(Ebook) Misleading DNA Evidence. A Guide For Scientists, Judges, and Lawyers by Peter Gill (Auth.) ISBN 9780124172142, 0124172148 Download
(Ebook) Misleading DNA Evidence. A Guide For Scientists, Judges, and Lawyers by Peter Gill (Auth.) ISBN 9780124172142, 0124172148 Download
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Misleading DNA Evidence
Misleading DNA Evidence:
Reasons for Miscarriages
of Justice
Peter Gill
Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo,
University of Oslo, Norway
ISBN: 978-0-12-417214-2
This book is for my wife Christine. With tolerance and patience, she has
supported and encouraged me for many years.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The preparation of this book has received funding from the European
Union seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) under grant agree-
ment no. 285487 (EUROFORGEN-NoE) and it contributes towards the
deliverable: “A protocol to describe best practice at the crime-scene”.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
hearing in New York) and in the United Kingdom, including the Omagh
bombing trial, where the judge summarized: “In my view it was extremely
fortunate that the prosecution decided late in the day to call Dr Gill as
his evidence greatly helped to inform and bring some objectivity to the
debate.” The motivation for this book arose from a meeting in Rome that
was organized by Vince Pascali in 2012, entitled: “The hidden side of
DNA profiles.” I have carried out a deep analysis of a number of poorly
reported cases, which are described in the book. Bearing in mind that this
represents a tiny snapshot of current practice, there is little doubt in my mind
that misinterpretation of DNA profiling evidence may cause miscarriages
of justice. My purpose is to provide some clarity—in particular to urge
scientists, lawyers, judges, and their policy makers to engage in debate and
to examine their existing practices.
FOREWORD
In my opinion, over the past three decades no one has done more to
advance forensic DNA analysis and interpretation than Peter Gill. He has
been part of every major development in the field. A few of the articles
that come to mind include the early exploration of short tandem repeats in
1993 (published in PCR Methods & Applications), use of DNA to solve
the Romanov historical mystery in 1994 (published in Nature Genetics), the
establishment of the first national DNA database in 1995 (based on concepts
originally published in 1990 in Electrophoresis), the introduction of mixture
interpretation techniques in 1998 and low-copy number procedures in 2000
(published in Forensic Science International), recognition of the potential
impact of DNA contamination in 2004 (published in the Journal of Forensic
Science), simulation of the DNA testing process in order to understand it
better in 2005 (published in Nucleic Acids Research), and development of
recommendations on probabilistic genotyping methods in 2012 (published
in Forensic Science International: Genetics). His work has longevity as well
as a breadth and depth unequaled in the field. He has had and continues to
have real impact with his visionary work.
This book furthers the reach and impact of Dr. Gill, who is now a profes-
sor of forensic genetics at the University of Oslo in Norway. Misleading
DNA Evidence contains five primary sections: (1) a definition of “trace
DNA,” (2) a review of some causes of miscarriages of justice when there
is an oversimplification of evidence interpretation, (3) a framework to guide
trace DNA evidence interpretation with 13 recommendations, (4) a discus-
sion of uses and abuses of DNA databases, and (5) an interesting review and
discussion of the case investigating the death of Meredith Kercher where
Amanda Knox and others were accused and convicted by an Italian court.
xii Foreword
There has been much debate on the use of national DNA databases in
crime investigation, but the “debate” was never properly resolved. In the
fourth chapter, it is shown that databases can be misused or misunderstood
to provide an impression that the DNA evidence is highly probative in
a given case. However, when the other non-DNA evidence is neutral, or
exculpatory, it is demonstrated that the DNA evidence can be overweighted
in relation to the non-DNA evidence. This is because the former is expressed
numerically (e.g., one in one billion), whereas the non-DNA evidence is
expressed verbally, without statistics. I call this the “swamping effect”.
There are numbers of proposals put forward to redress the balance.
The final chapter brings together the various strands—using the case
of “Death of Meredith Kercher” to illustrate the various principles and
cognitive biases explained in previous chapters. A list of recommendations
is provided.
Books are often static entities, but I would like this to be a vehicle to
facilitate discussion between all of the participants of the criminal justice
system and their policy makers. It has been prepared as a contribution to a
deliverable towards: “A protocol that describes best practice at crime scene”,
under the auspices of the EU-funded, Euroforgen-Network of Excellence,
http://www.euroforgen.eu/. The European Network of Forensic Institutes
(ENFSI) is concurrently running a project entitled “The development and
implementation of an ENFSI standard for reporting evaluative forensic ev-
idence”, http://www.enfsi.eu/projects/monopoly-programmes-mp/mp2010.
