends heavily on the extent to which USAID mission staffs understand and own the PEA research
process. While true of many assessment frameworks, it is especially important given that programming from PEA
Applied PEA represents an ongoing process of reflection and adaptation as contextual realities evolve or are better
understood and as lessons emerge about how interventions could be adjusted to make them more responsive to
conditions on the ground. In other words, applied PEA enables a process of thinking in a more politically attuned manner
and adapting our work in response. Since its introduction in 2015, USAID’s Applied PEA Guide has supported the
development of more contextually grounded programming in a range of sectors and every region where the
Agency operates. With the support of ongoing reforms to promote greater adaptability, flexibility and learning in
the way USAID works, including CLA and ADS 201, prospects are strong for continued progress around thinking
and working politically in the coming years.
For additional core resources and supplemental reference materials, please see:
https://usaidlearninglab.org/library/thinking-and-working-politically-twp-through-applied-political-
economy-analysis-pea-guide
For more information or to inquire about a PEA for your Mission or activity,
contact the Cross-Sectoral Programs Division at dcha.drg.cspmaillist@usaid.gov.
PEA Framework: Guidance on Questions for Analysis at the Country, Sector and Issue/Problem
Levels
Glossary