CAPM
CAPM
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The application of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): A South African
perspective
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The focus of this paper is the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), with a specific emphasis on two of its
main components, namely the risk-free rate and beta. The CAPM is used extensively in practice to
calculate the cost of equity, which, in turn, is used to calculate the weighted average cost of capital for
equity valuation and investment appraisal purposes. The aim of this paper is to investigate how well
valuation theory regarding the CAPM in particular, as advocated by academia, is aligned with the CAPM
and alternative models that leading financial analysts and corporate financiers apply in practice. No
study has yet compared the methods of choice of investment practitioners when calculating the cost of
equity to that of academia. The research results revealed that, although both academia and investment
practitioners favor the CAPM, they disagree significantly with regard to the components of the CAPM
and the use of alternative models.
Key words: Academia, investment practitioners, capital asset pricing model, discount rate, arbitrage pricing
theory, risk-free rate, beta.
INTRODUCTION
Several researchers have indicated that the discounted asset pricing model (CAPM) and the arbitrage pricing
cash flow (DCF) approach is the most accurate and theory (APT) model (PwC, 2008). Leading financial
flexible equity valuation method (Goedhart et al., 2005; analysts and corporate financiers, who will be referred to
Courteau, Kao et al., 2003; Berkman et al., 2000). as “investment practitioners” in this paper, tend to focus
Central to the application of a DCF approach is the on the CAPM in practice (PwC, 2008). Academically, the
calculation of an appropriate required rate of return or South African Institute of Chartered Accountants (SAICA,
discount rate (Damodaran, 2007), which is typically the 2008) highlights the CAPM as a key approach in the
weighted average cost of capital (WACC). The WACC is calculation of the cost of equity, which, in turn, is used to
calculated by allocating weights to the costs of the calculate the WACC for equity valuation and investment
various components (interest-bearing debt, preference appraisal purposes.
shares and ordinary share equity) in a company’s target Much research has been devoted to determining which
capital structure (PricewaterhouseCoopers, (PwC) 2008). models are superior in calculating the cost of equity
Internationally, the two primary models that are applied (Ammann and Verhofen, 2007; Burton, 1998; Magni,
in practice to calculate the cost of equity are the capital 2005; Magni, 2007; Bello 2008). Although researchers
generally agree that the use of the CAPM is a key appli-
cation area of finance for investment decisions and equity
Abbreviations: APT, Arbitrage pricing theory; CAPM, capital valuations (Magni, 2005; Damodaran, 2007; Fernández,
asset pricing model; DCF, discounted cash flow; R(e), expected 2002), they seem to be torn between the relative merits
return; Rf, risk-free rate; β, beta; COV, covariance; NA, not of the CAPM and the APT model. Those in favor of the
applicable; NI, not included; PwC, PricewaterhouseCoopers;
APT model refer to the stringent assumptions of the
E(Ri), expected return on asset i; E(Rm), expected return on
the market; SAICA, South African Institute of Chartered
CAPM and the fact that it cannot be tested empirically
Accountants; WACC, weighted average cost of capital; σ², (Nawalkha, 2007; Fama and French, 2004; Roll, 1977).
variance. Others argue that the CAPM has undoubtedly made a
Nel 5337
undoubtedly made a fundamental contribution to the investment practitioners. Although the PwC survey
understanding of asset pricing (Perold, 2009; Fernández, afforded academia an insight into the nature and
2002; Harrington and Korajczyk, 1993). frequency of the application of equity valuation methods
However, the literature review revealed no evidence of in practice, no such research has yet been conducted
a study that compared academia’s preferences with among academia.
