Portfolio Request

From: Russian Federation

Date: 9th March 2023

Operation: Illusion

Objective: Mobilizing the spare capacity and troops of the Russian armed forces to western
Ukraine, to cut off Ukrainian forces from the Black Sea by feigning a northern offensive
followed up with a surprise western offensive starting from Odesa. The already limited troops of
Ukraine will be compelled to demilitarize Eastern Ukraine to meet the Russian forces to the
west, creating a strategic gap in the eastern front lines and an opportunity for Russian forces to
liberate and pacify Mykolaiv and Southern Ukraine.

Budget: $15bn USD

Operation Launch: 14th March 2023
Estimated Operation Duration: 21 Days from impact

Required Forces:

• Navy: Black Sea fleet, 205th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, 11th Separate Assault Brigade,
under the command of Vice Admiral Viktor Nikolayevich Sokolov

• Army: ;108th Guards Air Assault Regiment, 19th Separate Spetsnaz Company, 1st Guards
Rocket Brigade, 32nd Engineer-Sapper Regiment, 137th Reconnaissance Battalion, 165th
Medical Battalion, 413th Communications Battalion 330th Engineering Battalion 1088th
Logistics Battalion 12th Guards Tank Regiment 13th Guards Tank Regiment, 138th Separate
Guards Motor Rifle Brigade
Under the Command of General Valery Gerasimov

• Air Force: 4th Air and Air Defence Forces Army under the command of Lieutenant General
Nikolai Vasilyevich Gostev

Deployment (Existing formations) :

1) Naval Forces:
• Attack Submarines under the 4th Independent Submarine Brigade:
i) Improved Kilo Class: B-271 Kolpino, B-268 Veliky Novgorod, B-265 Krasnodar
ii) Kilo Class: В-871 Alrosa
• Guided Missile Frigates under the 30th Surface Ship Division

i) Admiral Grigorovich Class Frigates:

Admiral Grigorovich, Admiral Essen, Admiral Makarov

• Landing Ships and Crafts under the 197th Assault Ship Brigade

i) Ivan Gren-Class: Pyotr Morgunov

ii) Alligator Class: Nikolay Filchenkov, Orsk, Dmrizhia Kratorsk, Devstrok, Sochnik
iii) Ropucha-II Class: Azov, Chuikov, Yevnov
iv) Ropucha-I Class: Novocherkassk, Caesar, Kunikov, Yamal

v) Dyugon Class: Ataman Platov, Denis Davydov, Ivan Kartsov

v) Ondatra Class: D-105, D-106, D-107,
vi) BK-16 Class: D-296, D-297, D-298

• Anti-Submarine Warfare Corvettes under the 68th Coastal Defense Ship Brigade

i) Grisha I Class: Alexandrovets

ii) Grisha II Class: Suzdalets
iii) Grisha III Class: Muromets

• Seagoing Minesweeper under the 150th Minesweeper Task Force

i) Alexandrit Class: Ivan Antonov, Vladimir Emelyanov, Georgy Kurbatov

• Guided Missile Corvettes under the 166th Novorossiysk Small Missile Boat Division
i) Buyan-M Class: Ingushetiya, Grayvoron

• Minesweepers under the 170th Minesweeper Division

i) Gorya Class: Anatoliy Zheleznyakov
ii) Natya Class: Valentin Pikul

2) Ground Forces

• Paratroopers: 6200 (108th Guards Air Assault Regiment and 19th Separate Spetsnaz Company)
• Infantry: 16000 (205th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade and 11th Separate Assault Brigade)
• Artillery: 7000 (1st Guards Rocket Brigade)
• Armored : 10000 (12th and 13th Guards Tank Regiments)
• Engineers: 6000 (32nd Engineer-Sapper Regiment and 330th Engineering Battalion)
• Support: 4000 ( 137th Reconnaissance Battalion, 165th Medical Battalion, 413th
Communications Battalion, 1088th Logistics Battalion)
• Feign Infantry: 7000 (138th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade)

Total Troops: 56,200

3) Airforce:
• Bombers:
i) 3 squadrons to be deployed. Each Squadron will have 12 bombers:
Su-34 (3), Su-24 (3), Tu-95 (6)

Total Bombers to be deployed: 36

• Fighter Jets:
i) 3 squadrons to be deployed. Each Squadron will have 16 fighters
Su-35 (4), Su-30 (4), Mig-29 (8)

Additional fighters: Su-27 (5), Mig-31 (2)

Total fighters to be deployed: 55

• Attack Helicopters:

i) Kamov Ka-52 (18), Mil Mi-24 (30)

Total Attack Helicopters to be deployed: 48

• Airborne early warning and control aircraft:

i) Beriev A-50 (3)

Total AEW&C aircraft to be deployed: 3

• Drones:

i) Reconnaissance: Orion UAV (18)

Total UAVs to be deployed: 3

ii) Loitering Munition: Geran-2, 8 swarms consisting of 15 drones in each swarm

Total Geran -2 Drones to be deployed: 120

Plan of action;

1. The submarines B-271 Kolpino, B-268 Veliky Novgorod, and B-265 Krasnodar are to be
detached on a stealth patrol coordinates Geo (45.226359, 29.763720) to Geo (46.597181,
31.155556) from 1600 hours to monitor Ukrainian naval activities in the region and report to
HQ, while В-871 Alrosa monitors coordinates Geo (42.955429, 28.928023) to Geo (43.409361,
33.116723). Submarines B-271 Kolpino, B-268 Veliky Novgorod, and B-265 Krasnodar are to
standby for the arrival of the main naval force consisting of guided missile frigates Admiral
Grigorovich, Admiral Essen, and Admiral Makarov alongside anti-submarine corvettes
Alexandrovets, Suzdalets, and Muromets with guided missile corvettes Ingushetiya and
Grayvoron alongside minesweepers Anatoliy Zheleznyakov and Valentin Pikul.

