DECISION MAKING Unit-2 BCA 1st Semester
DECISION MAKING Unit-2 BCA 1st Semester
Introduction
Decision making is an indispensible component of management process
and manager’s life which is filled with making decisions after decisions.
Managers see decision making as their central job because they constantly
choose what is to be done, who is to do, when to do, where to do, and how
to do. Looking at the role of decision making in management, William
Moore has equated it with management when he says that “management
means decision making.”
Decision: What is a Decision?
A decision is a choice from among two or more, alternatives.
Decision making: it can be defined as an act of choice by the manager
from among two or more possible alternative courses in a given situation.
“Decision making is to solve any obstacle that stands between decision
maker and accomplishment of organizational goals.” Hodge and Johnson
“Decision making is a process involving information, choice of
alternative actions, implementation, and evaluation that is directed to the
achievement of certain stated goals.” Szilagyi
In the words of Haynes and Massie, “A decision is a course of action
which is consciously chosen for achieving a desired result”.
In other words, decision-making is the process by which the decision
maker tries to jump over the obstacles between his current position and the
desired future position. It should be noted that a decision is a choice
between two or more alternatives while decision making is a sequence of
certain steps leading to that selection.
Types of Decisions
1. Programmed Decisions:-
i. These are repetitive in nature and do not require much deliberation.
ii. These types of decisions are to be handled through established rules,
policies and standard operating procedures.
iii. These types of decisions are made by middle level or lower level
management in accordance with some policies, rules and procedures.
iv. Programmed decisions are used for dealing with complex as well as
with uncomplicated issues.
v. Decisions are action oriented and mistakes are not too costly.
vi. Resources required are less.
Example: Mc Donald’s employees are trained to Big Mac according to
specific procedures. Starbucks, and many other organization use
programmed decisions to purchase new supplies (coffee beans, napkins
etc.)
decisions which are non repetitive in nature and made by top level
management like decision about mergers, acquisitions and takeovers, new
facilities, new products, labor contracts and legal issues are non
programmed decisions.
these decisions are of long-term horizon.
these decisions require high resources.
these decisions are thinking-oriented and mistakes can put the company in
jeopardy.
Intuition and experience are major factors in this type of decisions.
Business firm : Salary to a new plant Business firm : Diversification into new
Examples
supervisor products and markets
A. Brainstorming:-
• Developed by Alex Osborn in 1938 to stimulate idea generation for
decision making.
• It is a conference technique involving 10-15 people by which a group
attempts to find a solution for a specific problem by amassing all the ideas
spontaneously contributed by its members.
• In this group leader states the problem in a clear manner so that it is
understood by all participants. After that each member is asked to give
ideas though which the problem can be solved. The members are
expected to put their ideas for problem solution without taking into
consideration limitations – financial, legal etc.
• Idea evaluation is deferred to a later stage because it does not flow in the
direction of idea generation.
• Brainstorming technique is very effective when the problem is
comparatively specific and can be simply defined. A complex problem can
be broken up into parts and each part can be taken separately at a time.
B. Nominal Group Technique (NGT):-
• A technique which is developed by Andre Delbecq and Andrew Van de
Ven
• It is a structured group meeting which restricts verbal communication and
discussion among the members during the decision-making process.
• Group members are all physically present but members operate
independently.
C. Delphi Technique:
• It is a group decision-making process that can be used by decision-
making groups when the individual members are in different physical
locations.
• Developed by Norman Dalkey and Olaf Helmer at Rand Corporation.
• In this technique, members do not have face-to-face interaction for group
decision. The decision is arrived at through written communication in the
form of filling up questionnaires often through mails.
Process of Delphi Technique is as follows:-
Process of Decision-making
a) Identify the problem: The first step of a decision-maker is to identify,
define and state the problem in precise terms. A problem is a felt need, a
question thrown forward for solution. A problem can be identified much
clearly, if managers go through diagnosis and analysis of the problem.
Example: A supervisor in a retail shop may realize that he has too many
employees on the floor compared with the day’s current sales volume, for
example, requiring him to make a decision to keep costs under control.
b) Gather information: The analysis of the problem requires to find out
who would make decision, what information would be needed and from
where the information is available. The real trick in this step is to know
what information is needed, the best sources of this information, and how
to go about getting it. Some information must be sought from within
yourself through a process of self-assessment; other information must be
sought from outside yourself-from books, people, and a variety of other
sources. This step, therefore, involves both internal and external “work”.
c) Identify Alternatives: A decision maker can use several sources for
identifying alternatives i.e. his own past experience, practices followed by
others, and using creative techniques. Copying from the experience of
others is another way of generating alternatives.
d) Evaluation of the Alternatives:- After the alternatives are identified,
the next step is to evaluate them and select the one that will meet the
choice criteria. However, all the alternatives available for decision making
will not be taken for detailed evaluation because of the obvious limitations
of managers in evaluating all alternatives. In narrowing down the number
of alternatives, two approaches can be followed: constraint on alternatives
and grouping of alternatives of similar nature.
e) Make the best choice: A comparison is made among the likely
outcomes of various alternatives and the best one is chosen. Choice aspect
of decision making is related to deciding the most acceptable alternative
which fits with the organizational objectives. it may be seen that the
chosen alternative should be acceptable in the light of the organizational
objectives.
f) Action: Once the alternative is selected, it is put into action. The actual
process of decision making ends with the choice of an alternative through
which the objectives can be achieved. Once the creative and analytical
aspects of decision making through which an alternative has been chosen
are over, the managerial priority is one of the converting the decision into
something operationally effective.
g) Results: When the decision is put into action, it brings certain results.
These results must correspond with objectives, the starting point of
decision process, if good decision has been made and implemented
properly. Thus, results provide indication whether decision and its
implementation is proper. Therefore, managers should take up a follow-up
action in the light of feedback received from the results.
7. SUMMARY
Decision making is both managerial function and organizational
process. It is managerial because it is a fundamental responsibility of every
manager. It is organizational orocess because many decisions transcend the
individual managers and become the product of groups, teams etc.
Decision making is involved in every walk of life; it is relevant in
organizational as well as non-organizational context. In organizational
context, decisions may vary from the major ones like determination of
organizational objectives or deciding about major projects to specific
decisions about day-to-day operations.
Types of decisions which are made by managers in organizations and
for each type of decision, decision making variables and conditions differ.