regard to the use of specific approaches to the calcula- The contribution of this study is that it facilitates the
tion of the cost of equity, with that of investment practitio- convergence of, firstly, academic thinking regarding the
ners. This study investigates academic consensus use of the CAPM, and, secondly, valuation practices
among chartered accountants regarding the use of the between academia and investment practitioners. To this
CAPM, and its constituents in particular, and whether the end, the research results will present academic consen-
general concern regarding a gap between theory and sus regarding the use of the CAPM and highlight
practice (Triantis, 2005; Ralston 2003; Bernstein 2008) is differences between academia and investment practi-
warranted. Although this exploratory study focuses on a tioners in this regard. Should the results reveal that there
specific target audience within the wider academic are approaches to the calculation of the cost of equity,
community, the research results indicate that the topic and the use of the CAPM in particular, that are used
warrants further investigation, which the author intends frequently in practice which are not advocated by
pursuing with future research. However, for the purpose academia, this may highlight the need for academia to
of this paper, the reference to academia will specifically reconsider their syllabus. Similarly, it could mean that
refer to chartered accountants who are in academia. The there are approaches to the calculation of the cost of
emphasis is on academia’s perception regarding the equity and the use of the CAPM that are advocated by
calculation of the cost of equity with a specific focus on academia that are not applied in practice. In this case it
the CAPM, and how these preferences compare to those may be necessary for investment practitioners to
of investment practitioners in South Africa. The next two reconsider their approach to the CAPM and other
sections set out the objective and the value of the methods that they use in practice.
research, followed by a literature review. Sections five The research also contributes to the preparation of
and six describe the research methodology and the students for the marketplace. If there is a gap between
survey results regarding the CAPM, as preferred by theory and practice, the nature of the gap should be
academia, followed by a gap analysis between theory investigated and resolved in order to better align aca-
and practice in section seven. Final remarks are offered demia with the real world. It is therefore, imperative that
in the last section of this paper. academic consensus regarding the calculation of the cost
of equity, and the application of the CAPM in particular, is
compared to the current application of the CAPM in
Objective of the research practice, to establish whether such a gap exists.
E(Ri) = expected return on asset i, Rf = risk-free rate, Bi = The APT model equated the expected return of an asset
beta of asset i, E(Rm) = expected return on the market. to various macro-economic factors, each with a specific
Mathematically, beta is the covariance of asset returns beta factor, so that
and market returns divided by the variance of market
returns, so that Ε(Re ) = Rf + β 1Ρ1 + β 1Ρ1 + ... ,
βi =
cov(Ri , Rm ) where, E (Re) = expected return on equity capital, Rf =
σ ² (Rm ) risk-free rate, βP = risk premium reflecting sensitivity to
changes in a specific risk (PwC, 2008).
where; Bi = beta (systematic risk) of asset i, cov (Ri,Rm)
= the covariance between asset i and the market, σ²(Rm)
= the variance of the market returns (Fama and French, Methods that are used to estimate the cost of equity
2004). in practice in South Africa
Internationally, academia and investment practitioners
have been debating the merits of the CAPM since its A valuation methodology survey conducted by PwC in
inception in the mid-1960s. The CAPM is prone to 2008 among 25 leading financial analysts and corporate
criticism since it operates in a ceteris paribus financiers, confirmed that investment practitioners have a
environment and is based on various assumptions, preference for the CAPM when calculating the cost of
including the existence of a risk-free asset which enables equity. The 2008 PwC survey used a frequency table
investors to borrow unlimited amounts at a constant rate. between 0-3, where 0 indicates that the method is
Similarly, the beta factor, particularly its appropriateness seldom or never used, 1 indicates that the method is
as a measure of risk, has been the subject of various often used, 2 indicates the method is frequently used and
empirical studies. Research results by Blume (1971), 3 indicates that the method is always used. The most
Baesel (1974) and Roenfeldt (1978), for example, popular methods that are currently used to calculate the
indicated that share betas are unstable over time, while cost of equity in practice, according to the PwC survey,
research by Fama and French (1996), Jegadeesh (1992) are presented in Figure 1.