2. 138th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade is to advance to Pripyat from the Belarussian
border, along with Mig-29 (5), Su-35 (2) and Orion UAVs (3) are to feign a northern attack on
Kyiv, diverting Ukrainian troops to the north and identifying location and troop concentrations in
Northern Ukraine. 138th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade along with the Mig-29s and
Su-35s are to avoid contact and retreat immediately once resistance from the Kyiv regime is
faced and the Ukraine army is met.
3. Ground Troops from 205th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade, 11th Separate Assault Brigade,
1st Guards Rocket Brigade, 32nd Engineer-Sapper Regiment, 137th Reconnaissance Battalion,
165th Medical Battalion, 413th Communications Battalion 330th Engineering Battalion 1088th
Logistics Battalion 12th Guards Tank Regiment and 13th Guards Tank Regiment will be
arranged and deployed to the shores of Odessa in 5 waves using the landing ships and crafts
under the 197th Assault Ship Brigade where 8600 troops and equipment are to be allocated in
each wave.

4. The marine assault will begin at 1700 hours with the first wave, being assisted by the naval
fire and artillery on strategic locations and hostile concentrations near the beach and coastlines.
The navy is to jointly coordinate with the air force and deploy all 8 swarms of Geran-2 drones
which are to be spread out to target and destroy Ukrainian radar systems and air defense in
Odesa.

5. Each wave of troops is to be sent at a 15-minute interval. Once the concentration of air defense
is neutralized by the Geran-2 Drones, it shall be followed by the deployment of Orion UAV (15)
and Mil Mi-24 Attack Helicopters (30), and Beriev A-50 (3). The UAVs are to assist the ground
forces, naval fire, and attack helicopters to identify and neutralize hostile targets. The air
saturation shall further be supported by the deployment of the 3 squadrons of bombers at three
different points in the city, to identify and destroy strategic locations and hostile concentrations.
This will then be followed up by the deployment of the 3 squadrons of fighter jets to defend
against hostile air assaults, further reconnoiter the city, and establish air superiority over the city.

6. 19th Separate Spetsnaz Company consisting of 150 commandos is to be transported using 18

Kamov Ka-52 Stealth Attack helicopters at 1830 hours. They are to be deployed deep inside
enemy lines and split into two contingents: the West and East contingents. The West contingent
consisting of 70 commandos is to be deployed on the outskirts of Revova while the Ka-52 uses
its S-8 and S-13 rockets to obliterate the strategic crossroad at Geo (47.262922, 30.309614). The
Eastern contingent consisting of 80 commandos is to be deployed near Podillia while its carrier
Ka-52 again uses its armaments to obliterate the crossroad at Geo (47.301959, 31.164958).
Using the cover of night, the Spetsnaz Company is to conduct guerrilla activities and restrict aid
and access via northern roads which directly connect to Kyiv. They are to block the road using
mines, debris, vehicles (etc.) and make the usage of the road ineffective
7. Shortly after, using the cover of the dark, paratroopers from the 108th Guards Air Assault
Regiment are to be deployed in a scattered fashion from Illinka to Altestove to Kurhan to
Rozselenets. They are to conduct guerilla activities and block Ukrainian access via the E95,
M16, and M15 highways, respectively.

8. Blocking the northern route and highways, the Ukrainian high command will be compelled to
relocate troops from Kherson Oblast to reinforce Odesa and face the Russian forces. Hence, 5
days post the amphibious assault, the existing Russian forces of Kherson Oblast are to push and
lay siege to Kherson while moving up Northwest to the Eastern side of Mykolaiv as soon as
possible.
9. 108th Guards Air Assault Regiment and 19th Separate Spetsnaz Company are to continue
conducting guerilla warfare while converging in toward Odessa. Odessa will be liberated due to
the increasing saturation of the Russian forces converging from both sides, ineffective
communication, radar, and air defense systems with relentless Russian air support.

10. Once Odesa falls, Russian forces are to converge from Odesa to the western side of
Mykolaiv. The pre-existing Kherson front from the east and the Russian forces from the west is
to converge to the city of Mykolaiv. Having full control of the Black Sea, the Russian navy
guided missile frigates and corvettes are to move up the Pivdennyi river to attack Mykolaiv using
a three-prong pincer attack from the south, west, and the east
11. Russian forces are to quickly move in from all three directions and liberate the city of
Mykolaiv to establish southern hegemony over Ukraine.

Standby:

• 28th Guards Rocket Division

• 52nd Guards Heavy Bomber Aviation Regiment