The Military Balance 1970
The Military Balance 1970
To cite this article: (1970) Notes and abbreviations, The Military Balance, 70:1, 1-1, DOI: 10.1080/04597227008459792
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NOTES AND ABBREVIATIONS
(A) National Currency Figures have been converted into dollars at the prevailing rate, generally
as reported to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). However, defence expenditure has been
converted into dollars for:
(1) The USSR as explained in the Annex on pp. 10-12.
(2) East European countries which are not members of the IMF at the rates described by
Professor Benoit and Dr Lubell in Disarmament and World Economic Interdependence
(New York: Columbia University Press, 1967).
In all cases the conversion rates used are included in the country entry and may not always be
applicable to commercial transactions. Because estimates for GNP and defence expenditure of
certain countries have altered, figures will not in all cases be entirely comparable with those of
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last year.
(B) A table showing the average strength of military units will be found following the Preface.
The term 'combat aircraft', as used in the text, comprises bombers, fighter-bombers, interceptors,
and reconnaissance, light-strike, counter-insurgency and armed trainer aircraft, but not other
categories of military aircraft.
To cite this article: (1970) The United States and the Soviet Union, The Military Balance, 70:1, 1-12, DOI:
10.1080/04597227008459795
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PRINCIPAL PACTS
COUNTRIES AND
page page
Albania 33 Laos 66
Algeria 39 Lebanon 41
Argentina 73 Libya 42
Australia 60 Luxembourg 30
Austria 33 Malagasy 50
Belgium 22 Malaysia 66
Bolivia 74 Mexico 78
Brazil 74 Mongolia 66
Britain 22 Morocco 42
Bulgaria 14 NATO 17
Burma 60 Netherlands 30
Cambodia 61 New Zealand 67
Canada 24 Nicaragua 79
CENTO 38 Nigeria 50
Chile 75 Norway 31
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agreement with Spain, renewed on 6 August area-defence missiles and Sprint point-defence
1970 and reported to cover security arrangements, missiles, and the system is also to be equipped
bases and military aid - are described in the with two Perimeter Acquisition Radars (PARs)
introductions to the above Alliances and to the and two Missile Site Radars (MSRs).
various continents and regions. The Administration has requested funds,
during the 1970-71 Fiscal Year, for the begin-
ning of the second phase of Safeguard. This part
GENERAL of Phase 2 would permit work to begin on the
Population: 205,325,000. actual installation of Spartan/Sprint missiles at
Military service: selective service for two years. one further Minuteman field at Whiteman AFB
Total armed forces: 3,161,000. in Missouri, work to be started at another field
Estimated GNP 1969: $932 billion. at Warren AFB, the acquisition of land for five
Defence estimates 1970-71: $71,791 million. more Spartan/Sprint sites and the construction of
further PARs and MSRs. This expansion and the
proposed subsequent expansion to 12 Spartan/
Sprint sites would provide a 'light' area defence
Strategic Nuclear Forces against Chinese ICBMs during the 1970s; a
The prime objective behind the deployment of defence for an additional portion of the strategic
American strategic nuclear forces has been the retaliatory forces against Soviet attack and in
deterrence of a deliberate nuclear attack upon particular of SAC bomber bases against SLBMs;
the United States and her allies by maintaining and a defence for the National Command
an assured destruction capability: 'the ability to Authorities in Washington.
inflict at all times and under all foreseeable
conditions an unacceptable degree of damage A new anti-ballistic missile system called
upon any single aggressor, or a combination of Hardsite is in an early concept stage. It is
aggressors - even after absorbing a surprise designed to avoid the vulnerability of dependence
attack'. In recent years there has, however, been on a small number of MSRs, by replacing them
increasing debate about the relative weight with a large number of smaller and cheaper
which should be given to a secondary objective, radars. It might require the development of
the limiting of damage to the population1 and improved point-defence missiles.
industrial capacity of the United States. It has
been accepted that on the basis of current
technology there is no practical way of providing STRATEGIC OFFENSIVE FORCES
an adequate measure of 'damage limitation' Land-based missiles. At present 490 Minuteman 1
against the threat which Soviet ballistic missiles and 500 Minuteman 2 solid-fuel inter-continental
pose to the economy and people of the United ballistic missiles (ICBM) are operational. It is
2
2
planned eventually to replace all Minuteman 1 by organization. The American forces under
the more powerful Minuteman 3, 10 of which, NORAD are known as the Aerospace Defence
equipped with the Mk 12 three-warhead system, Command (ADC) and Army Air Defence Com-
were scheduled to be operational by 1 July 1970. mand (ARADCOM), with a total strength of
54 launchers (six squadrons of 9 missiles each) of about 85,000. There are 15 regular interceptor
the Titan 2 liquid-fuelled ICBM remain in squadrons in ADC, comprising 11 squadrons
service. with F-106A Delta Darts, 3 squadrons with
F-101B Voodoos and 1 squadron with F-102 Delta
Seaborne missiles. The Navy has a total of 41 Daggers (based in Iceland). Air-to-air missiles
nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines, used by these aircraft include Sidewinder, Falcon
each of which carries 16 Polaris missiles. 8 and Genie. Three squadrons of airborne early-
vessels are now undergoing conversion so as to warning EC-121S are deployed in the United
fire the Poseidon missile, which will be equipped States.
with 10 MIRV warheads, and will eventually The regular units of the Aerospace Defence
equip 31 submarines (the remaining ten will Command are supplemented by 17 interceptor
have the Polaris A-3). The first Poseidon sub- squadrons of the Air National Guard, equipped
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marine is scheduled to become operational in with F-lOls and F-102s. The total number of
January 1971. 25 of these submarines are interceptor aircraft in NORAD (including
normally deployed at any one time, 20 in the Canadian units) is about 700.
Arctic-North Atlantic-Mediterranean area, and The regular surface-to-air missile force con-
5 in the Pacific. Of the total 41, 13 are now sists of three main systems: Nike, Hawk and
equipped with the A-2 missile (1,750 statute mile Bomarcr There are some 13 battalions of Nike-
range) and the remainder with the A-3 (2,880 Hercules and two battalions of Hawk missiles
statute mile range). still in service; both these systems are operated
by the Army elements of ADC. There are about
Aircraft. Strategic Air Command (SAC) has a 170 long-range surface-to-air Bomarc missiles,
total bomber strength of about 540. These com- deployed in five squadrons. These are all
prise about 35 (2 squadrons) of the supersonic Bomarc B, with a range of 440 miles and a
variable-geometry FB-111, and about 505 ceiling of 100,000 feet, and are mostly stationed
long-range B-52s (of which at least 100 are in the north-eastern states and in Canada. These
thought to be in active storage). The later G/H regular units are supplemented by 38 batteries
models of the B-52 carry the AGM-28B Hound of Nike-Hercules, operated by the Army
Dog air-to-surface cruise missile with a range National Guard.
of up to 700 miles and a thermonuclear war- Ground defence against missile or bomber
head. Development and testing of the supersonic attack is supported by a chain of radar and
AGM-69 short range attack missile (SRAM) is tracking stations, including the Ballistic Missile
continuing. Of the 14 squadrons of earlier C/F Early Warning System (BMEWS), with stations
model B-52s, 3 are stationed in South-East in Alaska, Greenland and England; the 'forward
Asia. The B-58 Hustler supersonic medium scatter' Over-the-Horizon (OTH) radar system,
bombers are no longer operational. which can detect ICBM launches at greater
SAC operates about 500 KC-135 tankers, of ranges than any other ground-based radar; the
which an estimated 100 are stationed in South- Pinetree line; and the 33 Distant Early Warning
East Asia to assist B-52, F-4 and F-105 missions. (DEW) Line radars. Surveillance and tracking
There are also two strategic reconnaissance of objects in North American air space is co-
squadrons operating SR-71s. ordinated by the Semi-Automatic Ground
Environment (SAGE) System. Fourteen loca-
tions are combined with Back-Up Interceptor
Control (BUIQ stations. A system (474N) of
STRATEGIC DEFENSIVE FORCES seven radar stations on the east, west and Gulf
The North American Air Defence Command Coasts of the United States is designed specifi-
(NORAD), with its headquarters at Colorado cally for the detection of submarine-launched
Springs, Colorado, is a joint Canadian-American missiles.
3
Army Special Forces Group, five artillery groups, one
Total strength: 1,363,000. The ground forces are aviation brigade and a Logistical Command.
organized into 16 operational divisions, five
independent infantry and airborne brigades, five South Korea. 2nd Infantry Division, 7th
armoured cavalry regiments, seven Special Infantry Division and 4th Missile Command.
Forces Groups, 38 surface-to-surface missile
battalions, and about 200 independent aviation Hawaii/Okinawa. 3rd Marine Division (less
units. The army operates about 11,000 aircraft, one brigade) and a Special Forces Group.
including about 9,000 helicopters.
Panama Canal Zone. 193rd Infantry Brigade.
tactical reconnaissance squadrons with RF-4C; AC-47, AC-119, AC-130 and C-123 counter-
17 assault air-lift squadrons with C-130; two insurgency aircraft, 90 C-7A assault airlift
electronic warfare squadrons; and six special aircraft and a large number of observation and
operations squadrons including A-37, AC-119, liaison aircraft and helicopters.
C-123K and AC-130 aircraft.
US Air Force in Europe (USAFE), with a The Military Airlift Command (MAC) num-
strength of about 50,000 men, controls the Third bers 90,000 men and operates 18 heavy transport
Air Force in Britain, the-Sixteenth Air Force in squadrons, equipped with about 45 C-133
Spain, the Seventeenth Air Force in West Cargomasters and 270 C-141 Starlifters, and at
Germany and a Logistics Group in Turkey, and least another 25 squadrons in medical transport,
includes 21 tactical fighter squadrons and six weather reconnaissance and air-sea rescue roles.
tactical reconnaissance squadrons. Four other (The first C-5A Galaxy squadron is forming.)
tactical fighter squadrons are based in the
United States but are 'on call' to USAFE. The
tactical fighters include about 375 F-lOOs and RESERVES. The Air National Guard General
F-4C/D/Es, and the reconnaissance aircraft Purpose Forces have approximately 1,500 air-
about 90 RF-4Cs. There are two C-130 transport craft in 18 fighter-interceptor squadrons, 24
squadrons in the Command. Four of the tactical tactical fighter squadrons, 12 tactical reconnais-
fighter squadrons, equipped with F-4Es, for air sance squadrons, 3 tactical air support squad-
defence, are based in Germany and the Nether- rons, 4 special operations squadrons, 7 tanker
lands. squadrons and 22 air transport squadrons,
mostly with older type transport aircraft. The
Pacific Air Forces (PACAF), with a strength strength of the Guard is 85,000 men.
of about 155,000 men and about 80 squadrons, The Air Force Reserve has an average paid
with headquarters in Hawaii, control the Fifth training strength of 47,900 and a further 2,600
Air Force with bases in Japan, Korea and undergo paid training tours of active duty. The
Okinawa; the Thirteenth Air Force with head- Air Force Reserve has about 400 aircraft in 36
quarters in the Philippines; and the Seventh Air operational squadrons, of which 7 are equipped
Force, which is the air component of the Military with C-119 Boxcar, 16 have C-124 Globemaster,
Assistance Command Vietnam (MACV). The and 2 have C-130 Hercules transports. The
Fifth Air Force operates squadrons of F-4, remainder serve in tactical support, special
F-102, F-105, RF-4C and C-130 aircraft; the operations and air-sea rescue roles.
6
military elements of the space programme, Missile (MRBM) force consists of about 700
which are believed to be included in the budget liquid-fuelled SS-5 (Skean) and SS-4 (Sandal).
of other ministries. Total military expenditure Development continues of the solid-fuelled Scamp
could be of the order of about $51.7 billion.f missile, and the SS-14 mobile MRBM system, of
Total strength of the regular forces is estimated which it forms part, could be used to replace
at 3,305,000 men. In addition, the para-military some of the existing force. IRBMs and MRBMs
forces, including the security and border troops are sited near the southern, eastern and western
of the Ministry of the Interior, have about borders of the USSR: 70 cover targets in China
230,000 men. and Japan and 630 targets in Western Europe.
‡ Code names of Soviet-made aircraft and missiles are of SA-3 Goa: A two-stage missile, probably
NATO origin. Their characteristics are given on p. 107ff. intended for short-range defence against low-
7
flying aircraft, to supplement Guideline. It has a EARLY-WARNING AIRCRAJFT: The PVO operates
slant range (from launch to contact with target) some modified Tu-114 Cleats which, in this role,
of about 15 miles. have been given the designation Moss.
SA-4 Ganef: An air-transportable, mobile
anti-aircraft missile with solid-fuel boosters.
These are twin mounted on tracked carriers and
are assigned to ground forces in the field. Army
SA-5 Griffon: A two-stage boosted missile The total size of the Soviet Army (including the
which has been developed in a long-range anti- ground elements of the Air Defence Command)
aircraft role. is estimated at about 2,000,000 men. It is thought
SA-6 Gainful: A new triple-mounted missile to be organized in 157 divisions. There are three
on a tracked vehicle. It will soon enter general degrees of combat-readiness in the Soviet Army,
service as a defence against low-flying aircraft and probably about two thirds of their divisions
and will supplement Ganefin the field forces. are at or near full combat-strength. The remain-
der could be brought up to strength at short
notice, although about a quarter of the total are
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fighters MiG-21 Fishbed, and Yak-28P Firebar, carrier, may be entering service. The total
the ground-attack Su-7 Fitter, the supersonic helicopter inventory is probably around 1,500.
light bomber Yak-28 Brewer and the new
reconnaissance MiG-21 Fishbed. Ground-attack
aircraft are equipped with a range of tactical Para-military Forces and Reserves
air-to-surface missiles. Of several fighter and Security and border troops number some
fighter-bomber types, including a variable- 230,000. There are also approximately 1.5
geometry aircraft resembling the American F-111, million members of the part-time military train-
displayed at the Moscow Air Show in July 1967, ing organization (DOSAAF), who take part in
the supersonic strike version of the MiG-23 such recreational activities as athletics, shooting
Foxbat may be operational, while the VTOL and parachuting, but reservist training and
Freehand could come into service shortly. refresher courses seem to be haphazard and
irregular. However, DOSAAF assists in pre-
FIGHTER-INTERCEPTOR UNITS AND THE NAVAL
military training being given in schools, colleges
AIR FORCE. These are dealt with under Air
and workers' centres to those of 16 years and
Defence and Navy respectively (see above). over. Trained reservists are estimated at about
AIR TRANSPORT FORCE. About 1,700 short-, 2,100,000 men out of a total of some 6,000,000.
* Basic studies, carried out by Professor Morris Bornstein in 'A Comparison of Soviet and United
States National Product' in 1959 and used by Professor Benoit and Dr. Lubell in their Disarmament
and World Economic Interdependence (New York: Columbia University Press, 1967) came to broadly
similar conclusions (0.42 defence roubles = 1 dollar).
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Preface
Published online: 22 Jan 2009.
To cite this article: (1970) Preface, The Military Balance, 70:1, 2-2, DOI: 10.1080/04597227008459793
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PREFACE
The Military Balance is presented this year in a new format and considerably increased in
size. Latin American countries are included for the first time and the coverage of African
countries is now wider. There is a new section on regional military balances and informa-
tion on international defence production projects and on fissile material has been introduced.
The Institute assumes full responsibility for the facts and judgments which the document
contains. The co-operation of governments has been sought and in many cases received. Not
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all countries have been equally co-operative in producing information and some figures have
been estimated. The Institute owes a considerable debt to a number of its own members and
consultants who have assisted in compiling and checking material.
Manpower figures given are those of regular forces, although an indication of the size of
para-military forces, militia, or reserve forces has been given in the sections dealing with
individual countries. Except where otherwise stated, naval strengths are those of active fleets
and vessels of less than 100 tons standard displacement have usually been excluded. Figures
for defence budgets are the latest available and are generally exclusive of military aid.
A glossary of the abbreviations and certain terms that have been used will be found over-
leaf, together with notes explaining the bases for the conversion of national currency figures
into dollars. A special annex on the valuation of the Soviet gross national product and
military expenditure appears on pp. 10-12.
This study examines the facts of military power as they existed in July 1970. No projections
of force levels or weapons beyond 1970 have been included, except where explicitly stated.
The material should not be regarded as a comprehensive guide to the balance of strategic
power; in particular it does not reflect the facts of geography, vulnerability or efficiency,
except where these are touched upon in the section on regional balances.
The Military Balance is complemented by another annual _publication. Strategic Survey,
published each spring, which reviews the most significant issues of international security and
conflict in the previous calendar year and describes the major developments in weapons and
strategic policy throughout the world.
September 1970
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To cite this article: (1970) Approximate strengths of military formations, The Military Balance, 70:1, 3-3, DOI:
10.1080/04597227008459794
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APPROXIMATE STRENGTHS OF MILITARY FORMATIONS
Infantry Bomber/
brigade fighter-
Country Infantry Armour Airborne (in men) bomber Fighter Transport
United Stales 16,000° 15,500 13,500 4-5,000 12-15 18-25 16
Soviet Union 10,000 8,250 7,000 2,000" 9-10 10-12 8-10
China 12-14,000 10,000 6,000 3,000» 9-10 10-12 8-10
Britain 12-15,000 12-15,000 — 4-6,000 8-10 12-14 9-12
France 14,000 16,000 14,000 3,500-4,000 4-12 12-15 16
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NOTES. The above figures refer to the basic war NATO forces not included in the table have similar
establishments of the formation in question. They of Germany, Iran, Pakistan, the Philippines, Thailand,
should be treated as very approximate since most Japan, South Korea and Taiwan have tended to
military organization is flexible and units may be follow American military organization, while Aus-
reinforced or run down for particular operations. tralia, New Ze and, Malaysia and Singapore generally
Divisional strengths refer to organic units only and do follow British practice.
not include support units or rear services outside the " Army divisions only; a Marine Corps division has
divisional structure. A dash indicates that the forma- over
6
20,000 men.
tion in question is not normally operated by that Strength of a regiment, which is the equivalent
country. formation in the Soviet and Chinese command
Warsaw Pact forces not included above have structure.
similar unit strengths to those of the Soviet Union.
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To cite this article: (1970) The European balance, The Military Balance, 70:1, 13-37, DOI: 10.1080/04597227008459796
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The European Balance
treaties with Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Poland, Rumania and East Germany.
Most present members of the Warsaw Pact also have bilateral treaties with each other and
these have been recently renewed. The Soviet Union concluded status-of-forces agreements
with Poland, East Germany, Rumania and Hungary between December 1956 and May 1957
and with Czechoslovakia in October 1968; all these remain in effect except the one with
Rumania which lapsed in June 1958 when Soviet troops left Rumania. The essence of East
European defence arrangements is not therefore dependent on the Warsaw Treaty as such.
The Warsaw Treaty Organization consists of two main bodies, the Political Consultative
Committee and the Joint High Command of the Warsaw Pact Forces, both of which have their
offices in Moscow. The Political Consultative Committee consists of the First Secretaries of
the Communist Party, Heads of Government and the Foreign and Defence Ministers of the
member-countries. It met four times in the year up to July 1970, at which point there had
been fifteen meetings in all. The Committee has established a Joint Secretariat, consisting of a
specially appointed official from each country, and a Permanent Commission, whose task is
to make recommendations on general questions of foreign policy for members of the Pact.
Both these bodies are located in Moscow, with a majority of Russian officials.
According to the Treaty, the Joint High Command is directed 'to strengthen the defensive
capability of the Warsaw Pact, to prepare military plans in case of war and to decide on the
deployment of troops'. The Command consists of a Commander-in-Chief, a Defence Committee
made up of the six Defence Ministers of the Pact, which acts as an advisory body, and a
Main Staff which is being enlarged by additional non-Soviet senior officers. The post of
Commander-in-Chief of the Joint High Command has always been held by Soviet officers;
the Chief of Staff is always a member of the Soviet General Staff.