The ideas also contribute to this programme. They were recently discussed
at an ENFSI meeting in Tbilisi, Georgia. I am very pleased that a general
consensus is already emerging within the scientific community. I am sure
that I will need to expand, modify, update, and consolidate some of my ideas.
I welcome comments to peterd.gill@gmail.com and I will post updates on
my Web site, https://sites.google.com/site/peterdgill/.
CHAPTER 1
Definitions: Contamination and Interpretation
1.1 HISTORICAL ................................................................... 1
1.2 DEFINITION OF “TRACE-DNA”........................................... 1
1.3 A DISCUSSION ON CONTAMINATION ................................. 4
1.4 WHY DO MISCARRIAGES OF JUSTICE OCCUR? ..................... 11
1.5 SOME FALLACIES AND ERRORS OF THINKING...................... 12
1.6 THE LIKELIHOOD RATIO ................................................... 17
1.7 THE ROLE OF THE FORENSIC SCIENTIST ............................. 19
1.1 HISTORICAL
The original DNA profiling technique developed in 1985 had relatively
low sensitivity. It was limited to the analysis of large visible crime
stains that were at least 1 cm in diameter. Improvements facilitated by
the widespread adoption of the polymerase chain reaction (PCR) method
gradually increased the sensitivity to the point that only a few cells were
required in an assay (Gill et al., 2000). At first this development was
regarded as controversial, but now, the analysis of “trace-DNA”1 has
become routine. This book is about the interpretation of DNA profiles
derived from “trace-DNA” evidence.
Trace-DNA samples may be defined as any sample which falls below recom-
mended thresholds at any stage of the analysis.
I have modified this definition simply because this type of analysis is now
universal. It has been motivated by the introduction of new biochemistry and
2 This statement was originally used in relation to DNA evidence found on a watch found at
a crime scene.
Definitions: Contamination and Interpretation 3
all low-level DNA profiles, for which there is no concurrent body fluid that
has been identified with certainty (Section 1.5).
1. Active, direct: Describes relevant transfer from the perpetrator at the time
of the crime event.
2. Active, indirect: This “state” is probably not significant since it describes
relevant secondary transfer at the time of the crime event.
3. Active, aerosol: For example, transfer from perpetrator via saliva spray
from exhaling, shouting.
4. Passive, direct: Innocent touching, not associated with the crime event.
5. Passive, indirect: Innocent secondary transfer.
6. Passive aerosol: Innocent transfer via speaking, exhaling, skin cells.
6 Misleading DNA Evidence
For any recovered “trace-DNA” profile, the actual method will not be known
with certainty.
surface (porous or smooth), and also whether the samples are wet vs. dry.
It was shown that porous/dry samples were less likely to transfer DNA
than smooth/wet samples. Friction between two surfaces aided secondary
transfer.Skin cell transfer is of particular interest, since this is the cell type
that is most likely to be inadvertently transferred at crime scenes. Goray
et al. (2010a) showed that just 2 ng of skin cell DNA were required to
transfer 1 ng to be retrieved from another surface. A review of the literature
showed that a handprint deposited between 0 and 385 ng of DNA—i.e., there
was usually more than enough to be realistically implicated in the possibility
of secondary transfer. In addition, it was shown that latex gloves worn by
investigators at crime scenes are “high risk” in this respect (Poy and van
Oorschot, 2006; Szkuta et al., 2013) (Section 5.13.3). It is important to note
that the published literature has focussed on retrieval of DNA profiles of
1 ng or more, which is reflective of “traditional” DNA profiling methods.
However, the examples that are examined in this book include the retrieval
of much lower amounts of DNA—these are typically low-level, partial
DNA profiles that are routinely reported using enhanced PCR amplification
cycles, or the new, more sensitive multiplexes and platforms that are
currently utilized.
Since the new methodologies are in the region 20 times more sensitive
than those previously considered, there is an urgent need to carry out new
research, following the experimental design of Goray et al., in order to
properly quantify the risks of the new technologies that have already been
implemented—Ballantyne et al. (2013) reported greatly increased detection
of background contamination on surfaces and equipment associated with
laboratory analysis. Profiles that are demonstrably low-level, partial, and in
admixture with other contributors should always be considered as potential
background contamination.
3 Currently, there is insufficient research and guidance to recommend exactly how this should
be done, but I envisage a system of random sampling by transects taken from the vicinity of
the crime scene.
4 This is why investigators wear face masks.
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