Lozano Minguez2011
Lozano Minguez2011
Renewable Energy
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/renene
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: Wind power, especially offshore, is considered one of the most promising sources of ‘clean’ energy
Received 10 March 2011 towards meeting the EU and UK targets for 2020 and 2050. Deployment of wind turbines in constantly
Accepted 17 April 2011 increasing water depths has raised the issue of the appropriate selection of the most suitable support
Available online 6 May 2011
structures’ options. Based on experience and technology from the offshore oil and gas industry, several
different configurations have been proposed for different operational conditions. This paper presents
Keywords:
a methodology for the systematic assessment of the selection of the most preferable, among the different
TOPSIS method
configurations, support structures for offshore wind turbines, taking into consideration several attributes
Multi-criteria decision making
Jacket
through the widely used multi-criteria decision making method TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference
Monopile by Similarity to Ideal Solution) for the benchmarking of those candidate options. An application
Tripod offshore support structure comparing a monopile, a tripod and a jacket, for a reference 5.5 MW wind turbine and a reference depth
Offshore wind turbines of 40 m, considering multiple engineering, economical and environmental attributes, will illustrate the
effectiveness of the proposed methodology.
Ó 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
0960-1481/$ e see front matter Ó 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.renene.2011.04.020
2832 E. Lozano-Minguez et al. / Renewable Energy 36 (2011) 2831e2837
Table 2
Soil characteristics.
3. Design attributes
Table 4 Table 6
Optimized monopile design. Optimized jacket design.
Length (m) Diameter (m) Thickness (m) Length (m) Diameter (m) Thickness (m)
Tower Top 87.6 4.1 0.013 Tower 87.6 5.1e7.02 0.02e0.028
Tower Base 87.6 6 0.021 Braces Hor. 1 16.4e24.8 2.1 0.016
Transition Piece 10 7 0.04 Brace Diagonal 1 22.69e27.30 2.1 0.016
Pile 35 þ 40 7 0.04 Braces Hor. Long 1 23.19e42.42 2.1 0.016
Piles 33.3 5 0.04
Table 8 Table 10
CO2 emissions for different support structures. Total surface of each structural option.
Mass of steel (kg) N2O (kg) CH4 (kg) CO (kg) CO2e (kg) Monopile Tripod Jacket
Monopile 811565 57 32 755 17191 Total surface (m2) 1100 3857 8787
Tripod 1689552 118 68 1571 35788
Jacket 2447038 171 98 2276 51833
than private sector projects [38], due to the fact that they can pool
For the derivation of the amount of energy produced per year, it risks [39] and can borrow at far lower rates [38].
is important to introduce the two important concepts of availability Within the scope of this study, a public/private partnership will
and load factor. Wind turbine availability is its capability to operate be considered and a 6% discount rate will be applied. Once all PVs
when the wind is blowing and, for modern European machines, is have been calculated, the sum of discounted gains will be checked
in the range of 98% [31] or 95% as a more conservative approach. to see whether it exceeds the sum of discounted losses, accepting
The load factor is the ratio of the net amount of electricity gener- projects with an NPV greater than 1. The wind turbines’ value for
ated to the net amount which it could have generated if it were each different support structure configuration and the corre-
operating at its net output capacity e usually around 30% [32]. sponding NPVs are presented in Table 11.
For the theoretical wind farm under consideration, a total
output of 411,939 MWh will be assumed based on typical 5.5 MW 3.2.3. Sensitivity analysis
wind turbines that are adopted by [33], having an approximate cost This section will investigate the contribution of different
of 4 M£. The cost of electricity generation is selected as 9 p£/kWh parameters in the derived value of NPV. The first analysis will
based on [34] and [35], while the costs of the support structures is consider the cost of electricity for each offshore wind turbine type.
assumed to be £1500 per tonne [33], including steel costs, fabri- This is an important step because adding wind into the power mix
cation costs and protection against corrosion. The operational will have a significant influence on the resulting price of electricity.
expenditure (OPEX) cost of maintaining an offshore wind farm is in The cost of generating electricity for the monopile wind farm is
the range of 23% of the capital expenditure (CAPEX) cost [33], 5.03 p/kWh, for the tripod wind farm is 5.96 p/kWh, and for the
spread over the life cycle. Obviously initial costs will be low because jacket wind farm is 6.77 p/kWh; which are in accordance with the
of warranty and final costs will be higher as the farm comes to the average cost of generating electricity mentioned elsewhere.
end of its life, therefore it will be assumed that costs are spread Therefore, these projects would be profitable even with a fall of
following a linear increase from year 1. The costs of the electrical 2.2 p/kWh of selling price, which according to the Department of
infrastructure correspond to the costs of copper offshore and Energy and Climate Change (DECC) is unlikely [40].
onshore cables, cable laying, meteorological masts, a Supervisory As mentioned earlier, the discount rate is a crucial parameter in
Control And Data Acquisition (SCADA) system, and the onshore determining whether the PV is positive or negative, so the second
electrical works are based on [33] and [36]. Costs for transportation analysis was to calculate the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) for each of
and installation of the foundations of a wind turbine are based on the three proposed projects. IRR is the interest rate at which the
[33], appropriately incorporating potential downtime due to NPV of a project is zero [41]. The results of this analysis are pre-
extreme weather conditions. Installation of scour protection and sented in Fig. 3, proving that an increase in the discount rate
a cost for decommissioning has been included in the study and are implies a decrease in the NPV. Further it is derived that all projects
based on [33] and [37]. For the total derived costs for each wind are likely to receive private investment, since all the IRRs are
turbine, a cost breakdown chart can be formulated and this is greater than the cost of capital.
presented in Fig. 2, illustrating that the support structures cost
represents 15% of the total costs for the monopile wind farm, while 4. TOPSIS Method
for the jacket wind farm it represents 33% of the total costs.