The bulk of the ground forces of the Warsaw Pact is provided by the Soviet Union. They
are organized as the Northern Group of Forces, with headquarters at Legnica in Poland;
the Southern Group of Forces, with headquarters at Tokol, near Budapest; the Group
of Soviet Forces in Germany, with headquarters at Wunsdorf, near East Berlin, and the
Central Group of Forces, consisting of five divisions in Czechoslovakia, with headquarters
at Milovice. These forces total 31 divisions, of which about half are tank divisions. Most
East European countries have displayed short-range surface-to-surface missile launchers,
but there is no evidence that nuclear warheads for these missiles have been supplied to the
countries concerned.
Soviet tactical air forces in the Warsaw Pact area are stationed in Poland, East Germany,
Hungary and Czechoslovakia. The air forces of the other Pact members, which consist
14
partly of fighter-interceptors and partly of ground-support aircraft but do not include any
medium- or long-range bombers, would be subordinate to High Command in the event of
war. There is an air defence system including fighter aircraft, surface-to-air missiles and
warning radars covering the whole Warsaw Pact area, whose command is centralized in
Moscow and which is directed by the C-in-C of the Soviet Air Defence Forces. Soviet
MRBMs and other strategic weapons are based in the Soviet Union and remain under
Soviet control.
Army
Total strength: 92,000. HUNGARY
2 tank divisions. General
4 motorized rifle divisions. Population: 10,325,000.
About 100 T-10 and JS-3 heavy tanks. Military service: 3 years maximum.
About 1,800 medium tanks, mostly T-54s and Total regular forces: 101,500.
T-55s, with some T-34s. Estimated GNP 1969: $13.5 billion.
PT-76 light tanks; SK-1 armoured cars; BTR- Defence appropriations 1970: 8,900 million
40P amphibious scout cars. forints ($511,000,000).
BTR-50P, BTR-60P and BTR-152 APCs. 17.4 forints = $1.
16
Army 8 motorized rifle divisions.
Total strength: 90,000. 1 airborne division.
2 tank divisions. 1 amphibious assault division.
4 motorized rifle divisions. (All divisions are maintained at 70 per cent of full
T-10 heavy tanks. strength, except those in the Warsaw military
About 750 medium tanks, mainly T-55s, with district which are at 30 to 50 per cent strength).
some T-54s. 30 JS-3 and T-10 heavy tanks. •
PT-76 light tanks. 2,800 medium tanks, mostly T-54s and T-55s
FUG-A armoured cars: OT-65 scout cars. with some T-34s.
OT-64, OT-66 and BTR-152 APCs. About 150 PT-76 light tanks.
76mm, 85mm and 122mm guns, and 122mm FUG-A armoured cars and BTR-40P amphibious
howitzers. scout cars.
57mm anti-tank guns. BTR-50P, BTR-152, OT-62 and OT-64 APCs.
FROG surface-to-surface missiles. FROG and SCUD surface-to-surface missiles.
57mm, 85mm and 100mm anti-tank guns.
Navy
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Air Force
Army Total strength: 8,000; 250 combat aircraft.
Total strength: 165,000. 18 interceptor squadrons with MiG-19s and
2 tank divisions. MiG-21s.
6 motorized rifle divisions. 2 reconnaissance squadrons with Il-28s.
1 airborne regiment. 2 transport squadrons with Il-12s, Il-14s and
A mountain corps, equivalent in strength to a Li-2s.
division. 10 Mi-4 Hound helicopters.
(The Army is at about 90 per cent of full strength.)
A few JS-3 and T-10 heavy tanks. Para-military forces
1,450 T-34, T-54 and T-55 medium tanks. 50,000, including border troops.
SU-100 SP guns. A militia of about 75,000.
to the NATO military commands. The Military Committee consists of the Chiefs of Staff
of all member countries, except France and Iceland (France maintains a liaison staff with
the Committee and Iceland is not represented); in permanent session the Chiefs of Staff are
represented by Military Representatives who are located in Brussels together with the Council.
The Military Committee has an independent Chairman and is served by an integrated,
international military staff. The major NATO commanders are responsible to the Military
Committee, although they also have direct access to the Council and heads of Governments.
The principal military commands of NATO are the European, with its headquarters in
Belgium, and the Atlantic, with its headquarters at Norfolk, Virginia. There is also a third
major command, Allied Command Channel, with headquarters at Northwood, near London.
The headquarters of the European Command, known as SHAPE (Supreme Headquarters,
Allied Powers in Europe), are at Casteau, near Mons, in south-west Belgium. Its Commander,
SACEUR (Supreme Allied Commander, Europe), has always been an American general.
The Supreme Allied Commander, Atlantic (SACLANT) has also always been American,
and the Commander-in-Chief, Channel (CINCCHAN) has always been British.
There is no allied command organization covering strategic nuclear forces as such, but the
NATO European and Atlantic Commands participate in the Joint Strategic Planning System
at Omaha, Nebraska, where the targeting of American bomber and missile forces is co-
ordinated with NATO nuclear planning. The United States has committed a small number of
Polaris submarines, and Britain her medium bomber force and Polaris submarines, to the
planning control of SACEUR, and the United States a larger number of Polaris submarines
to SACLANT.
Two permanent bodies for nuclear planning were established in 1966, the Nuclear Defence
Affairs Committee (NDAC) and, subordinate to it, the Nuclear Planning Group (NPG).
Membership in the NDAC is open to all NATO members, but France, Iceland and Luxem-
bourg do not take part. Its role is basically a meeting of Defence Ministers and it normally
meets at ministerial level once or twice a year. A part of its intention is to associate non-
nuclear members in the nuclear affairs of the alliance. The Secretary-General of NATO is
Chairman of the NDAC.
The Nuclear Planning Group has eight members, drawn from the NDAC, and is intended
to go further into the details of topics raised in the NDAC. The members in June 1970 were
Britain, Canada, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Turkey and the United States.
The other countries which hadparticipated earlier are Belgium, Denmark and Greece. Subjects
19
under consideration have included levels of strategic nuclear forces, and the tactical uses of
nuclear weapons, together with political guidelines for their initial defensive tactical use.
The current strategic doctrine for NATO was adopted by the Defence Planning Committee
(DPC) in December 1967. This envisaged that NATO would meet attacks on its territory
with whatever force was required to defeat them, if need be including the use of nuclear
weapons. There would be an emphasis, however, on having forces in being that would be able
to meet these attacks at levels appropriate to them. Earlier, in May 1967, the DPC had given
political and strategic guidance to NATO's military authorities; this included the concept of
political warning time in a crisis and the possibility of distinguishing between an enemy's
military capabilities and his political intentions.
A NATO-wide communications system to facilitate political consultation both in planning
and in crisis is being set up. A few of the ground terminals of the Skynet-typt satellite net-
work are due to come into operation during 1971. (The first satellite was launched in March
1970 and is now in position. New ways and means are being developed for collecting, evalu-
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(a) Allied Forces Central Europe (AFCENT) has command of both the land forces and the
air forces in the Central European Sector. Its headquarters are at Brunssum, in the Nether-
lands province of Limburg, and its Commander (CINCENT) is a German general.
The ground defences of the Central European Command include 21 divisions assigned
by six countries. All assigned forces with the exception of some Dutch, Belgian and British
units and some logistic units, are based in Germany.
The tactical air forces available consist of about 1,800 aircraft, of which about 375 are
USAFfighter-bombers.These include British Canberras, Canadian CF-104s and the F-104Gs
of the German and other air forces. American and German forces are equipped with Sergeant
and Pershing surface-to-surface missiles at corps and army level, and a number of countries
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(b) Allied Forces Northern Europe (AFNORTH) has its headquarters at Kolsaas in Norway
and is responsible for the defence of Norway, Denmark, Schleswig-Holstein and the Baltic
Approaches. The Commander is a British general. Most of the Danish and Norwegian land,
sea and tactical air forces are earmarked for it, and most of their active reserves are assigned
to it. Germany has assigned one division (stationed in Schleswig), two combat air wings and
her Baltic fleet.
(c) Allied Forces Southern Europe (AFSOUTH) has its headquarters in Naples, and its
Commander (CINCSOUTH) is an American admiral. It is responsible for the defence of
Italy, Greece and Turkey, and for safeguarding communications in the Mediterranean and
the Turkish territorial waters of the Black Sea. The land forces assigned to it include 14
divisions from Turkey, 12 from Greece and 7 from Italy, as well as the tactical air forces of
these countries. Other formations from these three countries have been earmarked for
AFSOUTH, as have the United States Sixth Fleet, which would become Strike Force South
in the event of war, and certain naval and maritime forces of Greece, Italy, Turkey and
Britain. For geographical reasons the ground-defence system is based on two separate
commands: the Southern, comprising Italy and the approaches to it, and the South-Eastern,
comprising Greece and Turkey. There is, however, an overall air command and a single
21
naval command (NAVSOUTH), responsible to AFSOUTH: its headquarters are in Malta
and its Commander is an Italian admiral.
A special air surveillance unit, Maritime Air Forces Mediterranean (MARAIRMED), is
now operating Italian, British and American patrol aircraft from bases in Greece, Turkey,
Sicily, Malta and Italy. French aircraft are participating in these operations. It is designed
to intensify aerial observation of Soviet fleets in the Mediterranean and Near East. Its
Commander, an American rear-admiral, is immediately responsible to CINCSOUTH.
The Allied On-Call Naval Force for the Mediterranean (NAVOCFORMED), when called
together, has a force of at least three destroyers, contributed by Italy, Britain and the United
States, and three smaller ships provided by other countries present in the Mediterranean,
depending upon the area of operation.
war, the duties of Supreme Allied Commander Atlantic (SACLANT), who is an American
admiral, with a British deputy, are (a) to participate in the strategic strike and (b) to protect
sea communications from attack by hostile forces. With the exception of Standing Naval
Force Atlantic (STANAVFORLANT), SACLANT has no forces permanently assigned to
his command in peacetime; However, for training purposes and in the event of war, forces
are earmarked by Britain, Canada, Denmark, Netherlands, Portugal and the United States
for assignment. Although these forces are predominantly naval, they also include ground
forces and land-based air forces. (France no longer provides any forces, but there are arrange-
ments for co-operation between French naval forces and those of SACLANT.) SACLANT
is responsible for the North Atlantic area from the North Pole to the Tropic of Cancer,
including Portuguese coastal waters. There are five subordinate commands: Western Atlantic
Command, Eastern Atlantic Command, Iberian Atlantic Command, Striking Fleet Atlantic
and Submarine Command. The nucleus of the Striking Fleet Atlantic has been provided by
the American Second Fleet with up to six attack carriers, but their nuclear role is partly
shared with the missile-firing submarines.
The multi-national naval squadron of escort ships known as STANAVFORLANT comes
under the authority of SACLANT. It normally consists, at any one tune, of four destroyer-
type ships; by the middle of 1970, seven countries (Britain, Canada, Germany, Netherlands,
Norway, Portugal and the United States) had at various times taken part.
There are about 350 escort vessels serving in the navies that come under SACLANT, of
which a high proportion are wholly or partly designed for anti-submarine warfare (ASW).
Most NATO navies are equipping and training their submarine forces primarily for ASW
and over 100 submarines are potentially available in the Atlantic for such duties. The NATO
powers also have about 300 long-range land-based maritime patrol planes in operation, a
large majority of which are stationed on or near American coasts. The American Navy
possesses about 800 carrier-borne specialist anti-submarinefixed-wingaircraft and helicopters.
The overall total that could be quickly operational from all carriers on Atlantic sea stations
is probably around 350. (These figures include units earmarked for Channel Command.)
x
3. Allied Command Channel (ACCHAN) -
The wartime role of Channel Command is to exercise control of the English Channel and
the southern North Sea. Many of the smaller warships of Belgium, the Netherlands and the
22
United Kingdom are earmarked for this Command, as are some maritime aircraft. France
does not provide any forces, but there are arrangements for co-operation between French naval
forces and those of ACCHAN. The Commander (CINCCHAN) is a British admiral who
also acts as the major Subordinate Commander, Eastern Atlantic Area, under SACLANT and
has his headquarters at Northwood, Middlesex. The Channel Committee, consisting of the naval
Chiefs-of-Staff of the three countries concerned, acts as an advisory body to CINCCHAN.
Navy (Maritime)*
Total strength: 16,975. Total armed forces: 44,500.
4 submarines. Estimated GNP 1969: $13.5 billion.
9 helicopter destroyer escorts. Defence estimates 1970-71: 2,738,800,000 kroner
11 destroyer escorts (ASW). ($365,200,000).
6 coastal minesweepers. 7.5 kroner = SI.
1 anti-submarine hydrofoil.
3 operational support ships. Army
The Maritime Air Element consists of: Total strength: 27,000.
4 long-range maritime patrol squadrons of 4 armoured infantry brigades.
CL-28 Argus. 1 battalion group.
1 squadron of CS2F-3 Tracker aircraft. 3 artillery battalions.
Centurion medium tanks.
1 squadron of CHSS-3 Sea King ASW helicopters
(in service on the destroyer escorts). M-41 Walker Bulldog light tanks.
M-113 APCs.
Reserves: Naval ready reserves: about 2,900 men
M-109 SP155mm howitzers.
and women.
203mm howitzers.
Honest John surface-to-surface missiles
Air Force (Air)* Reserves: 2 armoured infantry brigades and
Total strength: 41,000: 280 combat aircraft. support units to be formed from reservists within
IN EUROPE: two strike-attack and one recon- 72 hours.
naissance/attack squadrons, equipped with CF- Local defence reservist units form 15 infantry
104 Starfighters. battalion groups and 15 artillery batteries.
IN CANADA: A volunteer Army Home Guard of 54,000.
Air Defence Command:
3 CF-101 Voodoo interceptor squadrons. Navy
2 Bomarc B surface-to-air missile squadrons. Total strength: 7,000.
27 surveillance and control radar squadrons. 6 submarines.
(The above are assigned to NORAD.) 2 fast frigates.
1 CF-100 electronic warfare training squadron. 4 helicopter frigates (for fishery protection).
Mobile Command: 4 coastal escorts.
2 CF-5 tactical fighter squadrons. 16 fast torpedo boats.
2 helicopter squadrons. 8 patrol boats (5 less than 100 tons).
Air Transport Command: 4 fleet minelayers.
4 Boeing 707-320C transport tanker aircraft. 4 coastal minelayers.
1 DHC-5 Buffalo squadron. 8 coastal minesweepers.
2 squadrons with C-130 Hercules. 4 inshore minesweepers.
26
9 seaward defence craft. makes up the permanent element of a strategic
8 Alouette III helicopters. reserve.
Reserves: The Volunteer Naval Home Guard of The AMX-30 medium tank-some 435 are
4,000 operates some small patrol boats. now in service - has replaced the M-47 Patton in
seven armoured regiments. Other armour in-
Air Force cludes the AMX-13 light tank and the EBR heavy
Total strength: 10,500; 112 combat aircraft. and AML light armoured cars with 90mm guns.
3 fighter-bomber squadrons (2 with F-100D/F; Artillery includes SP AMX 105mm guns and
the third is converting to F-35 Draken, of which 155mm howitzers, and 30mm twin-barrelled anti-
23 are on order.) aircraft guns. There are four Honest John surface-
2 interceptor squadrons with F-104G. to-surface missile battalions in Germany and one
1 interceptor squadron with Hunters. in France (the nuclear warheads formerly held
1 reconnaissance squadron with RF-84F. under double-key arrangements with the USA
1 transport squadron with C-47, C-54 and were withdrawn in 1966); and three Hawk
Catalinas. surface-to-air missile regiments. (The surface-to-
1 search and rescue squadron with S-61 heli- surface tactical nuclear missile Pluton is being
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copters. tested.)
(The RF-84F are to be replaced by RF-35 Combat troops stationed overseas include
Draken, of which 23 are on order.) three battalions in the Indian Ocean and Pacific
(There are 16 aircraft in a Danish combat territories, one battalion in the Caribbean and a
squadron). number of units in Algeria and elsewhere in
4 Nike-Hercules surface-to-air missile squadrons Africa.* The remaining troops are stationed in
located around Copenhagen. France for local defence (DOT). Their peacetime
4 semi-mobile Hawk surface-to-air missile strength is about 56,000 men, including 25
squadrons. infantry battalions.
Reserves: A volunteer Air Force Home Guard Reserves: Mobilization would bring the DOT up
of 11,500. to a total of 80 infantry battalions and 5 arm-
oured car regiments, organized into 21 brigades.
Navy
Total strength: 72,000 (including the Naval Air
FRANCE Force).
General 2 aircraft carriers.
Population: 50,725,000. 1 helicopter/aircraft carrier.
Military service: 12-15 months (selective). 1 helicopter carrier.
Total armed forces: 506,000. 2 assault landing ships.
Estimated GNP 1969: $140 billion.* 20 attack submarines.
Estimated defence expenditure 1970: 32,600 2 anti-aircraft cruisers.
million francs ($5,874,000,000). 17 destroyers (four with Tartar surface-to-air
5.55 francs = $1. missiles).
2 guided-missile frigates (with Masurca surface-
Army to-air missiles and Mala/on ASW missiles).
Total strength: 328,000. 27 frigates.
There are two mechanized divisions in Germany, 14 coastal escorts.
2,000 men in West Berlin, and three mechanized 14 fleet minesweepers.
divisions, one air-portable division, and an 70 coastal minesweepers.
Alpine division in France. The air-portable 10 inshore minesweepers.
division contains two parachute brigades, one 7 landing ships.
motorized brigade and supporting arms, and 14 tank landing craft.
3 nuclear ballistic missile submarines (SSBN)
•Before 10 August 1969 the exchange rate used was are scheduled to become operational between
4.9 francs = $1. * Details of French forces in Africa are given on p. 54.
27
1971 and 1976. The first SSBN is now being One squadron of A-ID Sky raider fighter-
tested, and is scheduled to enter service in 1971. bombers is stationed in Madagascar; one
squadron of A-ID and one mixed transport
The Naval Air Force, consisting of 12,000 squadron are stationed in the French Territory
men and about 240 combat aircraft, includes: of the Afars and Issas.
35 Etendard IV-M fighter-bombers, 30 Etendard
IV-P reconnaissance aircraft, 38 F-8E Crusader Para-military forces
interceptors, 60 Alize patrollers and 12 Super- The Gendarmerie, has a strength of 60,000 (with
Frelon ASW heavy helicopters, all of which can about 60,000 reserves). The CRS (Compagnies
be flown from aircraft carriers. There are also Republicaines de Securite), which are subordinate
40 Br-1150 Atlantic and 25 P-2 Neptune maritime to the Ministry of the Interior, number about
reconnaissance aircraft which are flown from 15,000.
shore bases, and about 30 Alouette II and / / /
and 35 H-34 helicopters.
The Naval Air Force has 6,000 men and about 1 armoured division.
100 combat aircraft, consisting of 4 fighter- 1 commando brigade.
bomber and reconnaissance squadrons with 200 M-47 and 700 M-48 Patton medium tanks.
F-104G, and 2 maritime patrol squadrons with M-24 Chaffee, M-26 Pershing and M-41 Walker
Br-1150 Atlantics, 23 S-58 search and rescue Bulldog tanks.
helicopters and 6 other aircraft. M-8 and M-20 armoured cars.
The Navy is almost totally assigned to NATO. M-3 scout cars.
Reserves: 36,000 for direct mobilization. M-2, M-59 and M-113 APCs.
105mm and 155mm SP guns.
Air Force 105mm, 155mm and 203mm howitzers.
Total strength: 104,000: 980 combat aircraft. 40mm, 75mm and 90mm anti-aircraft guns.
4 interceptor squadrons with F-104G. 2 battalions of Honest John surface-to-surface
18 fighter-bomber squadrons with F-104G and missiles.
G-91. 1 battalion of Hawk surface-to-air missiles.
4 heavy reconnaissance squadrons with RF- All the Greek Army is assigned to or earmarked
104G. for NATO.
(Deliveries of RF4-E Phantom IJ are due to start
during 1970.) Navy
4 reconnaissance squadrons with G-91. Total strength: 18,000.