indicated that beta is not statistically related to returns. Figure 1 indicates that the most popular method to
Since research indicates that the third component of the calculate the cost of equity that is currently used in
CAPM, namely Rm, cannot be tested empirically (Fama practice is the CAPM, which scored a 3.00. Other
and French, 2004; Harrington and Korajczyk, 1993; methods (scored a 0.2) and the APT model (scored a
Mirza, 2005) the focus of this paper is on β and Rf. 0.10), were second and third best alternatives; and as
Ross (1976) introduced an alternative approach to their frequency scores indicate, negligible, according to
asset-pricing theory in the form of a multifactor model the PwC survey. Methods that were mentioned under the
known as arbitrage pricing theory (APT) in the late 1970s. “Other” category were peer composites and the build-up
Nel 5339
R157 (6.7)
2.00
1.00
0.50
206 (5)
Figure 2. Proxies that are used for the Rf in practice in South Africa.
*The numbers in parenthesis indicates the bonds’ term to maturity.
Source: Adapted from PwC (2008)
Bloomberg
2.00
0.50
-
Reuters/Factiva McGregor BFA
In-house
MSCI Barra
calculation
section dealt with specific equity valuation methods, such as the As Figure 4 illustrates, the respondents had a clear
free cash flow model and multiples. Section two focused on the preference for the CAPM adjusted for additional risk
discount rate, posing questions regarding the most appropriate
factors (78%), and the CAPM (70%). The build-up
method for calculating the cost of equity and specific questions
regarding the CAPM. The third section covered the profile of the method, which garnered 58% support, was the third most
participants. This paper will focus on the second and third sections popular alternative.
of the questionnaire, while the remaining section will form part of Considering whatever investors required (26%)
further research. It is important to bear in mind that the results are garnered little support from respondents. Only 8% of the
merely a reflection of the beliefs and opinions of chartered respondents were of the opinion that the average
accountants in academia.
The emphasis of this paper falls on seven questions in the survey
historical return on equity should be used, while 7%
that were designed to establish how the cost of equity should be regarded backing out of the dividend/earnings model or
calculated, in accordance with academic thinking, with a specific listed entities (“Other”), as suitable alternatives to
emphasis on the CAPM. The questions focused on the following: calculate the required rate of return.
(1) How frequently various methods should be used to calculate the
required rate of return;
(2) How frequently various proxies for the risk-free rate should be
Proxies used for the risk-free rate when employing
used when employing the CAPM; the CAPM
(3) Reasons for the choice in (2);
(4) Whether the risk-free rate should be adjusted for tax purposes; The second question required respondents to indicate
(5) Which tax rate should be used to adjust the risk-free rate; which instruments should be applied most frequently in
(6) How beta should be determined; practice as proxies for the Rf in the CAPM. The proxies
(7) How the CAPM should be approached when an entity has a
negative beta.
for the Rf that, according to academic thinking, should be
Questions 1 and 2 required respondents to indicate how frequently applied most frequently when using the CAPM in practice
the respective methods/risk-free rates should be used on a scale of to value an interest in an entity’s equity are presented in
0 - 4, where 0 indicates that the method is never used, 1 indicates Figure 5.
that the method is almost never used, 2 indicates the method is As is evident from Figure 5, the majority of academia
sometimes used, 3 indicates that the method is almost always favors the R153 bond (now defunct), followed by the
used, and 4 indicates that the method is always used. The survey
results for questions 1 and 2 discussed in this paper reflect those
R157 and the R186 bonds. The preference for the R153
alternatives that respondents indicated should always or almost bond, vis-à-vis the R157 and the R186 bond is a strange
always be used in practice, in other words the percentage of phenomenon, since at the time of the survey, the R153
respondents who answered 3 or 4. Question 4 was a Yes/No type had a very short term to maturity (1.7 years). The close
question. Questions 3, 5, 6 and 7 were alternative/open ended type proximity between the preference for the R186 and R196
questions where respondents could choose between alternative
bonds also seems illogical. Surely, a bond’s term to
responses or specify an alternative that was not listed.
maturity should match that of the investment. The use of
the other bonds is negligible.
