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Assignment 1

The document presents an assignment on regression analysis using Azure ML Studio, focusing on predicting bike rentals based on various parameters. It includes model evaluation metrics such as R-squared, Mean Absolute Error, and Root Mean Squared Error, indicating the model's performance and accuracy. The assignment concludes that the problem is a regression issue, as it involves predicting continuous values rather than classifying categories.

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23 views3 pages

Assignment 1

The document presents an assignment on regression analysis using Azure ML Studio, focusing on predicting bike rentals based on various parameters. It includes model evaluation metrics such as R-squared, Mean Absolute Error, and Root Mean Squared Error, indicating the model's performance and accuracy. The assignment concludes that the problem is a regression issue, as it involves predicting continuous values rather than classifying categories.

Uploaded by

shalmali0103
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Shailesh S Khonde, GGU DBA - Cohort 6 – ET Slot 1

12-Apr-2025

Course 2 – Foundation of Machine Learning & AI

Assignment 1 - Azure ML Studio Assignment 1 ( Regression)

1. The screenshots of models are as given below

a. Pipeline

b. Model evaluation parameter


2. Questions & Answers

i. Justify whether it’s a classification or regression problem you are solving. Provide a
very concise explanation of the same. (5M)

Answer :

The problem given is about the regression as it is about predicting the count of bikes
being rented by customers based on the different parameters given like season, hour of
the day, weekday, etc. By using this model, bike company can do better demand
planning & plan the bike availability at different times of the year, day, season and also
depending on the weather.

Classification problem would ask us to predict a certain category based on the given
number of parameters which is not relevant for current problem given.

ii. Justify whether it’s a classification or regression problem you are solving. Provide a
very concise explanation of the same. (5M)

Answer : The model performance can be summarized as below based on the valuation
parameters given.

a. Coefficient of Determination - 0.5780507


The R-squared here is suggesting how well my machine learning model’s predictions
align with actual data given in the csv file. It represents the proportion of the
variance in the dependent variable that is predictable from the independent
variables.

I need to fine tune this model to increase the R squared value as much as closer to 1
0o move towards better prediction.
b. Mean Absolute Error – 0.08789745

The MAE here is suggesting the accuracy of regression model. It measures the
average magnitude of errors in predictions. It is essentially summarizing the
difference of actual and predicted values for all observations divided by number of
observations. Since the value is much lower, it indicates better model performance.

c. Relative Absolute Error – 0.6139854


The RAE here is suggest the performance of my regression model by comparing its
absolute errors to those of a baseline model. It measures how well a model performs
relative to a simple model that predicts the mean of the actual values. The current
value is lesser than 1 so it means it means it performs better than the baseline.

d. Relative Squared Error – 0.4219493


The RSE here suggests the performance of my regression model by comparing the
squared errors of the model's predictions to those of a simple baseline model that
predicts the mean of the actual values. Since the value is lesser than 1 it is suggesting
that the model if performing better than the baseline.

e. The Root Mean Squared Error – 0.1193454


(RMSE) here suggests evaluation of the performance of my regression model. It
measures the average error magnitude, but unlike Mean Absolute Error (MAE), it
penalizes larger errors more heavily because it squares the differences before
averaging.

In the context of this example, the count of bikes is not in the range of 1 to 0 but is
in the range of much higher number like 1 to 977. So getting the RMSE below 1
suggests good model performance of the regression model.

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