6 transport squadrons with Noratlas and C-160 2 submarines (4 more are on order from West
Transall. Germany).
4 squadrons of UH-1D transport helicopters. 8 destroyers.
(There are up to 15-20 aircraft in German 4 destroyer escorts.
fighter, fighter-bomber and light-strike squad- 7 coastal patrol vessels (4 more, to be equipped
rons, and up to 18 aircraft in reconnaissance with Exocet surface-to-surface missiles, are on
and transport squadrons.) order from France).
24 batteries with Nike-Hercules surface-to-air 7 fast patrol boats (less than 100 tons).
missiles. 2 minelayers.
36 batteries with Hawk surface-to-air missiles. 12 coastal minesweepers.
3 battalions Pershing surface-to-surface.missiles. 8 tank landing ships.
The Air Force is assigned to NATO. 6 medium landing ships;
Reserves: 87,000 for direct mobilization. 1 dock landing ship.
8 landing craft (over 100 tons).
Para-military forces
About 18,500 Border Police, equipped with Air Force
Saladin scout cars and coastal patrol boats. Total strength: 23,000; 200 combat aircraft.
29
4 fighter-bomber squadrons with F-84F. Navy
2 fighter-bomber squadrons with F-104G. Total strength: 45,000.
4 interceptor squadrons with F-5A. 10 submarines.
1 photo-reconnaissance squadron with RF-84F. 4 guided-missile cruisers with Terrier surface-to-
Some HU-16 Albatross maritime patrol aircraft. air missiles and ASW helicopters. (One is also
About 30 C-47 and C-119G transport aircraft. equipped with Asroc ASW missiles.)
1 squadron with 12 H-19 and 6 AB-205 heli- 2 guided missile destroyers with Tartar surface-
copters. to-air missiles.
1 squadron with 10 Bell 47G helicopters. 6 ASW destroyers.
(There are up to 18 aircraft in Greek fighter and 12 destroyer escorts.
fighter-bomber squadrons.) 23 coastal escorts.
1 battalion of Nike-Ajax and Nike-Hercules 7 fast patrol boats.
surface-to-air missiles. 4 ocean minesweepers.
(Seven tactical squadrons and one transport 37 coastal minesweepers.
squadron are assigned to the Sixth Allied 20 inshore minesweepers.
Tactical Air Force.) 6 motor gunboats.
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1 command ship.
Para-military forces and reserves 7 landing ships.
Gendarmerie: 23,000. 1 marine infantry battalion.
Trained reservists: 200,000. The naval air force includes air-sea rescue, units
with about 50 Bell-47, SH-34, AB-204 and
SH-3D helicopters and three ASW squadrons
with S-2 Trackers.
ITALY
General Air Force
Population: 54,300,000. Total strength: 73,000; 425 combat aircraft.
Military service: Army and Air Force, 15 2 fighter-bomber squadrons with F-84F.
months; Navy, 24 months. 1 fighter-bomber squadron with G-91Y.
Total armed forces: 413,000 (excluding Cara- 2 fighter-bomber squadrons with F-104G.
binieri). 4 light-strike squadrons with G-91.
Estimated GNP 1969: $82.3 billion. 2 AWX squadrons with F-86K.
Defence budget 1970: 1,510 billion lire 3 AWX squadrons with F-104G.
($2,416,000,000). 1 AWX squadron with F-104S.
625 lire = $1. 2 reconnaissance squadrons with RF-84F.
3 transport squadrons with C-119.
Army 3 Nike-Ajax and Nike-Hercules surface-to-air
Total strength: 295,000. missile groups.
2 armoured divisions with M-47 and M-60 tanks. (The above units are assigned to the Fifth Allied
1 independent cavalry brigade with M-47 tanks. Tactical Air Force.)
5 infantry divisions. 2 light-strike squadrons with G-91.
4 independent infantry brigades. 1 transport squadron with C-47, Convair 440
5 Alpine brigades. and DC-6.
1 parachute brigade. (There are 12-25 aircraft in an Italian combat
1 rocket brigade (including 2 battalions with squadron ['gruppo']. The transport squadrons
Honest John surface-to-surface missiles). • have 16 aircraft each.)
4 battalions with Hawk surface-to-air missiles.
800 M-47 Patton medium tanks.
M-24 Chaffee tanks and M-113 APCs. Para-military forces and reserves
The seven divisions, the five Alpine brigades, the The Carabinieri Corps (mainly security, Frontier
cavalry brigade, the rocket brigade and the Hawk Guard and military police duties): 76,000.
battalions are assigned to NATO. Trained reservists total about 630,000.
30
LUXEMBOURG to NATO. A number of infantry brigades
General could be mobilized, if needed, for territorial
Population: 340,000. defence.
Voluntary military service.
Total armed forces: 550. Navy
Estimated GNP 1969: $0.86 billion. Total strength: 20,000 including 3,000 marines
Defence budget 1970: 402,800,000 francs and 2,000 Naval Air Force.
($8,056,000). 5 submarines (2 from new construction are due
50francs = $l. to be delivered in 1970).
2 cruisers (one fitted with Terrier surface-to-air
Army missiles).
Total strength: 550. 6 guided-missile frigates (with Seacat surface-to-
A light infantry battalion (4 companies). air missiles).
Some anti-tank guns and mortars. 12 destroyers.
2 companies are earmarked for the ACE Mobile 6 corvettes.
Land Force (AMLF). 6 support escorts.
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5 patrol vessels.
Para-military forces 30 coastal minesweepers and minehunters (plus
A Gendarmerie of 350 men. 11 in reserve).
16 inshore minesweepers.
1 fast combat support ship.
5 armed supply and survey ships.
The Naval Air Force is an ASW and reconnais-
NETHERLANDS sance force with:
General 3 squadrons each of 12 S-2 Trackers.
Population: 13.000J000. 1 squadron of 15 P-2 Neptunes (9 Br-1150
Military service: Army, 16-18 months; Navy, Atlantics are being delivered as replacements).
21-24 months; Air Force, 18-21 months. Helicopters include 12 Wasps (operated from
Total armed forces: 121,250. the frigates), 8 SH-34J and some AB-204Bs.
Estimated GNP 1969: $27.5 billion.
Defence estimates 1970: 3,893 million guilders Air Force
($1,075,000,000). Total strength: 21,250; 135 combat aircraft.
3.62 guilders = $1. 2 fighter-bomber squadrons with F-104G.
2 fighter-bomber squadrons with F-84F (1
Army squadron has 25 aircraft).
Total strength: 80,000. (These are due for replacement by NF-5As; of
4 armoured infantry brigades, 2 armoured 105 NF-5A/B on order about 30 have been
brigades and some corps troops (assigned to received.)
NATO). 2 interceptor squadrons with F-104G.
600 Centurion medium tanks (including those 1 photo-reconnaissance squadron with RF-104G
with reserve units) (415 Leopards, to partly re- (with 20 aircraft).
place them, are being delivered). (With the exceptions stated above, there are
AMX-13 light tanks. 18 aircraft in a Netherlands combat squadron.)
DAF-104 and Ferret scout cars. I transport squadron with F-27 Friendships
AMX-VTT, M-113, and DAF-YP 408 armoured (NATO-earmarked).
personnel carriers. 3 observation and communication squadrons
105mm, 155mm, 175mm and 203mm SP artillery. (under Army command) with Alouette III
Honest John surface-to-surface missiles. helicopters, and Super-Cub and DHC-2 Beaver
Reserves: One infantry division, and the re- light aircraft.
maining corps troops, including an independent 8 squadrons with Nike-Hercules surface-to-air
infantry brigade to be completed by call-up missiles (1 squadron is NATO-earmarked).
of reservists, are earmarked for assignment II squadrons with Hawk surface-to-air missiles.
31
The whole Air Force is assigned to NATO less Air Force
the exceptions stated above. Total strength: 9,000; 114 combat aircraft.
4 fighter-bomber squadrons each with 16 F-5A.
Para-military forces 1 all-weather fighter squadron with 20 F-104G.
A Gendarmerie (The Royal Marechaussee) of 1 photo-reconnaissance squadron with 16 RF-
about 3,000 men. 5A. •
8 HU-16 Albatross and 6 P-3B Orion maritime
patrol aircraft.
Transports include 10 C-47, 6 C-130 and 4 Twin
Otters.
NORWAY 32 UH-1B Iroquois helicopters and 2 Bell-47s.
General (There are 15—20 aircraft in a Norwegian combat
Population: 3,885,000. squadron.)
Military service: 12-15 months. 4 Nike-Ajax and Nike-Hercules sites are located
Total armed forces: 41,100. around Oslo.
Estimated GNP 1969: $9.7 billion.
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Army AUSTRIA
Total strength: 35,000. General
1 tank brigade. Population: 7,410,000.
5 infantry brigades. Military service: Army, 9 months; Air Force,
110 T-34 and 15 T-54 medium tanks. 15-24 months.
BA-64, BTR-40 and BTR-152 APCs. Total armed forces: 49,000.
122mm and 152mm guns and howitzers. Estimated GNP 1969: $12.42 billion.
SU-76 SP guns. Defence budget 1970: 4,134,849,000 schillings
45mm, 57mm, 76mm and 85mm anti-tank guns. ($159,000,000).
A few SA-2 Guideline surface-to-air missiles. 26 schillings = $1.
. 37mm, 57mm and 85mm anti-aircraft guns.
Some light shore batteries. Army
Total strength: 45,000.
Navy 3 tank battalions.
Total strength: 4,000. 3 mechanized brigades, each with an armoured
4 submarines. battalion, at reduced strength.
4 ASW patrol vessels. 4 reduced strength infantry brigades.
36 motor torpedo boats (less than 100 tons). 3 artillery battalions.
2 fleet minesweepers. 3 independent air defence battalions.
6 inshore minesweepers. 150 M-47 and 120 M-60 medium tanks.
Some surface-to-surface missiles deployed around 40 M-41 and 70 AMX-13 light tanks.
the ports of Durazzo and Valona. 105mm and 155mm howitzers, and 155mm guns.
84mm Carl Gustav anti-tank missiles.
Air Force 20mm and 35mm Oerlikon and 40mm Bofors
Total strength: 2,500; 70 combat aircraft. air-defence guns.
6 fighter-bomber squadrons with MiG-15s, Some 130mm rocket launchers.
MiG-17s and MiG-19s. (There are 4 reserve infantry brigades in cadre
1 transport squadron with An-2s and Il-14s. form.)
3
34
tons).
4 medium minesweepers. Para-military forces
14 inshore minesweepers (some less than 100 19,000 Frontier Guards.
tons). The territorial defence force being formed, is
10 landing craft. planned to reach a strength of up to 3 million
20-30 batteries of coastal artillery. men and women.
This article was downloaded by: ["Queen's University Libraries, Kingston"]
On: 31 December 2014, At: 09:51
Publisher: Routledge
Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: Mortimer House,
37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK
To cite this article: (1970) The Middle East and the Mediterranean, The Military Balance, 70:1, 38-46, DOI:
10.1080/04597227008459797
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independently verified with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for any losses,
actions, claims, proceedings, demands, costs, expenses, damages, and other liabilities whatsoever or howsoever
caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with, in relation to or arising out of the use of the Content.
This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic
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The Middle East and the Mediterranean
CENTO
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The members of the Central Treaty Organization (CENTO), are Britain, Iran, Pakistan and
Turkey. The United States is associated with CENTO and represented on the Military,
Economic and Counter-Subversion Committees and on the Permanent Military Deputies
Group. The Treaty is designed to provide mutual co-operation for security and defence.
CENTO does not have an international command structure, nor are forces allocated to it. Air
striking power could be made available by Britain from bases in Cyprus and by the United
States from the aircraft carriers of the Sixth Fleet in the Mediterranean.
For the local powers, the CENTO arrangements may be less important than the Regional
Co-operation for Development (RCD), which is parallel to but outside CENTO, and under
which several schemes are in operation in the economic, cultural and technical fields.
Other agreements
Turkey, besides being a member of NATO, also has a bilateral defence agreement with the
United States, as do Iran and Pakistan.
The Soviet Union has no bilateral treaties with countries in the area, though she supplies
arms to a number of them.
Britain has commitments to assist in the defence of Malta, to consult and co-operate in
the defence of Cyprus, to aid Libya* if she is engaged in conflict and is responsible for
the defence of Bahrein, Qatar, and the Trucial States.
A defence agreement was concluded between Syria and the United Arab Republic (UAR)
on 4 November 1966, providing that an attack on either country would be considered an
attack on both. The agreement included establishment of a Defence Council and a Joint
Command. The Egyptian Chief-of-Staff was designated as joint commander in the event of
war. A similar agreement was entered into by Jordan and the UAR on 30 May 1967, and they
were joined by Iraq on 4 June. These agreements do not appear to be active. Iraq and Syria
concluded defence pacts in May 1968 and July 1969.
Libya, Sudan and the United Arab Republic agreed at the end of December 1969, to hold
regular meetings to co-ordinate military action against Israel.
Algeria, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Syria, Tunisia
and the UAR are members of the League of Arab States, as are Kuwait, South Yemen and
Yemen. Among its subsidiary bodies are the Arab Defence Council set up in 1950 and the
Unified Arab Command set up in 1964, which has not functioned since the war in June 1967.
* This treaty had not been formally terminated at the beginning of July 1970. but the Libyan Government has stated
that the reasons for its continuation have disappeared.
39
ALGERIA IRAN
General General
Population: 13,750,000. Population: 28,400,000.
Military service: limited conscription. Military service: 2 years.
Total armed forces: 57,000. Total armed forces: 161,000.
Estimated GNP 1969: $3 billion. Estimated GNP 1969: $8.9 billion.
Estimated defence expenditure 1969: 870 million Defence budget 1970-71: 59,000 million rials
dinars ($174,000,000). ($779,000,000).
5 dinars — %\. 75.75rials=$l.
Army
Army Total strength: 135,000.
Total strength: 53,000.
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2 armoured divisions.
3 motorized infantry brigades (with some 1 independent armoured brigade.
armour). 5 infantry divisions.
3 independent tank battalions. 1 independent infantry brigade.
About 45 independent infantry battalions. M-24, M-47 and M-60A1 tanks.
5 independent artillery battalions. M-8 and M-20 armoured cars.
12 companies of desert troops. M-113 and BTR-152 APCs.
1 paratroop brigade. Soviet 57mm and 85mm anti-aircraft guns.
300 T-34 and T-54 medium tanks. 1 battalion with Hawk surface-to-air missiles.
350 BTR-152 APCs. An aviation battalion with 17 Huskie helicopters.
140mm and 240mm rocket-launchers. (Further helicopters are being delivered.)
85mm guns, 122mm and 152mm howitzers.
SU-100 SP assault guns. . Navy
Total strength: 9,000.
Navy 1 destroyer.
Total strength: 2,000. 5 frigates (4 with Seacat surface-to-air missiles).
2 coastal escorts. 5 corvettes.
1 coastal minesweeper. 4 patrol boats.
9 Komar- and O^a-class missile patrol boats 4 coastal minesweepers.
(with Styx short-range surface-to-surface 2 inshore minesweepers.
missiles). 8 SRN-6 Hovercraft.
10 motor torpedo boats (Soviet P-6 class). 4 landing craft.
12 patrol vessels (less than 100 tons).
Air Force Air Force
Total strength: 2,000; 170 combat aircraft. Total strength: 17,000; 175 combat aircraft.
140 MiG-15, MiG-17 and MiG-21 fighters. 2 squadrons (32 aircraft) of F-4D all-weather
30 11-28 light bombers. fighter-bombers, with Sidewinder and Sparrow
8 An-12 and 411-18 transports. air-to-air missiles.
50 helicopters, mainly Mi-4 Hound; (SA-330 5 squadrons of F-5 tactical fighter-bombers.
Pumas are being delivered by France). 20 F-86 all-weather interceptors.
About 30 training aircraft. 16 RT-33 tactical reconnaissance aircraft (being
1 battalion of SA-2 Guideline surface-to-air replaced by 2 squadrons of RF-5).
missiles. Transport aircraft include 8 C-45s, 10 C-47s,
(28 Magister ground-attack/trainer aircraft are 10 C-130Es and 5 Beavers.
on order.) Helicopters include Huskies, Whirlwinds, and
40 AB-205s.
Para-military forces (100 AB-206 A, 16 Super-Frelon, and 40 UH-1D
A Gendarmerie of about 8,000, equipped with Iroquois are being delivered.)
about 50 AML armoured cars. Tigercat surface-to-air missiles.
40
IRAQ
General
Population: 9,000,000. ISRAEL
Military service: 2 years. General
Total armed forces: 94,500. Population: 2,900,000.*
Estimated GNP 1969: $2.8 billion. Military service (Jewish population only): men,
Defence estimates 1970: 151,700,000 dinars 36 months; women, 20 months.
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1 destroyer.
1 anti-aircraft frigate. 1 Royal Guards battalion (armoured).
1 coastal escort. 9 infantry brigades.
12 Saar-type fast missile patrol boats (with 1 anti-aircraft regiment, for which Tigercat
Gabriel surface-to-surface missiles). surface-to-air missiles are on order.
9 motor torpedo boats (less than 100 tons). 160 M-47 and M-48 Patton, and 150 Centurion
4 seaward defence vessels (less than 100 tons). medium tanks.
7 landing craft (1 less than 100 tons). 130 Saladin armoured cars and about 140 Ferret
500 naval commandos. scout cars.
250 M-113 and 100 Saracen APCs.
30 105mm and 155mm howitzers, a few 155mm
and 203mm guns, and 3 regiments of 25-pounders.
Air Force
Total strength: 8,000 regular, 1,000 conscripts Navy
(17,000 when fully mobilized); 330 combat Total strength: 250.
aircraft. 8 small patrol craft operating from Aqaba.
12 Vautour light bombers.
36 F-4E Phantom fighter-bomber/interceptors. Air Force
67 A-4E Skyhawk fighter-bombers. Total strength: 2,000; 38 combat aircraft.
60 Mirage IIIC fighter-bomber/interceptors 1 squadron of 18 F-104A interceptors. (A
(some with R-530 missiles). second squadron is due to form in 1970.)
30 Mystere IVA fighter-bombers. 2 squadrons (about 20 aircraft) of Hunter
30 Ouragan fighter-bombers. FGA6 and 9.
10 Super Mystere interceptors. 4 C-47, 2 Dove and 2 Devon transport aircraft.
85 Magister jet trainers (can be used in ground- Helicopters include 6 Alouette III and 3 Whirl-
attack role). winds.
2 squadrons with 15 Noratlas, 6 Stratocruiser and
10 C-47 medium transports. Para-military forces
Helicopters include 25 AB-205s, 5 Alouettes, Total strength: 37,500 consisting of:
12 Super Frelons, 8 CH-53s and 15 H-34s. 7,500 Gendarmerie.
2 battalions of Hawk surface-to-air missiles. 30,000 National Guard.
(Israel has ordered and paid for fifty Mirage 5s,
but their export from France has been blocked.)
(Delivery of further American aircraft has been
under discussion.) LEBANON
General
Population: 2,700,000.
Para-military forces Voluntary military service.
The militia element of the border region defence Total armed forces: 16,250.
units is building up to a strength of 10,000. Estimated GNP 1969: $1.6 billion.
42
Defence estimates 1970: £L100 million Army
($30,300,000). Total strength: 14,000.
Lebanese £3.3 = $1. 2 armoured battalions.
5 infantry battalions.
Army 2 artillery battalions.
Total strength: 15,000. 1 anti-aircraft artillery battalion.
2 tank battalions. 6 Centurion medium tanks.
1 motorized battalion. Saladin armoured cars, Ferret scout cars and
9 infantry battalions. Saracen APCs.
40 Charioteer medium tanks. Artillery includes 105mm howitzers.
40 AMX-13 and 20 M-41 Walker Bulldog light (An order for 188 Chieftain heavy tanks is under
tanks. discussion with Britain. There were reports in
M-706 and M-6 Staghound and AEC Mark-3 July of deliveries of armour by the Soviet
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SYRIA
General
Population: 6,025,000. TUNISIA
Military service: 30 months. (Jewish population General
exempted.) Population: 4,850,000.
