Stochastic Dominance
Stochastic Dominance
Portfolio Allocation
Analyzes how an individual divides their portfolio between a risky and a risk-
less asset.
Examines how changes in the riskiness of the risky asset affect the portfolio
composition.
Considers the impact of an individual's Arrow-Pratt measure of risk aversion
on these decisions.
Definition
Asset A first-degree stochastically dominates asset B (denoted as A ⪰ B) if, for all
1
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Intuition
The probability of asset A's return exceeding any given level is always greater than
or equal to the probability of asset B's return exceeding the same level.
Formal Condition
For all possible returns z, the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of A, F A
, is
(z)
This means the probability of the rate of return on asset A being less than or equal to
z is no more than the probability of the rate of return on asset B being less than or
equal to z.
Example
Consider two assets, A and B, with the following cumulative probabilities:
z F A (z) F B (z)
0 0 1
1 1 4
2 4 5
1 1 1
E[u(1 + r A )] ≥ E[u(1 + r B )]
Proof
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The proof involves integrating by parts and demonstrating that if F (z) ≤ F (z) for A B
all z, and u(z) is increasing, then the expected utility from asset A is greater than or
equal to that from asset B.
r A = r B + ϵ, where ϵ ≥ 0
This means that for any increasing utility function u(⋅), E[u(r A )] ≥ E[u(r B )] .
Combining the results from Sections 2.2 and 2.3, the following statements are
equivalent:
1. A ⪰ B 1
3. r = r + ϵ, where ϵ ≥ 0
A B
If A ⪰ B, then asset A must have at least as high an expected return as asset B. The
1
Definition
Asset A second-degree stochastically dominates asset B (denoted as A ⪰ B) if all 2
Condition
z
∫ [F A (y) − F B (y)]dy ≤ 0 ∀z ∈ [0, 1]
0
Define S(z) = ∫ z
0
. If S(z) ≤ 0 for all z, then A ⪰ B.
[F A (y) − F B (y)]dy 2
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S(z) ≤ 0 for all z. This is done by contradiction; if S(z) > 0 for some z, a concave
utility function can be constructed such that the expected utility from B is greater
than that from A, contradicting the assumption that A ⪰ B. 2
Formal Definition
A ⪰ B if and only if:
2
1. E[r ] = E[r
A B
]
2. S(z) = ∫ [F
z
0
A
(y) − F B (y)]dy ≤ 0 ∀z ∈ [0, 1]
Implications
If A ⪰ B, then asset A must have at least the same expected return as asset B, and
2
When one of the above conditions is satisfied, it can be said that asset B is more
risky than asset A.
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with return r.
The optimal amount to invest in the risky asset is determined by the individual's
utility function u(⋅) and is found where:
′
E[u (1 + r + α(r A − r))(r A − r)] = 0
Scenario
Imagine there is another risky asset B that is more risky than asset A (A ⪰ B). 2
Question
If an individual invests in risky asset B and the riskless asset, will the optimal
investment in the risky asset increase or decrease?
If it is given that:
′′
V (z) < 0
Where:
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′ ≥ ′ f or all z1 < z2
u (z 2 ) u (z 2 )
k j
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