4.1. Multi-criteria decision analysis
3.2.2. Net present value (NPV)
This parameter will convert the total cost of the service life of As mentioned in the introduction and noted throughout this study,
the structure to present value. The present value (PV) of a benefit or the selection of the optimum choice should be based on several
cost (X) is calculated as follows for t years and a discount rate of i: attributes; for instance, monopile is economically the best option but
it is the worst option for increasing biodiversity. Hence, a Multi-
h i
PV ðXt Þ ¼ Xt ð1 þ iÞt criteria decision analysis (MCDA) method can be employed, capable
of providing the best sustainable alternative in this decision making
The further in time a benefit or cost happens, the lower the (DM) process which has conflicting attributes. MCDA methods have
discount factor [(1 þ i)t] and the present value is. This is justified as been widely applied in DM for sustainable energy because of the
there is a level of uncertainty associated with the costs and benefits complexity of socio-economic and biophysical systems and the multi-
in the future, hence there is an expressed preference to obtain goods dimensionality of the sustainability target [13].
and services now, rather than later [29]. Therefore, the choice of
discount rate is of critical importance in determining whether the 4.2. Application of the TOPSIS method
PV is positive or negative. There is considerable controversy about
whether public sector projects should be discounted at a lower rate The TOPSIS method is a powerful MCDA method used
commonly in optimization problems, and has been chosen from the
Table 9
Affected soil volume. Table 11
Values of different support structures.
Number of piles Length Radius Area Volume
Length (m) (m) (m) (m2) (m3) NPV (£)
Monopile 1 40 3.5 38.5 1539.4 Monopile 187,682,531
Tripod 3 35 1.8 10.2 1068.8 Tripod 143,628,070
Jacket 4 30 2.5 19.6 2356.2 Jacket 105,570,459
E. Lozano-Minguez et al. / Renewable Energy 36 (2011) 2831e2837 2835
j: 1, ., n
rij: value of the component that resides in row i and in column j
of the normalized matrix
Next, criteria weights (wj) have to be determined to indicate
their relative importance and to calculate the weighted normalized
values (vij) through:
vij ¼ wj rij
Artificial reefs; this positive criterion, i.e. the higher the better,
aims to represent the increment of biodiversity provided by
additional substrata for colonization.
Certification is a positive parameter; it shows if the support
structure has already been certified for wind turbines or not.
Considering a value of 1 if it has, 0.5 if not but it has already
been certified for the same structure used in the offshore oil
and gas industry, and 0 if it has not.
CO2e emission is a negative attribute, i.e. the higher emissions
reflect the amount of CO2e emissions produced for the fabri-
cation of the different support structures.
Depth compatibility is a negative criterion, representing the
compatibility of each support structure with 40 m water depth. It
is scored as 1 if 40 m depth is within the range of reference depth,
2 if it is within the extended range of reference depth: [minimum
reference value*0,75 e maximum reference value*1.25], and 3 if
it is not within the extended range of reference depth.
Maximum displacement is a negative parameter representing
the resistance of the structure to lateral displacement as
Fig. 3. IRRs for proposed farms. a result of the forces acting on it.
2836 E. Lozano-Minguez et al. / Renewable Energy 36 (2011) 2831e2837
Durability is a positive criterion, related to the resistance to the present study, the weight vector will be based on the experi-
age-related deterioration. It is marked with values between 1 ence of the experts in this field within the Cranfield Offshore
and 5, obtained from [14], depending on the exposure to Renewable Energy Group. The relative importance of each criterion
corrosion and consequences of fatigue. was determined by a questionnaire based on a Likert scale. With
NPV is a positive attribute that shows the economic benefit of this technique, the responder specifies a level of agreement or
selling energy according to the type of offshore wind farm. disagreement to the concept under study, using one of a number of
Maximum von Mises Stress is a negative criterion chosen to positions on a five-point Likert scale [44]. In this particular case, the
account for the suitability of the support structures, as it relates meaning of Likert scale levels was modified, running from 1-Not
to the ductileebrittle transition [43]. important to 5-Very Important.
Water turbidity, is a negative attribute aiming to represent
disturbance to the seabed caused by the support structure. 4.4. Application
Based on the above analysis, the initial Decision Matrix is defined as:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Monopile 1100 1 17191 3 2.37 4 187,682,531 177.6 1539
Tripod 3857 1 35788 1 3.30 5 143,628,070 184 1069
Jacket 8787 1 51833 1 2.69 5 105,570,459 223.8 2356
Results from the averaging of the questionnaires construct the weights vector.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
0.65 0.65 0.91 0.91 0.87 1.00 1.00 0.83 0.74
The derived Positive and Negative Ideal Solutions are derived as:
A+ 0.59 0.38 0.24 0.28 0.42 0.62 0.68 0.43 0.26
A- 0.07 0.38 0.72 0.83 0.59 0.49 0.47 0.54 0.58
Weights influence directly the DM result and are based on the From the calculation of the relative closeness of each
practical engineering expertise of the decision makers; conse- support structure to the ideal solution, the tripod was found to
quently, the more experienced the decision makers are, the more provide the best option (0.61) against the monopile (0.44) and
objective the result. Although most of the attributes can be the jacket structure (0.55). Further to this analysis, a sensitivity
expressed in quantitative terms, this is every demanding task. For analysis was executed, considering equal weights (1); this study
E. Lozano-Minguez et al. / Renewable Energy 36 (2011) 2831e2837 2837
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