RESULTS The third question required respondents to provide
reasons for their selection of proxies for the risk-free rate.
Although the literature review highlighted several The main reason presented for the choice of the specific
shortcomings of the CAPM (Nawalkha, 2007; Fama and bonds was that they were the benchmark government
French, 2004; Roll, 1977), it is used extensively in bonds (41%), followed by the fact that they offered good
practice. According to the PwC survey, investment liquidity (18%) and that they gauged the domestic market
practitioners predominantly use the CAPM, with little well (16%).
regard for the APT model. In order to determine how well Alarmingly, only 6% of the respondents correctly
these preferences are aligned with those of lecturers in indicated that the appropriate bonds should be chosen
academia, it is necessary to ascertain academic con- based on the match between their term to maturity and
sensus regarding the use of the CAPM and alternative the tenure of the particular investment. Few (3%)
models. respondents regarded high trading volumes as an
appropriate reason for choosing specific bonds.
The fourth question required respondents to indicate
Methods used to determine the required rate of return whether they adjusted the Rf for tax purposes and, if so,
the fifth question required them to indicate at what tax
The first question required respondents to indicate which rate.
methods should be applied most frequently in practice to The majority (64%) of respondents were in favor of ad-
determine the required rate of return when valuing an justing the Rf for tax purposes, while 36% was opposed
interest in an entity. The methods that should be applied to it. Of the respondents in favor of a tax adjustment, 38%
most frequently to determine the required rate of return in preferred a corporate tax rate adjustment (currently 28%),
practice when valuing an interest in an entity’s equity, 32% an adjustment at the top marginal rate for individuals
according to academic thinking, are presented in Figure (40%), and 29% the corporate tax rate plus a dividends
4. tax (34.5%).
5342 Afr. J. Bus. Manage.
CAPM
Build-up method*
Other
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Figure 4. Methods that, according to academia, should be used most frequently to determine the required rate of return when valuing
an interest in an entity’s equity.
R153 (1.7*)
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
Other (0.3) R157 (6.7)
0.50
-
Calculating beta when employing the CAPM judgment, presumably referring to forward looking betas
vis-à-vis trailing betas.
The sixth question required respondents to indicate how The seventh question required respondents to indicate
beta should be calculated when using the CAPM. The how the CAPM should be approached when entities are
sources of information for the calculation of beta that, confronted with negative betas, which strangely enough
according to academic thinking, should be used most are published by service providers (Bradfield, 2003;
frequently are presented in Figure 6. Arnott et al., 2009). As illustrated in Figure 7, the majority
As is evident from Figure 6, the majority of academia (57%) of the respondents indicated that a different beta
favors UCT/Cadiz financial services and McGregor BFA should be estimated, while an alarming 30% indicated
as service providers (both scored a 1.20). that the negative beta should be used.
According to academia, the second best option would A further 10% of the respondents indicated that beta
be to calculate historical betas in-house, followed by should be adjusted to zero and 3% indicated that a
either using data from Reuters or Bloomberg. Only 3% of different approach should be adopted to estimate the cost
the respondents indicated that beta should be based on of equity.
Nel 5343
UCT/Cadiz
financial
services
2.00
1.50
Other, please McGregor
specify 1.00 BFA
0.50
Calculating
Bloomberg historical
betas
Reuters
Figure 6. Sources for the calculation of beta that, according to
academia, should be used most frequently when employing the CAPM
in practice.
Figure 7. Approach to the use of beta that, according to academia, should be adopted when confronted with a negative beta in
practice.