Total armed forces: 86,750. Military service: 1 year (selective).
Estimated GNP 1969: $1.35 billion. Total armed forces: 21,050.
Estimated defence expenditure 1970:. £840 Estimated GNP 1969: $1.2 billion.
million Syrian ($221,000,000). Defence budget 1969-70: 8,700,000 dinars
£3.8 Syrian = $1. ($16,704,000).
1 dinar =$1.92.
Army
Total strength: 75,000 (including 1,200 in Army
Jordan and 2,000 in Iraq). Total strength: 20,000.
4 armoured brigades. 1 armoured battalion.
4 mechanized brigades. 5 infantry battalions.
6 infantry brigades. 1 artillery group.
1 parachute battalion. 1 Sahara patrol group.
3 commando battalions. About 15 AMX-13 and M-41 light tanks.
7 artillery regiments (including 1 in Jordan). M-8 Greyhound and about 20 Saladin armoured
About 30 JS-3 heavy tanks. cars.
150 T-34 and 700 T-54/55s medium tanks. Artillery includes 105mm SP and 155mm guns.
45
1,500 122mm, 130mm and 152mm guns and
Navy about 40 lorry-mounted rocket-launchers.
Total strength: 450. About 24 FROG-3 and 25 Samlet short-range
1 corvette. surface-to-surface missiles.
10 patrol boats (less than 100 tons).
(2 French fast patrol boats, to be equipped with Navy
SS-12 (M) surface-to-surface missiles, are due Total strength: 14,000, including coastguards.
to be delivered in 1970.) 12 submarines (6 ex-Soviet W-class and 6 ex-
Soviet R-class).
Air Force 5 destroyers (4 ex-Soviet ^orj-class and 1 ex-
Total strength: 600; 12 combat aircraft. British Z-type).
12 F-86 fighters. 2 escort vessels.
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Sub‐Saharan Africa
Published online: 22 Jan 2009.
To cite this article: (1970) Sub‐Saharan Africa , The Military Balance, 70:1, 47-55, DOI: 10.1080/04597227008459798
Taylor & Francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the “Content”) contained in the
publications on our platform. However, Taylor & Francis, our agents, and our licensors make no representations
or warranties whatsoever as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose of the Content. Any
opinions and views expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors, and are not the
views of or endorsed by Taylor & Francis. The accuracy of the Content should not be relied upon and should be
independently verified with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for any losses,
actions, claims, proceedings, demands, costs, expenses, damages, and other liabilities whatsoever or howsoever
caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with, in relation to or arising out of the use of the Content.
This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic
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is expressly forbidden. Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at http://www.tandfonline.com/page/
terms-and-conditions
Sub-Saharan Africa"
Other agreements
Many countries have defence arrangements with external powers. There are bilateral military
assistance agreements between the United States and Congo (Kinshasa), Dahomey, Ethiopia,
Downloaded by [Florida State University] at 19:43 01 February 2015
Guinea, Liberia, Mali, Senegal and South Africa, and between Britain and Kenya and
Uganda. There is also an agreement between Britain and South Africa made in June 1955
and revised in January 1967, covering the use of the Simonstown naval base.
France has bilateral defence agreements with Cameroun, the Central African Republic,
Chad, Congo (Brazzaville), Dahomey, Gabon, Ivory Coast, the Malagasy Republic,
Mauritania, Niger, Senegal and Togo.
The Soviet Union has no defence agreements with countries in the area, though she
supplies arms to a number of them.
Portugal directly .assures the defence of Angola, Mozambique and Portuguese Guinea,
and Spain of Spanish Sahara, Ceuta and Melilla. All of these are overseas provinces except
Ceuta and Melilla which are integral parts of Spain.
Army Navy
Total strength: 5,000. Total strength: 200.
5 infantry battalions. 3 patrol vessels (1 less than 100 tons).
1 artillery battalion. 2 landing craft (less than 100 tons).
3 engineer companies.
About 12 T-34 tanks, and some BTR-152 Air Force
APCs. Total strength: 300; no combat aircraft.
Artillery includes 105-mm and 122-mm guns. 3 C-47 medium and 5 MH-1521 Broussard light
transports.
Navy 1 Mystere 20 transport.
Total strength: 200. 4 Alouette helicopters.
Downloaded by [Florida State University] at 19:43 01 February 2015
Estimated GNP 1969: $0.78 billion. Soviet 76-mm and 122-mm guns.
Defence budget 1969: 3,450 million MG francs
($13,450,000).
247 MG francs = $1 (until August 1969). Navy
278 MG francs = U (since August 1969). Total strength: 2,000.
1 frigate.
Army 1 submarine chaser.
Total strength: 4,000.
3 fast patrol boats (ex-Soviet - less than 100 tons).
2 mixed regiments, each consisting of:
7 seaward defence boats.
4 infantry companies. 1 landing craft.
1 paratroop company.
1 reconnaissance squadron.
1 engineer regiment. Air Force
1 artillery battery.
Total strength: 3,000; 33 combat aircraft.
Navy 3 11-28 medium bombers.
12 MiG-15/17 ground-attack aircraft.
Total strength: 300.
2 patrol vessels. 8 L-29 Delfin and 10 P-149D armed trainers.
1 training ship. Other aircraft include:
1 tender. 3 C-47 transports.
1 company of marines. Some Do-27/28 communications and liaison
aircraft.
Air Force About 10 helicopters, including Whirlwinds and
Total strength: 200; no combat aircraft. Alouette Us.
3 C-47 medium transports.
6 MH-1521 Broussard light transports.
2 MD-315 Flamant light aircraft. RHODESIA
1 helicopter.
General
Para-military forces Population:5,2505000(250,000whitepopulation).
Military service: 12 months (white population).
A Gendarmerie of 4,000 Total armed forces: 4,600.
Estimated GNP 1969: $1.2 billion.
Estimated defence expenditure 1969-70:
NIGERIA £R8,440,000 ($23,630,000).
General £R1 = $2.8.
Population: 66,000,000. (Since February 1970 R $1 = US $1.4).
51
Army SENEGAL
Total strength: 3,400. General
1 Special Air Service squadron. Population: 3,900,000.
2 infantry battalions (one has a few Ferret scout Military service: 2 years.
cars). Total armed forces: 5,850.
1 artillery battery. Estimated GNP 1969: $0.83 billion.
There is an establishment for three brigades, Defence budget 1969-70: 4,461 million CFA
two being based on regular infantry battalions. francs ($18,060,000).
These brigades would be brought up to strength 247 CFA francs = 51 (until August 1969).
by calling out the Territorial battalions referred 278 CFA francs = $1 (since August 1969).
to below.
Army
Total strength: 5,500.
Air Force 2 infantry battalions (5 companies each).
Total strength: 1,200; 48 combat aircraft. 2 parachute companies.
1 light bomber squadron with 11 Canberras.
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2 commando companies.
1 day-fighter/ground-attack squadron with 12 1 reconnaissance squadron.
Hunters. 1 engineer battalion.
1 day-fighter/ground-attack squadron with 12 Support units include a transport and a signals
Vampires. company.
1 reconnaissance squadron with 13 T-52
Provosts. Navy
1 transport squadron including C-47s. Total strength: 150.
1 helicopter squadron with 8 Alouette Ills. 5 patrol boats (4 less than 100 tons).
Navy ZAMBIA
Total strength: 100. General
4 patrol boats (less than 100 tons). Population: 4,350,000.
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SPANISH SAHARA
Total strength: 10,000.
These include mechanized and commando
PORTUGAL formations of the Spanish Foreign Legion, as
well as various support units.
A total of about 125,000 Portuguese troops
(including those locally enlisted), of all three CEUTA
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ANGOLA MELILLA
Total armed forces strength: 57,000. Total strength: 9,000.
MOZAMBIQUE There are also about 8,000 troops in the Canary
Total armed forces strength: 43,000. Islands.
This article was downloaded by: [New York University]
On: 12 February 2015, At: 00:17
Publisher: Routledge
Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: Mortimer House,
37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK
To cite this article: (1970) Asia and Australia, The Military Balance, 70:1, 56-71, DOI: 10.1080/04597227008459799
Taylor & Francis makes every effort to ensure the accuracy of all the information (the “Content”) contained
in the publications on our platform. However, Taylor & Francis, our agents, and our licensors make no
representations or warranties whatsoever as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose of the
Content. Any opinions and views expressed in this publication are the opinions and views of the authors, and
are not the views of or endorsed by Taylor & Francis. The accuracy of the Content should not be relied upon and
should be independently verified with primary sources of information. Taylor and Francis shall not be liable for
any losses, actions, claims, proceedings, demands, costs, expenses, damages, and other liabilities whatsoever
or howsoever caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with, in relation to or arising out of the use of
the Content.
This article may be used for research, teaching, and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic
reproduction, redistribution, reselling, loan, sub-licensing, systematic supply, or distribution in any
form to anyone is expressly forbidden. Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at http://
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Asia and Australia
CHINA
China's military potential still lies basically in her large reserves of manpower. Although no
official Chinese population figures have been issued for some years, it is likely that there are
about 150 million Chinese males of military age available for drafting. The Chinese arms
industry could not supply more than a small part of this manpower with modern weapons,
even small arms, and the People's Liberation Army (PLA), which encompasses all three
services, totals less than 3 million. Although this is a large absolute figure in relation to other
standing armies, it is relatively thinly deployed over most parts of China, though there are
concentrations in certain strategic areas.
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As regards China's established conventional forces, the bulk of the military manpower
lies in the army, which is basically an infantry force of 118 line divisions. The PLA has been,
since the Cultural Revolution, much involved in administrative and industrial matters, and
its overall efficiency as a military force must have suffered. Nevertheless, despite limitations
in equipment, the Chinese army remains a formidable force in difficult terrain and in
defensive warfare.
The military situation along the Sino-Soviet border appears to have stabilized somewhat
since the Peking talks got under way. The Sino-Soviet Treaty of Alliance and Friendship,
signed in 1950 for a period of thirty years, has in effect become moribund and neither side
now makes reference to it. China has no other formal military alliances.
there is still no report of this actually taking place, although it is possible that some Sandal-
type missiles are available. It may be that the Chinese are giving priority to the development
of an ICBM. Flight tests over the south-western Pacific or the Indian Ocean would herald the
preliminary stages of such a programme.
spending 9-10 per cent of her GNP on defence with a range of infantry weapons, light and
(including defence R & D), and assuming that medium mortars, rocket-launchers, recoilless
in 1970 the economy has at last moved above rifles and light and medium artillery, all produced
the 1966 level, then Professor T. C. Liu's in China.
calculation of the GNP for late 1966 at DEPLOYMENT. China is divided into 12 Military
11.8 billion yuan indicates a defence expendi- Regions (MRs),f of which two on the northern
ture figure of approximately 12.0 billion yuan and western borders - Sinkiang and Tibet -
today ($4,880,000,000). Calculation of the normally report directly to the Central Govern-
GNP in dollar purchasing power (about $80 ment in Peking rather than to the central
billion) would indicate a rather higher defence military authorities. The military commander of
expenditure. each Region also commands the regular air and
2.46 yuan = $1. naval forces assigned to it, together with the
civilian militia. The Military Regions are in turn
divided into Military Districts, with usually two
Army or three Districts to a Region.
Total strength: 2,450,000 (including railway It is believed that basically one Army is
engineer troops). assigned to each Military District giving a total
The ground forces of the PLA consist of about of about 30 Armies. An Army generally consists
118 front-line divisions of which 108 are infantry, of three infantry divisions, three artillery regi-
five armoured, three cavalry and two airborne; ments and, in some cases, three armoured
in addition there are about 20 artillery divisions. regiments. Of the five armoured divisions in the
There are also supporting signals, engineer, PLA, two or three are probably kept in the
railway engineer and motor transport units. Peking and Shenyang Regions.
Heavy equipment consists of items supplied On the basis of the above organization, and
earlier by the Soviet Union, such as artillery up allowing for the fact that divisions may be trans-
to 152mm and 203mm, and the JS-2 heavy tank. ferred at one time or another to areas of particu-
Medium armour consists of the T-34 and the lar tension, the geographical distribution of the
T-54 tank, which is produced in China under the divisions is believed to be as follows:
designation T-59. The Chinese are also thought to Tibet: 3 divisions.}
Sinkiang: 4 divisions.:}:
• No official population figures have been published since
1 January 1958, when the total was 646,530,000. The figure t The Inner Mongolia MR has been divided between the
quoted here is based on the latest estimate published by Shenyang and the Peking MRs.
. the United Nations. Other estimates range from 720 t There are, in addition, two or three divisions of border
million to 850 million. troops in each of these Military Regions.
58
Manchuria and Peking (Shenyang* and in surface ships and is organized into one escort
Peking* MRs): 32 divisions. squadron, one submarine squadron and squad-
Along the coastal belt from Shantung to rons of submarine chasers, landing craft,
Hong Kong (Tsinan, Nanking and Foochow torpedo boats, gunboats, and minesweepers.
MRs): 28 divisions. Bases are at Shanghai and Chou Shan. It is
Along the axis of the Canton-Wuhan railway deployed along the coast from Lien Yun Kang
(Canton and Wuhan MRs): 25 divisions. in the north to Chao An Wan in the south.
On Hainan Island (under Canton MR): 3
divisions. SOUTH SEA FLEET. 300 vessels. It is organized
Western China (Lanchow MR): 11 divisions. into an escort squadron, and squadrons of
Szechwan and Yunnan (Chengtu and Kun- submarine chasers, landing craft, torpedo boats,
ming MRs): 12 divisions. gunboat types and minesweepers. Bases are at
Working in North Vietnam and Laos are a Whampoa and Tsamkong. It is deployed from
railway engineer division and some construction Chao An Wan in the north to the North Vietnam
engineer troops, amounting to about 10,000 men. frontier in the south.
There are about 500 shore-based naval air-
craft, including up to 10011-28 torpedo-carrying
Downloaded by [New York University] at 00:17 12 February 2015
Navy
Total strength: 150,000 (including 16,000 Naval light bombers and substantial numbers of
Air Force and 28,000 Marines). MiG-15 and MiG-17 fighters. These fighters,
1 G-class submarine (with ballistic missile tubes). though under Navy Command, are fully inte-
29 fleet submarines. • , grated into the air defence system of China.
3 coastal submarines.
4 destroyers. Air Force
9 destroyer escorts. Total strength: 180,000, including 85,000 in air
15 patrol escorts. • defence ground units; 2,800 combat aircraft.
24 submarine chasers. There are some Tu-16 and a few Tu-4 (a copy
10 missile patrol boats. of the B-29) medium bombers and 150 11-28
50 minesweepers. light bombers. The remaining aircraft are chiefly
45 auxiliary minesweepers. early model MiG-15s and MiG-17s, a growing
200 motor torpedo boats and hydrofoils (less number of MiG-19s and a small number of
than 100 tons). MiG-21s (the latter probably Russian-supplied
300 motor gunboats. iMany less than in the early 1960s).
275 landing ships/landing craft. ] 100 tons. There is a small air transport fleet, which
The Chinese Navy is divided into three fleets, includes some An-2s, Il-14s, Il-18s and Mi-4
the North Sea Fleet, the East Sea Fleet and the helicopters. This fleet could be supplemented by
South Sea Fleet. Deployment of ships among aircraft of the Civil Air Bureau, numbering about
these is thought to be as below: 350. The serviceability of some aircraft types may
be affected by shortage of spare parts.
NORTH SEA FLEET. 230 vessels. It is organized There is an air-defence system, initially
into a destroyer squadron, and squadrons of developed to defend the eastern seaboard of
submarines, submarine chasers, landing craft, China and now greatly expanded. It is based on
torpedo boats, gunboats and minesweepers. The radar and interceptor aircraft, including some
main bases are at Tsingtao and Lushun. Units MiG-21s, and some SA-2 Guideline surface-to-
are deployed along the coast from the mouth of air missiles.
the Yalu river in the north to Lien Yun Kang
in the south.
Para-military Forces
Security and border troops number about
EAST SEA FLEET. 435 vessels. This constitutes the
300,000. The border troops include 19 infantry-
major numerical strength of the Chinese Navy type divisions and 30 independent regiments
* There are in addition two or three divisions of border permanently stationed in the frontier areas, in
troops in each of these Military Regions. addition to the regular divisions.
59
There is also a public security (formerly 200 million strong, though its effective element is
People's Armed Police) force, and a civilian probably not more than 7 million,
militia claimed by the Chinese authorities to be
independence and integrity of Thailand. The United States has had a security treaty with
Japan since 1951, which was extended in June 1970.*
In 1954 the United States, Australia, Britain, France, New Zealand, Pakistan, the Philip-
pines and Thailand signed the South-East Asia Collective Defence Treaty, which came into
force in 1955 and brought into being SEATO. Member-countries were originally committed
to build up collective economic and military strength, and to consult with a view to joint
defensive action in the event of direct or indirect aggression against a member country or
against the so-called 'protocol states' of Cambodia, Laos and South Vietnam. However,
since 1955 and 1956 respectively, Cambodia and Laos have chosen not to accept the protec-
tion of SEATO.
The Treaty area is the general area of South-East Asia and the South-West Pacific, below
latitude 21°30' North. SEATO has no central command structure and forces remain under
national control. American support for the treaty powers is exercised from a number of bases
in the area, for example, by the Seventh Fleet based on Taiwan and the Philippines, and
American air and ground forces in Guam, Thailand and Vietnam.
On 31 March 1969 Britain, while remaining a member of SEATO, ceased to declare
ground forces to the contingency plans of the Organization. France now has no forces
declared to SEATO. Pakistan is a member of SEATO but has announced her progressive
disengagement from the Alliance, though she continues to receive American military
assistance.
The United States, Australia, New Zealand, the Philippines and Thailand have sent troops
to South Vietnam.f This was not done by a decision of the SEATO Council, but these
countries have, for the most part, justified their decision to intervene in terms of their
SEATO obligations.
The security of Australia and New Zealand is primarily assured by the tripartite treaty
known as ANZUS, between these two countries and the United States, which was signed in
1951 and is of indefinite duration. Under this treaty each agrees to 'act to meet the common
danger' in the event of armed attack on either metropolitan or island territory of any one of
them or on armed forces, public vessels, or aircraft, in the Pacific.
Britain maintains forces in Malaysia and Singapore under the Anglo-Malaysian Defence
Agreement (AMDA). Australia and New Zealand maintain forces in Malaysia and Singapore
* Ether party may now terminate the treaty by giving one year's notice to the other.
† As has the Republic of Korea.
60
and are to continue to do so after 1971, with the land components based in Singapore and
Australia's air contribution based mainly at Butterworth in the Malayan Peninsula. Their
military contributions to SEATO are drawn partly from these forces.
British, Australian and New Zealand defence policies in the Malaysian area are co-ordinated
through the arrangement known as ANZAM. Future arrangements for the defence of
Singapore and Malaysia are under discussion between Britain, Australia, New Zealand,
Singapore and Malaysia.
CAMBODIA*
General REPUBLIC OF CHINA (TAIWAN)
Population: 6,850,000. General
Voluntary military service. Population: 14,400,000.
Total armed forces: 123,800. Military service: 2 years for Army; 3 years for
Estimated GNP 1969: $0.98 billion. Navy and Air Force.
Estimated defence expenditure 1969: 2,370 Total armed forces: 522,500,
million riels ($58,330,000). Estimated GNP 1969: $4.76 billion.
35 riels=$l (up to August 1969). Estimated defence expenditure 1970: 19,300
55.5 riels = $ 1 (since August 1969). million NT dollars ($482,500,000).
40 new Taiwan (NT) dollars = $1.
Army
Total strength: 120,000. Army
Total strength: 387,500 (including 60,000 on
* The size, organization and equipment of the armed forces Quemoy and 15,000 on Matsu).
given here must be regarded as provisional. 2 armoured divisions.
62
2 armoured cavalry regiments. INDIA
14 infantry divisions.
6 light divisions. General
4 Special Forces Groups. Population: 550,000,000.
1 parachute brigade. Voluntary military service.
