Kone Model
Kone Model
Assumptions
Income Statement
New equipment sales as % of total 52.9% 53.3%
Services sales as % of total 47.1% 46.7%
Sales growth (%) 3.1% 10.0%
Cost & expenses as % sales
Direct materials, supplies and subcontracting 39.8% 40.3%
Wages, salaries, and other employment expenses 31.1% 30.5%
Other production costs 8.1% 7.5%
Selling, administrative and other expenses 7.6% 7.1%
Items impacting comparability 0.8% 0.5%
Depreciation and amortization 31.5% 60.8%
Other Income (22) (19)
Share of associated companies' net income (3) -
Financing expense (%) 6.4% 4.8%
Financing income 61 52
Effective tax rate 22.3% 22.9%
Balance sheet
Accounts receivable (Days) 80 82
Inventory (Days) 63 59
Accounts payable (Days) 79 73
Capital Expenditures 1% 1%
ST loans (Days) 1 4
Debt Issuance (Repayment) - -
Equity issued (Repaid)
Current deposits and loan (Days) 57 58
Current liabilities
Current portion of long-term loans 16 104
Short-term loans and other liabilities 13 18
Advance payments received and deferred revenue 1,562 1,754
Accounts payable 705 787 810
Accruals 1,574 1,725
Income tax payables 73 123
Total current liabilities 4,025 4,533
1.00 1.00
0.00 0.00
Supporting Schedule
Working capital schedule
Accounts receivable 1,911 1,988 2,232
Inventory 627 624 649
Accounts payable 705 787 810
Net working capital (NWC) 1,833 1,826 2,071
Change in NWC (7) 245
Depreciation schedule
PPE opening 377 397
Capex 114 98
Depreciation 119 242
PPE Closing 377 397 742
PPE Adjustment 26 488
ST Loans 28 122
2020A 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E ###
###
###
###
###
53.7% 53.3% 53.3% 53.3% 53.3% 53.3%###
46.3% 46.7% 46.7% 46.7% 46.7% 46.7%###
-0.4% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7%###
###
39.8% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0%###
30.6% 30.7% 30.7% 30.7% 30.7% 30.7%###
7.2% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6%###
7.7% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5%###
0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%###
32.2% 32.2% 32.2% 32.2% 32.2% 32.2%###
(27) (23) (23) (23) (23) (23)
###
- - - - - -
6.0% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7%###
42 52 52 52 52 52###
22.6% 22.6% 22.6% 22.6% 22.6% 22.6%
###
###
80 80 80 80 80 80
###
55 55 55 55 55 55
###
82 82 82 82 82 82
###
1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
###
10 5 5 5 5 ###
5
- 50 - 50 - 50
###
80 65 65 65 65 65
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
5,340 5,545 5,804 6,075 6,359 6,657
###
4,598 4,858 5,085 5,323 5,572 5,832
###
9,939 10,403 10,889 11,398 11,931 12,489
###
###
3,958 4,160 4,354 4,558 4,771 4,994
###
3,043 3,198 3,348 3,504 3,668 3,839
###
713 790 827 866 906 949
###
762 775 811 849 889 931###
38 55 58 61 64 67###
239 229 228 229 232 235###
(27) (23) (23) (23) (23) (23)
###
8,726 9,185 9,604 10,045 10,507 10,992###
1,213 1,218 1,285 1,354 1,424 1,497###
- - - - - -###
42 52 52 52 52 52###
(30) (29) (32) (32) (35) (35)
###
1,224 1,241 1,305 1,373 1,441 1,514###
(277) (281) (295) (311) (326) (342)
###
947 960 1,010 1,063 1,115 1,171###
###
939 952 1,001 1,054 1,105 1,161###
8 8 9 9 10 10###
939 952 1,001 1,054 1,105 1,161###
###
517,679 517,679 517,679 517,679 517,679 517,679###
518,264 518,264 518,264 518,264 518,264 518,264###
###
###
1.81 1.84 1.93 2.04 2.14 2.24
###
1.81 1.84 1.93 2.03 2.13 2.24
###
###
###
###
###
###
1,327 1,327 1,327 1,327 1,327 1,327
###
223 223 223 223 223 223
###
710 708 712 720 731 744
###
143 143 143 143 143 143
###
1 1 1 1 1 ###
1
19 19 19 19 19 19
###
242 242 242 242 242 242
###
2,666 2,664 2,668 2,676 2,687 2,700###
###
597 628 657 688 720 753
###
2,179 2,280 2,387 2,499 2,615 2,738
###
639 639 639 639 639 639
###
82 82 82 82 82 82
###
2,171 1,848 1,934 2,024 2,119 2,218###
458 ###
6,126 5,477 5,699 5,932 6,175 6,430###
###
8,792 8,141 8,367 8,608 8,862 9,131###
###
66 66 66 66 66 66
###
100 100 100 100 100 100
###
346 346 346 346 346 346
###
42 42 42 42 42 42
###
(11) (11) (11) (11) (11) (11)
###
(115) (115) (115) (115) (115) (115)
###
2,747 2,797 2,850 2,905 2,964 3,025###
3,175 3,225 3,278 3,333 3,392 3,453###
23 23 23 23 23 23
###
###
3,197 3,248 3,300 3,356 3,414 3,476###
###
244 559 559 609 609 659###
187 187 187 187 187 187###
90 90 90 90 90 90
###
522 836 836 886 886 936###
155 155 155 155 155 155###
###
###
259 145 152 159 167 174###
6 - - - - -###
1,767 1,767 1,767 1,767 1,767 1,767###
891 936 980 1,026 1,074 1,124###
1,883 1,883 1,883 1,883 1,883 1,883###
114 - - - - -###
4,918 4,731 4,782 4,835 4,890 4,948###
###
5,595 5,722 5,773 5,876 5,931 6,039###
###
8,792 8,970 9,073 9,231 9,345 9,514###
###
1.00 ###
0.00 -828.40 -705.55 -623.42 -482.65 -383.75###
###
###
###
###
10,057 ###
(8,150) ###
1,908 ###
31 ###
(19) ###
8 ###
(44) ###
(333) ###
1,550 ###
(88) (108) (113) (119) (124) (130)
###
5 ###
(27) ###
- ###
(110) ###
###
1,440 ###
(606) ###
(130) ###
- ###
(4) ###
- ###
- ###
(881) (902) (948) (998) (1,047) (1,100)
###
(4) ###
(1,624) ###
###
(184) ###
662 ###
(20) ###
458 ###
###
###
###
###
###
2,179 2,280 2,387 2,499 2,615 2,738
###
597 628 657 688 720 753
###
891 936 980 1,026 1,074 1,124
###
1,885 1,972 2,064 2,160 2,261 2,367
###
(186) 87 92 96 101 106
###
###
###
###
742 710 708 712 720 731
###
88 108 113 119 124 130
###
239 229 228 229 232 235
###
710 708 712 720 731 744
###
119 119 119 119 119 119
###
###
###
509 509 559 559 609 609
###
- 50 - 50 - 50
###
509 559 559 609 609 659
###
###
265 145 152 159 167 174
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
###
Notes
Current liabilities
Current portion of long-term loans 16 104 259
Short-term loans and other liabilities 13 18 6