The results of the academic survey, when compared to Although academia and investment practitioners place a
that of the PwC survey, revealed that academic thinking different emphasis (a 35% gap) on the use of the CAPM,
and investment practitioners’ preferences regarding the the majority of academia (74% on average) and invest-
use of the CAPM and alternative methods for the ment practitioners (100%) agree that the CAPM should
calculation of the cost of equity differ more frequently be used most frequently in practice. Academia and
than they concur. Six of the eight factors that were investment practitioners also seem to agree regarding the
compared indicated significant differences, in other words calculation of beta. The majority (97%) of respondents
gaps of more than 20%. Despite their differing opinions, from academia indicated that beta should be calculated
academia and investment practitioners agree on certain based on historical figures, a sentiment which is shared
issues. by investment practitioners (100%). Although academia
5344 Afr. J. Bus. Manage.
Risk-free rate
R153 58 17 (241) Different
R157 51 67 31 Different
Reason*
Benchmark government bond 41 NI
Adjusted for taxation 64 4 (1 500) Different
Which tax rate* NI NA
Company tax rate 38 NI NA
Beta
Historical figures 97 100 3 Similar
Service provider
Bloomberg 5 43 760 Different
UCT/Cadiz financial services 32 37 16 Similar
McGregor BFA 32 33 3 Similar
Negative beta*
Estimate a different beta 57 NI NA
*These factors were not included (NI) in both surveys and therefore, a direct comparison was somewhat obscured. **The frequency
scores were converted to percentages for comparative purposes.
and investment practitioners differed regarding their on the item than investment practitioners. The calculation
preferred service provider for the calculation of beta, they of beta by using historical figures, for example, displays a
indicated similar support for UCT/Cadiz financial risk- relatively small gap (3%), which means that academia
services (32 and 37%, respectively) and McGregor BFA and investment practitioners agree that the calculation of
(32 and 33%, respectively) as alternative service beta should be based on historical figures. Table 1
providers. The results of the respective surveys are confirms that academia and investment practitioners’
compared in Table 1. preferences are not well aligned, that is they disagree
The use of historical betas as an estimate for future more than they agree.
betas is somewhat controversial. Empirical evidence
suggests that individual stocks are not stable over time,
which may cloud the validity of using historical betas as Differences
measures of risk (Blume, 1971; Baesel, 1974; Roenfeldt,
1978). Beta should rather be estimated based on the Although the respondents from academia and practice
future risk perspective of the asset being valued. seem to agree that the CAPM is the most preferred
The Gap column in Table 1 indicates the extent of the method of calculating the cost of equity, they differ rather
difference in emphasis between academia and significantly regarding other considerations. A significant
investment practitioners with regard to the calculation of portion of academia (58%) regards APT as an alternative
the cost of equity, the risk-free rate and beta. The per- to the CAPM, whereas investment practitioners (3%)
centage indicated in the Gap column reflects the extent to place very little emphasis on APT. This constitutes a very
which academia and investment practitioners disagree large (1 833%) gap between academia and practice,
regarding the item in question. A positive percentage indicating that academia places a far higher premium on
indicates that the item is used more frequently in practice APT than investment practitioners do.
than academia would advocate, while a negative per- An interesting discrepancy between academia and
centage implies that academia places a greater emphasis investment practitioners lies in the use of the R153 and
Nel 5345
the R157 bonds as proxies for the Rf. Academia (58%) the calculation of beta, they agree that beta should be
favors the R153, while only 17% of investment practi- calculated from historical figures. However, academia
tioners favor the R153 as a proxy for the Rf, constituting and investment practitioners disagree regarding the
a (241%) gap. Similarly, investment practitioners use the relative frequency of use of the CAPM vis-à-vis the APT
R157 (67%) fairly frequently in practice, whereas 51% of model. All the investment practitioners indicated that they
the respondents from academia favor the R157. used the CAPM frequently, compared to academic sup-
This discrepancy highlights an important principle when port of 74%, constituting a 35% gap between academia
selecting an appropriate Rf. The tenure of the bond and practice. The most significant gap between theory
should match the term of the investment, that is the and practice is with regard to the use of the APT model.