M-47 and M-48 Patton medium tanks. Total armed forces: 930,000 (regular armed
M-24 Chaffee, M-41 Walker Bulldog and Stuart forces excluding police, border guards and other
light tanks. para-military units).
M-18 tank destroyers. Estimated GNP 1969: $42 billion.
One battalion with Honest John surface-to- Defence budget 1970-71: 11,001 million rupees
surface missiles. ($1,466,800,000).
One battalion with Hawk surface-to-air missiles. 7.5 rupees = $1.,
One battalion and one battery with Nike-Hercules
surface-to-air missiles. Army
Total strength: 800,000.
Navy 1 armoured division.
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1 squadron with L-1049 Super Constellation Small arms are of both Western and Soviet-bloc
maritime reconnaissance aircraft. origin.
(There are from 8 to 25 aircraft in a combat
squadron.)
60 C-47, 60 C-119, 24 11-14, 30 An-12, 30 Otter,
25 HS-748 and 15 Caribou transport aircraft. Navy\
Helicopters include about 100 Mi-4 and 120 Total strength: 40,000 (includes the naval air
Alouette III and 12 Bell 47. forces and the 14,000-strong Marine Corps).
About 50 SA-2 Guideline surface-to-air missile 6 diesel-powered submarines (ex-Soviet W-
launchers. class)4
There is an Auxiliary Air Force of 7 squadrons, I heavy cruiser (ex-Soviet Sverdlov-chss.)
flying chiefly Harvard and Vampire trainers. 7 destroyers (ex-Soviet Skory-cl&ss).
I1 frigates (of which 7 are ex-Soviet Riga-class).
Para-military forces 12 coastal escorts (8 ex-Soviet, 4 ex-USA).
A Border Security Force of about 100,000. 12 JsTomar-class missile patrol boats with (Styx
surface-to-surface missiles).
8 patrol boats.
30 motor torpedo boats.
INDONESIA 15 coastal minesweepers.
General 18 motor gunboats.
Population: 118,250,000. 25 seaward defence boats (less than 100 tons).
Selective military service. 3 submarine support ships.
Total armed forces: 365,000. 6 landing ships.
Estimated GNP 1969: $9.8 billion 7 landing craft.
Estimated defence expenditure 1970: approxi- The land-based naval air arm includes:
mately 105 billion rupiahs ($278,000,000). 20 MiG-19 and MiG-21 interceptors.
378 rupiahs = $ 1 * . 5 HU-16 Albatross and PBY-5A Catalina ASW
aircraft.
Army About 12 S-55, S-58 and Mi-4 helicopters.
The marines form two brigades.
Total strength: 275,000.
The regular element includes:
8 armoured battalions.
t The operational strength of the Navy and Air Force is
well below the number quoted. It is thought that only
* Rupiahs have been converted into dollars at an average the active fleet submarines, and the light-strike and
rate of 210 = $1 for 1967, 320 = $1 for 1968 and 350 transport aircraft are fully operational.
for 1969. t Six other W-cIass vessels are normally kept in reserve.
64
Army
Total strength: 179,000. KOREA—DEMOCRATIC PEOPLE'S
1 mechanized division. REPUBLIC (NORTH)
12 infantry divisions (7,000-9,000 men each). General
1 airborne brigade. Population: 13,600,000.
Artillery, engineer, aviation and signal brigades. Military service: 3-4 years.
Type 61 and 400 M-4 medium tanks. Total armed forces: 413,000.
M-24 and M-41 light tanks. Estimated GNP 1969: $3.0 billion.
Type 60, SU and SX APCs. Defence budget 1970: 1,918 million won
105mm and 155mm SP guns, and 203mm ($746,000,000).
howitzers. 2.57 won = $ 1 .
SS-4 twin 106mm SP anti-tank guns.
3 Hawk surface-to-air missile battalions. Army
140 aircraft and 210 helicopters. Total strength: 370,000.
65
2 armoured divisions. Army
20 infantry divisions. Total strength: 570,000 (including 50,000 in
5 independent infantry brigades. South Vietnam).
15,000 men in 'special commando teams'. 19 front-line infantry divisions.
750 T-34, T-54, T-55 and T-59 medium tanks. .10 reserve infantry divisions (cadres only).
150 PT-76 amphibious light tanks. 2 armoured brigades with M-48 Pattons.
BA-64, BTR-40 and BTR-152 APCs. 80 artillery battalions with guns of up to 155mm
200 SU-76 and SU-100 SP assault guns and calibre.
ZSU-57 SP anti-aircraft guns. M-4 Sherman medium and Stuart and M-24
2,000 anti-aircraft guns. Chaffee light tanks.
6,000 other guns and mortars of up to 152mm M-8 armoured cars and M-113 APCs.
calibre. One battalion with Honest John surface-to-
60 SA-2 Guideline surface-to-air missile sites with surface missiles.
about 300 missiles. 2 squadrons with Hawk surface-to-air missiles.
One battalion with Nike-Hercules surface-to-air
Navy missiles.
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Total strength: 13,000. Two infantry divisions and some engineer units
4 submarines (ex-Soviet W-cl&ss). are in South Vietnam.
4 missile patrol boats (Komar-dass).
50 high speed torpedo boats (less than 100 tons).
10 fleet minesweepers. Navy
20 patrol vessels (4 less than 100 tons). Total strength: 19,000.
3 destroyers.
Air Force 3 destroyer escorts.
Total strength: 30,000; 580 combat aircraft. 4 frigates.
70 11-28 light bombers. 6 escort transports.
60 MiG-15 and 340 MiG-17 fighter-bombers. 17 coastal escorts and patrol boats.
90 MiG-21 interceptors. 10 coastal minesweepers.
20 MiG-19 interceptors. 20 landing ships.
About 30 An-2, Li-2,11-12 and 11-14 transports.
20 Mi-4 helicopters.
Marine Corps
70 Yak-9, Yak-11, Yak-18, MiG-15 and 11-28
Total strength: 33,000.
trainers.
5 brigades, including one serving in South
Para-military forces Vietnam.
25,000 security forces and border guards.
There is also a civilian militia with a claimed Air Force
strength of-1,250,000. Total strength: 23,000; 200 combat aircraft.
15 F-4 Phantom fighter-bombers.
100 F-86F fighter-bombers.
KOREA—REPUBLIC OF KOREA 55 F-5 tactical fighters.
(SOUTH) 20 F-86D all weather interceptors (with Side-
General winder missiles).
Population: 31,800,000. 10 RF-86F reconnaissance aircraft.
Military service: Army/Marines, 2\ years; Navy/ 30 transport aircraft including C-46s and Aero
Air Force, 3 years. Commanders.
Total armed forces: 645,000. About 6 H-19 Chickasaw helicopters.
Estimated GNP 1969: $7.5 billion.
Defence budget 1970: 101,600 million won
($333,000,000). Para-military forces
(1969) 280 won = | 1 . A militia with a proposed strength of 2,500,000 is
(1970) 305 won = $ 1 . being formed for local defence purposes.
4
66
LAOS Laos, including the Plain of Jars and the frontier
General with Vietnam.
Population: 2,960,000.
Estimated GNP 1969: $0.2 billion. MALAYSIA
500kip = $l. General
Population: 10,850,000.
1. ROYAL LAO FORCES Voluntary military service.
Military service: conscription. Total armed forces: 47,750.
Total strength: 67,250. Estimated GNP 1969: $3.68 billion.
Defence budget 1969/70: 10,800 million kip Defence budget 1970: Mai. $803 million
($21,600,000). ($US 260,000,000).
3.1 Malaysian dollars = $US1.
Army
Total strength: 65,000. Army
24 mobile infantry battalions. Total strength: 40,000.
About 40 static infantry battalions. 6 infantry brigades.
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PAKISTAN
NEW ZEALAND General
General Population: 128,400,000.
Population: 2,800,000. Voluntary military service.
Voluntary military service (supplemented by Total armed forces: 324,500.
selective national service for the Army). Estimated GNP 1969: $15.55 billion.
Total armed forces: 13,135. Defence estimates 1970-71: 3,000 million rupees
Estimated GNP 1969: $US 5.2 billion. ($625,000,000).
Defence estimates 1969-70: $NZ 88,800,000 4.8 rupees = $1.
($US 99,450,000).
$NZ 1 = $US 1.12 Army
Total strength: 300,000 (including 25,000 Azad
Kashmir troops).
Army 2 armoured divisions.
Total strength: 5,740. I independent brigade.
1 infantry battalion (less two companies) in I1 infantry divisions.
Malaysia. 50 M-4 Sherman, 100 M-47 Patton, 100 M-48
Two infantry companies and an artillery battery Patton, 50 T-54/55 and at least 100 Chinese
in Vietnam. T-59 medium tanks.
Regular troops form the nucleus of a Combat M-24 Chaffee and M-41 Walker Bulldog light
Brigade Group, a Logistic Support Force, tanks.
Reserve Brigade Group and a Static Support M-113 APCs.
68
About 900 25-pounder guns, 105mm and 155mm Total armed forces: 33,000 (excluding Constabu-
SP guns. lary).
200 130mm guns. . Estimated GNP 1969: $8.2 billion.
Cobra anti-tank missiles. Estimated defence expenditure 1969: 480
An air defence brigade whose equipment in- million pesos (§123,000,000).
cludes 20mm anti-aircraft guns. 3.9 pesos = $1.
20 H-13 helicopters.
Army
Navy Total strength: 18,000.
Total strength: 9,500. 1 combat infantry division.
1 submarine (3 Daphne-class submarines are on 4 training divisions (cadres only).
order from France). M-4 Sherman medium tanks.
2 destroyers. M-24 and M-41 light tanks.
3 destroyer escorts. M-3 half-tracks.
2 fast frigates. 10 engineer-construction battalions.
4 patrol boats. 1 Hawk surface-to-air missile battalion.
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8 coastal minesweepers.
2 small patrol boats (less than 100 tons). Navy
Naval aircraft include a few UH-19 air-sea Total strength: 6,000 (excluding naval engineers).
rescue helicopters. 1 destroyer escort.
3 command ships.
Air Force 7 coastal escorts.
Total strength: 15,000; 270 combat aircraft. 6 patrol vessels.
1 squadron with 11-28 light bombers. 28 patrol boats (less than 100 tons).
2 squadrons with B-57B Canberra light bombers. 6 landing ships.
7 squadrons with F-86 fighter-bomber/inter- 4 armed auxiliaries.
ceptors. 1 marine battalion.
5 squadrons with MiG-19 fighter-bomber/inter- 5 naval engineer-construction battalions.
ceptors.
1 squadron with Mirage HIE fighter-bomber/ Air Force
reconnaissance aircraft. Total strength: 9,000; 45 combat aircraft.
1 squadron with F-104A interceptors (10 aircraft). 25 F-86F day-fighters.
5 RT-33A reconnaissance aircraft. 20 F-5A fighter/ground-support aircraft.
(With the exception stated, combat squadrons Transports include 30 C-47s and 1 F-27 Friend-
consist of 16 aircraft). ship.
Transport aircraft include 8 C-47s and 8 About 20 helicopters, including UH-21Hs and
C-130s. H-34s.
About 80 T-6, T-33, T-37B and Mirage HID
trainers. Para-military forces
25 Bell 47, Kaman HH-43B Huskie and Abuette The Philippine Constabulary of 22,000.
III helicopters.
Para-military forces
Total strength: 225,000. SINGAPORE
This total includes the frontier corps, lightly- General
armed tribal levies and local defence units. Population: 2,050,000.
Military service: 2 years.
Total armed forces: 14,800.
PHILIPPINES Estimated GNP 1969: $US 1.43 billion.
General Defence estimates 1970-71: S$ 330 million
Population: 38,500,000. ($106,450,000).
Selective military service. 3.1 Singapore dollars = $1.
69
Army M-24 Chaffee and M-41 Walker Bulldog light
Total strength: 14,000. tanks.
2 brigades consisting of: M-2 and M-16 armoured half-tracks, M3A1 and
1 armoured regiment with 80 AMX-13 light M-8 scout cars.
tanks (to be operational by 1971). M-113APCs.
6 infantry battalions. 105mm and 155mm howitzers.
1 artillery battalion. 40 Hawk surface-to-air missile launchers.
1 engineer battalion. 11,000 men are serving in South Vietnam and
1 signals battalion. 5,000 in Laos.
3 further infantry battalions are being formed to
make a total of three infantry brigades. Navy
Artillery includes 120mm mortars and 106mm Total strength: 21,500 (including 5,000 marines).
recoilless rifles. 1 destroyer escort.
Army reserves number 6,000, and form six 2 frigates.
further infantry battalions and an engineer 7 submarine chasers.
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1 squadron of F-5 tactical fighters. special units with armoured vehicles and
(Combat squadrons have from 15-20 aircraft.) helicopters for internal security duties.
80 0-1 armed light aircraft.
This article was downloaded by: [University Of Maryland]
On: 14 October 2014, At: 22:14
Publisher: Routledge
Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: Mortimer House,
37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK
Latin America
Published online: 22 Jan 2009.
To cite this article: (1970) Latin America, The Military Balance, 70:1, 72-81, DOI: 10.1080/04597227008459800
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Latin America
otherwise known as the Treaty of Rio. (Cuba subsequently withdrew from the Treaty in
March 1960). This Treaty bound signatories to be constrained to peaceful means of settlement
in the event of disputes between themselves, and provided for collective self-defence should
any member-party be subject to external attack.
The Charter of the Organization of American States (OAS), drawn up in the same year
as the Organization's formation (1948), embraced declarations based upon the Treaty of
Rio. The member-parties* - the signatories to the Act of Chapultepec plus Barbados, El
Salvador, Jamaica, and Trinidad and Tobago - are bound to peaceful settlement of internal
disputes, and to collective action in the event of external attack upon one or more signatory
states.
Other Agreements
In July 1965, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras and Nicaragua agreed to form a military
bloc for the co-ordination of all resistance against possible communist aggression.
The United States has bilateral military assistance agreements with: Argentina, Bolivia,
Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Guate-
mala, Haiti, Jamaica, Nicaragua, Panama, Paraguay, Peru and Uruguay. She also has bilateral
agreements - with Cuba, for jurisdiction and control over Guantanamo Bay;f and with
Trinidad and Tobago, for the establishment and retention of US military bases in the area.
The United States is also a party to the following multilateral defence treaties: the
Act of Havana, 1940, signed by representatives of all the then 21 American Republics,
which provides for the collective trusteeship, by American nations, of European colonies
and possessions in the Americas, should any attempt be made to transfer the sovereignty
of these colonies from one non-American power to another; and the Havana Convention,
which corresponds with the Act of Havana, signed in 1940 by the same states, with the
exception of Bolivia, Chile, Cuba and Uruguay.
The Soviet Union has no defence agreements with any of the states in this area, although
in recent years it has supplied military equipment to Cuba.
* Legally, Cuba is a member of the OAS, but has been excluded - by a decision by OAS Foreign Ministers - since
January 1962. Barbados, Trinidad and Tobago, signed the Charter in 1967.
t This agreement was confirmed in 1934. In 1960 the United States stated that it could be modified or abrogated only
by agreement between the parties, and that it had no intention of agreeing to modification or abrogation.
73
CHILE COLOMBIA
General General
Population: 9,775,000. Population: 21,025,000.
Military service: 1 year. Military service: 1 year.
Total armed forces: 61,000. Total armed forces: 64,000.
Estimated GNP 1969: $6.8 billion. Estimated GNP 1969: 15.64 billion.
Defence budget 1970: 1,654 million escudos Estimated defence expenditure 1969: 1,870
($167,000,000). million pesos ($114,200,000).
7.58 escudos = 51 (up to May 1969). 16.3 pesos = 51 (up to November 1969).
8.97 escudos = $1 (June-November 1969). 17.6 pesos = $1 (since December 1969).
9.88 escudos = 51 (since December 1969).
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Army
Army Total strength: 50,000 (can be raised to 300,000
Total strength: 38,000. on full mobilization).
6 infantry brigades. 8 infantry brigades.
6 cavalry regiments (2 motorized, 4 horse). Light armour, motorized infantry, artillery and
8 artillery regiments. engineer detachments.
Some anti-aircraft and support detachments.
Navy
Navy
Total strength: 8,000.
Total strength: 15,000.
8 destroyers.
2 submarines (with 2 Oberon-class on order).
1 destroyer escort.
2 cruisers.
1 frigate.
4 destroyers.
8 coastal patrol vessels.
1 frigate.
5 river gunboats.
2 corvettes.
14 patrol motor launches (less than 100 tons).
4 motor torpedo boats.
(2 Leander-clsiss frigates are on order, to be fitted
with Seacat missiles.) Air Force
Total strength: 6,000; 22 combat aircraft.
Air Force About 8 B-26 light bombers.
Total strength: 8,000; 29 combat aircraft. 6 CL-13B and F-86F Sabrejet fighters.
15 B-26 light bombers. 8 Catalina maritime patrol aircraft.
25 Hunter fighters are being delivered. 2 C-130 Hercules transports.
14 Grumman THU-16B Albatross maritime patrol About 50 other transport aircraft, including
aircraft. C-54.C-47, DHC-3 Otter, Aero Commander and
Trainers include 45 T-34,10 T-37B, 8 T-33A and DHC-2 Beaver.
5 Vampires. 30 T-41D and 10 T-37C trainers.
About 90 transports, including 20 C-45,25 C-47, Other trainers include T-33A, T-34A and T-6.
20 DHC-2 Beaver, 12 DHC-3 Otter, 8 DHC-6 About 50 helicopters, including 12 OH-6A,
Twin Otter, and 4 DC-6. 6 TH-55, 20 Bell 47, 6 Kaman HH-43B, UH-23
5 Twin Bonanza, 10 Cessna 180,4 Cessna 0-1 and and UH-1B.
20 T-6 liaison aircraft.
30 helicopters, including 11 Bell 47, 9 Sikorsky Para-military forces
UH-19, 10 Hiller UH-12E and 2 Bell UH-1D. A National Police Force of about 35,000 men,
(Some ASW helicopters are on order.) adaptable to a para-military role.
76
CUBA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
General General
Population: 8,350,000. Population: 4,310,000.
Military service: 3 years. Selective military service.
Total armed forces: 109,500. Total armed forces: 19,300.
Estimated GNP 1969: $4.5 billion. Estimated GNP 1969: $1.25 billion.
Estimated defence expenditure 1970: 290 million Defence estimates 1966: 36,100,000 pesos
pesos ($290,000,000). ($36,100,000).
lpeso = $1. 1 peso = $1.
Army Army
Total strength: 90,000. Total strength: 12,000.
2 armoured brigades. 4 infantry brigades.
9 infantry brigades. 1 artillery regiment.
1 artillery brigade. 1 anti-aircraft regiment.
About 60 JS-2 heavy tanks. Reconnaissance, engineer and signals units.
350 T-34, and 150 T-54/55 medium tanks. AMX-13 light tanks, some armoured cars and
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Total armed forces: 20,000. The wartime establishment allows for the creation
Estimated GNP 1969: $1.5 billion. of 12 further infantry brigades; these would
Estimated defence expenditure 1969: 447 million be formed from the Territorial Service, which
sucres ($24,830,000). has about 30,000 men.
18sucres = $1.
Navy .
Army Total strength: 130.
Total strength: 12,800. 2 coastal patrol craft.
3 mechanized squadrons. 3 other small craft (less than 100 tons).
12 infantry battalions.
3 artillery groups. Air Force
2 engineer battalions. Total strength: 1,000; 12 combat aircraft.
2 anti-aircraft battalions. 6 F-4U Corsair fighter-bombers.
50 light tanks. 6 F-51D Mustang fighter-bombers.
4 C-47 transport aircraft.
Navy About 30 training aircraft, including 10 T-6
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Air Force
Total strength: 3,500;.25 combat aircraft. GUATEMALA
5 Canberra B-6 light bombers. General
10 F-80C Shooting Star fighter-bombers. Population: 5,170,000.
8 Meteor FR-9 interceptors. Selective military service for 2 years.
2 Catalina maritime patrol aircraft. Total armed forces: 9,000.
1 transport squadron with C-45s and C-47s. Estimated GNP 1969: $1.6 billion.
About 25 training aircraft including T-6 and T-33. Defence estimates 1966: 15 million quetzals
3 Bell helicopters. ($15,000,000).
1 quetzal = $1.
Para-military forces
Total strength: 5,800. Army
Total strength: 7,800.
Some motorized units.
EL SALVADOR 6 infantry battalions.
General Some parachute trained infantry.
Population: 3,515,000. An anti-aircraft company.
Selective military service for 12 months. Support detachments.
Total armed forces: 5,630. A few M-4 Sherman medium tanks.
Estimated GNP 1969: $0.94 billion.
Defence estimates 1966: 26 million colones Navy
($10,400,000). Total strength: 200.
2.5 colones = $1. 1 gunboat.
4 small patrol craft.
Army
Total strength: 4,500. Air Force*
3 infantry battalions (nominal brigades). Total strength: 1,000; 16 combat aircraft.
1 cavalry regiment.
1 artillery regiment. * The Air Force comes under Army Administration.
78
5 B-26 Invader light bombers. Voluntary military service.
11 ¥-5YD Mustang fighter-bombers. Total armed forces: 4,725.
6 C-47 transport aircraft. Estimated GNP 1969: $0.66 billion.
About 10 training aircraft, including T-6 Texan Defence budget 1970: 12,600,000 lempiras
and some T-33s. ($6,300,000.)
UH-12B helicopters. 2 lempiras = $1.
HONDURAS * This takes the form of Sunday drills only; the strengths
General shown for the armed forces are effectively formed of
Population: 2,575,000. volunteers.
79
3 artillery regiments. The National Guard is engaged mostly on inter-
Anti-aircraft, engineer and support units. nal security and border patrol duties.
M-4 Sherman medium tanks.
Humber Mark IV armoured cars. Navy (Coastguard)
75mm and 105mm howitzers. Total strength: 200.
6 coastal patrol vessels.
Navy Small patrol boats.
Total strength: 7,600, including Naval Air Force.
5 frigates. Air Force
3 gunboats. Total strength: 1,500; 12 combat aircraft.
4 escorts/minesweepers. 6 B-26 light bombers.
5 river patrol craft. 6 T-33A armed trainers.
1 troop transport. About 20 training aircraft, including T-6
About 14 naval aircraft, including 5 Catalinas Texan, BT-13A Valiant and AT-11 Kansan,
for maritime patrol. and T-28.
4 C-45, 3 C-47 and 10 Cessna 180 transport
Marines aircraft.
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Army
Total strength: 17,500.
NICARAGUA 1 cavalry brigade.
General 3 infantry brigades.
Population: 1,985,000. 3 artillery batteries.
Selective military service. 1 motorized engineer battalion.
Total armed forces: 7,100.
Estimated GNP 1969: $0.73 billion. Navy
Defence estimates 1966: 63 million cordobas Total strength: 1,900, including Marines.
($9,000,000). 3 river patrol boats.
7 cordobas = $1. 2 patrol launches.
3 river gunboats.
Army (National Guard)
Total strength: 5,400. Air Force
Several infantry companies, with a motorized Total strength: 800; 6 combat aircraft.
detachment, motorized engineers and an anti- About 20 training aircraft, including T-6 Texan,
aircraft battery. PT-17 Kaydet and MS-760.
80
(About 6 of the T-6s have been fitted with bomb 20 F-86F fighters.
racks.) 10 F-80C Shooting Star interceptors.
10 C-47 and 3 Hiller EC-2 transport aircraft. 16 Hunter F-52 interceptors.
8 helicopters, including 4 Bell 47C and 3 UH- 8 T-33A armed trainers.
12E. The above aircraft form three combat groups of
two or three squadrons each.
Para-military forces There are also:
Security forces total 8,500. 1 maritime reconnaissance squadron with 6
PV-2 Harpoons.
1 photo-reconnaissance squadron with 10 C-60.
5 HU-16A Albatross maritime patrol aircraft.
PERU Transport and communications aircraft, in-
General clude: 9 DHC-2 Beavers, 19 C-47, 3 DHC-6
Population: 13,585,000. Twin Otters, 18 Beech Queen Airs and 16
Military service: 2 years. DHC-5 Buffalo.
Total armed forces: 54,650. 55 training aircraft, including 2 Hunter T-62,
Estimated GNP 1969: $5.2 billion. 15 T-6 Texan, 6 T-34 Mentors, 26 T-37B inter-
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About 30 training aircraft, including 10 T-6 Total strength: 9,000; 75 combat aircraft.
Texan and 6 T-33A trainers. 15 Canberra B-2 bombers.
40 Venom FB-4 and Vampire FB-5 fighter-
bombers.
20 F-86F fighters.
45 transport aircraft including C-47, C-54 and
18 C-123B Providers.
VENEZUELA About 90 training aircraft, including T-6 Texan,
General T-24 Mentor, T-52 Jet Provost and T-55 Vampire.
Population: 10,490,000. About 35 helicopters, including 15 Alouette II
Military service: 2 years. and ///, 6 Bell 47 and 4 Sikorsky UH-19.
Total armed forces: 30,500.
Estimated GNP 1969: $9.8 billion. Para-military forces
Defence expenditure 1970: 1,236 million boli- The National Guard is a volunteer force with
vares ($277,750,000). a total strength of 10,000 and is employed chiefly
4.45 bolivares = $1. on internal security duties.
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To cite this article: (1970) NATO and the Warsaw Pact, The Military Balance, 70:1, 85-101, DOI: 10.1080/04597227008459801
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REGIONAL BALANCES
NATO AND THE WARSAW PACT
(A) STRATEGIC NUCLEAR FORCES*
No useful comparison can be made between the strategic forces of the super-powers
and their allies on the basis of one criterion alone. At the very least, a comparison
between offensive nuclear forces must take the following factors into account:
(i) Targeting: the number and distribution of targets which nuclear weapons
must reach.f
(ii) Basing and Compatibility: the locations from which weapons will be launched
and the range and other technical characteristics affecting their ability to
attack relevant targets from these locations,
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Targeting
The targeting of a first strike, intended to destroy the strategic retaliatory forces of
another country, depends upon the location of those forces at the moment of attack
The location of fixed land-based missiles in the United States and the Soviet Union
is known by each of these countries from the evidence of satellite and other surveillance.
The location of long-range bomber bases is known by the same means, although
the ability of either country to disperse bombers to secondary bases or to main-
tain them on 'airborne alert' in periods of extreme tension may reduce the practical
utility of this information for first-strike purposes. There is no evidence that the
location, at any particular time, of the bulk of submarine-based missile forces is
known to either side. It follows that, although targeting land-based ICBM forces
for a first strike presents little problem (assuming that those forces are not launched
on warning of an attack), targeting long-range bomber forces is more difficult and
targeting missile submarines is, for the purposes of a disarming first strike, impossible.
* The 'strategic' use of nuclear weapons means their use against targets which are neither within the
battlefield area nor directly connected with the manoeuvre of combatant forces, as against the 'tactical'
use of (possibly the same) weapons against targets within the battlefield area or directly connected
with the manoeuvre of combatant forces.
t The choice of targets implies a view of the net impact on the adversary of their destruction. A com-
parison of these net impacts must take account of such factors as relative casualties, relative loss of
industrial capacity, relative social and administrative dislocation and relative ability, after a nuclear
exchange, to meet minimum imperatives (e.g. survival as a national entity or as a political system).
The final estimate of 'net comparative effectiveness' of strategic forces must be based on value
judgments (e.g. What probability of sustaining what level of damage will constitute deterrence?)
and cannot be measured in objective terms.
t French forces have been included within NATO capabilities.
86
The targeting of a second strike, intended to exact a penalty in terms of civilian
population and industry for a precedent first strike, is a much simpler matter. Cities
and factories cannot move, and their locations are well known. However, the
United States and the Soviet Union provide dissimilar targets for a second strike
against civilian targets, simply because, in the former, a higher proportion of popula-
tion and industry is concentrated in fewer cities. From the table below, which shows
the cumulative percentage of population and industrial capacity concentrated in the
largest American and Soviet cities, it is clear that a given number of Soviet second-
strike weapons of a particular power can be expected to exact a heavier retaliatory
penalty, in purely quantitative terms, than the same number of similar American
weapons. This imbalance is likely to be increased by the greater relative proximity of
American cities to each other, especially near the East Coast. To an unmeasurable
extent, however, that advantage may be off-set by the greater administrative and
ideological centralization of the Soviet system, and its consequently greater vulnera-
bility to the destruction of a few centres of control.
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Noril'sk
Moscow
Warsaw
Irkutsk
Prague
Peking
Omsk
Baku
Sofia
Kiev
New York 4,600 4,600 5,700 5,450 4,700 5,900 4,200 4,700 4,050 New York 6,750
Chicago 4,900 5,000 6,050 5,550 4,700 5,800 4,600 5,150 4,500 Chicago 6,500
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Houston 5,800 5,900 7,000 6,450 5,500 6,550 5,550 6,050 5,400 Houston 7,150
Seattle 5,100 5,400 6,250 5,200 4,150 4,900 5,150 5,800 5,150 Seattle 5,300
Denver 5,400 5,550 6,550 5,800 4,800 5,750 5,250 5,800 5,150 Denver 6,300
L. Angeles 6,000 6,200 7,100 6,100 5,100 5,850 5,950 6,550 5,900 L. Angeles 6,150
Bonn 1,300 1,000 2,100 2,650 2,800 3,800 600 950 300 Bonn 4,850
Rome 1,450 1,000 1,900 2,800 3,200 4,000 800 500 550 Rome 5,000
Ankara 1,100 750 850 2,100 2,800 3,350 1,000 550 1,150 Ankara 4,200
Moscow
Noril'sk
Warsaw
Irkutsk
Distances in
Prague
Omsk
Aircraft
Medium-range bombers:* United States (or British) bombers based in Europe or
refuelled from European or Pacific bases, can hit targets anywhere in the Warsaw
Pact area. (The United States has only 35 such bombers, but Britain 110.) Similar
Soviet bombers can strike at United States allies anywhere on the Eurasian land mass
and also at Canada, but not at the United States itself.
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Shorter-range strike aircraft, whether American or allied to the United States, can
strike at Warsaw Pact countries and marginally at the Soviet Union. Their Soviet
equivalents cannot reach the United States and even their ability to strike Western
Europe is limited since, for instance, the Su-7, carrying a 3000-lb payload and flying
a typical operational profile, has a radius of action of only 150-200 miles. Both
on the NATO and Warsaw Pact sides, most aircraft of these types are home-based
and not normally to be reckoned as 'strategic'.
Missiles
Intermediate- and medium-range ballistic missiles (IRBMs and MRBMs)."f Only
the Soviet Union possesses any, all home based. These are not mobile systems at the
moment but a new mobile IRBM (SS-XZ Scrooge), and a new mobile solid-propellant
missile (SS-14 Scapegoat), apparently with MRBM range, have been displayed and
tested. Neither is known to be deployed operationally. The existing IRBMs could
just reach the United States if suitably sited. IRBMs and MRBMs can reach all
targets in Western Europe and Japan and most in China.
Short-range guided missiles. Although presumably designed for battlefield or tactical
use, Soviet short-range missiles could reach civilian targets in Western Europe. The
equivalents in the West could similarly reach East European targets and American
and German Pershing missiles, from bases in Germany, could reach a short way into
the Soviet Union. Only a proportion - probably small - of SRBMs will be deployed
at any time in positions from which they could be used for 'strategic' purposes.
Numbers!
The numbers of potential NDVs available within the NATO and Warsaw Pact areas
in July 1970 are given in Table 1 on pp. 105-6.
• Medium-range bombers are defined as having a maximum theoretical range, without refuelling, of
3,500-6,000 statute miles.
t IRBMs are defined as having a maximum range of 1,500-4,000 miles and MRBMs of 500-1,500
miles.
% Because most estimates of NDVs come from official American sources, which stress those able to
reach the United States, much more information is available about the numbers of ICBMs, SLBMs
and long-range bombers than about SRBMs and cruise missiles and strike aircraft, for which, as the
Table on pp. 105-6 shows, it is often only possible to give tentative figures. This does not necessarily
reflect the relevance of the types of NDV to the 'strategic balance' as seen by powers other than the
United States.
89
Numbers of NDVs do not indicate accurately the number of individual nuclear
weapons which can be delivered. Many aircraft carry more than one weapon each.
At present, for example, American long-range bombers of the B-52 type commonly
carry 4-5 nuclear weapons, while Soviet long-range bombers are believed to carry
about three nuclear weapons each. Many medium-range bombers also carry more
than one weapon, as may some types of strike aircraft. Finally missiles may be
provided with more than one nuclear warhead. The American Minuteman 3 ICBM
and Poseidon SLBM have respectively been designed to carry three and ten multiple
independently-targetable re-entry vehicles (MIRVs), each of which can be used
to attack a separate target. The first flight of Minuteman 3 missiles came into service
in June 1970. Poseidon will not be deployed operationally until 1971. Multiple re-
entry vehicles which are not independently targeted are already carried, however, by
the modified version of the Polaris A3 missile with which about half of the missile sub-
marines in the US Navy are believed to be equipped. A similar version of Polaris,
with multiple re-entry vehicles, is fitted in British missile submarines. No such multiple
warhead missiles are known to exist in operational Soviet forces; a three-warhead
re-entry system for the SS-9 Scarp ICBM has been tested repeatedly but, although it is
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technically conceivable that some examples of this re-entry system could already
have been deployed, there is no evidence to that effect.
When these multiplying factors are taken into account, the approximate totals of
individual warheads deliverable by American and Soviet NDVs in July 1970 were
estimated to be:
Of these, over 6,000 of the American warheads listed are fitted to NDVs capable,
at least in theory, of reaching Soviet territory, while only some 2,000 of the Soviet
warheads are associated with NDVs having the range to strike at the continental
' United States.
Reliability/Survivability
In operational conditions, no weapon system performs perfectly; NDVs are no
exception. It is impossible to give exact figures for the number of NDVs which will
fail, for technical reasons, to deliver their weapons as planned. In the case of long-
range guided missiles, however, a failure rate of 20-30 per cent is to be anticipated.
The failure rate for aircraft-delivered missiles (ASMs) is likely to be similar, whereas
90
that for free-fall bombs may be lower than 10 per cent (excluding failure of the
aircraft themselves).
Those NDVs which survive technical mishaps must also overcome defensive efforts
to destroy them or to reduce their effects. These efforts may take the form of active
defence (anti-ballistic missile (ABM) defences, anti-aircraft missiles and artillery,
interceptor aircraft, anti-submarine warfare (ASW) aircraft and surface vessels,
hunter-killer submarines) or passive defence (blast and fall-out shelters, population
dispersal, physical protection for missiles and aircraft on the ground).
The Soviet Union has deployed 67 ABM launchers, for the Galosh missile, around
Moscow. In addition, for protection against aircraft, there are at least 8,000 Soviet
anti-aircraft surface-to air missiles (SAMs), some 3,300 Soviet interceptor aircraft
and an unknown number of anti-aircraft artillery pieces. The United States (which
has not yet deployed any ABM launchers) has some 1,000 anti-aircraft SAMs and
650 interceptor aircraft for the defence of its continental territory.
At sea, the Soviet Union has about 125 cruisers and large escorts, 290 submarines
(of which 22 are nuclear-propelled hunter-killers) and 160 aircraft and helicopters
capable, to a varying extent, of ASW operations. Other Warsaw Pact countries have
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about 30 smaller vessels suitable for ASW use. The United States has 200 larger
vessels and 103 submarines (44 nuclear-propelled) which are specifically equipped
for ASW work, together with another 40 surface vessels capable of operating in this
role. Over 600 American aircraft and helicopters are exclusively designed for ASW.
Other NATO countries, including France, have about 230 larger vessels and 550
aircraft suitable for ASW work.
Relatively little is. known about passive defence programmes in the Soviet Union.
The Soviet Government has emphasized civil defence education and is reported to
have provided fall-out shelters in at least some cities. Soviet spokesmen have claimed
that, by evacuating civilians, they can reduce the density of urban population on
warning of an attack by a factor of ten. Such plans seem, however, to assume both
impeccable administration and improbably long warning of an attack.
The United States Government has identified and marked fall-out shelters for
about 50 per cent (108.9 million) of the country's population. Plans for the evacuation
of civilians from American cities are embryonic. The provision of blast (as opposed
to fall-out) shelters is limited in the United States - as in the Soviet Union - to selected
groups of essential military and administrative personnel.
Passive defence extends to the land-based missiles required for deterrent retaliation,
in order that as many as possible should be able to survive a first-strike attack.
American ICBMs are emplaced in underground silos capable of withstanding a blast
of about 300 pounds per square inch (psi). About 1,140 Soviet ICBMs are also
emplaced in hardened underground silos, as are about 50 per cent of Soviet IRBMs
and MRBMs.
Ground formations
If French formations (not part of NATO's integrated commands) are included they
would add two mechanized divisions to the NATO totals.6 All the forces of Warsaw
Pact countries are included, though the military value of some of them may be suspect
for political reasons.
• Includes, on the NATO side, the commands for which AFCENT and AFNORTH commanders
have responsibility (see introduction to NATO section). France is not included. On the Warsaw
Pact side it includes the command for which the Pact High Commander has responsibility, but
excludes the armed forces of Bulgaria, Hungary and Rumania. Soviet units normally stationed in
Western USSR and such troops as might be committed to the Baltic Theatre of operations have,
however, been included on the Warsaw Pact side.
6
Includes, on the NATO side, the Italian, Greek, and Turkish land forces and such American and
British units as would be committed to the Mediterranean theatre of operations, and on the Warsaw
Pact side, the land forces of Bulgaria, Hungary and Rumania, and such Soviet units normally stationed
in Hungary and southern USSR as might be committed to the Mediterranean theatre.
' These are the two divisions stationed in Germany. There are three more in France.
92
In Norway there are only Norwegian forces in peacetime, a brigade group with
M-48 tanks being located in the north. The Soviet forces facing them or which
could be brought against them from North-Western Russia, probably amount to at
least four divisions. This wide disparity highlights the problem of the defence of
north Norway against surprise attack. To meet this difficulty a system of self defence,
based on a powerful Home Guard and rapid mobilization, has been designed, to
take maximum advantage of the ruggedness of the country and the poor road and
rail communications, but it is clear that defence against attack of any size depends
on timely external assistance.
Two further imbalances are worth noting. The first, a legacy from the postwar
occupation zones, is a certain maldeployment in the NATO Central European
Command, where the well-equipped and strong American formations are stationed
in the southern part of the front, an area which geographically lends itself to defence,
while in the north German plain, across which the routes to allied capitals run, where
there is little depth and few major obstacles, certain of the forces are less powerful.
The second is that the whole of the Italian land forces, which are included in the
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table under Southern Europe, are stationed in Italy and thus are at some distance
from the areas of actual confrontation.
Manpower
A comparison of formations is not by itself sufficient however, since NATO forma-
tions are much larger than those of the Warsaw Pact.d It is necessary to take account
of this difference in size and also of the combat troops in formations higher than
divisions and those men who directly support them. Figures calculated on this basis -
and the calculation can only be an approximate and arbitrary one - give the following
comparison for forces in peacetime (figures are in thousands):
Northern and
Central Europe" Southern Europe6
(of (of
Warsaw which Warsaw which
Category NATO Pact USSR) NATO Pact USSR)
If French forces are included the NATO figure for Northern and Central Europe
would be increased by perhaps 40,000."
Reinforcements
The mobilization of first line reserves and the movement of reinforcements to the
theatre would materially alter the above figures. The immediate mobilization capacity
of the Warsaw Pact is greater than that of the West: it has been estimated that the
force of 31 Soviet Divisions in Central Europe might be increased to 70 in well under
a
Formation strengths are given on page following Preface.
' Some of these may be. stationed in France.