choice of the appropriate Rf should be gleaned from the Academia (58%) seems to place significant emphasis on
yield curve. Academia’s preference for the R153 bond, APT, compared to investment practitioners (3%) who
which at the time of the survey had a 1.7 year term to seem to have less regard for APT, constituting a
maturity, above the R157 bond, with a 6.7 year term to significant (1 833%) gap.
maturity, seems rather short sighted. Similarly, very few The most concerning discrepancy between academia
investment practitioners (4%) adjust the Rf for tax in and investment practitioners is perhaps the use of an
practice, whereas 64% of the respondents from appropriate Rf in the CAPM. Academia favored the R153,
academia were in favor of such an adjustment. The gap which, at the time of the survey, had a 1.7 year term to
between academia and practice is therefore, a vast (1 maturity, compared to investment practitioners who
500%), indicating that the adjustment is made far less favored the R157, which, at that stage, had a 6.7 year
frequently in practice than academia may suggest. term to maturity. Academia seems to ignore the
Academia (5%) and investment practitioners (43%) also underlying principle for selecting an appropriate Rf, which
differ in their regard for Bloomberg as a service provider, is to match the maturity of the bond with the lifespan of
with a gap of 760%, indicating that investment the asset being valued.
practitioners have a higher regard for Bloomberg as a This is confirmed by the fact that the majority of
service provider than academia. academia indicated that the reason for the choice of an
appropriate Rf was based on the fact that the R153 was
the benchmark government bond. The gaps between
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS academia and practice with regard to the R153 and R157
were (241%) and 31%, respectively. A strange
The research aimed to establish whether there is a gap discrepancy surfaced between academia and practice
between the calculation of the cost of equity, as regarding the adjustment of the Rf for tax purposes. The
advocated by academia, and the calculations that leading majority of academia (64%) is of the opinion that the Rf
financial analysts and corporate financiers apply in should be adjusted for tax purposes, compared to only4%
practice in South Africa. of investment practitioners, constituting a (1 500%) gap. It
The reader should bear in mind that the research was is not clear why investment practitioners tend to apply a
based on the beliefs and opinions of chartered pre-tax Rf in practice. Post-tax cash flows should be
accountants, which constitutes a specific target audience discounted at a post-tax rate.
within the broader academic environ-ment. One could be Although academia and investment practitioners agree
inclined to argue that, since there are members of the that beta should be calculated from historical figures,
academic community who lecture valuations who are not discounting future cash flows at a rate that encapsulates
chartered accountants, the target audience was narrowly historic data seems odd.
defined, which may have ob-scured the generalisation of The more accurate approach would perhaps be to
the results. However, since valuations is a key application adopt a forward perspective on beta and use that in the
area in finance and in the SAICA syllabus in particular the CAPM. Academia and investment practitioners also
research results contribute to the continued development disagree regarding the preferred service provider for the
of the academic environment responsible for the future calculation of beta.
training of chartered accountants. Although the broader Despite investment practitioners indicating Bloomberg
academic environment may have similar concerns regar- as their preferred service provider, only 5% of academia
ding valuations, which were not included in this study, the regarded Bloomberg as a frequent service provider,
author intends to investigate the matter with further constituting a 760% gap. Although the majority of
research. academia indicated that when confronted with a negative
Although the research results revealed that there is a beta, an alternative beta should be estimated, a
significant gap between theory and practice, academia significant portion (30%) of academia indicated that the
and investment practitioners seem to agree regarding the negative beta should be used in the CAPM, while a
use of the CAPM and the calculation of beta. Academia further 10% stated that beta should be adjusted to zero.
and investment practitioners agree that the CAPM is the This is a rather strange phenomenon, since neither of
best approach to calculate the cost of equity. In terms of these alternatives would render the CAPM useful. The
5346 Afr. J. Bus. Manage.
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