93
a month, if mobilization were unimpeded. The Soviet Union, a European power,
and operating on interior lines, can bring up reinforcements overland, with heavy
equipment, far faster than can the United States across the Atlantic. American ability
to bring back quickly by air the dual-based brigades whose equipment is in Germany
has been demonstrated and the C-5 aircraft coming into service will greatly increase
the airlift. But this lift depends on a secure air environment, safe airfields to fly into,
and the willingness to reinforce in a crisis situation at the risk of heightening tension
by doing so. And reinforcing divisions would need sealift to move their heavy equip-
ment.
Implicit in Western defence plans is the concept of political warning time, that
there will be sufficient warning of a possible attack to enable NATO forces to be
brought to a higher state of readiness and for reinforcement and mobilization to take
place. Advantage here will always lie with an attacker, who can start mobilization
first, hope to conceal his intentions and achieve some degree of tactical surprise.
The point of attack can be chosen and a significant local superiority built up. The
defender is likely to start more slowly and will have to remain on guard at all points.
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A fair summary of the reinforcement position might be that the Warsaw Pact is
intrinsically capable of a faster build up in the early stages, particularly if local or
general surprise is achieved; that NATO can only match such an initial build up if
it has, and takes advantage of, sufficient warning time; that the subsequent rate of
build up favours the Warsaw Pact unless the crisis develops slowly enough to permit
full reinforcement; in this last case the West would be in a position much more
resembling equality. Alliance countries maintain more men under arms than the
Warsaw Pact. For Army/Marines the figures (in thousands) are: NATO 3,374,
(including France 3,702); Warsaw Pact 2,837. Of course large numbers of these men
are outside Europe, as for example American forces in Asia and Soviet forces on
their Far Eastern frontier.
Equipment
In a comparison of equipment one point stands out: the Warsaw Pact is armed
almost completely with Soviet or Soviet designed material and enjoys the flexibility,
simplicity of training and economy that standardization brings. NATO forces have
a wide variety of everything from weapon systems to vehicles, with consequent dupli-
cation of supply systems and some difficulties of interoperability.
As to numbers of weapons, there are some notable differences, of which tanks are
perhaps the most significant. The relative tank strengths are as follows:
Northern and
Central Europe0 Southern Europe6
(of (of
Warsaw which Warsaw which
Category NATO Pact USSR) NATO Pact USSR)
Main battle tanks •
available to
Commanders
—in "peacetime 5,500 14,000 8,000 2,100 5,000 1,400
It will be seen that NATO has rather less than half as many tanks as the Warsaw
Pact in-Northern and Central Europe, though NATO tanks are generally more
94
modern (except for the T-62, now increasingly coming into service in the Pact forces).
This relative weakness in tanks reflects NATO's essentially defensive role and is
offset to some extent by a superiority in ground anti-tank weapons. NATO probably
also has more effective airborne anti-tank weapons, such as the missiles carried by
fighter aircraft and helicopters. In conventional artillery both sides are about equal
in strength: NATO is, though, likely to have superior fire-power because of the
greater lethality of its ammunition and the logistic capability to sustain higher rates
of fire. This capability stems from a significantly higher transport lift, about half as
high again in a NATO division as compared with a Warsaw Pact one. NATO has,
however, an inflexible logistic system, based almost entirely on national supply lines
with little central co-ordination. It cannot now use French territory and has many
lines of communication running north to south, near the area of forward deployment.
Aircraft
If NATO ground formations are to be able to exploit, by day as well as by night, the
mobility they possess, they must have a greater degree of air cover over the battlefield
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than they now have. Such cover is provided by a combination of rapid warning and
communications systems, surface-to-air weapons and fighter aircraft. In much of
this ground-air environment NATO is well prepared, but in numbers of aircraft it
is markedly inferior:
Northern and
Central Europe" Southern Europe6
(of (of
Warsaw which Warsaw which
Categories NATO Pact USSR) NATO Pact USSR)
Tactical aircraft in
operational service
—light bombers 16 240 200 30 30
—fighter/ground
attack 1,400 1,300 1,000 600 200 50
—interceptors 350 2,000 900 250 850 450
—reconnaissance . . 400 400 300 100 100 40
The division into the categories shown is only approximate since some aircraft can
be adapted to more than one kind of mission. In general NATO has a higher propor-
tion of multi-purpose aircraft and the best of the NATO aircraft are superior, over
their full mission profiles, to those of the Warsaw Pact, especially in range and pay-
load. But the two air forces have different roles: long range and payload may have
lower priority for the Warsaw Pact. NATO, for example, has maintained a long-range
deep-strike tactical aircraft capability; the Soviet Union has chosen to build a MRBM
force which could, under certain circumstances, perform analogous missions.
The Warsaw Pact also enjoys the advantage of interior lines of communication
which make for ease of command and control and logistics. They have a relatively
high capability to operate from dispersed natural airfields serviced by mobile systems,
have far more airfields and the great advantage of standard ground support equipment
which stems from having only Soviet designed aircraft. These factors make for much
greater flexibility than NATO, with its many national sources of aircraft and wide
95
variety of support equipment. NATO probably has some superiority in sophistication
of equipment, the capability of its aircrews, which have in general higher training
standards and fly more hours, and the versatility of its aircraft. The NATO countries
also have a world-wide inventory of aircraft far greater than that of the Warsaw Pact
and in a situation where total reinforcement can be taken into account would have
the greater capability. With all these different factors the relative capabilities are not
measurable in precise terms but the Warsaw Pact advantage in numbers remains a
very real one.
and missile systems. Some of the delivery vehicles, but not the warheads, are in the
hands of non-Soviet Warsaw Pact forces.
This comparison of nuclear warheads must not be looked at in quite the same light
as the conventional comparisons preceding it, since on the NATO side the strategic
doctrine is not and cannot be based on a use of such weapons on this sort of scale.
These numbers were accumulated to implement an earlier, predominantly nuclear,
strategy and an inventory of this size now has the chief merit of affording a wide
range of choice of weapons, yield and delivery system if controlled escalation has to
be contemplated. A point that does emerge from the comparison however is that the
Soviet Union has the ability to launch a battlefield nuclear offensive on a massive
scale if she should choose, or to match any NATO escalation with broadly similar
options.
Naval forces
To compare the maritime strengths of the two sides, particularly on a regional basis,
offers many difficulties. Naval power is highly flexible; ships move between fleets,
fleets move over great distances. It is far from easy and often inappropriate to set
ships off against each other numerically: in anti-submarine warfare, for example,
surface vessels, submarines and maritime aircraft must all be seen together as combined
teams; or again, many naval units can be given a primary role of supporting the land
battle. It is, furthermore, not possible to make anything like the same degree of
separation between strategic and tactical functions where naval forces are concerned;
their roles are often speedily interchangeable.
With these and many other reservations, some touched on below, the relative
strengths of the more significant ships are listed here, by the main fleet areas." No
attempt has been made to divide the North Atlantic area further since reinforcement
between task forces is normal. The figures must not be regarded as indicating any
' In footnote * on page 85 the distinction between the 'tactical' and 'strategic' use of nuclear weapons
is described. The figure of 7,000 warheads given here includes a substantial number carried by, for
example, aircraft such as the F-4 or F-104, which can be put to 'strategic' use, and are discussed in
the section on the strategic balance on p. 88. There is inevitably overlap when dealing with delivery
vehicles, aircraft and missiles, capable of delivering conventional or nuclear weapons for either
'tactical' or 'strategic' purposes.
» The North Atlantic area is here taken as North of the Tropic of Cancer, i.e. the NATO area.
96
fixed or optimum fleet size or composition, but simply typical strengths. The category
of 'surface attack - cruisers/destroyers' indicates that these ships have significant
anti-ship weapons, in the Soviet case long-range surface-to-surface missiles (SSM).
The missiles carried by ships in the 'Anti-submarine - destroyers/frigates/escorts'
category are primarily or exclusively for air defence (SAM).
None of the above figures include the French navy, which, as will be seen on p. 26
is itself quantitatively stronger than the Soviet Mediterranean Squadron normally is.
The comparisons show marked and well known asymmetries. The United States
Navy has powerful carrier-strike forces, with aircraft and missiles for air defence
and anti-submarine warfare and with long-range aircraft for the strike role against
surface vessels and land targets, nuclear armed if appropriate. The Soviet Navy, by
contrast, has no attack carriers and relies on land based aircraft for both air cover and
strike, supplemented by ship-borne air defence missiles and, of course, by the powerful
North Atlantic
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Warsaw
Category NATO Pact Remarks
Attack carriers 8 Attack carriers have an
embarked air wing of
between 70-100 aircraft
ASW carriers 2 _
Surface attack -
cruisers/destroyers 2 5
Anti-submarine -
destroyers/frigates/escorts 188 54
Attack submarines:
—nuclear 27 12
—diesel, long/medium range .. 63 100
Baltic
Warsaw
Category NATO Pact Remarks
Surface attack -
cruisers/destroyers 4 6
Anti-submarine -
destroyers/frigates/escorts 16 44
Motor torpedo/gun boats 56 96 Warsaw Pact boats
are generally SSM
armed.
Attack submarines:
—nuclear — —
—diesel, long/medium range . . — 51
short range 15 15
97
Mediterranean/Black Sea
Warsaw Pact
Typical strength
Black of the
Sea Mediterranean
Category NATO Fleet* Squadron Remarks
Attack carriers 2
ASW carriers 2 2 1-2
Surface attack -
cruisers/destroyers 5 2-3
Anti-submarine -
destroyers/frigates/escorts . . 66 57 5-9
Motor torpedo/gun boats 7 31 —
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Attack submarines:
—nuclear 1 3 1-2
—diesel, long/medium range 35 34 6-10
1
short range " "• 10
world-wide, whereas the Soviet Union is much more self-sufficient. If short, then naval
action is unlikely to be dominant; the outcome would be decided on land. There are
too many variables to allow of comprehensive judgments but it seems fair to say
that while the sea is still an area in which the West has superiority, the Soviet fleets
are now able to offer a challenge at every level of military or politico-military action.
This is a change which has taken place in recent years, which has lifted the Soviet
Navy into a category comparable with, though still weaker than, the West.
THE SOVIET UNION AND CHINA
A balance of a sort may exist between countries where a comparison of such things as
numbers of divisions, equipment or training is a very one-sided one; other factors,
notably political, geographic and demographic, will assert themselves strongly. This
is the case with the Soviet Union and China. If only unrestricted war were being
considered, involving nuclear weapons, there is no balance; Soviet superiority is
complete. Large-scale war with conventional weapons is, however, by no means so
simple to assess, despite a huge Soviet advantage in tanks, guns and aircraft and the
industries to produce them.
Nuclear
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The strategic nuclear strength of the Soviet Union is given in detail in the section
on Strategic Nuclear Forces on p. 85 ff. China has been working on the develop-
ment of a missile to carry nuclear warheads and may have perfected a booster vehicle
in the IRBM class. There is no evidence so far of any operational deployment of a
missile and China's ability to deliver nuclear weapons may still be limited therefore
to some Tu-16s, a few Tu-4 medium-range bombers of pre-1946 design and 11-28
short-range bombers.
Land forces
Manpower
The Sinc-Soviet-Mongolian frontier is some 7,000 miles long. The strengths
deployed in the frontier areas, in the Soviet Military Districts (MDs) and the Chinese
Military Regions (MRs) (manpower figures in thousands), are as follows:
36 15 Regular Divisions 30 32
The Soviet MDs cover, however, areas from the Caucasus to the Bering Straits,
which are far removed from the Chinese border; no more than 30 Soviet divisions
100
are likely to be deployed close to the frontier. The Soviet Union has substantial
transport airlift capacity, both long- and short-range and the railway across Siberia
offers considerable flexibility for reinforcement, though long stretches of it run close
to the border." Reinforcement over and above the figures in the table is another
matter. The Soviet Union shows no sign of reducing its large military establishment
in Europe. China has neither the airlift, nor the vehicle mobility within its forces
that the Soviet Union has, but its reinforcements are nearer to hand: by drawing
on forces from the Chengtu, Wuhan, Tsinan and Nanking MRs China could quickly
deploy over one million men without denuding its southern borders.
Equipment
In equipment, other than light weapons, there is no department in which the
Soviets do not have a huge superiority, in numbers, quality and the ability to design,
develop and produce. China's arms industries are thought to be producing armour
of their own design, but the main tank, the T-59, is merely a Chinese-built version of
the Soviet T-54, now largely replaced in Soviet divisions by the more modern T-62.
A large part of the heavy equipment consists of material supplied by the Soviet Union
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not later than the early 1960s and there is a general shortage of heavy field-engineering
equipment and motor transport. Radar and electronic communications equipment
is scarce and unsophisticated but there are adequate Chinese-produced infantry
weapons, light rocket-launchers and towed artillery in the ground forces.
Tank strength*
These figures are calculated at full establishment, which may well be too high, but
they are sufficient to show that, whatever the establishment deficiencies are, there must
be an enormous gap between the two sides. The Chinese Army remains largely an
infantry force with serviceable but often outdated equipment.
Air forces
Soviet aircraft are modern and the production base huge. Chinese aircraft are largely
early model Soviet types and, while China has built and been able to export the
MiG-19, it has demonstrated no ability to develop newer types. The few MiG-21s it
has were probably Soviet supplied in the early 1960s.
Air power is flexible and can be moved quickly from central airfields to any front.
The following figures are therefore national totals but exclude the whole of the Soviet
Air Defence Command (PVO-Strany) and the naval air forces of both sides.
° Reportedly building of new road and rail facilities in Western Siberia is now going on.
» These figures are based on there being three Chinese armoured divisions in the Northern MRs,
supplemented by armoured regiments. Chinese tank divisional establishment is taken as being the
same as that of a Soviet division but it may be lower.
101
There are a number of riders to this table apart from the qualitative one of the
superior range, payload and performance of the Soviet aircraft. Soviet aircraft have
other roles (e.g. long-range bombers in relation to the United States and medium
bombers and tactical aircraft to Europe), but this would not prevent numbers of them
operating with relative ease in support of small-scale hostilities with China. The
Soviet Union also has a large air defence missile capability, much of it mobile, and
long-range surface-to-surface missiles (whose primary role is nuclear), as well as
shorter-range missiles with ground forces. Large numbers of Chinese aircraft are
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based in Tibet and many are deployed in the coastal area. Chinese air defence capacity,
with few missiles and only moderate interceptors, is modest compared with that of
the Soviet Union.
Naval forces
If naval forces were committed to a conflict, the Soviet Pacific Fleet, which admittedly
has other tasks, is, in significant vessels, superior in numbers and quality to the Chinese
Navy. It has, furthermore, both cruise and ballistic missile submarines, diesel and
nuclear. The Chinese naval air force is rather larger than the Soviet air component
of the Pacific Fleet, but much inferior in quality and has in any case a territorial air
defence role as well.
Other factors
The above comparisons leave an impression of an immense advantage to the Soviet
Union in all save manpower. In an unrestricted nuclear conflict, the Soviets could
virtually destroy the Chinese air and naval forces and wreak widespread devastation
in cities, destroying China's industry and leadership. Soviet destruction of Chinese
nuclear capacity would also not be too difficult militarily, though if attempted with
conventional weapons it would present problems, probably involving continuous
attacks and no certainty of complete success, in particular because major installations
are believed to exist well within China proper at Haiyen, Lanchou and Paotou. c
The Soviet Union might find itself involved in a protracted land war it could neither
limit nor win. Such a war would split the world Communist movement along racial
lines and do incalculable damage to Soviet prospects of retaining influence in the
Third World.
Would a large-scale land war favour China ? China certainly possesses enormous
defensive strength against deep invasion and protracted hostilities, arising from its
geography and its immensely numerous, resilient, hardy masses. This suggests a
degree of strategic stalemate, with the Soviet Union unwilling to use its nuclear
firepower yet unable to win all-out war against an unremitting adversary by conven-
tional means, and China with little nuclear strength or ability to carry war deep
into a Soviet Union itself defensively almost impregnable. The border area is another
matter. Here either side is capable of mustering local superiority and winning small-
scale engagements, but the Soviet Union has advantages that will enable it to dominate
larger-scale hostilities and deliver punishing blows.
c
Maps showing the border area, the Chinese MRs and nuclear and missile facilities are to be found
in Strategic Survey 1969, pp. 68-69.
3
TABLES
1. ESTIMATES OF COMPARATIVE STRATEGIC STRENGTHS
SS-13 Savage 40
SLBM — Sark 75
(diesel subs)
(1200) (1000)
F-lllA/D f, Su-7 Filter [
A-7D J MiG-23 Foxbaf J
1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970
USA ICBM 18 63 294 424 834 854 904 1054 1054 1054 1054
SLBM 32 96 144 224 416 496 592 656 656 656 656
USSR ICBM 35 50 75 100 200 270 300 460 800 1050 1300
SLBM — some some 100 120 120 125 130 130 160 280
107
2. MAJOR NUCLEAR DELIVERY VEHICLES 1970
(a) MISSILES (USA)
Cruise
missile SSC-1 Shaddock J 290 KT range 1962
Medium-
range
bomber FB-111 3,800 2-2 37,500 — 1970
( d ) AIRCRAFT (USSR)
Long-range Tu-20
bomber Bear 7,800 0-78 40,000 IX Kangaroo 1956
Mya-4
Bison 6,050 0-87 20,000 1956
Medium- Tu-16
range Badger 4,000 0-8 20,000 2xKeltr 1955
bomber
Strike Tu-22
aircraft Blinder 3,000 1-5 12,000 IX Kitchen 1962
(incl. 11-28
short- Beagle 2,500 0-81 6,000 — 1950
range Yak-28
bomber) Brewer 1,750 1-1 ? — 1962
Su-7 Fitter 1,250 1-7 4,500 1961
MiG-23
Foxbat ? 3-0 ? 1969
109
(e) AIRCRAFT (OTHER COUNTRIES)
Defence Defence
Expenditure* Expenditure
1969-70 per capita Defence Expenditure as a
(US$ million) $ percentage of GNP**
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
WARSAW PACT
Bulgaria 234 279 28 3-1 3-0 2-9 2-8
Czechoslovakia 1,576 1,635 109 5-7 5-7 5-7 5-6
East Germany.. 1,873 1,990 116 3-3 3-7 5-7 5-9
Hungary 457 511 44 2-8 2-6 2-9 3-4
Poland 2,009 2,220 62 5-3 5-4 4-8 5-0
Rumania .. .. ... 574 745 29 3-3 3-1 3-0 2-9
t Excluding financial assistance to West Berlin which included would make the entry read:
6,027 6,990 103 4.7 4.9 4.2 4.0
3. DEFENCE EXPENDITURE AINU INAIIUINAL. —conunuea
Defence
Expenditure Defence
1969-70 Expenditure Defence Expenditure as a
US?]million per capita percentage of GNP
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
LATIN AMERICA
Argentina 435 480 18 1-5 1-9 2-1 2-6
Brazil 586 600 6 2-2 1-9 0-0 2-6
Chile 116 167 n.a. 1-9 1-9 1-8 1-7
Colombia 114 n.a. 6 2-0 2-0 n.a. 2-0
Cuba .. .. ;. 275 290 33 7-2 7-6 6-7 6-1
Mexico n.a. 202 n.a. 0-7 0-7 0-7 n.a.
Peru 156 n.a. 12 2-6 2-9 3-2 3-2
Venezuela n.a. 278 n.a. 2-2 2-3 2-1 n.a.
* Column 1 represents the estimated out-turn of market prices the percentages may differ from those
defence expenditure in 1969. Column 2 represents published by national governments and international
planned defence expenditure for the current year, organizations.
in most cases according to the statements of national *** The GNP figure used for the Soviet Union is
governments. explained in the Annex on pp. 10-1
** Since the GNP figures are estimated at current n.a. = not available.
112
Europe
Britain 390,000 — 270,000 10,200,000 3.8
Czechoslovakia 168,000 35,000 500,000 2,800,000 6.0
East Germany . . 129,000 73,500 200,000 2,960,000 4.1
France 506,000 75,000 430,000 9,800,000 5.2
Germany 466,000 18,500 663,000 11,500,000 4.1
Greece 159,000 23,000 200,000 1,775,000 9.0
Italy 413,000 76,000 630,000 10,775,000 3.8
Netherlands 121,250 3,000 190,000 2,520,000 5.0
Poland 242,000 45,000 450,000 6,400,000 3.6
Portugal 185,500 15,000 500,000 1,770,000 10.5
Rumania 181,000 50,000 250,000 4,140,000 4.4
Sweden 82,000 — 545,500 1,510,000 5.4
USSR 3,305,000 230,000 2,100,000 47,600,000 6.9
Middle East
Iran 161,000 40,000 146,000 5,070,000 3.2
Israel 75,000 10,000 225,000 525,000 14.3
Turkey .. 477,500 40,000 570,000 6,500,000 7.3
UAR (Egypt) .. 288,000 90,000 105,000 5,930,000 3.9
Asia and Australasia
Australia 85,050 — 38,070 2,460,000 3.5
China 2,780,000 300,000 1,600,000 150,000,000 1.8
India 930,000 100,000 110,000 110,000,000 0.9
Indonesia 365,000 20,000 65,000 22,600,000 1.6
Japan 259,000 — 36,300 23,600,000 1.0
Pakistan 324,500 225,000 28,000 24,100,000 1.3
Africa
South Africa .. 43,800 61,000 56,000 3,900,000 1.1
North America
Canada 93,325 — 22,900 4,040,000 2.3
USA 3,161,000 -— 1,023,500 37,100,000 8.5
5. CURRENT INTERNATIONAL DEFENCE PRODUCTION PROJECTS
XJ99-RA-1 advanced V/STOL 1965- Britain, United Rolls Royce; Allison Development
lift engine States
RB.153 and RB.193 lift-cruise 1963/1965 Rolls Royce; MAN- Design, develop-
turbofan engines respec- Britain, Germany Turbo ment and pro-
tively duction
RB-172-T-260 (Adour) turbofan 1965- Rolls Royce; Turbomeca Development
for/agwarSSI.ST Britain, France and production
RB-199 turbofan for MRCA 1969- Britain, Germany, Rotar Union (Rolls Development
Italy Royce, Motoren und and production
Turbinen Union, Fiat)
T-112 shaft-turbine for auxiliary 1966- Britain, Germany Rolls Royce (Small Development
power unit role in VFW prototype Engines Division); and production
VAK 191B V/STOL fighter Klockner-Humboldt-Deutz
(C) MISSILES
Martel tele-guided/anti-radar 1964 Britain, France Engins Matra; Hawker Development
air-to-surface missile Siddeley Dynamics; and production
Marconi; Electronique
Marcel Dassault
Milan wire-guided anti-tank 1965 France, Germany Nord; Messerschmitt- Development
missile Bolkow-Blohm and production
JTOTwire-guided anti-tank 1965 France, Germany Nord; Messerschmitt- Development
missile Bolkow-Blohm
Roland surface-to-air missile 1966 France, Germany Nord; Messerschmitt- Development
Bolkow-Blohm and production
(D) ELECTRONICS
NATO Air Defence Ground 1967- Britain, France, NADGECO consortium Development This integrated
Environment (NADGE) infra- Germany, Italy, (Marconi, Thomson-CSF, and production air defence
structure the Netherlands, Telefunken, Selenia, system is due for
the United States* Hollandse Signaal- completion in
apparaten, Hughes 1971
Aircraft)
(E) GUNS
1967 Britain, Germany Vickers, Rheinmetall, Development
r 155mm towed Faunwerke and production
1970 Britain, Germany Vickers, Rheinmetall, Development
^Self-propelled version Porsche and production
GENERAL NOTE. In this table, unless otherwise may be found in Table 13 of C. J. E. Harlow's paper
footnoted, the term 'current international defence The European Armaments Base: A Survey, Part I:
production' comprehends those projects in which all Economic Aspects of Defence Procurement, 'Defence,
participating countries are making a positive tech- Technology and the Western Alliance', No. 2
nological contribution to production, and are likely (London: Institute for Strategic Studies, 1967).
to procure the end-product for national use.
Figures appearing in the column headed 'Years' * Of the 6 nations making major technological
indicate the date from which practical collabor- contributions to the programme, 2 - Britain and the
ative work on projects commenced, and do not take United States - will not derive any direct improve-
account of the timing of political initiatives or agree- ments in their national systems, though the British
ments, which may have been prior or subsequent air-defence network will interface with NADGE.
to the period stated above, or of previous work by Sub-contractors in - other NATO nations are
individual companies. numerous.
Details of similar projects which have now finished
o\
Austria Sweden July 1969 Saab 1050E 20 light attack/trainer 15.5 1970-72
Denmark Sweden July 1969 torpedoes — — 16* n.a.
Finland Sweden 1970 Saab J-35XS 12 jet fighter 46 1974
Greece West Germany 1969/1970 Noratlas 40 transport n.a. n.a.
Italy United States 1970 C-130 Hercules 14 transport 60 1971
United States 1969 and 1970 destroyers 3 0.45 1969-70
Norway Sweden July 1969 torpedoes 16* n.a.
Portugal France January 1970 SA-330 Puma 4 helicopter n.a. n.a.
Spain France February 1970 Mirage IIIE/B 30 interceptor/trainer 90 1972-74
Turkey United States October and destroyers 3 0.45 1969-70
November 1969
United States 1970 destroyers 2 loan n.a.
United States 1970 submarines 2 loan n.a.
Abu Dhabi Britain August 1969 Hunter 76/76A 12 fighter-bomber/ n.a. 1970-
reconnaissance/
trainer
Algeria France July 1969 Fouga Magister 28 armed jet trainer 9.6 n.a.
France August 1969 SA-330 Puma 15 helicopter n.a. n.a.
Iran Italy 1970 CH-47C Chinook 22 helicopter n.a. n.a.
Britain May 1970 Rapier and ancil- surface-to-air missile 112.8 n.a.
lary systems
Israel United States 1969 SP howitzers — n.a. 1970
Jordan Britain March 1970 Hunter FGA-73 4 fighter-bomber n.a. n.a.
Lebanon France October 1969 Crotale — surface-to-air missile n.a. 1971-
Libya United States August 1969 C-130 Hercules 6 transport n.a. 1970-71
France January 1970 Mirage HIDIE/R; 5 110 trainer/interceptor 400+ 1971-75
Soviet Union 1969/70 armour and artillery n.a. n.a. n.a.
Muscat and Britain April 1970 Skyvan 3-M 1 tactical transport n.a. 1970
Oman
Qatar Britain January 1970 Tigercat surface-to-air missile n.a. n.a.
Britain October 1969 Hunter 6 fighter-bomber n.a. n.a.
Saudi Arabia Britain 1969 air-cushion vehicles n.a. coast-guard duties 12 n.a.
UAR Soviet Union 1969-70 SA-3 Goa 80 launchers surface-to-air missile n.a. 1970
Soviet Union 1969-70 MiG-21 150 fighter-bomber n.a. 1970
Soviet Union 1969-70 Su-7 16 + fighter-bomber n.a. 1970
Major Identified Arms Agreements (contd.)
(c) SOUTH ASIA
( d ) SOUTH-EAST ASIA
Australia United States June 1970 F-4E Phantom 24 fighter-bomber (2-year n.a.
loan)
36
Taiwan United States 1970 Nike-Hercules 1 battery surface-to-air missile grant aid n.a.
United States 1970 F-100 Super Sabre 34 fighter grant aid 1970
United States 1969 F-104 Starfighter 18 fighter grant aid 1970
United States 1970 C-119 30 transport grant aid 1970
United States 1970 medium tanks 50 grant aid 1970
United States 1970 howitzers 120 grant aid 1970
United States 1970 submarines 3 5-year loan n.a.
United States 1969 destroyers 4 lm 1969-70
Thailand United States November 1969 OV-10A Bronco 16 COIN n.a. 1970-
Britain October 1969 frigate 1 16.8 n.a.
( e ) LATIN AMERICA
( g ) NORTH AMERICA
To cite this article: (1970) Appendix: Fissile material, The Military Balance, 70:1, 121-126, DOI: 10.1080/04597227008459803
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APPENDIX: FISSILE MATERIAL
BACKGROUND
Fissile material, the primary raw material of nuclear energy, has many civil uses.
In some of its forms, it is also the basis for military programmes. Without it, the
production of nuclear weapons is at present impossible, as is the sustenance of
propulsion reactors for submarines or naval surface vessels.
A fusion weapon ('H-bomb') requires a fission weapon ('A-bomb') to trigger its
explosive energy. Fission weapons or fission triggers for fusion weapons require a
sufficient quantity of either fissile uranium or fissile plutonium. Of the two main
uranium isotopes which can be used to initiate fission (U-233, U-235), U-233, which
does not exist in nature, has so far attracted little interest for weapon purposes. Of
the two main plutonium isotopes (Pu-239, Pu-240), neither of which exists in nature,
Pu-240 is unsuitable for the initiation of a fission explosion. Primary attention, for
military purposes, therefore focuses upon U-235 and Pu-239. In present circumstances,
no country can begin or sustain a nuclear weapons programme without access to one
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of these isotopes.
U-235
Only about seven atoms of every 1,000 in the uranium found in nature consist of
U-235.1 Before uranium can be used in a weapon, this proportion must be increased
very considerably, normally to over 90 per cent of U-235, in a specialized enrichment
plant.
Almost all uranium enrichment has so far been carried out by a process known as
gaseous diffusion. In this method, refined natural uranium is converted into uranium
hexafluoride gas (UF6) and is then diffused through a series of membranes which
transmit the lighter molecules, rich in U-235, more readily than the heavier molecules,
rich in U-238. Because of the number of membrane stages they must contain in order
to achieve significant enrichment, and because of the quantity of ancillary equipment
which they require, gaseous diffusion plants are very big. They also consume extremely
large amounts of electric power. Moreover, their construction and operation become
painfully uneconomical below a very high level of capacity. For all these reasons,
they are the prerogative of wealthy countries with a requirement for a large enrich-
ment capacity. Nevertheless, the only full-scale production plants in the world for
the enrichment of uranium are those of the gaseous diffusion type which exist in the
United States, the Soviet Union, Britain, France and China, all of which are nuclear
weapon states.2 Available details of those in the United States, Britain and France
are given in the Table on p. 122. No details are available of the plants in the Soviet
Union and China.
The Table on p. 122 also gives figures, in megawatts (MW), for the power levels
at which gaseous diffusion plants operate. In terms of electricity consumption, these
1
The exact proportions are: U-238: 99·283%.
U-235: 0·711%.
U-234: 0·006%.
2
Alternative methods, which have not yet emerged from research and development, include the use
of gas centrifuges and of separation 'nozzles'. There have been rumours that China has used a variety
of enrichment methods, including gas centrifugation, but these cannot be substantiated. South Africa
claimed in July 1970 to have developed a 'unique' enrichment process, but no details of it have been
revealed.
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Notes:
° kgSW/yr = kilograms of separative, work per year (see explanation on p. 123).
* Based on (a) electric power costs, (b) capital charges (including amortisation), (c) labour costs and (d) running costs and contingencies.
c
Theoretical figures, based upon constant application of maximum capacity to production at this enrichment.
<* At present, US plants are operating at a total power level of only about 2,000 MW and with an output of only about 4,450,000 kgSW/yr (equivalent
to a theoretical maximum of about 19,500 kg/yr of 90% U-235).
• The high enrichment stages of the Capenhurst plant were shut down in 1962. If they were reactivated, or if the plant were otherwise adapted to
the production of 90% U-235, its maximum output would be likely to be 1,500-2,000 kg/yr.
123
figures are enormous. The three plants in the United States, for example, would con-
sume about 52,500 million kilowatt hours (kWh) a year when operating at full load,
which is approximately equal to the total electricity consumption of Australia.
Any enrichment plant is capable, in theory, of enriching natural uranium to the
extent required for weapon purposes. The degree of enrichment needed in the fuel
for most current power reactors (1-5 per cent of U-235) is, however, a great deal
less than this, and enrichment plants intended only to provide the material for such
fuel are likely to require adaptation before they can produce weapons-grade uranium.
Because the extent to which any particular batch of uranium is enriched is a direct
function of the number of plant stages through which the UF 6 gas has been passed,
the total capacity of an enrichment plant cannot be expressed in quantities produced;
a great deal more low-enriched uranium than high-enriched uranium can be produced
in a given period. The capacity of enrichment plants is therefore stated in terms of
'kilograms of separative work', which is not a measure of quantity but a measure of
the effort expended in the plant in order to achieve a particular level of enrichment
in a particular amount of uranium. A plant can produce in weapons-grade material
only between one-fiftieth and one-hundredth of the quantity which it can produce
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of material suitable for a typical power reactor.. In order to give some indication of
the military utility of existing gaseous diffusion plants, the figures for their capacity
in kilograms of separative work have therefore been accompanied by figures which
show the theoretical maximum quantity of 90 per cent enriched uranium which each
could produce in a year.
Pu-239
Plutonium is an element which does not exist in nature. It comes into being when the
most common isotope of uranium, U-238, captures neutrons released during the
fission process which takes place in a reactor. Before it can be used for any purpose,
plutonium has to be extracted, in a specialised fuel reprocessing plant, from the fuel
elements which have been irradiated in a reactor. If it is to be used in weapons, it
must thereafter be converted, through a number of stages, into plutonium metal.
These processes require elaborate and expensive equipment.
Details of the principal fuel reprocessing plants in the non-Communist world are
given in the Table on p. 124. (Again, no details are available of the plants in Warsaw
Pact countries or in China.) All these plants have the ability to separate plutonium
from the other materials in irradiated fuel elements. The capacity of each plant is
given in terms of the quantity of irradiated fuel material which it can handle in a
year, expressed in metric tons (MT).3 The amount of plutonium which this represents
will vary widely with the nature of the fuel which is being reprocessed. In the first
place, since plutonium is derived from U-238 but not from the fissile U-235, the
maximum amount of plutonium in a given quantity of high-enriched uranium fuel
will be less than the maximum amount in the same quantity of low-enriched fuel,
and still less than that in natural uranium fuel. In the second place, the proportion of
the U-238 converted to plutonium is a function of the period and intensity of the fuel's
use ('burn-up') in the reactor. The higher the 'burn-up', the greater will be the propor-
tion of plutonium. As a rough guide, the fuel withdrawn from current power reactors
operating at full power will yield between five and nine kilograms of plutonium for
every metric ton of irradiated uranium reprocessed. For reasons explained below,
fuel elements from special plutonium production reactors will yield much lower
proportions, probably of the order of 1—1-J- kilograms per metric ton. Lower yields
3
1 metric ton (MT) = 1,000 kilograms.
124
2. FUEL REPROCESSING PLANTS IN THE NON-COMMUNIST WORLD"
Capital Plutonium
Date of cost Capacity production
Country Location completion ($m.) (MT U/yr)6 (kg/yr)« Remarks
Notes
° Only operational plants with a capacity for plutonium extraction have been included.
" MT U/yr = metric tons of contained uranium, in irradiated fuel elements, per year. Actual throughput
varies widely with different fuel types.
c
Except in the case of pilot plants (Buenos Aires, Moncloa) and purely military plants (Savannah River,
Hanford, Marcoule) figures are based on 8 kg. of plutonium per metric ton of uranium processed.
d
The Mol plant (Eurochemic) is owned jointly by 13 member countries of the European Nuclear Energy
Agency (ENEA).
' The Dounreay plant reprocesses fuel from fast breeder reactors; its plutonium production will depend
upon the nature of the fuel involved.
will also be obtained from fuel used in running a commercial reactor up to full power,
because such fuel is normally withdrawn more quickly than in the case of subsequent
loadings.
The plutonium isotope which produces explosive power in a fission weapon is
Pu-239. Irradiated reactor fuels also, however, contain other isotopes of plutonium,
and especially the Pu-240 isotope. The proportions in which these different isotopes
are present will vary, primarily as a function of the degree of 'burn-up' to which
the fuel has been subjected. In general, fuel from current power reactors running
economically and at full power will yield plutonium which contains up to 20 per cent
of Pu-240, almost all the remainder being Pu-239. Fuel elements withdrawn more
quickly, after a lesser degree of 'burn-up', will contain a smaller proportion of Pu-240
(but will also contain smaller total amounts of plutonium).
Pu-240, in addition to being intensely toxic, has other undesirable properties. In
particular, it is subject to a degree of spontaneous fission. For that reason, the most
efficient plutonium for weapon purposes is that which contains the minimum propor-
tion of Pu-240 possible. The natural uranium fuel elements used in special plutonium-
125
production reactors within existing nuclear weapon programmes are therefore with-
drawn after a very low 'burn-up', at which stage the inevitably small quantity of
plutonium they contain is almost pure Pu-239.
Although Pu-240 is an undesirable constituent of plutonium for weapon purposes,
the common belief that any significant proportion of Pu-240 makes the material
unusable in weapons is mistaken. From the point of view of efficiency, explosive
yield and ease and safety of handling, pure Pu-239 is the ideal, and the existing nuclear
weapon states, with special production reactors, will always aim for this objective.
Provided some compromise on these characteristics is acceptable, however, there is no
reason why weapons should not be made from plutonium containing proportions of
plutonium as high as the 20 per cent yielded by some current power reactors or the
30 per cent which may be yielded by future reactors. For this reason, the Table on
p. 124 shows estimated quantities of plutonium of all grades which might be produced
from the reprocessing plants listed. The actual quantity produced will depend, in
large part, upon the output of irradiated fuel from reactors. It has been estimated
that reactors in the non-Communist world will generate over 5,500 kilograms of
plutonium during 1970.
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NUCLEAR WEAPONS
Although estimates exist in published literature, there is no simple figure for the
minimum quantity of U-235 or Pu-239 which could initiate a fission explosion. A
great deal depends upon the quality of the engineering available. The quantity of
U-235 necessary is likely to be about 16 kilograms, whereas, using efficient com-
pression and neutron reflection, about 3 kilograms of Pu-239 might be enough. In
general, however, lesser skill and experience will make larger quantities necessary.
Because, with present technology, a U-235 or Pu-239 fission device is needed to
trigger a fusion weapon ('H-bomb'), the attention has here been focused on these
materials.4 It must be remembered, however, that fusion itself requires deuterium
and either tritium or lithium. Deuterium and lithium are readily available and rela-
tively cheap, but tritium has to be produced, by special techniques, in a reactor or
atomic pile.
No country can make nuclear weapons without access to the product of either a
uranium enrichment plant or a fuel reprocessing plant suitable for the extraction of
plutonium. Without such access, a country's natural uranium reserves and the size,
number and output of its power reactors are all irrelevant to military purposes.
Many countries which do not have enrichment plants require enriched uranium for
their power or research reactors. In almost all cases, however, the proportion of U-235
present in their fuel is between 1 and 5 percent.5 The material is thus useless for weapons
purposes.
4
For technical reasons, U-23S has normally been used for the fission trigger of fusion weapons.
5
Three power reactors in the United States use uranium enriched to over 90 per cent in U-235.
Elsewhere, the only power reactor using uranium enriched to such a high level is a pilot reactor at
Jülich in the Federal German Republic, the fuel for which is obtained, under safeguards, from the
United States. A number of reactors for research or the testing of materials also use highly enriched
uranium fuels, although the quantities involved are small.
126
Any country which operates a reactor must have its irradiated fuel reprocessed and,
if this has to be done outside its own jurisdiction, will normally expect the products
of reprocessing, including plutonium, to be returned to it. It must therefore be assumed
that any country operating a reactor will have access to some quantity offissilematerial,
in the form of plutonium, within six months of withdrawing irradiated fuel from it.
In these circumstances, the primary guarantee against illicit diversion of such
material to weapons purposes lies in the safeguards which operators of enrichment
and reprocessing plants have applied to their exports. For practical reasons, safeguards
may have to be imposed at a number of stages in the handling of fissile material.
The critical stages will always, however, be the enrichment and reprocessing plants
themselves, from which the primary materials for a weapons programme must
originate.
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